Blinding and expectancy confounds in psychedelic randomized controlled trials
Abstract
Introduction: There is increasing interest in the potential for psychedelic drugs such as psilocybin, LSD and ketamine to treat several mental health disorders, with a growing number of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) being conducted to investigate the therapeutic effectiveness of psychedelics.Areas covered: We review previous literature on expectancy effects and blinding in the context of psychedelic RCTs – literature which strongly suggest that psychedelic RCTs might be confounded by de-blinding and expectancy. We conduct systematic reviews of psychedelic RCTs using Medline, PsychInfo and EMBASE (Jan 1990 – Nov 2020) and show that currently reported psychedelic RCTs have generally not reported pre-trial expectancy, nor the success of blinding procedures.Expert opinion: While psychedelic RCTs have generally shown promising results, with large effect sizes reported, we argue that treatment effect sizes in psychedelic RCTs are likely over-estimated due to de-blinding of participants and high levels of response expectancy. We suggest that psychedelic RCTs should routinely measure de-blinding and expectancy. Careful attention should be paid to clinical trial design and the instructions given to participants to allow these confounds to be reduced, estimated and removed from effect size estimates. We urge caution in interpreting effect size estimates from extant psychedelic RCTs.
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Systematic unblinding has been raised as a major threat to the validity of extant findings from double-blind psychedelic-assisted therapy trials due to high expectancy, presumably resulting in large placebo and nocebo effects in the experimental and control groups, respectively.
“systematic unblinding has been raised as a major threat to the validity of extant findings from ‘double blind’ PAT trials due to high expectancy, presumably resulting in large placebo and nocebo effects in the experimental group and the control group, respectively [32–34].”
There is a general call for more effective active placebo conditions and systematic reporting of blinding efficacy.
“leading to a general call for more effective active placebo conditions and a systematic reporting of blinding efficacy [32–34].”
The study proposes an active placebo condition aimed at maintaining blinding, while systematically assessing and reporting blinding efficacy in participants and therapists.
“proposing an active placebo condition aimed at maintaining blinding, while systematically assessing and reporting blinding efficacy in participants and therapists.”
Blinding efficacy for participants and therapists and expectancy for participants will be assessed and reported.
“blinding efficacy (participants, therapists) and expectancy (participants) will be assessed and reported, as recommended in the literature [32–34].”
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“Finally, findings from the present study should be interpreted in light of difficulties with blinding and the likely contribution of expectancy effects (for in depth discussion, see 11,71 ).”
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“The contribution of expectancy and placebo effects may not undermine efficacy as some critics suggest (Muthukumaraswamy et al., 2021), as these effects may work synergistically with genuine psychedelic-induced therapeutic mechanisms to potentiate greater change.”
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Psilocybin’s effects on cognition and creativity: A scoping review
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Manifest your desires: Psychedelics and the self-help industry.
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Beyond the psychedelic hype: Exploring the persistence of the neoliberal paradigm
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Breathwork-induced psychedelic experiences modulate neural dynamics
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Validation of a new instrument for assessing attitudes on psychedelics in the general population
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Harnessing placebo: Lessons from psychedelic science
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Psychedelic Therapy as Form of Life
Langlitz, N., & Gearin, A. K. (2024) · Neuroethics · doi:10.1007/s12152-024-09550-9 · Cited by 31 · see citing works
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Mind the Psychedelic Hype: Characterizing the Risks and Benefits of Psychedelics for Depression
Meling, D., Ehrenkranz, R. C., Nayak, S. M., Aicher, H., Funk, X., van Elk, M., Graziosi, M., Bauer, P. R., Scheidegger, M., & Yaden, D. B. (2024) · Psychoactives · doi:10.3390/psychoactives3020014 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
New Frontiers or a Bursting Bubble? Psychedelic Therapy Beyond the Dichotomy
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Psychedelic-Assisted Therapy for People with Eating Disorders
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The therapeutic potential of psychedelics: the European regulatory perspective
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History repeating: A roadmap to address common problems in psychedelic sciencePreprint
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Efficacy and Safety of Psilocybin in Treatment-Resistant Major Depression
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Addressing blinding in classic psychedelic studies with innovative active placebos
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Randomized Trial of Ketamine Masked by Surgical Anesthesia in Depressed PatientsPreprint
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Co-design of Guidance for Patient and Public Involvement in Psychedelic Research
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RetractedSoliman, P., Curley, D. E., Capone, C., Eaton, E. M., & Haass‐Koffler, C. L. (2024) · Psychopharmacology · doi:10.1007/s00213-024-06598-6 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
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Dworkin, R. H., Anderson, B. T., Andrews, N., Edwards, R. R., Grob, C. S., Ross, S., Satterthwaite, T. D., & Strain, E. C. (2022) · Journal of Pain · doi:10.1016/j.jpain.2022.05.003 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
- Authors
- Muthukumaraswamy, S. D., Forsyth, A., & Lumley, T.
- Affiliations
- University of Auckland (NZ)
- Corresponding author
- Muthukumaraswamy, Suresh D.
- Venue
- Expert Review of Clinical Pharmacology
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2021-08-26
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 9
- Pages
- 1133-1152
- ISSN
- 1751-2433 (ISSN-L)
- 1751-2441
- OpenAlex
- W3164618783
- Cited by
- 324
- References
- 128
- Citations by year
- 2026: 57 · 2025: 75 · 2024: 81 · 2023: 61 · 2022: 42 · 2021: 8
- FWCI
- 6.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Expert Review of Clinical Pharmacology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Health Research Council of New Zealand
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Psychedelics and Drug Studies
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Pain Management and Placebo Effect
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Keywords
- psychedelics, blinding, response expectancy, confounding, psilocybin, LSD, ketamine, effect size overestimation, trial design, mental illness
- MeSH terms
- Mental Disorders, Hallucinogens, Humans, Ketamine, Lysergic Acid Diethylamide, Psilocybin, Research Design, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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