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An archaeological strontium isoscape for the prehistoric Andes: Understanding population mobility through a geostatistical meta-analysis of archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts
Open accessAbstract
Abstract Biogeographical studies of migration and mobility in archaeology and bioarchaeology rely on accurately characterizing local 87Sr/86Sr ranges, either through baseline studies or by statistically parsing archaeological results at a given site. However, when baseline materials are difficult to obtain or suspected to deviate from prehistoric isotopic catchments, archaeological data may provide an accurate characterization of local ranges. Through a spatial meta-analysis of 87Sr/86Sr values from archaeological human, faunal, and artifact samples (n = 1658) from 45 publications, this study aims to quantify and compare variation in bioavailable strontium and create the first predictive isotope model (or isoscape) for 87Sr/86Sr values in the prehistoric Andes. Descriptive statistics, including the coefficient of variation, are compared between sites from different temporal categories, and between coastal, yungas, and highland sites. Regional differences in the 87Sr/86Sr values of male and female biological sex categories are compared for human enamel and bone samples, and between sequentially-forming enamel and bone samples. The study finds that the archaeological dataset trimmed of outliers provides a reliable model of local ranges. However, we caution that when migration and trade networks being investigated are within homogeneous isoscape regions, or between contiguous neighbors, multiple isotopic signatures should be incorporated into provenience estimations.
Overview
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This paper compiles published archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from the prehistoric Andes into a geostatistical meta-analysis and predictive isoscape. It finds an east-west gradient in bioavailable strontium and identifies the Early Intermediate Period and Middle Horizon as having the highest within-site outlier proportions.
Key findings
- The dataset includes 1,658 samples from 45 publications; overall 87Sr/86Sr ranges from 0.70384 to 0.72388 (σ = 0.00228, CV = 0.32).
- Temporal variation is significant: IQR outliers are highest in the Early Intermediate Period (13.6%, 27/199) and Middle Horizon (11.7%, 81/695), followed by Late Horizon (10.7%, 21/196), Late Intermediate Period (5.5%, 17/311), and pre-EIP (1.1%, 1/90) (χ² = 20.2655, p = 0.0004).
- Human enamel is more variable than bone (s = 0.002, n = 975 vs. s = 0.001, n = 377; F = 0.40, p < 0.0001), and male bone is more variable than female bone (s = 0.001, n = 126 vs. s = 0.0007, n = 178; F = 0.32, p < 0.0001), while enamel variance does not differ significantly by sex.
- The isoscape shows a strong east-west trend, with predicted 87Sr/86Sr increasing from 0.70384 near the ocean to 0.70951 and greater on eastern Andean slopes; Moran’s I = 0.25, z = 53.29, p < 0.0001, and 94 spatial outliers were excluded.
Methods
- Spatial meta-analysis of published archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from modern-day Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, and Peru published before August 2019; after removing duplicates, 1,658 samples from 45 publications were coded by sample type, site, time period, sex, age, tissue, and developmental phase.
- Statistical analyses in Minitab 19 used Ryan-Joiner normality tests, F-tests, Bartlett’s test, Bonferroni pairwise comparisons, and chi-squared tests; heterogeneity was measured with site-wide SD, variance, sample-size-corrected CV, and percentages outside mean ± 2 SD and IQR.
- Geostatistical analysis in ArcMap used Albers South America Equal Area Conic projection, ASTER elevation data, Moran’s I, Anselin’s Local Moran’s I, and Universal Kriging with an east-west trend removed; validation used leave-one-out cross-validation and a 10% test set (n = 155) against a training set (n = 1391).
Limitations
- The paper states that the most serious limitation is equifinality: geographically distant regions with similar bedrock can share overlapping 87Sr/86Sr values, such as predicted ranges of 0.7077–0.7084 in Arequipa, central coastal Peru, and the southern Peruvian Lake Titicaca area, limiting single-isotope sourcing.
- The paper notes that migratory fauna may inflate modeled variability, since 80.6% of faunal values came from large domesticated animals like camelids, though their variance was not distinct from humans; it also notes no archaeological data from Ecuador or Colombia and critiques Rowe’s chronological categories as problematic outside Peru.
- Evident from the text: the meta-analysis depends on previously published datasets with varying sample sizes, standards, and diagenetic assessments; some sites and time periods have small samples, and bone diagenesis remains a concern despite the arid Andean context.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 73 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingnone given
The highest variability in 87Sr/86Sr occurs in the Early Intermediate Period and Middle Horizon.
“Highest variability in the Early Intermediate Period and Middle Horizon”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The study presents an 87Sr/86Sr isoscape for proveniencing archaeological materials.
“87 Sr/ 86 Sr isoscape for proveniencing archaeological materials”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Across the Andes, male bone is more variable in 87Sr/86Sr than female bone.
“Across the Andes, male bone is more variable in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr than female bone; enamel values are similar”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Across the Andes, enamel 87Sr/86Sr values are similar between males and females.
“Across the Andes, male bone is more variable in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr than female bone; enamel values are similar”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Small, non-migratory fauna were less variable in 87Sr/86Sr values (s = 0.004, n = 45) than large, migratory animals like camelids and dogs (s = 0.002, n = 187) (F-test, p < 0.0001).
“Small, non-migratory fauna were less variable in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values (s = 0.004, n = 45) than large, migratory animals like camelids and dogs (s = 0.002, n = 187) (F-test, p < 0.0001).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
Values were spatially autocorrelated (Moran's Index = 0.25, z-score = 53.29, p < 0.0001) at the 99% confidence level.
“Values were spatially autocorrelated (Moran's Index = 0.25, z-score = 53.29,p < 0.0001) at the 99% confidence level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Sites with the top five highest proportions of outliers as calculated with the 2 SD method are from relatively small sample sizes of 16 individuals or less.
“It is notable that sites with the top five highest proportions of outliers as calculated with the 2 SD method are from relatively small sample sizes of 16 individuals or less.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Sites dating before the EIP, to the EIP, and to the LIP show narrow inter-quartile ranges with low numbers of outliers compared to the Middle Horizon and Late Horizon.
“Sites dating to before the EIP (n = 90 samples from 4 sites) and to the EIP (n = 199 samples from 6 sites) and LIP (n = 311 samples from 11 sites) show narrow inter-quartile ranges with low numbers of outliers compared to the Middle Horizon (n = 695 samples from 20 sites) and Late Horizon (n = 196 samples from 4 sites).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Across the prehistoric Andes, archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values show a limited range from 0.70384 to 0.72388 (σ = 0.00228, CV = 0.32, N = 1658).
“Across the prehistoric Andes, archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values show a limited range from 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70384 to 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.72388 (σ = 0.00228, σ 2 = 0000005, CV = 0.32, N = 1658).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The compiled archaeological 87Sr/86Sr dataset is representative of the prehistoric Andes.
