A Generalized Approach to Model the Spectra and Radiation Dose Rate of Solar Particle Events on the Surface of Mars
Open accessAbstract
For future human missions to Mars, it is important to study the surface radiation environment during extreme and elevated conditions. In the long term, it is mainly galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) modulated by solar activity that contribute to the radiation on the surface of Mars, but intense solar energetic particle (SEP) events may induce acute health effects. Such events may enhance the radiation level significantly and should be detected as immediately as possible to prevent severe damage to humans and equipment. However, the energetic particle environment on the Martian surface is significantly different from that in deep space due to the influence of the Martian atmosphere. Depending on the intensity and shape of the original solar particle spectra, as well as particle types, the surface spectra may induce entirely different radiation effects. In order to give immediate and accurate alerts while avoiding unnecessary ones, it is important to model and well understand the atmospheric effect on the incoming SEPs, including both protons and helium ions. In this paper, we have developed a generalized approach to quickly model the surface response of any given incoming proton/helium ion spectra and have applied it to a set of historical large solar events, thus providing insights into the possible variety of surface radiation environments that may be induced during SEP events. Based on the statistical study of more than 30 significant solar events, we have obtained an empirical model for estimating the surface dose rate directly from the intensities of a power-law SEP spectra.
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Protons with incident energies less than 165 MeV (± 25 MeV, depending on seasonal surface pressure) do not reach the surface of Mars.
“protons with incident energies less than 165 MeV (± 25 MeV, depending on the seasonal surface pressure, Guo et al. 2018c) do not reach the surface of Mars.”
From Radiation environment for future human exploration on the surface of Mars: the current understanding based on MSL/RAD dose measurements (2021) · cites this paper as Guo et al. 2018c
The Introduction states that primary protons below about 150 MeV lack the range to reach the Martian surface. Section 6 gives a cutoff of roughly 140–160 MeV depending on elevation, but does not support the claimed 165 ± 25 MeV range or attribute that variation to seasonal surface pressure. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn the worst case, integrated dose equivalent resulting from a 2 h exposure to SEPs reaches approximately 8 mSv (comparable to a chest CT scan).
“In the worst case, integrated dose equivalent resulting from a 2 h exposure to the SEPs reaches approximately 8 mSv (comparable to a chest CT scan).”
From Radiation environment for future human exploration on the surface of Mars: the current understanding based on MSL/RAD dose measurements (2021) · cites this paper as Guo et al. (2018c)
The Discussion and Conclusion (page unavailable) evaluates Martian-surface SEP dose equivalents over 2 hours and compares the Sep89 exposure to a CT scan. It says the comparison is to a head CT, not a chest CT, and does not give approximately 8 mSv as the worst-case dose. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredCalculations of particle transport through the Martian atmosphere show that some historical SEP events with higher intensities could pose even higher radiation levels for astronauts on the Martian surface.
“Calculations of particle transport through the Martian atmosphere show that some historical SEP events with higher intensities could pose even higher radiation levels for astronauts on the Martian surface (Norman et al. 2014;Townsend et al. 2006;Guo et al. 2018cGuo et al. , 2019b)).”
From Radiation environment for future human exploration on the surface of Mars: the current understanding based on MSL/RAD dose measurements (2021) · cites this paper as Guo et al. 2018c
The atmospheric cutoff energy for particles reaching RAD is lower, about 160 MeV.
“The atmospheric cutoff energy for particles reaching RAD is lower, about 160 MeV (Guo et al. 2018c).”
From Radiation environment for future human exploration on the surface of Mars: the current understanding based on MSL/RAD dose measurements (2021) · cites this paper as Guo et al. 2018c
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“…and their space weather effect at Mars in synergy with in situ plasma and magnetic field measurements or even when such measurements are missing (Witasse et al. 2017; Winslow et al. 2018; Guo et al. 2018a; Wang et al. 2018; Dumbović et al. 2019; Freiherr von Forstner et al. 2018, 2019, 2020).”
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Self-citationHellweg, C. E., Arena, C., Baatout, S., Baselet, B., Beblo‐Vranesevic, K., Caplin, N., Coos, R., Pieve, F. D., Micco, V. D., Foray, N., et al. (2023) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-18810-7_10 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
An easy-to-use function to assess deep space radiation in human brains
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Self-citationGonçalves, P., Arruda, L., & Pinto, M. (2022) · Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences · doi:10.3389/fspas.2022.833144 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
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Catalogs of Solar Proton Events as a Tool for Studying Space Weather
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Research Progress of Interplanetary Physics in Mainland China
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Formation and Spectral Characteristics of Color Centers in NaCl Induced by Space Radiation
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The ionizing radiation environment and shielding in pit craters and cave skylights on Mars
Millán, A. V., & Viúdez‐Moreiras, D. (2026) · Life Sciences in Space Research · doi:10.1016/j.lssr.2026.02.002
Nakamura, Y. (2023) · theses.fr (ABES) · doi:10.70675/e48b8df6z5dd4z4c7bz94aaz5dc5b95886ea
- Authors
- Guo, J., Zeitlin, C., Wimmer-Schweingruber, R. F., McDole, T., Kühl, P., Appel, J. C., Matthiä, D., Krauss, J., & Köhler, J.
- Affiliations
- Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel (DE)
- Leidos (United States) (US)
- Corresponding author
- Guo, Jingnan
- Venue
- The Astronomical Journal
- Publisher
- American Astronomical Society
- Published
- 2018-01-01
- Volume
- 155
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 49
- ISSN
- 0004-6256 (ISSN-L)
- 1538-3881
- OpenAlex
- W2617773808
- Cited by
- 40
- References
- 48
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 6 · 2021: 5 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 8 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 1
- FWCI
- 3.08
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Astronomical Journal (publishedVersion)
- elib (German Aerospace Center) (acceptedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
- Physical Sciences › Physics and Astronomy › Astronomy and Astrophysics › Planetary Science and Exploration
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine › Radiation Therapy and Dosimetry
- Keywords
- solar energetic particle events, radiation dose rate, power-law spectrum, galactic cosmic rays
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