Cited by 108Customer churn and segmentationCustomer Service Quality and LoyaltyAI and HR Technologies

A Survey on Churn Analysis in Various Business Domains

Open access
Ahn, Jaehyun, Hwang, Junsik, Kim, Doyoung, Choi, Hyukgeun, Kang, Shinjin·2020·IEEE Access

Abstract

In this paper, we present churn prediction techniques that have been released so far. Churn prediction is used in the fields of Internet services, games, insurance, and management. However, since it has been used intensively to increase the predictability of various industry/academic fields, there is a big difference in its definition and utilization. In this paper, we collected the definitions of churn used in the fields of business administration, marketing, IT, telecommunications, newspapers, insurance and psychology, and described their differences. Based on this, we classified and explained churn loss, feature engineering, and prediction models. Our study can be used to select the definition of churn and its associated models suitable for the service field that researchers are most interested in by integrating fragmented churn studies in industry/academic fields.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This survey reviews churn analysis across business domains, collecting definitions and comparing churn loss, feature engineering, and prediction models. It classifies churn as contractual or non-contractual and reports that preferred modeling techniques vary by industry, with deep learning more common where dense log data exist.

Key findings

  • The survey identifies 12 business fields with churn prediction and reports model-type counts: telecommunications has 26 traditional machine learning, 3 statistics, 3 graph theory, and 1 deep learning study; games has 16 traditional machine learning, 7 statistics, and 2 deep learning; finance has 10 traditional machine learning, 2 statistics, and 1 deep learning (Table 2).
  • Churn definitions split into contractual churn (non-renewal at contract date) and non-contractual churn, where a time window defines inactivity; Yang et al. (2019) found more than 95% of mobile-game customers did not return after 3 consecutive absent days and set 3 days as the window, while Lee et al. (2018) set 14 weeks as the period when 75% or more customers were continuously unconnected.
  • Loss is framed via customer acquisition cost (CAC) and customer lifetime value (CLV); the paper cites Reichheld et al. (1996) that a 5% increase in retention rate achieved 35% and 95% increases in net present value for a software company and an advertising agency, respectively.
  • Feature engineering includes one-hot encoding, bucketing, data imputation, normalization, feature embedding, and imbalanced-data handling; for imbalance, Amin et al. (2016) found MTDF highest accuracy versus SMOTE, ADASYN, MWMOTE, ICOTE, and TRkNN, while Gui (2017) reported SMOTE best in telecom. Performance evaluation commonly uses AUC/ROC or lift/top-decile lift.

Methods

  • Design: literature survey integrating fragmented churn studies across industry and academic fields; no new empirical experiment is reported.
  • Data/sample: collected definitions of churn from business administration, marketing, IT, telecommunications, newspapers, insurance, and psychology, and cases from 12 business fields.
  • Analysis: thematic classification and comparison of churn definitions, churn loss (CAC/CLV), feature engineering, prediction models (traditional machine learning, statistics, graph theory, deep learning), and performance evaluation.

Limitations

  • The paper states that because each study uses different sizes and types of features, the set of studies has a limitation in comparing a common performance; readers cannot determine which model is suitable and has the best performance for their study.
  • The paper states future work will combine feature engineering with open churn datasets and construct various churn prediction models, including a deep learning model, to compare and evaluate suitability.
  • Evident from the text: the survey is narrative and does not run a benchmark or meta-analysis; claims such as deep learning outperforming other algorithms are based on cited studies rather than independent validation.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1109/access.2020.3042657

Cites

143 of 143 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

3 of 54 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Findingcitation

    Some studies measured the CAC and calculated it as the loss incurred when a customer churned.

    “Therefore, some studies measured the CAC, and calculated it as the loss incurred when a customer churned [8] [31] [72].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [8] source
    • cites [31] source
    • cites [72] source

      The Conclusions state that acquiring subscribers is expensive and that retaining them matters, while Section 4 models the probability of churn. Neither passage measures customer acquisition cost (CAC) or calculates it as the loss incurred when a customer churns; searches for acquisition costs and financial loss from churn found no such calculation. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Premisecitation

    Zhu et al. improved the performance of the prediction model by compressing sparse data through a long-short-term memory autoencoder and then concatenating the data with fully connected neural networks (FCNNs).

