Predictors of Relapse Following Response From a First Episode of Schizophrenia or Schizoaffective Disorder
Abstract
Background We examined relapse after response to a first episode of schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder. Methods Patients with first-episode schizophrenia were assessed on measures of psychopathologic variables, cognition, social functioning, and biological variables and treated according to a standardized algorithm. The sample for the relapse analyses consisted of 104 patients who responded to treatment of their index episode and were at risk for relapse. Results Five years after initial recovery, the cumulative first relapse rate was 81.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 70.6%-93.2%); the second relapse rate was 78.0% (95% CI, 46.5%-100.0%). By 4 years after recovery from a second relapse, the cumulative third relapse rate was 86.2% (95% CI, 61.5%-100.0%). Discontinuing antipsychotic drug therapy increased the risk of relapse by almost 5 times (hazard ratio for an initial relapse, 4.89 [99% CI, 2.49-9.60]; hazard ratio for a second relapse, 4.57 [99% CI, 1.49-14.02]). Subsequent analyses controlling for antipsychotic drug use showed that patients with poor premorbid adaptation to school and premorbid social withdrawal relapsed earlier. Sex, diagnosis, obstetric complications, duration of psychotic illness before treatment, baseline symptoms, neuroendocrine measures, methylphenidate hydrochloride challenge response, neuropsychologic and magnetic resonance imaging measures, time to response of the initial episode, adverse effects during treatment, and presence of residua…
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Patients with schizophrenia often have poor adherence to oral antipsychotics, and high relapse rates pose challenges to both patients and clinicians in the management of the disease.
“Patients with schizophrenia often have poor adherence to oral antipsychotics, and high relapse rates pose challenges to both patients and clinicians in the management of the disease [94–97].”
From Pharmacokinetic Characteristics of Long-Acting Injectable Antipsychotics for Schizophrenia: An Overview (2021) · cites this paper as [94]
Schizophrenia pathology worsens over time, as supported by studies suggesting that long-term morbidity increases in the absence of any treatment.
“The notion that schizophrenia pathology worsen over time is supported by studies that suggest that long-term morbidity increases in the absence of any treatment 45,46 .”
From Developmental timing and critical windows for the treatment of psychiatric disorders (2016) · cites this paper as [46]
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Leucht, S., Tardy, M., Komossa, K., Heres, S., Kissling, W., Salanti, G., & Davis, J. M. (2012) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(12)60239-6 · Cited by 931 · see citing works
Galletly, C., Castle, D., Dark, F., Humberstone, V., Jablensky, A., Killackey, E., Kulkarni, J., McGorry, P., Nielssen, O., & Tran, N. (2016) · Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1177/0004867416641195 · Cited by 877 · see citing works
Bipolar disorder, affective psychosis, and schizophrenia in pregnancy and the post-partum period
Jones, I., Chandra, P. S., Dazzan, P., & Howard, L. M. (2014) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(14)61278-2 · Cited by 644 · see citing works
Weiden, P. J., Kozma, C., Grogg, A., & Locklear, J. (2004) · Psychiatric Services · doi:10.1176/appi.ps.55.8.886 · Cited by 621 · see citing works
Tiihonen, J., Haukka, J., Taylor, M., Haddad, P. M., Patel, M. X., & Korhonen, P. (2011) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2011.10081224 · Cited by 619 · see citing works
Wunderink, L., Nieboer, R. M., Wiersma, D., Sytema, S., & Nienhuis, F. J. (2013) · JAMA Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2013.19 · Cited by 567 · see citing works
