The DOI matches its Crossref record; 55 of the 55 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 1 of the 39 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Police Violence and Citizen Crime Reporting in the Black Community
Abstract
High-profile cases of police violence—disproportionately experienced by black men—may present a serious threat to public safety if they lower citizen crime reporting. Using an interrupted time series design, this study analyzes how one of Milwaukee’s most publicized cases of police violence against an unarmed black man, the beating of Frank Jude, affected police-related 911 calls. Controlling for crime, prior call patterns, and several neighborhood characteristics, we find that residents of Milwaukee’s neighborhoods, especially residents of black neighborhoods, were far less likely to report crime after Jude’s beating was broadcast. The effect lasted for over a year and resulted in a total net loss of approximately 22,200 calls for service. Other local and national cases of police violence against unarmed black men also had a significant impact on citizen crime reporting in Milwaukee. Police misconduct can powerfully suppress one of the most basic forms of civic engagement: calling 911 for matters of personal and public safety.
Overview
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
Using an interrupted time series of Milwaukee 911 calls, the paper finds that publicized police violence against unarmed black men—especially the Frank Jude beating—sharply reduced citizen crime reporting, particularly in black neighborhoods. The effect lasted over a year and produced an estimated net loss of about 22,200 calls for service.
Key findings
- After the *Milwaukee Journal Sentinel* broke the Frank Jude beating story, police-related 911 calls declined significantly; the effect lasted more than a year and resulted in a net loss of approximately 22,200 calls, with 56% of that loss in black neighborhoods.
- In black neighborhoods, the decline was large and durable, while in white neighborhoods the decline was smaller and dissipated within about a year; black neighborhoods averaged 5.64 calls/week versus 1.7 calls/week in white neighborhoods.
- The six months after Jude’s story (March–August 2005) saw 87 homicides in Milwaukee, a 32% increase relative to the same six-month period in prior and subsequent years.
- Additional cases had mixed effects: Danyall Simpson’s beating and Sean Bell’s killing were followed by significant declines in 911 calls, while Oscar Grant’s killing did not reduce calls in Milwaukee and was followed by an increase.
Methods
- Interrupted time series design with block-group and month fixed effects, using negative binomial regression to model weekly 911 calls at the block-group level.
- Data: every 911 call placed in Milwaukee from March 1, 2004 to December 31, 2010 (N = 1,104,369); analyses focus on 596 block groups and 883,146 calls reporting crime, with controls for reported crime, neighborhood sociodemographic characteristics, and seasonality.
- Main analyses center on the date the Frank Jude story broke (February 6, 2005), with supplemental models for Danyall Simpson, Sean Bell, and Oscar Grant, plus a nonequivalent dependent variable analysis of automobile-accident calls.
Limitations
- The paper states that it relies on administrative records, that Milwaukee is similar to many midsize U.S. cities but highly segregated, and that effects may not be as acute or durable in more integrated cities; it also calls for future research on Hispanic communities.
- Evident from the design: the interrupted time series is observational and cannot definitively establish causality; exposure is assumed to begin when mainstream media broke each story, and concurrent events cannot be fully ruled out, though the automobile-accident analysis helps address general 911 declines.
- The paper notes that unreported crime likely increased post-Jude, which would make the estimated negative effect on crime reporting conservative.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Verification
Claims the paper makes
34 Own result · 32 Own interpretation · 17 No basis given · 14 No full text of the sources · 12 Own method · 6 Sources not found · 6 Not checked yet · 1 Partly supported · accuracy not yet measured
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the negative linear postintervention slope trend ( weeks post-Jude story ) finds that 911 calls for service declined significantly in the period after the story broke.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The effect lasted for over a year and resulted in a total net loss of approximately 22,200 calls for service.”
plainstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the overall trend for total calls (as seen in the weeks pre-Jude story coefficient) is positive and significant, indicating that police-related 911 calls trended slightly upward during the observation period.”
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The non-significant coefficient for Jude story indicates that the weekly number of 911 calls did not shift abruptly in either direction immediately following the publication of Jude's beating.”
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Other local and national cases of police violence against unarmed black men also had a significant impact on citizen crime reporting in Milwaukee.”