    “Zhu, Lingxue, and Nikolay Laptev.(2017) improved the performance of the prediction model by compressing sparse data through a longshort-term memory autoencoder and then concatenating the data with fully connected neural networks (FCNNs) [143].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [143] source

      The Implementation section describes two deep-learning algorithms, and the convolutional-network section describes fully connected layers, but neither passage addresses Zhu and Laptev's claimed method. Searches for their names, an LSTM autoencoder, sparse-data compression, and concatenation found no passage supporting the attributed claim. Page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Findingcitation

    The majority of early studies on churn were conducted from a management perspective, especially CRM.

    “The majority of the early studies on churn were conducted from a management perspective, especially CRM (Customer Relation Management) [30] [31].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [30] source
    • cites [31] source
  • Findingcitation

    The financial and insurance industries also predict customer churn.

    “The financial and insurance industries also predict customer churn.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingnone given

    Telecommunications services have high customer stickiness despite high customer acquisition costs.

    “Telecommunications services have high customer stickiness despite high customer acquisition costs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 130
  • May combine two claims. 33
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Burez et al. utilized a method called the CUBE method to improve the churn prediction performance.

    “Burez, Jonathan, and Dirk Van den Poel.(2009) utilized a method called the CUBE method to improve the churn prediction performance.[95].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [95] source

      The paper’s introduction (p. 1) and evaluation (pp. 5–7) concern time-series forecasting and anomaly detection at Uber. Searches for Burez, Van den Poel, CUBE, and churn prediction found no passage addressing the attributed claim. (LLM, conf=0.76)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Contractual churn is frequently found in a flat-rate service such as music and movie streaming services.

    “In addition, contractual churn is frequently found in a flat-rate service such as music and movie streaming services.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    These days majority of log-based churn prediction problems use the probabilistic method to determine whether customers are churning or not and to give customers incentive to reuse their service.

    “Therefore, these days majority of the log-based churn prediction problems use the probabilistic method to determine whether customers are churning or not and to give customers incentive to reuse their service.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    There are 12 business fields that performed churn prediction.

    “There are 12 business fields that performed churn prediction.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The time window method is frequently used when analyzing activity logs in a non-contractual situation.

    “The time window method is frequently used when analyzing activity logs these days in a non-contractual situation.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingcitation

    The criteria for setting the time window are different for each service feature.

    “The criteria for setting the time window are different for each service feature.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Modern churn prediction problems are mainly analyzed using log data.

    “Modern churn prediction problems are mainly analyzed using log data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    The telecommunications industry accounts for the majority of previous studies on churn.

    “The telecommunications industry accounts for the majority of previous studies on churn.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Findingnone given

    Churn has been defined in various ways in multiple industries.

    “Churn has been defined in various ways in multiple industries.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The criteria for 'inactivity' and 'prolonged' are different according to each research field.

    “However, the criteria for 'inactivity'and 'prolonged'are different according to each research field.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    In most churn prediction problems, the churn period is defined as a section that can restore customers' trust.

    “Therefore, in most churn prediction problems, the churn period is defined as a section that can restore customers' trust.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Not all logs are helpful in estimating churn.

    “However, not all logs are helpful in estimating churn.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingcitation

    There were some studies which approached customer churn from a psychological perspective.

    “There were some studies which approached customer churn from a psychological perspective.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The efficiency of a retained customer value is usually calculated with the CLV.

    “The efficiency of a retained customer value is usually calculated with the CLV.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Research on churn prediction was also conducted in online dating, online commerce, Q&A services, and social network-based services.

    “Research on churn prediction was also conducted in online dating, online commerce, Q&A services, and social network-based services [46]”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Logs remain in the majority of services.

    “Logs remain in the majority of services.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Studies on churn prediction were conducted in the human resources and energy fields although they were minority.

    “Studies on churn prediction were conducted in the human resources and energy fields although they were minority.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    The newspaper subscription and music streaming service offer fixed-rate services, and customer churn is consistent with the contract renewal period.

    “The newspaper subscription and mu-sic streaming service offer fixed-rate services, and customer churn is consistent with the contract renewal period.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Findingnone given

    Because the Internet service goes into an inactive state as customers wish, contract renewal takes place nearly real-time.

