Inflammation-related biomarkers in major psychiatric disorders: a cross-disorder assessment of reproducibility and specificity in 43 meta-analyses
Open accessAbstract
Inflammation is a natural defence response of the immune system against environmental insult, stress and injury, but hyper- and hypo-inflammatory responses can trigger diseases. Accumulating evidence suggests that inflammation is involved in multiple psychiatric disorders. Using inflammation-related factors as biomarkers of psychiatric disorders requires the proof of reproducibility and specificity of the changes in different disorders, which remains to be established. We performed a cross-disorder study by systematically evaluating the meta-analysis results of inflammation-related factors in eight major psychiatric disorders, including schizophrenia (SCZ), bipolar disorder (BD), autism spectrum disorder (ASD), major depression disorder (MDD), post-trauma stress disorder (PTSD), sleeping disorder (SD), obsessive–compulsive disorder (OCD) and suicide. A total of 43 meta-analyses involving 704 publications on 44 inflammation-related factors were included in the study. We calculated the effect size and statistical power for every inflammation-related factor in each disorder. Our analyses showed that well-powered case–control studies provided more consistent results than underpowered studies when one factor was meta-analysed by different researchers. After removing underpowered studies, 30 of the 44 inflammation-related factors showed significant alterations in at least one disorder based on well-powered meta-analyses. Eleven of them changed in patients of more than two disorders when compared with the controls. A few inflammation-related factors showed unique changes in specific disorders (e.g., IL-4 increased in BD, decreased in suicide, but had no change in MDD, ASD, PTSD and SCZ). MDD had the largest number of changes while SD has the least. Clustering analysis showed that closely related disorders share similar patterns of inflammatory changes, as genome-wide genetic studies have found. According to the effect size obtained from the meta-analyses, 13 inflammation-related factors would need <50 cases and 50 controls to achieve 80% power to show significant differences ( p < 0.0016) between patients and controls. Changes in different states of MDD, SCZ or BD were also observed in various comparisons. Studies comparing first-episode SCZ to controls may have more reproducible findings than those comparing pre- and post-treatment results. Longitudinal, system-wide studies of inflammation regulation that can differentiate trait- and state-specific changes will be needed to establish valuable biomarkers.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This cross-disorder systematic review of 43 meta-analyses found that well-powered studies yield more consistent inflammation-related biomarker findings across major psychiatric disorders. After filtering underpowered meta-analyses, 30 of 44 inflammation-related factors showed significant alterations in at least one disorder, with 11 changing in more than two disorders.
Key findings
- The review included 43 meta-analyses involving 704 publications on 44 inflammation-related factors across eight disorders; 26% of meta-analyses were underpowered (<80%). After removing underpowered data, 30 of 44 factors showed significant alterations in at least one disorder, and 11 changed in more than two disorders.
- Consistency improved after power filtering: inconsistent case–control results fell from 42% (16/38) to 16% (5/31), and inconsistent state-related results fell from 67% (24/36) to 48% (15/31). Well-powered case–control findings had 84% consistency; SCZ and BD case–control comparisons showed 100% consistency.
- Specificity examples: IL-4 increased in BD, decreased in suicide, and showed no change in MDD, ASD, PTSD, or SCZ; IL-2 was uniquely low in suicide; sIL-6R was uniquely high in BD; sIL-2R was uniquely not changed in PTSD. IL-6 and CRP were the most commonly increased factors, each changed in four disorders; NGF was the most commonly decreased factor in MDD and SCZ.
- Based on effect sizes, 13 inflammation-related factors would need <50 cases and 50 controls to achieve 80% power at p < 0.0016. MDD had the largest number of changes and SD the least. Clustering showed BD and SCZ closer to each other, while suicide clustered with PTSD and SD.
Methods
- Systematic review of meta-analysis publications in PubMed, Springer, and Web of Science before March 2018, following PRISMA; inclusion required English-language meta-analyses of circulating cytokine/chemokine/inflammation-related factor levels in plasma, serum, or CNS. The final set comprised 43 meta-analyses on 44 factors in eight disorders: SCZ (n = 11), MDD (n = 16), BD (n = 6), OCD (n = 1), suicide (n = 2), ASD (n = 1), PTSD (n = 1), SD (n = 1), and cross-disorder studies (n = 4); anxiety did not meet inclusion criteria.
- Data were partitioned into trait marker analyses (undifferentiated case–control comparisons; 24 studies), state marker analyses (6 studies), or both (13 studies). Effect sizes were extracted as standardized mean differences, statistical power was calculated with G*Power, and data with power <0.8 were filtered out. Stability across repeated meta-analyses was used as a proxy for reproducibility, and unsupervised clustering assessed cross-disorder similarity.
Limitations
- The paper states that it is built on meta-analysis results, so it cannot recover signals missed by original studies due to technical limitations, and meta-analyses can be misled by systematic bias in individual data. Independence of samples was problematic because meta-analyses often reuse the same underlying studies, so stability was used as a proxy for reproducibility rather than true independent replication.
- The paper states that many effect sizes may be inflated because some factors have limited studies, and independent testing is needed. State-related data carry more uncertainty than trait-related data, with frequent inconsistencies in pre- and post-treatment comparisons; first-episode SCZ findings were considered more reliable. Few prior studies reported statistical power, quality control, covariate control, or multiple-testing correction.
- Evident from the text: most data came from peripheral blood, with only one brain study and limited CSF data; the review covered only eight psychiatric disorders and excluded anxiety; most included studies focused on candidate factors rather than system-wide measures; and longitudinal data were rare, limiting differentiation of trait and state markers.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
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Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 63 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingnone given
A total of 43 meta-analyses involving 704 publications on 44 inflammation-related factors were included in the study.
“A total of 43 meta-analyses involving 704 publications on 44 inflammation-related factors were included in the study.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Eleven of the inflammation-related factors changed in patients of more than two disorders when compared with controls.
