Advanced Diabetes Management Using Artificial Intelligence and Continuous Glucose Monitoring Sensors
Open accessAbstract
Wearable continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) sensors are revolutionizing the treatment of type 1 diabetes (T1D). These sensors provide in real-time, every 1–5 min, the current blood glucose concentration and its rate-of-change, two key pieces of information for improving the determination of exogenous insulin administration and the prediction of forthcoming adverse events, such as hypo-/hyper-glycemia. The current research in diabetes technology is putting considerable effort into developing decision support systems for patient use, which automatically analyze the patient’s data collected by CGM sensors and other portable devices, as well as providing personalized recommendations about therapy adjustments to patients. Due to the large amount of data collected by patients with T1D and their variety, artificial intelligence (AI) techniques are increasingly being adopted in these decision support systems. In this paper, we review the state-of-the-art methodologies using AI and CGM sensors for decision support in advanced T1D management, including techniques for personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of bolus calculator parameters and glucose prediction.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This narrative review surveys state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI) methods that use continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) sensor data to support advanced type 1 diabetes (T1D) management. It focuses on three decision-support tasks: personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of bolus calculator parameters, and glucose prediction.
Key findings
- For personalized bolus calculation, a neural-network-based bolus calculator that corrects the standard formula achieved significantly lower blood glucose risk index (BGRI) values than the standard formula in silico, though in a non-negligible number of cases it performed worse; a separate LASSO-regularized linear regression formula (14 features, trained on 100 virtual subjects across 162,000 subject–meal combinations) also produced lower BGRI than the standard formula.
- For adaptive parameter tuning, a run-to-run plus case-based reasoning (R2R+CBR) algorithm improved glycemic control over stand-alone R2R in 20 virtual subjects and was robust to carb-counting error and CGM noise; implemented as ABC4D, it was tested in a six-week non-randomized study of 10 adults with T1D and reduced postprandial hypoglycemia. A temporal CBR variant reduced BGRI by up to 27% after three revisions in a six-month in silico study.
- For glucose prediction, benchmarking on the OhioT1DM dataset at a 30-min prediction horizon found best RMSE of 19–20 mg/dL (ARX, Ridge, linear SVR, LSTM, TCN), with maximum time gain of about 7 min (gradient boosting trees, LSTM); linear SVR and TCN gave RMSE ~20 mg/dL with ~6 min time gain.
- An XGBoost-based classifier for postprandial glycemic status, used to adjust meal boluses, improved time in euglycemia from 61.98% to 67.00% without increasing time in hypoglycemia in 100 virtual adults; a decision tree and random forest for exercise hypoglycemia reached 79.55% and 86.67% accuracy respectively.
Methods
- Narrative (non-systematic) review of AI-based decision support systems for patient use in T1D, organized around three tasks: personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of bolus calculator parameters, and glucose prediction.
- Describes specific algorithms and their validation studies, including in silico simulations using the UVa/Padova T1D Simulator, retrospective real-data analyses, and the OhioT1DM benchmarking dataset.
- Performance metrics discussed include BGRI, RMSE, time gain (TG), time in euglycemia, and classification accuracy.
Limitations
- The paper states that most reviewed techniques were validated only in silico or on retrospective real data, and that prospective clinical validation proving safety and effectiveness is required before adoption in T1D management.
- The paper notes the NN-based bolus calculator led to worse glycemic control than the standard formula in a non-negligible number of cases, and that the standard formula's structure may intrinsically limit correction-based approaches.
- The paper states the exercise-hypoglycemia prediction study (Reddy et al.) used data collected only in a controlled inpatient environment, requiring validation under free-living conditions and with different exercise types; it also notes the Patient Safety System modules were each validated only on retrospective data and need clinical validation.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Cites
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 55 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingnone given
Most AI techniques for personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of bolus calculator parameters, and glucose prediction were validated only in silico or on retrospective real data.
“However, most of these techniques were validated only in silico or on retrospective real data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The use of rtCGM sensors has proved to be very beneficial for glycemic control.