    “On the other hand, because the Internet service goes into an inactive state as customers wish, contract renewal takes place nearlyreal-time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    Later on, studies on churn have been actively conducted in the gaming field as in the telecommunication field.

    “Later on, studies on churn have been actively conducted in the gaming field as in the telecommunication field.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Studies have emerged in recent years to develop other features that are as important as the last log the customer left before churning, or to discover potential churners by reprocessing the time series features.

    “Therefore, studies have emerged in recent years to develop other features that are as important as the last log the customer left before churning, or to discover potential churners by reprocessing the time series features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    RFM features are used to extract customers who carry business values.

    “These features are used to extract customers who carry business values.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingreasoning

    Gaming services have a fast cycle of customer inflow and churn because of mass competition.

    “These services have a fast cycle of customer inflow and churn because of mass competition.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    There are multiple studies on the method of calculating the CLV and that apply the CLV to churn models.

    “There are multiple studies on the method of calculating the CLV and that apply the CLV to churn models.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    The value of m may be different for each customer segment.

    “Here, the value of m may be different for each customer segment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Findingnone given

    Churn is generally related to customers' last time activity.

    “Churn is generally related to customers' last time activity.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 2 statistics churn prediction models in the finance business field.

    “Finance 10 | 2 | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the telecommunications business field.

    “Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    According to the research of this paper, many articles use AUC as a performance measurement method aside from standard precision.

    “According to the research of this paper, many articles use AUC as a performance measurement method aside from standard precision.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the internet service business field.

    “Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the psychology business field.

    “Psychology 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 2 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the retails business field.

    “Retails 2 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 10 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the finance business field.

    “Finance 10 | 2 | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 2 deep learning churn prediction models in the game business field.

    “Game 16 | 7 | | 2”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the marketing business field.

    “Marketing 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 4 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the newspapers business field.

    “Newspapers 4 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the internet commerce business field.

    “Internet Commerce 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    As for the financial and insurance sectors, since the log data is relatively small and the information obtained from customers does not change to a great degree, there are many statistical approaches using traditional machine learning models or survival analysis.

    “As for the financial and insurance sectors, since the log data is relatively small and the information obtained from customers does not change to a great degree, there are many statistical approaches using traditional machine learning models or survival analysis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 statistics churn prediction model in the internet service business field.

    “Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the commerce business field.

    “Commerce 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the music streaming service business field.

    “Music Streaming Service 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the insurance business field.

    “Insurance 3 | | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the internet service business field.

    “Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the energy business field.

    “Energy 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the finance business field.

    “Finance 10 | 2 | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 3 statistics churn prediction models in the telecommunications business field.

    “Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 3 graph theory churn prediction models in the telecommunications business field.

    “Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 26 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the telecommunications business field.

    “Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 16 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the game business field.

    “Game 16 | 7 | | 2”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 7 statistics churn prediction models in the game business field.

    “Game 16 | 7 | | 2”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There are 3 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the insurance business field.

    “Insurance 3 | | | 1”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    There is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the human resources business field.

    “Human Resources 1 | | | |”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Non-contractual customer churns occur due to low switching cost for changing the service.

    “These non-contractual customer churns occur due to low switching cost for changing the service [31].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [31] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Lee et al. (2018) defined the period during which 75% of customers were continuously unconnected as a churn section for PC game services.

    “Lee, Eunjo, et al. (2018) defined the period during which 75% of customers were continuously unconnected as a churn section by taking into consideration the characteristics of PC game services [17].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [17] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    According to Lee et al. (2018), the period during which 75% or more customers are continuously unconnected is 14 weeks, and if a customer is unconnected for 14 weeks, he/she is regarded as churn.

    “According to Fig. 2, the period during which customers were unconnected more than 75% was 14 According to the figure, the period during which 75% or more customers are continuously unconnected is 14 weeks.Therefore, if a customer is unconnected for 14 weeks, he/she is regarded as churn and this period is a time window section.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [17] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Through such observation, the expected net business value can be increased by predicting customer churn rates and providing possible churn customers with incentives to retain them from leaving.

    “And through such observation, the expected net business value can be increased by predicting customer churn rates and providing possible churn customers with incentives to retain them from leaving [16] [23].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [16]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [23] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    If the time period during which a customer completely churns is selected as a time window, the period for churn definition exponentially increases and it does not provide any gain in terms of business.

