Cited by 86Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular HealthGenetic Associations and EpidemiologyParaoxonase enzyme and polymorphisms

Plasma levels of apolipoprotein E, APOE genotype, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in 105 949 individuals from a white general population cohort

Open access
Rasmussen, Katrine L, Tybjærg-Hansen, Anne, Nordestgaard, Børge G, Frikke-Schmidt, Ruth·2019·European Heart Journal

Abstract

Aims: To determine whether plasma apoE levels and APOE genotype are associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Methods and results: Using a prospective cohort design with 105 949 white individuals from the general population, we tested the association between plasma apoE at study enrolment and death during follow-up, and whether this was independent of APOE genotype. We confirmed the well-known association between APOE genotypes and mortality. For all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality, high levels of apoE were associated with increased risk, while for dementia-associated mortality low levels were associated with increased risk. For the highest vs. the fifth septile of plasma apoE, hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.20 (95% confidence interval 1.12–1.28) for all-cause mortality, 1.28 (1.13–1.44) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.18 (1.05–1.32) for cancer mortality. Conversely, for the lowest vs. the fifth septile the HR was 1.44 (1.01–2.05) for dementia-associated mortality. Results were similar in analyses restricted to APOE ɛ33 carriers. Examining genetically determined plasma apoE, a 1 mg/dL increase conferred risk ratios of 0.97 (0.92–1.03) for cardiovascular mortality and 1.01 (0.95–1.06) for cancer mortality, while a 1 mg/dL decrease conferred a risk ratio of 1.70 (1.36–2.12) for dementia-associated mortality. Conclusion: High plasma levels of apoE were associated with increased all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality, however of a non-causal nature, while low levels were causally associated with increased dementia-associated mortality.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

In 105,949 white Danish general-population individuals, high plasma apoE levels were associated with increased all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality, but Mendelian randomization suggested these associations were non-causal. Low plasma apoE levels were causally associated with increased dementia-associated mortality.

Key findings

  • APOE genotype was associated with mortality: median survival decreased from 86.9 years in ε32 carriers to 83.7 years in ε44 carriers; all-cause mortality HRs vs ε33 were 1.10 (1.06–1.14) for ε43 and 1.43 (1.29–1.58) for ε44.
  • For the highest vs the fifth septile of plasma apoE, HRs were 1.20 (1.12–1.28) for all-cause mortality, 1.28 (1.13–1.44) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.18 (1.05–1.32) for cancer mortality; patterns were similar in analyses restricted to APOE ε33 carriers.
  • For the lowest vs the fifth septile of plasma apoE, the HR was 1.44 (1.01–2.05) for dementia-associated mortality.
  • Genetically determined plasma apoE: a 1 mg/dL increase gave risk ratios of 0.97 (0.92–1.03) for cardiovascular mortality and 1.01 (0.95–1.06) for cancer mortality, while a 1 mg/dL decrease gave a risk ratio of 1.70 (1.36–2.12) for dementia-associated mortality.

Methods

  • Prospective cohort study combining the Copenhagen General Population Study and Copenhagen City Heart Study: 105,949 white individuals of Danish descent, with 13,693 deaths during median 8.5 years of follow-up (range 0–25 years) and no losses to follow-up.
  • Plasma apoE was measured in 104,153 individuals; all 105,949 were APOE genotyped, and three APOE promoter variants were genotyped in 74,560 individuals.
  • Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, BMI, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, lipid-lowering therapy, alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, education, postmenopausal status, hormonal replacement therapy, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and triglycerides, with further adjustment for APOE genotype or restriction to ε33 carriers; restricted cubic splines and septiles were used, plus Mendelian randomization instrumental-variable analyses.