- Also stated in: § Keywords · p. 2 · plain
“Supplemental analyses of other local and national cases of police violence against unarmed black men also had an impact on crime reporting in Milwaukee.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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- Also stated in: § Keywords · p. 2 · plain
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Controlling for crime, prior call patterns, and several neighborhood characteristics, we find that residents of Milwaukee's neighborhoods, especially residents of black neighborhoods, were far less likely to report crime after Jude's beating was broadcast.”
- Also stated in: § Keywords · p. 2 · plain
“Controlling for several neighborhood characteristics, along with fixed effects for neighborhoods and months, we find that residents of Milwaukee's neighborhoods were far less likely to report crime after Jude's beating was broadcast.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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- Also stated in: § Keywords · p. 2 · plain
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The effect lasted for over a year and resulted in a total net loss of approximately 22,200 calls for service.”
plainstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In an average week, residents in black neighborhoods made 5.64 calls to 911 (min. = 0, max. 41), more than triple the calling rate of residents in white neighborhoods (1.7 calls per week; min. = 0, max. = 17).”
plainstates an association- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Over half of the total loss in 911 calls occurred in black neighborhoods.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Additionally, supplemental analyses find that in black neighborhoods, police-related 911 calls were unaffected in the weeks immediately following Jude's beating.”
plainSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- It may state two separate claims as one. 34
- Probably not a substantial claim. 35
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Our findings demonstrate that the media plays a crucial role in this process, not only by raising awareness of episodes of police violence but also by addressing basic questions about such episodes. What exactly happened? What was the race of the victim and police officer? Was the victim armed? When these questions are addressed, either by professional reporters (as in Frank Jude's case) or 'citiz”
What the sources say
boostedstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By contrast, the killing of Oscar Grant in Oakland, California, did not result in a decline in police-related 911 calls in Milwaukee. In fact, 911 calls increased in the weeks following Grant's death”
plainSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The dampening effect of the Jude beating on citizen crime reporting persisted for months, resulting in a net loss of more than 20,000 911 calls.”
plainstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“During the six months that followed Jude's story (March to August 2005), 87 homicides occurred in Milwaukee, representing a 32 percent increase in murders relative to the same six-month period in previous and subsequent years.”
plainstates an association- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The quadratic term is positive but non-significant in the black-neighborhoods subsample but positive and significant in the white-neighborhoods subsample, indicating that the initial decline in calls diminished with time in white but not black neighborhoods.”
hedgedstates an association- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“For comparison purposes, there were approximately 110,000 policerelated 911 calls from all Milwaukee neighborhoods during this time period.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Our analyses of the Frank Jude beating found that crime reporting eventually returned to typical levels, but it took roughly one year before they did-and even longer in black neighborhoods.”
plainstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In black neighborhoods, the decline in 911 calls is large and durable, with citizen crime reporting dropping and staying lower than expected for over a year after the story broke.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In both subsamples, the change in the intercept (denoted by the coefficient Jude story ) is not significant, but the linear post-story trend is significant and negative, with the effect appearing larger in white neighborhoods.”
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Calls for violent crime declined significantly following Jude's story before eventually returning to pre-intervention levels.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“With respect to reporting violent crime in particular, calls declined temporarily in white but not black neighborhoods after the story broke.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In white neighborhoods, by contrast, a small decline in 911 calls followed Jude's story, but the effect dissipated rapidly as 911 calls eventually surpassed the counterfactual line within a year's time.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Milwaukee residents issued fewer calls for service after the local press reported the assault of Danyall Simpson by a white police officer, an assault less severe than Jude's, and they were less likely to call the police after the killing of Sean Bell (in Queens, New York) made national headlines.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Consistent with our findings from the Frank Jude case, 911 calls reporting crime declined significantly following the breaking of Danyall Simpson's beating. Both the level and slope of crime reporting declined.”
plainstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“After Sean Bell's killing made national headlines, the level of 911 calls declined significantly-in all Milwaukee neighborhoods and in black neighborhoods, particularly-however, we do not observe a significant change in the slope of the post-story time trend.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
A result the paper reports from its own data — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“the number of calls reporting crime declined substantially in the wake of Jude's beating, relative to the counterfactual, and did not return to expected levels for more than a year.”
plainstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By including a quadratic term for the post-Jude time period, we are effectively testing for a discontinuous effect of the Jude beating on 911 calls as well as modeling the possibility that 911 calls eventually drift back to the pre-Jude trend.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“During that time, there were no public protests; unrest did follow the news story.”
plainSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Moreover, a close reading of ethnographic reports reveals that the code's manifestations may not be as uniform as is often believed.”