    “If the time period during which a customer completely churns is selected as a time window, the period for churn definition exponentially increases and it does not provide any gain in terms of business as changing the will of the customers who want to churn is deemed impossible [17].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [17] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    There are two customer churn types, contractual churn and non-contractual churn, and three churn observation criteria: monthly, daily, and binary.

    “As described above, there are two customer churn types, which are contractual churn and non-contractual churn.Additionally, there are three churn observation criteria as follows: monthly, daily, and binary.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Yang et al. (2019) found that more than 95% of customers did not return when they were absent for 3 consecutive days in mobile games, and set 3 days as the time window churn period.

    “Yang, Wanshan, et al. (2019) analyzed log data to define the churn period of mobile games, and the analysis result showed that more than 95% of customers did not return when they were absent for 3 consecutive days.They set 3 days as the time window churn period [43].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [43]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The reason for having multiple ways of defining customer churn is to periodically monitor the customers' status changes.

    “The reason for having multiple ways of defining customer churn is to periodically monitor the customers' status changes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Internet services interpret log-in as retention and unconnected access for a certain period as churn.

    “Therefore, the Internet service interprets the log-in as prolonged, that is, the retention of the service, and interprets unconnected access for a certain period of time as churn [17].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [17] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Churn criteria can be divided into contractual churn and non-contractual churn.

    “Thus, we can divide the criteria of churn into contractual churn and non-contractual churn.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationreasoning

    It is necessary to extract important information using an appropriate feature engineering technique for churn prediction.

    “Therefore, it is necessary to extract important information using an appropriate feature engineering technique for churn prediction.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    There are four domains as a method of building a churn prediction model: traditional machine learning, statistics, graph theory, and deep learning.

    “There are four domains as a method of building a churn prediction model.They are traditional machine learning, statistics, graph theory, and deep learning.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Binary encoding produces distance between categories.

    “likewise binary encoding produces distance between categories.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Zhang et al. used latent feature modification for churn prediction and classified features into a memorization feature and a generalization feature depending on data attributes.

    “Zhang, Rong, et al. (2017) also used latent feature modification for churn prediction.They classified features into a memorization feature and a generalization feature depending on data attributes [11].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [11] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationcitation

    To calculate CLV within the contractual settings, a shifted-Beta-Geometric (sBG) model is used.

    “To calculate CLV within the contractual settings, a shifted-Beta-Geometric (sBG) model is used.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Without normalization, the machine learning model generally have to select a very small learning rate when searching for the optimum, resulting in a long training time.

    “Without normalization, the machine learning model generally have to select a very small learning rate when searching for the optimum, resulting in a long training time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The distribution of service data is generally skewed to one side.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Bucketing can be used for both categorical and continuous features.

    “Bucketing (also called Discrete binning or Data binning) can be used for both categorical and continuous features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Filling missing data improved performance instead of dropping them.

    “Nimmagadda, Sravya, Akshay Subramaniam, and Man Long Wong.(2017) argued that filling the missing data improved performance instead of dropping them [58].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [58] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The generalization feature exhibits the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group with only short-term attributes.

    “As opposed to the memorization feature, the generalization feature exhibits the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group with only shortterm attributes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationnone given

    If a customer churns from a service, the company will have to recruit another customer by spending the CAC to maintain the service.

    “If a customer churns from a service, the company will have to recruit another customer by spending the CAC to maintain the service.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The CAC cost is the minimum value to operate service makes from a customer with Return on Investing (ROI).
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The latent features generated during the autoencoder process compress high-dimensional sparse data into low-dimensional dense data.

    “The latent features generated during this process compresses high-dimensional sparse data into low-dimensional dense data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Data imputation techniques may help to solve data imbalances and make the best of the information used in the model.

    “Data imputation techniques may help to solve data imbalances and make the best of the information used in the model.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Lee et al. claimed that in the customer churn prediction competition hosted by the authors, the winning team showed significantly better performance than other teams by utilizing the autoencoder to compress the sparse data.

    “Lee, Eunjo, et al. (2018) claimed that in the customer churn prediction competition hosted by the authors, the winning team showed significantly better performance than other teams by utilizing the autoencoder to compress the sparse data [10].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [10] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Nimmagadda et al. used log-normalization or quantile normalization to build a prediction model other than 0-1 normalization.

