Effect of Long-Term Marine ɷ-3 Fatty Acids Supplementation on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Randomized Controlled Trials of Cardiovascular Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Open accessAbstract
Background: Some, but not all, large-scale randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effects of marine ɷ-3 fatty acids supplementation on cardiovascular outcomes have reported increased risks of atrial fibrillation (AF). The potential reasons for disparate findings may be dose-related. Methods: The MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched for articles and abstracts published between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2020, in addition to a meta-analysis of large cardiovascular RCTs published in 2019. RCTs of cardiovascular outcomes of marine ɷ-3 fatty acids that reported results for AF, either as a prespecified outcome, an adverse event, or a cause for hospitalization, with a minimum sample size of 500 patients and a median follow-up of at least 1 year were included. RCTs specifically examining shorter-term effects of ɷ-3 fatty acids on recurrent AF in patients with established AF or postoperative AF were not included. The hazard ratio (HR) for the reported AF outcomes within each trial was meta-analyzed using random effects model with Knapp-Hartung adjustment and evaluated a dose-response relationship with a meta-regression model. Results: Of 4049 screened records, 7 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Of those, 5 were already detected in a previous meta-analysis of cardiovascular RCTs. Among the 81 210 patients from 7 trials, 58 939 (72.6%) were enrolled in trials testing ≤1 g/d and 22 271 (27.4%) in trials testing >1 g/d of ɷ-3 fatty acids. The mean age was 65 years, and 31 842 (39%) were female. The weighted average follow-up was 4.9 years. In meta-analysis, the use of marine ɷ-3 fatty acid supplements was associated with an increased risk of AF (n=2905; HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.07–1.46]; P =0.013). In analyses stratified by dose, the HR was greater in the trials testing >1 g/d (HR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.04–2.15]; P =0.042) compared with those testing ≤1 g/d (HR, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.03–1.22]; P =0.024; P for interaction <0.001). In meta-regression, the HR for AF increased per 1 g higher dosage of ɷ-3 fatty acids dosage (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.06–1.15]; P =0.001). Conclusions: In RCTs examining cardiovascular outcomes, marine ɷ-3 supplementation was associated with an increased risk of AF. The risk appeared to be greater in trials testing >1 g/d.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In randomized cardiovascular outcome trials, marine omega-3 fatty acid supplementation was associated with increased atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. The risk was greater in trials testing >1 g/day and showed a dose-response relationship.
Key findings
- Among 81,210 patients from 7 trials, 2,905 (3.6%) had an AF outcome; pooled HR for AF with marine omega-3 supplementation was 1.25 (95% CI 1.07–1.46, P=0.013).
- Risk was higher in trials testing >1 g/day (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.04–2.15, P=0.042) than in trials testing ≤1 g/day (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.03–1.22, P=0.024; P for interaction <0.001).
- Meta-regression showed an 11% higher relative risk of AF per 1 g increase in omega-3 dosage (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.06–1.15, P=0.001).
- Sensitivity analyses generally persisted, including after excluding REDUCE-IT (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.02–1.49, P=0.038) and after trim-and-fill imputation (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.10–1.39).
Methods
- Systematic review and meta-analysis registered to PROSPERO; MEDLINE and Embase searched for records published January 1, 2012–December 31, 2020, plus trials from a previous meta-analysis of cardiovascular RCTs.
- Included RCTs of cardiovascular outcomes with marine omega-3 fatty acids, minimum sample size 500, median follow-up at least 1 year, and reported AF as pre-specified outcome, adverse event, or hospitalization; trials of post-operative or recurrent AF in established AF were excluded.
- Primary analysis used random-effects DerSimonian-Laird meta-analysis with Knapp-Hartung adjustment; dose-response was assessed by meta-regression, with sensitivity analyses stratified by dose and other trial features.
Limitations
- The paper states differences in AF outcome assessment across trials, including that some trials did not systematically exclude preexisting AF; HRs were not directly available for REDUCE-IT and ASCEND, requiring use of RR or adverse-event rates; not every large omega-3 trial reported AF outcomes; limited dosage variability at the lower range constrained testing of linearity; and trial participants may not represent everyday practice.
- The paper also states that it pooled aggregate-level trial data, not individual participant data, so subgroup analyses by age or other patient-level characteristics were not possible.
