A Survey on Churn Analysis in Various Business Domains
Open accessAbstract
In this paper, we present churn prediction techniques that have been released so far. Churn prediction is used in the fields of Internet services, games, insurance, and management. However, since it has been used intensively to increase the predictability of various industry/academic fields, there is a big difference in its definition and utilization. In this paper, we collected the definitions of churn used in the fields of business administration, marketing, IT, telecommunications, newspapers, insurance and psychology, and described their differences. Based on this, we classified and explained churn loss, feature engineering, and prediction models. Our study can be used to select the definition of churn and its associated models suitable for the service field that researchers are most interested in by integrating fragmented churn studies in industry/academic fields.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This survey reviews churn analysis across business domains, collecting definitions and comparing churn loss, feature engineering, and prediction models. It classifies churn as contractual or non-contractual and reports that preferred modeling techniques vary by industry, with deep learning more common where dense log data exist.
Key findings
- The survey identifies 12 business fields with churn prediction and reports model-type counts: telecommunications has 26 traditional machine learning, 3 statistics, 3 graph theory, and 1 deep learning study; games has 16 traditional machine learning, 7 statistics, and 2 deep learning; finance has 10 traditional machine learning, 2 statistics, and 1 deep learning (Table 2).
- Churn definitions split into contractual churn (non-renewal at contract date) and non-contractual churn, where a time window defines inactivity; Yang et al. (2019) found more than 95% of mobile-game customers did not return after 3 consecutive absent days and set 3 days as the window, while Lee et al. (2018) set 14 weeks as the period when 75% or more customers were continuously unconnected.
- Loss is framed via customer acquisition cost (CAC) and customer lifetime value (CLV); the paper cites Reichheld et al. (1996) that a 5% increase in retention rate achieved 35% and 95% increases in net present value for a software company and an advertising agency, respectively.
- Feature engineering includes one-hot encoding, bucketing, data imputation, normalization, feature embedding, and imbalanced-data handling; for imbalance, Amin et al. (2016) found MTDF highest accuracy versus SMOTE, ADASYN, MWMOTE, ICOTE, and TRkNN, while Gui (2017) reported SMOTE best in telecom. Performance evaluation commonly uses AUC/ROC or lift/top-decile lift.
Methods
- Design: literature survey integrating fragmented churn studies across industry and academic fields; no new empirical experiment is reported.
- Data/sample: collected definitions of churn from business administration, marketing, IT, telecommunications, newspapers, insurance, and psychology, and cases from 12 business fields.
- Analysis: thematic classification and comparison of churn definitions, churn loss (CAC/CLV), feature engineering, prediction models (traditional machine learning, statistics, graph theory, deep learning), and performance evaluation.
Limitations
- The paper states that because each study uses different sizes and types of features, the set of studies has a limitation in comparing a common performance; readers cannot determine which model is suitable and has the best performance for their study.
- The paper states future work will combine feature engineering with open churn datasets and construct various churn prediction models, including a deep learning model, to compare and evaluate suitability.
- Evident from the text: the survey is narrative and does not run a benchmark or meta-analysis; claims such as deep learning outperforming other algorithms are based on cited studies rather than independent validation.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
3 of 54 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
Some studies measured the CAC and calculated it as the loss incurred when a customer churned.
“Therefore, some studies measured the CAC, and calculated it as the loss incurred when a customer churned [8] [31] [72].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [8] source
- cites [31] source
- cites [72] source
The Conclusions state that acquiring subscribers is expensive and that retaining them matters, while Section 4 models the probability of churn. Neither passage measures customer acquisition cost (CAC) or calculates it as the loss incurred when a customer churns; searches for acquisition costs and financial loss from churn found no such calculation. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Zhu et al. improved the performance of the prediction model by compressing sparse data through a long-short-term memory autoencoder and then concatenating the data with fully connected neural networks (FCNNs).
“Zhu, Lingxue, and Nikolay Laptev.(2017) improved the performance of the prediction model by compressing sparse data through a longshort-term memory autoencoder and then concatenating the data with fully connected neural networks (FCNNs) [143].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [143] source
The Implementation section describes two deep-learning algorithms, and the convolutional-network section describes fully connected layers, but neither passage addresses Zhu and Laptev's claimed method. Searches for their names, an LSTM autoencoder, sparse-data compression, and concatenation found no passage supporting the attributed claim. Page numbers were not available in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingcitation
The majority of early studies on churn were conducted from a management perspective, especially CRM.
“The majority of the early studies on churn were conducted from a management perspective, especially CRM (Customer Relation Management) [30] [31].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Findingcitation
The financial and insurance industries also predict customer churn.
“The financial and insurance industries also predict customer churn.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Telecommunications services have high customer stickiness despite high customer acquisition costs.
“Telecommunications services have high customer stickiness despite high customer acquisition costs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- Findingnone given
Predicting churn and compensating for it with the last log of service usage do not change the overall service usage patterns of customers.
“However, predicting churn and compensating for it with the last log of service usage do not change the overall service usage patterns of customers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
We were able to confirm that preferred modelling techniques were different depending on the business field.
“We were able to confirm that preferred modelling techniques were different depending on the business field.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Businesses with dense log data and easy access to customer information, such as the games and telecommunications industries, are applying relatively many deep learning techniques using big data.
“Businesses with dense log data and easy access to customer information, such as the games and telecom-munications industries, are applying relatively many deep learning techniques using big data, which is a fast trend.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In modern services including Internet and retail, frequent customer churns occur due to low customers' investment costs.
“In the past, customer churn had occurred explicitly through contractual cancellations, however, in the modern services including Internet and retail services, frequent customer churns occur due to the low customers' investment costs [19] [20] [21] [96].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
Churn prediction models implemented using log data can be used for Internet services in various industries.
“Therefore, the churn prediction models implemented using log data can be used for Internet services in various industries.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Unlike explicit methods such as bucketing, a deep learning algorithm can learn customers' latent behavior who are about to churn in an end-to-end way.
“Unlike the explicit methods such as bucketing, a deep learning algorithm can learn that customers' latent behavior who are about to churn in a end-to-end way.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The use of undersampling technique when dealing with churn dataset has disclosed the possibility of discarding useful information that expresses the characteristics of retained customers.
“The use of undersampling technique when dealing with churn dataset has disclosed the possibility of discarding useful information that expresses the characteristics of retained customers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
According to Mozer et al. (2000), retained customers provide a better return on investment than newly recruited customers through the CAC.
“According to the study conducted by Mozer, Michael C., et al. (2000), the retained customers are known to provide a better return on investment than the newly recruited customers through the CAC [16].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The use of oversampling technique has disclosed the possibility of raising the overfitting issue due to replicating insufficient variance size of the oversampled churned group data.
“On the contrary, the use of oversampling technique has disclosed the possibility of raising the overfitting issue due to replicating insufficient variance size of the oversampled churned group data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
If customer churn is prevented and appropriate incentives are provided in telecommunications, it is of great help in maintaining sales.
“Therefore, if customer churn is prevented and appropriate incentives are provided, it is of great help in maintaining sales [16] [32] [33] [34].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [16]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [32] source
- cites [33]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Some studies show that short-term prediction and monetary rewards soon leads to another churn.
“Therefore, some studies show that short-term prediction and monetary rewards soon leads to another churn [10] [45].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationnone given
There could be an issue where the prediction model may not have enough data for training if a simple undersampling method is used to obtain a balanced dataset.
“Meanwhile, there could be an issue where the prediction model may not have enough data for training if a simple undersampling method is used to obtain a balanced dataset.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
By multiplying the number of customers planning to churn by the incentive cost, the cost of business loss that can incur when the customers are not retained can be calculated through the churn prediction model.
“In addition, by multiplying the number of customers planning to churn by the incentive cost to be provided to those customers, the cost of business loss that can incur when the customers are not retained can be calculated through the churn prediction model [45] [53].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
If a customer who is likely to churn can be inferred through churn prediction, the basis for measuring a suitable incentive while minimizing the CAC can be established.
“In such way, if a customer who is likely to churn the service in the near future can be inferred through the churn prediction, the basis for measuring a suitable incentive for the customer while minimizing the CAC can be established.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Verbraken et al. (2012) and Neslin et al. (2006) proposed formulas for calculating the net profit using churn rate, CAC, CLV, fixed operating cost, and incentive cost.
“Verbraken, Thomas, Wouter Verbeke, and Bart Baesens.(2012) and Neslin, Scott A., et al. (2006) proposed formulas for calculating the net profit using churn rate, CAC, CLV, fixed operating cost, and incentive cost [54] [55].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationnone given
In general, the performance evaluation algorithms of machine learning model developed for churn prediction use the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve or the lift.
“In general, the performance evaluation algorithms of machine learning model developed for churn prediction use the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve or the lift.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
The Deep and Shallow model built by Lee et al. showed excellent churn prediction performance compared to other models.
“The Deep and Shallow model they built showed excellent churn prediction performance compared to other models.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] source
- Interpretationreasoning
Given minute timestamps and abundant observations, applying this data to deep learning algorithms for the generation of latent features is expected to produce better performance than conventional churn prediction models.
“Therefore, given minute timestamps and abundant observations, applying this data to deep learning algorithms for the generation of latent features is expected to produce better performance than conventional churn prediction models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The AUC close to 1 indicates that the churn prediction model accurately distinguishes difference between the characteristics of churn customers and non-churn customers.
“Thus, the AUC close to 1 indicates that the churn prediction model accurately distinguishes difference between the characteristics of churn customers and non-churn customers [13] [45] [55] [95].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
Feature engineering techniques for processing logs have a significant effect on model performance enhancement when using deep learning with data timestamps in the order of seconds or with vast amounts of customer log data.
“In such case, feature engineering techniques for processing logs have a significant effect on model performance enhancement.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
To define customer churn in the non-contractual settings, researchers used time-series modification techniques such as grouping customer id to make tidy data or calculate behavioral variances.
“To define customer churn in the non-contractual settings, researchers used in timeseries modification techniques such as grouping customer id to make tidy data or calculate behavioral variances [114].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [114] source
- Interpretationreasoning
Deep learning algorithms have been found to outperform other algorithms.
“Deep learning algorithms have been found to outperform other algorithms.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
As each study uses different sizes and types of features in the data, the set of studies provided in this paper has a limitation in comparing a common performance.
“However, as each study uses different sizes and types of features in the data, the set of studies provided in this paper has a limitation in comparing a common performance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Variations in which churn prediction model has the best performance depending on the data format cause traditional algorithms to still be used.
“This is due to variations in which churn prediction model has the best performance depending on the data format.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 130
- May combine two claims. 33
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationBurez et al. utilized a method called the CUBE method to improve the churn prediction performance.
“Burez, Jonathan, and Dirk Van den Poel.(2009) utilized a method called the CUBE method to improve the churn prediction performance.[95].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [95] source
The paper’s introduction (p. 1) and evaluation (pp. 5–7) concern time-series forecasting and anomaly detection at Uber. Searches for Burez, Van den Poel, CUBE, and churn prediction found no passage addressing the attributed claim. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenContractual churn is frequently found in a flat-rate service such as music and movie streaming services.