Limitations

  • The paper states that diagnostic information availability/completeness is a potential limitation, although Danish registry dementia, myocardial infarction, and cancer diagnoses have high validity; unregistered contributing causes of death would bias toward the null.
  • The paper states that blood samples were not drawn fasting, which could add random measurement error, and that generalizability is limited because only white individuals were studied.
  • The paper also cautions that Mendelian randomization for peripheral apoE effects should be interpreted cautiously because APOE variants affect many lipid, lipoprotein, and apolipoprotein traits (vertical pleiotropy), though multivariable instrumental-variable and sensitivity analyses did not change conclusions. Evident from the text: 1,839 of 13,693 deaths could not be classified by cause because the Danish Causes of Death Registry lagged the Civil Registration System, so cause-specific follow-up was truncated.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1093/eurheartj/ehz402

Cites

82 of 82 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

26 of 63 cited sources checked · 13 supported · 2 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    In mice, overexpression of apoE leads to hypertriglyceridaemia.

    “In mice, overexpression of apoE has been shown to lead to hypertriglyceridaemia”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [42] Huang, 1998, Overexpression and accumulation of apolipoprotein E as a cause of hypertriglyceridemia, J Biol Chem source
  • Premisecitation

    In vitro, increased apoE expression by hepatoma cells correlates with increased very low-density lipoprotein synthesis and/or secretion irrespective of apoE isoform.

    “in vitro increase in apoE expression by hepatoma cells correlates with increased very low-density lipoprotein synthesis and/or secretion irrespective of apoE isoform.42”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [42] Huang, 1998, Overexpression and accumulation of apolipoprotein E as a cause of hypertriglyceridemia, J Biol Chem source
  • Premisecitation

    Hypertriglyceridaemic patients have higher plasma levels of apoE compared with normal control subjects.

    “Hypertriglyceridaemic patients have higher plasma levels of apoE compared with normal control subjects”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [42] Huang, 1998, Overexpression and accumulation of apolipoprotein E as a cause of hypertriglyceridemia, J Biol Chem source
    • cites [43] Rifai, 1987, A simple immunotechnique for the determination of serum concentration of apolipoprotein E, Clin Chim Acta source
  • Premisecitation

    Human liver transplantation studies clearly showed that apoE in the peripheral circulation and in the central nervous system originates from two separate compartments.

    “Human liver transplantation studies clearly showed that apoE in the peripheral circulation and in the central nervous system originates from two separate compartments.61”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [61] Linton, 1991, Phenotypes of apolipoprotein B and apolipoprotein E after liver transplantation, J Clin Invest source
  • Premisecitation

    ApoE in blood and brain are regulated independently.

    “suggesting that apoE in blood and brain are regulated independently.61,63”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [61] Linton, 1991, Phenotypes of apolipoprotein B and apolipoprotein E after liver transplantation, J Clin Invest source
    • cites [63] Wahrle, 2003, Differential metabolism of ApoE isoforms in plasma and CSF, Exp Neurol source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 15
  • May combine two claims. 21
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Mechanisms underlying the association between high apoE levels and increased cancer mortality could likely be due to apoE involvement in metastasis and angiogenesis.

    “mechanisms underlying the association between high apoE levels and increased cancer mortality could likely be due to apoE involvement in metastasis and angiogenesis.49–56”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim4 of 8 sources checked
    • cites [49] Goodison, 2012, A multi-analyte assay for the non-invasive detection of bladder cancer, PLoS One source

      The Discussion (page not specified) describes APOE in bladder tumor cells in terms of cell turnover and resistance to apoptosis, but does not link high APOE levels to cancer mortality, metastasis, or angiogenesis. A separate Discussion passage attributes angiogenic properties and metastasis in mouse models to IL-8, not APOE. Searches for APOE with mortality, metastasis, and angiogenesis found no passage supporting the claimed mechanism. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [50] Pencheva, 2012, Convergent multi-miRNA targeting of ApoE drives LRP1/LRP8-dependent melanoma metastasis and angiogenesis, Cell source

      The Discussion says ApoE suppresses melanoma metastatic progression and suggests that increasing ApoE levels could reduce melanoma mortality. The Results also identify systemic ApoE as a suppressor of metastatic angiogenesis. These findings point in the opposite direction from the proposed explanation for increased mortality with high ApoE levels. (LLM, conf=0.90)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [51] Boylan, 2010, Quantitative proteomic analysis by iTRAQ(R) for the identification of candidate biomarkers in ovarian cancer serum, Proteome Sci source