- Findingown data
Variance in bone 87Sr/86Sr is significantly greater for males (s = 0.001, n = 126) than for females (s = 0.0007, n = 178) (F-test statistic = 0.32, p < 0.0001).
“However, variance in bone 87 Sr/ 86 Sr is significantly greater for males (s = 0.001, n = 126), than for females (s = 0.0007, n = 178) (F-test statistic = 0.32 p < 0.0001).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The root-mean-square standardized error shows a slight underestimation in the variability of the predictions.
“The rootmean-square standardized error shows a slight underestimation in the variability of the predictions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Archaeological values exhibited significant clustering, showing that similar 87Sr/86Sr values are closer to each other than dissimilar ones.
“As expected, the archaeological values exhibited significant clustering, showing that similar 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are closer to each other than dissimilar ones.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values in the study region showed an east-west trend.
“Universal Kriging was used since the 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values showed an east-west trend-the trend was modeled using a first-order local polynomial interpolation and removed from the data (Oliver and Webster, 2014, Oliver and Webster, 2015, Oliver and Webster, 1990).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The variation of the migratory animal sample was not distinct from the human sample (F-test, p = 0.369).
“However, the variation of the migratory animal sample was not distinct from the human sample (F-test, p = 0.369)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The nearly-identical average standard error and root-mean-square prediction error shows the model correctly assesses the variability in prediction.
“The nearly-identical average standard error and root-meansquare prediction error shows the model correctly assesses the variability in prediction.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among developmental categories of tissue types, the two earliest phases showed the greatest variation in 87Sr/86Sr values (Bartlett's test statistic = 181.75, p < 0.001).
“Among the developmental categories of tissue types, the two earliest phases showed the greatest variation in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values (Bartlett's test statistic = 181.75,p < 0.001) (Fig. 6).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The modal bin of artifact 87Sr/86Sr values is 0.7068-0.7073.
“the modal bin of values is 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.7068 -0.7073 (Fig. 2a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The standard error surface shows errors between predicted and measured values from 0.0003 to 0.0025.
“The standard error surface (Fig. 8) was derived from cross-validation process and shows errors between predicted and measured values from 0.0003 to 0.0025.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Using the proportion of outliers defined conservatively as beyond the site mean ± 2 SD yielded five distinct sites with the highest proportions of inter-site outliers.
“Using the proportion of outliers defined conservatively as beyond the site mean ± 2 SD yielded five distinct sites with the highest proportions of inter-site outliers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Variability between infancy/early childhood-forming enamel and middle childhood samples was slightly greater than between enamel forming during teen years and bone forming during late life.
“Variability between infancy/ early childhood-forming enamel samples (s = 0.002, n = 402) and middle childhood samples (s = 0.002, n = 427) was slightly greater than between enamel forming during teen years (s = 0.001, n = 163) and bone forming during late life (s = 0.001, n = 361).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Human enamel signatures (s = 0.002, n = 975) are significantly more varied than bone signatures (s = 0.001, n = 377) (F-test statistic = 0.40, p < 0.0001).
“Human enamel signatures (s = 0.002, n = 975) are significantly more varied than bone signatures (s = 0.001, n = 377) (F-test statistic = 0.40, p < 0.0001) (Fig. 6).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The model demonstrates a strong east-west trend with predicted 87Sr/86Sr values increasing steadily from 0.70384 near the ocean to 0.70951 and greater on the eastern Andean slopes.
“The model demonstrates a strong east-west trend with predicted 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values increasing steadily from 0.70384 near the ocean to 0.70951 and greater on the eastern Andean slopes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
- Findingown data
The best-fit model was achieved using the equation: predicted 87Sr/86Sr = 0.54361 * (measured 87Sr/86Sr) + 0.32308.
“The best-fit model was achieved using the equation: predicted 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.54361 * (measured 87 Sr/ 86 Sr) + 0.32308.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Artifact 87Sr/86Sr values are normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.834, p < 0.010, n = 36).
“the artifact 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.834, p-value < 0.010, n = 36)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The lowest predicted 87Sr/86Sr values are in the northern Peruvian coast around Trujillo, the Nasca desert, and around mid-Chile near modern Santiago.
“The lowest predicted 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values in the northern Peruvian coast around Trujillo, the Nasca desert, and around mid-Chile near modern Santiago.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Most of the faunal values modeled (187/232 = 80.6%) were from large domesticated animals like camelids.
“Most of the faunal values (187/232 = 80.6%) modeled were from large domesticated animals like camelidscommon traveling companions for long-distance caravans that often have non-local residential histories”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Human 87Sr/86Sr values are normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.762, p < 0.010, n = 1390).
“Human 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are also normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.762, pvalue < 0.010, n = 1390)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The modal bin of faunal 87Sr/86Sr values is 0.7063-0.70680.
“the modal bin of values is from 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.7063-0.70680(Fig. 2b).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Faunal 87Sr/86Sr values are normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.895, p < 0.010, n = 232).
“Faunal 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.895, p-value < 0.010, n = 232)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
After duplicates from overlapping datasets were eliminated, the dataset includes 1,658 samples from 45 publications.
“After duplicates from overlapping datasets were eliminated, the dataset includes 1,658 samples from 45 publications”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Site-wide variance in 87Sr/86Sr values is distinct between time periods.
“Site-wide variance in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values is distinct between time periods (Fig. 5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The variance of the faunal subsample was significantly higher than the human and artifact subsamples (Bartlett's test statistic = 29.15, p < 0.001).
“The variance of the faunal subsample (Table 1) was significantly higher than the human and artifact subsamples (Bartlett's test statistic = 29.15,p < 0.001).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The five archaeological sites with the greatest variation (CV) were Machu Picchu, Chokepukio, Yaral, Piñami, and Larache.
“The five archaeological sites with the greatest variation (CV) were (not in order of variation-see Table 2): Machu Picchu and Chokepukio in Cusco, Yaral in the Late Intermediate Period Ilo Valley, Piñami in Middle Horizon Lake Titicaca, and Larache in Middle Horizon San Pedro de Atacama, Chile.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Sites dating to the EIP and Middle Horizon have greater relative proportions of IQR outliers than sites from the other time periods.
“Sites dating to the EIP and Middle Horizon have greater relative proportions of IQR outliers than sites from the other time periods.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
87Sr/86Sr enamel variances are not significantly different between males (s = 0.002, n = 400) and females (s = 0.002, n = 407) (F test statistic = 0.82, p = 0.05).
