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Temporal Relations of Atrial Fibrillation and Congestive Heart Failure and Their Joint Influence on Mortality: The Framingham Heart Study
Abstract
Background— Atrial fibrillation (AF) and congestive heart failure (CHF) frequently occur together, but there is limited information regarding their temporal relations and the combined influence of these conditions on mortality. Methods and Results— We studied participants in the Framingham Study with new-onset AF or CHF. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models with time-dependent variables were used to evaluate whether mortality after AF or CHF was affected by the occurrence and timing of the other condition. Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for time period and cardiovascular risk factors. During the study period, 1470 participants developed AF, CHF, or both. Among 382 individuals with both conditions, 38% had AF first, 41% had CHF first, and 21% had both diagnosed on the same day. The incidence of CHF among AF subjects was 33 per 1000 person-years, and the incidence of AF among CHF subjects was 54 per 1000 person-years. In AF subjects, the subsequent development of CHF was associated with increased mortality (men: HR 2.7; 95% CI, 1.9 to 3.7; women: HR 3.1; 95% CI, 2.2 to 4.2). Similarly, in CHF subjects, later development of AF was associated with increased mortality (men: HR 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2 to 2.1; women: HR 2.7, 95% CI, 2.0 to 3.6). Preexisting CHF adversely affected survival in individuals with AF, but preexisting AF was not associated with adverse survival in those with CHF. Conclusions— Individuals with AF or CHF who subsequently develop the other condition have a poor prognosis. Additional studies addressing the pathogenesis, prevention, and optimal management of the joint occurrence of AF and CHF appear warranted.
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“In adjusted models, AF is associated with increased morbidity, especially stroke and heart failure, as well as increased mortality.2–5”
From Worldwide Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: A Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study (2014) · cites this paper as [5]
In the citing paper
“The plasma concentrations of the inflammatory marker C-reactive protein143 and of fibroblast growth factor-23144 have been found to be higher in women than in men in epidemiological studies.”
From Atrial fibrillation in women: epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis (2016) · cites this paper as [143]
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“[11] Patients with AF are hospitalized twice as often as patients without AF, and there are more than 479,000 hospitalizations annually in the United States with AF listed as the primary discharge diagnosis.”
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“Furthermore, this condition increases the risk of death, congestive heart failure and thromboembolic conditions [2,3].”
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Calcium-Activated Potassium Current Modulates Ventricular Repolarization in Chronic Heart Failure
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“[2] Our main findings were two-fold: first, we did not find any modulation of atrial myocyte repolarization by IKCa in the settings of normal, failing or sustained AF hearts.”
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“3–5, 11 , 1 9, 20 Our findings in the [and in the Aliskiren Trial to Minimize Outcomes in Patients”
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Atrial Fibrillation Is Associated With Lower Cognitive Performance in the Framingham Offspring Men
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“develop atrial fibrillation are at a significantly increased risk of death.(2) Thus, the identification of factors that predispose to the development of atrial fibrillation during heart failure, and the evaluation of specifically targeted pharmacologic interventions have the potential to”
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Irregular Rhythm Adversely Influences Calcium Handling in Ventricular Myocardium
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Birth Weight Is a Significant Risk Factor for Incident Atrial Fibrillation
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Time Course of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Congenital Heart Defects
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Permanent atrial fibrillation affects exercise capacity in chronic heart failure patients
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Hypomagnesemia and Cardiovascular Risk in Type 2 Diabetes
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Prognostic Importance of Atrial Fibrillation in Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Patients
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Dietary Fish Intake and Incident Atrial Fibrillation (from the Women's Health Initiative)
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Atrial Fibrillation–Mediated Cardiomyopathy
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Atrial Fibrillation and Hypertension: Mechanistic, Epidemiologic, and Treatment Parallels
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Genetics of Atrial Fibrillation
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“AF is noted in 20% of patients with heart failure; regardless of whether it is the cause or the consequence of heart failure, it is associated with an increased morbidity and risk of mortality.(2) Antiarrhythmic drug therapies to treat or prevent AF, especially in patients with heart failure, are limited by toxicity a…”
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“They strongly affect each other’s outcome, with higher hospitalization rates and a two to three times increase in mortality risk when compared with the separate diseases.(3) Numerous studies have been conducted that aimed to elucidate the complex pathophysiological mechanisms between AF and HF, both with reduced (hear…”
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“…deaths likely stemmed from the lowered stroke risk and the decreased likelihood of hospitalization due to worsening of HF or ACS, as numerous studies have shown that hospitalization due to worsening of HF or ACS was significantly associated with increased mortality in patients with AF 36–40 .”
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“(1) At least one in four newly-diagnosed AF patients may suffer from HF, and the development of AF in HF patients represents a significant risk factor for mortality.(2, 3) In the past decade, catheter ablation has become established as a therapy for symptomatic, drug-refractory AF.”
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“Diabetes mellitus 3 (5) 4 (14) 3 (8) 4 (8)”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Wang, T. J., Larson, M. G., Levy, D., Vasan, R. S., Leip, E. P., Wolf, P. A., D’Agostino, R. B., Murabito, J. M., Kannel, W. B., & Benjamin, E. J.
- Affiliations
- Boston University (US)
- ORCID
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2003-06-17
- Volume
- 107
- Issue
- 23
- Pages
- 2920-2925
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- OpenAlex
- W1998083759
- Cited by
- 1,970
- References
- 28
- Citations by year
- 2026: 49 · 2025: 65 · 2024: 114 · 2023: 93 · 2022: 117 · 2021: 137 · 2020: 109 · 2019: 103 · 2018: 120 · 2017: 107 · 2016: 111 · 2015: 115 · 2014: 112 · 2013: 101 · 2012: 84
- FWCI
- 27.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (n01hc25195-41-0-1)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K24-HL-04334-01A1, N01‐HC25195, K24HL004334)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (5-RO1-NS-17950, R01NS017950)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Heart Failure Treatment and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Health and Mental Health
- Keywords
- atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, mortality, comorbidities, prognosis, Framingham Heart Study
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Heart Failure, Humans, Male, Massachusetts, Middle Aged, Prognosis, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Incidence, Multivariate Analysis, Proportional Hazards Models, Survival Analysis, Disease Progression
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