    “Nimmagadda, Sravya, Akshay Subramaniam, and Man Long Wong.(2017) used techniques such as log-normalization or quantile normalization to build a prediction model other than 0-1 normalization [58].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [58] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Probability models have been traditionally used for customer-base analysis.

    “In particular, probability models have been traditionally used for customer-base analysis [149].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [149] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    If a single service is run for a long time, the service competition intensifies and the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) tends to increase.

    “However, if a single service is run for a long time, the service competition intensifies and the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) tends to increase [16]”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [16]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    The memorization feature data slowly reveal the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group usually over a period of time.

    “These types of data slowly reveal the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group usually over a period of time.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Numerical encoding breaks the nominal nature inherent in categorical data and results in encoding with linearity between categories.

    “Numerical encoding breaks the nominal nature inherent in categorical data and results in encoding with linearity between categories”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The boundary is blurring between the above four disciplines in recent times.

    “The boundary is blurring between the above four disciplines in recent times.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    One-hot encoding on categorical data produces an orthogonal feature space for each category.

    “One-hot encoding on categorical data in this way produces an orthogonal feature space for each category.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Normalized features can achieve rapid model training while using relatively large learning rates compared to the initial data.

    “Normalized features can achieve rapid model training while using relatively large learning rates compared to the initial data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    If a prediction model is trained on imbalanced data and always outputs only retained customers, it would maintain high accuracy but not be effective in identifying characteristics of churned customers.

    “If a prediction model is trained using this data and it always outputs only the results that indicate customers being retained, the model would maintain a 96 percent accuracy.In this case, although the accuracy of the model may be said to be high, the model would not be effective in identifying characteristics of churned customers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: In a stable service, the number of churned customers generally account for a small proportion compared to the number of retained customers.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The churn feature that combines the memorization feature and the generalization feature predicts churn by combining deep learning models and traditional machine learning techniques.

    “The churn feature that combines the memorization feature and the generalization feature predicts churn by combining deep learning models and traditional machine learning techniques.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The generalization feature data predicts results with shallow machine learning models such as logistic linear regression.

    “The generalization feature data predicts results with shallow machine learning models such as logistic linear regression.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Sifa et al. improved performance by using a semi-supervised learning technique since there was no sufficient data to solve prediction problems.

    “Sifa, Rafet, et al. (2015) improved performance by using a semi-supervised learning technique since there was no sufficient data to solve prediction problems [52].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [52] source
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These changes have the side effect of the model learning unintentional continuity.

    “These changes have the side effect of the model learning unintentional continuity.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Churn prediction tends to be more accurate when processing raw logs.

    “However, churn prediction tends to be more accurate when processing raw logs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    In general, when customer behavior is stored as log data in gaming, Internet service, and telecommunication service fields, the customer data is often found in the form of high-dimensional sparse data.

    “In general, when the customer behavior is stored as log data in gaming, Internet service, and telecommunication service fields, the customer data is often found in the form of highdimensional sparse data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    For features that are too sparse to be used in the model due to large variance because the feature value category is too wide, bucketing makes these features into categorical features.

    “For features that are too sparse to be used in the model due to the large variance because the feature value category is too wide, bucketing is a technique that makes these features into categorical features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    According to Amin et al., the Mega-Trend Diffusion Function (MTDF) method provided the highest accuracy when compared with SMOTE, ADASYN, MWMOTE, ICOTE and TRkNN.

    “According to the study, the Mega-Trend Diffusion Function (MTDF) method provided the highest accuracy when compared with other techniques such as Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), Adaptive Synthetic Sampling Approach (ADASYN), Majority Weighted Minority Oversampling Technique (MWMOTE), Immune Centroids Oversampling Technique (ICOTE) and couples Top-N Reverse K-Nearest Neighbor (TR”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [144] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The value of a churn prevention model can be calculated by multiplying the loss cost of one customer by the number of people who are prevented from churn with a churn prediction algorithm.

    “In this way, we can calculate the value of a churn prevention model by multiplying the loss cost of one customer by the number of people who are prevented from churn with a churn prediction algorithm.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Customer churn behavior is quantitative.
    • Rests on an assumption: It is difficult to directly relate customer churn to a decrease in sales.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    With the emergence of deep learning techniques of machine learning, it has become possible to manage time-dependent high-dimensional sparse data.

