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Predicting Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms From Pretraumatic Risk Factors: A 2-Year Prospective Follow-Up Study in Firefighters
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Most studies focusing on risk factors for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) have used retrospective study designs. Only a small number of studies have prospectively examined risk factors in the immediate aftermath of trauma exposure in predicting PTSD symptoms. The purpose of this study was to identify predictive risk factors for posttraumatic stress symptoms and comorbid psychopathological symptoms present during the time before exposure to traumatic stress in a high-risk population. METHOD: Forty-three professional firefighters were assessed immediately after basic training (baseline) and at 6, 9, 12, and 24 months after entry into firefighter service. Subjects were screened for psychopathological symptoms, including symptoms of PTSD, depression, and anxiety. Subjects were also characterized with regard to personality traits such as self-efficacy, hostility, and alexithymia. Neuroendocrine activity was assessed by examination of awakening and diurnal salivary cortisol profiles and 24-hour urinary catecholamine excretion. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to analyze posttraumatic stress symptoms at 24-month follow-up as a function of pretraumatic characteristics. RESULTS: A high level of hostility and a low level of self-efficacy at baseline accounted for 42% of the variance in posttraumatic stress symptoms after 2 years. Subjects who had both risk factors at baseline showed a significant increase in measures of PTSD symptoms, depression, anxiety, general psychological morbidity, global symptom severity, and alexithymia during the 2-year period. Biological characteristics were not predictive of the development of psychopathological symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that specific personality traits may constitute markers of vulnerability to the development of psychopathological symptoms after trauma exposure. Early identification of preexisting risk factors is needed to provide effective prevention and intervention for individuals who are at risk of developing trauma-related disorders.
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“Specific studies have estimated the rate of PTSD symptoms to affect approximately 17% of Canadian firefighters [29], 18% of German firefighters [64], and 22% of American firefighters [29].”
From The Cyclical Battle of Insomnia and Mental Health Impairment in Firefighters: A Narrative Review (2024) · cites this paper as [64]
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InfluentialA prospective study of predictors of depression symptoms in police
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“Quality of life among rescue workers has been operationalized mostly as post-traumatic symptoms, compassion fatigue, and burnout (Alexander & Klein, 2001; Benedek et al., 2007; Figley, 1995; Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
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“…are quite different from those of civilians, 2 A related literature on civilians has examined the mental health consequences of stressful domestic occupations such as police work (Wang et al., 2010; Liberman et al., 2002) and firefighting (Bryant and Guthrie, 2005; 2007; Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
BackgroundPTSD symptoms and suicidal thoughts and behaviors among firefighters
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“, 2000), although others find no predictive effect of pre trauma cortisol (Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
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“Unfortunately, very little research has assessed this construct among police officers, though general self-efficacy has been measured among other public safety professionals, such as firefighters (Regehr et al. 2000; Pillai and Williams 2004; Heinrichs et al. 2005 ).”
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“The few truly prospective studies which have investigated basal cortisol levels before trauma exposure among high-risk groups have failed to demonstrate a predictive value of cortisol levels for PTSD symptomatology at follow-up (e.g., Heinrichs et al., 2005; van Zuiden et al., 2011b, 2012a).”
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Pretrauma Cognitive Ability and Risk for Posttraumatic Stress Disorder
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“The personality trait of self-efficacy has been shown to mediate response to trauma in both prospective and retrospective studies.(37,38) Although we are not aware of findings that directly address this issue, it seems likely that self-efficacy and general cognitive ability are at least modestly correlated; higher cog…”
BackgroundPredicting post‐traumatic growth and post‐traumatic stress in firefighters
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“Heinrichs et al. (2005) suggested that the combination of a pre-existing condition, increased hostility, and low levels of self-efficacy are strong predictors of the development of PTSD symptoms in the high-risk population of firefighters [33].”
