Physical Activity and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study
Open accessAbstract
Background— Vigorous exertion and endurance training have been reported to increase atrial fibrillation (AF). Associations of habitual light or moderate activity with AF incidence have not been evaluated. Methods and Results— We prospectively investigated associations of leisure-time activity, exercise intensity, and walking habits, assessed at baseline and updated during follow-up visits, with incident AF, diagnosed by annual 12-lead ECGs and hospital discharge records, from 1989 to 2001 among 5446 adults ≥65 years of age in the Cardiovascular Health Study. During 47 280 person-years of follow-up, 1061 new AF cases occurred (incidence 22.4/1000 person-years). In multivariable-adjusted analyses, leisure-time activity was associated with lower AF incidence in a graded manner, with 25% (hazard ratio [HR] 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61 to 0.90), 22% (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.95), and 36% (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.79) lower risk in quintiles 3, 4, and 5 versus quintile 1 ( P for trend <0.001). Exercise intensity had a U-shaped relationship with AF (quadratic P =0.02): Versus no exercise, AF incidence was lower with moderate-intensity exercise (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.89) but not with high-intensity exercise (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.19). Walking distance and pace were each associated with lower AF risk in a graded manner ( P for trend <0.001); when we assessed the combined effects of distance and pace, individuals in quartiles 2, 3, and 4 had 25% (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.99), 32% (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.92), and 44% (HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.82) lower AF incidence than individuals in quartile 1. Findings appeared unrelated to confounding by comorbidity or indication. After evaluation of cut points of moderate leisure-time activity (≈600 kcal/week), walking distance (12 blocks per week), and pace (2 mph), 26% of all new AF cases (95% CI 7% to 43%) appeared attributable to absence of these activities. Conclusions— Light to moderate physical activities, particularly leisure-time activity and walking, are associated with significantly lower AF incidence in older adults.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In older U.S. adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study, greater leisure-time physical activity and walking were associated with lower incident atrial fibrillation, while high-intensity exercise showed no significant benefit. Moderate activity appeared to account for a meaningful fraction of new AF cases.
Key findings
- During 47,280 person-years, 1,061 new AF cases occurred (incidence 22.4/1,000 person-years) among 5,446 adults ≥65.
- Leisure-time activity was graded inversely associated with AF: versus quintile 1, HRs were 0.75 (95% CI 0.61–0.90), 0.78 (0.65–0.95), and 0.64 (0.52–0.79) for quintiles 3, 4, and 5; p trend <0.001.
- Exercise intensity had a U-shaped relationship: versus no exercise, moderate intensity HR 0.72 (0.58–0.89), but high intensity HR 0.87 (0.64–1.19).
- Combined walking distance/pace was graded inversely associated with AF: versus quartile 1, HRs were 0.73 (0.61–0.86), 0.60 (0.50–0.73), and 0.52 (0.42–0.65) for quartiles 2–4; 26% (95% CI 7–43%) of new AF cases were attributable to absence of moderate leisure-time activity and regular walking.
Methods
- Prospective cohort analysis within the Cardiovascular Health Study: 5,446 ambulatory, noninstitutionalized adults ≥65 without AF at baseline, enrolled in 1989–90 with additional black participants in 1992.
- Physical activity measures—leisure-time activity, exercise intensity, and walking distance/pace—were assessed at baseline and updated at the 3rd and 7th annual visits; AF was identified by annual 12-lead ECGs and hospital discharge records through 2001.
- Cox proportional-hazards models estimated hazard ratios for incident AF, using cumulative averaging of activity measures and multivariable adjustment for demographic, clinical, and potential mediator covariates.
Limitations
- The paper states physical activity was self-reported and assessed average activity in the prior two weeks at each visit, so misclassification is likely; asymptomatic paroxysmal AF may have been missed; residual confounding cannot be excluded; and findings may not generalize to younger individuals.
- The paper also notes the observational design cannot establish causality, although it reports consistency with other observational and randomized lifestyle studies.
- Evident from the text: exercise intensity and walking habits relied on self-report categories, and the cohort was older U.S. adults, limiting generalization to other ages or populations.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 25 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
Walking pace is associated with lower atrial fibrillation risk in a graded manner in older adults.
“Walking distance and pace were each associated with lower AF risk in a graded manner (p trend <0.001)”
- Also stated in: § Distance and Pace of Walking · plain
“Compared to pace <2 mph, individuals with pace of 2–3 mph and >3 mph had 32% and 41% lower risk, respectively (p trend <0.001).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Distance and Pace of Walking · plain
- Findingown data
During 47,280 person-years of follow-up in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 1,061 new cases of atrial fibrillation occurred, an incidence of 22.4 cases per 1,000 person-years.
“During 47,280 person-years follow-up, 1,061 new AF cases occurred (incidence=22.4/1,000 person-years).”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“During 12 years follow-up (47,280 total person-years), 1,061 new cases of AF were documented (incidence rate=22.4 cases per 1,000 person-years).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
- Findingown data
Walking distance is associated with lower atrial fibrillation risk in a graded manner in older adults.
“Walking distance and pace were each associated with lower AF risk in a graded manner (p trend <0.001)”
- Also stated in: § Distance and Pace of Walking · plain
“compared to walking 0–4 blocks/week, individuals walking 5–11, 12–23, 24–59, and 60+ blocks/week had 22%, 24%, 33%, and 44% lower risk, respectively (p trend <0.001).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Distance and Pace of Walking · plain
- Findingown data
Compared with no regular exercise, high intensity exercise is not associated with significantly lower atrial fibrillation risk (HR=0.87, 95%CI=0.64, 1.19).
“but not high (HR=0.87, 95%CI=0.64, 1.19), intensity exercise.”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“individuals with high intensity exercise did not have significantly lower risk than those with no regular exercise”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
- Findingown data
In older adults, leisure-time physical activity is associated with lower atrial fibrillation incidence in a graded manner.
“leisure-time activity was associated with lower AF incidence in a graded manner”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“After multivariable-adjustment, graded lower risk was evident across quintiles of leisure-time activity”
- Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · plain
“Greater leisure-time activity and walking were associated with graded lower incidence of AF”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
- Findingown data
Compared with no regular exercise, moderate intensity exercise is associated with 28% lower atrial fibrillation risk (HR=0.72, 95%CI=0.58, 0.89).
