Mortality and Morbidity in the 21st Century
Open accessAbstract
from one birth cohort to the next, in the labor market, in marriage and child outcomes, and in health, is triggered by progressively worsening labor market opportunities at the time of entry for whites with low levels of education. This account, which fits much of the data, has the profoundly negative implication that policies, even ones that successfully improve earnings and jobs, or redistribute income, will take many years to reverse the mortality and morbidity increase, and that those in midlife now are likely to do much worse in old age than those currently older than 65. This is in contrast to an account in which resources affect health contemporaneously, so that those in midlife now can expect to do better in old age as they receive Social Security and Medicare. None of this implies that there are no policy levers to be pulled; preventing the over-prescription of opioids is an obvious target that would clearly be helpful.
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The few studies that have examined birth cohort patterns have identified worsening mortality for cohorts born after 1945.
“The few studies that have examined birth cohort patterns have identified worsening mortality for cohorts born after 1945.”
From Insights into US life expectancy stagnation from birth cohort mortality dynamics (2026) · cites this paper as [9]
Section I.A (page unavailable) reports worsening mortality across successive cohorts born after 1945, but its analysis concerns drug overdoses, suicide, and alcohol-related liver deaths, chiefly among white non-Hispanics without a BA. The passage does not establish that few studies have examined birth-cohort patterns or that mortality generally worsened across all causes and populations. (LLM, conf=0.85)
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BackgroundWide educational disparities in young adult cardiovascular health
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- Authors
- Case, A., & Deaton, A.
- Affiliations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- University of Southern California (US)
- Venue
- Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
- Publisher
- Project MUSE
- Published
- 2017
- Volume
- 2017
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 397-476
- ISSN
- 0007-2303 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-4465
- PMC
- PMC5640267
- OpenAlex
- W2763922368
- Semantic Scholar
- a3d4f5c599f059fbcb336318e0f185ff43a892d2
- Cited by
- 1,448
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 65 · 2025: 155 · 2024: 89 · 2023: 125 · 2022: 157 · 2021: 222 · 2020: 243 · 2019: 188 · 2018: 157 · 2017: 38 · 2016: 2 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 1
- FWCI
- 190.39
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Project Muse (Johns Hopkins University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute on Aging (R01AG053396, P30AG024928)
- Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (P2CHD047879)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Health › Health disparities and outcomes
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
- Social Sciences › Demography › Retirement, Disability, and Employment
- Keywords
- mortality, morbidity, low educational attainment, labour market entry, cohort effects, income redistribution, social security, Medicare, opioid overprescribing, health policy
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