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“A prospective study in firefighters which primarily examined risk factors suggested that low levels of hostility and high levels of self efficacy may be protective factors for PTSD (Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
BackgroundSocial Support, Self-efficacy, Trauma and Well-Being in Emergency Medical Dispatchers
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“As PTSD has been reported among emergency service personnel (e.g., Heinrichs et al., 2005), and may co-exist with reports of positive post-trauma changes (Calhoun & Tedeschi, 2006), it is important to examine the presence of PTSD symptoms in the current study in addition to the presence of…”
BackgroundResultStanley, I. H., Hom, M. A., Chu, C., Dougherty, S. P., Gallyer, A. J., Spencer‐Thomas, S., Shelef, L., Fruchter, E., Comtois, K. A., Gutierrez, P. M., et al. (2018) · Psychological Services · doi:10.1037/ser0000240 · Cited by 108
“…with point prevalence estimates ranging from 6.5% to 37.0% (Berninger, Webber, Cohen, et al., 2010; Berninger, Webber, Niles, et al., 2010; Bryant & Harvey, 1995; Corneil, Beaton, Murphy, Johnson, & Pike, 1999; Haslam & Mallon, 2003; Heinrichs et al., 2005; Wagner, Heinrichs, & Ehlert, 1998).”
InfluentialKojima, M. (2012) · BioPsychoSocial Medicine · doi:10.1186/1751-0759-6-21 · Cited by 115
“One study examined 43 male firefighters for 2 years and found no significant risk of alexithymia [20].”
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“Finally, studies examining epinephrine, norepinephrine, or methoxy-4-hydroxyphenylglycol (a metabolite of norepinephrine) within 24 hours of trauma exposure generally showed no associations with PTSD symptoms or disorder (Heinrichs et al., 2005; Pervanidou et al., 2007; Videlock et al., 2008; Yehuda et al., 1998).”
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A prospective study of trait anger and PTSD symptoms in police
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“One study of 410 43 male German firefighters found that greater levels of hostility and lower levels of self-efficacy during academy training were associated with greater posttraumatic stress symptoms 2 years later (Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
InfluentialGalatzer‐Levy, I. R., Steenkamp, M. M., Brown, A. D., Qian, M., Inslicht, S. S., Henn‐Haase, C., Otte, C., Yehuda, R., Neylan, T. C., & Marmar, C. R. (2014) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2014.04.020 · Cited by 97
“The cortisol awakening response has been examined prospectively in military populations but failed to predict later PTSD development (van Zuiden et al., 2011).”
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“(Email : bissonji@cf.ac.uk) 143 pretraumatic hostility and low level of selfefficacy (Heinrichs et al. 2005) as well as reaction to the trauma, in particular panic attacks (Nixon & Bryant, 2003), have been shown to predict the development of PTSD.”
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Salivary Cortisol Lower in Posttraumatic Stress Disorder
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“Cortisol levels prior to trauma however were not related to PTSD development in firefighters with a 2 year followup (Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
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“However correlational behavioral research implicates a variety of possible factors, including personality traits (28;36), interaction of genetic factors and experiential factors, such as reduced functioning polymorphisms in the serotonin transporter (5-HTTLPR), and life stress or social support at the time of stress (…”
BackgroundPTSD symptoms and suicide risk in veterans: Serial indirect effects via depression and anger
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“However, correlational behavioral research implicates a variety of factors, including personality traits [4,5] as well as interaction of genetic factors and experiential factors, such as reduced functioning polymorphisms in the serotonin transporter (5HTTLPR), and life stress or social support at the time of stress [6…”
BackgroundResilience among first responders.
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“Consequently, it is not surprising that studies indicate that PTSD normally occurs in conjunction with psychopathology (Alexander & Klein, 2001; Bennett et al., 2004; Heinrichs et al., 2005), considering that negative cognitions related to self and negative representations about the world are present in distinct disor…”
BackgroundWyche, K. F., Pfefferbaum, R. L., Pfefferbaum, B. J., Norris, F. H., Wisnieski, D., & Younger, H. (2011) · American Journal of Orthopsychiatry · doi:10.1111/j.1939-0025.2010.01068.x · Cited by 69
Asnakew, S., Shumet, S., Ginbare, W., Legas, G., & Haile, K. (2019) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2018-028550 · Cited by 71
“IntrODuCtIOn Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a mental health problem that occurs following a traumatic event in which the individual experience, witnesses, is confronted with either actual or imagined loss of life or serious injury which results in a response of fear, helplessness or horror.(1) In order to be…”
BackgroundThe impact of traumatic stressors in civilian occupational settings
McFARLANE, A. C., Williamson, P., & Barton, C. (2009) · Journal of Public Health Policy · doi:10.1057/jphp.2009.21 · Cited by 64
Personality and psychophysiological profiles of police officer and firefighter recruits
Salters‐Pedneault, K., Ruef, A. M., & Orr, S. P. (2010) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2010.03.037 · Cited by 65
Walker, A., McKune, A. J., Ferguson, S. A., Pyne, D. B., & Rattray, B. (2016) · Extreme Physiology & Medicine · doi:10.1186/s13728-016-0049-x · Cited by 80
“Not all first responders or military personnel experience PTSD after exposure to stressful events [10, 11].”