“Eleven of them changed in patients of more than two disorders when compared with the controls.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Closely related disorders share similar patterns of inflammatory changes.
“Clustering analysis showed that closely related disorders share similar patterns of inflammatory changes, as genome-wide genetic studies have found.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Well-powered case-control studies provided more consistent results than underpowered studies when one factor was meta-analysed by different researchers.
“Our analyses showed that well-powered case–control studies provided more consistent results than underpowered studies when one factor was meta-analysed by different researchers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Thirty inflammation-related factors showed significant alterations in at least one disorder based on well-powered meta-analyses.
“After removing underpowered studies, 30 of the 44 inflammation-related factors showed significant alterations in at least one disorder based on well-powered meta-analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: All data including those tested only once will have better reproducibility.
- Findingreasoning
According to the effect size obtained from the meta-analyses, 13 inflammation-related factors would need <50 cases and 50 controls to achieve 80% power to show significant differences (p < 0.0016) between patients and controls.
“According to the effect size obtained from the meta-analyses, 13 inflammation-related factors would need <50 cases and 50 controls to achieve 80% power to show significant differences (p < 0.0016) between patients and controls.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the same clustering, suicide clustered with PTSD and SD.
“Unsupervised clustering analysis on the presence of the changes of the 30 IRFs in the seven disorders showed an interesting pattern—BD and SCZ were closer to each other than the others, while suicide clustered with PTSD and SD (Fig. 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
IL-4 is significantly high in BD.
“IL-4 is significantly low in suicide, but high in BD;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Unsupervised clustering analysis on the presence of changes of the 30 IRFs in the seven disorders showed BD and SCZ were closer to each other than the others.
“Unsupervised clustering analysis on the presence of the changes of the 30 IRFs in the seven disorders showed an interesting pattern—BD and SCZ were closer to each other than the others, while suicide clustered with PTSD and SD (Fig. 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Totally, 26% of the meta-analyses did not have enough power (<80%).
“Totally, 26% of the meta-analyses did not have enough power (<80%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The most frequently studied disorders are MDD, BD, suicide and SCZ.
“The most frequently studied disorders are MDD, BD, suicide and SCZ.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The most commonly decreased IRF is NGF in MDD and SCZ.
“The most commonly decreased IRF is the nerve growth factor (NGF) in MDD and SCZ.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
sIL-2R and sTNF-R1 were significantly elevated consistently in BD.
“For example, sIL-2R and sTNF-R1 were significantly elevated consistently in BD32–34.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [32] Munkholm, K., Brauner, J. V., Kessing, L. V. & Vinberg, M. Cytokines in bipolar disorder vs. healthy control subjects: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J. Psychiatr. Res. 47, 1119–1133 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [33] Modabbernia, A., Taslimi, S., Brietzke, E. & Ashrafi, M. Cytokine alterations in bipolar disorder: a meta-analysis of 30 studies. Biol. Psychiatry 74, 15–25 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [34] Munkholm, K., Vinberg, M. & Vedel Kessing, L. Cytokines in bipolar disorder: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J. Affect Disord. 144, 16–27 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
70% of the studies removed data without controls.
“70% of the studies removed data without controls”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Five IRFs were significantly changed in SCZ patients based on CSF samples.
“Five IRFs were significantly changed in SCZ patients based on CSF samples.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For the IRF meta-analysed multiple times, 42% (16/38) of the tests showed inconsistent results in case-control comparisons.
“For the IRF meta-analysed multiple times, 42% (16/38) of the tests showed inconsistent results in case–control comparisons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Changes in different states of MDD, SCZ or BD were observed in various comparisons.
“Changes in different states of MDD, SCZ or BD were also observed in various comparisons.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Thirteen IRFs were analysed in more than half (4) of the disorders: TGF-beta, IL-10, IL-1RA, IL-1beta, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, sIL-2R, sIL-6R, TNF-alpha, IFN-gamma and CRP.
“Thirteen of them were analysed in more than half (4) the disorders, including TGF-beta, IL-10, IL-1RA, IL-1beta, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, sIL-2R, sIL-6R, TNF-alpha, IFN-gamma and C-reactive protein (CRP).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Three others (KYN, IL-8 and KYNA) were not studied in blood meta-analyses.
“Three others (KYN, IL-8 and KYNA) were not studied in blood meta-analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Thirty-eight IRFs survived the filtering.
“Thirty-eight IRFs survived the filtering.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: All data including those tested only once will have better reproducibility.
- Findingown data
Filter by statistical power clearly improved the consistency of the results by about 20% or more for both trait and state-related analyses.
“Filter by statistical power clearly improved the consistency of the results by about 20% or more for both trait and state-related analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
sIL-6R is uniquely significantly high in BD.
“sIL-6R is uniquely significantly high in BD;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Quantitative differences in IRFs among states of diseases were observed.
“Quantitative differences in IRFs among states of diseases were observed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
IL-4 is significantly low in suicide.
“IL-4 is significantly low in suicide, but high in BD;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
11% of the studies excluded participants with other comorbidities.
“11% of the studies excluded participants with other comorbidities”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Case-control trait-related findings have 84% consistency.
“Case–control trait-related findings have 84% consistency.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
sIL-2R is uniquely not changed in PTSD.
“sIL-2R is uniquely not changed in PTSD.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
IL-2 is uniquely significantly low in suicide.
“Among them, IL-2 is uniquely significantly low in suicide;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Totally, 67% (24/36) of the tests showed inconsistent results in state-related meta-analyses.
“Totally, 67% (24/36) of the tests showed inconsistent results in state-related meta-analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The results of SCZ and BD case-control comparisons showed 100% consistency.
“The results of SCZ and BD case–control comparisons showed 100% consistency.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pre- and post-treatment comparison is one of the major sources of inconsistency (3/6 in SCZ and 5/5 in MDD).