“The use of rtCGM sensors has proved to be very beneficial for glycemic control [10,16,17].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [10] Cappon, 2019, Continuous glucose monitoring sensors for diabetes management: A review of technologies and applications, Diabetes Metab. J. source
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- cites [16] Bergenstal, 2010, STAR 3 Study Group. Effectiveness of sensor-augmented insulin-pump therapy in type 1 diabetes, N. Engl. J. Med. source
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- cites [17] Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation Continuous Glucose Monitoring Study Group, Tamborlane, W.V., Beck, R.W., Bode, B.W., Buckingham, B., Chase, H.P., Clemons, R., Fiallo-Scharer, R., Fox, L.A., and Gilliam, L.K. (2008). Continuous glucose monitoring and intensive treatment of type 1 diabetes. N. Engl. J. Med., 359, 1464–1476. source
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- Premisecitation
CGM sensors measure interstitial glucose concentrations in subcutaneous tissue almost continuously (e.g., every 1-5 min) for several consecutive days or weeks.
“CGM sensors measure interstitial glucose concentrations in subcutaneous tissue almost continuously (e.g., every 1–5 min) for several consecutive days or weeks [9].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Klonoff, 2017, Continuous glucose monitoring: A review of the technology and clinical use, Diabetes Res. Clin. Pract. source
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- Premisecitation
Cappon et al. used a large training set of simulated data to train a neural network that predicts the optimal value for X to correct Gc in the standard formula.
“In particular, Cappon et al. [37] used a large training set of simulated data to train a neural network (NN) that predicts the optimal value for X, i.e., the value of X that optimizes post-prandial glucose control.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] Cappon, 2018, A Neural-network-based approach to personalize insulin bolus calculation using continuous glucose monitoring, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Premiseown data
The NN-based bolus calculator achieved significantly lower blood glucose risk index values than the standard formula.
“The results showed that the NN-based BC achieved significantly lower BGRI values than did the SF.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] Cappon, 2018, A Neural-network-based approach to personalize insulin bolus calculation using continuous glucose monitoring, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Premisecitation
rtCGM devices provide vibratory or auditory alerts when hypo/hyperglycemic events are detected.
“Moreover, rtCGM devices provide vibratory or auditory alerts when hypo/hyperglycemic events are detected, i.e., when the glucose concentration measured exceeds pre-set, customizable, thresholds for hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia [10].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] Cappon, 2019, Continuous glucose monitoring sensors for diabetes management: A review of technologies and applications, Diabetes Metab. J. source
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- Premiseown data
The new linear regression formula resulted in improved glycemic outcomes, i.e., lower blood glucose risk index values, than the standard formula.
“The results show that the new formula resulted in improved glycemic outcomes, i.e., lower BGRI values, than the SF.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [40] Noaro, G., Cappon, G., Vettoretti, M., Sparacino, G., del Favero, S., and Facchinetti, A. (2020). Machine-learning based model to improve insulin bolus calculation in type 1 diabetes therapy. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
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- Premisecitation
Noaro et al. derived a new formula to calculate meal insulin doses using regularized multiple linear regression.
“In Noaro et al. [40], a new formula to calculate meal insulin doses was derived using regularized multiple linear regression.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [40] Noaro, G., Cappon, G., Vettoretti, M., Sparacino, G., del Favero, S., and Facchinetti, A. (2020). Machine-learning based model to improve insulin bolus calculation in type 1 diabetes therapy. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
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- Premisecitation
DreaMed introduced Advisor Pro, an AI-based DSS that analyzes patient data and provides personalized recommendations on adjustment of therapy parameters.
“DreaMed (DreaMed Diabetes Ltd., Petah Tikva, Israel) recently introduced Advisor Pro, a AI-based DSS for diabetes management that analyzes the patient’s data and provides personalized recommendations on the adjustment of therapy parameters [32].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] DreaMed Diabeted Ltd (2020, April 15). On DreaMed Advisor Pro. Available online: https://dreamed-diabetes.com/advisor/.
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- Study design and conductown data
The dataset for the linear regression model was split into independent training and test sets containing data from different subjects.
“The dataset was split into independent training and test sets, containing data from different subjects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [40] Noaro, G., Cappon, G., Vettoretti, M., Sparacino, G., del Favero, S., and Facchinetti, A. (2020). Machine-learning based model to improve insulin bolus calculation in type 1 diabetes therapy. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
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- Interpretationcitation
If provided sufficiently in advance, predictive alerts allow the patient to take suitable countermeasures, such as preventive hypo-treatments or correction boluses, to mitigate or even prevent critical episodes.