BackgroundChung, M. C., AlQarni, N., Muhairi, S. A., & Mitchell, B. (2017) · Journal of Psychiatric Research · doi:10.1016/j.jpsychires.2017.07.001 · Cited by 64
“Self-efficacy as a psychological marker has been seen to be more useful than biological markers in predicting PTSD (Heinrichs et al., 2005; McFarlane et al., 2009).”
BackgroundJob stress and depressive symptoms among Japanese fire fighters
Saijo, Y., Ueno, T., & Hashimoto, Y. (2007) · American Journal of Industrial Medicine · doi:10.1002/ajim.20460 · Cited by 64
Stress and Coping Strategies Among Firefighters and Recruits
Chamberlin, M. J. A., & Green, H. J. (2010) · Journal of Loss and Trauma · doi:10.1080/15325024.2010.519275 · Cited by 63
“There has been research that has been conducted longitudinally with recruits (Bryant & Guthrie, 2005 ; Guthrie & Bryant, 2005 ; Heinrichs et al, 2005 ).”
BackgroundDuty‐Related Trauma Exposure and Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms in Professional Firefighters
Lee, J. H., Lee, D., Kim, J., Jeon, K., & Sim, M. (2017) · Journal of Traumatic Stress · doi:10.1002/jts.22180 · Cited by 64
Chatzea, V., Sifaki-Pistolla, D. I., Vlachaki, S.-A., Melidoniotis, E., & Pistolla, G. D. (2017) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2017.09.022 · Cited by 70
Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Symptoms and Suicide Risk in Male Firefighters
Boffa, J. W., Stanley, I. H., Smith, L. J., Mathes, B. M., Tran, J. K., Buser, S. J., Schmidt, N. B., & Vujanovic, A. A. (2018) · The Journal of Nervous and Mental Disease · doi:10.1097/nmd.0000000000000779 · Cited by 63
“Rates of PTSD among firefighters appear elevated, with point prevalence estimates ranging from 6.5% to 30% (Berninger et al., 2010; Bryant and Harvey, 1995; Haslam and Mallon, 2003; Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
BackgroundInfluentialLee, J.-K., Choi, H.-G., Kim, J.-Y., Nam, J., Kang, H.-T., Koh, S. B., & Oh, S. (2016) · Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine · doi:10.1186/s40557-016-0145-9 · Cited by 61
Kaurin, A., Schönfelder, S., & Wessa, M. (2018) · Journal of Counseling Psychology · doi:10.1037/cou0000275 · Cited by 79
Alexithymia and posttraumatic stress: subscales and symptom clusters
Declercq, F., Vanheule, S., & Deheegher, J. (2010) · Journal of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1002/jclp.20715 · Cited by 59
“…professionals involved in critical incidents seem to be underrepresented in current research, as only three studies were found to be devoted to this particular area: one examined fire fighters (Heinrichs et al., 2005) and two others focused on police officers (Marmar, 2006; Mc Caslin et al., 2006).”
BackgroundMental health implications of fire service membership.