“87 Sr/ 86 Sr enamel variances (reflecting childhood and adolescence) are not significantly different between males (s = 0.002, n = 400) and females (s = 0.002, n = 407) (F test statistic = 0.82, p = 0.05).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Tooth enamel has been the preferred tissue of analysis because its larger apatite minerals and rigid, calcified matrix reduce post-depositional diagenesis.
“Tooth enamel has been the preferred tissue of analysis; the larger apatite minerals and rigid, calcified matrix reduce post-depositional diagenesis”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Bentley, et al., 2004 source
- Premisecitation
Analysis of radiogenic strontium isotopes in archaeological samples is a robust method for identifying non-local individuals or samples deposited within an archaeological site.
“analysis of radiogenic strontium isotopes ( 87 Sr/ 86 Sr) in archaeological samples has become a robust method for identifying non-local individuals or samples deposited within an archaeological site.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Larsen (2018: 871) source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Premisecitation
Bodily tissue 87Sr/86Sr values are generally consistent with the 87Sr/86Sr values averaged from the bioavailable isotopic catchment of the diet.
“Bodily tissue 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are generally consistent with the 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values averaged from the bioavailable isotopic catchment of the diet”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Sillen, et al., 1998 source
- Interpretationcitation
Human or animal skeletons with sub-adulthood tissue 87Sr/86Sr values differing from the established range of their burial location indicate movement to the burial location between sub-adulthood tissue formation and death.
“Human or animal skeletons with sub-adulthood tissue 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values that differ from the established range of their burial location would show those individuals moved (or were moved) to the burial location sometime between sub-adulthood tissue formation and death”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Evans, et al., 2019 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites Laffoon, et al., 2018 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites Mbeki, et al., 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Strontium isotopes undergo very little fractionation from dietary sources to bodily tissues, thus accurately reflecting bioavailable strontium in consumed food and water.
“Due to their large atomic mass, strontium isotopes undergo very little fractionation from dietary sources to bodily tissues, thus accurately reflecting the bioavailable strontium in food and water consumed”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Graustein, 1989
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationnone given
When landscape 87Sr/86Sr ranges in a study region are known, strontium isotope analysis allows tracking of long-term migrations and shifts in settlement strategies through time and space.
“When landscape 87 Sr/ 86 Sr ranges in a study region are known, strontium isotope analysis allows us to track long-term migrations and shifts in settlement strategies through time and space.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Sampling 87Sr/86Sr in teeth from distinct developmental phases and bone reflecting the last years of life allows a life-long residential history of individuals with these tissues preserved.
“Due to the sequential nature of enamel and bone formation, sampling 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values in teeth from distinct developmental phases and bone reflecting the last years of life allows for a life-long residential history of individuals with these tissues preserved”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Hrnčíř andLaffoon, 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Knudson, et al., 2016 source
- Premisecitation
Natural factors such as volcanic activity, earthquakes, floods, and human agricultural practices can cause local environmental 87Sr/86Sr values to deviate from past values or from underlying bedrock geology.
“Natural factors like volcanic activity, landscapes caused by earthquakes, floods, or human agricultural practices can cause local environmental 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values to deviate from past values or from underlying bedrock geology”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Maurer, et al., 2012 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites Thomsen andAndreasen, 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationcitation
Bone apatite is suitable for tracking life-long residence history, particularly in arid zones of the Andes with well-preserved archaeological tissues.
“This demonstrates that bone apatite is suitable for tracking life-long residence history, particularly in arid zones of the Andes with well-preserved archaeological tissues.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
An examination of population-wide variability at a regional scale can shed light on the nature of paleomobility in past populations, particularly where baseline sampling is logistically or contextually problematic.
“an examination of population-wide variability at a regional scale can also shed light on the nature of paleomobility in past populations-particularly in regions where baseline sampling is logistically or contextually-problematic.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
In some cases, non-local bone apatite values have corroborated non-local enamel apatite values.
“Nonetheless, in some cases, non-local bone apatite values have corroborated non-local enamel apatite values”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Knudson and Tung, 2011 source
- Premisecitation
Contamination of igneous rocks by varying kinds of crustal material or oceanic sediments contributes to heavy isotope signatures that differ sharply even within seemingly geologically similar regions.
“The contamination of igneous rocks by varying kinds of crustal material or oceanic sediments (Klerkx, et al., 1977) contribute to heavy isotope signatures that differ sharply even within seemingly geologically-similar regions”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
Because human and animal skeletons and archaeological plants reflect the mixed sources of bioavailable strontium they consume, they can define the potential range of bioavailable 87Sr/86Sr values across a broad geographic region where environmental baselines are difficult to procure and model.
“Because human and animal skeletons, and archaeological plants, reflect the mixed sources of bioavailable strontium they consume, they can be used to define the potential range of bioavailable 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values throughout a broad geographic region where environmental baselines are difficult to procure and model.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The error rates of bedrock model predictions for the actual isotopic catchments of geologically diverse regions are high.
“Second, the error rates of bedrock model predictions for the actual isotopic catchments of geologically-diverse regions are high.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Spatial outlier values were considered non-representative of local bioavailable strontium signatures and were excluded from the geostatistical model.
“These values were considered non-representative of local bioavailable strontium signatures and were excluded from the geostatistical model.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Comparing archaeological values directly through a predictive isotope or isoscape model enables geographic determination of bioavailable 87Sr/86Sr variability independent of landscape factors that could complicate local signatures.
“Comparing archaeological values to each other directly through a predictive isotope or isoscape model enables a geographic determination of bioavailable 87 Sr/ 86 Sr variability independent of landscape factors that could complicate local signatures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The large proportions of IQR outliers suggest that EIP communities experienced more immigration than during other time periods.
“While the relatively constrained IQR ranges of EIP sites might indicate communities were comprised mostly of individuals with residences restricted to those communities, the large proportions of IQR outliers suggests that these EIP communities experienced more immigration than during other time periods.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Isoscapes generated from measurements of archaeological samples can provide accurate predictions for sample geolocation.
“Thus, isoscapes generated from measurements of archaeological samples can provide accurate predictions for sample geolocation”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lengfelder, et al., 2019 source
- Study design and conductreasoning
Based on the accuracy and precision of the data generated using international and readily available standards, and the availability of assessments for diagenetic contamination employed in these studies, these data can be reliably compared and combined.
“based on the accuracy and precision of the data generated using international and readily available standards, as well as the availability of assessments for diagenetic contamination employed in these studies, these data can be reliably compared and combined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Infancy and early childhood could have been important times for familial mobility, as the resource needs of childbearing and childrearing are intensive.
“This could indicate that infancy and early childhood were important times for familial mobility, as the resource needs of childbearing and childrearing are intensive.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The mixing of multiple strontium end-member contributions in an organism may be best modeled by the target organisms themselves: archaeological plants, humans, and fauna.