“If provided sufficiently in advance, predictive alerts allow the patient to take suitable countermeasures, e.g., preventive hypo-treatments or correction boluses, to mitigate, or even prevent, such critical episodes [50].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [50] Camerlingo, 2019, A real-time continuous glucose monitoring-based algorithm to trigger hypotreatments to prevent/mitigate hypoglycemic events, Diabetes Technol. Ther. source
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- Premisecitation
The large amount of data acquired from patients with diabetes makes artificial intelligence techniques particularly attractive for developing diabetes decision support systems.
“The large amount of data that can be acquired from patients with diabetes makes artificial intelligence (AI) techniques particularly attractive for developing diabetes DSSs [25].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] Contreras, 2018, Artificial intelligence for diabetes management and decision support: Literature review, J. Med. Internet Res. source
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- Premisecitation
In a six-month in silico study, Brown et al.'s CBR-based algorithm for bolus calculator parameter optimization reduced the BGRI by up to 27% after three revisions of bolus calculator parameters.
“The results obtained in a six-month in silico study revealed that the proposed algorithm achieved good results in terms of population glycemic outcomes (the BGRI was reduced by up to 27% after three revisions of bolus calculator parameters) [47].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Brown et al. [47] Brown, 2018, Temporal case-based reasoning for type 1 diabetes mellitus bolus insulin decision support, Artif. Intell. Med. source
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- Premisecitation
ABC4D was tested in a six-week-long non-randomized clinical study involving 10 adult subjects with type 1 diabetes.
“ABC4D was tested in a six-week-long non-randomized clinical study, involving 10 adult subjects with T1D [45].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] Reddy, 2016, Clinical safety and feasibility of the advanced bolus calculator for type 1 diabetes based on case-based reasoning: A 6-week nonrandomized single-arm pilot study, Diabetes Technol. Ther. source
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- Study design and conductcitation
The performance of the NN-based bolus calculator was assessed on an independent test set generated by the UVa/Padova T1D Simulator.
“The performance of the NN-based BC was assessed on an independent test set generated by the UVa/Padova T1D Simulator in terms of blood glucose risk index (BGRI) [39], i.e., a popular metric of glycemic control that, thanks to symmetrisation of the glucose scale, is equally sensitive to hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] Fabris, 2015, Are risk indices derived from CGM interchangeable with SMBG-Based indices?, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Study design and conductcitation
The training set for the neural network was created in silico by the UVa/Padova T1D Simulator, a simulation tool accepted by the FDA to substitute preclinical trials of certain insulin treatments.
“The training set, which spanned a wide range of pre-meal conditions and patient characteristics, was created in silico by the UVa/Padova T1D Simulator [38], a simulation tool that includes a model of glucose-insulin-glucagon dynamics in subjects with T1D, accepted by the FDA to substitute preclinical trials of certain insulin treatments.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] Man, 2014, The UVA/PADOVA type 1 diabetes simulator: New features, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Premisecitation
In a three-month in silico experiment, the new version of R2R+CBR proposed by Torrent-Fontbona and López achieved better glycemic control metrics than the initial version by Herrero et al.
“The results of a three-month in silico experiment showed that the new version of R2R+CBR achieved better glycemic control metrics when it was compared with the initial version by Herrero et al. [42].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Torrent-Fontbona and Beatriz López [46]
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- cites Herrero et al. [42] Herrero, 2014, Advanced insulin bolus advisor based on run-to-run control and case-based reasoning, IEEE J. Biomed. Health Inform.
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- Premisecitation
Reddy et al.'s random forest for predicting hypoglycemia during aerobic exercise achieved an accuracy of 86.67%.
“The simple decision tree achieved an accuracy of 79.55% with only two features, while the random forest had an accuracy of 86.67%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Reddy et al. [60] Reddy, 2019, Prediction of hypoglycemia during aerobic exercise in adults with type 1 diabetes, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Premisecitation
In Xie and Wang's comparison on the OhioT1DM dataset, the best results were achieved by considering all available inputs in a 45-min time-window before the prediction time.
“The best results were achieved by considering all of the available inputs in a 45-min time-window before the prediction time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Xie, J., and Wang, Q. (2020). Benchmarking machine learning algorithms on blood glucose prediction for Type 1 Diabetes in comparison with classical time-series models. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
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- Premisecitation
Algorithms that use CGM data plus external inputs, such as ingested carbohydrates, injected insulin and physical activity, have been shown to enhance prediction performance compared to predictions using only CGM data.