Wagner, S. L., McFee, J. A., & Martin, C. A. (2010) · Traumatology An International Journal · doi:10.1177/1534765610362803 · Cited by 56
Davidson, J. R. T., Stein, D. J., ROTHBAUM, B. O., Pedersen, R., Szumski, A. E., & Baldwin, D. S. (2011) · Journal of Psychopharmacology · doi:10.1177/0269881111413821 · Cited by 57
“In a 2-year, prospective, follow-up study of firefighters, a low level of pretraumatic self-efficacy significantly predicted the development of PTSD symptoms (Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
BackgroundKang, P., Lv, Y., Hao, L., Tang, B., Liu, Z., Liu, X., Liu, Y., & Zhang, L. (2015) · Psychiatry Research · doi:10.1016/j.psychres.2015.09.047 · Cited by 55
“This retrospective study clearly showed that the prevalence of PTSD in general is 21.8%, echoing previous research that found the incidence of PTSD in rescue workers ranges from 13% to 30% (McFarlane, 1989; Dolce and Ricciardi, 2002; Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
BackgroundResultInfluentialTracy, M., Morgenstern, H., Zivin, K., Aiello, A. E., & Galea, S. (2014) · Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s00127-014-0884-2 · Cited by 57
“The relatively small number of studies that have used pre-trauma measures of mental health when assessing changes in depressive symptoms after prospectively measured traumatic event exposure have largely been restricted to specific subgroups, like first responders [30, 36], or have focused only on isolated traumatic e…”
Au, E. W. M. (2014) · Anxiety Stress & Coping · doi:10.1080/10615806.2014.976761 · Cited by 52
“Lastly, although Judge et al. (2002) examined both self-efficacy and locus of control, outcome control was not included as a variable of interest (either as a predictor or dependent variable.”
InfluentialAlghamdi, M., Hunt, N. C., & Thomas, S. (2015) · Behaviour Research and Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.brat.2015.01.008 · Cited by 52
“The psychological cost of this exposure increases the risk of long-term problems such as PTSD symptoms (Al-Naser & Everly, 1999; Bryant, Sutherland, & Guthrie, 2007; Corneil, Beaton, Murphy, Johnson, & Pike, 1999; Mitani, Fujita, Nakata, & Shirakawa, 2006) aswell as depression and anxiety (Carey, Al-Zaiti, Dean, Sessa…”
Son, S. H., Jo, H., Rim, H. D., Kim, J. H., Kim, H. W., Bae, G. Y., & Lee, S. J. (2012) · Psychiatry Investigation · doi:10.4306/pi.2012.9.4.325 · Cited by 52
Chiu, S., Webber, M. P., Zeig‐Owens, R., Gustave, J., Lee, R., Kelly, K. J., Rizzotto, L., McWilliams, R. M., Schorr, J. K., North, C. S., et al. (2011) · Annals of Clinical Psychiatry · doi:10.1177/104012371102300203 · Cited by 52
Yook, Y.-S. (2019) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0226739 · Cited by 51
“Firefighting is thus a high-risk job that involves an elevated threat of cardiovascular diseases induced by job-related stress [2, 3, 4].”
BackgroundHostility is related to clusters of T-cell cytokines and chemokines in healthy men
Mommersteeg, P. M. C., Vermetten, E. H. G. J. M., Kavelaars, A., Geuze, E., & Heijnen, C. J. (2008) · Psychoneuroendocrinology · doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2008.05.007 · Cited by 51
“068.0, Lundlaan 6, 3584EA Utrecht, The Netherlands bResearch Centre, Military Mental Healthcare, Ministry of Defense, Utrecht, The Netherlands cCoRPS-Center of Research on Psychology in Somatic diseases, Tilburg University, Tilburg, The Netherlands Received 29 November 2007; received in revised form 15 April 2008; acc…”
BackgroundInfluentialHuang, Q., Zhang, Q., An, Y., & Xu, W. (2019) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2019.07.002 · Cited by 50
Anger: Cause or Consequence of Posttraumatic Stress? A Prospective Study of Dutch Soldiers
Lommen, M. J. J., Engelhard, I. M., van de Schoot, R., & van den Hout, M. (2014) · Journal of Traumatic Stress · doi:10.1002/jts.21904 · Cited by 55
“The current finding that predeployment trait anger predicts subsequent PTSD symptom severity is in line with other prospective studies (Heinrichs et al., 2005; Meffert et al., 2008; van Zuiden et al., 2011), and supports the diathesis-stress model.”
