Heritability within groups is uninformative about differences among groups: Cases from behavioral, evolutionary, and statistical genetics
Open accessAbstract
Without the ability to control or randomize environments (or genotypes), it is difficult to determine the degree to which observed phenotypic differences between two groups of individuals are due to genetic vs. environmental differences. However, some have suggested that these concerns may be limited to pathological cases, and methods have appeared that seem to give—directly or indirectly—some support to claims that aggregate heritable variation within groups can be related to heritable variation among groups. We consider three families of approaches: the “between-group heritability” sometimes invoked in behavior genetics, the statistic P ST used in empirical work in evolutionary quantitative genetics, and methods based on variation in ancestry in an admixed population, used in anthropological and statistical genetics. We take up these examples to show mathematically that information on within-group genetic and phenotypic information in the aggregate cannot separate among-group differences into genetic and environmental components, and we provide simulation results that support our claims. We discuss these results in terms of the long-running debate on this topic.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
The paper generalizes Lewontin’s argument to show that within-group heritability provides no information about between-group heritability, and that even correctly estimated between-group heritability does not reveal the direction of genetic versus environmental contributions to group differences. It extends this critique to PST/QST analyses in evolutionary genetics and to ancestry-based heritability approaches in statistical genetics.
Key findings
- For two groups, between-group heritability is \(h_B^2 = \delta_G^2 / ((\delta_G+\delta_E)^2)\), where \(\delta_G\) and \(\delta_E\) are mean genetic and environmental differences; this can exceed 1 when genetic and environmental effects point in opposite directions, and approaches infinity when \(\delta_E \approx -\delta_G\).
- Given the phenotypic difference \(\delta\) and \(h_B^2\), two genetic-effect directions are consistent in the two-group case, \(\delta_G = \pm \delta \sqrt{h_B^2}\); with more than two groups, infinitely many configurations of genetic and environmental deviations are consistent with a given \(h_B^2\).
- In PST analyses, the correct scaling parameter for \(PST=QST\) is \(c^* = h_B^2 / h_W^2\); because \(h_B^2\) is not bounded by 1, common sensitivity analyses exploring \(c\) between 0 and 1 can be conservative, and PST can be anti-conservative or conservative depending on timing and direction of environmental versus optimum shifts.
- Local-ancestry heritability estimates depend on a variance component that does not estimate the mean genetic difference between source populations, \(\delta_G = 2\sum_j \beta_j(p_{2j}-p_{1j})\), so they do not resolve the genetic component of between-group differences.
Methods
- The authors derive quantitative-genetic relationships among within-group heritability \(h_W^2\), between-group heritability \(h_B^2\), variance proportions \(r\) and \(t\), QST, and PST under additive genetic and environmental models.
- They simulate stabilizing selection with SLiM: initial population of 500 diploid individuals, 1,000,000 positions, mutation rate \(10^{-7}\), recombination rate \(10^{-5}\), Gaussian stabilizing selection, split after 20,000 generations into two populations of 20,000 diploid individuals, then 500 generations post-split with 500 replicates per scenario.
- They compare QST and PST to genome-wide FST using the Lewontin–Krakauer test, with concordant versus discordant environmental and optimum shifts; both scenarios use an optimum shift of +1, with environment shifts of +4 or −2 and \(h_B^2=9\) at equilibrium.
Limitations
- The paper states its complications arise under simple additive models and that gene-by-environment interaction makes the situation more complicated; it defers a brief consideration of interaction to the Discussion.
- It states that environmental control is often impossible, especially for humans and some wild organisms, and that without environmental control the sources of among-group differences remain ambiguous.
- The text makes evident that the simulation results are specific to the modeled scenarios and parameters, and that local-ancestry heritability can be biased by selection in source populations, with a pathological worst case yielding estimates near 0 when true heritability is 1.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
10 of 19 cited sources checked · 4 supported · 1 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Findingreasoning
The variation due to local ancestry that local-ancestry-based heritability estimation leverages has no clear relationship with between-group trait differences.
“We show that the variation due to local ancestry that they leverage has no clear relationship with between-group trait differences.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [15] N. Zaitlen, Leveraging population admixture to characterize the heritability of complex traits. Nat. Genet. 46, 1356– 1362 (2014). 25383972 PMC4244251 source
The Results (Overview of method) and Online Methods describe how variation in local ancestry is used to estimate heritability. Our copy does not address whether that variation has a clear relationship with between-group trait differences; searches for population-level phenotype differences found no passage settling the claim. Page numbers were not available in the indexed copy. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [16] A. A. Zaidi, Investigating the case of human nose shape and climate adaptation. PLoS Genet. 13, 1– 31 (2017). PMC5354252 28301464 source
The Results section (“Investigating heritability of nose shape within- and among-populations”; page unavailable) says local-ancestry variation represents genetic variation between populations. It explicitly treats the phenotypic variance explained by local ancestry as conceptually equivalent to the genetic contribution to between-population phenotypic variation, rather than having no clear relationship to it. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Premisecitation
When traits evolve neutrally, QST is expected to be equal to FST at putatively neutral sites.