“While, others use CGM data plus external inputs, such as the amount of ingested carbohydrates, injected insulin and physical activity [52]. These have been shown to enhance the performance of predictions when compared to predictions using only CGM data [53].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [52] Oviedo, 2016, A review of personalized blood glucose prediction strategies for T1DM patients, Int. J. Numer. Methods Biomed. Eng. source
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- cites [53] Zecchin, 2016, How much is short-term glucose prediction in type 1 diabetes improved by adding insulin delivery and meal content information to CGM data? A Proof-of-Concept Study, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Premisecitation
Reddy et al.'s simple decision tree for predicting hypoglycemia during aerobic exercise achieved an accuracy of 79.55% with only two features.
“The simple decision tree achieved an accuracy of 79.55% with only two features, while the random forest had an accuracy of 86.67%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Reddy et al. [60] Reddy, 2019, Prediction of hypoglycemia during aerobic exercise in adults with type 1 diabetes, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Interpretationcitation
Such data integration could contribute to generating a digital ecosystem of diabetes data that can be used to extract new medical knowledge that cannot be discovered by relying on a single source of information.
“Such data integration could contribute to generating a digital ecosystem of diabetes data that can be used to extract new medical knowledge that cannot be discovered by relying on a single source of information [66,67].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [66] Heintzman, 2015, A digital ecosystem of diabetes data and technology: Services, systems, and tools enabled by wearables, sensors, and apps, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- cites [67] Vettoretti, 2018, Continuous glucose monitoring: Current use in diabetes management and possible future applications, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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- Rests on an assumption: The increased availability of internet-connected and interoperable sensors makes it possible to construct large databases of interstitial glucose measurements integrated with other data sources.
- Interpretationnone given
Currently available literature evidence suggests that AI techniques can achieve very promising performance in personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of bolus calculator parameters, and glucose prediction.
“Currently available literature evidence suggests that AI techniques can achieve very promising performance in these three tasks.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
CGM data can be merged with information provided by other medical devices, mobile apps, clinical registries, electronic health records, and other wearable sensors such as activity trackers.
“For example, CGM data can be merged with information provided by other medical devices (SMBG, pumps, smart pens) [64], mobile apps, clinical registries, electronic health records, as well as other wearable sensors, such as activity trackers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [64] Neinstein, 2015, A case study in open source innovation: Developing the Tidepool Platform for interoperability in type 1 diabetes management, J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc. source
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- Interpretationreasoning
Large diabetes databases integrating multiple data sources increasingly require the use of AI techniques for the development of applications for therapy personalization and the prevention of complications.
“Large diabetes databases, integrating multiple data sources, increasingly require the use of AI techniques for the development of applications for therapy personalization and the prevention of complications.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: AI techniques can handle big datasets with different types of data without the need of an underlying physiological model.
- May combine two claims. 28
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 12
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PremisecitationCGM sensors allow tracking glucose dynamics and prompt detection of asymptomatic high/low glucose events, which SMBG cannot.
“Indeed, in contrast to SMBG, CGM sensors allow to track glucose dynamics and they ensure prompt detection of even asymptomatic high/low glucose events, which are difficult to capture with SMBG.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] Cappon, 2019, Continuous glucose monitoring sensors for diabetes management: A review of technologies and applications, Diabetes Metab. J. source
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Premisenone givenDSSs for patient use receive input about glucose concentration, diet, insulin administrations and physical activity, and primarily perform three tasks: personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of BC parameters, and glucose prediction.
“The DSSs for patient use proposed in the literature receive input information about glucose concentration, diet, insulin administrations and physical activity and primarily perform three tasks: Personalized insulin bolus calculation, adaptive tuning of BC parameters and glucose prediction (Figure 1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe standard formula for bolus computation was designed when SMBG was the only way to measure glucose at home, and it only uses current glucose concentration, ignoring glucose rate-of-change available with CGM.
“The SF was designed when SMBG was the only way to measure glucose concentration at home. In fact, the SF only uses information about the current glucose concentration (Gc), ignoring the information on glucose rate-of-change (ROC) that is now available with modern CGM sensors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataMachine learning methods can be used to design new data-driven formulae for insulin dosing that naturally account for CGM information including glucose rate-of-change and could improve glycemic control in type 1 diabetes.
“In conclusion, machine learning methods can be used to design new data-driven formulae for insulin dosing that are able to naturally account for CGM information (including glucose ROC) and which could improve glycemic control in T1D.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premiseown dataAlthough on average the NN-based bolus calculator improved glycemic control compared to the standard formula, in a non-negligible number of cases the dose provided by the NN-based bolus calculator led to worse glycemic control than the standard formula.
