Cited by 61Circadian rhythm and melatoninDiabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and LipoproteinsAdipokines, Inflammation, and Metabolic Diseases

Seasonal changes in mood and behavior are linked to metabolic syndrome

Open access
Rintamäki, Reeta, Grimaldi, Sharon, Englund, Ani, Haukka, Jari, Partonen, Timo, Reunanen, Antti, Aromaa, Arpo, Lönnqvist, Jouko·2008·PLoS ONE

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a major public health problem worldwide. Metabolic syndrome is a risk factor to the cardiovascular diseases. It has been reported that disruptions of the circadian clockwork are associated with and may predispose to metabolic syndrome. METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: 8028 individuals attended a nationwide health examination survey in Finland. Data were collected with a face-to-face interview at home and during an individual health status examination. The waist circumference, height, weight and blood pressure were measured and samples were taken for laboratory tests. Participants were assessed using the ATP-III criteria for metabolic syndrome and with the Seasonal Pattern Assessment Questionnaire for their seasonal changes in mood and behavior. Seasonal changes in weight in particular were a risk factor of metabolic syndrome, after controlling for a number of known risk and potential confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE: Metabolic syndrome is associated with high global scores on the seasonal changes in mood and behavior, and with those in weight in particular. Assessment of these changes may serve as a useful indicator of metabolic syndrome, because of easy assessment. Abnormalities in the circadian clockwork which links seasonal fluctuations to metabolic cycles may predispose to seasonal changes in weight and to metabolic syndrome.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

In a Finnish nationwide health examination survey, higher global seasonality scores were associated with metabolic syndrome, with seasonal change in weight as the strongest item-specific risk factor. The authors suggest seasonal changes may serve as an easily assessed indicator of metabolic syndrome and implicate circadian clockwork.

Key findings

  • Among 5981 participants with complete data, a global seasonality score (GSS) of 8–18 versus 0–7 was associated with metabolic syndrome in the first multivariate model (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.32–1.84); as a continuous variable, each GSS point increased risk by 6% (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.04–1.08).
  • In the second multivariate model, only seasonal change in weight remained a significant item-specific risk factor (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.39–1.78); the other five seasonal items were not significant.
  • In univariate models, seasonal change in weight (OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.32–1.61) and appetite (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.14–1.42) were risk factors, while seasonal change in social activity was protective (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74–0.95); waist circumference correlated most strongly with seasonal weight change (r = 0.20, P<0.001).
  • The estimated number of Finnish persons aged 30 or over with metabolic syndrome and a GSS equal to winter blues or more severe seasonal changes was 232,577.

Methods

  • The Health 2000 Study was a nationwide Finnish health examination survey using a two-stage stratified cluster sample of adults aged 30 and over; 8028 individuals were contacted, the final sample was 7979, and 5981 with complete metabolic syndrome and seasonal-change assessments were included in the risk analysis.
  • Data came from face-to-face interviews, health status examinations, and laboratory tests; metabolic syndrome was assessed by NCEP-ATPIII criteria (at least three components), seasonal changes by a modified Seasonal Pattern Assessment Questionnaire yielding a GSS from 0 to 18, and depressive symptoms by a modified 21-item Beck Depression Inventory.
  • Survey-weighted generalized linear models for logistic regression were used, with metabolic syndrome as the dependent variable; univariate and multivariate models included sex, age, area of living, education, marital status, physical exercise, alcohol use, BDI, and GSS or its six component items, plus post hoc criterion-specific associations.

Limitations

  • Stated: seasonal changes in mood and behavior were assessed by self-report questionnaire; the authors note it is retrospective and not a good case-finding instrument for mental disorders, though they cite good sensitivity/specificity for seasonal affective disorder and good psychometric properties.
  • Stated: findings are representative of the Finnish general population aged over 30 and can be generalized directly to populations with a similar standard of living at the time of the study.
  • Evident: the cross-sectional design cannot establish temporal or causal direction between seasonal changes and metabolic syndrome, and the complete-case analysis included 5981 of 8028 contacted individuals, with seasonal measures relying on retrospective recall.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1371/journal.pone.0001482

Cites

69 of 69 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 11 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    All explanatory variables were significant when analyzed separately, except sex.

    “All the explanatory variables were of significance as analyzed separately, with the exception of the sex.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Of the six items comprising the GSS, only seasonal change in weight had a significant effect, being a risk factor.