“versus no exercise, AF incidence was lower with moderate (HR=0.72, 95%CI=0.58, 0.89)”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“individuals with moderate intensity exercise had 28% lower risk of AF”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
- Findingown data
Compared with the lowest quintile of leisure-time activity, quintiles 3, 4, and 5 had 25%, 22%, and 36% lower atrial fibrillation risk, respectively (HRs 0.75, 0.78, and 0.64; p trend <0.001).
“with 25% (HR=0.75, 95%CI=0.61, 0.90), 22% (HR=0.78, 95%CI=0.65, 0.95), and 36% (HR=0.64, 95%CI=0.52, 0.79) lower risk in quintiles 3, 4, and 5, versus quintile 1 (p trend<0.001).”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“compared to the lowest quintile, individuals in quintiles 3, 4, and 5 had 25%, 22%, and 36% lower risk, respectively (p trend <0.001).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
- Findingown data
Further adjustment for potential confounders or mediators modestly mitigated the walking distance/pace association: the highest quartile relative risk went from 0.52 to 0.56.
“compared to the lowest quartile of distance/pace walked, the relative risk for individuals in the highest quartile went from 0.52 to 0.56 (95% CI=0.45, 0.69).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Overall, 1 in 5 older U.S. adults in this cohort developed atrial fibrillation during 12 years of follow-up.
“Overall, 1 in 5 of these older U.S. adults developed AF during 12 years of follow-up.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was little evidence that associations of physical activity with incident atrial fibrillation varied according to age, gender, hypertension, preexisting coronary heart disease, or presence or absence of preexisting cardiovascular disease (p interaction >0.10 for each).
“there was little evidence that associations of physical activity with incident AF varied more than would be expected by chance alone according to age, gender, hypertension, preexisting CHD (p interaction>0.10 for each), or presence or absence or preexisting cardiovascular disease (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
High intensity exercise was not associated with higher atrial fibrillation risk in older adults.
“high intensity exercise was not associated with higher AF risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Preceding myocardial infarction or congestive heart failure is a strong risk factor for incident atrial fibrillation (HR=4.64, 95%CI=4.08, 5.26).
“preceding MI or CHF was a strong risk factor for incident AF (HR=4.64, 95% CI=4.08, 5.26).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In this older adult cohort, 26% of all new atrial fibrillation cases (95% CI=7, 43%) appeared attributable to absence of moderate leisure-time activity, walking distance, and walking pace.
“26% of all new AF cases (95% CI=7, 43%) appeared attributable to absence of these activities.”
- Also stated in: § Population Attributable Risk · plain
“the proportion of all new cases of AF attributable to the absence of these moderate activities was 26% (95% CI=7, 43%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Population Attributable Risk · plain
- Interpretationown data
Part of the observed lower atrial fibrillation risk with physical activity may be mediated by effects on left ventricular mass and metabolic risk factors such as body mass index, blood pressure, glucose, cholesterol, and C-reactive protein.
“When we adjusted for differences in left ventricular mass and metabolic risk factors such as body mass index, blood pressure, glucose, cholesterol, and C-reactive protein levels, the relationships of the physical activity measures and incident AF were partly attenuated, suggesting that part of the observed lower risk may be mediated by effects of activity on these risk factors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
Cases of asymptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation may have been missed, reducing power to detect associations.
“Cases of asymptomatic paroxysmal AF may have been missed, reducing power to detect associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Light to moderate physical activities, particularly leisure-time activity and walking, are associated with significantly lower atrial fibrillation incidence in older adults.
“Light to moderate physical activities, particularly leisure-time activity and walking, are associated with significantly lower AF incidence in older adults.”
- Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · plain
“moderate physical activities, such as greater leisure-time activity, distances and paces of walking, and moderate intensity exercise, were associated with significantly lower risk.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · plain
- Study design and conductnone given
Close follow-up, annual electrocardiograms, and review of all hospitalizations reduce potential for missed or misclassified outcomes.
“Close follow-up, annual ECGs, and review of all hospitalizations reduce potential for missed or misclassified outcomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Up to one-quarter of new atrial fibrillation cases in older adults may be attributable to absence of moderate leisure-time activity and regular walking at a moderate distance and pace.
“up to one-quarter of new cases of AF in older adults may be attributable to absence of moderate leisure-time activity and regular walking at a moderate distance and pace.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The observed associations between physical activity and atrial fibrillation appeared unrelated to confounding by comorbidity or indication.
“Findings appeared unrelated to confounding by comorbidity or indication.”
- Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · hedged
“The findings did not appear to be attributable to confounding by presence of comorbid conditions, such as chronic pulmonary disease, preexisting CHD, or preexisting cardiovascular disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § DISCUSSION · hedged
- Interpretationown data
Moderate physical activity may meaningfully reduce atrial fibrillation risk in older adults.
“Our findings suggest that moderate physical activity may meaningfully reduce this risk”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In older adults, the long-term benefits for atrial fibrillation risk of light to moderate physical activities outweigh any potential higher risks of atrial fibrillation associated with acute activity or exercise.
“These results suggest that long-term benefits for AF risk of light to moderate physical activities in older adults outweigh any potential higher risks of AF associated with the acute activity or exercise.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Among older adults, the pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation may often be related to increased vascular stiffness and reduced left ventricular compliance, as reflected by risk factors such as higher systolic blood pressure, treated hypertension, prior myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, valvular heart disease, and left atrial enlargement.
“Among older adults, pathophysiology of AF may often be related to increased vascular stiffness and reduced left ventricular compliance, as reflected by risk factors for AF such as higher systolic blood pressure, treated hypertension, prior myocardial infarction (MI), congestive heart failure (CHF), valvular heart disease, and left atrial enlargement.2, 4”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [2] Kannel WB Wolf PA Benjamin EJ Levy D Prevalence, incidence, prognosis, and predisposing conditions for atrial fibrillation: population-based estimates Am J Cardiol 1998 82 2N 9N 9809895 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [4] Psaty BM Manolio TA Kuller LH Kronmal RA Cushman M Fried LP White R Furberg CD Rautaharju PM Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults Circulation 1997 96 2455 2461 9337224
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
High intensity exercise has an overall net neutral association with atrial fibrillation incidence in older adults.
“However, high intensity exercise was also not associated with lower AF risk, suggesting an overall net neutral association of high intensity exercise with AF incidence in older adults.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Associations of physical activity with lower atrial fibrillation risk appeared potentially mediated, in part, by lower risk of preceding myocardial infarction or congestive heart failure.
“Associations of physical activity with lower AF risk also appeared potentially mediated, in part, by lower risk of preceding MI or CHF.”