      The Discussion (page not provided) reports that ApoE was elevated in ovarian cancer serum pools and cites its role in ovarian cancer-cell proliferation and survival. It does not link ApoE levels to cancer mortality or propose metastasis or angiogenesis as mechanisms; those are the central parts of the claim that remain unsupported. (LLM, conf=0.78)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [52] Oue, 2004, Gene expression profile of gastric carcinoma: identification of genes and tags potentially involved in invasion, metastasis, and carcinogenesis by serial analysis of gene expression, Cancer Res source
    • cites [53] Luo, 2016, Elevated serum apolipoprotein E is associated with metastasis and poor prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer, Tumour Biol source
    • cites [54] Chen, 2013, Expression and clinical significance of complement C3, complement C4b1 and apolipoprotein E in pancreatic cancer, Oncol Lett source

      The Discussion reports higher ApoE levels in pancreatic tumors with lymph-node metastasis than in those without it, supporting an association with metastasis. It does not establish that ApoE causes metastasis, or report an angiogenesis mechanism or an association between ApoE levels and cancer mortality. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [55] Su, 2011, Apolipoprotein E expression promotes lung adenocarcinoma proliferation and migration and as a potential survival marker in lung cancer, Lung Cancer source
    • cites [56] Chen, 2005, Apolipoprotein E is required for cell proliferation and survival in ovarian cancer, Cancer Res source
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Multivariable instrumental variable analysis and a series of other relevant MR sensitivity analyses showed no major deviations and did not change conclusions from the main instrumental variable findings.

    “These analyses showed no major deviations and did not change conclusions from the main instrumental variable findings.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [66] Burgess, 2015, Multivariable Mendelian randomization: the use of pleiotropic genetic variants to estimate causal effects, Am J Epidemiol source

      The Simulation Study reports that some estimates did not change substantially across simulated parameters, but it does not assess the citing study’s instrumental-variable findings. I searched for sensitivity analyses showing no major deviations or unchanged conclusions; no passage in our copy reports that result. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [67] Bowden, 2015, Mendelian randomization with invalid instruments: effect estimation and bias detection through Egger regression, Int J Epidemiol source

      The paper presents MR-Egger regression as a sensitivity analysis, but its blood-pressure example does not show agreement with the main instrumental-variable findings. In “Causal effect of blood pressure on coronary artery disease risk” (page unavailable), the MR-Egger estimates differ from the IVW estimates and cast doubt on the robustness of the original claims. (LLM, conf=0.84)

      Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [68] Bowden, 2016, Consistent estimation in Mendelian randomization with some invalid instruments using a weighted median estimator, Genet Epidemiol source

      In the ‘Example: Lipid Concentrations and Coronary Artery Disease Risk’ section (page unavailable), the paper reports that sensitivity methods preserved the main findings for LDL-c and triglycerides. But they called the IVW finding for HDL-c into question, so the analyses did change a conclusion in that example. The cited paper also does not establish the result of the citing authors’ multivariable analysis. (LLM, conf=0.82)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Both APOE ε2 and ε4 alleles are associated with unfavourable lipid profiles.

    “Both ɛ2 and ɛ4 alleles are associated with unfavourable lipid profiles,12–19”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 8 sources checked
    • cites [12] Bennet, 2007, Association of apolipoprotein E genotypes with lipid levels and coronary risk, JAMA source
    • cites [13] Sing, 1985, Role of the apolipoprotein E polymorphism in determining normal plasma lipid and lipoprotein variation, Am J Hum Genet

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [14] Boerwinkle, 1988, Simultaneous effects of the apolipoprotein E polymorphism on apolipoprotein E, apolipoprotein B, and cholesterol metabolism, Am J Hum Genet