“In addition, contractual churn is frequently found in a flat-rate service such as music and movie streaming services.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThese days majority of log-based churn prediction problems use the probabilistic method to determine whether customers are churning or not and to give customers incentive to reuse their service.
“Therefore, these days majority of the log-based churn prediction problems use the probabilistic method to determine whether customers are churning or not and to give customers incentive to reuse their service.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThere are 12 business fields that performed churn prediction.
“There are 12 business fields that performed churn prediction.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThe time window method is frequently used when analyzing activity logs in a non-contractual situation.
“The time window method is frequently used when analyzing activity logs these days in a non-contractual situation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingcitationThe criteria for setting the time window are different for each service feature.
“The criteria for setting the time window are different for each service feature.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenModern churn prediction problems are mainly analyzed using log data.
“Modern churn prediction problems are mainly analyzed using log data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenThe telecommunications industry accounts for the majority of previous studies on churn.
“The telecommunications industry accounts for the majority of previous studies on churn.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Findingnone givenChurn has been defined in various ways in multiple industries.
“Churn has been defined in various ways in multiple industries.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThe criteria for 'inactivity' and 'prolonged' are different according to each research field.
“However, the criteria for 'inactivity'and 'prolonged'are different according to each research field.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenIn most churn prediction problems, the churn period is defined as a section that can restore customers' trust.
“Therefore, in most churn prediction problems, the churn period is defined as a section that can restore customers' trust.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenNot all logs are helpful in estimating churn.
“However, not all logs are helpful in estimating churn.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingcitationThere were some studies which approached customer churn from a psychological perspective.
“There were some studies which approached customer churn from a psychological perspective.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenThe efficiency of a retained customer value is usually calculated with the CLV.
“The efficiency of a retained customer value is usually calculated with the CLV.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationResearch on churn prediction was also conducted in online dating, online commerce, Q&A services, and social network-based services.
“Research on churn prediction was also conducted in online dating, online commerce, Q&A services, and social network-based services [46]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [46] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenLogs remain in the majority of services.
“Logs remain in the majority of services.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationStudies on churn prediction were conducted in the human resources and energy fields although they were minority.
“Studies on churn prediction were conducted in the human resources and energy fields although they were minority.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenThe newspaper subscription and music streaming service offer fixed-rate services, and customer churn is consistent with the contract renewal period.
“The newspaper subscription and mu-sic streaming service offer fixed-rate services, and customer churn is consistent with the contract renewal period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenBecause the Internet service goes into an inactive state as customers wish, contract renewal takes place nearly real-time.
“On the other hand, because the Internet service goes into an inactive state as customers wish, contract renewal takes place nearlyreal-time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenLater on, studies on churn have been actively conducted in the gaming field as in the telecommunication field.
“Later on, studies on churn have been actively conducted in the gaming field as in the telecommunication field.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningStudies have emerged in recent years to develop other features that are as important as the last log the customer left before churning, or to discover potential churners by reprocessing the time series features.
“Therefore, studies have emerged in recent years to develop other features that are as important as the last log the customer left before churning, or to discover potential churners by reprocessing the time series features.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenRFM features are used to extract customers who carry business values.
“These features are used to extract customers who carry business values.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingreasoningGaming services have a fast cycle of customer inflow and churn because of mass competition.
“These services have a fast cycle of customer inflow and churn because of mass competition.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationThere are multiple studies on the method of calculating the CLV and that apply the CLV to churn models.
“There are multiple studies on the method of calculating the CLV and that apply the CLV to churn models.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenThe value of m may be different for each customer segment.
“Here, the value of m may be different for each customer segment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Findingnone givenChurn is generally related to customers' last time activity.
“Churn is generally related to customers' last time activity.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 2 statistics churn prediction models in the finance business field.
“Finance 10 | 2 | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the telecommunications business field.
“Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenAccording to the research of this paper, many articles use AUC as a performance measurement method aside from standard precision.
“According to the research of this paper, many articles use AUC as a performance measurement method aside from standard precision.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the internet service business field.
“Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the psychology business field.
“Psychology 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 2 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the retails business field.
“Retails 2 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 10 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the finance business field.
“Finance 10 | 2 | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 2 deep learning churn prediction models in the game business field.
“Game 16 | 7 | | 2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the marketing business field.
“Marketing 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 4 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the newspapers business field.
“Newspapers 4 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the internet commerce business field.
“Internet Commerce 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingreasoningAs for the financial and insurance sectors, since the log data is relatively small and the information obtained from customers does not change to a great degree, there are many statistical approaches using traditional machine learning models or survival analysis.
“As for the financial and insurance sectors, since the log data is relatively small and the information obtained from customers does not change to a great degree, there are many statistical approaches using traditional machine learning models or survival analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 statistics churn prediction model in the internet service business field.
“Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the commerce business field.
“Commerce 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the music streaming service business field.
“Music Streaming Service 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the insurance business field.
“Insurance 3 | | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the internet service business field.
“Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the energy business field.
“Energy 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 deep learning churn prediction model in the finance business field.
“Finance 10 | 2 | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 3 statistics churn prediction models in the telecommunications business field.
“Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 3 graph theory churn prediction models in the telecommunications business field.
“Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 26 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the telecommunications business field.
“Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 16 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the game business field.
“Game 16 | 7 | | 2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 7 statistics churn prediction models in the game business field.
“Game 16 | 7 | | 2”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere are 3 traditional machine learning churn prediction models in the insurance business field.
“Insurance 3 | | | 1”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThere is 1 traditional machine learning churn prediction model in the human resources business field.
“Human Resources 1 | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationNon-contractual customer churns occur due to low switching cost for changing the service.
“These non-contractual customer churns occur due to low switching cost for changing the service [31].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationLee et al. (2018) defined the period during which 75% of customers were continuously unconnected as a churn section for PC game services.
“Lee, Eunjo, et al. (2018) defined the period during which 75% of customers were continuously unconnected as a churn section by taking into consideration the characteristics of PC game services [17].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAccording to Lee et al. (2018), the period during which 75% or more customers are continuously unconnected is 14 weeks, and if a customer is unconnected for 14 weeks, he/she is regarded as churn.
“According to Fig. 2, the period during which customers were unconnected more than 75% was 14 According to the figure, the period during which 75% or more customers are continuously unconnected is 14 weeks.Therefore, if a customer is unconnected for 14 weeks, he/she is regarded as churn and this period is a time window section.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThrough such observation, the expected net business value can be increased by predicting customer churn rates and providing possible churn customers with incentives to retain them from leaving.
“And through such observation, the expected net business value can be increased by predicting customer churn rates and providing possible churn customers with incentives to retain them from leaving [16] [23].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [16]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [23] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationIf the time period during which a customer completely churns is selected as a time window, the period for churn definition exponentially increases and it does not provide any gain in terms of business.
“If the time period during which a customer completely churns is selected as a time window, the period for churn definition exponentially increases and it does not provide any gain in terms of business as changing the will of the customers who want to churn is deemed impossible [17].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThere are two customer churn types, contractual churn and non-contractual churn, and three churn observation criteria: monthly, daily, and binary.
“As described above, there are two customer churn types, which are contractual churn and non-contractual churn.Additionally, there are three churn observation criteria as follows: monthly, daily, and binary.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationYang et al. (2019) found that more than 95% of customers did not return when they were absent for 3 consecutive days in mobile games, and set 3 days as the time window churn period.
“Yang, Wanshan, et al. (2019) analyzed log data to define the churn period of mobile games, and the analysis result showed that more than 95% of customers did not return when they were absent for 3 consecutive days.They set 3 days as the time window churn period [43].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [43]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe reason for having multiple ways of defining customer churn is to periodically monitor the customers' status changes.
“The reason for having multiple ways of defining customer churn is to periodically monitor the customers' status changes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationInternet services interpret log-in as retention and unconnected access for a certain period as churn.
“Therefore, the Internet service interprets the log-in as prolonged, that is, the retention of the service, and interprets unconnected access for a certain period of time as churn [17].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningChurn criteria can be divided into contractual churn and non-contractual churn.
“Thus, we can divide the criteria of churn into contractual churn and non-contractual churn.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningIt is necessary to extract important information using an appropriate feature engineering technique for churn prediction.
“Therefore, it is necessary to extract important information using an appropriate feature engineering technique for churn prediction.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenThere are four domains as a method of building a churn prediction model: traditional machine learning, statistics, graph theory, and deep learning.
“There are four domains as a method of building a churn prediction model.They are traditional machine learning, statistics, graph theory, and deep learning.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenBinary encoding produces distance between categories.
“likewise binary encoding produces distance between categories.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationZhang et al. used latent feature modification for churn prediction and classified features into a memorization feature and a generalization feature depending on data attributes.
“Zhang, Rong, et al. (2017) also used latent feature modification for churn prediction.They classified features into a memorization feature and a generalization feature depending on data attributes [11].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationTo calculate CLV within the contractual settings, a shifted-Beta-Geometric (sBG) model is used.
“To calculate CLV within the contractual settings, a shifted-Beta-Geometric (sBG) model is used.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenWithout normalization, the machine learning model generally have to select a very small learning rate when searching for the optimum, resulting in a long training time.
“Without normalization, the machine learning model generally have to select a very small learning rate when searching for the optimum, resulting in a long training time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The distribution of service data is generally skewed to one side.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenBucketing can be used for both categorical and continuous features.
“Bucketing (also called Discrete binning or Data binning) can be used for both categorical and continuous features.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationFilling missing data improved performance instead of dropping them.
“Nimmagadda, Sravya, Akshay Subramaniam, and Man Long Wong.(2017) argued that filling the missing data improved performance instead of dropping them [58].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe generalization feature exhibits the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group with only short-term attributes.
“As opposed to the memorization feature, the generalization feature exhibits the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group with only shortterm attributes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Interpretationnone givenIf a customer churns from a service, the company will have to recruit another customer by spending the CAC to maintain the service.
“If a customer churns from a service, the company will have to recruit another customer by spending the CAC to maintain the service.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The CAC cost is the minimum value to operate service makes from a customer with Return on Investing (ROI).
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe latent features generated during the autoencoder process compress high-dimensional sparse data into low-dimensional dense data.
“The latent features generated during this process compresses high-dimensional sparse data into low-dimensional dense data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningData imputation techniques may help to solve data imbalances and make the best of the information used in the model.
“Data imputation techniques may help to solve data imbalances and make the best of the information used in the model.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationLee et al. claimed that in the customer churn prediction competition hosted by the authors, the winning team showed significantly better performance than other teams by utilizing the autoencoder to compress the sparse data.
“Lee, Eunjo, et al. (2018) claimed that in the customer churn prediction competition hosted by the authors, the winning team showed significantly better performance than other teams by utilizing the autoencoder to compress the sparse data [10].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationNimmagadda et al. used log-normalization or quantile normalization to build a prediction model other than 0-1 normalization.
“Nimmagadda, Sravya, Akshay Subramaniam, and Man Long Wong.(2017) used techniques such as log-normalization or quantile normalization to build a prediction model other than 0-1 normalization [58].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationProbability models have been traditionally used for customer-base analysis.
“In particular, probability models have been traditionally used for customer-base analysis [149].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [149] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIf a single service is run for a long time, the service competition intensifies and the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) tends to increase.