BackgroundResultInfluentialEpigenetic Mechanisms Shape the Biological Response to Trauma and Risk for PTSD: A Critical Review
Heinzelmann, M., & Gill, J. (2013) · Nursing Research and Practice · doi:10.1155/2013/417010 · Cited by 50
Martin, C. E., Vujanovic, A. A., Paulus, D. J., Bartlett, B., Gallagher, M. W., & Tran, J. K. (2017) · Comprehensive Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.comppsych.2017.01.002 · Cited by 49
Kyron, M. J., Rees, C. S., Lawrence, D., Carleton, R. N., & McEvoy, P. M. (2020) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2020.12.021 · Cited by 50
Armstrong, D., Shakespeare-Finch, J., & Shochet, I. (2016) · Psychological Trauma Theory Research Practice and Policy · doi:10.1037/tra0000083 · Cited by 47
Dettenborn, L., Rosenlöcher, F., & Kirschbaum, C. (2007) · Psychoneuroendocrinology · doi:10.1016/j.psyneuen.2007.06.011 · Cited by 49
The Detection of Malingered Post-traumatic Stress Disorder
Knoll, J. L., & Resnick, P. J. (2006) · Psychiatric Clinics of North America · doi:10.1016/j.psc.2006.04.001 · Cited by 46
Pooley, J. A., Cohen, L., O’Connor, M., & Taylor, M. F. (2012) · Psychological Trauma Theory Research Practice and Policy · doi:10.1037/a0028046 · Cited by 47
“With regard to self-efficacy, however, the results show a negative relationship to stress (-.228) indicating the more stress reported, the less self- efficacious the residents’ report they are, and, thus, is consistent with previous research (Heinrichs et al., 2005).”
ResultThe overlooked relationship between motivational abilities and posttraumatic stress: a review
Simmen‐Janevska, K., Brandstätter, V., & Maercker, A. R. A. (2012) · European Journal of Psychotraumatology · doi:10.3402/ejpt.v3i0.18560 · Cited by 54
“…weeks, 3, and 12 months post-event r 0.44*** between SE (T1) and PTSD (T2) and r 0.25* between SE (T1) and PTSD (T3) No change in SE from T1 to T3 Heinrichs et al., 2005 SE (predictor) Firefighters (N 43) Early adulthood Male 1 group Assessment at baseline, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months…”
BackgroundInfluentialFirefighters and traumatic stress: a review
Fraess‐Phillips, A., Wagner, S. L., & Harris, R. L. (2017) · International Journal of Emergency Services · doi:10.1108/ijes-10-2016-0020 · Cited by 46
Metadata
- Authors
- Heinrichs, M., Wagner, D., Schoch, W., Soravia, L. M., Hellhammer, D. H., & Ehlert, U.
- Affiliations
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Venue
- American Journal of Psychiatry
- Published
- 2005-12-01
- Volume
- 162
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 2276-2286
- ISSN
- 0002-953X (ISSN-L)
- 1535-7228
- OpenAlex
- W2153934273
- Cited by
- 337
- References
- 93
- Citations by year
- 2026: 8 · 2025: 8 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 10 · 2022: 15 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 21 · 2019: 17 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 18 · 2015: 23 · 2014: 22 · 2013: 14 · 2012: 31
- FWCI
- 14.65
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Journal of Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Research Bank (Australian Catholic University) (submittedVersion)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Occupational Health and Performance
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Behavioral Neuroscience › Stress Responses and Cortisol
- Keywords
- post-traumatic stress disorder, firefighters, hostility, self-efficacy, alexithymia, depression, anxiety, personality traits, trauma exposure, vulnerability indicators, salivary cortisol, urinary catecholamines, occupational stress
- MeSH terms
- Adult, Affective Symptoms, Mental Disorders, Circadian Rhythm, Cortisone, Fires, Follow-Up Studies, Health Status, Hostility, Humans, Life Change Events, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Occupational Diseases, Personality Assessment, Prospective Studies, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Surveys and Questionnaires, Risk Factors, Saliva, Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic, Risk Assessment, Self Efficacy, Stress Disorders, Traumatic, Acute
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