“Although, on average, the NN-based BC did improve BG control when compared to the SF, in a non-negligible number of cases the dose provided by the NN-based BC led to worse glycemic control than did the SF.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] Cappon, 2018, A Neural-network-based approach to personalize insulin bolus calculation using continuous glucose monitoring, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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PremisecitationDSSs for patients offer an alternative to closed-loop systems because many users do not feel confident using the artificial pancreas.
“These DSSs for patients offer an alternative to closed-loop systems. Indeed, many users do not feel confident about using the artificial pancreas [28,29], as they are concerned about possible errors occurring in the insulin pump and so prefer an open-loop therapy (i.e., a therapy in which the patient manually sets the insulin doses), which can be assisted by a DSS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [28] Hendrieckx, 2017, “It is definitely a game changer”: A qualitative study of experiences with in-home overnight closed-loop technology among adults with type 1 diabetes, Diabetes Technol. Ther. source
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- cites [29] Kropff, 2016, Psychological outcomes of evening and night closed-loop insulin delivery under free living conditions in people with Type 1 diabetes: A 2-month randomized crossover trial, Diabet. Med. source
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Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationResults from a simulated experiment suggested that run-to-run offers a promising approach to optimizing standard formula parameters.
“The results obtained from a simulated experiment suggested that R2R offers a promising approach to optimizing SF parameters [41].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] Herrero, 2015, Method for automatic adjustment of an insulin bolus calculator: In silico robustness evaluation under intra-day variability, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. source
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PremisecitationSince 2015, some rtCGM devices have received regulatory approval for therapeutic use, meaning rtCGM measurements may be used for making therapeutic decisions such as insulin dosing.
“Since 2015, some rtCGM devices have also received regulatory approval for therapeutic use, which means that rtCGM measurements may be used for making therapeutic decisions, such as insulin dosing [19].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [19] Edelman, 2016, Regulation Catches Up to Reality, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationHerrero et al. proposed an approach to automatically adjust carbohydrate-to-insulin ratio and correction factor using CGM measurements, updating parameter values daily in a run-to-run fashion.
“Herrero et al. [41] proposed an approach to automatically adjust CR and CF using CGM measurements. This method updates the parameters values every day in a run-to-run (R2R) fashion.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [41] Herrero, 2015, Method for automatic adjustment of an insulin bolus calculator: In silico robustness evaluation under intra-day variability, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. source
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PremisecitationAn in silico head-to-head comparison of empirical methods that adjust the standard formula according to glucose rate-of-change showed that their efficacy depends on the pre-meal scenario and no method globally outperforms the others.
“However, an in silico head-to-head comparison of these methods has shown that their efficacy depends on the pre-meal scenario and that not one of these methodologies globally outperforms the others [36].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] Cappon, 2018, In Silico Assessment of literature insulin bolus calculation methods accounting for glucose rate of change, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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PremisereasoningrtCGM devices provide real-time glucose concentration and trend information, which can be used for making more informed therapeutic decisions.
“rtCGM devices are able to provide, in real-time, not only the glucose concentration present but also information about the glucose trend (typically displayed to the user by an arrow), which can be used for making more informed therapeutic decisions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe standard formula is intrinsically suboptimal, and using it as a starting point to be corrected might prove to be an obstacle in the training process of the neural network.
“Indeed, the SF is intrinsically suboptimal, and using it as a starting point to be corrected might prove to be an obstacle in the training process of NN [36].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] Cappon, 2018, In Silico Assessment of literature insulin bolus calculation methods accounting for glucose rate of change, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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PremisecitationThe PEPPER project developed a DSS for personalized T1D management including an adaptive bolus advisor based on case-based reasoning and a carbohydrate recommendation system based on a predictive model.
“For example, PEPPER (Patient Empowerment through Predictive PERsonalised decision support), a project funded by the European Commission under the Horizon 2020 program, recently developed a DSS for personalized T1D management that includes an adaptive bolus advisor, based on case-based reasoning, as well as a system for carbohydrate recommendations based on a predictive model [31].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] Herrero, P., Lopez, B., and Martin, C. (2016, January 30). PEPPER: Patient empowerment through predictive personalized decision support. Proceedings of the AID: Artificial Intelligence for Diabetes: 1st ECAI Workshop on Artificial Intelligence for Diabetes at the 22nd European Conference on Artificial Intelligence (ECAI 2016), The Hague, The Netherlands.