“The mixing of multiple strontium end-member contributions in an organism may be best modeled by the target organisms themselves: archaeological plants, humans, and fauna.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Andean soils collect a significant amount of aeolian dust from distant places.
“Andean soils collect a significant amount of aeolian dust from distant places.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Cross-validation and model assessment statistics show the archaeological isoscape model is a good fit for the measured 87Sr/86Sr values.
“Cross-validation and model assessment statistics show the archaeological isoscape model is a good fit for the measured 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values (Table S2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The fit of environmental proxies to archaeological skeletons is highly contingent upon local geological and hydrological processes.
“The fit of environmental proxies to archaeological skeletons is highly contingent upon local geological and hydrological processes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The most serious limitation of the archaeological strontium isoscape is the problem of equifinality, described as overlapping 87Sr/86Sr values of geographically-distant regions with similar underlying bedrock age and morphology.
“The most serious limitation of the archaeological strontium isoscape is the problem of equifinality, described by Price and colleagues as the overlapping 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values of geographically-distant regions with similar underlying bedrock age and morphology (Price, et al., 2002, Price, et al., 2007).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Heavy reliance on seafood in the diet can cause skeletal 87Sr/86Sr values to deviate from the local baseline when marine strontium is frequently consumed by humans or the animals consumed by humans.
“Third, heavy reliance on seafood in the diet can also cause skeletal 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values to deviate from the local baseline, when strontium from marine sources is frequently consumed by humans or the animals consumed by humans”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Spatially explicit predictive isotope models (isoscapes) can be based on archaeological or modern baseline materials, allowing interpolation of isotopic ranges in places without measured values from samples at known coordinates.
“Spatially explicit predictive isotope models (isoscapes) can be based on archaeological or modern baseline materials, allowing us to interpolate isotopic ranges in places without measured values from samples at known coordinates”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationown data
Migratory animals are no worse of a proxy for local 87Sr/86Sr values than humans in the broad study region.
“which suggests migratory animals are no worse of a proxy for local 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values than humans in the broad study region.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
Because plants average strontium from soil and water, they can be an excellent proxy for bioavailable strontium in some regions.
“because plants average strontium from soil and water, they can be an excellent proxy for bioavailable strontium in some regions”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationown data
The similar variance of the migratory faunal subsample to the human subsample demonstrates that all faunal and human samples can be confidently included for modeling bioavailable strontium in local food webs.
“Nonetheless, the similar variance of the migratory faunal subsample to the human subsample demonstrates that all faunal and human samples can be confidently included for modeling bioavailable strontium in local food webs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
- Study design and conductown data
Validation of the test set shows excellent fit between predictions and measured values, ranging in absolute value of the error from 0.0003 to 0.007.
“Validation of the test set again shows excellent fit between predictions and measured values, ranging in absolute value of the error from 0.0003 to 0.007 (Table S2 and Table S3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Fertilizers in the food chain and other anthropogenic practices can alter modern or archaeological faunal 87Sr/86Sr values away from the local bioavailable signature.
“Fertilizers in the food chain and other anthropogenic practices can alter modern or archaeological faunal 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values away from the local bioavailable signature”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Maurer, et al., 2012 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites Thomsen andAndreasen, 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Sites with the largest IQR ranges (Machu Picchu, Chokepukio, Larache, Pacopampa) may have been comprised overall of inhabitants from a wider geographic range, leading to fewer statistical outliers.
“This contrasts with the sites with the largest IQR ranges (Machu Picchu, Chokepukio, Larache Pacopampa), which may have been comprised overall of inhabitants from a wider geographic range, leading to fewer statistical outliers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The model shows large regions of homogeneity around the southern Nasca region, so individuals from one limit of that homogeneous region might not be distinguishable from a non-local from a distant but geologically-similar region.
“The model also shows large regions of homogeneity around the southern Nasca region mirroring earlier geological models (Schenk, et al., 1999), so that individuals from one limit of that homogeneous region might not be distinguishable from a non-local from a distant, but geologically-similar region (this issue was also observed in Knudson, et al., 2009).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Schenk, et al., 1999 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites Knudson, et al., 2009
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
- Interpretationown data
When hypothesized connections are within regions of modeled homogeneity, or between bordering zones with contiguous values, multiple isotopic signatures are critical for sourcing samples to likely places of origin.
“However, when hypothesized connections are within regions of modeled homogeneity, or between bordering zones with contiguous values, this study shows that multiple isotopic signatures are critical for sourcing samples to likely places of origin.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
- It may state two separate claims as one. 47
- Probably not a substantial claim. 26
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataChokepukio shows 6 outliers, Chavin shows 1, and Larache and Pacopampa show none.
“Chokepukio shows 6 outliers, Chavin shows 1, and Larache and Pacopampa show none.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataOf the 1640 plotted values, there were 94 high-low and low-high clusters identified, including 23 outliers from Machu Picchu and 22 outliers from Larache.
“Of the 1640 plotted values, there were 94 high-low and low-high clusters identified, including 23 outliers from Machu Picchu and 22 outliers from Larache (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe model mean prediction error is < 0.0001, showing the model predictions are unbiased.
“The model mean prediction error is < 0.0001 showing the model predictions are unbiased (Table S2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataBox plots for the 79 sites that could be mapped show relatively constrained ranges by site, with varying proportions of outliers beyond the inter-quartile range.
“Box plots for the 79 sites that could be mapped show relatively constrained ranges by site, with varying proportions of outliers beyond the inter-quartile range (IQR).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingnone givenThe highest variability was demonstrated in enamel 87Sr/86Sr values from infancy/early childhood and middle childhood, and that variability (s = 0.002) is identical to that of the entire archaeological human sample.
“The highest variability was demonstrated in enamel 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values from infancy/early childhood and middle childhood, and that variability (s = 0.002) is identical to that of the entire archaeological human sample.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataOnly 1.1% of pre-EIP samples were IQR outliers, compared to 5.5% of LIP samples, 10.7% of Late Horizon samples, 11.7% of Middle Horizon samples, and 13.6% of EIP samples (Chi-squared = 20.2655, p = 0.0004, n = 1491).
“Only 1.1% (1/90) of pre-EIP samples were classified as IQR outliers, as compared to 5.5% (17/311) of LIP samples, 10.7% (21/196) of Late Horizon samples, 11.7% (81/695) of Middle Horizon samples, and 13.6 % (27/199) of EIP samples (Chi-squared = 20.2655,p = 0.0004, n = 1491).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThere were 79 sites with 10 or more samples, the number necessary for calculating and comparing site-wide variance.