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [15] Smit, 1988, Apolipoprotein E polymorphism in The Netherlands and its effect on plasma lipid and apolipoprotein levels, Hum Genet source
    • cites [16] Neale, 2000, ApoE polymorphism accounts for only part of the genetic variation in quantitative ApoE levels, Genet Epidemiol source
    • cites [17] Rasmussen, 2015, Plasma levels of apolipoprotein E and risk of dementia in the general population, Ann Neurol source
    • cites [18] Davignon, 1988, Apolipoprotein E polymorphism and atherosclerosis, Arteriosclerosis source
    • cites [19] Frikke-Schmidt, 2000, Apolipoprotein E genotype: epsilon32 women are protected while epsilon43 and epsilon44 men are susceptible to ischemic heart disease: the Copenhagen City Heart Study, J Am Coll Cardiol source

      The ‘APOE genotype and lipids and lipoproteins’ section reports high triglycerides for ε22 and ε44, supporting an unfavourable association for some carriers of each allele. But the Discussion describes ε32 women as having lower cholesterol and apoB, higher HDL cholesterol, and an antiatherogenic lipoprotein profile. The claim therefore overgeneralizes the association for ε2. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The APOE ε4 allele is a strong genetic risk factor for Alzheimer disease and is the strongest hit in genome-wide association studies of longevity.

    “the ɛ4 allele is a strong genetic risk factor for Alzheimer disease,20 and by far the strongest hit in genome-wide association studies of longevity.21,22”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [20] Corder, 1993, Gene dose of apolipoprotein E type 4 allele and the risk of Alzheimer's disease in late onset families, Science source
    • cites [21] Sebastiani, 2012, Genetic signatures of exceptional longevity in humans, PLoS One source

      The Results (Single SNP Analysis; page unavailable) identify rs2075650 in the TOMM40/APOE region as the genome-wide-significant longevity hit, and the Discussion calls it the most significantly associated SNP. The paper describes rs2075650 as a proxy for SNPs defining APOE alleles, but does not establish that the ε4 allele itself was the strongest GWAS hit. The Alzheimer disease clause is attached to a different citation. (LLM, conf=0.83)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [22] Brooks-Wilson, 2013, Genetics of healthy aging and longevity, Hum Genet source

      The Genome-wide association studies section says that SNPs in or near APOE were the only genome-wide-significant longevity findings and reports a strong inverse association between APOE4 and longevity. It identifies the genome-wide-significant hits as nearby SNPs, however, rather than establishing that the ε4 allele itself was the strongest GWAS hit. The Linkage studies section describes apoE isoforms as Alzheimer disease risk factors, but does not specifically establish the strength of ε4’s risk. (LLM, conf=0.85)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    A few studies have addressed the association between plasma apoE and cardiovascular mortality.

    “A few studies have addressed the association between plasma apoE and cardiovascular mortality.26,27”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [26] Mooijaart, 2006, ApoE plasma levels and risk of cardiovascular mortality in old age, PLoS Med source
    • cites [27] Sofat, 2016, Circulating apolipoprotein E concentration and cardiovascular disease risk: meta-analysis of results from three studies, PLoS Med source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Increased levels of apoE stimulate very low-density lipoprotein triglyceride production in the liver and impair lipoprotein lipase-mediated lipolysis, leading to hypertriglyceridaemia.

    “increased levels of apoE stimulate very low-density lipoprotein triglyceride production in the liver and impairs lipoprotein lipase-mediated lipolysis, thus leading to hypertriglyceridaemia.42,43”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [42] Huang, 1998, Overexpression and accumulation of apolipoprotein E as a cause of hypertriglyceridemia, J Biol Chem source
    • cites [43] Rifai, 1987, A simple immunotechnique for the determination of serum concentration of apolipoprotein E, Clin Chim Acta source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    The findings of high apoE levels and high cardiovascular mortality may be mediated by triglyceride-rich lipoproteins via remnant cholesterol content.