“When traits evolve neutrally, QST is expected to be equal to FST at putatively neutral sites, which measures the genetic variation among populations (27).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] M. C. Whitlock, Neutral additive genetic variance in a metapopulation. Genet. Res. 74, 215– 221 (1999). 10689799 source
Section 4 states that QST is expected to equal FST for neutral additive quantitative traits and neutral marker loci in the low-mutation limit. The citing sentence omits those conditions: the Conclusions (section 9) explain that dominance can make QST greater or less than FST even for neutral traits. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
QST is equal to r/(2−r) for diploids.
“For diploids, in terms of the variance proportion r discussed in the previous section, it is equal to QST=r/(2−r) (26).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] M. D. Edge, N. A. Rosenberg, A general model of the relationship between the apportionment of human genetic diversity and the apportionment of human phenotypic diversity. Hum. Biol. 87, 313 (2015). 27737590 PMC8504698 source
- Interpretationcitation
The problem of bias in local-ancestry heritability estimates is most pronounced when the trait under consideration has experienced selection in the source populations.
“This problem is most pronounced when the trait under consideration has experienced selection in the source populations, a scenario that Zaitlen et al. (15) recognized as potentially problematic for their estimator.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] N. Zaitlen, Leveraging population admixture to characterize the heritability of complex traits. Nat. Genet. 46, 1356– 1362 (2014). 25383972 PMC4244251 source
The Discussion recognizes that selection acting on causal variants can bias the estimator, particularly when positive selection in one ancestral group raises their genetic differentiation. The Results sensitivity analysis qualifies this: significant bias from positive selection occurred only at extreme values of both locus differentiation and heritability. Selection in a source population alone is therefore not enough to establish the claim's broader 'most pronounced' characterization. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationcitation
It is difficult to interpret QST and PST in the presence of environmental differences between groups.
“Moreover, we highlight the difficulty of interpreting QST and PST in the presence of environmental differences between groups, adding to recent arguments by Harpak and Przeworski (13).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Harpak and Przeworski [13] A. Harpak, M. Przeworski, The evolution of group differences in changing environments. PLoS Biol. 19, 1– 14 (2021). PMC7861633 33493148 source
- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Interpretationcitation
Even careful control of the environment provides only a partial picture of the genetic contribution to group difference, since it tells us only about the genetic contribution in the environment studied, which may well change or reverse in a different one.
“Even careful control of the environment then provides only a partial picture, since it tells us only about the genetic contribution to group difference in the environment studied, which may well change or reverse in a different one (38).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] R. C. Lewontin, The analysis of variance and the analysis of causes. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 26 (1974). PMC1762622 4827368 source
The discussion of interacting causes (p. 401) says phenotype depends on genotype–environment interaction, and the conclusion excerpt says a trait with heritability of 1.0 can be altered by an environmental change. These passages support the warning against treating a genetic contribution measured in one environment as fixed, but they do not specifically say that a controlled group difference may reverse in another environment. (LLM, conf=0.75)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingreasoning
Even if r is known, hB2 still underdetermines the group differences, such that opposing interpretations of among-group variation are possible under the same (known) r and hB2.
“We also show that even if r is known, hB² still underdetermines the group differences, such that opposing interpretations of among-group variation are possible under the same (known) r and hB².”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Findingreasoning
Because the environmental shift results in large phenotypic differences, every PST test initially results in high false positive detection of adaptation.
“However, because the environmental shift results in large phenotypic differences, every PST test initially results in high false positive detection of adaptation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Under this formulation, linear regression slope provides information only about the sum of the genetic and environmental effects of global ancestry, not their relative contribution or even their direction.
“Under this formulation, it would be possible to use linear regression to estimate the slope (in terms of ancestry proportion θ) and intercept given a sample of admixed individuals with measured admixture fractions and phenotypes, but the resulting slope would provide information only about the sum of the genetic and environmental effects of global ancestry, not their relative contribution or even”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: In the simple global-ancestry example, individuals with θ=0 experience environmental effects with expectation E1, individuals with θ=1 experience environmental effects with expectation E2, and there is a linear gradient between those extremes for individuals of intermediate admixture fraction.