- The text makes evident that no trial directly compared different dosages (e.g., high vs. low vs. placebo) on AF risk, so the dose-related findings are based on between-trial comparisons.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
9 of 17 cited sources checked · 3 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The VITAL Rhythm Study did not find a significant increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation with 1 g/day marine omega-3 fatty acids (460 mg EPA and 380 mg DHA) compared with placebo (HR 1.09, 95%CI 0.96-1.24, P=0.19).
“The study with the largest number of AF events, the VITAL Rhythm Study, did not find a significant increased risk of incident AF with 1gram per day of marine omega-3 fatty acids (460 mg of eicosapentaenoic acid [EPA] and 380 mg of docosahexaenoic acid [DHA]) compared with placebo (HR 1.09, 95%CI 0.96–1.24, P=0.19).8”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Albert CM, Cook NR, Pester J, Moorthy MV, Ridge C, Danik JS, Gencer B, Siddiqi HK, Ng C, Gibson H, Mora S, Buring JE and Manson JE. Effect of Marine Omega-3 Fatty Acid and Vitamin D Supplementation on Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2021; 325: 1061– 1073. 33724323 PMC7967086 source
The Trial Design and Oversight section describes 840 mg/day of marine omega-3 fatty acids—460 mg EPA and 380 mg DHA—not 1 g/day of those fatty acids. The Omega-3 Fatty Acid Supplementation results report the claimed nonsignificant comparison with placebo (HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.96–1.24; P = .19). The Results section reports 900 confirmed AF events, consistent with the study's characterization as having the largest number of events among the trials discussed. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Some, but not all, large-scale randomized controlled trials of marine omega-3 fatty acid supplementation for cardiovascular outcomes have reported increased risks of atrial fibrillation.
“Some, but not all, large-scale randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effects of marine omega-3 fatty acids supplementation on cardiovascular outcomes have reported increased risks of atrial fibrillation (AF).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [2] Bhatt DL, Steg PG, Miller M, Brinton EA, Jacobson TA, Ketchum SB, Doyle RT Jr., Juliano RA, Jiao L, Granowitz C, Tardif JC, Ballantyne CMand Investigators R-I. Cardiovascular Risk Reduction with Icosapent Ethyl for Hypertriglyceridemia. N Engl J Med. 2019; 380: 11– 22. 30415628 source
- cites [6] Nicholls SJ, Lincoff AM, Garcia M, Bash D, Ballantyne CM, Barter PJ, Davidson MH, Kastelein JJP, Koenig W, McGuire DK, Mozaffarian D, Ridker PM, Ray KK, Katona BG, Himmelmann A, Loss LE, Rensfeldt M, Lundström T, Agrawal R, Menon V, Wolski K and Nissen SE. Effect of High-Dose Omega-3 Fatty Acids vs Corn Oil on Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients at High Cardiovascular Risk: The STRENGTH Randomized Clinical Trial. Jama. 2020; 324: 2268– 2280. 33190147 PMC7667577 source
The Clinical End Points section (p. 6) reports more new-onset atrial fibrillation with omega-3 fatty acids than with corn oil in STRENGTH. The adverse-events discussion (p. 12) says REDUCE-IT reported a similar finding. These passages support “some,” but our copy does not establish that other large cardiovascular-outcomes trials did not report an increased risk. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [7] Kalstad AA, Myhre PL, Laake K, Tveit SH, Schmidt EB, Smith P, Nilsen DWT, Tveit A, Fagerland MW, Solheim S, Seljeflot I, Arnesen H and investigators O. Effects of n-3 Fatty Acid Supplements in Elderly Patients after Myocardial Infarction: A Randomized Controlled Trial. Circulation. 2021 Feb 9; 143(6): 528– 539. 33191772 source
The Discussion reports increased atrial fibrillation in REDUCE-IT and a numerical increase in OMEMI that was not statistically significant. It does not identify trials that reported no increase in atrial fibrillation, so the “but not all” part is not fully supported by this paper. (LLM, conf=0.80)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
In STRENGTH, 4 g of marine omega-3 fatty acids was associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation events (2.2% vs 1.3%, HR 1.69, 95%CI 1.29-2.21, P<0.001).