    “our findings of high apoE levels and high cardiovascular mortality may be mediated by triglyceride-rich lipoproteins via remnant cholesterol content”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 4 sources checked
    • cites [44] Nordestgaard, 2016, Triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: new insights from epidemiology, genetics, and biology, Circ Res source
    • cites [45] Nordestgaard, 2014, Triglycerides and cardiovascular disease, Lancet source
    • cites [46] Varbo, 2015, Extreme nonfasting remnant cholesterol vs extreme LDL cholesterol as contributors to cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in 90000 individuals from the general population, Clin Chem source
    • cites [47] Thomsen, 2014, Low nonfasting triglycerides and reduced all-cause mortality: a Mendelian randomization study, Clin Chem source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Triglyceride-rich lipoproteins are atherogenic and causally associated with cardiovascular disease.

    “As triglyceride-rich lipoproteins are atherogenic and causally associated with cardiovascular disease,44,45”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [44] Nordestgaard, 2016, Triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: new insights from epidemiology, genetics, and biology, Circ Res source
    • cites [45] Nordestgaard, 2014, Triglycerides and cardiovascular disease, Lancet source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Plausible mechanisms underlying the association between low apoE levels and dementia-associated mortality are not explained by peripheral lipid metabolism, but likely by the role of apoE in β-amyloid handling and in neurodegenerative processes.

    “Plausible mechanisms underlying the association between low apoE levels and dementia-associated mortality are not explained by peripheral lipid metabolism, but likely by the role of apoE in β-amyloid handling and in neurodegenerative processes.57,58”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [57] Yu, 2014, Apolipoprotein E in Alzheimer's disease: an update, Annu Rev Neurosci source

      Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [58] Wellington, 2016, Relation between plasma and brain lipids, Curr Opin Lipidol source
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The ɛ4 allele has detrimental effects on production, deposition, and clearance of amyloid-β, phosphorylation of tau, neurotoxicity, mitochondrial dysfunction, and blood-brain barrier permeability.

    “The ɛ4 allele has detrimental effects on production, deposition, and clearance of amyloid-β, in phosphorylation of tau, in neurotoxicity, mitochondrial dysfunction, and in blood–brain barrier permeability.57,59,60”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim3 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [57] Yu, 2014, Apolipoprotein E in Alzheimer's disease: an update, Annu Rev Neurosci source

      The sections on Aβ aggregation and clearance, tau pathology, neurotoxicity, mitochondrial dysfunction, and blood–brain barrier permeability describe the adverse APOE4-related effects listed in the claim. The section on APP trafficking and Aβ production is more qualified: some cell-culture studies suggest APOE4 enhances Aβ production, but others found no clear isoform-specific effect, and the authors call for in vivo investigation. The claim presents that production effect as established. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [59] Mahley, 2012, Apolipoprotein e sets the stage: response to injury triggers neuropathology, Neuron source
    • cites [60] Rasmussen, 2016, Plasma levels of apolipoprotein E, APOE genotype and risk of dementia and ischemic heart disease: a review, Atherosclerosis source

      Section 6 links apoE4 to tau phosphorylation, increased amyloid burden, direct toxicity, and blood–brain barrier breakdown. It also discusses amyloid-β production and clearance, neurotoxicity, and mitochondrial dysfunction, but attributes several of those effects to apoE generally rather than establishing a detrimental effect of the ε4 allele on each one. Page numbers are not provided in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.10 (1.06-1.14) for ε43 carriers and 1.43 (1.29-1.58) for ε44 carriers vs. ε33 carriers.

    “Hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were 1.10 (1.06–1.14) for ɛ43 carriers and 1.43 (1.29–1.58) for ɛ44 carriers vs. ɛ33 carriers (Figure 1), with similar patterns in women and men separately (Supplementary material online, Figure S4).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    All-cause, cardiovascular, and dementia-associated mortality increased from ε32 to ε33/ε22 to ε42/ε43 to ε44.

    “All-cause, cardiovascular, and dementia-associated mortality increased correspondingly from ɛ32 to ɛ33/ɛ22 to ɛ42/ɛ43 to ɛ44 (Figure 1).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    There was no interaction between seven groups of plasma apoE and study (P for interaction = 0.26), so all further analyses were performed on the studies combined.