“However, if a single service is run for a long time, the service competition intensifies and the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) tends to increase [16]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenThe memorization feature data slowly reveal the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group usually over a period of time.
“These types of data slowly reveal the characteristics of the churn/no-churn group usually over a period of time.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenNumerical encoding breaks the nominal nature inherent in categorical data and results in encoding with linearity between categories.
“Numerical encoding breaks the nominal nature inherent in categorical data and results in encoding with linearity between categories”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe boundary is blurring between the above four disciplines in recent times.
“The boundary is blurring between the above four disciplines in recent times.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenOne-hot encoding on categorical data produces an orthogonal feature space for each category.
“One-hot encoding on categorical data in this way produces an orthogonal feature space for each category.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningNormalized features can achieve rapid model training while using relatively large learning rates compared to the initial data.
“Normalized features can achieve rapid model training while using relatively large learning rates compared to the initial data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningIf a prediction model is trained on imbalanced data and always outputs only retained customers, it would maintain high accuracy but not be effective in identifying characteristics of churned customers.
“If a prediction model is trained using this data and it always outputs only the results that indicate customers being retained, the model would maintain a 96 percent accuracy.In this case, although the accuracy of the model may be said to be high, the model would not be effective in identifying characteristics of churned customers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: In a stable service, the number of churned customers generally account for a small proportion compared to the number of retained customers.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe churn feature that combines the memorization feature and the generalization feature predicts churn by combining deep learning models and traditional machine learning techniques.
“The churn feature that combines the memorization feature and the generalization feature predicts churn by combining deep learning models and traditional machine learning techniques.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe generalization feature data predicts results with shallow machine learning models such as logistic linear regression.
“The generalization feature data predicts results with shallow machine learning models such as logistic linear regression.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationSifa et al. improved performance by using a semi-supervised learning technique since there was no sufficient data to solve prediction problems.
“Sifa, Rafet, et al. (2015) improved performance by using a semi-supervised learning technique since there was no sufficient data to solve prediction problems [52].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThese changes have the side effect of the model learning unintentional continuity.
“These changes have the side effect of the model learning unintentional continuity.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningChurn prediction tends to be more accurate when processing raw logs.
“However, churn prediction tends to be more accurate when processing raw logs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenIn general, when customer behavior is stored as log data in gaming, Internet service, and telecommunication service fields, the customer data is often found in the form of high-dimensional sparse data.
“In general, when the customer behavior is stored as log data in gaming, Internet service, and telecommunication service fields, the customer data is often found in the form of highdimensional sparse data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenFor features that are too sparse to be used in the model due to large variance because the feature value category is too wide, bucketing makes these features into categorical features.
“For features that are too sparse to be used in the model due to the large variance because the feature value category is too wide, bucketing is a technique that makes these features into categorical features.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAccording to Amin et al., the Mega-Trend Diffusion Function (MTDF) method provided the highest accuracy when compared with SMOTE, ADASYN, MWMOTE, ICOTE and TRkNN.
“According to the study, the Mega-Trend Diffusion Function (MTDF) method provided the highest accuracy when compared with other techniques such as Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), Adaptive Synthetic Sampling Approach (ADASYN), Majority Weighted Minority Oversampling Technique (MWMOTE), Immune Centroids Oversampling Technique (ICOTE) and couples Top-N Reverse K-Nearest Neighbor (TR”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [144] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe value of a churn prevention model can be calculated by multiplying the loss cost of one customer by the number of people who are prevented from churn with a churn prediction algorithm.
“In this way, we can calculate the value of a churn prevention model by multiplying the loss cost of one customer by the number of people who are prevented from churn with a churn prediction algorithm.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Customer churn behavior is quantitative.
- Rests on an assumption: It is difficult to directly relate customer churn to a decrease in sales.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenWith the emergence of deep learning techniques of machine learning, it has become possible to manage time-dependent high-dimensional sparse data.
“However, with the emergence of deep learning techniques of machine learning, it has become possible to manage timedependent high-dimensional sparse data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningA deep learning algorithm enables generating latent features by compressing long-term features.
“Moreover, a deep learning algorithm enables generating latent features by compressing long-term features that is a new technique of feature embedding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationA balanced dataset composed of churned and retained customers has higher noise tolerance than an imbalanced dataset, hence it is more likely to be able to obtain decision boundaries for minor groups.
“This is because a balanced dataset composed of churned and retained customers has higher noise tolerance than a imbalanced dataset, hence it is more likely to be able to obtain decision boundaries for minor groups, which in this case denotes the churned customer dataset [91].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [91] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationGui applied undersampling, oversampling, and SMOTE methods to an imbalanced dataset of telecommunication field and compared the performance of the derived churn prediction models.
“Gui, Chun.(2017) applied undersampling, oversampling, and SMOTE methods to an imbalanced dataset of telecommunication field and compared the performance of the derived churn prediction models [145].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [145] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIn the past, the customer behavior data was simplified through a bucketing process.
“Hence, in the past, the customer behavior data was simplified through a bucketing process.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationGui suggested that the SMOTE sampling technique provided the best prediction performance.
“In the study, the author suggested that the SMOTE sampling technique provided the best prediction performance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [145] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIn statistics, probability models have been mainly used for conducting churn predictions.
“In statistics, probability models have been mainly used for conducting churn predictions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenIn a customer-base analysis, churn rate is applied to the survival time estimation when calculating the CLV.
“In a customer-base analysis, churn rate is applied to the survival time estimation when calculating the CLV.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationnone givenChurn studies on different fields are helpful in grasping the comprehensive view of churn and exploring various features to apply them to the churn models.
“Churn studies on different fields are undoubtedly helpful in grasping the comprehensive view of churn and exploring various features to apply them to the churn models.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAccording to Goodfellow et al., deep learning is part of machine learning.
“According to Goodfellow, Ian, Yoshua Bengio, and Aaron Courville.(2016), deep learning is part of machine learning [64].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [64] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenDeep learning techniques often used for predicting customer churn mainly involves training via sparse customer data that have been densified, or a fully-connected neural network produced from extracting the latent vector from the autoencoder and concatenating those features with static features.
“Deep learning techniques often used for predicting customer churn mainly involves training via sparse customer data that have been densified, or a fully-connected neural network produced from extracting the latent vector from the autoencoder and concatenating those features with static features.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenIn the non-contractual settings, customer churn tends to have a characteristic of continuous probabilistic.
“In the non-contractual settings, customer churn tends to have a characteristic of continuous probabilistic.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenMost churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.
“Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe time window is used to select potential churning customers rather than measuring a customer's complete churn.
“Therefore, the time window is used to select potential churning customers rather than measuring a customer's complete churn.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe sBG model allows continuous interpretation of the conditions in which the customer retention is determined to be discrete-time contractual in a contractual service.
“Accordingly, the sBG model allows continuous interpretation of the conditions in which the customer retention is determined to be discrete-time contractual in a contractual service [150].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [150] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThere may be performance differences depending on whether the churn prediction model is robust against false positives or false negatives.
“For example, there may be performance differences depending on whether the churn prediction model is robust against false positives or false negatives.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenA ROC curve is a very robust measurement criterion that measures classifiers independent of class distribution and misclassification error cost.
“A ROC curve is a very robust measurement criterion that measures classifiers independent of class distribution and misclassification error cost.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningResearchers may be able to discern whether their constructed model is used widely through our study, but they would not be able to determine which model is suitable and has the best performance for their study.
“Accordingly, although researchers may be able to discern whether if their constructed model is used widely through our study, they would not be able to determine which model is suitable and has the best performance for their study.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenThe statistical model used here is based on statistical inference and hypothesis testing, and survival analysis with hazard methods are used to build churn prediction models.
“The statistical model used here is based on statistical inference and hypothesis testing, and survival analysis with hazard methods are used to build churn prediction models.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningBy combining the buyer behavior and survival distribution, the CLV can be calculated, referred to as the Pareto/NBD model.
“By combining the buyer behavior and survival distribution, the CLV can be calculated.and this method is simply referred to as the Pareto/NBD model.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe ROC curve is a performance measurement method that focuses on the prediction of churn customers.
“Therefore, it is a performance measurement method that focuses on the prediction of churn customers.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenRecently, deep learning techniques have emerged as a method of predicting customer churn.
“Recently, deep learning techniques have emerged as a method of predicting customer churn.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenChurn prediction analysis using deep learning algorithms has recently emerged.
“Churn prediction analysis using deep learning algorithms has recently emerged.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenOnce a graph is built, it searches churning customers through the graph correlation analysis.
“Once a graph is built, it searches churning customers through the graph correlation analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenThe distribution of churn used gamma mixture of exponential, also known as the Pareto (of the second kind) distribution.
“Further, the distribution of churn used gamma mixture of exponential, which is also known as the Pareto (of the second kind) distribution.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningApart from this, it seems to be different since the churn model that best interprets the relevant log data is applied.
“Apart from this, it seems to be different since the churn model that best interprets the relevant log data is applied.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn the non-contractual settings, the repeat-buying behavior of customers have been previously expressed through negative binomial distributions (NBD).
“In the non-contractual settings, the repeat-buying behavior of customers have been previously expressed through negative binomial distributions (NBD) [151].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [151]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningChurn prediction models using deep learning is a new solution with a good structure for predicting modern churn datasets.
“Churn prediction models using deep learning is a new solution with a good structure for predicting modern churn datasets.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningTraditional churn prediction algorithms including statistics methods are still actively used today.
“As mentioned earlier in the text, traditional churn prediction algorithms including statistics methods are still actively used today.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe graph theory identifies churn as a mathematical relationship.
“The graph theory identifies churn as a mathematical relationship.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenIn the past, when predicting customer churn, researchers used survival analysis or time series analysis using statistics, graph theory, and traditional machine learning algorithms.
“In the past, when predicting customer churn, researchers used survival analysis or time series analysis using statistics, graph theory, and traditional machine learning algorithms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
InterpretationreasoningThe reason why the preferred model for each business field is different is that the types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.
“The reason why the preferred model for each business field is different is that the types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenMachine learning techniques also began to be utilized in customer churn for non-contractual settings.
“Machine learning techniques also began to be utilized in customer churn for non-contractual settings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenDeep learning also has many variances and tend to be classified separately from conventional machine learning.
“However, deep learning also has many variances and tend to be classified separately from conventional machine learning.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenUnlike other modeling techniques, the deep learning model is capable of converting high dimensional sparse log data into low dimensional dense features by embedding time series features.
“Unlike other modeling techniques, the deep learning model is capable of converting high dimensional sparse log data into low dimensional dense features by embedding time series features.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenDeep learning is an intense extension of machine learning with neural network algorithms.
“Deep learning is an intense extension of machine learning with neural network algorithms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenChurn analysis is used in the fields of Internet services and games, insurance, and management.
“Churn analysis is used in the fields of Internet services and games, insurance, and management.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenLoss costs for customer churn are calculated by CAC or CLV.
“Loss costs for customer churn are calculated by CAC or CLV.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBecause deep learning's academic significance has recently grown, it has established itself as a single academic field.
“However, because its academic significance has recently grown, it has established itself as a single academic field.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningDeep learning algorithms outperform other algorithms likely due to large quantities of customer log data being collected via computers and the churn prediction model utilizing the entire set of this acquired data to make churn predictions.