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Premiseown dataIn a cohort of 20 virtual subjects, the R2R+CBR algorithm significantly improved glycemic control, achieving better results than the stand-alone R2R algorithm.
“The results obtained in a cohort of 20 virtual subjects showed that the adoption of R2R+CBR significantly improved glycemic control, achieving better results than the stand-alone R2R algorithm.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [42] Herrero, 2014, Advanced insulin bolus advisor based on run-to-run control and case-based reasoning, IEEE J. Biomed. Health Inform.
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PremisecitationThe study demonstrated the safety and effectiveness of ABC4D, which made it possible to reduce the occurrence of postprandial hypoglycemia.
“The study demonstrated the safety and effectiveness of ABC4D, which made it possible to reduce the occurrence of postprandial hypoglycemia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] Reddy, 2016, Clinical safety and feasibility of the advanced bolus calculator for type 1 diabetes based on case-based reasoning: A 6-week nonrandomized single-arm pilot study, Diabetes Technol. Ther. source
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Premisenone givenCurrent research in diabetes is putting considerable effort into developing algorithms and software applications to enhance type 1 diabetes therapy by exploiting the latest technologies and their interoperability.
“Current research in diabetes is putting considerable effort into developing algorithms and software applications to enhance T1D therapy by exploiting the latest technologies and their interoperability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationSun et al.'s reinforcement learning algorithm for insulin therapy optimization showed encouraging results in a simulated study, suggesting it could personalize insulin therapy parameters and improve glycemic control.
“The encouraging results obtained in a simulated study suggest that reinforcement learning could be a promising approach, one able to both personalize insulin therapy parameters and improve glycemic control.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sun et al. [48] Sun, 2019, A dual mode adaptive basal-bolus advisor based on reinforcement learning, IEEE J. Biomed. Health Inform. source
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Study design and conductown dataThe neural network hyper-parameters were tuned using a five-fold cross-validation procedure.
“The NN hyper-parameters (i.e., the number of neurons per layer and the activation function type) were tuned using a five-fold CV procedure, in other words, the training set was divided into five groups of data, four of which were used for training the NN and the remaining one used as a validation set to compute the mean squared error (MSE).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] Cappon, 2018, A Neural-network-based approach to personalize insulin bolus calculation using continuous glucose monitoring, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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Premisenone givenThe increasing availability of information offered by wearable devices such as CGM sensors, insulin pumps, smart pens, and activity trackers is making the decision-making process increasingly complex.
“The increasing availability of information offered by wearable devices, such as CGM sensors, insulin pumps, smart pens, and activity trackers, is making the decision-making process increasingly complex.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningRun-to-run assumes the process to be controlled (blood glucose level) is repetitive, which is somewhat unrealistic in many cases and limits run-to-run applicability.
“One fundamental issue of R2R is that it assumes that the process that is to be controlled, in our case the BG level, is repetitive. This assumption is somewhat unrealistic in many cases, thus it limits R2R applicability.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe most recent CGM sensors adopt simple prediction algorithms, such as linear extrapolation, to predict future interstitial glucose concentrations 15-30 min in advance in real-time and generate predictive alerts when a hypo/hyperglycemic event is foreseen.
“The most recent CGM sensors adopt very simple prediction algorithms, e.g., linear extrapolation, to predict future interstitial glucose concentrations (e.g., 15–30 min in advance) in real-time and generate predictive alerts when a hypo/hyperglycemic event is foreseen [49].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [49] Abraham, S.B., Arunachalam, S., Zhong, A., Agrawal, P., Cohen, O., and McMahon, C.M. (2019). Improved real-world glycemic control with continuous glucose monitoring system predictive alerts. J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
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May combine two claims.
Premiseown dataThe R2R+CBR algorithm was able to tackle intrasubject variability and external perturbations, and was robust to uncertainty in carbohydrate input and noise in CGM measurements.
“The proposed R2R+CBR algorithm was able to tackle intrasubject variability and external perturbations, and it was shown to be robust to uncertainty in carbohydrate input (i.e., carb-counting error) and noise in CGM measurements.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [42] Herrero, 2014, Advanced insulin bolus advisor based on run-to-run control and case-based reasoning, IEEE J. Biomed. Health Inform.