- Also stated in: § Mediation by Preceding MI and CHF · plain
“Adjusting for preceding MI or CHF, relationships of physical activity with incident AF were slightly attenuated”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Mediation by Preceding MI and CHF · plain
- Premisecitation
Moderate physical activity has several physiologic benefits that could reduce the incidence of atrial fibrillation in older adults.
“Moderate physical activity has several physiologic benefits that could reduce the incidence of AF in older adults.27–30”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [27] Thompson PD Buchner D Pina IL Balady GJ Williams MA Marcus BH Berra K Blair SN Costa F Franklin B Fletcher GF Gordon NF Pate RR Rodriguez BL Yancey AK Wenger NK Exercise and physical activity in the prevention and treatment of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a statement from the Council on Clinical Cardiology (Subcommittee on Exercise, Rehabilitation, and Prevention) and the Council on Nutrition, Physical Activity, and Metabolism (Subcommittee on Physical Activity) Circulation 2003 107 3109 3116 12821592 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [28] Netz Y Wu MJ Becker BJ Tenenbaum G Physical activity and psychological well-being in advanced age: a meta-analysis of intervention studies Psychol Aging 2005 20 272 284 16029091 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [29] Bassuk SS Manson JE Epidemiological evidence for the role of physical activity in reducing risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease J Appl Physiol 2005 99 1193 1204 16103522 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [30] Taylor AH Ussher MH Faulkner G The acute effects of exercise on cigarette cravings, withdrawal symptoms, affect and smoking behaviour: a systematic review Addiction 2007 17286639 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
Review of medical records including hospital electrocardiograms in a subset of cases demonstrated that hospital discharge diagnoses provided a positive predictive value of 98.6% for diagnosing atrial fibrillation in the Cardiovascular Health Study.
“Review of medical records including hospital electrocardiograms in a subset of cases demonstrated that hospital discharge diagnoses provided an accuracy (positive predictive value) of 98.6% for diagnosing AF in CHS.4”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Psaty BM Manolio TA Kuller LH Kronmal RA Cushman M Fried LP White R Furberg CD Rautaharju PM Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults Circulation 1997 96 2455 2461 9337224
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
As determined by 24-hour Holter monitoring, only 1 in 819 individuals (0.1%) had sustained or intermittent atrial fibrillation not identified by the study's AF ascertainment criteria.
“only 1 in 819 individuals (0.1%) had sustained or intermittent AF not identified by the above criteria.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 8
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 11
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataExercise intensity has a nonlinear U-shaped relationship with incident atrial fibrillation, with a significant quadratic term (p=0.02).
“Exercise intensity had a U-shaped relationship with AF (quadratic p=0.02)”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“a nonlinear U-shaped relationship was seen between exercise intensity and incident AF”
- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
“the addition of a U-shaped (quadratic) term to the ordinal model for exercise intensity was statistically significant (p=0.02), confirming the nonlinearity of this relationship.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Leisure-Time Activity and Exercise Intensity · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataA combined walking distance and pace score is associated with lower atrial fibrillation risk in a graded manner; the highest quartile had 48% lower risk compared with the lowest quartile (HR=0.52, 95%CI=0.42, 0.65).
“individuals in quartile 2, 3, and 4 had 27% (HR=0.73, 95%CI=0.61, 0.86), 40% (HR=0.60, 95%CI=0.50, 0.73), and 48% (HR=0.52, 95%CI=0.42, 0.65) lower AF incidence, compared with quartile 1.”
- Also stated in: § Distance and Pace of Walking · plain
“individuals in the highest quartile had 48% lower risk (95% CI=35, 58%; p trend <0.001).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Distance and Pace of Walking · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataExcluding individuals with comorbidities that could limit activity did not greatly alter results; lower atrial fibrillation risk remained with greater leisure-time activity, moderate exercise intensity, and greater walking distance/pace.
“Results were not greatly altered, with lower AF risk in multivariable-adjusted analyses with greater leisure-time activity (comparing extreme quintiles, HR=0.68, 95% CI=0.54, 0.86; p trend=0.003), moderate exercise intensity (comparing moderate to none, HR=0.70, 95% CI=0.54, 0.90) and greater distance/pace walked (comparing extreme quartiles, HR=0.54, 95% CI=0.42, 0.69; p trend <0.001).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFurther adjustment for potential confounders or mediators modestly attenuated the associations: the extreme quintile relative risk for leisure-time activity went from 0.64 to 0.67, moderate exercise intensity from 0.72 to 0.73, and high exercise intensity from 0.87 to 0.93.
“the extreme quintile relative risk for leisure-time activity went from 0.64 to 0.67 (95% CI=0.54, 0.83), and the relative risk for moderate and for high exercise intensity went from 0.72 to 0.73 (95% CI=0.59, 0.91) and from 0.87 to 0.93 (95% CI=0.66, 1.28), respectively.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenThe associations observed in older adults participating in a cohort study may not be generalizable to younger individuals.
“The associations were observed in older adults participating in a cohort study and may not be generalizable to younger individuals.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe use of repeated assessments of physical activity and other risk factors over time reduces misclassification due to changes in activity and assesses long-term effects.
“The use of repeated assessments of physical activity and other risk factors over time reduces misclassification due to changes in activity and assesses long-term effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningResidual confounding due to unmeasured or imprecisely measured factors cannot be excluded.
“The possibility of residual confounding due to unmeasured or imprecisely measured factors cannot be excluded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Study design and conductnone givenStandardized assessment of a wide variety of participant characteristics increases the capacity to adjust for confounding.
“Standardized assessment of a wide variety of participant characteristics increases the capacity to adjust for confounding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationVigorous exertion and endurance training have been reported to increase atrial fibrillation risk.
“Vigorous exertion and endurance training have been reported to increase atrial fibrillation (AF).”