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Month fixed effects control for seasonal variation in crime and crime reporting, as calls peak in the summer and slump in the winter.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Citizens, many of them black, took to the streets in protest.”
plainstates a causen = 100- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The quote only partly states this claim.
In the paper
“This suggests that although knowledge of an incident of police violence may spread through personal networks close to the victim, those networks are not expansive enough to affect the crime-reporting behavior of an entire community in a compressed timespan (see Andrews and Biggs 2006).”
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Andrews and Biggs 2006 source
hedgedSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The quadratic post-Jude specification fits best.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
In the paper
“Additionally, we replicate our analyses on the number of weekly calls for automobile accidents, a 'nonequivalent dependent variable' that should have been unaffected by the Jude beating (Shadish, Cook, and Campbell 2002:184).”
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Shadish, Cook, and Campbell 2002:184
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Although sizeable racial differences were observed in peoples' attitudes toward the police, respondents were virtually identical in their surmised actions with law enforcement.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Additionally, we examine if citizen crime reporting in Milwaukee was affected by three other cases of police violence against unarmed black men: the 2007 assault of Danyall Simpson in Milwaukee; the 2006 killing of Sean Bell in Queens, New York; and the 2009 killing of Oscar Grant in Oakland, California.”
plainn = 3- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The Simpson case was covered in the local press; the other two cases were major stories in the national press.”
plainn = 3- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Legal cynicism is widely believed to result in citizens withdrawing from the police, particularly by refusing to report crime to the authorities (Baumer 2002).”
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Baumer 2002 source
boostedstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Using an interrupted time series design, this study analyzes how one of Milwaukee's most publicized cases of police violence against an unarmed black man, the beating of Frank Jude, affected police-related 911 calls.”
- Also stated in: § Methods · p. 6 · plain
“To assess the effect of the Frank Jude beating on citizen crime reporting, we use an interrupted time series design with block-group and month fixed effects.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
- Also stated in: § Methods · p. 6 · plain
In the paper
“To account for the structural characteristics commonly associated with neighborhood-level crime (Land, McCall, and Cohen 1990), we draw on U.S. Census data and calculate the following measures at the block-group level: percent of the population that is nonHispanic black; percent of the population that is Latino; percent of households below the poverty line; and percent of households that rent.”
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Land, McCall, and Cohen 1990 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Because calls related to car accidents are typically made to report injuries or for insurance purposes, having little to do with trust in law enforcement, we expect them to be unaffected by the incident.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These studies are primarily descriptive, and they do not control for crime rates.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Hence, in addition to analyzing all block groups, we also estimate models separately for black and white neighborhoods.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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Probably not a substantial claim.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Studies that measure attitudes toward the police and hypothesized citizen crime reporting find racial differences in the former but not the latter.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
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It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim could be matched to a paper in Crossref, so there is nothing to check it against.
In the paper
“Later that year, eight officers were federally charged. Seven were convicted (Borowski 2007; Diedrich 2007a).”
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Borowski 2007
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not matchedcites Diedrich 2007a
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We use a negative binomial specification to account for the skewness of the 911 calling pattern, with many block groups reporting few or no 911 calls in a given week.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Residents who refuse to seek help from the police are thought to rely on the code to dole out sanctions through violence or other informal means (Kirk and Papachristos 2011; Sampson 2012).”
What the sources say
hedgedstates a possible cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Calling 911 to report a crime is the most basic act of reliance on (and engagement with) the legal system in contemporary society (Manning 1988; Reiss 1992).”