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn a virtual cohort of 100 adults, Cappon et al.'s XGB-based bolus calculator, compared to the standard formula, significantly improved time in euglycemia from 61.98% to 67.00% without increasing time in hypoglycemia.
“The results obtained in a virtual cohort of 100 adults, showed that, compared to the SF, the XGB-based BC significantly improved time in euglycemia (from 61.98% to 67.00%) without increasing time in hypoglycemia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Cappon et al. [59] Cappon, G., Facchinetti, A., Sparacino., G., Georgiou, P., and Herrero, P. (2019). Classification of postprandial glycemic status with application to insulin dosing in type 1 diabetes—An in silico proof-of-concept. Sensors, 19. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMost glucose prediction algorithms in the literature approach glucose prediction as a regression problem, seeking to predict interstitial glucose concentration with a prediction horizon typically below 60 min, with 30 min the most frequent.
“Most of the prediction algorithms in the literature approach the problem of glucose prediction as a regression problem, in other words they seek to predict the value of interstitial glucose concentration with a prediction horizon (PH) typically below 60 min (30 min is the most frequent PH value) [52].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] Oviedo, 2016, A review of personalized blood glucose prediction strategies for T1DM patients, Int. J. Numer. Methods Biomed. Eng. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenMost studies on glucose prediction have focused on forecasting future glucose concentration levels using a regression approach, usually with a short prediction horizon, such as 30 min.
“Most studies on glucose prediction have focused on forecasting future glucose concentration levels using a regression approach, usually with a short PH (e.g., 30 min).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationAlthough each module of Vehì et al.'s Patient Safety System has been independently validated on retrospective data, a clinical validation of the proposed DSS is needed to prove its efficacy as a tool for improving glycemic control in subjects with T1D.
“Although each module has been independently validated on retrospective data, a clinical validation of the proposed DSS is needed to prove its efficacy as a tool for improving glycemic control in subjects with T1D.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [61] Vehi, 2019, Prediction and prevention of hypoglycaemic events in type-1 diabetic patients using machine learning, Health Inform. J. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAI techniques, especially supervised machine learning techniques, are extensively used for building black-box models for glucose prediction, and neural networks are the most used method.
“As reported in recent systematic reviews [25,54], AI techniques, especially supervised machine learning techniques, are extensively used for building black-box models for glucose prediction. The most used method is NN, but other machine learning methodologies, such as random forest, support vector regression, regression algorithms and deep-learning techniques.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [25] Contreras, 2018, Artificial intelligence for diabetes management and decision support: Literature review, J. Med. Internet Res. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [54] Woldaregay, 2019, Data-driven modeling and prediction of blood glucose dynamics: Machine learning applications in type 1 diabetes, Artif. Intell. Med. source
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May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Xie and Wang's comparison, the models showing best performance in terms of RMSE were ARX, Ridge regression, linear SVR, LSTM, and TCN, with RMSE between 19 and 20 mg/dL.
“The models showing best performance in terms RMSE were ARX, Ridge regression, linear SVR, LSTM, and TCN, with RMSE between 19 and 20 mg/dL.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Xie, J., and Wang, Q. (2020). Benchmarking machine learning algorithms on blood glucose prediction for Type 1 Diabetes in comparison with classical time-series models. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenPredicting the exact glucose concentration level over a long prediction horizon, such as 2-6 h, would be a very challenging task.
“On the other hand, predicting the exact glucose concentration level over such a long PH would be a very challenging task.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Xie and Wang's comparison, considering both RMSE and time gain, linear SVR and TCN performed better, with RMSE around 20 mg/dL and a time gain of about 6 min.
“Considering both of the metrics, the models that performed better were linear SVR and TCN with RMSE around 20 mg/dL and a TG of about 6 min.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Xie, J., and Wang, Q. (2020). Benchmarking machine learning algorithms on blood glucose prediction for Type 1 Diabetes in comparison with classical time-series models. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSubject-specific glucose prediction algorithms train a different model for each subject to account for the large inter-individual variability characterizing individuals with T1D.
“Another option is to develop subject-specific algorithms, where a different model is trained for each subject, in order to take into account the large inter-individual variability characterizing individuals with T1D [52].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] Oviedo, 2016, A review of personalized blood glucose prediction strategies for T1DM patients, Int. J. Numer. Methods Biomed. Eng. source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationIn Reddy et al.'s study, all data were collected in a controlled inpatient environment, which is a limitation; further validation with data gathered under free-living conditions and with different types of exercise is required.
