Cited by 2,607Genetic Associations and EpidemiologyAdvanced Causal Inference TechniquesEpigenetics and DNA Methylation

Orienting the causal relationship between imprecisely measured traits using GWAS summary data.

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Hemani, Gibran, Tilling, Kate, Davey Smith, George·2017·PLoS Genetics

Published version of a preprint

Abstract

Inference about the causal structure that induces correlations between two traits can be achieved by combining genetic associations with a mediation-based approach, as is done in the causal inference test (CIT). However, we show that measurement error in the phenotypes can lead to the CIT inferring the wrong causal direction, and that increasing sample sizes has the adverse effect of increasing confidence in the wrong answer. This problem is likely to be general to other mediation-based approaches. Here we introduce an extension to Mendelian randomisation, a method that uses genetic associations in an instrumentation framework, that enables inference of the causal direction between traits, with some advantages. First, it can be performed using only summary level data from genome-wide association studies; second, it is less susceptible to bias in the presence of measurement error or unmeasured confounding. We apply the method to infer the causal direction between DNA methylation and gene expression levels. Our results demonstrate that, in general, DNA methylation is more likely to be the causal factor, but this result is highly susceptible to bias induced by systematic differences in measurement error between the platforms, and by horizontal pleiotropy. We emphasise that, where possible, implementing MR and appropriate sensitivity analyses alongside other approaches such as CIT is important to triangulate reliable conclusions about causality.

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Authors
Hemani, G., Tilling, K., & Davey Smith, G.
Affiliations
University of Bristol (GB)
Corresponding author
Hemani, Gibran
Venue
PLoS Genetics
Published
2017-11-17
Volume
13
Issue
11
Pages
e1007081
ISSN
  • 1553-7390 (ISSN-L)
  • 1553-7404
OpenAlex
W2770598799
Cited by
2,607
References
58
Citations by year
2026: 308 · 2025: 603 · 2024: 851 · 2023: 392 · 2022: 191 · 2021: 121 · 2020: 69 · 2019: 42 · 2018: 23 · 2017: 7
FWCI
25.33
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • PLoS Genetics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Explore Bristol Research (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
  • Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
Medical Research Council (GB) (MC_UU_12013/1, MC_UU_12013/9)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic Associations and Epidemiology
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Epigenetics and DNA Methylation
Keywords
causal direction inference, measurement error, Mendelian randomization, mediation analysis, DNA methylation, gene expression, horizontal pleiotropy, unmeasured confounding, sensitivity analysis
MeSH terms
Gene Expression Regulation, Phenotype, Bias, Sample Size, DNA Methylation, Genome-Wide Association Study, Genetic Association Studies, Mendelian Randomization Analysis

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