Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming

Sarmiento, Jorge L.; Hughes, Tertia M. C.; Stouffer, Ronald J.; Manabe, Syukuro

doi:10.1038/30455

Cited by 899Marine and coastal ecosystemsClimate variability and modelsOceanographic and Atmospheric Processes

Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming

Sarmiento, Jorge L., Hughes, Tertia M. C., Stouffer, Ronald J., Manabe, Syukuro·1998·Nature

DOI 10.1038/30455

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Associated with the warming-driven stratification of the ocean is a restriction in nutrient supply and thus biological (export) production, with a peak year ~2200 reduction of about 16%.
“Associated with the warming-driven stratification of the ocean is a restriction in nutrient supply and thus biological (export) production [Plattner et al., 2001;Sarmiento et al., 1998], with a peak year $2200 reduction of about 16% (Figure 8b).”
From Regulation of atmospheric CO 2 by deep‐sea sediments in an Earth system model (2007) · cites this paper as Sarmiento et al., 1998
The upper ocean becomes globally more stratified owing to increases in surface temperature and precipitation.
“Additionally, the upper ocean becomes globally more stratified owing to increases in surface temperature and precipitation [Manabe et al., 1991; Manabe and Stouffer, 1993; Sarmiento et al., 1998].”
From Potential impact of climate change on marine export production (2001) · cites this paper as Sarmiento et al., 1998
Upper ocean warming could increase water column stratification, potentially counteracting the effects of intensifying upwelling-favorable winds by reducing the efficacy of coastal upwelling to deliver nutrients to the euphotic zone.
“Upper ocean warming could increase water column stratification [37][38][39], potentially counteracting the effects of intensifying upwelling-favorable winds by reducing the efficacy of coastal upwelling to deliver nutrients to the euphotic zone.”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [37]
Next generation GCMs predict a decline in dissolved oxygen with high certainty as a result of enhanced stratification and reduced ventilation.
“As a result of enhanced stratification and reduced ventilation, next generation GCMs predict a decline in dissolved oxygen with high certainty [37,52,53]”
From Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems (2015) · cites this paper as [37]

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Authors: Sarmiento, J. L., Hughes, T. M. C., Stouffer, R. J., & Manabe, S.
Affiliations: Princeton University (US)
NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (US)
Corresponding author: Sarmiento, Jorge L.
ORCID: Sarmiento, Jorge L.
Stouffer, Ronald J.
Venue: Nature
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published: 1998-05
Volume: 393
Issue: 6682
Pages: 245-249
ISSN: 0028-0836 (ISSN-L)
1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/30455
OpenAlex: W1481779298
Cited by: 899
References: 26
Citations by year: 2026: 10 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 36 · 2023: 22 · 2022: 27 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 26 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 29 · 2017: 36 · 2016: 31 · 2015: 30 · 2014: 31 · 2013: 52 · 2012: 40
FWCI: 36.26
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Licence: www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations: Nature (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine and coastal ecosystems
Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Keywords: ocean carbon cycle, anthropogenic CO2 emissions, ocean carbon sink, Southern Ocean, ocean stratification, surface freshening, ocean circulation, coupled ocean-atmosphere model, climate change, biological carbon pump, carbon flux

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