- Findingcitation
Under a standard quantitative-genetic model, for two groups, hB2=δG2/((δG+δE)2).
“Then, under a standard quantitative-genetic model,[3] hB²=δG²/((δG+δE)²).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
- Findingreasoning
The phenotypic analogue of QST, called PST, is not constrained by within-population heritability.
“As we showed, the phenotypic analogue of QST, called PST, is not constrained by within-population heritability.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups assumes no gene-by-environment interactions.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The phenomena discussed arise under the simplest possible models, in which phenotypes arise via additive influence of genotype and environment.
- Findingown data
When the environment and optimum shift in the same direction, the average approach to equilibrium is monotonic and smooth.
“When the environment and optimum shift in the same direction, the average approach to equilibrium is monotonic and smooth (panel E).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
In the simulations, the PST test can go from anti-conservative to conservative, and then back to anti-conservative.
“This results in complicated behavior of the PST test in comparison with the QST test, in which PST can go from anti-conservative to conservative, and then back to anti-conservative.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the simulations, phenotypic differences converge to δP=1 in both directions of environmental shift, consistent with identical optimum shifts.
“In both directions of environmental shift, the phenotypic differences converge to δP=1, consistent with identical optimum shifts in both situations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the simulations, genetic differences display opposite dynamics depending on the direction of the environmental shift.
“However, the genetic differences display opposite dynamics, depending on the direction of the environmental shift.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
In a pathological worst case, local-ancestry heritability estimates can be near 0 when the true heritability is 1.
“In SI Appendix, section S2, we consider this problem and describe a related one that, in a pathological worst case, can lead to heritability estimates near 0 when the true heritability is 1.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The expected phenotype of an individual with ancestry fraction θi from source population 2 in a two-source admixture is E(Yi∣θi)=μ1+θiδG+hE(θ).
“We show in SI Appendix, section S.2.1.3 that the expected phenotype of an individual with ancestry fraction θi from source population 2 in a two-source admixture isE(Yi∣θi)=μ1+θiδG+hE(θ),”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
With more than two groups, there are an infinite number of possible configurations of genetic and environmental deviations that are consistent with a given hB2.
“In SI Appendix, section S1.3, we show that with more than two groups, there are an infinite number of possible configurations of genetic and environmental deviations that are consistent with a given hB².”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
- Findingcitation
Knowledge of the heritability of within-population differences does not constrain the heritability of between-population differences at all.
“We showed that knowledge of the heritability of within-population differences does not constrain the heritability of between-population differences at all, as discussed by Lewontin (9).”
- Also stated in: § Discussion · boosted
“Our results establish Lewontin’s interpretation generally.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] R. Lewontin, Race and intelligence. Bull. Atom. Sci. 26, 2– 8 (1970). source
- The authors state this as an assumption: The linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups assumes no gene-by-environment interactions.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The phenomena discussed arise under the simplest possible models, in which phenotypes arise via additive influence of genotype and environment.
- Also stated in: § Discussion · boosted
- Findingreasoning
The expression for hB2 can be derived without reference to within-group heritability or any quantities that contribute to within-group heritability.
“First, this expression for hB² can be derived without reference to within-group heritability or any quantities that contribute to within-group heritability (SI Appendix, section S1.2), indicating that even perfect knowledge of heritability within groups conveys no information about genetic differences between groups without further information or assumptions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
- Findingreasoning
Given knowledge of the phenotypic deviation δ and the between-group heritability, there are two possible directions of genetic effects consistent with the data, namely δG=±δ√hB2.
“For the two-population case, this is reflected in the fact that given knowledge of the phenotypic deviation, δ, and the between-group heritability, there are two possible directions of genetic effects that are consistent with the data, namely δG=±δ√hB².”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
- Findingreasoning
A parameter used in sensitivity analyses involving PST can be understood as a function of hB2.
“We show that a parameter used in sensitivity analyses involving PST can be understood as a function of hB².”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Findingreasoning
If the environmental and genetic effects of global ancestry are confounded in the admixed population, then it may be impossible to recover δG.
“If the environmental and genetic effects of global ancestry are confounded in the admixed population (i.e., if the correlation of Y and hE(θ) is nonzero), then it may be impossible to recover δG.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The long-term expected value of hW2 is constant across the simulations and identical regardless of the direction of the environmental shift.