“The pre- and post-treatment comparison is one of the major sources of inconsistency (3/6 in SCZ and 5/5 in MDD).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
SCZ data are better than MDD data (1/6, 17%) in consistency when IRFs were meta-analysed multiple times.
“Out of the sufficiently powered meta-analyses, the SCZ data have the same consistency (9/15, 60%) as BD (6/10, 60%) data, and are better than MDD (1/6, 17%) data when IRFs were meta-analysed multiple times.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
IL-6 and CRP are the two most commonly increased IRFs changed in four disorders.
“IL-6 and CRP are the two most commonly increased IRFs changed in four disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
IL-6 has inconsistent findings in SCZ pre- and post-treatment comparison.
“For example, IL-6 has inconsistent findings in SCZ pre- and post-treatment comparison41,42,”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [41] Tourjman, V. et al. Antipsychotics’ effects on blood levels of cytokines in schizophrenia: a meta-analysis. Schizophr. Res. 151, 43–47 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [42] Capuzzi, E., Bartoli, F., Crocamo, C., Clerici, M. & Carra, G. Acute variations of cytokine levels after antipsychotic treatment in drug-naive subjects with a first-episode psychosis: a meta-analysis. Neurosci. Biobehav. Rev. 77, 122–128 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
Only 20% of the studies removed duplicated data.
“only 20% of the studies removed duplicated data”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
37% of the meta-analyses required diagnosis with DSM/ICD.
“37% of the meta-analyses required diagnosis with DSM/ICD”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
After filtering out the tests with insufficient statistical power, only 16% (5/31) of case-control-related tests still showed inconsistent results.
“After filtering out the tests with insufficient statistical power, only 16% (5/31) of case–control-related tests still showed inconsistent results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Out of sufficiently powered meta-analyses, SCZ data have the same consistency (9/15, 60%) as BD (6/10, 60%) data when IRFs were meta-analysed multiple times.
“Out of the sufficiently powered meta-analyses, the SCZ data have the same consistency (9/15, 60%) as BD (6/10, 60%) data, and are better than MDD (1/6, 17%) data when IRFs were meta-analysed multiple times.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
At that p value, 13 IRFs would only need <100 subjects (50 cases and 50 controls) to achieve 80% power to detect a significant difference.
“At that p value, 13 IRFs would only need <100 subjects (50 cases and 50 controls) to achieve 80% power to detect a significant difference (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
The depression state has conflicting results for CRP.
“But the depression state has conflicting results43,44.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [43] Fernandes, B. S. et al. C-reactive protein concentrations across the mood spectrum in bipolar disorder: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Psychiatry 3, 1147–1156 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [44] Dargel, A. A., Godin, O., Kapczinski, F., Kupfer, D. J. & Leboyer, M. C-reactive protein alterations in bipolar disorder: a meta-analysis. J. Clin. Psychiatry 76, 142–150 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
Based on the median effect size summarised in Table 2, if testing the 30 IRFs identified in this study at the same time in one disorder, the significance level can be set to p < 0.0016.
“Based on the median effect size summarised in Table 2, if we want to test the 30 IRFs identified in this study at the same time in one disorder, the significance level can be set to p < 0.0016.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
IL-6 was reported to have consistent changes in several different states of SCZ: higher in acutely ill, chronically ill and first-episode SCZ patients than in controls.
“but was reported to have consistent changes in several different states of SCZ: higher in acutely ill, chronically ill and first-episode SCZ patients than in controls.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
From our review, few existing studies paid sufficient attention to data quality control or statistical procedures controlling for covariates.
“From our review, we noticed that few existing studies paid sufficient attention to data quality control or statistical procedures controlling for covariates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Many publications considered p ≤ 0.05 to be significant even when multiple IRFs were tested.
“Many publications considered p ≤ 0.05 to be significant even when multiple IRFs were tested.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Our analyses indicate that well-powered studies yield more reproducible results.
“Our analyses indicate that well-powered studies yield more reproducible results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Few studies reported statistical power.
“Few studies reported statistical power.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Nearly 40% of the studies did not address covariates in their analyses.
“Nearly 40% of the studies did not address covariates in their analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
In Supplementary Table S1, about 75% of the studies did not correct for multiple testing inflation.
“In Supplementary Table S1, about 75% of the studies did not correct for multiple testing inflation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Studies comparing first-episode SCZ patients with controls contain the most consistent results as reported in the two meta-analyses by Miller and collaborators.
“Studies comparing patients with first-episode SCZ patients with controls contain the most consistent results as reported in the two meta-analyses by Miller and collaborators13,45,”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [13] Miller, B. J., Buckley, P., Seabolt, W., Mellor, A. & Kirkpatrick, B. Meta-analysis of cytokine alterations in schizophrenia: clinical status and antipsychotic effects. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 663–671 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [45] Goldsmith, D. R., Rapaport, M. H. & Miller, B. J. A meta-analysis of blood cytokine network alterations in psychiatric patients: comparisons between schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and depression. Mol. Psychiatry 21, 1696–1709 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
As shown in Supplementary Table S1, 93% of previous studies did not address controlling batch effects for large sample sizes.
“As shown in Supplementary Table S1, 93% of the previous studies did not address controlling batch effects for large sample sizes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
CRP is the only IRF that was reported to change in all three BD (manic, depressive and euthymic) states.
“CRP is the only IRF that was reported to change in all three BD (manic, depressive and euthymic) states.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The state-related analyses have more inconsistent results than the trait-related analyses.
“The state-related analyses have more inconsistent results than the trait-related analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Our consistency analysis based on sufficiently powered meta-analyses suggests that trait-related findings might be more reliable than state-related findings so far.
“Our consistency analysis based on sufficiently powered meta-analyses suggests that trait-related findings might be more reliable than state-related findings so far.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
A few IRFs were presented as potential state and trait markers.
“A few IRFs were presented as potential state and trait markers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
IL-12 significantly increased in the blood of patients with SCZ.