“In the STRENGTH trial, 4 gr of marine omega-3 fatty acids was associated with an increased risk of AF events (2.2% vs 1.3%, HR 1.69, 95%CI 1.29–2.21<P<0.001).6”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Nicholls SJ, Lincoff AM, Garcia M, Bash D, Ballantyne CM, Barter PJ, Davidson MH, Kastelein JJP, Koenig W, McGuire DK, Mozaffarian D, Ridker PM, Ray KK, Katona BG, Himmelmann A, Loss LE, Rensfeldt M, Lundström T, Agrawal R, Menon V, Wolski K and Nissen SE. Effect of High-Dose Omega-3 Fatty Acids vs Corn Oil on Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients at High Cardiovascular Risk: The STRENGTH Randomized Clinical Trial. Jama. 2020; 324: 2268– 2280. 33190147 PMC7667577 source
- Premisecitation
In OMEMI, the absolute risk difference for developing atrial fibrillation (>3%) was highest among those 75 years or older.
“In the OMEMI trial, the absolute risk difference for developing AF (>3%) was the highest among those 75 years or older.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Kalstad AA, Myhre PL, Laake K, Tveit SH, Schmidt EB, Smith P, Nilsen DWT, Tveit A, Fagerland MW, Solheim S, Seljeflot I, Arnesen H and investigators O. Effects of n-3 Fatty Acid Supplements in Elderly Patients after Myocardial Infarction: A Randomized Controlled Trial. Circulation. 2021 Feb 9; 143(6): 528– 539. 33191772 source
The Discussion reports new-onset AF in 7.2% of the n-3 PUFA group and 4.0% of the placebo group, an overall absolute difference of 3.2 percentage points. Our copy does not establish that the difference was greatest among patients aged 75 or older; the Outcomes section says subgroup analysis was not performed for AF. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
The effect of marine omega-3 fatty acid supplements on atrial fibrillation after excluding REDUCE-IT remained significant (HR 1.23, 95%CI 1.02-1.49, P=0.038).
“The effect of marine omega-3 fatty acid supplements on the risk of AF events after excluding REDUCE-IT (the only trial without DHA) remained significant (HR 1.23, 95%CI 1.02–1.49, P=0.038, Figure VII in the Supplement).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingnone given
No trial has directly compared different dosages (high vs low vs placebo) of marine omega-3 supplements on the risk of atrial fibrillation events.
“however, no trial has directly compared different dosages (e.g. high vs. low vs. placebo) of marine omega-3 supplements on the risk of AF events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled hazard ratio for the association between marine omega-3 fatty acids and atrial fibrillation was 1.25 (95%CI 1.07-1.46, P=0.013).
“The pooled hazard ratio for the association between marine omega-3 fatty acids and AF was 1.25 (95%CI 1.07–1.46, P=0.013, Figure 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Not every large cardiovascular clinical trial testing omega-3 fatty acid supplementation reported atrial fibrillation outcomes (e.g., JELIS and ORIGIN).
“Third, not every large cardiovascular clinical trial testing omega-3 fatty acid supplementation reported AF outcomes (e.g. JELIS and ORIGIN).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Heterogeneity across the included studies was moderate (I2=54.57%).
“The heterogeneity across the studies was moderate (I2= 54.57%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
A fixed effects model for low-dose trials yielded a marginally significant increased risk of atrial fibrillation (HR 1.075, 95%CI 1.003-1.153, P=0.042).
“Since the heterogeneity was absent in the subgroup of trials with low-dose marine omega-3 fatty acids, the application of the fixed effects model yielded a marginally significant increased risk of AF (HR 1.075, 95%CI 1.003–1.153, P=0.042).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A sensitivity analysis including a constant term gave similar results (HR 1.09, 95%CI 1.01-1.18, P=0.030 per 1 g increase of omega-3 fatty acid dosage).
“The sensitivity analysis including the constant term gave similar results (HR 1.09, 95%CI 1.01–1.18, P=0.030 per 1 gr increase of omega-3 fatty acids dosage).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: In the meta-regression, as the omega-3 fatty acid dose goes to zero, the lipid effect goes to zero and the treatment effect goes to one (neutral effect), assuming linearity.
- Findingown data
No significant interaction was observed between studies that prespecified atrial fibrillation outcomes (HR 1.42, 95%CI 0.70-2.90) and studies that did not prespecify them (HR 1.19, 95%CI 1.02-1.38), P=0.36.
“No significant interaction (P=0.36, Figure V in the Supplement) was observed between studies that prespecified AF outcomes (HR 1.42, 95%CI 0.70–2.90) vs. studies that did not prespecify AF outcomes (HR 1.19, 95%CI 1.02–1.38).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A funnel plot suggested a slight publication bias possibly related to omega-3 dosage, because studies with higher dosage were more likely to be on the right side (greater treatment effect).