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Manning 1988
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Reiss 1992 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Not matched
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As our main case study, we examine one of Milwaukee's most publicized moments of police brutality: the 2004 beating of an unarmed black man, Frank Jude, by white police officers.”
plainSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“We include block-group and month fixed effects in our models.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“It is also foundational to public safety, being the first and among the most important acts of cooperation with the police, who in many cases can respond to criminal activity only if it is reported.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“But on February 6, 2005, Sunday readers of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel were met with the following front-page headline: 'Police Suspected in Man's Beating' (Diedrich 2005b).”
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Diedrich 2005b
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plainSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
What the paper did — it cites no source for this, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Block-group fixed effects control for all time-invariant block-group-specific factors potentially correlated with 911 calls.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“A month later, nine officers were fired and four others disciplined.”
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Recent studies find that one's attitude toward the police can be influenced by vicarious experiences of one's social ties (Brunson 2007; Rosenbaum et al. 2005) and by repeated exposure to news reports of misconduct (Weitzer and Tuch 2005).”
What the sources say
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Four days after the story broke, more than 100 people marched in front of the District Attorney's office (Nunnally 2005).”
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites Nunnally 2005
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“The story told of the beating and the subsequent obstructionism and noncooperation by the police: 'Authorities knew right away who was involved, but more than three months later no one has been charged or even arrested.'”
plainSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If legal cynicism increased after the media broke the story of Frank Jude's beating, then it is likely that crime also increased during this time period.”
hedgedstates a possible cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
The paper states this without a source or data behind it here, so there is nothing to check it against. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Nevertheless, news of such incidents spread through various channels only after major media outlets broke the story.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
In the paper
“In racial composition, population size, and unemployment rate, Milwaukee is similar to many midsize U.S. cities (Desmond, Gershenson, and Kiviat 2015).”
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Desmond, Gershenson, and Kiviat 2015 source
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“These findings show that the observed decline in police-related 911 calls that followed Jude's story was not a product of a general decline in all 911 calls; rather, the decline was specific to crime reporting.”
boosted- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Such incidents belong to a centuries-old tradition of state-sanctioned assaults on the black body-from slavery and lynching campaigns to urban riots and mass incarceration (Muller 2012; Patterson 1998)an ugly fact that African Americans are more likely to recognize and dread.”
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Muller 2012 source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites Patterson 1998
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“The effect of Frank Jude's beating on citizen crime reporting matched the severity of the incident, but instances of police violence less extreme by comparison, as well as events that took place thousands of miles away, still appear to have had an impact on crime reporting in Milwaukee.”
hedgedstates an associationn = 3- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“one implication of this study is that should we wish to understand why some crime goes unreported in the black community, we should try to understand residents' collective memory regarding police violence in their city and others.”
hedgedstates an association- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This indicates that high-profile cases of excessive police force constitute a severe breach in the social contract that exists between citizens and the criminal justice system.”
hedgedstates a causeSingle case- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Within black neighborhoods, the impact of police violence on citizen crime reporting results not only from African Americans identifying with the victim but also interpreting the moment of victimization in terms that articulate the nation's racial heritage.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“By extension, we would not expect an equivalent response in predominantly white or Latino neighborhoods after publicized episodes of police violence against unarmed white or Latino citizens.”
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Owing to the legacy of racism in the United States, many members of the black community perceive an assault of a black man by white police officers as an assault on the black community writ large, activating a collective response.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“An important implication of this finding is that publicized cases of police violence not only threaten the legitimacy and reputation of law enforcement; they also-by driving down 911 calls-thwart the suppression of law breaking, obstruct the application of justice, and ultimately make cities as a whole, and the black community in particular, less safe.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Individual instances of institutional failure can have aggregate and lasting consequences that vitiate police-community relations and thwart crime-reduction efforts.”
plainstates a cause- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The authors state this as an assumption.
Breaking the story in mainstream media outlets was what brought the incidents to public light, even if community members did not themselves learn of the incidents through such outlets.
“In each case we analyze, we assume that breaking the story in mainstream media outlets was what brought the incidents to public light, even if community members did not themselves learn of the incidents through such outlets.”
The paper relies on this without support.
High-profile cases of police violence against unarmed citizens can undermine the legitimacy of legal authority.
“High-profile cases of police violence against unarmed citizens can undermine the legitimacy of legal authority.”
The paper relies on this without support.
911 calls are a valid measure of citizen crime reporting.