“however, IL-12 significantly increased in the blood of patients with SCZ13,45.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [13] Miller, B. J., Buckley, P., Seabolt, W., Mellor, A. & Kirkpatrick, B. Meta-analysis of cytokine alterations in schizophrenia: clinical status and antipsychotic effects. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 663–671 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [45] Goldsmith, D. R., Rapaport, M. H. & Miller, B. J. A meta-analysis of blood cytokine network alterations in psychiatric patients: comparisons between schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and depression. Mol. Psychiatry 21, 1696–1709 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingcitation
In our data, the difference of IL-12 levels in CSF between SCZ and controls was not significant.
“In our data, the difference of IL-12 levels in CSF between SCZ and controls was not significant13,46;”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [13] Miller, B. J., Buckley, P., Seabolt, W., Mellor, A. & Kirkpatrick, B. Meta-analysis of cytokine alterations in schizophrenia: clinical status and antipsychotic effects. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 663–671 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [46] Upthegrove, R., Manzanares-Teson, N. & Barnes, N. M. Cytokine function in medication-naive first episode psychosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Schizophr. Res. 155, 101–108 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisenone given
The reproducibility of meta-analysis results on IRFs in psychiatric disorders has not been thoroughly evaluated.
“Although dozens of meta-analyses have been published on IRFs in psychiatric disorders, the reproducibility of those results has not been thoroughly evaluated.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The clustering pattern matched the clinical similarity among these disorders and their genetic similarity, based on published genetic studies.
“This pattern matched the clinical similarity among these disorders and their genetic similarity, based on published genetic studies40.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [40] Cross-Disorder Group of the Psychiatric Genomics C, Lee, S. H. et al. Genetic relationship between five psychiatric disorders estimated from genome-wide SNPs. Nat. Genet. 45, 984–994 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
The specificity of IRFs across disorders can reflect a similarity in the aetiology or pathology of disorders.
“The specificity of IRFs across disorders can reflect a similarity in the aetiology or pathology of disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
Studies comparing first-episode SCZ to controls may have more reproducible findings than those comparing pre- and post-treatment results.
“Studies comparing first-episode SCZ to controls may have more reproducible findings than those comparing pre- and post-treatment results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Stable findings are more likely to be reproducible than unstable ones.
- Interpretationown data
The inconsistent inclusion/exclusion criteria used by different studies did not destroy the findings.
“The inconsistent inclusion/exclusion criteria used by different studies did not destroy the findings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
ELISA and multiplex assay results can be easily confounded by technical artefacts, including batch effects and site effects.
“ELISA and the multiplex assay results can be easily confounded by technical artefacts, including batch effects (differences in the same sample measured at different times) and site effects (data collected from different machines may not be measured consistently).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
The state-related data carry more uncertainty than trait-related data.
“The state-related data carry more uncertainty than trait-related data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
With that, publication bias for the positive results likely occurred.
“With that, publication bias for the positive results likely occurred55.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [55] Joober, R., Schmitz, N., Annable, L. & Boksa, P. Publication bias: what are the challenges and can they be overcome? J. Psychiatry Neurosci. 37, 149–152 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The current candidate genes, including all the IRFs reviewed here, may not be the best genes for biomarker development.
“Therefore, the current candidate genes, including all the IRFs reviewed here, may not be the best genes for biomarker development.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Candidate genes are generally not the top signals in genome-wide or system-wide studies.
- Premisereasoning
Ignoring covariates for inflammation such as blood counts, BMI, sex and chronic stress levels can lead to false findings.
“Ignoring the covariates for inflammation such as blood counts, BMI, sex and chronic stress levels can lead to false findings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
The inappropriate management of covariates can misdirect meta-analyses.
“The inappropriate management of covariates can misdirect meta-analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The sample size required to detect differences in IRFs between patients and controls might be relatively small for many IRFs.
“The good news from this study is that the sample size required to detect the differences in IRFs between patients and controls might be relatively small for many IRFs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
This systematic evaluation of inflammatory changes across multiple psychiatric disorders showed the intriguing possibility of differentiating psychiatric disorders by using inflammatory biomarkers.
“In summary, this systematic evaluation of inflammatory changes across multiple psychiatric disorders showed us the intriguing possibility of differentiating psychiatric disorders by using inflammatory biomarkers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
In this study, we only had data to compare eight psychiatric disorders.
“In this study, we only had data to compare eight psychiatric disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Inflammation may have a large enough effect size that these biomarkers could be detected in relatively small sample sizes.
“Moreover, inflammation may have a large enough effect size that these biomarkers could be detected in relatively small sample sizes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 24
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 28
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataA few inflammation-related factors showed unique changes in specific disorders (e.g., IL-4 increased in BD, decreased in suicide, but had no change in MDD, ASD, PTSD and SCZ).
“A few inflammation-related factors showed unique changes in specific disorders (e.g., IL-4 increased in BD, decreased in suicide, but had no change in MDD, ASD, PTSD and SCZ).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenMDD had the largest number of changes while SD has the least.
“MDD had the largest number of changes while SD has the least.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIL-6 was consistent with the changes detected in blood while IL-1beta was inconsistent.
“IL-6 was consistent with the changes detected in blood while IL-1beta was inconsistent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe single meta-analysis of OCD was filtered out because of the insufficient statistical power.
“The single meta-analysis of OCD was filtered out because of the insufficient statistical power.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data20% of the studies required specific age ranges.
“20% of the studies required specific age ranges”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataTotally, 48% (15/31 total, 4/10 of BD, 5/6 of MDD and 6/15 of SCZ) of the state-related tests remained inconsistent.
“Totally, 48% (15/31 total, 4/10 of BD, 5/6 of MDD and 6/15 of SCZ) of the state-related tests remained inconsistent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationMost data were generated from peripheral blood without differentiating whole blood, serum and plasma; one study involved three IRFs in the brain, and four meta-analyses were analysed in both blood and the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF).
