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Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is life-threatening organ dysfunction due to a dysregulated host response to infection. It is considered a major cause of health loss, but data for the global burden of sepsis are limited. As a syndrome caused by underlying infection, sepsis is not part of standard Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimates. Accurate estimates are important to inform and monitor health policy interventions, allocation of resources, and clinical treatment initiatives. We estimated the global, regional, and national incidence of sepsis and mortality from this disorder using data from GBD 2017. METHODS: We used multiple cause-of-death data from 109 million individual death records to calculate mortality related to sepsis among each of the 282 underlying causes of death in GBD 2017. The percentage of sepsis-related deaths by underlying GBD cause in each location worldwide was modelled using mixed-effects linear regression. Sepsis-related mortality for each age group, sex, location, GBD cause, and year (1990-2017) was estimated by applying modelled cause-specific fractions to GBD 2017 cause-of-death estimates. We used data for 8·7 million individual hospital records to calculate in-hospital sepsis-associated case-fatality, stratified by underlying GBD cause. In-hospital sepsis-associated case-fatality was modelled for each location using linear regression, and sepsis incidence was estimated by applying modelled case-fatality to sepsis-related mortality estimates. FINDINGS: In 2017, an estimated 48·9 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 38·9-62·9) incident cases of sepsis were recorded worldwide and 11·0 million (10·1-12·0) sepsis-related deaths were reported, representing 19·7% (18·2-21·4) of all global deaths. Age-standardised sepsis incidence fell by 37·0% (95% UI 11·8-54·5) and mortality decreased by 52·8% (47·7-57·5) from 1990 to 2017. Sepsis incidence and mortality varied substantially across regions, with the highest burden in sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, south Asia, east Asia, and southeast Asia. INTERPRETATION: Despite declining age-standardised incidence and mortality, sepsis remains a major cause of health loss worldwide and has an especially high health-related burden in sub-Saharan Africa. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the National Institutes of Health, the University of Pittsburgh, the British Columbia Children's Hospital Foundation, the Wellcome Trust, and the Fleming Fund.
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In the citing paper
“A clear relationship can be seen – the poorest nations, all former European colonies, have the highest sepsis incidence”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
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In the citing paper
“This approach follows the methods validated by many studies on the epidemiology of sepsis26, 27, 28, 29 and was used by Rudd and colleagues.10”
From Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050 (2024) · cites this paper as [10]
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In the citing paper
“Previously published global estimates reported a 53% decline in age-standardised sepsis-related deaths from 1990 to 2017.10”
From Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050 (2024) · cites this paper as [10]
In the citing paper
“8.2 million of the 11.1 million sepsis deaths worldwide that year occurred in low and middle income nations”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
In the citing paper
“more people in middle and low income nations die of sepsis per incident than in wealthy nations”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
In the citing paper
“The majority of the world's sepsis burden is borne by the least wealthiest nations, most former European colonies.”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
In the citing paper
“Worldwide, the bulk of sepsis burden falls on marginalized peoples (Gracey & King, 2009; Rudd et al., 2020).”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
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RISK FACTORS FOR MULTI ORGAN DYSFUNCTION SYNDROME IN SEPSIS AMONG CHILDREN
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“It has been estimated that approximately 48.9 million cases of sepsis were diagnosed and 11.0 million sepsis-related deaths occurred worldwide in 2017 (3).”
InfluentialKarmacharya, A., Pokhrel, S., Sharma, D., Khadka, C., Pradhan, N., & Phuyal, N. (2026) · Medical Journal of Eastern Nepal · doi:10.3126/mjen.v5i01.96385
“According to data released in 2020, there were 11 million sepsis-related fatalities and 48.9 million cases globally, accounting for 20% of all deaths [4].”