“On the other hand, the long-term expected value of hW² is constant across the simulations and identical regardless of the direction of the environmental shift, as expected, because within-population variability will not change when there is an optimum shift.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Even if the heritability of between-group differences is estimated correctly, it leaves the direction of the genetic and environmental components of phenotypic difference unclear.
“Crucially, even if the heritability of between-group differences is estimated correctly, it leaves the direction of the genetic and environmental components of phenotypic difference unclear.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Interpretationreasoning
The problems identified arise when simplistic assumptions are made about aggregate contributions of genetic or environmental differences to group differences, particularly when the sources of variation in the phenotype are not understood.
“The problems we identify arise when simplistic assumptions are made about aggregate contributions of genetic or environmental differences to group differences, particularly when the sources of variation in the phenotype are not understood.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The same fundamental problem that plagues hB2 and PST also prevents the separation of genetic and environmental components of differences among source populations via study of ancestry variation in admixed populations.
“The same fundamental problem that plagues hB² and PST also prevents the separation of genetic and environmental components of differences among source populations via study of ancestry variation in admixed populations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
A pattern of QST significantly greater than FST is consistent with divergent selection causing trait differences among groups.
“Such a pattern is consistent with divergent selection causing trait differences among groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
By testing whether QST is significantly greater than FST, it is possible to determine whether there is more genetically explained trait variation among populations than expected under neutral evolution.
“Thus, by testing whether QST is significantly greater than FST, it is possible to determine whether there is more genetically explained trait variation among populations than expected under neutral evolution (28–31).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [28] T. Prout, J. S. Barker, F statistics in Drosophila buzzatii: Selection, population size and inbreeding. Genetics 134, 369– 375 (1993). 8514144 PMC1205439 source
- cites [29] K. Spitze, Population structure in Daphnia obtusa: Quantitative genetic and allozymic variation. Genetics 135, 367– 374 (1993). 8244001 PMC1205642 source
- cites [30] M. C. Whitlock, Evolutionary inference from QST. Mol. Ecol. 17, 1885– 1896 (2008). 18363667 source
- cites [31] T. Leinonen, R. J. S. McCairns, R. B. O’Hara, J. Merila, FST comparisons: Evolutionary and ecological insights from genomic heterogeneity. Nat. Rev. Genet. 14, 179– 190 (2013). 23381120 source
- Interpretationreasoning
The sensitivity analysis typically undertaken when using PST to test for evidence of divergent selection on a phenotype may be conservative, especially if the phenotypic differentiation among groups is small.
“Using our results about hB² and their relationship to PST, we show the sensitivity analysis that is typically undertaken when using PST to test for evidence of divergent selection on a phenotype may be conservative, especially if the phenotypic differentiation among groups is small.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Interpretationreasoning
The relationship between hW2 and hB2 is rather like the relationship between a random variable's expectation and its variance: knowledge of the expectation alone gives no information about the variance unless further assumptions are made.
“The relationship between hW² and hB² is rather like the relationship between a random variable’s expectation and its variance. One can write the variance as a function of the expectation (i.e., Var(X)=E(X²)−E(X)²), but unless further assumptions are made, knowledge of the expectation alone gives no information about the variance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The expression in Eq. 5 does not provide a means to estimate δG, since the average of the quantity βj(p2j−p1j) does not appear in Eq. 5; only its variance does.
“However, the expression in Eq. 5 does not provide a means to estimate δG, since the average of the quantity βj(p2j−p1j) does not appear in Eq. 5; only its variance does.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In the absence of environmental control or clear understanding of the causes of a phenotype, it is generally difficult or impossible to isolate the aggregate contribution of genetics vs. environment to an observed difference between groups.
“In the absence of environmental control or clear understanding of the causes of a phenotype, it is generally difficult or impossible to isolate the aggregate contribution of genetics vs. environment to an observed difference between groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Lower-than-expected values of QST may be taken as evidence of stabilizing selection on a shared optimum.
“On the other hand, lower-than-expected values of QST may be taken as evidence of stabilizing selection on a shared optimum.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Knowledge of hB2 at any time during adaptation is not sufficient to characterize the direction in which selective forces are acting.
“As emphasized in the previous section, knowledge of hB² at any time during adaptation is not sufficient to characterize the direction in which selective forces are acting.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The genetic effect of ancestry may be confounded with environmental variation affecting the phenotype.
“As we show and has been mentioned previously as a cautionary point, e.g., refs. 5, 7 and 14, the genetic effect of ancestry may be confounded with environmental variation affecting the phenotype.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites 5, 7 and 14
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Interpretationreasoning
The rationale underlying Lewontin's thought experiments is general and poses challenges for the interpretation of hB2 whenever environmental differences among groups are not controlled or understood.