“Most data were generated from peripheral blood without differentiating whole blood, serum and plasma; one study involved three IRFs in the brain29, and four meta-analyses were analysed in both blood and the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF)13,29–31.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [29] Black, C. & Miller, B. J. Meta-analysis of cytokines and chemokines in suicidality: distinguishing suicidal versus nonsuicidal patients. Biol. Psychiatry 78, 28–37 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [13] Miller, B. J., Buckley, P., Seabolt, W., Mellor, A. & Kirkpatrick, B. Meta-analysis of cytokine alterations in schizophrenia: clinical status and antipsychotic effects. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 663–671 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [30] Ducasse, D., Olie, E., Guillaume, S., Artero, S. & Courtet, P. A meta-analysis of cytokines in suicidal behavior. Brain Behav. Immun. 46, 203–211 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [31] Rao, S. et al. Peripheral blood nerve growth factor levels in major psychiatric disorders. J. Psychiatr. Res. 86, 39–45 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationIL-8 was reported to have no significant changes in MDD by a study of 560 subjects, but it was found to be increased in MDD in a later study of 3788 subjects.
“IL-8 was reported to have no significant changes in MDD by a study of 560 subjects37, but it was found to be increased in MDD in a later study of 3788 subjects38.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [37] Eyre, H. A. et al. A meta-analysis of chemokines in major depression. Prog. Neuropsychopharmacol. Biol. Psychiatry 68, 1–8 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [38] Leighton, S. P. et al. Chemokines in depression in health and in inflammatory illness: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Mol. Psychiatry 23, 48–58 (2018). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAll these IRFs changed in some disorders but had no change or even opposite changes in other disorders.
“All these IRFs changed in some disorders but had no change or even opposite changes in other disorders.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMDD, ASD, PTSD, suicide, SD, BD and SCZ have 16, 7, 3, 5, 2, 8 and 7 IRF changes, respectively.
“MDD, ASD, PTSD, suicide, SD, BD and SCZ have 16, 7, 3, 5, 2, 8 and 7 IRF changes, respectively”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationThe difference of IFN-gamma was not significant between MDD and controls in a study of 238 subjects, but a later meta-analysis that includes a total of 1470 subjects found IFN-gamma to be significantly decreased in MDD patients.
“For example, the difference of IFN-gamma was not significant between MDD and controls in a study of 238 subjects35, but a later meta-analysis that includes a total of 1470 subjects found IFN-gamma to be significantly decreased in MDD patients36.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [35] Dowlati, Y. et al. A meta-analysis of cytokines in major depression. Biol. Psychiatry 67, 446–457 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [36] Kohler, C. A. et al. Peripheral cytokine and chemokine alterations in depression: a meta-analysis of 82 studies. Acta Psychiatr. Scand. 135, 373–387 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn those 43 meta-analyses, there were 24 trait marker studies, 6 state marker studies and 13 studies containing both trait and state analyses.
“In those 43 meta-analyses, there were 24 trait marker studies, 6 state marker studies and 13 studies containing both trait and state analyses (Table 1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenMost previous studies focused on candidate genes, which do not provide system-wide information.
“Most of those studies focused on candidate genes, which do not provide system-wide information.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataWe performed power analysis on the 427 meta-analyses of 44 IRFs done in the eight disorders, 318 of them (74%) have sufficient power (≥0.8), while the rest were under-powered.
“We performed power analysis39 on the 427 meta-analyses of 44 IRFs done in the eight disorders, 318 of them (74%) have sufficient power ( ≥ 0.8), while the rest were under-powered.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] Faul, F., Erdfelder, E., Buchner, A. & Lang, A. G. Statistical power analyses using G*Power 3.1: tests for correlation and regression analyses. Behav. Res Methods 41, 1149–1160 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationMany results were also replicated by Upthegrove et al. except for IL-4 and IFN-gamma.
“many were also replicated by Upthegrove et al.46 except for IL-4 and IFN-gamma.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] Upthegrove, R., Manzanares-Teson, N. & Barnes, N. M. Cytokine function in medication-naive first episode psychosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Schizophr. Res. 155, 101–108 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
FindingreasoningOnly a limited number of genes or proteins involved in immunity and inflammation regulation have been investigated in psychiatric disorders due to constraints of methodology and resources.
“Only a limited number of them have been investigated in psychiatric disorders due to the constraints of methodology and resources.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningCandidate gene studies contributed to answering specific questions in biology, but they frequently missed the big picture, without assessing the impact of the genes that changed the most.
“Candidate gene studies contributed to answering specific questions in biology, but they frequently missed the big picture, without assessing the impact of the genes that changed the most.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenStatistical procedures were commonly liberal, leaving more space for false findings.
“Statistical procedures were commonly liberal, leaving more space for false findings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenMost IRF studies neither evaluate technical variances for their assays, nor did they report data-missing rates.
“Most IRF studies neither evaluate technical variances for their assays, nor did they report data-missing rates.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA recent meta-analysis of anti-cytokine treatment showed significant antidepressant effects.
“a recent meta-analysis of anti-cytokine treatment showed significant antidepressant effects10.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] Kappelmann N., Lewis G., Dantzer R., Jones P. B., Khandaker G. M. Antidepressant activity of anti-cytokine treatment: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical trials of chronic inflammatory conditions. Mol. Psychiatry 23, 335–343 (2018). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationChanges of some inflammation-related factors (IRFs) have been intensively studied and reviewed in relation to psychiatric disorders.
“Changes of some inflammation-related factors (IRFs) have been intensively studied and reviewed in relation to psychiatric disorders1–9.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 9 sources checked- cites [1] Gill, J. M., Saligan, L., Woods, S. & Page, G. PTSD is associated with an excess of inflammatory immune activities. Perspect. Psychiatr. Care 45, 262–277 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [2] Michopoulos, V., Powers, A., Gillespie, C. F., Ressler, K. J. & Jovanovic, T. Inflammation in fear- and anxiety-based disorders: PTSD, GAD, and beyond. Neuropsychopharmacology 42, 254–270 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [3] Wang, Z. & Young, M. R. PTSD, a disorder with an immunological component. Front. Immunol. 7, 219 (2016).