“There were 79 sites with 10 or more samples-the number of samples necessary for calculating and comparing site-wide variance (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
FindingcitationThe highest error rates were observed in sites like Larache and Machu Picchu, already noted for their small sample sizes, broad 87Sr/86Sr ranges, and high percentages of IQR outliers relative to non-outliers.
“The highest error rates were observed in sites like Larache and Machu Picchu, already noted in the corresponding publications for their small sample sizes, broad 87 Sr/ 86 Sr ranges, and high percentages of IQR outliers relative to non-outliers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe highest (most radiogenic) values are in the Bolivian altiplano and the eastern slopes of the Andes into the rainforest.
“The highest (most radiogenic) values are in the Bolivian altiplano and the eastern slopes of the Andes into the rainforest.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataSites with the broadest IQR included Chavin, Pacopampa, Larache, Chokepukio, and Machu Picchu.
“Sites with the broadest IQR included the Early Horizon capital of Chavin, the EIP highland site of Pacopampa, the Middle Horizon San Pedro de Atacama site of Larache, and the Late Horizon Inca heartland sites of Chokepukio and Machu Picchu.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataPiñami and Solcor Plaza had the highest relative proportions of 2 SD outliers (12.5%), followed by Tilviche (11.1%), and Pucullu and Ranracancha (10%).
“Comparing the relative proportions of outliers across sites showed that Piñami and Solcor Plaza (Middle Horizon San Pedro de Atacama) had the highest relative proportions of 2 SD outliers (12.5%), followed by Tilviche in the Archaic Northern Chilean desert (11.1%), and Pucullu and Ranracancha in the Late Intermediate Period Apurimac Valley (10%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe modal bin of human 87Sr/86Sr values is 0.70725-0.70775, followed by 0.70725-0.70825.
“the modal bin is 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70725-0.70775,followed by 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70725-0.70825(Fig. 2c).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataCoastal sites showed a smaller standard deviation (s = 0.0006) than yunga (s = 0.001) and highland sites (s = 0.001) (Bartlett's test statistic = 479.27, p < 0.001).
“Coastal sites showed a smaller standard deviation (s = 0.0006) than yunga (s = 0.001) and highland sites (s = 0.001) (Bartlett's test statistic = 479.27,p < 0.001).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
FindingreasoningSex-based variability in 87Sr/86Sr from enamel was similar, but males across the prehistoric Andes showed higher variability in late-life bone samples than females.
“Sex-based variability in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr from enamel was similar, but males across the prehistoric Andes showed higher variability in late-life bone samples than females.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataUsing IQR, the highest relative proportions of outliers within sites were observed for the EIP (13.9%), Middle Horizon (11.7%), and Late Horizon (10.7%), while pre-EIP and LIP sites show relative proportions under 10.0%.
“Using the least conservative measure for defining outliers (IQR), the highest relative proportions of outliers within sites was observed for the EIP (13.9% outliers), Middle Horizon (11.7%), and Late Horizon (10.7%).while pre-EIP and LIP sites show relative proportions of IQR outliers under 10.0%.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown dataUsing the interval method of defining outliers, there were only 79 outliers across the entire dataset.
“Using this interval method of defining outliers, there were only 79 outliers across the entire dataset (Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataSite-wide standard deviations ranged from 0.0000 to 0.0824, with corresponding coefficients of variation from 0.01 to 0.68.
“Site-wide standard deviations (s) ranged from 0.0000 to 0.0824, with corresponding coefficients of variation (CV) from 0.01 to 0.68.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataOf the 1640 samples from 64 sites with reliable coordinates, most were recovered from highland sites (681/1640 = 41.5%), compared to coast (582/1640 = 35.5%) and yunga zones (377/1640 = 23.0%).
“Of the 1640 samples from 64 sites with reliable coordinates, most were recovered from highland sites (681/1640 = 41.5%), as compared to coast (582/1640 = 35.5%)and yunga zones (377/1640 = 23.0%)(Fig. 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe Normal QQ plot for the measured archaeological dataset shows the greatest departure from the normal distribution at Chokepukio, Machu Picchu, and Piñami in the highlands, and the greatest under-estimation at sites between Santiago, Chile and Mendoza, Argentina.
“The Normal QQ plot for the measured archaeological dataset shows the greatest departure from the normal distribution at Chokepukio, Machu Picchu, and Piñami in the highlands, and the greatest under-estimation at sites between Santiago, Chile and Mendoza, Argentina.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe isoscape predicts a range of 0.7077-0.7084 throughout much of the Arequipa region, with only limited intrusion of less radiogenic values from highland geological formations.
“The isoscape presented herein predicts, for example, a range of 0.7077 -0.7084 throughout much of the Arequipa region, with only limited intrusion of less radiogenic values from highland geological formations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationGeological strontium from local bedrock weathering, atmospheric and surface sources, and anthropogenic sources contribute to the pool of bioavailable strontium in the food chain.
“In addition to geological strontium from local bedrock weathering, atmospheric and surface sources like rainfall, rivers, sea-spray, wind dust, largescale construction and quarrying activities, and anthropogenic sources like modern fertilizers contribute to the pool of bioavailable strontium in the food chain”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Bataille and Bowen, 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Bataille, et al., 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Bentley, 2006 source
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationBone is constantly remodeled throughout life at rates that vary by skeletal element, metabolism, and pathology.
“Bone, on the other hand, is constantly remodeled throughout life at rates that vary by skeletal element, metabolism, and pathology”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Fahy, et al., 2017 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationNon-domesticated animals consume only locally available food and water reflecting a regional average of bioavailable strontium, so some researchers established the local range from small-mammal tooth enamel ± 2 sd.
“Because non-domesticated animals consume only locally available food and water that reflects a “regional average” of bioavailable strontium, some researchers argued that the local range should be established by the mean of archaeological and modern tooth enamel from small mammals like rabbits and mice, ± 2 sd”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationTooth enamel is formed during sequential phases during infancy and childhood, after which it is metabolically inert.
“Tooth enamel is formed during sequential phases during infancy and childhood (Table 1), after which it is metabolically inert”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hillson, 1996
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationUsing the sample mean ± 1 sd as a threshold for the local range is less conservative and possibly overestimates the identification of non-locals.
“Others use the sample mean ± 1 sd as a less conservative threshold for defining the local range, possibly overestimating the identification of non-locals”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationIn bedrock, rubidium decays into radiogenic 87Sr, so the 87Sr/86Sr ratio varies according to geological age and composition of bedrock, particularly Rb/Sr values.
“In bedrock, rubidium ( 87 Rb) decays into radiogenic 87 Sr, so that the ratio of heavier to lighter isotopes ( 87 Sr/ 86 Sr) varies according to geological age and composition of bedrock, particularly with respect to Rb/Sr values”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Bentley, 2006 source
- cites Faure andMensing, 2005
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
InterpretationreasoningEstimates of central tendency may not be appropriate measures for the complex and time-averaged phenomenon of human dietary practices.