“This is likely due to large quantities of customer log data being collected via computers and the churn pre-diction model utilizing the entire set of this acquired data to make churn predictions.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe deep learning model can learn customer's behavioral patterns from vast amount of data by layer-wise stacked neurons structure.
“Also the deep learning model can learn customer's behavioral patterns from vast amount of data by layer-wise stacked neurons structure.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationSome churn studies have often used a top 10% decline lift performance metric.
“On the other hand, some churn studies have often used a top 10% decline lift performance metric [13] [67].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [13]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [67]
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe Pareto/NBD method has been actively used as a probability model for deriving the CLV until recently.
“The Pareto/NBD method has been actively used as a probability model for deriving the CLV until recently [19] [147] [148].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenIn the non-contractual settings, customer churn is not easy to define and trace.
“In the non-contractual settings, customer churn is not easy to define and trace.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenResearch on churn prediction usually begins to improve business outcomes.
“Research on churn prediction usually begins to improve business outcomes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe beta-geometric/beta-binomial (BG/BB) model can be used; the beta-geometric model fits the retention rate and the beta-binomial distribution fits the consumer purchasing behavior.
“As another method, the beta-geometric/beta-binomial (BG/BB) model can be used.In this model, the beta-geometric model fits the retention rate and the beta-binomial distribution fits the consumer purchasing behavior [149].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [149] source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenCompared to statistical methods, machine learning techniques have robust non-linear relationships between features and can learn heterogeneous effect when given diverse features.
“Compared to statistical methods, machine learning techniques have robust non-linear relationships between features and can learn heterogeneous effect when given diverse features.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Customer churn behavior is quantitative.
“Customer churn behavior is quantitative.”
The paper relies on this without support.
It is difficult to directly relate customer churn to a decrease in sales.
“However, it is difficult to directly relate customer churn to a decrease in sales.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Communication costs arising from different churn criteria between service personnel in the process of fusing heterogeneous services have been sharply increasing.
“In the industry, communication costs arising from different churn criteria between service personnel in the process of fusing heterogeneous services (e.g., vehicle sharing service/insurance, online music service/department store) have been sharply increasing.”
The paper relies on this without support.
There are many difficulties for researchers to launch new research on churn because of fragmented previous studies.
“However, because of fragmented previous studies, there are many difficulties for researchers to launch new research on churn.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The trend of building churn prediction models is changing, and performance is rapidly improving.
“The trend of building churn prediction models is changing, and performance is rapidly improving.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The CAC cost is the minimum value to operate service makes from a customer with Return on Investing (ROI).
“The company measures the cost of acquiring a customer with the CAC, and that CAC cost is the minimum value to operate service makes from a customer with Return on Investing (ROI).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Pure log data includes all truthful customer information.
“Pure log data includes all truthful customer information.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.
“This is because service indicators are generally sparse and have many outliers, and the data distribution is skewed to one side.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The distribution of service data is generally skewed to one side.
“The distribution of service data is generally skewed to one side.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In a stable service, the number of churned customers generally account for a small proportion compared to the number of retained customers.
“In a stable service, the number of churned customers generally account for a small proportion compared to the number of retained customers.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.
“The reason why the preferred model for each business field is different is that the types and cycles of log data used for each business are different.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.
“Most churn prediction models are related to customer relation management.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
The paper says there are 12 business fields but lists 14
MinorThe text states that churn prediction was performed in 12 business fields, while Table 2 lists 14 distinct business fields.
“There are 12 business fields that performed churn prediction.”
“| Energy 1 | | | | | Finance 10 | 2 | | 1 | | Telecommunications 26 | 3 | 3 | 1 | | Game 16 | 7 | | 2 | | Marketing 1 | | | | | Psychology 1 | | | | | Human Resources 1 | | | | | Insurance 3 | | | 1 | | Commerce 1 | | | | | Internet Commerce 1 | | | | | Internet Service 1 | 1 | | 1 | | Music Streaming Service 1 | | | | | Newspapers 4 | | | | | Retails 2 | | | |”
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MethodKnowledge management and data mining for marketing
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Hung, S., Yen, D. C., & Wang, H.-Y. (2005) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2005.09.080 · Cited by 518 · cited 1× · see citing works
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BackgroundA comparison of machine learning techniques for customer churn prediction
Vafeiadis, T., Diamantaras, K. I., Sarigiannidis, G., & Chatzisavvas, K. C. (2015) · Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory · doi:10.1016/j.simpat.2015.03.003 · Cited by 471 · cited 1× · see citing works
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BackgroundTurning telecommunications call details to churn prediction: a data mining approach
Wei, C.-P., & Chiu, I.-T. (2002) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/s0957-4174(02)00030-1 · Cited by 460 · cited 2× · see citing works
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Fader, P. S., Hardie, B. G. S., & Lee, K. L. (2005) · Marketing Science · doi:10.1287/mksc.1040.0098 · Cited by 450 · cited 1× · see citing works
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MethodCoussement, K., & den Poel, D. V. (2006) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2006.09.038 · Cited by 432 · cited 1× · see citing works
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BackgroundPredicting process behaviour using deep learning
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BackgroundMethodInfluentialDeterminants of subscriber churn and customer loyalty in the Korean mobile telephony market
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Customer relationship management: key components for IT success
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BackgroundCustomer churn prediction using improved balanced random forests
Xie, Y., Li, X., Ngai, E. W. T., & Ying, W. (2008) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2008.06.121 · Cited by 412 · cited 1× · see citing works
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BackgroundBagging and Boosting Classification Trees to Predict Churn
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Do rewards really create loyalty?
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BackgroundDeep and Confident Prediction for Time Series at Uber
Zhu, L., & Laptev, N. (2017) · 2017 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining Workshops (ICDMW) · doi:10.1109/icdmw.2017.19 · Cited by 362 · see citing works
A novel evolutionary data mining algorithm with applications to churn prediction
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BackgroundResultInfluentialCustomer churn prediction in telecommunications
Huang, B., Kechadi, T., & Buckley, B. (2011) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2011.08.024 · Cited by 344 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In this way, x-axis denotes the proportion of non-churn cases that were incorrectly classified as churn, and y-axis is defined as the portion of churn cases that were classified correctly [121], [136].”
BackgroundSocial ties and their relevance to churn in mobile telecom networks
Dasgupta, K., Singh, R., Viswanathan, B., Chakraborty, D., Mukherjea, S., Nanavati, A. A., & Joshi, A. (2008) · International Conference on Extending Database Technology (EDBT) · doi:10.1145/1353343.1353424 · Cited by 333 · see citing works
Ahn, J., Han, S. P., & Lee, Y.-S. (2006) · Telecommunications Policy · doi:10.1016/j.telpol.2006.09.006 · Cited by 327 · see citing works
Self-citationCustomer churn prediction by hybrid neural networks
Tsai, C.-F., & Lu, Y.-H. (2009) · Expert systems with applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2009.05.032 · Cited by 320 · see citing works
Amin, A., Anwar, S., Adnan, A., Nawaz, M., Howard, N., Qadir, J., Hawalah, A., & Hussain, A. (2016) · IEEE Access · doi:10.1109/access.2016.2619719 · Cited by 310 · cited 1× · see citing works
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MethodGame Analytics : Maximizing the Value of Player Data
El‐Nasr, M. S., Drachen, A., & Canossa, A. (2013) · Cited by 260 · see citing works
Burez, J., & den Poel, D. V. (2006) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2005.11.037 · Cited by 241 · see citing works
Credit card churn forecasting by logistic regression and decision tree
Nie, G., Rowe, W., Zhang, L., Tian, Y., & Shi, Y. (2011) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2011.06.028 · Cited by 226 · see citing works
Probability Models for Customer-Base Analysis
Fader, P. S., & Hardie, B. G. S. (2009) · Journal of Interactive Marketing · doi:10.1016/j.intmar.2008.11.003 · Cited by 204 · cited 3× · see citing works
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“The Pareto/NBD method has been actively used as a probability model for deriving the CLV until recently [19], [147], [148].”
MethodSaradhi, V. V., & Palshikar, G. K. (2011) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.07.134 · Cited by 188 · cited 2× · see citing works
“(2011) conducted research on churn to reduce retraining costs when employees churned and to prove employee value in the human resources field [50].”
BackgroundMethodModeling churn using customer lifetime value
Glady, N., Baesens, B., & Croux, C. (2008) · European Journal of Operational Research · doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2008.06.027 · Cited by 187 · see citing works
Improved churn prediction in telecommunication industry using data mining techniques
Keramati, A., Jafari-Marandi, R., Aliannejadi, M., Ahmadian, I., Mozaffari, M., & Abbasi, U. (2014) · Applied Soft Computing · doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2014.08.041 · Cited by 182 · see citing works
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“Thus, the AUC close to 1 indicates that the churn prediction model accurately distinguishes difference between the characteristics of churn customers and non-churn customers [13], [45], [55], [95].”
BackgroundMethodChurn Prediction in MMORPGs: A Social Influence Based Approach
Kawale, J., Pal, A., & Srivastava, J. (2009) · 2009 International Conference on Computational Science and Engineering · doi:10.1109/cse.2009.80 · Cited by 176 · see citing works
Two-level model of customer retention in the US mobile telecommunications service market
Seo, D., Ranganathan, C., & Babad, Y. M. (2008) · Telecommunications Policy · doi:10.1016/j.telpol.2007.09.004 · Cited by 174 · see citing works
Predicting customer churn in mobile networks through analysis of social groups
Richter, Y., Yom‐Tov, E., & Slonim, N. (2010) · SIAM International Conference on Data Mining · doi:10.1137/1.9781611972801.64 · Cited by 171 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In addition, by multiplying the number of customers planning to churn by the incentive cost to be provided to those customers, the cost of business loss that can incur when the customers are not retained can be calculated through the churn prediction model [45], [53].”
BackgroundTeo, T. S. H., Devadoss, P., & Pan, S. L. (2006) · Decision Support Systems · doi:10.1016/j.dss.2006.01.007 · Cited by 167 · cited 1× · see citing works
“The analytical CRM is focused on developing databases and resources containing customer characteristics and attitudes [24], [25], [30].”
BackgroundSocial network analysis for customer churn prediction
Verbeke, W., Martens, D., & Baesens, B. (2014) · Applied Soft Computing · doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2013.09.017 · Cited by 164 · see citing works
Model of Customer Churn Prediction on Support Vector Machine
Xia, G., & Jin, W. (2008) · Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice · doi:10.1016/s1874-8651(09)60003-x · Cited by 160 · cited 1× · see citing works
“run for a long time, the service competition intensifies and the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) tends to increase [16], [39], [128].”
BackgroundLarivière, B., & Van den Poel, D. (2004) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2004.02.002 · Cited by 159 · see citing works
Coussement, K., & Bock, K. W. D. (2013) · Journal of Business Research · doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2012.12.008 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
Predicting player churn in the wild
Hadiji, F., Sifa, R., Drachen, A., Thurau, C., Kersting, K., & Bauckhage, C. (2014) · 2014 IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence and Games · doi:10.1109/cig.2014.6932876 · Cited by 154 · cited 2× · see citing works
“The game sector actively uses machine learning techniques when conducting research on churn because of the large volume of log data [10], [42], [43].”