“A funnel plot suggested the presence of a slight publication bias possibly related to the dosage of omega-3 (Figure VIII in the Supplement), because studies with higher dosage were more likely to be on the right side (greater treatment effect).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In sensitivity analysis using post-hoc ASCEND data, the pooled association between marine omega-3 fatty acids and atrial fibrillation persisted (HR 1.20, 95%CI 1.01-1.43, P=0.039).
“In sensitivity analysis using data from the post-hoc publication of the ASCEND trial, the risk of AF persisted in the pooled association between marine omega-3 fatty acids and AF events (HR 1.20, 95%CI 1.01–1.43, P=0.039 Figure II in the Supplement).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In meta-regression, the hazard ratio for atrial fibrillation increased per 1 g increase of omega-3 fatty acid dosage (HR 1.11, 95%CI 1.06-1.15, P=0.001) over a dosage range of 1 to 4 g/day.
“In the meta-regression model examining the linear association between omega-3 fatty acid dosage and risk of AF events, the HR was 1.11 (95%CI 1.06–1.15, P=0.001, Figure 3) per 1 gr increase of omega-3 fatty acids (residual heterogeneity I2=0.00%, P=0.54) over a range of dosage from 1 gr per day to 4 gr per day.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: In the meta-regression, as the omega-3 fatty acid dose goes to zero, the lipid effect goes to zero and the treatment effect goes to one (neutral effect), assuming linearity.
- Findingown data
Heterogeneity within groups decreased substantially in analysis stratified by dose (I2<0.01% for low-dose and I2=9.90% for high-dose).
“The heterogeneity within the groups decreased substantially in analysis stratified by dose (I2<0.01% for low-dose and I2=9.90% for high-dose marine omega-3 fatty acids).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
All included trials met the criteria for low risk of bias according to the Cochrane tool.
“All the trials met the criteria for low risk of bias according to the Cochrane tool for assessing risk of bias in randomized clinical trial (Table I in the Supplement).”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
“Of note, the quality of the trials included in this meta-analysis was high with a low risk of bias.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
- Premisecitation
REDUCE-IT reported an increase in the pre-specified tertiary outcome of atrial fibrillation hospitalization in the active treatment group compared with placebo (3.1% vs 2.1%, p=0.004).
“However, REDUCE-IT also reported an increase in a pre-specified tertiary outcome of AF hospitalization in those randomized to active treatment as compared with placebo (3.1% vs. 2.1%, p= 0.004).2”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] Bhatt DL, Steg PG, Miller M, Brinton EA, Jacobson TA, Ketchum SB, Doyle RT Jr., Juliano RA, Jiao L, Granowitz C, Tardif JC, Ballantyne CMand Investigators R-I. Cardiovascular Risk Reduction with Icosapent Ethyl for Hypertriglyceridemia. N Engl J Med. 2019; 380: 11– 22. 30415628 source
- Premisecitation
REDUCE-IT reported a decrease of 25% in major cardiovascular events with 4 g of icosapent ethyl over a median follow-up of 4.9 years.
“The Reduction of Cardiovascular Events with Icosapent Ethyl-Intervention Trial (REDUCE-IT) reported a decrease of 25% in major cardiovascular events with the use of 4 g of icosapent ethyl over a median follow-up of 4.9 years.2”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] Bhatt DL, Steg PG, Miller M, Brinton EA, Jacobson TA, Ketchum SB, Doyle RT Jr., Juliano RA, Jiao L, Granowitz C, Tardif JC, Ballantyne CMand Investigators R-I. Cardiovascular Risk Reduction with Icosapent Ethyl for Hypertriglyceridemia. N Engl J Med. 2019; 380: 11– 22. 30415628 source
- Study design and conductreasoning
Differences exist in atrial fibrillation outcome assessment between the included trials.
“First, differences exist in the AF outcome assessment between trials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Because this meta-analysis pooled aggregate-level trial data rather than individual participant data, it was unable to undertake subgroup analysis by age or other patient-level characteristics.
“Since this meta-analysis pooled aggregate-level trial data, and not individual participant data, this report is unable to undertake subgroup analysis by age or other patient level characteristics.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The lack of variability in dosage among trials, particularly at the lower dose range, limited the ability to definitively test the linearity of the relationship with meta-regression.