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [4] Tonhajzerova, I. et al. Inflammatory activity in autism spectrum disorder. Adv. Exp. Med. Biol. 861, 93–98 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [5] Kern, J. K., Geier, D. A., Sykes, L. K. & Geier, M. R. Relevance of neuroinflammation and encephalitis in autism. Front. Cell. Neurosci. 9, 519 (2015).
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [6] Muller, N. Inflammation in schizophrenia: pathogenetic aspects and therapeutic considerations. Schizophr. Bull. 44, 973–982 (2018). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Muneer, A. Bipolar disorder: role of inflammation and the development of disease biomarkers. Psychiatry Investig. 13, 18–33 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Bauer M. E., Teixeira A. L. Inflammation in psychiatric disorders: what comes first? Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 1437, 57–67 (2019). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9] Friedrich, M. J. Research on psychiatric disorders targets inflammation. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 312, 474–476 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDrugs that target IRFs have been proposed for treating psychiatric disorders, including MDD, SCZ, and BD, particularly in a subset of patients with chronic inflammation.
“On one hand, drugs that target IRFs have been proposed for treating psychiatric disorders, including major depression (MDD)10–12, schizophrenia (SCZ)13 and bipolar disorder (BD)14, particularly in a subset of patients with chronic inflammation10”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 5 sources checked- cites [10] Kappelmann N., Lewis G., Dantzer R., Jones P. B., Khandaker G. M. Antidepressant activity of anti-cytokine treatment: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical trials of chronic inflammatory conditions. Mol. Psychiatry 23, 335–343 (2018). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Kohler, O., Krogh, J., Mors, O. & Benros, M. E. Inflammation in depression and the potential for anti-inflammatory treatment. Curr. Neuropharmacol. 14, 732–742 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Kopschina Feltes, P. et al. Anti-inflammatory treatment for major depressive disorder: implications for patients with an elevated immune profile and non-responders to standard antidepressant therapy. J. Psychopharmacol. 31, 1149–1165 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [13] Miller, B. J., Buckley, P., Seabolt, W., Mellor, A. & Kirkpatrick, B. Meta-analysis of cytokine alterations in schizophrenia: clinical status and antipsychotic effects. Biol. Psychiatry 70, 663–671 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [14] Rosenblat J. D., McIntyre R. S. Bipolar disorder and immune dysfunction: epidemiological findings, proposed pathophysiology and clinical implications. Brain Sci. 7, (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationSome current psychotropic drugs, including antipsychotics and antidepressants, have anti-inflammatory effects, though with inconsistent findings.
“On the other hand, some current psychotropic drugs, including antipsychotics and antidepressants, have anti-inflammatory effects, though with inconsistent findings15–19.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 5 sources checked- cites [15] Maes, M. et al. Effects of atypical antipsychotics on the inflammatory response system in schizophrenic patients resistant to treatment with typical neuroleptics. Eur. Neuropsychopharmacol. 10, 119–124 (2000). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [16] Stefanovic, V. et al. The effect of antipsychotic drugs on nonspecific inflammation markers in the first episode of schizophrenia. Vojnosanit. Pregl. 72, 1085–1092 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [17] Zajkowska, Z. & Mondelli, V. First-episode psychosis: an inflammatory state? Neuroimmunomodulation 21, 102–108 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [18] Hannestad, J., DellaGioia, N. & Bloch, M. The effect of antidepressant medication treatment on serum levels of inflammatory cytokines: a meta-analysis. Neuropsychopharmacology 36, 2452–2459 (2011). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [19] Lopresti, A. L. Cognitive behaviour therapy and inflammation: a systematic review of its relationship and the potential implications for the treatment of depression. Aust. N.Z. J. Psychiatry 51, 565–582 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
PremisereasoningWithout comparing studies from different disorders, the specificity of IRFs cannot be determined.
“Without comparing the studies from different disorders, the specificity of IRFs cannot be determined.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe literature selection followed the standard by PRISMA.
“The literature selection followed the standard by Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA)28 (Supplementary Figure, SF1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [28] Moher, D., Liberati, A., Tetzlaff, J., Altman, D. G. & Group, P. Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA statement. PLoS Med. 6, e1000097 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataTrait-related findings are generally more reliable than state-related tests, which have consistencies ranging between 16% and 60%.
“Trait-related findings are generally more reliable than state-related tests, which have consistencies ranging between 16% and 60%.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenAcute and chronic inflammation can have very different impacts and consequences in aetiology and pathology.
“Acute and chronic inflammation can have very different impacts and consequences in aetiology and pathology.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningSince many of the IRFs have limited studies, their effect sizes in Table 2 may be inflated.
“Certainly, since many of the IRFs have limited studies, their effect sizes in this table may be inflated.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationGenomic and epigenetic methods have been applied to adipose tissue and blood leucocytes, leading to the discovery of large inflammatory response networks.
“Genomic and epigenetic methods have been applied to adipose tissue49 and blood leucocytes50, leading to the discovery of large inflammatory response networks.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [49] Toubal, A., Treuter, E., Clement, K. & Venteclef, N. Genomic and epigenomic regulation of adipose tissue inflammation in obesity. Trends Endocrinol. Metab. 24, 625–634 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [50] Calvano, S. E. et al. A network-based analysis of systemic inflammation in humans. Nature 437, 1032–1037 (2005). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationRegulation of inflammatory responses occurs at various levels including genetic, transcriptional, translational, protein modification and protein interaction, and involves many signalling pathways.
“Regulation of inflammatory responses occurs at various levels including genetic, transcriptional, translational, protein modification and protein interaction, and involves many signalling pathways47.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [47] Hanada, T. & Yoshimura, A. Regulation of cytokine signaling and inflammation. Cytokine Growth Factor Rev. 13, 413–421 (2002). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningMeta-analyses can be misled by systematic bias in individual data.