MethodCustomer-Base Analysis in a Discrete-Time Noncontractual Setting
Fader, P. S., Hardie, B. G. S., & Shang, J. Y. (2010) · Marketing Science · doi:10.1287/mksc.1100.0580 · Cited by 154 · cited 1× · see citing works
“The Pareto/NBD method has been actively used as a probability model for deriving the CLV until recently [19], [147], [148].”
MethodMeasuring the impact of data mining on churn management
Lejeune, M. A. (2001) · Internet Research · doi:10.1108/10662240110410183 · Cited by 146 · cited 3× · see citing works
“These non-contractual customer churns occur due to low switching cost for changing the service [31].”
BackgroundPredicting credit card customer churn in banks using data mining
Kumar, D. A., & Ravi, V. (2008) · International Journal of Data Analysis Techniques and Strategies · doi:10.1504/ijdats.2008.020020 · Cited by 145 · see citing works
The identification of deviance and its impact on retention in a multiplayer game
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Churn prediction for high-value players in casual social games
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“Thus, the AUC close to 1 indicates that the churn prediction model accurately distinguishes difference between the characteristics of churn customers and non-churn customers [13], [45], [55], [95].”
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“In terms of marketing, the RFM features are generally used to classify customers into five groups based on the RFM scores [140].”
BackgroundAn empirical evaluation of rotation-based ensemble classifiers for customer churn prediction
Bock, K. W. D., & den Poel, D. V. (2011) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2011.04.007 · Cited by 133 · see citing works
Toward a hybrid data mining model for customer retention
Chu, B.-H., Tsai, M.-S., & Ho, C.-S. (2006) · Knowledge-Based Systems · doi:10.1016/j.knosys.2006.10.003 · Cited by 120 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In the finance field, Chu, Tsai, and Ho (2007) used customer demographic CRM features and business branch relationships to conduct churn prediction [137].”
BackgroundHow to Project Customer Retention
Fader, P. S., & Hardie, B. G. S. (2006) · Journal of Interactive Marketing · doi:10.1002/dir.20074 · Cited by 118 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Accord-ingly, the sBG model allows continuous interpretation of the conditions in which the customer retention is determined to be discrete-time contractual in a contractual service [150].”
BackgroundPendharkar, P. C. (2008) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2008.08.050 · Cited by 117 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In this way, x-axis denotes the proportion of non-churn cases that were incorrectly classified as churn, and y-axis is defined as the portion of churn cases that were classified correctly [121], [136].”
BackgroundCoussement, K., Benoit, D. F., & Van den Poel, D. (2010) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2009.07.029 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Ali, O. G., & Arıtürk, U. (2014) · Expert systems with applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2014.06.018 · Cited by 114 · see citing works
Churn prediction in new users of Yahoo! answers
Dror, G., Pelleg, D., Rokhlenko, O., & Szpektor, I. (2012) · International World Wide Web Conference (WWW) · doi:10.1145/2187980.2188207 · Cited by 109 · cited 1× · see citing works
“They explained that customer satisfaction was expressed as an emotional expression, which was a direct expression of service satisfaction [57].”
BackgroundChurn Prediction in Mobile Social Games: Towards a Complete Assessment Using Survival Ensembles
Perianez, A., Saas, A., Guitart, A., & Magne, C. (2016) · IEEE International Conference on Data Science and Advanced Analytics (DSAA) · doi:10.1109/dsaa.2016.84 · Cited by 108 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In general, the dictionary definition of churn is known as the prolonged period of inactivity [14].”
BackgroundSocial ties and their relevance to churn in mobile telecom networks
Dasgupta, K., Singh, R., Viswanathan, B., et al. (2008) · doi:10.1145/1352431.1352512 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
Bauckhage, C., Kersting, K., Sifa, R., et al. (2012) · IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence and Games (CIG) · doi:10.1109/cig.2012.6374148 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Customer churn analysis in telecom industry
Dahiya, K., & Bhatia, S. (2015) · International Conference on Reliability, Infocom Technologies and Optimization (Trends and Future Directions) (ICRITO) · doi:10.1109/icrito.2015.7359318 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
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An extended support vector machine forecasting framework for customer churn in e-commerce
Yu, X., Guo, S., Guo, J. Q., et al. (2010) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2010.07.049 · Cited by 98 · see citing works
Incorporating Direct Marketing Activity into Latent Attrition Models
Schweidel, D. A., & Knox, G. (2013) · Marketing Science · doi:10.1287/mksc.2013.0781 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
Goal-oriented sequential pattern for network banking churn analysis
Chiang, D. (2003) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/s0957-4174(03)00073-3 · Cited by 93 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Chiang, Ding-An, et al. (2003) mentioned that customer values were high in the online financial market, and created a churn scenario according to the financial product selection and customers’ financial product selection sequence using the Apriori algorithm [35].”
MethodStaying Power of Churn Prediction Models
Risselada, H., Verhoef, P. C., & Bijmolt, T. H. A. (2010) · Journal of Interactive Marketing · doi:10.1016/j.intmar.2010.04.002 · Cited by 92 · see citing works
An effective hybrid learning system for telecommunication churn prediction
Huang, Y., & Kechadi, T. (2013) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2013.04.020 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Predicting Purchase Decisions in Mobile Free-to-Play Games
Sifa, R., Hadiji, F., Runge, J., Drachen, A., Kersting, K., & Bauckhage, C. (2015) · Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Interactive Digital Entertainment · doi:10.1609/aiide.v11i1.12788 · Cited by 87 · cited 2× · see citing works
“Marketing costs and incentives provided for customers who are going to churn are typical examples of customer-related costs [52].”
BackgroundMethodSocial Game Design: Monetization Methods and Mechanics
Fields, T., & Cotton, B. (2011) · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Subscriber churn in the Australian ISP market
Madden, G., Savage, S. J., & Coble-Neal, G. (1999) · Information Economics and Policy · doi:10.1016/s0167-6245(99)00015-3 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
If you build it they might stay: retention mechanisms in World of Warcraft
Debeauvais, T., Nardi, B., Schiano, D. J., Ducheneaut, N., & Yee, N. (2011) · Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Foundations of Digital Games · doi:10.1145/2159365.2159390 · Cited by 85 · see citing works
Improved churn prediction in telecommunication industry by analyzing a large network
Kim, K., Jun, C.-H., & Lee, J. (2014) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2014.05.014 · Cited by 83 · see citing works
Early churn prediction with personalized targeting in mobile social games
Milošević, M., Živić, N., & Andjelković, I. (2017) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2017.04.056 · Cited by 83 · cited 1× · see citing works
“(2017) created a model predicting churn in the study on game churn, gave churn prevention incentives by finding out and dividing probable churn customers into A/B groups, and demonstrated actual effects statistically [44].”
BackgroundMining class outliers: concepts, algorithms and applications in CRM
He, Z., Xu, X., Huang, J. Z., & Deng, S. (2004) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2004.07.002 · Cited by 79 · cited 1× · see citing works
“The analytical CRM is focused on developing databases and resources containing customer characteristics and attitudes [24], [25], [30].”
BackgroundKirui, C., Li, H., Cheruiyot, W. K., et al. (2013) · Cited by 79 · see citing works
Intelligent data analysis approaches to churn as a business problem: a survey
García, D. L., Àngela Nebot, B., & Vellido, A. (2016) · Knowledge and Information Systems · doi:10.1007/s10115-016-0995-z · Cited by 77 · cited 1× · see citing works
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BackgroundChurn Prediction: Does Technology Matter?
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Churn prediction of mobile and online casual games using play log data
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“In order to predict customer churn of Pay-TV services, Burez, Jonathan, and Dick Van den Poel (2008) selected customer behavioral loyalty features and combined them with CRM features [132].”
BackgroundCustomer Churn in Mobile Markets: A Comparison of Techniques
Hassouna, M. S., Tarhini, A., Elyas, T., et al. (2016) · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Customer Churn in Mobile Markets: A Comparison of Techniques
Hassouna, M., Tarhini, A., Elyas, T., et al. (2015) · International Business Research · doi:10.5539/ibr.v8n6p224 · Cited by 62 · cited 3× · see citing works
“On the other hand, some churn studies have often used a top 10% decline lift performance metric [13], [67].”
BackgroundPredicting player disengagement and first purchase with event-frequency based data representation
Xie, H., Devlin, S., Kudenko⋆, D., et al. (2015) · IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence and Games (CIG) · doi:10.1109/cig.2015.7317919 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Games and big data: A scalable multi-dimensional churn prediction model
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The Playtime Principle: Large-scale cross-games interest modeling
Sifa, R., Bauckhage, C., & Drachen, A. (2014) · IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence and Games (CIG) · doi:10.1109/cig.2014.6932906 · Cited by 61 · cited 1× · see citing works
“(2014) diagrammed the related signs leading to churn, and grouped the features corresponding to each diagram and managed them in Game field [56].”
BackgroundChurn Prediction in Online Games Using Players’ Login Records: A Frequency Analysis Approach
Castro, E. G., & Tsuzuki, M. S. G. (2015) · IEEE Transactions on Computational Intelligence and AI in Games · doi:10.1109/tciaig.2015.2401979 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
A Novel Approach for Churn Prediction Using Deep Learning
Mishra, A., & Reddy, U. S. (2017) · 2017 IEEE International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Computing Research (ICCIC) · doi:10.1109/iccic.2017.8524551 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Churn Prediction in MMORPGs Using Player Motivation Theories and an Ensemble Approach
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A novel cost-sensitive framework for customer churn predictive modeling
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Customer switching behaviour in Greek banking services using survival analysis
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“(2008) measured the switching rate of financial products, and the survival period of customers for each product to discover attractive products [37].”
BackgroundComparison of Deep Learning Algorithms to Predict Customer Churn within a Local Retail Industry
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Time series for early churn detection: Using similarity based classification for dynamic networks
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Comparing Churn Prediction Techniques and Assessing Their Performance: A Contingent Perspective
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A review and analysis of churn prediction methods for customer retention in telecom industries
Ahmed, A., & Linen, D. M. (2017) · International Conference on Advanced Computing and Communication Systems (ICACCS) · doi:10.1109/icaccs.2017.8014605 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Analysing Customer Churn in Insurance Data – A Case Study
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“become one of the important personalized customer management techniques [20], [28], [59].”
BackgroundHybrid Data Mining Models for Predicting Customer Churn
Hudaib, A. A., Dannoun, R., Harfoushi, O., et al. (2015) · International Journal of Communications Network and System Sciences · doi:10.4236/ijcns.2015.85012 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Profit optimizing customer churn prediction with Bayesian network classifiers
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“However, as the market saturated because of the globalization of services and fierce competition, customer acquisition costs rose rapidly [3], [4].”
BackgroundProfit Optimizing Churn Prediction for Long-Term Loyal Customers in Online Games
Lee, E., Kim, B., Kang, S., Kang, B.-S., Jang, Y., & Kim, H. K. (2018) · IEEE Transactions on Games · doi:10.1109/tg.2018.2871215 · Cited by 44 · cited 4× · see citing works
“(2018) defined the period during which 75% of customers were continuously unconnected as a churn section by taking into consideration the characteristics of PC game services [17].”