Alvarez-Jimenez, M., Priede, A., Hetrick, S. E., Bendall, S., Killackey, E., Parker, A. G., McGorry, P. D., & Gleeson, J. F. (2012) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2012.05.007 · Cited by 511 · see citing works
Developmental timing and critical windows for the treatment of psychiatric disorders
Marín, O. (2016) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/nm.4225 · Cited by 374 · see citing works
Neural development, cell-cell signaling, and the “two-hit” hypothesis of schizophrenia
Maynard, T. M., Sikich, L., Lieberman, J. A., & LaMantia, A.-S. (2001) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.schbul.a006887 · Cited by 383 · see citing works
Self-citationKishimoto, T., Hagi, K., Kurokawa, S., Kane, J. M., & Correll, C. U. (2021) · The Lancet Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/s2215-0366(21)00039-0 · Cited by 369 · see citing works
Molecular aspects of glutamate dysregulation: implications for schizophrenia and its treatment
Konradi, C., & Heckers, S. (2003) · Pharmacology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1016/s0163-7258(02)00328-5 · Cited by 336 · see citing works
Guidelines for the Pharmacotherapy of Schizophrenia in Adults
Remington, G., Addington, D., Honer, W., Ismail, Z., Raedler, T., & Teehan, M. (2017) · The Canadian Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1177/0706743717720448 · Cited by 332 · see citing works
Medication Adherence: A Review of the Literature and Implications for Clinical Practice
Julius, R. J., Novitsky, M. A., & Dubin, W. R. (2009) · Journal of Psychiatric Practice · doi:10.1097/01.pra.0000344917.43780.77 · Cited by 301 · see citing works
Clinical predictors of therapeutic response to antipsychotics in schizophrenia
Carbon, M., & Correll, C. U. (2014) · Dialogues in Clinical Neuroscience · doi:10.31887/dcns.2014.16.4/mcarbon · Cited by 257 · see citing works
Royal Australian And New Zealand College Of Psychiatrists Clinical Practice Guidelines Team For The Treatment Of Schizophrenia And Related Disorders (2005) · Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1080/j.1440-1614.2005.01516.x · Cited by 435 · see citing works
Wunderink, L., Nienhuis, F. J., Sytema, S., Slooff, C. J., Knegtering, R., & Wiersma, D. (2007) · The Journal of Clinical Psychiatry · doi:10.4088/jcp.v68n0502 · Cited by 234 · see citing works
GUMLEY, A., O'GRADY, M., MCNAY, L., REILLY, J., POWER, K., & NORRIE, J. (2003) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291703007323 · Cited by 229 · see citing works
Correll, C. U., Kim, E., Sliwa, J. K., Hamm, W., Gopal, S., Mathews, M., Venkatasubramanian, R., & Saklad, S. R. (2021) · CNS Drugs · doi:10.1007/s40263-020-00779-5 · Cited by 205 · see citing works
Tiihonen, J., Tanskanen, A., & Taipale, H. (2018) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2018.17091001 · Cited by 196 · see citing works
Kaplan, G., Casoy, J., & Zummo, J. (2013) · Patient Preference and Adherence · doi:10.2147/ppa.s53795 · Cited by 201 · see citing works
Kishimoto, T., Hagi, K., Nitta, M., Leucht, S., Olfson, M., Kane, J. M., & Correll, C. U. (2018) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sbx090 · Cited by 186 · see citing works
Barkhof, E., Meijer, C. J., de Sonneville, L. M. J., Linszen, D. H., & de Haan, L. (2012) · European Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.eurpsy.2011.02.005 · Cited by 183 · see citing works
Harvey, P. D., Rabinowitz, J., Eerdekens, M., & Davidson, M. (2005) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.162.10.1888 · Cited by 161 · see citing works
A Method for Tapering Antipsychotic Treatment That May Minimize the Risk of Relapse
Horowitz, M. A., Jauhar, S., Natesan, S., Murray, R. M., & Taylor, D. (2021) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sbab017 · Cited by 157 · see citing works
Chen, E. Y. H., Hui, C. L. M., Lam, M. M. L., Chiu, C. P. Y., Law, C. W., Chung, D. W. S., Tso, S., Pang, E. P. F., Chan, K. T., Wong, Y. C., et al. (2010) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.c4024 · Cited by 151 · see citing works