“estimates of central tendency may not be appropriate measures for the complex and time-averaged phenomenon of human dietary practices.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningMeans are sensitive to outliers and sample size, so basing local signatures on mean values, particularly in smaller samples, can over- or under-estimate the local range.
“However, means are sensitive to outliers and sample size, so basing local signatures on mean values, particularly in smaller samples, are subject to over-or under-estimating the local range.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationcitationClassifying the local human signature as the sample mean of archaeological tissues ± 2 sd is conservative, unlikely to incorrectly classify nonlocals, but probably underestimates the number of non-locals.
“Originally, researchers classified the local human signature based on the sample mean of archaeological tissues (bone or enamel) ± 2 sd, so that outlier values beyond this range would be classified as non-local.This is a conservative measure, unlikely to incorrectly classify nonlocals, but probably underestimating the number of non-locals in a sample”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Bentley, et al., 2004 source
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationStrontium isotopes substitute for calcium in bone and tooth enamel hydroxyapatite and are virtually unchanged from the food chain.
“Because the strontium isotopes that substitute for calcium in the hydroxyapatite crystals of bone and tooth enamel are virtually unchanged from the food chain”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationnone givenThe ability to identify nonlocals and their likely places of origin relies entirely on accurate characterization of local ranges through statistical parsing of archaeological samples and establishing local baselines by testing modern proxy materials.
“our ability to identify nonlocals and their likely places of origin relies entirely on accurate characterization of local ranges, through statistical parsing of archaeological samples, and establishing local baselines by testing modern proxy materials.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationBone hydroxyapatite is susceptible to strontium uptake from soil and water in the burial environment, so bone samples can artificially show local soil or fertilizer values rather than a non-local dietary catchment.
“Since bone hydroxyapatite is susceptible to strontium uptake from soil and water in the burial environment, bone samples can artificially show local soil or fertilizer values rather than the values of a non-local dietary catchment”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningEnhanced variability for males might also reflect that males had greater access to geographically-diverse or imported foods during their adult years, while females consumed higher relative proportions of locally-sourced foods.
“However, this enhanced variability for males might also reflect that males had greater access to geographically-diverse or imported foods during their adult years, while females consumed higher relative proportions of locally-sourced foods.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationnone givenIn places where paleoclimatic or hydrologic variability was high, or where agricultural or tectonic activity was intense, there may be no reason to suspect a close fit between archaeological and modern proxies.
“in places where paleoclimatic or hydrologic variability was high, or where agricultural or tectonic activity was intense, there may be no reason to suspect a close fit between archaeological and modern proxies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationThe Early Intermediate Period had intergroup conflict and resource stress that led to balkanization.
“The high relative proportion of IQR outliers for EIP sites is surprising given evidence for intergroup conflict and resource stress that led to balkanization during this period (Conlee, 2016, Proulx, 1999, Schreiber and Lancho Rojas, 2003, Silverman and Proulx, 2002, Valdez, 2009, Vaughn, 2009).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Conlee, 2016 source
- cites Proulx, 1999
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Schreiber and Lancho Rojas, 2003
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationAlluvial soils average bedrock strontium from surrounding areas and can be used as proxies for bioavailable strontium in the food chain.
“since alluvial soils average bedrock strontium from surrounding areas, they can be used as proxies for bioavailable strontium in the food chain”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
InterpretationreasoningAnalyzing site-wide and intra-individual variability in archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values is a critical first step to understanding the influences of dietary and mobility practices on averaged end-member tissue 87Sr/86Sr values.
“analyzing site-wide and intra-individual variability in archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values is a critical first step to understanding the influences of dietary and mobility practices on averaged end-member tissue 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationThe Andean Middle Horizon and Late Horizon were periods of heightened inter-regional exchange, cultural and biogeographic diversity, and high levels of population mobility.
“This finding is consistent with prior research that has characterized the Andean Middle Horizon (Knudson andTorres-Rouff, 2014, Knudson andTorres-Rouff, 2015) and Late Horizon (Andrushko, et al., 2009, Knudson, et al., 2012a, Turner, et al., 2009) as periods of heightened inter-regional exchange, cultural and biogeographic diversity, and high levels of population mobility.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Knudson andTorres-Rouff, 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Knudson andTorres-Rouff, 2015
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Andrushko, et al., 2009 source
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Premisenone givenMost strontium isoscape studies rely entirely on environmental proxies to predict measured skeletal values, except for Grupe et al. (2017).
“However, most of these studies rely entirely on environmental proxies to predict measured skeletal values (except for Grupe, et al., 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Grupe, et al., 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataModeling pan-Andean spatial trends in archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values through geostatistical methods shows an east-west gradient of less to more radiogenic values that enables constraining geographic areas of possible provenience for human, faunal, and artifact samples within many known long-distance exchange networks.
“Modeling pan-Andean spatial trends in archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values through geostatistical methods shows an east-west gradient of less to more radiogenic values (Fig. 7) that enable us to constrain geographic areas of possible provenience for human, faunal, and artifact samples within many known long-distance exchange networks.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationOrganismal differences in dietary preference, metabolism, and morphology might lead to differential proportions in the mix of strontium sources between producers and consumers throughout the food web.
“Organismal differences in dietary preference, metabolism, and morphology (e.g.differing plant root depths) might lead to differential proportions in the mix of strontium sources between producers and different levels of consumers throughout the food web”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Grimstead, et al., 2017 source
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningAeolian dust, anthropogenic burning, and other factors might contribute to the mismatch between modern soil, plants, and fauna and bedrock 87Sr/86Sr values in the Andes reported by Knudson and colleagues (2014).
“These factors might contribute to the mismatch between modern soil, plants, and fauna and bedrock 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values in the Andes reported by Knudson and colleagues (2014).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Knudson and colleagues (2014)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenThe sample-size corrected coefficient of variation enables direct comparison of multiple samples while minimizing the distorting effects of outliers.
“since that measure enables the direct comparison of multiple samples while minimizing the distorting effects of outliers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationThe Bolivian altiplano and Patagonia comprise two of the ten most prolific dust-producing places globally.
“the Bolivian altiplano and Patagonia comprise two of the ten most prolific dustproducing places globally”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Taylor, 2002 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationWater averages strontium from soils draining into the watershed but is susceptible to changes from precipitation and seasonal hydrological fluxes.
“Water also averages strontium from soils draining into the watershed, but is susceptible to changes from precipitation and seasonal hydrological fluxes”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationBedrock-only models show large swaths of homogeneous expected 87Sr/86Sr values, due either to small sample size or true geological homogeneity.