BackgroundInfluentialSelf-citationChurn Prediction in a Real Online Social Network Using Local CommunIty Analysis
Ngonmang, B., Viennet, E., & Tchuenté, M. (2012) · IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining (ASONAM) · doi:10.1109/asonam.2012.55 · Cited by 39 · see citing works
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“Therefore, some studies show that short-term prediction and monetary rewards soon leads to another churn [10], [45].”
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Qian, Z., Jiang, W., & Tsui, K. (2006) · International Journal of Production Research · doi:10.1080/00207540600632240 · Cited by 34 · cited 1× · see citing works
“series modification techniques such as grouping customer id to make tidy data or calculate behavioral variances [114].”
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Radosavljevik, D., van der Putten, P., & Larsen, K. (2010) · Transactions on machine learning and data mining · Cited by 30 · see citing works
Mobile & social game design : monetization methods and mechanics
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Modelling user retention in mobile games
Viljanen, M., Airola, A., Pahikkala, T., et al. (2016) · IEEE Conference on Computational Intelligence and Games (CIG) · doi:10.1109/cig.2016.7860393 · Cited by 28 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Viljanen, Markus, et al. (2016) applied the survival analysis to mobile games and calculated the churn rate, similar to the churn prediction of financial services [40].”
BackgroundCustomer Churning Prediction Using Support Vector Machines in Online Auto Insurance Service
Hur, Y., & Lim, S. (2005) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/11427445_149 · Cited by 25 · see citing works
Analysis of imbalanced data set problem: The case of churn prediction for telecommunication
Gui, C. (2017) · Artificial Intelligence Research · doi:10.5430/air.v6n2p93 · Cited by 25 · cited 1× · see citing works
“(2017) applied undersampling, oversam-pling, and SMOTE methods to an imbalanced dataset of telecommunication field and compared the performance of the derived churn prediction models [145].”
MethodCombining Sequential and Aggregated Data for Churn Prediction in Casual Freemium Games
Kristensen, J. T., & Burelli, P. (2019) · IEEE Conference on Games (CoG) · doi:10.1109/cig.2019.8848106 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
A Survey of Evolution in Predictive Models and Impacting Factors in Customer Churn
Ahmed, M., Afzal, H., Majeed, A., et al. (2017) · Advances in Data Science and Adaptive Analysis · doi:10.1142/s2424922x17500073 · Cited by 21 · cited 1× · see citing works
“There were survey papers that collected and summarized churn analysis techniques in the telecommunications field [6]–[9].”
BackgroundDeep and Shallow Model for Insurance Churn Prediction Service
Zhang, R., Li, W., Tan, W., & Mo, T. (2017) · IEEE International Conference on Services Computing · doi:10.1109/scc.2017.51 · Cited by 21 · cited 5× · see citing works
“They classified features into a memorization feature and a generalization feature depending on data attributes [11].”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialPositive Customer Churn: An Application to Online Dating
Dechant, A., Spann, M., & Becker, J. U. (2018) · Journal of Service Research · doi:10.1177/1094670518795054 · Cited by 20 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Research on churn prediction was also conducted in online dating, online commerce, Q&A services, and social network-based services [46] There were some studies which approached customer churn from a psychological perspective.”
BackgroundCustomer churn analysis for a software-as-a-service company
Ge, Y., He, S., Xiong, J., et al. (2017) · Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium · doi:10.1109/sieds.2017.7937698 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Maximize What Matters: Predicting Customer Churn With Decision-Centric Ensemble Selection
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“Contractual churn refers to churn that a customer does not extend the contract even when the contract renewal date is reached [15], [16].”
BackgroundMining Player In-game Time Spending Regularity for Churn Prediction in Free Online Games
Yang, W., Huang, T., Zeng, J., et al. (2019) · IEEE Conference on Games (CoG) · doi:10.1109/cig.2019.8848033 · Cited by 16 · cited 4× · see citing works
“Yang,Wanshan, et al. (2019) judged that the probability of churn would increase when the regularity of customers’ behavior using services was broken [43].”
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Guitart, A., Chen, P. P., & Periáñez, Á. (2018) · Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction · doi:10.3390/make1010016 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Clustering-Based Online Player Modeling
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Loyalty Card Membership Challenge: A Study on Membership Churn and their Spending Behaviour
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“run for a long time, the service competition intensifies and the Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) tends to increase [16], [39], [128].”
BackgroundMusic Streaming Service Prediction with MapReduce-based Artificial Neural Network
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A/B-Test of Retention and Monetization Using the Cox Model
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How to Project Customer Retention
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Manzoor, A., Qureshi, M. A., Kidney, E., & Longo, L. (2024) · IEEE Access · doi:10.1109/access.2024.3402092 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Imani, M., Joudaki, M., Beikmohammadi, A., & Arabnia, H. R. (2025) · Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction · doi:10.3390/make7030105 · Cited by 70 · see citing works
“…churn rates leading to substantial revenue losses, businesses in subscription-based services, telecommunications [1,7], retail [8], banking [9], education [10], healthcare [11], Insurance [12], and other sectors increasingly rely on data-driven approaches to enhance customer retention strategies.”
Ensemble Methods in Customer Churn Prediction: A Comparative Analysis of the State-of-the-Art
Bogaert, M., & Delaere, L. (2023) · Mathematics · doi:10.3390/math11051137 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
“Because of the significant financial implications of correctly predicting customer churn [1,2], customer churn prediction (CCP) models have become utterly important in customer relationship management (CRM) to identify the customers who are most likely to terminate their relationship [3].”
BackgroundMethodMachine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
Suh, Y. (2023) · Journal Of Big Data · doi:10.1186/s40537-023-00721-8 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
“Currently, as the need to predict and prevent customer churn in various domains is increasing, many data-mining and machine-learning technologies are being used for this purpose [41].”
BackgroundFair evaluation of classifier predictive performance based on binary confusion matrix
Vanacore, A., Pellegrino, M. S., & Ciardiello, A. (2022) · Computational Statistics · doi:10.1007/s00180-022-01301-9 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
“…as in medical field for disease diagnosis, in industrial field for fault diagnosis or anomaly detection, and in fields of customer service and marketing for churn prediction (Ahn et al. 2020; Jo and Japkowicz 2004; Galar et al. 2011; Chawla et al. 2002; Dashtipour et al. 2016; Tang et al. 2015).”
Dalli, A. (2022) · Mathematical Problems in Engineering · doi:10.1155/2022/4720539 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
Ensemble-based deep learning techniques for customer churn prediction model
Subramanian, R. S., Yamini, B., Kothandapani, S., & Sivakumar, S. (2024) · Kybernetes · doi:10.1108/k-08-2023-1516 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Task Assignment with Worker Churn Prediction in Spatial Crowdsourcing
Wang, Z., Zhao, Y. L., Chen, X., et al. (2021) · Proceedings of the ... ACM International Conference on Information & Knowledge Management · doi:10.1145/3459637.3482301 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Customer churn prediction for web browsers
Wu, X., Li, P., Zhao, M. H., Liu, Y., Crespo, R. A. G., & Herrera‐Viedma, E. (2022) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118177 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Research on telecom customer churn prediction based on ensemble learning
Liu, Y., Fan, J., Zhang, J., et al. (2022) · Journal of Intelligent Information Systems · doi:10.1007/s10844-022-00739-z · Cited by 29 · see citing works
“With the development of the internet and artificial intelligence, modern customer churn prediction mainly uses artificial intelligence algorithms, and the research mainly focuses on telecom, gaming, finance and insurance industries (Ahn et al., 2020).”
BackgroundZaghloul, M., Barakat, S., & Rezk, A. (2025) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2025.128465 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Modeling and prediction of business success: a survey
Gangwani, D., & Zhu, X. (2024) · Artificial Intelligence Review · doi:10.1007/s10462-023-10664-4 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
An Ensemble Model for Predicting Retail Banking Churn in the Youth Segment of Customers
Bharathi, S. V., Pramod, D., & Raman, R. (2022) · Data · doi:10.3390/data7050061 · Cited by 33 · see citing works
“From an industry application standpoint, the telecommunication industry is by far the most extensively researched domain for churn prediction [18].”
BackgroundDigital marketing analytics: A review of strategies in the age of big data and AI
Adeleye, R. A., Awonuga, K. F., Asuzu, O. F., Ndubuisi, N. L., & Tula, S. T. (2024) · World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews · doi:10.30574/wjarr.2024.21.2.0395 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
“A high CTR indicates that the ad or content is resonating with the target audience, potentially leading to higher conversion rates (Ahn, et. al., 2020, Altmann & Correio, 2020).”
BackgroundA review on Churn Prediction and Customer Segmentation using Machine Learning
Zadoo, A., Jagtap, T., Khule, N., et al. (2022) · International Conference on Machine Learning, Big Data, Cloud and Parallel Computing (COM-IT-CON) · doi:10.1109/com-it-con54601.2022.9850924 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Pasquadibisceglie, V., Appice, A., Ieva, G., & Malerba, D. (2023) · Journal of Intelligent Information Systems · doi:10.1007/s10844-023-00838-5 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
“Ahn et al. (2020) describes various deep learning architectures studied for customer churn prediction in the sector of internet services, games and insurance.”
Worker-Churn-Based Task Assignment With Context-LSTM in Spatial Crowdsourcing
Zhao, Y. L., Lai, T., Wang, Z., et al. (2023) · IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering · doi:10.1109/tkde.2023.3249828 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
“Besides, studies on user churn prediction in these fields, such as banks and websites, have been carried out as well [1], [19], [22].”
BackgroundA comprehensive survey on customer churn analysis studies
Shahabikargar, M., Beheshti, A., Zhang, X., Foo, J., & Jolfaei, A. (2025) · Journal of Information and Telecommunication · doi:10.1080/24751839.2025.2528440 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
“…key metrics that are leveraged for assessing the performance of churn prediction models namely, the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, F1 score (Hasumoto & Goto, 2022) and the lift (Ahn et al., 2020; Alboukaey et al., 2020; Burez & Van den Poel, 2009).”
InfluentialPrediction of Churning Game Users Based on Social Activity and Churn Graph Neural Networks
Han, Y.-J., Moon, J., & Woo, J. (2024) · IEEE Access · doi:10.1109/access.2024.3429559 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
The Impact of Churn Labelling Rules on Churn Prediction in Telecommunications
Bugajev, A., Kriauzienė, R., Vasilecas, O., & Chadyšas, V. (2022) · Informatica · doi:10.15388/22-infor484 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Three-stage churn management framework based on DCN with asymmetric loss
Wen, X., Wang, Y., Ji, X., & Traoré, M. K. (2022) · Expert Systems with Applications · doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2022.117998 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Explainable text-based features in predictive models of crowdfunding campaigns
Pekar, V., Candi, M., Beltagui, A., Stylos, N. D., & Liu, W. (2024) · Annals of Operations Research · doi:10.1007/s10479-023-05800-w · Cited by 14 · see citing works
“…assessment of investment risks (Mahbub et al., 2022; Behl et al., 2022), customer segmentation (Mehta et al., 2021), prediction of customer churn (Ahn et al., 2020), dynamic pricing (Ban and Keskin, 2021), personalized advertising (Choi and Lim, 2020), and assessment of the quality of sales…”
BackgroundDynamic Behavior-Based Churn Forecasts in the Insurance Sector
Jajam, N., & Challa, N. P. (2023) · Computers, materials & continua/Computers, materials & continua (Print) · doi:10.32604/cmc.2023.036098 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Hason Rudd, D., Huo, H., & Xu, G. (2022) · Human-Centric Intelligent Systems · doi:10.1007/s44230-022-00006-y · Cited by 12 · see citing works
“Many studies have described churn loss, feature engineering, and prediction models using this approach [2].”