- Also stated in: § INTRODUCTION · plain
“Physical activity has been reported to increase the risk of AF.5–11”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 7 sources checked- cites [5] Karjalainen J Kujala UM Kaprio J Sarna S Viitasalo M Lone atrial fibrillation in vigorously exercising middle aged men: case-control study BMJ 1998 316 1784 1785 9624065 PMC28577 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [6] Furlanello F Bertoldi A Dallago M Galassi A Fernando F Biffi A Mazzone P Pappone C Chierchia S Atrial fibrillation in elite athletes J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol 1998 9 S63 68 9727678
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Mont L Sambola A Brugada J Vacca M Marrugat J Elosua R Pare C Azqueta M Sanz G Long-lasting sport practice and lone atrial fibrillation Eur Heart J 2002 23 477 482 11863350 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Hoogsteen J Schep G Van Hemel NM Van Der Wall EE Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in male endurance athletes. A 9-year follow up Europace 2004 6 222 228 15121075 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9] Heidbuchel H Anne W Willems R Adriaenssens B Van de Werf F Ector H Endurance sports is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation after ablation for atrial flutter Int J Cardiol 2006 107 67 72 16337500 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [10] Elosua R Arquer A Mont L Sambola A Molina L Garcia-Moran E Brugada J Marrugat J Sport practice and the risk of lone atrial fibrillation: a case-control study Int J Cardiol 2006 108 332 337 15963583 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Heidbuchel H Panhuyzen-Goedkoop N Corrado D Hoffmann E Biffi A Delise P Blomstrom-Lundqvist C Vanhees L Ivarhoff P Dorwarth U Pelliccia A Recommendations for participation in leisure-time physical activity and competitive sports in patients with arrhythmias and potentially arrhythmogenic conditions Part I: Supraventricular arrhythmias and pacemakers Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil 2006 13 475 484 16874135 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § INTRODUCTION · plain
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationOnly vigorous exertion and endurance training have been evaluated for atrial fibrillation risk, and largely only in retrospective case-control studies and case series of younger athletes and middle-aged adults.
“However, only vigorous exertion and endurance training have been evaluated, and largely only in retrospective case-control studies and case series of younger athletes and middle-aged adults.5–11”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 7 sources checked- cites [5] Karjalainen J Kujala UM Kaprio J Sarna S Viitasalo M Lone atrial fibrillation in vigorously exercising middle aged men: case-control study BMJ 1998 316 1784 1785 9624065 PMC28577 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [6] Furlanello F Bertoldi A Dallago M Galassi A Fernando F Biffi A Mazzone P Pappone C Chierchia S Atrial fibrillation in elite athletes J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol 1998 9 S63 68 9727678
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Mont L Sambola A Brugada J Vacca M Marrugat J Elosua R Pare C Azqueta M Sanz G Long-lasting sport practice and lone atrial fibrillation Eur Heart J 2002 23 477 482 11863350 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [8] Hoogsteen J Schep G Van Hemel NM Van Der Wall EE Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in male endurance athletes. A 9-year follow up Europace 2004 6 222 228 15121075 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [9] Heidbuchel H Anne W Willems R Adriaenssens B Van de Werf F Ector H Endurance sports is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation after ablation for atrial flutter Int J Cardiol 2006 107 67 72 16337500 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [10] Elosua R Arquer A Mont L Sambola A Molina L Garcia-Moran E Brugada J Marrugat J Sport practice and the risk of lone atrial fibrillation: a case-control study Int J Cardiol 2006 108 332 337 15963583 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [11] Heidbuchel H Panhuyzen-Goedkoop N Corrado D Hoffmann E Biffi A Delise P Blomstrom-Lundqvist C Vanhees L Ivarhoff P Dorwarth U Pelliccia A Recommendations for participation in leisure-time physical activity and competitive sports in patients with arrhythmias and potentially arrhythmogenic conditions Part I: Supraventricular arrhythmias and pacemakers Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil 2006 13 475 484 16874135 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Study design and conductnone givenThe population-based recruitment strategy enhances generalizability.
“The population-based recruitment strategy enhances generalizability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe prospective assessment of physical activity and other covariates reduces potential bias from recall differences.
“The prospective assessment of physical activity and other covariates reduces potential bias from recall differences.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe cohort design minimizes selection bias because the non-cases represent the true population from which the cases arose.
“The cohort design minimizes selection bias (i.e., the non-cases represent the true population from which the cases arose).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningPhysical activity was self-reported and assessed average activity in the prior two weeks at each visit, and some misclassification of the true activity of each individual is likely.
“Physical activity was self-reported and assessed average activity in the prior two weeks at each visit, and some misclassification of the true activity of each individual is likely (although cumulative averaging over time reduces such error).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe large number of events provides ample statistical power.
“The large number of events provides ample statistical power.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningPhysical activity habits were updated over time using cumulative averaging to minimize misclassification and assess long-term effects of habitual activity.
“Physical activity habits were updated over time using cumulative averaging to minimize misclassification (measurement error) and assess long-term effects of habitual activity”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAtrial fibrillation is particularly problematic in older adults aged 65 and older, in whom the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation is approximately 2% per year.
“AF is particularly problematic in older adults (≥65), in whom risk of new-onset AF is ~2% per year;1, 2, 4”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [1] Rosamond W Flegal K Friday G Furie K Go A Greenlund K Haase N Ho M Howard V Kissela B Kittner S Lloyd-Jones D McDermott M Meigs J Moy C Nichol G O’Donnell CJ Roger V Rumsfeld J Sorlie P Steinberger J Thom T Wasserthiel-Smoller S Hong Y Heart disease and stroke statistics--2007 update: a report from the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee Circulation 2007 115 e69 171 17194875 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [2] Kannel WB Wolf PA Benjamin EJ Levy D Prevalence, incidence, prognosis, and predisposing conditions for atrial fibrillation: population-based estimates Am J Cardiol 1998 82 2N 9N 9809895 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [4] Psaty BM Manolio TA Kuller LH Kronmal RA Cushman M Fried LP White R Furberg CD Rautaharju PM Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults Circulation 1997 96 2455 2461 9337224
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitationTo minimize potential confounding, covariates were selected based on clinical interest, previously established risk factors for incident atrial fibrillation in older adults, or associations with exposures or outcomes in the current cohort.
“To minimize potential confounding, covariates were selected based on clinical interest, previously established risk factors for incident AF in older adults,4 or associations with exposures or outcomes in the current cohort.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [4] Psaty BM Manolio TA Kuller LH Kronmal RA Cushman M Fried LP White R Furberg CD Rautaharju PM Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults Circulation 1997 96 2455 2461 9337224
Not checked in the free run.
The paper relies on this without support.
No prior studies have prospectively evaluated the relationship between habitual light to moderate physical activity and incidence of atrial fibrillation.
“No prior studies have prospectively evaluated the relationship between habitual light to moderate physical activity and incidence of AF.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The relationship between habitual physical activity and incidence of atrial fibrillation among older adults is unknown.
“However, the relationship between habitual physical activity and incidence of AF among older adults is unknown.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The J-shape effect of physical activity on AF risk is gender-specific and more pronounced in younger males.