    “We found no interaction between seven groups of plasma apoE and study (P for interaction = 0.26). Consequently, all further analyses were performed on the studies combined.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Results were similar when excluding individuals contributing with more than one cause-specific event, or when using tertiles, quartiles, quintiles, or deciles instead of septiles.

    “We found results similar to those in Figure 5, when excluding individuals contributing with more than one cause-specific event (Supplementary material online, Figure S11), or when using tertiles, quartiles, quintiles, or deciles instead of septiles (Supplementary material online, Figure S12).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Causal genetic estimates from instrumental variable analyses indicated a causal association between plasma apoE levels and dementia-associated mortality but not with cardiovascular or cancer mortality.

    “We further substantiated our findings by causal genetic estimates from instrumental variable analyses, which indicated a causal association between plasma apoE levels and dementia-associated mortality but not with cardiovascular or cancer mortality.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    High plasma apoE levels are associated with increased all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality, but these associations are non-causal.

    “High plasma levels of apoE were associated with increased all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality, however of a non-causal nature, while low levels were causally associated with increased dementia-associated mortality.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The APOE allele score is a valid instrumental variable for plasma apoE, affecting cause-specific mortality only through plasma apoE and not through pleiotropic pathways.
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    There was no interaction between seven groups of plasma apoE and use of two different autoanalyzers on all-cause mortality (P for interaction = 0.80), and estimates before and after the change were similar.

    “We found no interaction between seven groups of plasma apoE and use of two different autoanalyzers on all-cause mortality (P for interaction = 0.80) and estimates before and after the change were similar (Supplementary material online, Figure S13).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Cause-specific mortality follow-up was truncated on 31 December 2015, and 1839 of 13 693 deaths could not be classified by cause.

    “End of follow-up for the national Danish Causes of Death Registry (31 December 2015) lags the Danish Civil Registration System (22 March 2017) by more than 1 year: as a consequence some deaths could not be classified by cause (1839 of 13 693 deaths), and cause-specific mortality follow-up was truncated accordingly on 31 December 2015.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Cause-specific deaths in the Danish Causes of Death Registry are accurately classified.
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    Instrumental variable sensitivity analyses showed no major deviations and did not change conclusions from the main findings.

    “Instrumental variable sensitivity analyses showed no major deviations and did not change conclusions from the main findings in Figure 6 (compare with Supplementary material online, Table S1 and Figure S16).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The APOE allele score is a valid instrumental variable for plasma apoE, affecting cause-specific mortality only through plasma apoE and not through pleiotropic pathways.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    There was no overlap of individuals between the two studies.

    “There was no overlap of individuals between studies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    There were no individuals lost to follow-up for all-cause mortality.

    “Median follow-up was 8.5 years (range 0–25 years) for all-cause mortality, with no individuals lost to follow-up.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Low levels of plasma apoE have been reported to be associated with increased risk of dementia.

    “Interestingly, low levels of plasma apoE were recently reported to be associated with increased risk of dementia,17,23,24 whereas high levels were associated with increased risk of ischaemic heart disease.25”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [17] Rasmussen, 2015, Plasma levels of apolipoprotein E and risk of dementia in the general population, Ann Neurol source
    • cites [23] Wolters, 2016, Serum apolipoprotein E is associated with long-term risk of Alzheimer's disease: the Rotterdam Study, Neurosci Lett source
    • cites [24] Rasmussen, 2018, Plasma apolipoprotein E levels and risk of dementia: a Mendelian randomization study of 106,562 individuals, Alzheimers Dement source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    High levels of plasma apoE have been reported to be associated with increased risk of ischaemic heart disease.