“Meta-analyses can be misled by systematic bias in individual data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMany physical and psychological stressors, environmental insults including acute smoking, acute ethanol intoxication, long-term smoking, binge drinking, psychological stress, diet, air pollution and infection all can induce inflammation.
“Many physical and psychological stressors, environmental insults including acute smoking56, acute ethanol intoxication57, long-term smoking58,59, binge drinking60, psychological stress61–63, diet64, air pollution65 and infection all can induce inflammation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [56] van der Vaart, H., Postma, D. S., Timens, W. & ten Hacken, N. H. Acute effects of cigarette smoke on inflammation and oxidative stress: a review. Thorax 59, 713–721 (2004). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [57] Neupane, S. P., Skulberg, A., Skulberg, K. R., Aass, H. C. & Bramness, J. G. Cytokine changes following acute ethanol intoxication in healthy men: a crossover study. Mediators Inflamm. 2016, 3758590 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [58] Rom, O., Avezov, K., Aizenbud, D. & Reznick, A. Z. Cigarette smoking and inflammation revisited. Respir. Physiol. Neurobiol. 187, 5–10 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMultiplex protein assay has been used in studies of alcoholism, depression and autism, with up to 41 IRFs examined simultaneously.
“It has been used in studies of alcoholism52, depression53 and autism54, with up to 41 IRFs examined simultaneously52,53.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [52] Manzardo, A. M., Poje, A. B., Penick, E. C. & Butler, M. G. Multiplex immunoassay of plasma cytokine levels in men with alcoholism and the relationship to psychiatric assessments. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 17, 472 (2016). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [53] Kiraly, D. D. et al. Altered peripheral immune profiles in treatment-resistant depression: response to ketamine and prediction of treatment outcome. Transl. Psychiatry 7, e1065 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [54] Masi, A. et al. Cytokine levels and associations with symptom severity in male and female children with autism spectrum disorder. Mol. Autism 8, 63 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMultiplex protein assay is a technology getting more attention recently.
“Multiplex protein assay is a technology getting more attention recently51.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [51] Belzeaux, R. et al. How to: measuring blood cytokines in biological psychiatry using commercially available multiplex immunoassays. Psychoneuroendocrinology 75, 72–82 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningSince longitudinal studies are still rare, we can neither differentiate acute and chronic changes nor can we discern trait and state markers.
“Since longitudinal studies are still rare, we can neither differentiate acute and chronic changes nor can we discern trait and state markers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Study design and conductnone givenMeta-analyses cannot recover signals that may be missed by original studies due to technical limitations.
“At the same time, meta-analyses cannot recover signals that may be missed by original studies due to technical limitations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationOne GWAS of inflammation quantitative trait locus (QTL) identified some potential genetic regulators of inflammation.
“One GWAS of inflammation quantitative trait locus (QTL) identified some potential genetic regulators of inflammation48.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [48] Naitza, S. et al. A genome-wide association scan on the levels of markers of inflammation in Sardinians reveals associations that underpin its complex regulation. PLoS Genet. 8, e1002480 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningOur study was built upon meta-analysis results, which represented the consensus of multiple individual studies, less influenced than original individual studies by biological or technical noises or variations from individual studies.
“It should be noted that our study was built upon meta-analysis results, which represented the consensus of multiple individual studies, less influenced than original individual studies by biological or technical noises or variations from individual studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe other genes discovered from system-wide hunting may be better biomarker candidates.
“The other genes discovered from system-wide hunting may be better biomarker candidates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Candidate genes are generally not the top signals in genome-wide or system-wide studies.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenAmong state-related studies, findings from first-episode SCZ studies are likely more reliable.
“Among these state-related studies, findings from first-episode SCZ studies are likely more reliable.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisereasoningThese experimental factors can impact data quality.
“These experimental factors can impact data quality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationPostmortem brain data are valuable, and the PsychENCODE project brought more insights into the inflammation status of brains affected by SCZ, BD and ASD.
“Postmortem brain data are valuable, and the PsychENCODE project72 brought more insights into the inflammation status of brains affected by SCZ, BD and ASD.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [72] Psych, E. C. et al. The PsychENCODE project. Nat. Neurosci. 18, 1707–1712 (2015). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe blood-brain barrier separates the central nervous system from peripheral circulation and responds to inflammation under its own regulation.
“This may be particularly true in relation to the blood–brain barrier, which separates the central nervous system from peripheral circulation and responds to inflammation under its own regulation70,71.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [70] Sonar, S. A. & Lal, G. Blood-brain barrier and its function during inflammation and autoimmunity. J. Leukoc. Biol. 103, 839–853 (2018). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [71] Webb, A. A. & Muir, G. D. The blood-brain barrier and its role in inflammation. J. Vet. Intern. Med 14, 399–411 (2000). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationChanges of IRFs are not limited to neuropsychiatric disorders; they are also reported in patients with cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, as well as cancer.
“Changes of IRFs are not limited to neuropsychiatric disorders; they are also reported in patients with cardiovascular and metabolic diseases66, as well as cancer67,68.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [66] Lopez-Candales A., Hernandez Burgos P. M., Hernandez-Suarez D. F., Harris D. Linking chronic inflammation with cardiovascular disease: from normal aging to the metabolic syndrome. J. Nat. Sci. 3, (2017).
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [67] Grivennikov, S. I., Greten, F. R. & Karin, M. Immunity, inflammation, and cancer. Cell 140, 883–899 (2010). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [68] Korniluk, A., Koper, O., Kemona, H. & Dymicka-Piekarska, V. From inflammation to cancer. Ir. J. Med. Sci. 186, 57–62 (2017). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningMuch remains to be learned about the specificity of each individual IRF as related to various psychiatric and non-psychiatric diseases.