“Fourth, the lack of variability in dosage among trials, particularly at the lower dose range, limited the ability to definitive test the linearity of the relationship with meta regression.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The failure of some large trials to report atrial fibrillation outcomes should not bias the current conclusions because trials that hypothesized superiority of omega-3 fatty acids on atherosclerotic cardiovascular outcomes are unlikely to have intentionally underreported a neutral safety outcome for atrial fibrillation events.
“This limitation should not bias the current conclusions, because trials that hypothesized the superiority of omega-3 fatty acid supplements on atherosclerotic CV outcomes are unlikely to have intentionally underreported a neutral safety outcomes for AF events.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Despite different formulations across trials, the results were consistent when REDUCE-IT, which tested only EPA, was excluded.
“Although the formulations across trials were different (Icosapent Ethyl, carboxylic acid formulations, regular EPA/DHA combinations), these results were consistent when REDUCE-IT trial, which tested only EPA, was excluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 10
- May combine two claims. 19
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationEgger's test was not performed because testing for publication bias is not advised for fewer than 10 studies.
“Because the test for a publication is not advised for fewer than 10 studies, Egger’s test was not performed.20”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [20] Sterne JA, Sutton AJ, Ioannidis JP, Terrin N, Jones DR, Lau J, Carpenter J, Rucker G, Harbord RM, Schmid CH, Tetzlaff J, Deeks JJ, Peters J, Macaskill P, Schwarzer G, Duval S, Altman DG, Moher D and Higgins JP. Recommendations for examining and interpreting funnel plot asymmetry in meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials. BMJ. 2011; 343:d4002. 21784880 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn VITAL, the largest atrial fibrillation primary prevention randomized trial testing 1 g of omega-3 fatty acids, findings were neutral (HR 1.09, 95%CI 0.96-1.24, P=0.19) and did not support supplemental use for primary prevention of atrial fibrillation.
“In the VITAL trial, the largest AF primary prevention randomized trial that tested 1 gr of omega-fatty acids, the findings were neutral (HR 1.09, 95%CI 0.96–1.24, P=0.19) and did not support the use of supplemental for the primary prevention of AF.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Albert CM, Cook NR, Pester J, Moorthy MV, Ridge C, Danik JS, Gencer B, Siddiqi HK, Ng C, Gibson H, Mora S, Buring JE and Manson JE. Effect of Marine Omega-3 Fatty Acid and Vitamin D Supplementation on Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2021; 325: 1061– 1073. 33724323 PMC7967086 source
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMarine omega-3 fatty acid supplements may have a beneficial effect on the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular events.
“Marine omega-3 fatty acids supplements may have a beneficial effect on the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular events 1–4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [1] Hu Y, Hu FB and Manson JE. Marine Omega-3 Supplementation and Cardiovascular Disease: An Updated Meta-Analysis of 13 Randomized Controlled Trials Involving 127 477 Participants. J Am Heart Assoc. 2019; 8:e013543. PMC6806028 31567003 source
- cites [2] Bhatt DL, Steg PG, Miller M, Brinton EA, Jacobson TA, Ketchum SB, Doyle RT Jr., Juliano RA, Jiao L, Granowitz C, Tardif JC, Ballantyne CMand Investigators R-I. Cardiovascular Risk Reduction with Icosapent Ethyl for Hypertriglyceridemia. N Engl J Med. 2019; 380: 11– 22. 30415628 source
- cites [3] Dietary supplementation with n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and vitamin E after myocardial infarction: results of the GISSI-Prevenzione trial. Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Sopravvivenza nell’Infarto miocardico. Lancet. 1999; 354: 447– 55. 10465168
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn OMEMI, older patients with recent myocardial infarction (≥75 years) randomized to 1.8 g supplements had a higher risk of atrial fibrillation events compared with placebo, but the result did not reach statistical significance (7.2% vs 4.0%, HR 1.94, 95%CI 0.98-3.45, P=0.06).
“In the OMEMI trial, older patients with recent myocardial infarction (≥ 75 years) who were randomized to 1.8 gr supplements also had a higher risk of AF events detected clinically or by electrocardiographic monitoring when compared with placebo, although the result did not reach statistical significance (7.2% vs. 4.0%, HR 1.94, 95%CI 0.98–3.45, P=0.06).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [7] Kalstad AA, Myhre PL, Laake K, Tveit SH, Schmidt EB, Smith P, Nilsen DWT, Tveit A, Fagerland MW, Solheim S, Seljeflot I, Arnesen H and investigators O. Effects of n-3 Fatty Acid Supplements in Elderly Patients after Myocardial Infarction: A Randomized Controlled Trial. Circulation. 2021 Feb 9; 143(6): 528– 539. 33191772 source
The Abstract and Outcomes section support the higher, statistically nonsignificant rate of new-onset AF with 1.8 g n-3 PUFA (7.2% vs 4.0%; P=0.06). But they report an HR of 1.84, not 1.94, and the Patients section says participants were aged 70–82, not exclusively ≥75. Page numbers were unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmong 81,210 patients from seven trials, 58,939 (72.6%) were enrolled in trials testing ≤1 g/day and 22,271 (27.4%) in trials testing >1 g/day of omega-3 fatty acids.