“Model 1 takes as its outcome all 911 calls reporting crime recorded in Milwaukee between March 1, 2004 and December 31, 2005.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Milwaukee residents learned of the Frank Jude beating and other publicized cases at the times used as intervention dates.
“in the wake of Milwaukeeans learning of Jude's beating”
The paper relies on this without support.
The press coverage dates accurately mark the onset of public awareness for each incident.
“following the reporting of each incident (for Simpson: February 18, 2007; for Bell: November 27, 2006; for Grant: January 8, 2009).”
The paper relies on this without support.
No other crime-specific concurrent event caused the decline in crime reporting after Jude's story.
“These findings show that the observed decline in police-related 911 calls that followed Jude's story was not a product of a general decline in all 911 calls; rather, the decline was specific to crime reporting.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Milwaukee has high levels of racial segregation.
“Milwaukee has high levels of racial segregation.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“When police lack legitimacy, residents are less likely to contact police or cooperate with their investigations (4, 5).”
From A field experiment on community policing and police legitimacy (2019) · cites this paper as [5]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Rated major: it would touch a result — a value a result rests on, reported and recomputed p-values on opposite sides of the significance level, two passages that conflict with no sign which is right, or a cited work retracted before this paper was published.
In the paper
§ Calls for Service Data · p. 5
“designate a neighborhood as black or white if these respective groups account for at least two-thirds of neighborhood residents.”
§ References · p. 20
“Black/white neighborhoods are defined as those in which at least 65 percent of residents are black/white.”
Citations
Cites
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Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis: Modeling Change and Event Occurrence
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Code of the Street: Decency, Violence, and the Moral Life of the Inner City
Halnon, K. B., & Anderson, E. (2001) · Teaching Sociology · doi:10.2307/1318956 · Cited by 3,614
Code of the street: decency, violence, and the moral life of the inner city
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Framing as a Theory of Media Effects
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Research works printed but not linked: 22
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- Barton Gina, 2006, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
- Board of Fire and Police Commissioners of the City of Milwaukee, 2008, In the Matter of the Appeal of Police Officer Zoe Jackson from MPD Personnel Order Number 2007-184
- Borowski Greg, 2007, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
- Buckley Cara, 2006, New York Times
- Chideya Farai, 2009, National Public Radio
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- Diedrich John, 2007, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
- Diedrich John, 2012, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
- Francisco Stacey, 2006, CNN
- McKinley Jesse, 2009, New York Times
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- Milwaukee Journal Sentinel . 2007. “Timeline of Events in Frank Jude Beating Case.” July 27.
- Milwaukee Journal Sentinel . 2012. “Timeline: Deaths in Milwaukee Police Custody, Proposed Reforms.” October 27.
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- Pew Research Center. 2014. “Stark Racial Divisions in Reactions to Ferguson Police Shooting.” Washington, DC: Pew Research Center for People and the Press.
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Toro, J. D., Lloyd, T., Buchanan, K. S., Robins, S. J., Bencharit, L. Z., Smiedt, M. G., Reddy, K. S., Pouget, E. R., Kerrison, E. M. T., & Goff, P. A. (2019) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1808976116 · Cited by 205
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Did de‐policing cause the increase in homicide rates?
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Metadata
- Authors
- Desmond, M., Papachristos, A. V., & Kirk, D. S.
- Affiliations
- Harvard University (US)
- Yale University (US)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Desmond, Matthew
- Venue
- American Sociological Review
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2016-09-29
- Volume
- 81
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 857-876
- ISSN
- 0003-1224 (ISSN-L)
- 1939-8271
- OpenAlex
- W2525526196
- Semantic Scholar
- 1609c3ab3d61703f7684473e780883fb9f3ee3a2
- Cited by
- 541
- References
- 55
- Citations by year
- 2026: 29 · 2025: 42 · 2024: 48 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 65 · 2021: 69 · 2020: 99 · 2019: 73 · 2018: 37 · 2017: 24 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 229.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- American Sociological Review (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Policing Practices and Perceptions
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
- Keywords
- police brutality, crime reporting, 911 calls, Black communities, police misconduct, citizen participation, media coverage of police, Milwaukee, racial disparities in policing
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