    “Interestingly, low levels of plasma apoE were recently reported to be associated with increased risk of dementia,17,23,24 whereas high levels were associated with increased risk of ischaemic heart disease.25”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [25] Rasmussen, 2016, Plasma levels of apolipoprotein E and risk of ischemic heart disease in the general population, Atherosclerosis source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    For dementia and dementia-associated mortality, low apoE in plasma most likely mimics low apoE levels in the brain, resulting in decreased β-amyloid clearance.

    “whereas for dementia and dementia-associated mortality, low apoE in plasma most likely mimic low apoE levels in the brain resulting in decreased β-amyloid clearance.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    LDL receptor affinity defective ɛ22 carriers have a propensity to develop type III hyperlipoproteinaemia.

    “the well-known propensity of LDL receptor affinity defective ɛ22 carriers to develop type III hyperlipoproteinaemia support this understanding.9”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [9] Mahley, 2001

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    High plasma levels of apoE are not causally associated with cardiovascular and cancer mortality.

    “high plasma levels of apoE are not causally associated with cardiovascular and cancer mortality”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Due to the large sample size, we were able to perform analyses adjusted for APOE genotype as well as analyses for APOE ɛ33 carriers alone.

    “Further, due to the large sample size, we were able to perform analyses adjusted for APOE genotype as well as analyses for APOE ɛ33 carriers alone.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The instrument used consisted of five variants (three promoter variants and two common exonic variants), chosen because this combination reflects the quantitative effects of apoE as well as the qualitative, isoform-specific effects.

    “We chose to use an instrument consisting of five variants (three promoter variants and two common exonic variants), because this combination of variants reflects the quantitative effects of apoE as well as the qualitative, isoform specific effects.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    A major strength of the study is the large prospective general population design with no losses to follow-up: every single individual could be followed to end of follow-up, death, or emigration.

    “A major strength of the study is the large prospective general population design with no losses to follow-up: that is, every single individual could be followed to end of follow-up, death, or emigration.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The generalizability of our study results is limited by the fact that we studied only white individuals.

    “Finally, another limitation could be that the generalizability of our study results is limited by the fact that we studied only white individuals.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Unregistered contributing causes of death would only lead to decreased power of our estimate and bias our results towards the null hypothesis.

    “Unregistered contributing causes of death would only lead to decreased power of our estimate and bias our results towards the null hypothesis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Blood samples were not drawn in the fasting state, which could add to random measurement error.

    “Another potential limitation is that blood samples were not drawn in the fasting state, which could add to random measurement error.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
32 of 32
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The relationship of plasma apoE levels with all-cause and cause-specific mortality was unknown before this study.

    “Beyond that, the relationship of plasma apoE levels with all-cause and cause-specific mortality is unknown.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The APOE allele score is a valid instrumental variable for plasma apoE, affecting cause-specific mortality only through plasma apoE and not through pleiotropic pathways.

    “Using a Mendelian randomization design, we also studied genetically determined plasma apoE levels to examine if plasma apoE was causally associated with cause-specific mortality.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Cause-specific deaths in the Danish Causes of Death Registry are accurately classified.

    “Endpoints are described in detail in the Supplementary material online.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Genotypes with low apoE are associated with an atherogenic lipid profile and thus with risk of cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular mortality.

    “genotypes with low apoE in addition are associated with an atherogenic lipid profile, and thus risk of cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular mortality”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Only <1% of the general population are ɛ22 carriers.

    “Only <1% of the general population are however ɛ22 carriers”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The brain relies almost exclusively on HDL-like apoE-containing lipoprotein particles for its lipid transport and does not have apoB and apoB-containing lipoproteins.

    “the brain relies almost exclusively on HDL-like apoE-containing lipoprotein particles for its lipid transport and does not have apoB and apoB-containing lipoproteins (LDL and triglyceride-rich lipoproteins).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The national Danish Patient Registry includes all hospital visits, as well as out-patient visits.

    “the national Danish Patient Registry includes all hospital visits, as well as out-patient visits.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    APOE variants affect all other major lipid, lipoprotein, and apolipoprotein classes.