Shiraishi, N., & Reilly, J. (2019) · Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s00127-018-1617-8 · Cited by 142 · see citing works
Shared decision making for psychiatric medication management: beyond the micro‐social
Morant, N., Kaminskiy, E., & Ramon, S. (2016) · Health Expectations · doi:10.1111/hex.12392 · Cited by 129 · see citing works
Chen, E. Y.-H., Hui, C. L.-M., Dunn, E. L.-W., Miao, M. Y.-K., Yeung, W.-S., Wong, C.-K., Chan, W.-F., & Tang, W.-N. (2005) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2005.02.020 · Cited by 123 · see citing works
Leucht, S., Priller, J., & Davis, J. M. (2024) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.20240738 · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Amann, L. C., Gandal, M. J., Lin, R., Liang, Y., & Siegel, S. J. (2010) · Pharmaceutical Research · doi:10.1007/s11095-010-0152-4 · Cited by 99 · see citing works
Cohen, A., Naslund, J. A., Chang, S., Nagendra, S., Bhan, A., Rozatkar, A., Thirthalli, J., Bondre, A., Tugnawat, D., Reddy, P. V., et al. (2023) · Schizophrenia · doi:10.1038/s41537-023-00332-5 · Cited by 90 · see citing works
Lencz, T., Bilder, R. M., Turkel, E., Goldman, R. S., Robinson, D., Kane, J. M., & Lieberman, J. A. (2003) · Archives of General Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/archpsyc.60.3.238 · Cited by 89 · see citing works
Self-citationEisner, E., Drake, R. J., Berry, N., Barrowclough, C., Emsley, R., Machin, M., & Bucci, S. (2019) · JMIR mHealth and uHealth · doi:10.2196/11568 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
BURTON, S. C. (2005) · Journal of Psychiatric Practice · doi:10.1097/00131746-200511000-00003 · Cited by 68 · see citing works
Long‐acting injectable antipsychotics in early psychosis: a literature review
Emsley, R., Chiliza, B., Asmal, L., Mashile, M., & Fusar‐Poli, P. (2013) · Early Intervention in Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/eip.12027 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Meyer, N., Kerz, M., Folarin, A., Joyce, D. W., Jackson, R., Karr, C., Dobson, R., & MacCabe, J. (2018) · JMIR mHealth and uHealth · doi:10.2196/mhealth.8292 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Kimura, H., Kanahara, N., Komatsu, N., Ishige, M., Muneoka, K., Yoshimura, M., Yamanaka, H., Suzuki, T., Komatsu, H., Sasaki, T., et al. (2014) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2014.02.022 · Cited by 55 · see citing works
Allan, S., Bradstreet, S., Mcleod, H., Farhall, J., Lambrou, M., Gleeson, J., Clark, A., EMPOWER Group, & Gumley, A. (2019) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/14366 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Yildiz, M., Veznedaroglu, B., Eryavuz, A., & Kayahan, B. (2004) · International Journal of Psychiatry in Clinical Practice · doi:10.1080/13651500410005595 · Cited by 51 · see citing works
Geerts, P., Martinez, G., & Schreiner, A. (2013) · BMC Psychiatry · doi:10.1186/1471-244x-13-58 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Fikreyesus, M., Soboka, M., & Feyissa, G. T. (2016) · BMC Psychiatry · doi:10.1186/s12888-016-1076-2 · Cited by 48 · see citing works
Fear of recurrence: Results of a randomized trial of relapse detection in schizophrenia
Gumley, A. I., MacBeth, A., Reilly, J. D., O'Grady, M., White, R. G., McLeod, H., Schwannauer, M., & Power, K. G. (2015) · British Journal of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1111/bjc.12060 · Cited by 46 · see citing works
Service Engagement in First Episode Psychosis: Clinical and Premorbid Correlates
MacBeth, A., Gumley, A., Schwannauer, M., & Fisher, R. (2013) · Journal of Nervous & Mental Disease · doi:10.1097/nmd.0b013e31828e0e19 · Cited by 43 · see citing works
Hard, M. L., Mills, R. J., Sadler, B. M., Wehr, A. Y., Weiden, P. J., & von Moltke, L. (2017) · CNS Drugs · doi:10.1007/s40263-017-0447-7 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Thompson, A., Winsper, C., Marwaha, S., Haynes, J., Alvarez-Jimenez, M., Hetrick, S., Realpe, A., Vail, L., Dawson, S., & Sullivan, S. A. (2018) · BJPsych Open · doi:10.1192/bjo.2018.17 · Cited by 44 · see citing works