    “Of the six items of which the GSS is comprised, only the seasonal change in weight had a significant effect, being a risk factor (Table 5).”
    • Also stated in: § Conclusion · plain
      “At population level individuals with metabolic syndrome had more seasonal changes in their mood and behavior, those in weight in particular being a significant risk of having metabolic syndrome.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingcitation

    The questionnaire was not a good case-finding instrument for mental disorders.

    “However, the questionnaire was not a good case-finding instrument for mental disorders, which agrees with earlier reports [65].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [65] C Thompson, 2004, Prevalence of seasonal affective disorder in primary care; a comparison of the seasonal health questionnaire and the seasonal pattern assessment questionnaire., J Affect Disord source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • Rests on an assumption: The Seasonal Pattern Assessment Questionnaire retrospectively captures routine seasonal changes during lifetime.
  • Findingown data

    In post hoc analysis, after controlling for sex and age, waist circumference was correlated significantly to each seasonal change item.

    “Of the assessment criteria for metabolic syndrome, after controlling for the sex and age of the participants, the waist circumference was correlated significantly to each seasonal change item, but most strongly to the seasonal change in weight (r = 0.20, P<0.001) followed by the seasonal changes in appetite (r = 0.12, P<0.001).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Each point scored on the GSS increased the risk of metabolic syndrome by 6%.

    “Each point scored on the sum increased the risk of metabolic syndrome by 6%, indicating that the maximum score would end in the 2.1-fold increase in the risk.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 9
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 6
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Factor one (weight, appetite) explained 53% of the variance in the global score, and factor two (sleep length, social activity, mood, energy level) explained 89%.

    “The factor one (weight, appetite) explained 53%, whereas the factor two (sleep length, social activity, mood, energy level) explained 89% of the variance in the global score.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The correlation of waist circumference was strongest with seasonal change in weight (r = 0.20, P<0.001), followed by seasonal changes in appetite (r = 0.12, P<0.001).

    “Of the assessment criteria for metabolic syndrome, after controlling for the sex and age of the participants, the waist circumference was correlated significantly to each seasonal change item, but most strongly to the seasonal change in weight (r = 0.20, P<0.001) followed by the seasonal changes in appetite (r = 0.12, P<0.001).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The modified questionnaire's psychometric properties were tested.

    “Since the seasonal changes in mood and behavior were assessed with a modified questionnaire, we tested its psychometric properties.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    Our findings are representative of the general population aged over 30 living in Finland and can be generalized directly to any population with a similar standard of living at the time of the study.

    “Our findings are representative of the general population aged over 30 living in Finland, a northern European country, and can therefore be generalized directly to concern any population with a similar standard of living at the time of the study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Depression was assessed using a modification of the 21-item Beck Depression Inventory adapted and validated for the Finnish population.

    “The behavioral manifestation and symptom intensity of depression were assessed as self-report using a modification of the 21-item Beck Depression Inventory [26] as adapted and validated for the Finnish population (www.kela.fi/in/internet/liite.nsf/NET/110607141642EK/File/tutkimuksia86.pdfOpenElement), with the sum score or Beck Depression Index (BDI) ranging from 0 to 55.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [26] AT Beck, 1961, An inventory for measuring depression., Arch Gen Psychiatry source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In that earlier study, weight gain was not reversed during spring or summer in the 165 participants who returned for follow-up, so net weight gain during fall and winter likely contributes to adult weight increase.

    “Since the weight gain was not reversed during the spring or summer months in those 165 participants who returned for follow-up the next September or early October, the net weight gain during the fall and winter is likely to contribute to the increase in weight which frequently occurs during adulthood.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [34] JA Yanovski, 2000, A prospective study of holiday weight gain., N Engl J Med source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    The seasonal changes in mood and behavior were assessed using a self-report questionnaire.

    “A limitation is that we assessed the seasonal changes in mood and behavior using a self-report questionnaire.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The data were weighted to take into account the sampling design and to reduce bias due to non-response.

    “The data were weighted to take into account the sampling design and to reduce the bias due to non-response.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Disruptions of the circadian clockwork are associated with and may predispose to metabolic syndrome.

