Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times.
Roger Buehler, Dale W. Griffin, Michael G Ross·1994·Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
Cited by (42)
- Representativeness revisited: Attribute substitution in intuitive judgment.Kahneman, Daniel, Frederick, Shane · 2002 · Heuristics and Biases
- Temporal construal.Trope, Yaacov, Liberman, Nira · 2003 · Psychological Review
- The trouble with overconfidence.Moore, Don A., Healy, Paul J. · 2008 · Psychological Review
- The Affect HeuristicSlovic, Paul, Finucane, Melissa, Peters, Ellen, MacGregor, Donald G. · 2002 · Heuristics and Biases
- The Intention–Behavior GapSheeran, Paschal, Webb, Thomas L. · 2016 · Social and Personality Psychology Compass
- Flawed Self-Assessment: Implications for Health, Education, and the WorkplaceDunning, David, Heath, Chip, Suls, Jerry M. · 2004 · Psychological Science in the Public Interest
- Belief and feeling: Evidence for an accessibility model of emotional self-report.Robinson, Michael D., Clore, Gerald L. · 2002 · Psychological Bulletin
- The Costly Pursuit of Self-EsteemCrocker, Jennifer, Park, Lora E. · 2004 · Psychological Bulletin
- Episodic future thinkingAtance, Cristina M., O'Neill, Daniela K. · 2001 · Trends in Cognitive Sciences
- Residual Effects of Past on Later Behavior: Habituation and Reasoned Action PerspectivesAjzen, Icek · 2002 · Personality and Social Psychology Review
- Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probabilityTversky, Amos, Koehler, Derek J. · 1994 · Psychological Review
- Key questions regarding work engagement.Bakker, Arnold B., Albrecht, Simon L., Leiter, Michael P. · 2011 · European Journal of Work and Organizational Psychology
- Longitudinal Study of Procrastination, Performance, Stress, and Health: The Costs and Benefits of DawdlingTice, Dianne M, Baumeister, Roy F. · 1997 · Psychological Science
- Objectivity in the eye of the beholder: Divergent perceptions of bias in self versus othersPronin, Emily, Gilovich, Thomas, Ross, Lee · 2004 · Psychological Review
- Too Much of a Good Thing: The Challenge and Opportunity of the Inverted UGrant, Adam M., Schwartz, Barry · 2011 · Perspectives on Psychological Science
- Metacognitive experiences and the intricacies of setting people straight: implications for debiasing and public information campaignsSchwarz, Norbert, Sanna, Lawrence J., Skurnik, Ian, Yoon, Carolyn · 2007 · Advances in Experimental Social Psychology
- Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference Class Forecasting in PracticeFlyvbjerg, Bent · 2008 · European Planning Studies
- The Perceived Utility of Human and Automated Aids in a Visual Detection TaskDzindolet, Mary T., Pierce, Linda G., Beck, Hall P., Dawe, Lloyd A. · 2002 · Human Factors: The Journal of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society
- The curse of expertise: The effects of expertise and debiasing methods on prediction of novice performance.Hinds, Pamela J. · 1999 · Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied
- Valuing thoughts, ignoring behavior: The introspection illusion as a source of the bias blind spotPronin, Emily, Kugler, Matthew B. · 2007 · Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
- How we see ourselves and how we see othersPronin, Emily · 2008 · Science
- Untitled work2007
- The Pros and Cons of Temporally Near and Distant Action.Eyal, Tal, Liberman, Nira, Trope, Yaacov, Walther, Eva · 2004 · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
- Wisdom in ContextGrossmann, Igor · 2017 · Perspectives on Psychological Science
- If at first you don't succeed: False hopes of self-change.Polivy, Janet, Herman, C. Peter · 2002 · American Psychologist
- Exploring Solomon’s Paradox: Self-Distancing Eliminates the Self-Other Asymmetry in Wise Reasoning About Close Relationships in Younger and Older AdultsGrossmann, Igor, Kross, Ethan · 2014 · Psychological Science
- Cohesion and Performance: A Meta-Analytic Review of Disparities Between Project Teams, Production Teams, and Service TeamsChiocchio, François, Essiembre, Hélène · 2009 · Small Group Research
- Believing what we do not believe: acquiescence to superstitious beliefs and other powerful intuitionsRisen, Jane L. · 2016 · Psychological Review
- First-time mothers' expectations of parenthood: What happens when optimistic expectations are not matched by later experiences?Harwood, Kate, McLean, Neil, Durkin, Kevin · 2007 · Developmental Psychology
- Know thyselfWilson, Timothy D. · 2009 · Perspectives on Psychological Science
- Mental Contamination and the Debiasing ProblemWilson, Timothy D., Centerbar, David B., Brekke, Nancy · 2002 · Heuristics and Biases
- Missing the trees for the forest: A construal level account of the illusion of explanatory depth.Alter, Adam L., Oppenheimer, Daniel M., Zemla, Jeffrey C. · 2010 · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology
- Future planning: default network activity couples with frontoparietal control network and reward-processing regions during process and outcome simulationsGerlach, Kathy D., Spreng, R. Nathan, Madore, Kevin P., Schacter, Daniel L. · 2014 · Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience
- The calibration of expert judgment: heuristics and biases beyond the laboratoryKoehler, Derek J., Brenner, Lyle, Griffin, Dale · 2002 · Heuristics and Biases
- Successfully leaving work at work: The self-regulatory underpinnings of psychological detachmentSmit, Brandon W. · 2016 · Journal of Occupational and Organizational Psychology
- Lies, damned lies, and project plans: Recurring human errors that can ruin the project planning processPinto, Jeffrey K. · 2013 · Business Horizons
- Known Unknowns: A Critical Determinant of Confidence and CalibrationWalters, Daniel J., Fernbach, Philip M., Fox, Craig R., Sloman, Steven A. · 2017 · Management Science
- The mere deadline effect: why more time might sabotage goal pursuit.Zhu, Meng, Bagchi, Rajesh, Hock, Stefan J · 2019 · Journal of Consumer Research
- Depression and Anxiety in Times of COVID-19: How Coping Strategies and Loneliness Relate to Mental Health Outcomes and Academic PerformanceFreyhofer, Sebastian, Ziegler, Niklas, de Jong, Elisabeth M., Schippers, Michaéla C. · 2021 · Frontiers in Psychology
- Measuring Attachment Dimensions in Adolescents: Development and Validation of the Experiences in Close Relationships — Revised — General Short FormWilkinson, Ross B. · 2011 · Journal of Relationships Research
- Designing for Future Behaviors: Understanding the Effect of Temporal Distance on Planned BehaviorsSuh, Minhyang (Mia), Hsieh, Gary · 2016 · Proceedings of the 2016 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems
- Agent-Supported Foresight for AI Systemic Risks: AI Agents for Breadth, Experts for JudgmentFröhling, Leon, Giaconia, Alessandro, Bogucka, Edyta Paulina, Quercia, Daniele · 2026 · Proceedings of the 2026 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.