“This effect seems to be gender-specific and more pronounced in younger males.”
From Atrial Fibrillation in Elite Athletes: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature (2024) · cites this paper as [15]
The Results (Assessment of Confounding by Comorbidity; page unavailable) report little evidence that the association between physical activity and AF varied by age or gender. Although the paper finds a U-shaped association for exercise intensity in older adults, it does not find the claimed stronger effect in younger males. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPhysical activity has a dose-dependent J-shape effect on AF risk, with increased risk at very low and very high levels of physical activity.
“A recent meta-analysis showed that physical activity has a dose-dependent J-shape effect on AF risk, with increased risk at very low and very high levels of physical activity [15].”
From Atrial Fibrillation in Elite Athletes: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature (2024) · cites this paper as [15]
The Results report a nonlinear, U-shaped association for exercise intensity in older adults: moderate exercise was associated with lower AF risk than no regular exercise. But high-intensity exercise was not associated with significantly higher risk than no exercise, and the Discussion explicitly describes it as having a neutral association. This paper is a prospective cohort study, not a meta-analysis; its leisure-time activity measure showed graded lower risk rather than a J-shaped pattern. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredRegular exercise of low or moderate intensity serves as a preventive strategy for cardiovascular disease and AF, while higher-intensity endurance exercise may lead to AF.
“Regular exercise of either low or moderate intensity seems serve as a preventive strategy for cardiovascular disease and AF, while higher-intensity endurance exercise may lead to AF [6,7,8,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21].”
From Atrial Fibrillation in Elite Athletes: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature (2024) · cites this paper as [15]
The Results and Discussion report lower AF incidence with moderate activity in older adults, and the Discussion reports a possible increase in AF with endurance exercise among younger and middle-aged people. But this study found no increased AF risk with high-intensity exercise in its older cohort. It also does not establish low- or moderate-intensity exercise as a preventive strategy for cardiovascular disease generally; the AF finding is observational. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA 2 to 10 times higher frequency of AF has been shown in high-intensity endurance athletes compared to individuals who do not exercise.
“Many retrospective observational studies and meta-analyses have estimated a 2 to 10 times higher frequency of AF in high-intensity endurance athletes compared to individuals who do not exercise [6,7,8,12,13,14,15,16,17].”
From Atrial Fibrillation in Elite Athletes: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature (2024) · cites this paper as [15]
The Discussion reports that case series and retrospective studies suggest higher AF risk in long-term endurance athletes than in the general population. It does not give a 2-to-10-fold estimate, identify meta-analyses supporting that range, or establish that the comparison group did not exercise. The paper’s own Results concern older adults and do not show higher AF incidence with high-intensity exercise than with no regular exercise. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredOur results do not support the hypothesis that the observed lower risk of cardiovascular events amongst individuals with high cardiorespiratory fitness can be explained by a more benign (i.e. stable) plaque composition.
“our results do not support the hypothesis that the observed lower risk of cardiovascular events amongst individuals with high cardiorespiratory fitness can be explained by a more benign (i.e. stable) plaque composition.22”
From Lifelong endurance exercise and its relation with coronary atherosclerosis (2023) · cites this paper as [22]
The Results and Discussion address physical activity and incident atrial fibrillation in older adults, not cardiorespiratory fitness, cardiovascular events, or plaque composition. Searches for stable plaque composition and plaque stability found no passage evaluating the proposed explanation. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Physical activity improves cardiovascular health, which translates into a lower risk of AF.
“Physical activity improves cardiovascular health, which translates into a lower risk of AF. 898”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [898]
This results in a U-shaped relationship of physical activity and incident AF.
“This results in a U-shaped relationship of physical activity and incident AF. 214,898,902,905,906”
From 2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS (2016) · cites this paper as [898]
In women, vigorous exercise has not been shown to increase AF risk, although moderate exercise is associated with a lower risk of AF than sedentary lifestyle.
“In women, vigorous exercise has not been shown to increase AF risk, although moderate exercise is associated with a lower risk of AF than sedentary lifestyle.47,48”
From Atrial fibrillation in women: epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis (2016) · cites this paper as [47]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Conflicting statements about leisure-time activity and preexisting CHD
MinorThe results first say greater leisure-time activity was associated with a lower prevalence of CHD, then say leisure-time activity was not associated with preexisting CHD.
“Greater leisure-time activity was associated with slightly younger age, male gender, white race, greater education, greater alcohol use, and generally fewer cardiovascular risk factors, including slightly less current smoking and lower prevalence of diabetes, CHD, treated hypertension, and pulmonary disease.”
“Leisure-time activity was not associated with preexisting CHD or beta-blocker use.”
Cites
Reduction in the incidence of type 2 diabetes with lifestyle intervention or metformin
(2002) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa012512 · Cited by 19,011 · see citing works
Tuomilehto, J., Lindström, J., Eriksson, J. G., Valle, T. T., Hämäläinen, H., Ilanne-Parikka, P., Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi, S., Laakso, M., Louheranta, A., Rastas, M., et al. (2001) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm200105033441801 · Cited by 10,873 · see citing works
The Cardiovascular Health Study: design and rationale.