“This leads to bedrock-only models showing large swaths of homogeneous expected 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values, due either to small sample size or true geological homogeneity”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Schenk, et al., 1999 source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationThe Late Intermediate Period was a time of insularity, conflict, and constrained inter-regional interaction in the face of environmental challenges and Wari imperial dissolution.
“The low relative proportion of outliers in the LIP is also consistent with the characterization of this period as a time of insularity, conflict, and constrained inter-regional interaction in the face of environmental challenges and Wari imperial dissolution (Arkush, 2018, Arkush, 2011, Bauer and Kellett, 2010, Kurin, 2016, Langlie and Arkush, 2016, Tung, et al., 2016).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningChildhood mobility and diets across the Andes were similar for boys and girls, but males were more mobile than females as adults, whether due to permanent residential changes or short-term mobility during their last years of life.
“This could suggest that childhood mobility and diets across the Andes were similar for boys and girls, but that males were more mobile than females as adults, whether this was due to permanent residential changes or short-term mobility during their last years of life.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationIn the Andes, Knudson et al.'s (2014) study cautions that soils may not be the best predictors for archaeological human 87Sr/86Sr values.
“In the Andes, Knudson et al.'s (2014) study cautions that soils may not be the best predictors for archaeological human 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Knudson et al.'s (2014) source
Probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenValidation was performed by removing 10% of the dataset, trimmed of spatial outliers (n = 155), as a test set and running the model again with the same parameters on the training dataset (n = 1391).
“Validation was performed by removing 10% of the dataset, trimmed of spatial outliers (n = 155), as a test set and running the model again with the same parameters on the training dataset (n = 1391).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationnone givenArtifacts, faunal, and human samples are similarly homogeneous, and bone and enamel tissues are similarly homogeneous.
“Given the similar homogeneity between artifacts, faunal, and human samples as well as between bone and enamel tissues, all remaining non-spatial outlier 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values (n = 1546) were used to generate the archaeological isoscape model (Fig. 7).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductcitationThe model fit to the data was assessed with leave-one-out cross-validation within the Geostatistical Wizard tool in ArcMap.
“The model fit to the data was assessed with leave-one-out cross-validation within the Geostatistical Wizard tool in ArcMap, which estimated the trend and autocorrelation of the data (Johnston, et al., 2001).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Johnston, et al., 2001
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductcitation87Sr/86Sr values were rounded to four decimal places before statistical analysis because differences beyond the fifth decimal place are likely due to intra-individual variation or instrumental uncertainty between and within laboratories.
“87 Sr/ 86 Sr values were rounded to four decimal places before statistical analysis, as differences beyond the fifth decimal place are likely due to intra-individual variation or instrumental uncertainty between and within laboratories”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Knudson, et al., 2016: 595 source
Probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningComparing population-level and intra-lifetime 87Sr/86Sr variability across a region can show how cultural practices and the environment might have structured mobility characteristics of individuals of different biological sex, occupation, or ethnic groups.
“comparing population-level and intra-lifetime 87 Sr/ 86 Sr variability across a region can show how cultural practices and the environment might have structured mobility characteristics of individuals of different biological sex, occupation, or ethnic groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningThe exceptionally low standard deviation among late-life bone 87Sr/86Sr values for females across the Andes (s = 0.0007, n = 178) hints that female social roles and subsistence practices were tightly constrained and their mobility largely limited to their natal communities throughout Andean prehistory.
“The exceptionally low standard deviation among late-life bone 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values for females across the Andes (s = 0.0007, n = 178) hints that female social roles and subsistence practices were tightly constrained and their mobility largely limited to their natal communities throughout Andean prehistory.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Premisenone givenStrontium isotopes have been successfully used to match samples with likely regions of origin based on geostatistical models.
“strontium isotopes have been successfully used to match samples with likely regions of origin based on geostatistical models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationcitationThe entire range of 87Sr/86Sr values in archaeological Andean samples (0.7038-0.7234) is just as wide as reported globally, so the Andes overall presents sufficient variability to enable strontium isotope sourcing between modeled zones.
“The entire range of 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values in archaeological Andean samples (0.7038 -0.7234) is just as wide as reported in archaeological and environmental samples globally (Bentley, 2006), so the Andes overall presents sufficient variability to enable strontium isotope sourcing between modeled zones.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Bentley, 2006 source
- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
- Rests on an assumption: The compiled archaeological 87Sr/86Sr dataset is representative of the prehistoric Andes.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataThis study has demonstrated that strontium isotope variability in the Andes is a spatially-contingent phenomenon, which merits modeling with spatially-explicit geostatistical methods.
“This study has demonstrated that strontium isotope variability in the Andes is a spatially-contingent phenomenon, which merits modeling with spatially-explicit geostatistical methods.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
Interpretationnone givenApplying big data approaches to bioarchaeological isotope analysis can yield key insights into spatiotemporal and biological patterns of bioavailable strontium variability.
“Applying big data approaches to bioarchaeological isotope analysis can yield key insights into spatiotemporal and biological patterns of bioavailable strontium variability.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The compiled archaeological 87Sr/86Sr dataset is representative of the prehistoric Andes.
It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningBecause those ranges are duplicated in central coastal Peru (around Lima) and in the southern Peruvian portion of Lake Titicaca, individuals within this range could have been locals from Arequipa, migrants from distant but geologically-similar parts of Arequipa, or migrants from those distant regions.
“Those ranges are duplicated in central coastal Peru (around Lima), and in the southern Peruvian portion of Lake Titicaca, so that individuals within this range could have been locals from Arequipa, migrants from distant but geologically-similar parts of Arequipa, or migrants from those distant regions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
Probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationown dataThe isoscape model presented clarifies the utility and limitations of a single isotope model for sourcing samples to discrete regions of origin within the Andean strontium isotope system.
“The isoscape model presented clarifies the utility and limitations of a single isotope model for sourcing samples to discrete regions of origin within the Andean strontium isotope system.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningThe utility of this single-isotope model depends on the nature of settlement patterns and exchange networks known or suspected to have been in existence; when those cut across isoscape zones, this model can help to geolocate outliers.
“Therefore, the utility of this single-isotope model depends on the nature of settlement patterns and exchange networks known or suspected to have been in existence-when those cut across isoscape zones, this model can help to geolocate outliers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
The authors state this as an assumption.
Assuming mostly local food and water sources were consumed and imbibed, sampled 87Sr/86Sr values reflect the bioavailable signature of the isotopic catchment where individuals lived during tissue formation.
“Assuming mostly local food and water sources were consumed and imbibed, sampled 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values reflect the bioavailable signature of the isotopic catchment where individuals lived during tissue formation”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The mixed-source 87Sr/86Sr signatures in tissues and plants are continuously variable across landscapes.