“Therefore, much remains to be learned about the specificity of each individual IRF as related to various psychiatric and non-psychiatric diseases.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Stable findings are more likely to be reproducible than unstable ones.
“Even though stability is not a true measure of reproducibility, we assume that stable findings are more likely to be reproducible than unstable ones.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
All data including those tested only once will have better reproducibility.
“We applied this filter to all data, assuming that all data including those tested only once will have better reproducibility.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Candidate genes are generally not the top signals in genome-wide or system-wide studies.
“Candidate genes are generally not the top signals in genome-wide or system-wide studies.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Sample size is one of the major drivers of statistical power and is a limiting factor for many studies.
“Sample size, one of the major drivers of statistical power, is a limiting factor for many studies.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Genetic studies of candidate genes have produced a large number of false positives in small-sample studies due to loose statistical criteria.
“Genetic studies of candidate genes have produced a large number of false positives in small-sample studies due to loose statistical criteria.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Inflammation levels likely also fluctuate temporally due to environmental and circadian rhythm changes regardless of health status.
“The inflammation levels likely also fluctuate temporally due to environmental and circadian rhythm changes regardless of health status.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The clinical symptoms can change through the disease course while the diagnosis remains unchanged.
“The clinical symptoms can change through the disease course while the diagnosis remains unchanged.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Hundreds of genes or proteins are involved in immunity and inflammation regulation.
“Hundreds of genes or proteins are involved in immunity and inflammation regulation and should be studied in relation to psychiatric disorders.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Inflammation has been linked with a broad range of psychiatric disorders.
“inflammation, which has been linked with a broad range of psychiatric disorders 112 .”
From A meta-review of "lifestyle psychiatry": the role of exercise, smoking, diet and sleep in the prevention and treatment of mental disorders (2020) · cites this paper as [112]
Inflammation is a potentially shared biological mechanism by which multiple adverse health behaviors could increase risk of mental illness.
“One potentially shared biological mechanism by which multiple adverse health behaviors could increase risk of mental illness is through inflammation”
From A meta-review of "lifestyle psychiatry": the role of exercise, smoking, diet and sleep in the prevention and treatment of mental disorders (2020) · cites this paper as [112]
Various mental health conditions, including mood disorders, have been linked to heightened inflammation.
“various mental health conditions, including mood disorders, have been linked to heightened inflammation,16”
From Food and mood: How do diet and nutrition affect mental wellbeing? (2020) · cites this paper as [16]
Poor diet could increase the risk of depression through an inflammatory mechanism.
“this mechanism also presents a pathway through which poor diet could increase the risk of depression.”
From Food and mood: How do diet and nutrition affect mental wellbeing? (2020) · cites this paper as [16]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
IGF-1 is labeled increased despite a negative effect size
MajorThe MDD table labels IGF-1 as increased but gives it an effect size of −0.48. The figure caption defines negative effect sizes as decreased changes.
“| IGF-1 | Increase | Blood | – | −0.48 | 327 | 114 | 288 | 26825882 |”
“blue cells are the decreased changes in disorders (ES < 0, P < 0.05 and power > 0.8)”
Chance agreement is 33%, not 11%
MajorWith three equally likely states, two independent results agree in any one of the three states with probability 1/3, or about 33%. The stated 11% counts agreement in only one particular state, understating the chance-agreement baseline used to interpret consistency.
Reported 11 · recomputed 33.333333
“If two studies were completely independent, as each result has three possible states: increase, decrease and no change, the chance of two results having the same type of state is 11% (1/3 × 1/3).”
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Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: the PRISMA statement
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Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: The PRISMA Statement
Moher, D., Liberati, A., Tetzlaff, J., Altman, D. G., & The PRISMA Group (2009) · PLoS Medicine · doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1000097 · Cited by 64,042 · see citing works
Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses: the PRISMA Statement.
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Statistical power analyses using G∗Power 3.1: tests for correlation and regression analyses
Faul, F., Erdfelder, E., Buchner, A., & Lang, A.-G. (2009) · Behavior Research Methods · doi:10.3758/brm.41.4.1149 · Cited by 37,615 · see citing works
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Immunity, Inflammation, and Cancer
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A Meta-Analysis of Cytokines in Major Depression
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Overweight, Obesity, and Depression: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Longitudinal Studies
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Associations of depression with C-reactive protein, IL-1, and IL-6: a meta-analysis.
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Genetic relationship between five psychiatric disorders estimated from genome-wide SNPs
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Meta-Analysis of Cytokine Alterations in Schizophrenia: Clinical Status and Antipsychotic Effects
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- Authors
- Yuan, N., Chen, Y., Xia, Y., Dai, J., & Liu, C.
- Affiliations
- Central South University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Liu, Chunyu
- Venue
- Translational Psychiatry
- Published
- 2019-09-18
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 233-233
- ISSN
- 2158-3188 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC6751188
- OpenAlex
- W2974338024
- Cited by
- 428
- References
- 81
- Citations by year
- 2026: 44 · 2025: 77 · 2024: 80 · 2023: 59 · 2022: 76 · 2021: 59 · 2020: 31 · 2019: 2
- FWCI
- 13.79
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Translational Psychiatry (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China (31871276)
- Central South University
- Hunan University
- Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute on Aging (R21AG045789)
- National Institute of Mental Health (U01MH116489, R01MH110920, U01MH103340)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Biological Psychiatry › Tryptophan and brain disorders
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Behavioral Neuroscience › Stress Responses and Cortisol
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Neurology › Neuroinflammation and Neurodegeneration Mechanisms
- Keywords
- inflammation, inflammatory markers, mental illness, cross-disorder analysis, reproducibility, statistical power, underpowered studies, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, autism spectrum disorder, major depressive disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder, sleep disorders, obsessive-compulsive disorder, suicide, IL-4, first-episode schizophrenia, meta-analysis
- MeSH terms
- Mental Disorders, Humans, Inflammation, Sensitivity and Specificity, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Reproducibility of Results, Biomarkers
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