    “However, with the emergence of deep learning techniques of machine learning, it has become possible to manage timedependent high-dimensional sparse data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    A deep learning algorithm enables generating latent features by compressing long-term features.

    “Moreover, a deep learning algorithm enables generating latent features by compressing long-term features that is a new technique of feature embedding.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    A balanced dataset composed of churned and retained customers has higher noise tolerance than an imbalanced dataset, hence it is more likely to be able to obtain decision boundaries for minor groups.

    “This is because a balanced dataset composed of churned and retained customers has higher noise tolerance than a imbalanced dataset, hence it is more likely to be able to obtain decision boundaries for minor groups, which in this case denotes the churned customer dataset [91].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [91] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Gui applied undersampling, oversampling, and SMOTE methods to an imbalanced dataset of telecommunication field and compared the performance of the derived churn prediction models.

    “Gui, Chun.(2017) applied undersampling, oversampling, and SMOTE methods to an imbalanced dataset of telecommunication field and compared the performance of the derived churn prediction models [145].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [145] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    In the past, the customer behavior data was simplified through a bucketing process.

    “Hence, in the past, the customer behavior data was simplified through a bucketing process.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Gui suggested that the SMOTE sampling technique provided the best prediction performance.

    “In the study, the author suggested that the SMOTE sampling technique provided the best prediction performance.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [145] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    In statistics, probability models have been mainly used for conducting churn predictions.

    “In statistics, probability models have been mainly used for conducting churn predictions.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    In a customer-base analysis, churn rate is applied to the survival time estimation when calculating the CLV.

    “In a customer-base analysis, churn rate is applied to the survival time estimation when calculating the CLV.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).

    Interpretationnone given

    Churn studies on different fields are helpful in grasping the comprehensive view of churn and exploring various features to apply them to the churn models.

    “Churn studies on different fields are undoubtedly helpful in grasping the comprehensive view of churn and exploring various features to apply them to the churn models.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    According to Goodfellow et al., deep learning is part of machine learning.

    “According to Goodfellow, Ian, Yoshua Bengio, and Aaron Courville.(2016), deep learning is part of machine learning [64].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [64] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Deep learning techniques often used for predicting customer churn mainly involves training via sparse customer data that have been densified, or a fully-connected neural network produced from extracting the latent vector from the autoencoder and concatenating those features with static features.

    “Deep learning techniques often used for predicting customer churn mainly involves training via sparse customer data that have been densified, or a fully-connected neural network produced from extracting the latent vector from the autoencoder and concatenating those features with static features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    In the non-contractual settings, customer churn tends to have a characteristic of continuous probabilistic.

    “In the non-contractual settings, customer churn tends to have a characteristic of continuous probabilistic.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.

    “Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The time window is used to select potential churning customers rather than measuring a customer's complete churn.

    “Therefore, the time window is used to select potential churning customers rather than measuring a customer's complete churn.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The sBG model allows continuous interpretation of the conditions in which the customer retention is determined to be discrete-time contractual in a contractual service.

    “Accordingly, the sBG model allows continuous interpretation of the conditions in which the customer retention is determined to be discrete-time contractual in a contractual service [150].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [150] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    There may be performance differences depending on whether the churn prediction model is robust against false positives or false negatives.

    “For example, there may be performance differences depending on whether the churn prediction model is robust against false positives or false negatives.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    A ROC curve is a very robust measurement criterion that measures classifiers independent of class distribution and misclassification error cost.

    “A ROC curve is a very robust measurement criterion that measures classifiers independent of class distribution and misclassification error cost.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Researchers may be able to discern whether their constructed model is used widely through our study, but they would not be able to determine which model is suitable and has the best performance for their study.

    “Accordingly, although researchers may be able to discern whether if their constructed model is used widely through our study, they would not be able to determine which model is suitable and has the best performance for their study.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The statistical model used here is based on statistical inference and hypothesis testing, and survival analysis with hazard methods are used to build churn prediction models.

    “The statistical model used here is based on statistical inference and hypothesis testing, and survival analysis with hazard methods are used to build churn prediction models.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationreasoning

    By combining the buyer behavior and survival distribution, the CLV can be calculated, referred to as the Pareto/NBD model.