Fried, L. P., Borhani, N. O., Enright, P., Furberg, C. D., Gardin, J. M., Kronmal, R. A., Kuller, L. H., Manolio, T. A., Mittelmark, M. B., Newman, A., et al. (1991) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/1047-2797(91)90005-w · Cited by 3,652 · see citing works
Self-citationRosamond, W., Flegal, K., Friday, G., Furie, K., Go, A., Greenlund, K., Haase, N., Ho, M., Howard, V., Kissela, B., et al. (2007) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.106.179918 · Cited by 3,277 · see citing works
Thompson, P. D., Buchner, D., Piña, I. L., Balady, G. J., Williams, M. A., Marcus, B. H., Berra, K., Blair, S. N., Costa, F., Franklin, B., et al. (2003) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.0000075572.40158.77 · Cited by 2,132 · see citing works
Kannel, W. B., Wolf, P. A., Benjamin, E. J., & Levy, D. (1998) · The American Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0002-9149(98)00583-9 · Cited by 2,033 · see citing works
Incidence of and risk factors for atrial fibrillation in older adults
Psaty, B. M., Manolio, T. A., Kuller, L. H., Kronmal, R. A., Cushman, M., Fried, L. P., White, R., Furberg, C. D., & Rautaharju, P. M. (1997) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.96.7.2455 · Cited by 1,462 · see citing works
Netz, Y., Wu, M.-J., Becker, B. J., & Tenenbaum, G. (2005) · Psychology and Aging · doi:10.1037/0882-7974.20.2.272 · Cited by 1,012 · see citing works
The Incidence of Primary Cardiac Arrest during Vigorous Exercise
Siscovick, D. S., Weiss, N. S., Fletcher, R. H., & Lasky, T. (1984) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejm198410043111402 · Cited by 838 · see citing works
Self-citationBassuk, S. S., & Manson, J. E. (2005) · Journal of Applied Physiology · doi:10.1152/japplphysiol.00160.2005 · Cited by 744 · see citing works
Surveillance and ascertainment of cardiovascular events
Ives, D. G., Fitzpatrick, A. L., Bild, D. E., Psaty, B. M., Kuller, L. H., Crowley, P. M., Cruise, R. G., & Theroux, S. (1995) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/1047-2797(94)00093-9 · Cited by 688 · see citing works
Self-citationImpact of Atrial Fibrillation on Mortality, Stroke, and Medical Costs
Wolf, P. A., Mitchell, J. B., Baker, C. S., Kannel, W. B., & D’Agostino, R. B. (1998) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.158.3.229 · Cited by 683 · see citing works
Association between Physical Activity and Markers of Inflammation in a Healthy Elderly Population
Geffken, D. F., Cushman, M., Burke, G. L., Polak, J. F., Sakkinen, P. A., & Tracy, R. P. (2001) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/153.3.242 · Cited by 599 · see citing works
Recruitment of adults 65 years and older as participants in the cardiovascular health study
Tell, G. S., Fried, L. P., Hermanson, B., Manolio, T. A., Newman, A. B., & Borhani, N. O. (1993) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/1047-2797(93)90062-9 · Cited by 558 · see citing works
Scharhag, J., Schneider, G. K., Urhausen, A. J. P., Rochette, V., Kramann, B. H., & Kindermann, W. (2002) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/s0735-1097(02)02478-6 · Cited by 525 · see citing works
Fish Intake and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation
Mozaffarian, D., Psaty, B. M., Rimm, E. B., Lemaitre, R. N., Burke, G. L., Lyles, M. F., Lefkowitz, D., & Siscovick, D. S. (2004) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/01.cir.0000138154.00779.a5 · Cited by 456 · see citing works
Self-citationMethods of assessing prevalent cardiovascular disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study
Psaty, B. M., Kuller, L. H., Bild, D. E., Burke, G. L., Kittner, S. J., Mittelmark, M. B., Price, T. R., Rautaharju, P. M., & Robbins, J. B. (1995) · Annals of Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/1047-2797(94)00092-8 · Cited by 446 · see citing works
Self-citationLong-lasting sport practice and lone atrial fibrillation
Mont, L. (2002) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1053/euhj.2001.2802 · Cited by 331 · see citing works
Lone atrial fibrillation in vigorously exercising middle aged men: case-control study
Karjalainen, J., Kujala, U. M., Kaprio, J., Sarna, S., & Viitasalo, M. (1998) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.316.7147.1784 · Cited by 326 · see citing works
Taylor, A. H., Ussher, M. H., & Faulkner, G. (2007) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2006.01739.x · Cited by 324 · see citing works
Sport practice and the risk of lone atrial fibrillation: a case-control study
Elosua, R., Arquer, A., Mont, L., Sambola, A., Molina, L., García-Morán, E., Brugada, J., & Marrugat, J. (2006) · International Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2005.05.020 · Cited by 250 · see citing works
Endurance sports is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation after ablation for atrial flutter
Heidbüchel, H., Anné, W., Willems, R., Adriaenssens, B., Van de Werf, F., & Ector, H. (2006) · International Journal of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijcard.2005.02.043 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Rautaharju, P. M., MacInnis, P. J., Warren, J. W., Hk, W., Rykers, P. M., & Calhoun, H. P. (1990) · Methods of Information in Medicine · doi:10.1055/s-0038-1634798 · Cited by 172 · see citing works
Siscovick, D. S., Fried, L. P., Mittelmark, M. B., Rutan, G. H., Bild, D. E., & O’Leary, D. H. (1997) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a009066 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Self-citation(1998) · PubMed · Cited by 152 · see citing works
Hein, H., Panhuyzen-Goedkoop, N., Corrado, D., Hoffmann, E., Biffi, A., Delise, P., Blomstrom-Lundqvist, C., Vanhees, L., IvarHoff, P., Dorwarth, U., et al. (2006) · European Journal of Cardiovascular Prevention & Rehabilitation · doi:10.1097/01.hjr.0000216543.54066.72 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in male endurance athletes. A 9-year follow up
Hoogsteen, J. (2004) · Europace · doi:10.1016/j.eupc.2004.01.004 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Leisure-Time Physical Activity and the Risk of Primary Cardiac Arrest
Lemaitre, R. N., Siscovick, D. S., Raghunathan, T. E., Weinmann, S., Arbogast, P., & Lin, D.-Y. (1999) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.159.7.686 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
Self-citationDietary assessment using a picture-sort approach
Kumanyika, S., Tell, G. S., Shemanski, L. R., Martel, J., & Chinchilli, V. (1997) · American Journal of Clinical Nutrition · doi:10.1093/ajcn/65.4.1123s · Cited by 108 · see citing works
Perseghin, G., COBELLI, F. D., Esposito, A., Lattuada, G., Terruzzi, I. M., Torre, A. L., Belloni, E., Canu, T., Scifo, P., Maschio, A. D., et al. (2007) · American Heart Journal · doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2007.06.039 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Frost, L., Frost, P., & Vestergaard, P. F. (2004) · Occupational and Environmental Medicine · doi:10.1136/oem.2004.014266 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Triggers of Clinical Coronary Heart Disease
Siscovick, D. S. (2006) · Epidemiology · doi:10.1097/01.ede.0000231372.34197.2a · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citation