“Because the mixed-source 87 Sr/ 86 Sr signatures in tissues and plants are assumed to be continuously variable across landscapes”
The paper relies on this without support.
Bedrock 87Sr/86Sr values have not been directly sampled in many regions.
“First, bedrock 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values have not been directly sampled in many regions.”
The paper relies on this without support.
There have been no pan-regional studies of baseline flora or fauna for comparison in the Andes.
“however, there have been no pan-regional studies of baseline flora or fauna for comparison.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Human settlements in deep coastal valleys in the Andes are often difficult to access for baseline sampling.
“in the Andes, human settlements in deep coastal valleys often difficult to access for baseline sampling.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Archaeological 87Sr/86Sr values from humans, animals, and artifacts reflect local bioavailable strontium signatures.
“Given the similar homogeneity between artifacts, faunal, and human samples as well as between bone and enamel tissues, all remaining non-spatial outlier 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values (n = 1546) were used to generate the archaeological isoscape model (Fig. 7).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The compiled archaeological 87Sr/86Sr dataset is representative of the prehistoric Andes.
“Across the prehistoric Andes, archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values show a limited range from 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70384 to 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.72388 (σ = 0.00228, σ 2 = 0000005, CV = 0.32, N = 1658).”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Smaller reported standard deviation is called greater variability
MajorSmall fauna are described as less variable, although their reported standard deviation is 0.004 versus 0.002 for large animals.
“Small, non-migratory fauna were less variable in 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values”
“(s = 0.004, n = 45) than large, migratory animals like camelids and dogs (s = 0.002, n = 187)”
Normality claims conflict with the reported test results
MajorThe paper calls the artifact, faunal, and human datasets normally distributed, but reports Ryan-Joiner p-values below 0.010 for each. At its stated significance level of 0.05, those results reject normality.
“Examining 87 Sr/ 86 Sr measurements by type, the artifact 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values are normally distributed (Ryan-Joiner = 0.834, p-value < 0.010, n = 36)”
“The significance level (α) was 0.05 for all tests.”
Discussion gives a different upper endpoint for the dataset
MinorThe discussion calls 0.7234 the upper endpoint of the entire archaeological range, while the results report 0.72388.
“The entire range of 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values in archaeological Andean samples (0.7038 -0.7234)”
“Across the prehistoric Andes, archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values show a limited range from 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70384 to 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.72388”
Cerro del Gentil outlier percentage is incorrect
MinorTable 3 lists 17 IQR outliers among 81 Cerro del Gentil samples, which is approximately 21.0%, not 20.0%.
Reported 20 · recomputed 20.987654
“Early Intermediate Period n = 6 sites n = 199 samples | Cerro del Gentil Ch'isi Chokepukio Cutamalla | 81 23 8 22 | 17 1 0 4 | 20.0 4.0 0.0 18.2 |”
Site-count threshold conflicts with Table 2
MinorThe text says 79 of the 81 sites have at least 10 samples, but Table 2 alone lists more than two sites with fewer than 10 samples, including Acha 3 and Aja.
“There were 79 sites with 10 or more samples-the number of samples necessary for calculating and comparing site-wide variance (Table 2).”
“| Acha 3 | 2 | 0.7087 | 0.0001 | 0.0000 | 0.01 | 0.7086 | * | * | 0.7087 | 0.0001 | * | 0.7085 -0.7088 | * | * | | Aja | 1 | 0.7067 | * | * | * | 0.7067 | * | * | 0.7067 | * | * | * | * | * |”
Enamel developmental-category counts exceed the enamel total
MinorThe three reported enamel developmental categories contain 402, 427, and 163 samples, totaling 992-more than the reported 975 human enamel samples.
Reported 975 · recomputed 992
“n = 975) are significantly more varied than bone signatures (s = 0.001, n = 377) (F-test statistic = 0.40, p < 0.0001) (Fig. 6).Variability between infancy/ early childhood-forming enamel samples (s = 0.002, n = 402) and middle childhood samples (s = 0.002, n = 427) was slightly greater than between enamel forming during teen years (s = 0.001, n = 163)”
Reported maximum site standard deviation exceeds the dataset's full span
MinorThe stated maximum site standard deviation, 0.0824, exceeds the full reported dataset range of 0.70384-0.72388 (a span of 0.02004). A site's samples cannot have that standard deviation while all falling within the stated dataset range.
“Site-wide standard deviations (s) ranged from 0.0000 to 0.0824”
“Across the prehistoric Andes, archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values show a limited range from 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70384 to 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.72388”
Mapped-site counts disagree
MinorOne passage describes box plots for 79 sites that could be mapped, while another says only 64 sites had reliable coordinates.
“Box plots for the 79 sites that could be mapped show relatively constrained ranges by site”
“Of the 1640 samples from 64 sites with reliable coordinates”
Chen Chen minimum is below the reported dataset minimum
MinorTable 2 gives Chen Chen a minimum of 0.7019, below the stated minimum of 0.70384 for the entire archaeological dataset.
“Across the prehistoric Andes, archaeological 87 Sr/ 86 Sr values show a limited range from 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.70384 to 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.72388”
“Chen Chen | 66 | 0.7078 | 0.0025 | 0.0000 | 0.35 | 0.7019”
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Kertés, S., Danielisová, A., Bursák, D., & Ackerman, L. (2026) · Journal of Archaeological Method and Theory · doi:10.1007/s10816-026-09827-8
Multi-tissue stable isotopic investigation of social elite diet at Túcume, Peru
Smith, D. R., Elías, B. D., & Toyne, J. M. (2026) · Journal of Archaeological Science Reports · doi:10.1016/j.jasrep.2026.106032
Laffoon, J. E., & Sonnemann, T. F. (2023) · Leiden Repository (Leiden University)
Metadata
- Authors
- Scaffidi, B. K., & Knudson, K. J.
- Affiliations
- Arizona State University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Scaffidi, Beth K.
- Venue
- Journal of Archaeological Science
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-05
- Volume
- 117
- Pages
- 105121
- ISSN
- 0305-4403 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3011536119
- Semantic Scholar
- 788ba526c172356d50b987e5a3846855ae3ccdfe
- Cited by
- 81
- References
- 147
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 14 · 2023: 16 · 2022: 8 · 2021: 15 · 2020: 6
- FWCI
- 1.99
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Archaeological Science (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Archeology › Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Forensic and Genetic Research
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Archeology (arts and humanities) › Forensic Anthropology and Bioarchaeology Studies
- Keywords
- 87Sr/86Sr, isoscapes, human mobility, migration, trade networks, skeletal remains, faunal remains, sex differences
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