    “APOE variants not only affect plasma levels of apoE but also all other major lipid, lipoprotein, and apolipoprotein classes—a well-established biological fact due to the fundamental role of apoE in lipid metabolism”
8 of 8

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • For more clear-cut atherosclerotic manifestations as IHD and PAD, plasma levels of apoE are not the causal factor but rather reflects levels of atherogenic lipoproteins.

    “For more clear-cut atherosclerotic manifestations as IHD and PAD, plasma levels of apoE are not the causal factor but rather reflects levels of atherogenic lipoproteins [8].”

    From APOE and vascular disease: Sequencing and genotyping in general population cohorts (2023) · cites this paper as [8]

    The Discussion (page not available in our copy) says high plasma apoE correlates with atherogenic triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and that genetic estimates did not indicate a causal association with cardiovascular mortality. It discusses ischaemic heart disease risk, but does not establish the same noncausal conclusion for IHD or PAD specifically; its causal analysis concerns mortality, not those disease outcomes. (LLM, conf=0.87)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • ε4 is associated with an adverse lipid profile and ε22 carriers have a propensity to develop a recessive form of dysbetalipoproteinemia.

    “it is also well‐known that ε4 is associated with an adverse lipid profile and that ε22 carriers have a propensity to develop a recessive form of dysbetalipoproteinemia (formerly known as type III hyperlipoproteinemia). 15 , 18”

    From <i>APOE</i> and dementia – resequencing and genotyping in 105,597 individuals (2020) · cites this paper as [18]

    The Introduction says the ε4 allele is associated with an unfavourable lipid profile, and the Results report higher LDL cholesterol and apolipoprotein B in ε4 carriers. The Discussion states that ε22 carriers have a propensity to develop type III hyperlipoproteinaemia, identified in the References as dysbetalipoproteinemia. Our copy does not characterize that condition as a recessive form. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Both the ε2 and the ε4 alleles are associated with unfavorable lipid profiles.

    “Both the ε2 and the ε4 alleles are associated with unfavorable lipid profiles [8][9][10][11][12][13].”
  • The ε4 allele is associated with an atherogenic lipid profile with a moderate increase in both plasma LDL cholesterol and triglycerides for ε44 versus the ε33 genotype.

    “the ε4 allele is associated with an atherogenic lipid profile with a moderate increase in both plasma LDL cholesterol and triglycerides for ε44 versus the ε33 genotype [8].”
  • Previous work on common APOE variants found that genetically low plasma apoE level was associated with increased risk of dementia and dementia-associated mortality.

    “These findings are in accordance with our previous work on common APOE variants, where genetically low plasma apoE level was associated with increased risk of dementia and dementia‐associated mortality. 18 , 19”

Cites

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Authors
Rasmussen, K. L., Tybjærg-Hansen, A., Nordestgaard, B. G., & Frikke-Schmidt, R.
Affiliations
  • Herlev Hospital (DK)
  • Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, DK Copenhagen, Denmark
  • University of Copenhagen (DK)
Venue
European Heart Journal
Published
2019-06-24
Volume
40
Issue
33
Pages
2813-2824
ISSN
  • 0195-668X (ISSN-L)
  • 1522-9645
OpenAlex
W2953870505
Cited by
86
References
82
Citations by year
2026: 12 · 2025: 17 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 13 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 7 · 2019: 1
FWCI
7.41
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • European Heart Journal (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Research at the University of Copenhagen (University of Copenhagen) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
Funders
  • Independent Research Fund Denmark (10-081618)
  • Research Council at Rigshospitalet
  • Lundbeck Foundation
  • Danish Heart Foundation
  • Danish Alzheimer Research Fund
  • Gunnar Hansen’s Fund
  • Research Fund at the Capital Region of Denmark
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Clinical Biochemistry › Paraoxonase enzyme and polymorphisms
Keywords
apolipoprotein E, APOE genotype, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cancer mortality, causal inference
MeSH terms
Apolipoproteins E, Cardiovascular Diseases, Cause of Death, Dementia, Denmark, Female, Genotype, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasms, Cohort Studies, White People

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-31.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-31.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

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