    “It has been reported that disruptions of the circadian clockwork are associated with and may predispose to metabolic syndrome.”
    • Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
      “A range of clinical conditions which are associated with adipose tissue functions display disruptions of the circadian rhythms as well [4]. Moreover, night-shift workers whose rest-activity cycles are reversed tend to develop metabolic syndrome [5].”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [4] AD Laposky, 2007, Sleep and circadian rhythms: key components in the regulation of energy metabolism., FEBS Lett.

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [5] U Holmback, 2003, Endocrine responses to nocturnal eating – possible implications for night work., Eur J Nutr source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The energy metabolism factor was associated specifically with and might be a good proxy for metabolic syndrome.

    “The latter factor was associated in specific with and thereby might be a good proxy for metabolic syndrome.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: The Seasonal Pattern Assessment Questionnaire retrospectively captures routine seasonal changes during lifetime.
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The modified seasonal pattern assessment questionnaire has a Cronbach's alpha of 0.81 and an all-item unweighted sum reliability of 0.85.

    “The calculation of reliabilities yielded Cronbach's alpha of 0.81 and the all-item unweighted sum of 0.85 according to a general model with the assumption that measurement errors may correlate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    Of 8028 study participants, 5981 had complete assessments of metabolic syndrome and seasonal changes and were included in the risk analysis.

    “Of the 8028 study participants (4391 women and 3637 men), the assessments of the presence of metabolic syndrome and of the seasonal changes in mood and behavior was a complete one for 5981 individuals who were subsequently included in the risk analysis.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Abnormalities in the circadian clockwork which links seasonal fluctuations to metabolic cycles may predispose to seasonal changes in weight and to metabolic syndrome.

    “Abnormalities in the circadian clockwork which links seasonal fluctuations to metabolic cycles may predispose to seasonal changes in weight and to metabolic syndrome.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: Seasonal changes in mood and behavior are a proxy for the circadian clockwork.
13 of 13
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Seasonal changes in mood and behavior are a proxy for the circadian clockwork.

    “we decided to use the seasonal changes in mood and behavior as a proxy for the circadian clockwork.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The Seasonal Pattern Assessment Questionnaire retrospectively captures routine seasonal changes during lifetime.

    “However, the questionnaire is retrospective to the routine seasonal changes during lifetime”
2 of 2

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Elevated evening cortisol as well as circadian disruption are linked to metabolic syndrome.

    “and elevated evening cortisol as well as CD are linked to metabolic syndrome.56”

    From Sleep Deprivation and Circadian Disruption (2015) · cites this paper as [56]

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Maximum-score effect does not follow from the per-point odds ratio

    Major

    Applying the reported odds ratio of 1.06 per point across the 18-point score range gives about 2.85 times the odds at score 18 versus score 0, not 2.1 times.

    Reported 2.1 · recomputed 2.854339

  • Not all separately analyzed explanatory variables were significant

    Minor

    The claim excludes only sex, but Table 3 also shows seasonal-change items whose confidence intervals include an odds ratio of 1, including sleep length.

  • HDL cholesterol is described as higher despite a lower table mean

    Minor

    The results say HDL cholesterol is higher in individuals with metabolic syndrome, but Table 2 gives their mean as 1.1 mmol/l versus 1.5 mmol/l in those without it.

3 of 3

Cites

2 retracted

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 70 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Rintamäki, R., Grimaldi, S., Englund, A., Haukka, J., Partonen, T., Reunanen, A., Aromaa, A., & Lönnqvist, J.
Affiliations
Helsinki University Hospital (FI)
Corresponding author
Partonen, Timo
Venue
PLoS ONE
Published
2008-01-23
Volume
3
Issue
1
Pages
e1482
ISSN
1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2046163756
Cited by
61
References
70
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 2 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 4 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 4 · 2014: 3 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 5
FWCI
3.42
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
  • STM:n Hallinnonalan avoin julkaisuarkisto (Julkari) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • Suomen Lääketieteen Säätiö
  • Academy of Finland (210262, 201097)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Endocrine and Autonomic Systems › Circadian rhythm and melatonin
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Adipokines, Inflammation, and Metabolic Diseases
Keywords
metabolic syndrome, seasonal variation, mood, behavior, circadian rhythm, obesity, cardiovascular risk, Seasonal Pattern Assessment Questionnaire, NCEP ATP III criteria, waist circumference, blood pressure
MeSH terms
Affect, Behavior, Finland, Humans, Risk Factors, Seasons, Seasonal Affective Disorder, Metabolic Syndrome

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