Drake, R. J., Nordentoft, M., Haddock, G., Arango, C., Fleischhacker, W. W., Glenthøj, B., Leboyer, M., Leucht, S., Leweke, M., McGuire, P., et al. (2015) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/sbv015 · Cited by 42 · see citing works
Alene, M., Wiese, M. D., Angamo, M. T., Bajorek, B. V., Yesuf, E. A., & Wabe, N. T. (2012) · BMC Clinical Pharmacology · doi:10.1186/1472-6904-12-10 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Using Acceptance and Commitment Therapy With People With Psychosis
Bloy, S., Oliver, J. E., & Morris, E. (2011) · Clinical Case Studies · doi:10.1177/1534650111420863 · Cited by 29 · see citing works
Endale Gurmu, A., Abdela, E., Allele, B., Cheru, E., & Amogne, B. (2014) · Advances in Psychiatry · doi:10.1155/2014/475812 · Cited by 28 · see citing works
The Cost of Relapse for Patients with a Manic/Mixed Episode of Bipolar Disorder in the EMBLEM Study
Hong, J., Reed, C., Novick, D., Haro, J. M., Windmeijer, F., & Knapp, M. (2010) · PharmacoEconomics · doi:10.2165/11535200-000000000-00000 · Cited by 26 · see citing works
Liu, C.-C., & Takeuchi, H. (2020) · CNS Drugs · doi:10.1007/s40263-019-00682-8 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
Morton, N. K., & Zubek, D. (2013) · Journal of Psychosocial Nursing and Mental Health Services · doi:10.3928/02793695-20130215-01 · Cited by 16 · see citing works
Wilson, R. P., Patel, R., & Bhattacharyya, S. (2017) · Early Intervention in Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/eip.12311 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Thaman, P., Kulig, C. E., & Greer, D. (2024) · Journal of Clinical Psychopharmacology · doi:10.1097/jcp.0000000000001810 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
- Authors
- Robinson, D., Woerner, M. G., Alvir, J. M. J., Bilder, R., Goldman, R., Geisler, S., Koreen, A., Sheitman, B., Chakos, M., Mayerhoff, D., & Lieberman, J. A.
- Affiliations
- Long Island Jewish Medical Center (US)
- Yeshiva University (US)
- Stony Brook University (US)
- Venue
- Archives of General Psychiatry
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 1999-03-01
- Volume
- 56
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 241
- ISSN
- 0003-990X (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2154849243
- Cited by
- 1,327
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 40 · 2025: 38 · 2024: 41 · 2023: 32 · 2022: 45 · 2021: 81 · 2020: 57 · 2019: 49 · 2018: 44 · 2017: 44 · 2016: 67 · 2015: 62 · 2014: 66 · 2013: 75 · 2012: 74
- FWCI
- 14.50
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Archives of General Psychiatry (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health (5r01mh041646-07)
- National Institute of Mental Health (MH41960, MH00537, MH41646)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Schizophrenia research and treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Bipolar Disorder and Treatment
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › Philosophy › Mental Health and Psychiatry
- Keywords
- schizophrenia, schizoaffective disorder, first-episode psychosis, relapse, relapse risk factors, long-term antipsychotic treatment, residual symptoms, treatment response
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Female, Fluphenazine, Follow-Up Studies, Hallucinations, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Neuropsychological Tests, Patient Compliance, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Complications, Probability, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Psychotic Disorders, Risk Factors, Schizophrenia, Schizophrenic Psychology, Severity of Illness Index, Sex Factors, Antipsychotic Agents, Cohort Studies, Treatment Outcome, Secondary Prevention
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review