“Among the 81,210 patients from seven trials, 58,939 (72.6%) were enrolled in trials testing low dose marine omega 3-fatty acids (≤1 gr per day) and 22,271 (27.4%) in trials testing high dose of marine omega 3-fatty acids (>1 gr per day).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAfter screening 4,059 records, seven articles were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis.
“After screening 4,059 records (Figure I in the Supplement for the PRISMA flowchart), data from seven articles were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSensitivity analysis excluding the RP trial yielded similar results (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.04-1.52, P=0.028), with no significant interaction (P=0.85).
“Additional sensitivity analysis excluding the RP trial, which only reported AF hospitalizations, yielded similar results (HR 1.26, 95%CI 1.04–1.52, P=0.028) with no significant interaction (P=0.85).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataIn meta-regression using post-hoc ASCEND data, the hazard ratio was 1.10 (95%CI 1.05-1.14, P=0.002) per 1 g increase of omega-3 fatty acid dosage.
“In the meta-regression model for the association of omega-3 fatty acid dosage with the risk of AF events, the HR was 1.10 (95%CI 1.05–1.14, P=0.002, Figure IV in the Supplement) per 1 gr increase of omega-3 fatty acids dosage (residual heterogeneity I2=0.00%, P=0.46).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: In the meta-regression, as the omega-3 fatty acid dose goes to zero, the lipid effect goes to zero and the treatment effect goes to one (neutral effect), assuming linearity.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe pooled hazard ratio for atrial fibrillation versus placebo was higher in high-dose trials (HR 1.49, 95%CI 1.04-2.15, P=0.042) than in low-dose trials (HR 1.12, 95%CI 1.03-1.22, P=0.024), with P for interaction <0.001.
“The pooled hazard ratio for AF events compared with placebo was higher in trials testing high-dose (HR 1.49, 95% 1.04–2.15, P=0.042) than in those testing low-dose of marine omega 3 fatty acids (HR 1.12, 95%CI 1.03–1.22, P=0.024, Figure 2; P for interaction <0.001) with Knapp-Hartung adjustment.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe trim and fill method imputed one study on the left side of the funnel plot, and the effect size after imputation (HR 1.23, 95%CI 1.10-1.39) was similar to the observed effect size (HR 1.25, 95%CI 1.11-1.40) using the DerSimonian-Laird approach.
“The ‘trim and fill’ method imputed one study on the left side of the funnel plot (Figure IX in the Supplement ) and the effect size after imputation (HR 1.23, 95%CI 1.10–1.39) was similar to the observed effect size (HR 1.25, 95%CI 1.11–1.40) using the DerSimonian-Laird approach.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSensitivity analysis with studies that excluded baseline atrial fibrillation or qualified events as new-onset yielded similar results (HR 1.26, 95%CI 0.85-1.87) compared with studies that did not exclude baseline atrial fibrillation (HR 1.28, 95%CI 1.11-1.48), with no significant interaction (P=0.92).
“Sensitivity analysis with studies that excluded baseline AF or qualified AF events as new-onset yielded similar results (HR 1.26, 95%CI 0.85–1.87) compared with studies that did not exclude baseline AF (HR 1.28, 95%CI 1.11–1.48) with no significant interaction (Figure VI in the Supplement, P=0.92).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOf 81,210 participants, 2,905 (3.6%) had an atrial fibrillation outcome; 2,258 (77.8%) occurred in low-dose trials and 647 (22.2%) in high-dose trials.
“Of the 81,210 participants included in this analysis, 2,905 (3.6%) patients had an AF outcome during the trial period, of which 2,258/2,905 (77.8%) occurred in trials testing low-dose of omega-3 fatty acids supplements and 647/2,905 (22.2%) occurred in trials testing high-dose of omega-3 fatty acids.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn sensitivity analysis using post-hoc ASCEND data, high-dose trials remained statistically significant (HR 1.49, 95%CI 1.04-2.15, P=0.042), but low-dose trials did not (HR 1.08, 95%CI 0.99-1.17, P=0.077).
