Effectiveness of heterologous and homologous COVID-19 vaccine regimens: living systematic review with network meta-analysis
Open accessAbstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of heterologous and homologous covid-19 vaccine regimens with and without boosting in preventing covid-19 related infection, hospital admission, and death. DESIGN: Living systematic review and network meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: World Health Organization covid-19 databases, including 38 sources of published studies and preprints. STUDY SELECTION: Randomised controlled trials, cohort studies, and case-control studies. METHODS: 38 WHO covid-19 databases were searched on a weekly basis from 8 March 2022 to 31 July 2022. Studies that assessed the effectiveness of heterologous and homologous covid-19 vaccine regimens with or without a booster were identified. Studies were eligible when they reported the number of documented, symptomatic, severe covid-19 infections, covid-19 related hospital admissions, or covid-19 related deaths among populations that were vaccinated and unvaccinated. The primary measure was vaccine effectiveness calculated as 1−odds ratio. Secondary measures were surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) scores and the relative effects for pairwise comparisons. The risk of bias was evaluated by using the risk of bias in non-randomised studies of interventions (ROBINS-I) tool for all cohort and case-control studies. The Cochrane risk of bias tool (version 2; ROB-2) was used to assess randomised controlled trials. RESULTS: The second iteration of the analysis comprised 63 studies. 25 combinations of covid-19 vaccine regimens were identified, of which three doses of mRNA vaccine were found to be 93% (95% credible interval 70% to 98%) effective against asymptomatic or symptomatic covid-19 infections for non-delta or non-omicron related infections. Heterologous boosting using two dose adenovirus vector vaccines with one dose mRNA vaccine showed a vaccine effectiveness of 94% (72% to 99%) against non-delta or non-omicron related asymptomatic or symptomatic infections. Three doses of mRNA vaccine were found to be the most effective in reducing non-delta or non-omicron related hospital admission (96%, 82% to 99%). The vaccine effectiveness against death in people who received three doses of mRNA vaccine remains uncertain owing to confounders. The estimate for a four dose mRNA vaccine regimen was of low certainty, as only one study on the effectiveness of four doses could be included in this update. More evidence on four dose regimens will be needed to accurately assess the effectiveness of a fourth vaccine dose. For people with delta or omicron related infection, a two dose regimen of an adenovirus vector vaccine with one dose of mRNA booster was 77% (42% to 91%) effective against asymptomatic or symptomatic covid-19 infections, and a three dose regimen of a mRNA vaccine was 93% (76% to 98%) effective against covid-19 related hospital admission. CONCLUSION: An mRNA booster is recommended to supplement any primary vaccine course. Heterologous and homologous three dose regimens work comparably well in preventing covid-19 infections, even against different variants. The effectiveness of three dose vaccine regimens against covid-19 related death remains uncertain. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: This review was not registered. The protocol is included in the supplementary document. READERS' NOTE: This article is a living systematic review that will be updated to reflect emerging evidence. Updates may occur for up to two years from the date of original publication. This version is update 1 of the original article published on 31 May 2022 (BMJ 2022;377:e069989), and previous versions can be found as data supplements (https://www.bmj.com/content/377/bmj-2022-069989/related). When citing this paper please consider adding the version number and date of access for clarity.
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For some COVID-19 vaccines, heterologous boosting improves the magnitude and breadth of the immune response compared with homologous boosters; however, for mRNA vaccines, a homologous mRNA booster is usually superior to a heterologous non-mRNA booster.
“For some COVID-19 vaccines, heterologous boosting has been shown to improve both the magnitude and the breadth of the immune response when compared with homologous boosters; 7,21,22 however, this has not been the case for mRNA vaccines, for which the response to a homologous mRNA booster is usually superior to the response to a heterologous non-mRNA booster.[10][11][12]”
From Immunogenicity and safety of a booster dose of a self-amplifying RNA COVID-19 vaccine (ARCT-154) versus BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine: a double-blind, multicentre, randomised, controlled, phase 3, non-inferiority trial (2024) · cites this paper as [7]
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- Authors
- Au, W. Y., & Cheung, P. P.-H.
- Affiliations
- Chinese University of Hong Kong (HK)
- Corresponding author
- Cheung, Peter Pak-Hang
- Venue
- BMJ
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2022-05-31
- Volume
- 377
- Pages
- e069989
- ISSN
- 1756-1833 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9724446
- OpenAlex
- W4281771243
- Cited by
- 143
- References
- 99
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 22 · 2024: 37 · 2023: 50 · 2022: 31 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 5.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Rare & Special e-Zone (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology) (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Chinese University of Hong Kong
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Social Sciences › Health › Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Keywords
- COVID-19 vaccines, booster vaccination, mRNA vaccines, adenovirus vector vaccine, vaccine effectiveness, COVID-19 hospitalization, COVID-19 mortality, SARS-CoV-2 variants, Omicron variant
- MeSH terms
- COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Vaccines, mRNA Vaccines, Aged, Humans, RNA, Messenger, Vaccines, Synthetic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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