    “By combining the buyer behavior and survival distribution, the CLV can be calculated.and this method is simply referred to as the Pareto/NBD model.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The ROC curve is a performance measurement method that focuses on the prediction of churn customers.

    “Therefore, it is a performance measurement method that focuses on the prediction of churn customers.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    Recently, deep learning techniques have emerged as a method of predicting customer churn.

    “Recently, deep learning techniques have emerged as a method of predicting customer churn.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Churn prediction analysis using deep learning algorithms has recently emerged.

    “Churn prediction analysis using deep learning algorithms has recently emerged.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Once a graph is built, it searches churning customers through the graph correlation analysis.

    “Once a graph is built, it searches churning customers through the graph correlation analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    The distribution of churn used gamma mixture of exponential, also known as the Pareto (of the second kind) distribution.

    “Further, the distribution of churn used gamma mixture of exponential, which is also known as the Pareto (of the second kind) distribution.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Apart from this, it seems to be different since the churn model that best interprets the relevant log data is applied.

    “Apart from this, it seems to be different since the churn model that best interprets the relevant log data is applied.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    In the non-contractual settings, the repeat-buying behavior of customers have been previously expressed through negative binomial distributions (NBD).

    “In the non-contractual settings, the repeat-buying behavior of customers have been previously expressed through negative binomial distributions (NBD) [151].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [151]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Churn prediction models using deep learning is a new solution with a good structure for predicting modern churn datasets.

    “Churn prediction models using deep learning is a new solution with a good structure for predicting modern churn datasets.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    Traditional churn prediction algorithms including statistics methods are still actively used today.

    “As mentioned earlier in the text, traditional churn prediction algorithms including statistics methods are still actively used today.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The graph theory identifies churn as a mathematical relationship.

    “The graph theory identifies churn as a mathematical relationship.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    In the past, when predicting customer churn, researchers used survival analysis or time series analysis using statistics, graph theory, and traditional machine learning algorithms.

    “In the past, when predicting customer churn, researchers used survival analysis or time series analysis using statistics, graph theory, and traditional machine learning algorithms.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationreasoning

    The reason why the preferred model for each business field is different is that the types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.

    “The reason why the preferred model for each business field is different is that the types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Machine learning techniques also began to be utilized in customer churn for non-contractual settings.

    “Machine learning techniques also began to be utilized in customer churn for non-contractual settings.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Deep learning also has many variances and tend to be classified separately from conventional machine learning.

    “However, deep learning also has many variances and tend to be classified separately from conventional machine learning.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Unlike other modeling techniques, the deep learning model is capable of converting high dimensional sparse log data into low dimensional dense features by embedding time series features.

    “Unlike other modeling techniques, the deep learning model is capable of converting high dimensional sparse log data into low dimensional dense features by embedding time series features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Interpretationnone given

    Deep learning is an intense extension of machine learning with neural network algorithms.

    “Deep learning is an intense extension of machine learning with neural network algorithms.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Churn analysis is used in the fields of Internet services and games, insurance, and management.

    “Churn analysis is used in the fields of Internet services and games, insurance, and management.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Loss costs for customer churn are calculated by CAC or CLV.

    “Loss costs for customer churn are calculated by CAC or CLV.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because deep learning's academic significance has recently grown, it has established itself as a single academic field.

    “However, because its academic significance has recently grown, it has established itself as a single academic field.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Deep learning algorithms outperform other algorithms likely due to large quantities of customer log data being collected via computers and the churn prediction model utilizing the entire set of this acquired data to make churn predictions.

    “This is likely due to large quantities of customer log data being collected via computers and the churn pre-diction model utilizing the entire set of this acquired data to make churn predictions.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    The deep learning model can learn customer's behavioral patterns from vast amount of data by layer-wise stacked neurons structure.

    “Also the deep learning model can learn customer's behavioral patterns from vast amount of data by layer-wise stacked neurons structure.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Some churn studies have often used a top 10% decline lift performance metric.

    “On the other hand, some churn studies have often used a top 10% decline lift performance metric [13] [67].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [13]

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [67]
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    The Pareto/NBD method has been actively used as a probability model for deriving the CLV until recently.

    “The Pareto/NBD method has been actively used as a probability model for deriving the CLV until recently [19] [147] [148].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [19] source
    • cites [147] source
    • cites [148] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    In the non-contractual settings, customer churn is not easy to define and trace.