“The estimates remained statistically significant with Knapp-Hartung adjustment among trials testing high dose of omega-3 fatty acids (>1 gr per day) with an HR of 1.49 (95%CI 1.04–2.15, P=0.042), but not in trials testing low-dose (≤1 gr per day) with an HR of 1.08 (95%CI 0.99–1.17, P=0.077, Figure III in the Supplement).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe funding sources had no role in the design, conduct, collection, management, analysis, interpretation, preparation, review, approval, or decision to submit the manuscript.
“The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or decision to submit the manuscript for publication.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThis meta-analysis was registered to PROSPERO (CRD42021234291).
“This meta-analysis was registered to PROSPERO (CRD42021234291).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe PRISMA guidelines were followed for this systematic review and meta-analysis.
“The PRISMA guidelines was followed for this systematic review and meta-analysis.9”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG and Group P. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement. Ann Intern Med. 2009; 151: 264– 9, W64. 19622511 source
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAtrial fibrillation outcomes were pre-specified in the methods of the VITAL, OMEMI, and STRENGTH trials, but not in the remaining included trials.
“The AF outcomes were pre-specified in the methods of the VITAL, OMEMI and STRENGTH trials. For the remaining trials, the assessment of AF events was not pre-specified in the methods of the original article.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationPublication bias was assessed with a funnel plot and the trim and fill method.
“Publication bias was assessed with a funnel plot,18 as well as the trim and fill method.19”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [18] Egger M, Davey Smith G, Schneider M and Minder C. Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test. BMJ. 1997; 315: 629– 34. 9310563 PMC2127453 source
- cites [19] Duval S and Tweedie R. Trim and fill: A simple funnel-plot-based method of testing and adjusting for publication bias in meta-analysis. Biometrics. 2000; 56: 455– 63. 10877304 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenRisk of bias was assessed according to the Cochrane tool for assessing risk of bias in randomized clinical trials.
“The risk of bias was assessed according to the Cochrane tool for assessing risk of bias in randomized clinical trials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenIn ASCEND (main paper), REDUCE-IT, and RP, participants with preexisting atrial fibrillation were not systematically excluded from analysis, while in other trials the analysis reported new-onset atrial fibrillation events and/or excluded participants with preexisting atrial fibrillation.
“In the ASCEND (main paper), REDUCE-IT and RP trials, participants with preexisting AF were not systematically excluded from the analysis, while in other trials, the analysis reported new-onset AF events and/or excluded participants with preexisting AF.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenHazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were provided in each trial except REDUCE-IT, where the risk ratio was calculated based on the number of patients with atrial fibrillation in each treatment arm.
“Second, the HR with 95%CI were provided in each trial, except REDUCE-IT where the RR was calculated based on the number of patients with AF in each of the treatment arms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataExtracted atrial fibrillation outcomes were centrally adjudicated in VITAL and OMEMI, but not in REDUCE-IT, ASCEND, STRENGTH, GISSI-HF, and RP.
“The extracted AF outcomes were centrally adjudicated by a panel of clinicians in the VITAL and OMEMI trials, whereas in the REDUCE-IT, ASCEND, STENGTH, GISSI-HF and RP trials, the AF outcomes were not.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenParticipants included in clinical trials might not be representative of those seen in everyday practice.
“Fifth, participants who are included in clinical trials might not be representative of those seen in everyday practice.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataIn this meta-analysis incorporating data from seven large-scale randomized controlled trials, omega-3 fatty acid supplementation was associated with a risk of atrial fibrillation, especially in trials testing higher doses of omega-3 fatty acids.
“In conclusion, in this meta-analysis incorporating data from 7 large scale RCTs, omega-3 fatty acid supplementation was associated with a risk of AF, especially in trials testing higher dose of omega-3 fatty acids.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThese data do not exclude the possibility that specific omega-3 formulations used across trials may have differing impacts on atrial fibrillation risk.
“However, these data do not exclude the possibility that specific omega-3 formulations used across trials may have differing impacts on AF risk.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThis meta-analysis of large cardiovascular trials with different doses and formulations, with over 2,900 atrial fibrillation events, provided adequate power to assess small-to-moderate risk of atrial fibrillation and to examine the dose-effect relationship at the study level.