MethodPredicting customer churn using machine learning: A case study in the software industry
Dias, J. R., & António, N. (2023) · Journal of Marketing Analytics · doi:10.1057/s41270-023-00269-9 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
“In general terms, it can also be represented as a class-imbalanced problem due to the small proportion of churned customers compared to the number of retained ones (Ahn et al. 2020).”
ChurnKB: A Generative AI-Enriched Knowledge Base for Customer Churn Feature Engineering
Shahabikargar, M., Beheshti, A., Mansoor, W., Zhang, X., Foo, J., Jolfaei, A., Hanif, A., & Shabani, N. (2025) · Algorithms · doi:10.3390/a18040238 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
Churn in services – A bibliometric review
Ribeiro, H., Barbosa, B., Moreira, A. C., & Rodrigues, R. G. (2022) · Cuadernos de Gestión · doi:10.5295/cdg.211509hr · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Deep Learning Models for Predicting Customer Churn in Omni-Channel Retail Environments
Ahmed, T. A., Medicine, M. M., Ibrahim, M. F., et al. (2025) · International Conference on Business Analytics for Technology and Security (ICBATS) · doi:10.1109/icbats66542.2025.11258385 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
“Ahn et al. [23] looked at churn analysis across domains and proposed adopting more sophisticated models to capture domain concerns.”
Abdelhady, M. G., & Mohamed, K. A. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-30108-z · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Improving customer retention in taxi industry using travel data analytics: A churn prediction study
Loureiro, A. L. D., Miguéis, V. L., Costa, Á., et al. (2025) · Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services · doi:10.1016/j.jretconser.2025.104288 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
Park, W., & Ahn, H. (2022) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su141912328 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Using Survival Models to Estimate User Engagement in Online Experiments
Chandar, P., Thomas, B. S., Maystre, L., et al. (2022) · ACM Web Conference (WWW) · doi:10.1145/3485447.3512038 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Rudd, D. H., Huo, H., Islam, M. R., et al. (2023) · International Conference on Behavioural and Social Computing (BESC) · doi:10.1109/besc59560.2023.10386253 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“They also showed that very few previous studies adopted a multimodal approach to address churn prediction [7].”
BackgroundOptimized churn prediction using ensemble-based feature selection via second-order cone programming
Ulug, B., & Akyüz, S. (2025) · Annals of Operations Research · doi:10.1007/s10479-025-06543-6 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
“…different studies to predict customer churn, including gender, zip code, industry code, tenure, service suspension duration, payment type, contract expiration month, customer age, province, customer type, bad payment behavior, number of payment notices, and device deactivations (Ahn et al., 2020).”
Causal Analysis of Customer Churn Using Deep Learning
Rudd, D. H., Huo, H., & Xu, G. (2021) · International Conference on Digital Society and Intelligent Systems (DSInS) · doi:10.1109/dsins54396.2021.9670561 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
“Many studies have described churn loss, feature engineering, and prediction models using this approach [2].”
BackgroundMethodPredicting Customer Churn in E-commerce Subscription Services using RNN with Attention Mechanisms
Anudeep, C., Venugopal, R., Aarif, M., et al. (2024) · International Conference on Computing, Communication and Networking Technologies (ICCCNT) · doi:10.1109/icccnt61001.2024.10725520 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
“Existing churn prediction systems often rely on traditional machine learning algorithms or simple heuristics, which may struggle to capture complex temporal dependencies and subtle patterns in customer behaviors [15].”
BackgroundUlkhaq, M. M., Wibowo, A. T., Tribosnia, M. R., et al. (2021) · International Conference on Data Analytics for Business and Industry (ICDABI) · doi:10.1109/icdabi53623.2021.9655790 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Harish, A., & Malathy, C. (2023) · International Conference on Electrical, Electronics, Information and Communication Technologies (ICEEICT) · doi:10.1109/iceeict56924.2023.10156962 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Deterioration in number of visits or volume of purchase usually indicates the customer’s loss of interest or a positive affliction towards other competitors [8].”
BackgroundOnline newspaper subscriptions: using machine learning to reduce and understand customer churn
Belchior, L. M., António, N., & Fernandes, E. (2024) · Journal of Media Business Studies · doi:10.1080/16522354.2024.2343638 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
“…of December 2023) that included the terms “churn” and “publisher”/”newspaper”: TITLE-ABS-KEY (churn AND (publisher OR newspaper)) AND PUBYEAR > 1999 AND PUBYEAR < 2024 In these 39 documents, some interesting churn analyses across industries can be found (Ahn et al., 2020; C.-F. Tsai & Lu, 2010).”
Expert Monitoring: Human-Centered Concept Drift Detection in Machine Learning Operations
Leest, J., Raibulet, C., Gerostathopoulos, I., et al. (2024) · doi:10.1145/3639476.3639771 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“For example, in e-commerce churn prediction, churn determination only occurs after a specified time frame (e.g., a month or year) [1].”
BackgroundEarly Churn Prediction from Large Scale User-Product Interaction Time Series
Bhattacharjee, S., Thukral, U., & Patil, N. (2023) · International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications · doi:10.1109/icmla58977.2023.00314 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
“Customer churn, defined as the scenario when a customer stops doing business or ends the relationship with a company, represents a considerable risk and cost to any business, especially in non-subscription-based industries like fantasy sports.”
BackgroundCustomer Churn Prediction by Classification Models in Machine Learning
Zhao, H., Zuo, X., & Xie, Y. (2022) · doi:10.1109/iceee55327.2022.9772553 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Therefore, the prediction of customer churn has been widely used in various business fields, such as internet services and insurance [19].”
A Machine Learning Model for Customer Churn Prediction using CatBoost Classifier
Angelina, J. J. R., Subhashini, S. J., Baba, S., et al. (2023) · International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Control Systems (ICICCS) · doi:10.1109/iciccs56967.2023.10142823 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“Ahn, J. et al. [7].”
Customer Churn Analysis in Telecom Organization
-, U. K., -, A. R., & Poovammal, E. (2024) · International Journal For Multidisciplinary Research · doi:10.36948/ijfmr.2024.v06i02.18886 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Customer Churn of a Delivery Platform
Liu, Q., Chen, Q., & Lee, S.-J. (2023) · International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Information and Communication (ICAIIC) · doi:10.1109/icaiic57133.2023.10067108 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
“With research on CRM asserting that it is more effective to increase the ownership of a few existing customers than to secure new ones, churn analysis has become one of the important personalised customer management techniques [3].”
BackgroundMathematical Modelling and Deep Learning: Innovations in E-Commerce Sentiment Analysis
Awate, E. A. A. S. (2024) · Advances in Nonlinear Variational Inequalities · doi:10.52783/anvi.v27.317 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Pflughoeft, K. A., Butz, N. T., & Corbley, A. (2025) · Telecommunications Policy · doi:10.1016/j.telpol.2025.102929 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Quantification of number of adopters: a study to showcase products-sold and products-in-use
Anand, A., Chanchal, C., Kapur, P. K., et al. (2023) · International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management · doi:10.1007/s13198-023-02188-5 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“…declining repeat purchases, a lower Net Promoter Score (NPS), a spike in complaints from customers, and negative feedback among others, can be constantly tracked down using customer information to demonstrate the likelihood of their churning (Huang et al. 2012; Tsai et al. 2019; Ahn et al. 2020).”
Kang, H., Suh, C., & Kim, H. K. (2024) · Heliyon · doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24891 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
A PySpark Based Scalable Model for Churn Prediction using Embedding Models
Ramesh, S., Sukanth, B. N., Jaswanth, S. S., et al. (2024) · International Conference on Advances in Computing, Communication and Applied Informatics (ACCAI) · doi:10.1109/accai61061.2024.10602333 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“The definition of churn varies[1], encompassing both contractual, where customers do not renew contracts, and non-contractual, allowing customers to leave without time constraints.”
BackgroundDuan, Y., & Raś, Z. W. (2022) · Applied Intelligence · doi:10.1007/s10489-022-03614-0 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Though, most of the recommender systems focus on analyzing customer churn in telecommunications, finance, games, newspapers, retails and insurance [16].”
BackgroundChurn Prediction in Enterprises with High Customer Turnover
Beckhauser, W. J., & Fileto, R. (2023) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-48316-5_19 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Bank Customer Churn Prediction based on Random Forest Algorithm
Zhang, N., Zheng, Y., & Duan, C. (2024) · International Conference on Computer Information and Big Data Applications (CIBDA) · doi:10.1145/3671151.3671331 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“In the early stage, traditional machine learning algorithms, such as decision trees, logistic regression, and Bayesian classification, were the mainstream of research [ 3 , 4 , 5 ] .”
Repurchase Prediction Using Survival Ensembles in CRM Systems for Home Appliance Business
Suh, Y. (2024) · IEEE Access · doi:10.1109/access.2024.3437648 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
“Such companies develop their own prediction models with predictive good power by using well-known models such as logistic regression, random forests, gradient boost approaches, and other classifiers to estimate who will churn [9].”
MethodGenerative AI-enabled Knowledge Base Fine-tuning: Enhancing Feature Engineering for Customer ChurnPreprint
Shahabikargar, M., Beheshti, A., Mansoor, W., Zhang, X., Foo, J., Jolfaei, A., Hanif, A., & Shabani, N. (2024) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3823738/v1 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Retracted: Customer Churn Prediction Analysis for Retention Using Ensemble Learning
Charanya, J., Sureshkumar, T., Kavitha, V., et al. (2024) · International Conference on Computing, Communication and Networking Technologies (ICCCNT) · doi:10.1109/icccnt61001.2024.10724852 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“[2] The overall objective of is to examine the effectiveness of team strategies in predicting customer turnover and to provide actionable insights for businesses wishing to revamp their customer retention strategies.”
BackgroundRetractedOptimizing Profit by Mitigating Recurrent Churn Labeling Issues: Analysis from the Game Domain
Humenhuk, J. F., Kummer, L. B. M., & Paraíso, E. C. (2021) · Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Interactive Digital Entertainment · doi:10.1609/aiide.v17i1.18887 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“Although churn is an old problem present in different businesses (e.g., telecom, TV, banking, or games), the first models to predict it using machine learning started at the end of the twentieth century (Ahn et al. 2020).”