“Here, we show that in contrast to DeFries’ suggestion, the rationale underlying Lewontin’s thought experiments is general and poses challenges for the interpretation of hB² whenever environmental differences among groups are not controlled or understood.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Interpretationreasoning
The mean value of βj(p2j−p1j) is not constrained by the variance of the βj(p2j−p1j) values.
“The mean value of βj(p2j−p1j) is not constrained by the variance of the βj(p2j−p1j) values.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Because the between-population heritability is not bounded from above by 1, common sensitivity analyses, which assume that the between-population component of genetic differentiation is smaller than the within-population component, can be very conservative.
“In fact, because the between-population heritability is not bounded from above by 1, common sensitivity analyses, which assume that the between-population component of genetic differentiation is smaller than the within-population component, can be very conservative.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
To compare the impact of stabilizing selection with environmental change, both the common-garden genetic values and the in situ phenotypic values are necessary.
“Thus, to compare the impact of stabilizing selection with environmental change, both the common-garden genetic values and the in situ phenotypic values are necessary.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Comparing local-ancestry heritability results with or without a fixed effect for global ancestry fraction does not reveal the genetic component of the between-group difference if there may also be environmental effects associated with ancestry fraction.
“However, comparing these results does not reveal the genetic component of the between-group difference if there may also be environmental effects associated with ancestry fraction, for the reasons discussed in the previous subsection (SI Appendix, section S2.3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Even if r (and thus between-group heritability) can be constrained somewhat, the causes of group difference remain ambiguous without a clear understanding of environmental differences among groups and their relevance for the trait.
“However, even if r (and thus between-group heritability, which has r as a key ingredient) can be constrained somewhat, the causes of group difference remain ambiguous without a clear understanding of environmental differences among groups and their relevance for the trait.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisereasoning
Variation among admixed people in global ancestry proportions may be associated with both genetic and environmental effects, leading to confounding.
“Variation among admixed people in global ancestry proportions may be associated with both genetic and environmental effects, leading to confounding.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In the presence of gene-by-environment interaction, the role of genetic factors in explaining group differences itself depends on the environment in which the groups exist.
“In the presence of gene-by-environment interaction, the role of genetic factors in explaining group differences itself depends on the environment in which the groups exist.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
In the absence of environmental controls, it is impossible to estimate r, the proportion of the variance in the genetic component of the trait accounted for by group membership.
“An immediate problem with application of Eq. 2 is that in the absence of environmental controls, it is impossible to estimate r, the proportion of the variance in the genetic component of the trait accounted for by group membership, a point that DeFries conveyed (10).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites DeFries [10] J. C. DeFries, “Quantitative aspects of genetics and environment in the determination of behavior” in Genetics, Environment and Behavior: Implications for Educational Policy (Academic Press, Oxford, England) (1972), p. 324. source
- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- May combine two claims. 20
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 10
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationDirectional or stabilizing selection in the history of the source populations can lead to upward or downward biases in heritability estimates, respectively.
“Specifically, directional or stabilizing selection in the history of the source populations can lead to upward or downward biases in heritability estimates, respectively (37).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [37] J. Huang, S. Basu, M. D. Shriver, A. A. Zaidi, Interpreting SNP heritability in admixed populations. bioRxiv (2023). https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.08.04.551959v1 (Accessed 20 December 2023). PMC12273224 40404285 source
The Results sections on genetic variance and HE estimation link divergent selection to positive LD and stabilizing selection to negative LD, then report upward and downward bias, respectively, for HE regression. But the Results section on GREML estimation reports the opposite directions in admixed populations with population structure. The claim omits this estimator-dependent qualification; page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe variance in group means was computed without using Bessel's correction, as shown by Weaver (51) to be the correct formula for Nei's FST (52).
“We note that we computed the variance in group means without using Bessel’s correction, as shown by Weaver (51) to be the correct formula for Nei’s FST (52).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningBetween-group heritability is not bounded between 0 and 1; if environmental and genetic effects point in different directions such that the magnitude of the phenotypic deviation δ=δG+δE is smaller than the magnitude of the genetic deviation δG, then hB2 will be larger than 1.
“Second, it shows that the between-group heritability is not bounded between 0 and 1: In particular, if the environmental and genetic effects point in different directions, such that the magnitude of the phenotypic deviation, δ=δG+δE is smaller than the magnitude of the genetic deviation, δG, then the between-group heritability will be larger than 1.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe trajectories of QST are identical regardless of the direction of the environmental shift, in line with the fact that knowledge of QST is not informative of the direction of environmental and genetic shifts.