    “In the non-contractual settings, customer churn is not easy to define and trace.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Research on churn prediction usually begins to improve business outcomes.

    “Research on churn prediction usually begins to improve business outcomes.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    The beta-geometric/beta-binomial (BG/BB) model can be used; the beta-geometric model fits the retention rate and the beta-binomial distribution fits the consumer purchasing behavior.

    “As another method, the beta-geometric/beta-binomial (BG/BB) model can be used.In this model, the beta-geometric model fits the retention rate and the beta-binomial distribution fits the consumer purchasing behavior [149].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [149] source
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Compared to statistical methods, machine learning techniques have robust non-linear relationships between features and can learn heterogeneous effect when given diverse features.

    “Compared to statistical methods, machine learning techniques have robust non-linear relationships between features and can learn heterogeneous effect when given diverse features.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
140 of 140
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Customer churn behavior is quantitative.

    “Customer churn behavior is quantitative.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    It is difficult to directly relate customer churn to a decrease in sales.

    “However, it is difficult to directly relate customer churn to a decrease in sales.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Communication costs arising from different churn criteria between service personnel in the process of fusing heterogeneous services have been sharply increasing.

    “In the industry, communication costs arising from different churn criteria between service personnel in the process of fusing heterogeneous services (e.g., vehicle sharing service/insurance, online music service/department store) have been sharply increasing.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    There are many difficulties for researchers to launch new research on churn because of fragmented previous studies.

    “However, because of fragmented previous studies, there are many difficulties for researchers to launch new research on churn.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The trend of building churn prediction models is changing, and performance is rapidly improving.

    “The trend of building churn prediction models is changing, and performance is rapidly improving.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The CAC cost is the minimum value to operate service makes from a customer with Return on Investing (ROI).

    “The company measures the cost of acquiring a customer with the CAC, and that CAC cost is the minimum value to operate service makes from a customer with Return on Investing (ROI).”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Pure log data includes all truthful customer information.

    “Pure log data includes all truthful customer information.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.

    “This is because service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The distribution of service data is generally skewed to one side.

    “The distribution of service data is generally skewed to one side.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    In a stable service, the number of churned customers generally account for a small proportion compared to the number of retained customers.

    “In a stable service, the number of churned customers generally account for a small proportion compared to the number of retained customers.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.

    “The reason why the preferred model for each business field is different is that the types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.

    “Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.”
12 of 12

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • The paper says there are 12 business fields but lists 14

    Minor

    The text states that churn prediction was performed in 12 business fields, while Table 2 lists 14 distinct business fields.

1 of 1

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

14 of the 157 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 10

  1. komenar, 1996, Electronic Market
  2. nielsen, 2001, Major study to track store switching, Retail World
  3. almana, 2014, A survey on data mining techniques in customer churn analysis for telecom industry, Int J Eng Res Appl, 4, 165
  4. 2020, Investopedia
  5. lewis-evans, 2012, Finding out what they think: A rough primer to user research, Part 2, Gamasutra
  6. umayaparvathi, 2017, Automated feature selection and churn prediction using deep learning models, Int Res J Eng Technol, 4, 1846
  7. nozhnin, 2012, Predicting churn: When do veterans quit, Gamasutra
  8. stewart, 2019, The Actual Difference Between Statistics and Machine Learning
  9. chandar, 2006, Modeling churn behavior of bank customers using predictive data mining techniques, Proc Nat Conf Soft Comput Techn Eng Appl (SCT), 24
  10. nath, 2003, Customer churn analysis in the wireless industry: A data mining approach, Proc Annu Meet Decis Sci Inst, 561, 505

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Ahn, J., Hwang, J., Kim, D., Choi, H., & Kang, S.
Venue
IEEE Access
Published
2020
Volume
8
Pages
220816-220839
ISSN
2169-3536 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3112348427
Cited by
108
References
157
Citations by year
2026: 12 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 1
FWCI
13.15
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • IEEE Access (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
  • National Research Foundation of Korea, Korean government (NRF-2019R1A2C1002525)
  • Nexon Korea
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Marketing › Customer churn and segmentation
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Customer Service Quality and Loyalty
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › AI and HR Technologies
Keywords
customer churn prediction, feature engineering, prediction model, telecommunications, insurance, online services, business domain

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-12.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-12.

Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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