BackgroundInfluentialPERBANDINGAN METODE CART DAN NAÏVE BAYES UNTUK KLASIFIKASI CUSTOMER CHURN
Adhitya, R. R., Witanti, W., & Yuniarti, R. (2023) · INFOTECH journal · doi:10.31949/infotech.v9i2.5641 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
CENTAURO: An Explainable AI Approach for Customer Loyalty Prediction in Retail Sector
Andresini, G., Appice, A., Ardimento, P., Brunetta, A. A., Doronzo, A. G., Ieva, G., Luce, F., Malerba, D., & Pasquadibisceglie, V. (2023) · Lecture notes in computer science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-47546-7_14 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
A Proposed Churn Window for Non-Contractual Purchases
Ganeson, S., Lew, S. L., & Ling, S. (2022) · Journal of System and Management Sciences · doi:10.33168/jsms.2022.0404 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Bagging and Boosting for Predicting Bank Customer Churn
Silalahi, D. D. N., Marsella, Valentino, A. A., Edbert, I. S., & Suhartono, D. (2023) · International Conference on Advanced Mechatronics, Intelligent Manufacture and Industrial Automation (ICAMIMIA) · doi:10.1109/icamimia60881.2023.10427686 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“Customer churn occurs when a customer discontinues doing business with a company or using a company’s product [1].”
BackgroundCustomer Churn Prediction Using Machine Learning Algorithms
Balaji, N., Gowtham, N. A., Tarun, S., et al. (2024) · International Conference on Emerging Research in Computational Science (ICERCS) · doi:10.1109/icercs63125.2024.10895079 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“According to the study [11], it provides an overview of churn analysis techniques across industries, highlighting fragmentation in churn definitions, feature engineering, and predictive models.”
User Intent-Based Segmentation Analysis for Internet Access Services
Nishimatsu, K., & Inoue, A. (2023) · International Journal of Strategic Decision Sciences · doi:10.4018/ijsds.318643 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
A Hybrid Two-Level Support Vector Machine-Based Method for Churn Analysis
Sarac, F., Şeker, H., Lisowski, M., et al. (2021) · International Conference on Cloud and Big Data Computing (ICCBDC) · doi:10.1145/3481646.3481665 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Evaluating the Effect of Leading Indicators in Customer Churn Prediction
Kumar, S., Mariyasagayam, N., & Nonaka, Y. (2023) · Lecture notes in electrical engineering · doi:10.1007/978-981-99-3481-2_26 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Enhancing Customer Analytics: A Comprehensive Framework for Effective Churn Prediction
Ms. Anitha, R., S, M. A. P., A, M. A. V., & Mr. Bhuvanesh, A. (2024) · International Journal of Advanced Research in Science Communication and Technology · doi:10.48175/ijarsct-15770 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Demographic and Industry-Specific Influences on Customer Churn
Wu, G. (2025) · Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences · doi:10.54254/2754-1169/2025.lh26171 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Predictive Modelling of Salary Trends in the Tech Industry Using Machine Learning Algorithms
Vijh, G., Singh, P. P., Tiwari, S., et al. (2025) · Lecture notes in electrical engineering · doi:10.1007/978-981-95-2577-5_10 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Machine Learning Models for Customer Churn Classification in B2B FMCG Platforms
Gozali, S., & Mauritsius, T. (2025) · International Conference on Informatics, Multimedia, Cyber and Information System (ICIMCIS) · doi:10.1109/icimcis68501.2025.11327339 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Identifying the link between bank’s customer satisfaction scores and switching rates
Dawes, J. G. (2026) · International Journal of Bank Marketing · doi:10.1108/ijbm-11-2025-0911 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
ANALYSIS AND SIMULATION OF CUSTOMER BEHAVIOR WITH THE IMPLEMENTATION OF BETA-WEIBUL DISTRIBUTIONS
Panchyshyn, T., Marets, O., & Gayevska, R. (2020) · Visnyk of the Lviv University Series Economics · doi:10.30970/ves.2020.58.0.5809 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Game Outlier Behavior Detection System Based on Dynamic Time Warp Algorithm
Kang, S.-J., & Kim, S. K. (2022) · Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences · doi:10.32604/cmes.2022.018413 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationPleasure–arousal–outlier model for quantitative evaluation of game experiences
Kang, S.-J., & Kim, S. K. (2022) · The Journal of Supercomputing · doi:10.1007/s11227-022-04636-8 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“Lee [2] introduced a method for predicting whether and when a player will stop playing a commercial game during its free play period using a log-based analysis scheme in the game and subsequently applied the method to measure user departure [3].”
MethodSelf-citationTrends and Future Directions in Artificial Intelligence-based Customer Churn Prediction Technology
Suh, Y.-J. (2023) · Journal of Digital Contents Society · doi:10.9728/dcs.2023.24.7.1617 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Yang, P. Y., Chaw, J. K., Cheng, X., et al. (2023) · Journal of Information System and Technology Management · doi:10.35631/jistm.832004 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Can a simple customer review outperform a feature set for predicting churn?
Beckhauser, W. J., & Fileto, R. (2024) · Simpósio Brasileiro de Bancos de Dados (SBBD) · doi:10.5753/sbbd.2024.240217 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
“…application in specific sectors, most ML models for churn prediction rely just on conventional data like customer profile and transaction data[1, 10], leaving aside Natural Languagem Processing (NLP) techniques that could take advantage of textual data like customer comments or reviews of…”
BackgroundAntipov, E. A., Gagarskaia, A. A., Trofimova, Y. S., et al. (2025) · Operations Research Forum · doi:10.1007/s43069-025-00417-0 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“The geometric distribution models the probability of churning after a period, projecting the number of periods it takes for the event (e.g., employee termination) to occur [29].”
A Customer Churn Detection Model for the Pay-TV Sector
López, V., Egea, R., Museros, L., et al. (2021) · Frontiers in artificial intelligence and applications · doi:10.3233/faia210129 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“It is because of that the Customer Churn is lower in relation with the total number of customer along the company life and that makes our dataset very imbalanced.”
MethodInfluentialAn Optimized Kernel MSVM Machine Learning-based Model for Churn Analysis
Hooda, P., & Mittal, P. (2022) · International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications · doi:10.14569/ijacsa.2022.0130557 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
“As a consequence, if a company wants to make a logical forecast of churn prediction, it must employ numerical algorithms as well as "machines" to detect the connection among statistical features as well as customer churn, determine if clients are being churned, and will provide the churn probability [12].”
MethodAhn, D., Lee, D., & Hosanagar, K. (2021) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.3969455 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
A New Time Series Approach in Churn Prediction with Discriminatory Intervals
Ahmadi, H., & Hasheminejad, S. M. H. (2021) · International Conference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering · doi:10.1109/iccke54056.2021.9721447
“Using deep learning algorithms in churn prediction has been developed recently [7]; these papers use sequential data with LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and CNN (Convolutional Neural Network).”
MethodXGBoost meets TabNet in Predicting the Costs of Forwarding Contracts
Lewandowska, A. (2022) · Annals of Computer Science and Information Systems · doi:10.15439/2022f294
“Churn prediction [6], [7] can reduce customer losses.”
BackgroundMethod Comparison for Predicting Student Retention at a Private School in Indonesia
Panggabean, A. A. N. A. P., & Yugipuspito, P. (2023) · Communications in computer and information science · doi:10.1007/978-3-031-45121-8_14
Başarslan, M. S., ÜNAL, A., & Kayaalp, F. (2023) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3421473/v1
RetractedFibri, Y. H., Abrian, Y., & Fansurya, A. H. (2023) · Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Dan Bisnis · doi:10.31849/jieb.v20i2.15817
Buzinaro, V. W. (2024) · Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations (Universidade de São Paulo) · doi:10.11606/d.55.2024.tde-21032024-084138
(2024) · Journal of Logistics Informatics and Service Science · doi:10.33168/jliss.2024.0605
A Comparative Study on Data Mining Algorithms for Predicting Customer Churn
(2024) · Journal of System and Management Sciences · doi:10.33168/jsms.2024.1209
Exploring Feature Selection Methods in Predicting College Students' Churn in Telecom Services
Li, J., Hussin, N. B., Luo, Y., et al. (2024) · International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Data Sciences (AiDAS) · doi:10.1109/aidas63860.2024.10730084
“By discretizing, continuous variables are divided into broader "intervals," which not only enhances the model's interpretability but also reduces the model's sensitivity to outliers or minor variations within the variables [13].”
BackgroundSantosa, I., Wiwaha, P. Y., Toba, H., et al. (2024) · International Conference on Technology Innovation and Its Applications (ICTIIA) · doi:10.1109/ictiia61827.2024.10761744
“Companies may improvise application services and features as an anticipatory step to minimize the possibility of losing users of other application services and maintain or increase profitability [2].”
Aurelio, C., & Setiawan, J. (2024) · International Conference on Electrical Engineering, Computer Science and Informatics (EECSI) · doi:10.1109/eecsi63442.2024.10776324
“Customer churn refers to customers of a company or business who decide to no longer remain customers [1].”
АРХІТЕКТОНІКА ТА ОЦІНЮВАННЯ ЕКОСИСТЕМНИХ БІЗНЕС-МОДЕЛЕЙ В ІНДУСТРІЇ РОЗВАГ
Tereshchenko, Y. (2025) · Економіка та суспільство · doi:10.32782/2524-0072/2025-74-110
Building a Business Ecosystem: Deriving a Framework and Testing It with Case Studies
Иванинский, И. О., & Ivashkovskaya, I. V. (2025) · Journal of Corporate Finance Research / Корпоративные Финансы · doi:10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.19.3.2025.55-67
“Despite firms’ efforts, every customer has a finite lifetime as a client, a metric that varies significantly by industry and may range from several days to several years [47].”
Analyzing player churn in esports games: a survival analysis of league of legends log data
Kim, J., Kim, K., Kim, H., et al. (2025) · Sport Business and Management An International Journal · doi:10.1108/sbm-04-2025-0093
Alam, M. M., Prithul, S. S., & Hossain, M. S. (2026) · Lecture notes in networks and systems · doi:10.1007/978-3-032-13003-7_4
Enhancing churn prediction accuracy through hybrid machine learning models
Sabreen, B., Sayeed, M., & Raja, S. (2026) · AIP conference proceedings · doi:10.1063/5.0298062
Prediction to Explanation: A Review of Machine Learning and XAI in Telecom Customer Churn Analysis
Sutar, K., Soni, S., & Barde, S. (2025) · IEEE International Conference on ICT in Business Industry & Government (ICTBIG) · doi:10.1109/ictbig68706.2025.11323723
“It costs 5 times as much to acquire a customer than to retain one [2], which means, for industry viability, even more complicated efforts for retention are needed.”
Chen, L. (2026) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.6315218
Rajagukguk, S. A., & Binsar, F. (2025) · International Conference of Science and Information Technology in Smart Administration (ICSINTESA) · doi:10.1109/icsintesa68165.2025.11413712
- Authors
- Ahn, J., Hwang, J., Kim, D., Choi, H., & Kang, S.
- Venue
- IEEE Access
- Published
- 2020
- Volume
- 8
- Pages
- 220816-220839
- ISSN
- 2169-3536 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3112348427
- Semantic Scholar
- c4b810efe7f18ea3735744fb7c8fc768e7bb6e9e
- Cited by
- 108
- References
- 157
- Citations by year
- 2026: 12 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 23 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 1
- FWCI
- 13.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- IEEE Access (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- National Research Foundation of Korea, Korean government (NRF-2019R1A2C1002525)
- Nexon Korea
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Marketing › Customer churn and segmentation
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Customer Service Quality and Loyalty
- Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › AI and HR Technologies
- Keywords
- customer churn prediction, feature engineering, prediction model, telecommunications, insurance, online services, business domain
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