“However, one limitation of this study is that all the data were collected in a controlled inpatient environment. Further validation of the approach with data gathered under free-living conditions, and with different types of exercise, is required.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Reddy et al. [60] Reddy, 2019, Prediction of hypoglycemia during aerobic exercise in adults with type 1 diabetes, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Xie and Wang's comparison, the maximum time gain was achieved for Gradient boosting trees and LSTM, which predicted CGM data on average 7 min in advance.
“The maximum TG was achieved for Gradient boosting trees and LSTM, which made it possible to predict the CGM data, on average, 7 min in advance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Xie, J., and Wang, Q. (2020). Benchmarking machine learning algorithms on blood glucose prediction for Type 1 Diabetes in comparison with classical time-series models. IEEE Trans. Biomed. Eng., 1. source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationData collected by activity trackers can be used to automatically detect exercise sessions, predict exercise-induced hypoglycemia, and if necessary recommend the consumption of carbohydrates to avoid hypoglycemia.
“The data collected by activity trackers can be used to automatically detect exercise sessions [65], predict exercise-induced hypoglycemia [60], and if necessary, recommend the consumption of carbohydrates to avoid hypoglycemia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [65] Dasanayake, 2015, Early detection of physical activity for people with type 1 diabetes mellitus, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [60] Reddy, 2019, Prediction of hypoglycemia during aerobic exercise in adults with type 1 diabetes, J. Diabetes Sci. Technol. source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningAI-enabled DSSs are promising tools that could potentially reduce the patient burden in diabetes management and improve glucose control.
“Amongst the possible applications, AI-enabled DSSs are promising tools that could potentially reduce the patient burden in diabetes management and improve glucose control.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningA prospective clinical validation proving the safety and effectiveness of AI-based DSS applications is required to support their adoption in T1D management.
“A prospective clinical validation proving the safety and effectiveness of such techniques is required to support the adoption of AI-based DSS applications in T1D management.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
AI techniques can handle big datasets with different types of data without the need of an underlying physiological model.
“AI techniques, indeed, can handle big datasets with different types of data, without the need of an underlying physiological model.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The increased availability of internet-connected and interoperable sensors makes it possible to construct large databases of interstitial glucose measurements integrated with other data sources.
“In managing T1D, the increased availability of internet-connected and interoperable sensors makes it possible to construct large databases, consisting of interstitial glucose concentration measurements, integrated with several other data sources.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
DL algorithms have been proven effective in the early detection and preventing of chronic diseases like diabetes and cardiovascular disease.
“DL algorithms have been proven effective in the early detection and preventing of chronic diseases, like diabetes and cardiovascular disease [17,195].”
From The emergence of AI-based wearable sensors for digital health technology: a review (2023) · cites this paper as [195]
Continuous glucose monitoring is not possible without involving AI in sensors for diabetes management.
“Moreover, continuous glucose monitoring is not possible without involving AI in sensors for diabetes management [195].”
From The emergence of AI-based wearable sensors for digital health technology: a review (2023) · cites this paper as [195]
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Self-citationAre risk indices derived from CGM interchangeable with SMBG-Based indices?
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Self-citationDecision Support Systems for Insulin Treatment Adjustment in People with Type 1 Diabetes.
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- Authors
- Vettoretti, M., Cappon, G., Facchinetti, A., & Sparacino, G.
- Affiliations
- University of Padua (IT)
- Corresponding author
- Sparacino, Giovanni
- Venue
- Sensors
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2020-07-10
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 14
- Pages
- 3870
- ISSN
- 1424-8220 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7412387
- OpenAlex
- W3040810687
- Cited by
- 176
- References
- 63
- Citations by year
- 2026: 25 · 2025: 53 · 2024: 37 · 2023: 33 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 9 · 2020: 2
- FWCI
- 2.34
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- dx.doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Sensors (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Padua Research Archive (University of Padova) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca (Law 232/2016 (Initiative "Departments of Excellence"))
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Management and Education
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes Treatment and Management
- Keywords
- type 1 diabetes, continuous glucose monitoring, artificial intelligence, decision support system, glucose prediction, hypoglycemia prediction, hyperglycemia prediction, wearable sensors, diabetes management
- MeSH terms
- Wearable Electronic Devices, Artificial Intelligence, Blood Glucose, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1, Humans, Insulin Infusion Systems, Blood Glucose Self-Monitoring, Disease Management
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