“Finally, the trajectories of QST are identical regardless of the direction of the environmental shift, in line with the fact that knowledge of QST is not informative of the direction of environmental and genetic shifts.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn the simulations, early in adaptation, QST rejects the null hypothesis approximately 5% of the time at the 5% significance threshold, showing that the test is well calibrated.
“Early in adaptation, there should be very little genetic signal of adaptation, and QST rejects the null hypothesis approximately 5% of the time at the 5% significance threshold, showing that the test is well calibrated.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAs adaptation proceeds, QST detects adaptation with high power, although it loses power after approximately 300 generations because the neutral divergence between populations increases substantially.
“Subsequently, as adaptation proceeds, QST detects adaptation with high power, although it loses power after approximately 300 generations, because the neutral divergence between populations increases substantially.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFor values of c<1, as typically explored in the literature, PST quickly becomes smaller than QST, and tests using PST fail to reject the null hypothesis significantly earlier into adaptation.
“However, for values of c<1, as typically explored in the literature, PST quickly becomes smaller than QST, and tests using PST fail to reject the null hypothesis significantly earlier into adaptation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
FindingreasoningUnder a linear gradient between environmental extremes, E(Yi∣θ)=μ1+E1+θ(δG+δE).
“If we again define the difference between mean environmental effects to be, δE=E2−E1, then hE(θ)=E1+θδE, andE(Yi∣θ)=μ1+E1+θ(δG+δE).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: In the simple global-ancestry example, individuals with θ=0 experience environmental effects with expectation E1, individuals with θ=1 experience environmental effects with expectation E2, and there is a linear gradient between those extremes for individuals of intermediate admixture fraction.
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningBecause both QST and PST depend on the variance of between-population means, any evolutionary scenarios that produce identical hB2 will also produce identical QST and PST, indicating that knowledge of PST or QST is not sufficient for disentangling the directions of environmental and genetic effects.
“Finally, because both QST and PST depend on the variance of between-population means, any evolutionary scenarios that produce identical hB² will also produce identical QST and PST, indicating that knowledge of PST or QST is not sufficient for disentangling the directions of environmental and genetic effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIf the environmental shift is in the same direction as the optimum shift, then the adapting population will have a mean genetic value that is less than that of the population that did not experience an environmental shift; in the opposite scenario, the adapting population will have a mean genetic contribution to the trait that is greater than the population that did not experience a shift.
“If the environmental shift is in the same direction as the optimum shift (panel C), then the adapting population will have a mean genetic value that is less than that of the population that did not experience an environmental shift; in the other scenario (panel D), the adapting population will have a mean genetic contribution to the trait that is greater than the population that did not experience”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataVery different underlying evolutionary forces result in identical hB2 and QST, indicating that these statistics are insufficient for characterizing evolutionary history and may be misleading in some circumstances.
“In particular, we developed a model in which very different underlying evolutionary forces result in identical hB² and QST, indicating that these statistics are insufficient for characterizing evolutionary history and may be misleading in some circumstances.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataWhen the optimum and environment shift in opposite directions, hB2 becomes large when the phenotypic difference between the populations is near 0, and comes back down from infinity to settle at the equilibrium value; it is also much noisier across simulation replicates, with the middle 80% of the distribution spanning three orders of magnitude.
“However, when the optimum and environment shift in opposite directions, hB² becomes large when the phenotypic difference between the populations is near 0, and comes back down from infinity to settle at the equilibrium value (panel F). It is also much noisier across simulation replicates, as evidenced by the middle 80% of the distribution spanning three orders of magnitude.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe coefficients for PST are a=hB2, the between-group heritability, and b=hW2, the within-group heritability, so that the correct value of c to obtain PST=QST is c^(∗)=hB2/hW2.
“In Materials and Methods, we show that the coefficients for PST are a=hB², the between-group heritability, and b=hW², the within-group heritability, so that the correct value of c to obtain PST=QST is[4] c^(∗)=hB²/hW².”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingreasoningIn terms of the variance proportions t and r in DeFries' expression for between-group heritability, QST = r/(2−r).
“In terms of the variance proportions t and r in DeFries’ expression for between-group heritability, it follows that QST=r/(2−r).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataWith the definitions of hB2 and hW2 given, one can recover the relationship between hB2 and hW2 derived by DeFries (10).