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- 10.1161/circ.96.7.2455 · DOI
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2017 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association
Benjamin, E. J., Blaha, M. J., Chiuve, S. E., Cushman, M., Das, S. R., Deo, R., de Ferranti, S. D., Floyd, J., Fornage, M., Gillespie, C., et al. (2017) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000000485 · Cited by 12,591 · see citing works
Self-citationHeart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2012 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association
Writing Group Members, Roger, V. L., Go, A. S., Lloyd-Jones, D. M., Benjamin, E. J., Berry, J. D., Borden, W. B., Bravata, D. M., Dai, S., Ford, E. S., et al. (2012) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0b013e31823ac046 · Cited by 7,333 · see citing works
Self-citation2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS
Kirchhof, P., Benussi, S., Kotecha, D., Ahlsson, A., Atar, D., Casadei, B., Castella, M., Diener, H.-C., Heidbuchel, H., Hendriks, J., et al. (2016) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehw210 · Cited by 6,418 · see citing works
Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2015 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association
Mozaffarian, D., Benjamin, E. J., Go, A. S., Arnett, D. K., Blaha, M. J., Cushman, M., de Ferranti, S., Després, J.-P., Fullerton, H. J., Howard, V. J., et al. (2015) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000000152 · Cited by 5,797 · see citing works
Self-citationHeart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2013 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association
Go, A. S., Mozaffarian, D., Roger, V. L., Benjamin, E. J., Berry, J. D., Borden, W. B., Bravata, D. M., Dai, S., Ford, E. S., Fox, C. S., et al. (2013) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0b013e31828124ad · Cited by 5,292 · see citing works
Self-citationCalkins, H., Kuck, K. H., Cappato, R., Brugada, J., Camm, A. J., Chen, S.-A., Crijns, H. J. G., Damiano, R. J., Davies, D. W., DiMarco, J., et al. (2012) · Europace · doi:10.1093/europace/eus027 · Cited by 2,722 · see citing works
Fletcher, G. F., Ades, P. A., Kligfield, P., Arena, R., Balady, G. J., Bittner, V. A., Coke, L. A., Fleg, J. L., Forman, D. E., Gerber, T. C., et al. (2013) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0b013e31829b5b44 · Cited by 2,235 · see citing works
2020 ESC guidelines on sports cardiology and exercise in patients with cardiovascular disease
Pelliccia, A., Sharma, S., Gati, S., Bäck, M., Börjesson, M., Caselli, S., Collet, J.-P., Corrado, D., Drezner, J. A., Halle, M., et al. (2021) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehaa605 · Cited by 1,958 · see citing works
Calkins, H., Kuck, K. H., Cappato, R., Brugada, J., Camm, A. J., Chen, S.-A., Crijns, H. J. G., Damiano, R. J., Davies, D. W., DiMarco, J., et al. (2012) · Heart Rhythm · doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2011.12.016 · Cited by 1,456 · see citing works
2016 ESC Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation developed in collaboration with EACTS
Kirchhof, P., Benussi, S., Kotecha, D., Ahlsson, A., Atar, D., Casadei, B., Castella, M., Diener, H.-C., Heidbuchel, H., Hendriks, J., et al. (2016) · European Journal of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery · doi:10.1093/ejcts/ezw313 · Cited by 1,403 · see citing works
2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation
Joglar, J. A., Chung, M. K., Armbruster, A. L., Benjamin, E. J., Chyou, J. Y., Cronin, E. M., Deswal, A., Eckhardt, L. L., Goldberger, Z. D., Gopinathannair, R., et al. (2024) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2023.08.017 · Cited by 933 · see citing works
Global epidemiology of atrial fibrillation
Rahman, F., Kwan, G. F., & Benjamin, E. J. (2014) · Nature Reviews Cardiology · doi:10.1038/nrcardio.2014.118 · Cited by 731 · see citing works
Pathak, R. K., Elliott, A., Middeldorp, M. E., Meredith, M., Mehta, A. B., Mahajan, R., Hendriks, J. M. L., Twomey, D., Kalman, J. M., Abhayaratna, W. P., et al. (2015) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2015.06.488 · Cited by 544 · see citing works
Abdulla, J., & Nielsen, J. R. (2009) · Europace · doi:10.1093/europace/eup197 · Cited by 420 · see citing works
Franklin, B. A., Thompson, P. D., Al-Zaiti, S. S., Albert, C. M., Hivert, M.-F., Levine, B. D., Lobelo, F., Madan, K., Sharrief, A. Z., Eijsvogels, T. M. H., et al. (2020) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/cir.0000000000000749 · Cited by 410 · see citing works
Relationship between physical activity, body mass index, and risk of heart failure
Pandey, A., LaMonte, M., Klein, L., Ayers, C., Psaty, B. M., Eaton, C. B., Allen, N. B., de Lemos, J. A., Carnethon, M., Greenland, P., et al. (2017) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2016.11.081 · Cited by 398 · see citing works
Self-citationAtrial fibrillation in women: epidemiology, pathophysiology, presentation, and prognosis
Ko, D., Rahman, F., Schnabel, R. B., Yin, X., Benjamin, E. J., & Christophersen, I. E. (2016) · Nature Reviews Cardiology · doi:10.1038/nrcardio.2016.45 · Cited by 353 · see citing works
Mortality reduction with physical activity in patients with and without cardiovascular disease
Jeong, S.-W., Kim, S.-H., Kang, S.-H., Kim, H.-J., Yoon, C.-H., Youn, T.-J., & Chae, I.-H. (2019) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehz564 · Cited by 320 · see citing works
Endurance sport practice as a risk factor for atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter
Mont, L., Elosua, R., & Brugada, J. (2008) · Europace · doi:10.1093/europace/eun289 · Cited by 287 · see citing works
Malmo, V., Nes, B. M., Amundsen, B. H., Tjonna, A.-E., Stoylen, A., Rossvoll, O., Wisloff, U., & Loennechen, J. P. (2016) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.115.018220 · Cited by 263 · see citing works
Physical Activity and Heart Rate Variability in Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study
Soares-Miranda, L., Sattelmair, J., Chaves, P., Duncan, G. E., Siscovick, D. S., Stein, P. K., & Mozaffarian, D. (2014) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.113.005361 · Cited by 228 · see citing works
Self-citationSoares-Miranda, L., Siscovick, D. S., Psaty, B. M., Longstreth, W. T., & Mozaffarian, D. (2016) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.115.018323 · Cited by 214 · see citing works
Self-citationDiagnosis, pathophysiology, and management of exercise-induced arrhythmias
Guasch, E., & Mont, L. (2017) · Nature Reviews Cardiology · doi:10.1038/nrcardio.2016.173 · Cited by 134 · see citing works
Lifelong endurance exercise and its relation with coronary atherosclerosis
De Bosscher, R., Dausin, C., Claus, P., Bogaert, J., Dymarkowski, S., Goetschalckx, K., Ghekiere, O., Van De Heyning, C. M., Van Herck, P., Paelinck, B., et al. (2023) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehad152 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
“stable) plaque composition.(22) Importantly, current evidence cannot relate an increased risk of ischaemic heart disease events in endurance athletes.”