“This meta-analysis of large cardiovascular trials with different doses and formulations of omega-3 fatty acid supplementations (Icosapent Ethyl, carboxylic acid formulations, regular EPA/DHA combinations) with over 2900 AF events provided adequate power to assess small-to-moderate risk of AF and an examination of dose effect relationship at the study-level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBecause the incidence rate of atrial fibrillation was quite uncommon, the use of risk ratio is an appropriate proxy of hazard ratio and this limitation should not affect the results.
“Since the incidence rate of AF was quite uncommon, the use of RR is an appropriate proxy of HR and this limitation should not affect the results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
In the meta-regression, as the omega-3 fatty acid dose goes to zero, the lipid effect goes to zero and the treatment effect goes to one (neutral effect), assuming linearity.
“where the intercept was set at zero to reflect the clinical assumption that as the dose goes to zero, the lipid effect goes to zero and the treatment effect goes to one (neutral effect) assuming linearity.21”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Prior meta-analyses of omega-3 and AF included at most eight trials.
“However, these meta-analyses included at most eight trials.”
From Effects of Omega-3 Fatty Acid Treatment on Risk for Atrial Fibrillation: An Updated Meta-Analysis of 35 Trials including 114 592 Individuals (2026) · cites this paper as [1]
The Results section says five trials in this paper had already appeared in a previous meta-analysis. That supports the trial-count claim for one prior meta-analysis, but our copy does not establish that all the prior meta-analyses referred to in the citing sentence included at most eight trials. No page number is available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredGencer et al. reviewed seven RCTs focused on cardiovascular outcomes and found that risk for AF was increased by 25% with omega-3 treatment.
“Gencer et al. reviewed seven RCTs focused on cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and found that risk for AF was increased by 25% with omega-3 treatment1.”
From Effects of Omega-3 Fatty Acid Treatment on Risk for Atrial Fibrillation: An Updated Meta-Analysis of 35 Trials including 114 592 Individuals (2026) · cites this paper as [1]
Recent meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials have raised concerns that omega-3 fatty acid supplementation may increase the risk of incident atrial fibrillation, potentially in a dose-dependent manner.
“Recent meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have raised concerns that omega-3 fatty acid (FA) supplementation may increase the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF), potentially in a dose-dependent manner.”
From Effects of Omega-3 Fatty Acid Treatment on Risk for Atrial Fibrillation: An Updated Meta-Analysis of 35 Trials including 114 592 Individuals (2026) · cites this paper as [1]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Conflicting numbers of screened records
MinorThe abstract reports 4,049 screened records, while the Results section reports 4,059.
“Of 4049 screened records, seven studies were included in the meta-analysis.”
“After screening 4,059 records (Figure I in the Supplement for the PRISMA flowchart), data from seven articles were included in the systematic review and meta-analysis.”
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Omega-3 Fatty Acids and Markers of Thrombosis in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation
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Fish-derived functional foods and cardiovascular health
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Agreement Between Mega-Trials and Smaller Trials
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Associations Between Plasma Omega-3, Fish Oil Use and Risk of AF in the UK BiobankPreprint
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- Authors
- Gencer, B., Djousse, L., Al-Ramady, O. T., Cook, N. R., Manson, J. E., & Albert, C. M.
- Affiliations
- Cardiology Division, Geneva University Hospitals, Switzerland (B.G.).
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA (L.D., O.T.A., N.R.C., J.E.M.).
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Albert, Christine M.
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2021-12-21
- Volume
- 144
- Issue
- 25
- Pages
- 1981-1990
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- PMC
- PMC9109217
- OpenAlex
- W3203031064
- Cited by
- 150
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 26 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 34 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 4.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- public-domain
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion, public-domain)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion)
- BORIS (University Library Bern) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- IRIS (submittedVersion)
- Open Access CRIS of the University of Bern
- Funders
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01 HL116690)
- National Cancer Institute (U01CA138962, R01CA138962)
- National Center for Complementary and Integrative Health (R01AT011729)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Nursing › Nutrition and Dietetics › Fatty Acid Research and Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiac Health and Mental Health
- Keywords
- marine omega-3 fatty acids, omega-3 supplementation, atrial fibrillation, atrial fibrillation risk, dose-response relationship, cardiovascular outcomes, randomized controlled trials, cardiovascular disease prevention, omega-3 deficiency
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Animals, Atrial Fibrillation, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Fishes, Humans, Male, Risk Factors, Fatty Acids, Omega-3, Treatment Outcome, Dietary Supplements
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