“In SI Appendix, section S1.2, we show that with these definitions, one can recover the relationship between hB² and hW² derived by DeFries (10).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] J. C. DeFries, “Quantitative aspects of genetics and environment in the determination of behavior” in Genetics, Environment and Behavior: Implications for Educational Policy (Academic Press, Oxford, England) (1972), p. 324. source
- The authors state this as an assumption: The linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups assumes no gene-by-environment interactions.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The phenomena discussed arise under the simplest possible models, in which phenotypes arise via additive influence of genotype and environment.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataIn the simulations, hB2≈9 at equilibrium by construction.
“Fig. 2 E and F show that hB²≈9 at equilibrium by construction.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningPerfect knowledge of within-group heritability provides no information about between-group heritability; between-group heritability is unconstrained by within-group heritability.
“Perfect knowledge of within-group heritability provides no information about between-group heritability.”
- Also stated in: § Between-Group Heritability Is Unconstrained by Within-Group Heritability and Underdetermines Genetic and Environmental Differences among Groups · plain
“Within-group heritabilities, on their own, provide no information about the causes of between-group differences, in part because any configuration of group means for the genetic contributions to the trait is possible under some value of r.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- Also stated in: § Between-Group Heritability Is Unconstrained by Within-Group Heritability and Underdetermines Genetic and Environmental Differences among Groups · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataWhen the environment and optimum shift in opposite directions, the behavior of QST remains monotonic, but the behavior of PST for a given c becomes nonmonotonic, reaching a minimum when the phenotypic difference between populations is small and then increasing again.
“Fig. 3 C and D show that when the environment and optimum shift in opposite directions, the behavior of QST remains monotonic, but the behavior of PST for a given c becomes nonmonotonic, reaching a minimum when the phenotypic difference between populations is small and then increasing again.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoninghB2 rapidly approaches infinity when δE≈−δG, and larger genetic deviations result in a larger range of environmental deviations over which hB2>1.
“One striking feature of the behavior of hB² is that it rapidly approaches infinity when δE≈−δG and that larger genetic deviations result in a larger range of environmental deviations over which hB²>1.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Premisenone givenThe linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups is applicable to a trait regardless of genetic architecture, as long as there are no gene-by-environment interactions.
“This model is applicable to a trait regardless of genetic architecture, as long as there are no gene-by-environment interactions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups assumes no gene-by-environment interactions.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationBetween-group heritability hB2 is mathematically related to within-group heritability hW2 as hB2≈hW2((1−t)r)/((1−r)t), if groups are large.
“With some algebra, he showed that the between-group heritability is mathematically related to the within-group heritability, hW². Specifically, defining r and t as in the previous paragraph, he showed that[2] hB²≈hW²((1−t)r)/((1−r)t),”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites DeFries [10] J. C. DeFries, “Quantitative aspects of genetics and environment in the determination of behavior” in Genetics, Environment and Behavior: Implications for Educational Policy (Academic Press, Oxford, England) (1972), p. 324. source
- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Groups are large.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe fact that c can be much larger than 1 is not widely understood, nor is the fact that it can achieve very large values in realistic evolutionary scenarios.
“However, to our knowledge, the fact that c can be much larger than 1 is not widely understood, nor is the fact that it can achieve very large values in realistic evolutionary scenarios.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningLimiting to within-sibship comparisons would remove some confounds of global ancestry proportion, but it would not exclude environmentally mediated phenotypic differences caused by variation in global ancestry.
“Limiting to within-sibship comparisons would remove some confounds of global ancestry proportion, but it would not exclude environmentally mediated phenotypic differences caused by variation in global ancestry.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe complications pointed out arise under simple additive models, and the situation is only more complicated in models with interactions among genetic or environmental influences.
“The complications we point out arise under simple additive models, and the situation is only more complicated in models with interactions among genetic or environmental influences.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningEven if the between-group heritability were estimable, it is consistent with potentially infinitely many configurations of genetic differences among populations and cannot be used to infer the direction(s) of group differences in genetic contributions to a trait.
“Moreover, even if the between-group heritability were estimable, it is consistent with potentially infinitely many configurations of genetic differences among populations and cannot be used to infer the direction(s) of group differences in genetic contributions to a trait.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: The linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups assumes no gene-by-environment interactions.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The phenomena discussed arise under the simplest possible models, in which phenotypes arise via additive influence of genotype and environment.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningHeritability estimates based on local ancestry offer the potential to address one of the main issues facing SNP heritability estimates, since segments of local ancestry tag both common and rare variants.