BackgroundThelle, D. S., Selmer, R., Gjesdal, K., Sakshaug, S., Jugessur, A., Graff-Iversen, S., Tverdal, A., & Nystad, W. (2013) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2013-303825 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
Physical Activity and the Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Women
Everett, B. M., Conen, D., Buring, J. E., Moorthy, M. V., Lee, I.-M., & Albert, C. M. (2011) · Circulation: Cardiovascular Quality and Outcomes · doi:10.1161/circoutcomes.110.951442 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
Cardiometabolic-Based Chronic Disease, Addressing Knowledge and Clinical Practice Gaps
Mechanick, J. I., Farkouh, M. E., Newman, J. D., & Garvey, W. T. (2020) · Journal of the American College of Cardiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2019.11.046 · Cited by 113 · see citing works
Drca, N., Wolk, A., Jensen-Urstad, M., & Larsson, S. C. (2015) · Heart · doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2014-307145 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Risk of atrial fibrillation in athletes: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Newman, W., Parry-Williams, G., Wiles, J., Edwards, J., Hulbert, S., Kipourou, K., Papadakis, M., Sharma, R., & O'Driscoll, J. (2021) · British Journal of Sports Medicine · doi:10.1136/bjsports-2021-103994 · Cited by 110 · see citing works
Physical Activity and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Cohort Study in General Population
Jin, M.-N., Yang, P.-S., Song, C., Yu, H. T., Kim, T.-H., Uhm, J.-S., Sung, J.-H., Pak, H.-N., Lee, M.-H., & Joung, B. (2019) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-019-49686-w · Cited by 99 · see citing works
Regular Physical Activity and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
Ofman, P., Khawaja, O., Rahilly-Tierney, C. R., Peralta, A., Hoffmeister, P., Reynolds, M. R., Gaziano, J. M., & Djousse, L. (2013) · Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology · doi:10.1161/circep.113.000147 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Svedberg, N., Sundström, J., James, S., Hållmarker, U., Hambraeus, K., & Andersen, K. (2019) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.118.039461 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
Atrial fibrillation in athletes and the interplay between exercise and health
Gerche, A. L., & Schmied, C. M. (2013) · European Heart Journal · doi:10.1093/eurheartj/eht265 · Cited by 78 · see citing works
Varma, N., Cygankiewicz, I., Turakhia, M. P., Heidbuchel, H., Hu, Y.-F., Chen, L. Y., Couderc, J.-P., Cronin, E. M., Estep, J. D., Grieten, L., et al. (2021) · Circulation: Arrhythmia and Electrophysiology · doi:10.1161/circep.120.009204 · Cited by 74 · see citing works
Atrial Fibrillation in Athletes
Estes, N. A. M., & Madias, C. (2017) · JACC: Clinical Electrophysiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacep.2017.03.019 · Cited by 56 · see citing works
MOHANTY, S., MOHANTY, P., DI BIASE, L., BAI, R., TRIVEDI, C., SANTANGELI, P., SANTORO, F., HONGO, R., HAO, S., BEHEIRY, S., et al. (2014) · Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology · doi:10.1111/jce.12468 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Ayinde, H., Schweizer, M. L., Crabb, V., Ayinde, A., Abugroun, A., & Hopson, J. (2018) · IJC Heart & Vasculature · doi:10.1016/j.ijcha.2018.01.002 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Lifestyle management to prevent and treat atrial fibrillation
Gallagher, C., Hendriks, J. M. L., Mahajan, R., Middeldorp, M. E., Elliott, A. D., Pathak, R. K., Sanders, P., & Lau, D. H. (2016) · Expert Review of Cardiovascular Therapy · doi:10.1080/14779072.2016.1179581 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Johansen, K. R., Ranhoff, A. H., Sørensen, E., Nes, B. M., Heitmann, K. A., Apelland, T., Bucher Sandbakk, S., Wilsgaard, T., Løchen, M.-L., Thelle, D. S., et al. (2022) · Open Heart · doi:10.1136/openhrt-2022-002154 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
AbuElkhair, A., Boidin, M., Buckley, B. J. R., Lane, D. A., Williams, N. H., Thijssen, D., Lip, G. Y. H., & Barraclough, D. L. (2023) · Journal of Cardiovascular Medicine · doi:10.2459/jcm.0000000000001386 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Atrial Fibrillation in Elite Athletes: A Comprehensive Review of the Literature
Kourek, C., Briasoulis, A., Tsougos, E., & Paraskevaidis, I. (2024) · Journal of Cardiovascular Development and Disease · doi:10.3390/jcdd11100315 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
- Authors
- Mozaffarian, D., Furberg, C. D., Psaty, B. M., & Siscovick, D.
- Affiliations
- Brigham and Women's Hospital (US)
- Venue
- Circulation
- Published
- 2008-08-19
- Volume
- 118
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 800-807
- ISSN
- 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
- 1524-4539
- PMC
- PMC3133958
- OpenAlex
- W1985229307
- Semantic Scholar
- 86910bc7dc4958b103faa32780d2405263d4643d
- Cited by
- 476
- References
- 32
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 24 · 2024: 31 · 2023: 45 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 34 · 2020: 34 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 33 · 2017: 30 · 2016: 36 · 2015: 41 · 2014: 26 · 2013: 29 · 2012: 20
- FWCI
- 10.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Circulation (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (n01hc045133-001, n01hc085079-024, n01hc015103-009, n01hc085086-022, n01hc55222-0-0-0, n01hc075150-004, n01hc035129-010, 1k08hl075628-01)
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (N01 HC085086, K08-HL-075628, N01 HC085079, N01HC‐75150, N01 HC85086, N01 HC035129, N01 HC015103, N01 HC55222, U01HL080295, N01 HC055222, N01 HC075150, N01 HC045133, N01-HC85079)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Atrial Fibrillation Management and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Physical Activity and Health
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Complementary and alternative medicine › Cardiovascular and exercise physiology
- Keywords
- atrial fibrillation, physical activity, older adults, leisure-time activities, exercise intensity, walking, walking speed, walking distance, atrial fibrillation incidence, U-shaped relationship, Cardiovascular Health Study, cardiovascular risk factors, diabetes mellitus, smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, physical fitness, sex differences, racial differences, socioeconomic status, endurance training
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Atrial Fibrillation, Female, Humans, Leisure Activities, Male, Motor Activity, Prospective Studies, Exercise, Incidence, Walking
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-09.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-09.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review