“Heritability estimates based on local ancestry offer the potential to address one of the main issues facing SNP heritability estimates, since segments of local ancestry tag both common and rare variants.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBecause hB2 is unconstrained by any measure of genetic and environmental variability within groups, and because hB2 is not constrained to be between 0 and 1, a sensitivity analysis that explores values of c between 0 and 1 may lead to extremely conservative tests for divergent selection.
“As shown above, hB² is unconstrained by any measure of genetic and environmental variability within groups. Moreover, because hB² is not constrained to be between 0 and 1, a sensitivity analysis that explores values of c between 0 and 1 may lead to extremely conservative tests for divergent selection.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
- The authors state this as an assumption: There is no epistasis or dominance.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisenone givenTo estimate QST requires arduous common-garden experiments that eliminate environmental confounds.
“However, to estimate QST requires arduous common-garden experiments that eliminate environmental confounds.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf the environment is not controlled, then the sources of among-group differences become ambiguous, and this ambiguity cannot be resolved by study of within-group variation in aggregate.
“At the same time, if the environment is not controlled, then the sources of among-group differences become ambiguous, and this ambiguity cannot be resolved by study of within-group variation in aggregate.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Phenotype value Y is formed from additive genetic and environmental components, Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.
“Consider a phenotype value Y formed from additive genetic and environmental components, i.e., Yi=Gi+Ei for individual i.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
There is no epistasis or dominance.
“It is standard to define the (narrow-sense) heritability as h²=VA/VP, where the additive genetic variance VA is the variance of the genetic component (Gi), assuming no epistasis or dominance, and VP is the variance of the phenotype.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Groups are large.
“Then, when groups are large, the “between-group” heritability is[1] hB²=rVA/tVP.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
A standard quantitative-genetic model applies.
“Then, under a standard quantitative-genetic model,[3] hB²=δG²/((δG+δE)²).”
The authors state this as an assumption.
In the simple global-ancestry example, individuals with θ=0 experience environmental effects with expectation E1, individuals with θ=1 experience environmental effects with expectation E2, and there is a linear gradient between those extremes for individuals of intermediate admixture fraction.
“As a simple example, consider a case in which individuals with θ=0 experience environmental effects with expectation E1, individuals with θ=1 experience environmental effects with expectation E2, and there is a linear gradient between those extremes for individuals of intermediate admixture fraction.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The linear model of quantitative traits within and between groups assumes no gene-by-environment interactions.
“This model is applicable to a trait regardless of genetic architecture, as long as there are no gene-by-environment interactions.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The phenomena discussed arise under the simplest possible models, in which phenotypes arise via additive influence of genotype and environment.
“All of the phenomena we have discussed so far arise under the simplest possible models, in which phenotypes arise via additive influence of genotype and environment.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Reference accessed before its dated preprint existed
MinorReference 42 says it was accessed on 8 August 2023, but its bioRxiv identifier dates the cited version to 18 December 2023.
“(Accessed 8 August 2023)”
“https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.12.18.572247v1”
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Menie, M. A. W. O., Peñaherrera‐Aguirre, M., Figueredo, A.-J., et al. (2024) · Intelligence · doi:10.1016/j.intell.2024.101879 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Interpreting SNP heritability in admixed populations
Huang, J., Kleman, N., Basu, S., Shriver, M. D., & Zaidi, A. A. (2025) · Genetics · doi:10.1093/genetics/iyaf100 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Between group heritability and the status of hereditarianism as an evolutionary sciencePreprint
Roseman, C. C., & Bird, K. A. (2023) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2023.12.18.572247 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
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Error rates in QST–FST comparisons depend on genetic architecture and estimation procedures
Liu, J. J., & Edge, M. D. (2025) · Genetics · doi:10.1093/genetics/iyaf034 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationHAP-SAMPLE2: data-based resampling for association studies with admixture
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Biogeographic Ancestry and Socioeconomic Status: A Meta-Analysis of Epidemiological Findings
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- Authors
- Schraiber, J. G., & Edge, M. D.
- Affiliations
- University of Southern California (US)
- Corresponding author
- Edge, Michael D.
- Venue
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Publisher
- National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2024-03-12
- Volume
- 121
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- e2319496121-e2319496121
- ISSN
- 0027-8424 (ISSN-L)
- 1091-6490
- PMC
- PMC10962975
- OpenAlex
- W4392696419
- Cited by
- 17
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 1
- FWCI
- 4.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Funders
- HHS | NIH | National Institute of General Medical Sciences (R35GM137758)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Animal Behavior and Reproduction
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
- Keywords
- heritability, behavioral genetics, admixture, statistical genetics
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-29.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-29.
Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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