InfluentialDündar, N. B., Sarphie, D., Yüce, K., Aygencel, G., Türkoğlu, M., Mian, R., Moss, P. A. H., ILHAN, M. N., & Bozdayı, G. (2026) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2026.1829226
Thorkildsen, M. S., Gustad, L. T., Åsvold, B. O., Mohus, R. M., Ellervik, C., Teumer, A., Marouli, E., Medici, M., Damås, J. K., Flatby, H. M., et al. (2026) · Frontiers in Endocrinology · doi:10.3389/fendo.2026.1852413
Taneska, A. C., Trajceska, L., Petronijevik, Z., Kartalova, M. J., Boshevska, G., Gjorgjievski, N., & Selim, G. (2026) · International Journal of Artificial Organs · doi:10.1177/03913988261446104
Purba, A. F. M., Rusip, G., Mutia, M., & Lubis, Y. E. P. (2026) · Journal of Pharmacy and Science · doi:10.36490/journal-jps.com.v9i2.1647
“Despite substantial advances in antimicrobial therapy, resuscitation strategies, organ support, and intensive care management, sepsis remains a major global health problem associated with high morbidity, prolonged hospitalization, increased healthcare costs, and considerable mortality [3].”
Impact of altered HDL2b/HDL3 ratio on the function of innate immune cells in sepsis
Zhao, S.-B., Jiang, Y.-C., Lian, P.-Q., Ji, C., Huang, Z.-W., & Liu, X.-Y. (2026) · Lipids in Health and Disease · doi:10.1186/s12944-026-03005-1
“The epidemiology 2020 report showed that, in 2017, approximately tens of million cases of sepsis accounting for 20% of all global deaths occurred [36].”
ZBP1-driven pyroptosis-associated alveolar macrophages exacerbate epithelial dysfunction in sepsis
Zhou, F., Tian, H., Wang, H., Huang, H., Lin, X., Zhao, Y., Chen, H., & Gong, T. (2026) · Cell Death and Disease · doi:10.1038/s41419-026-09043-y
“Globally, an estimated 48.9 million annual sepsis cases and 11.0 million related deaths account for 19.7% of all global deaths [2].”
InfluentialWang, J., Huang, Y., Xie, Z., Yu, J., Xiao, L., Liu, X., Wang, Z., Zhu, J., Shen, M., & Xiao, L. (2026) · BMC Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1186/s12879-026-13795-5
“Within this cohort, the mortality rates were 11.93% for patients with hypertension and 11.33% for those without hypertension, which is consistent with findings from earlier studies [33].”
InfluentialRisk factors for sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Qin, C., Lin, S.-S., Pang, L.-S., Hu, M.-H., Ma, D., Zhou, Z.-Z., Xu, X.-J., & Ji, C. (2026) · Frontiers in Public Health · doi:10.3389/fpubh.2026.1790141
Wah, W., Poole, A. P., Campbell, L., Cohen, J., Cooper, J., Deane, A. M., Delaney, A., Eastwood, G., Finfer, S., French, C., et al. (2026) · The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific · doi:10.1016/j.lanwpc.2026.101912
Self-citationLe, M. N., Do, A., Pham, H. T., Nguyen, C., Cao, T., Nguyen, H., Vu, H. D., Nguyen, H. T., Nguyen, A. T., Dao, H. C., et al. (2026) · Antibiotics · doi:10.3390/antibiotics15070639
“Infections remain one of the leading causes of neonatal morbidity and mortality, particularly in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs), where sepsis-attributable neonatal mortality rates vary from 10 to 29% [1,2].”
Age but not sex modifies lymphoid immune responses in murine sepsisPreprint
Wang, D., Rodhouse, C. E., Tang, H., Hernández-Ríos, M., Yu, X., Wu, R., Wiggins, W. B., Dirain, M., Ungaro, R., Nacionales, D. C., et al. (2026) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-9751570/v1
“This places a massive economic and societal burden on patients, families, and healthcare systems 3 .”
Blood-based targeted sequencing of microbial cell-free DNA in severe pneumonia-associated sepsis
Huang, H., Ye, X., Gu, D., Huang, E., Yu, X. H., Ai, L., Deng, J., Guo, P., Liu, H., Chen, Y., et al. (2026) · Respiratory Research · doi:10.1186/s12931-026-03786-0
“Sepsis is a life-threatening syndrome of dysregulated host response to infection and remains a leading cause of death worldwide [1–3].”
Tang, Y.-J., Liu, H.-Y., Li, N.-Q., Zhang, X., Lin, Y.-L., Zhang, Y., Li, Y., Deng, J.-L., Yang, P.-L., Meng, Q.-M., et al. (2026) · Clinical and Translational Medicine · doi:10.1002/ctm2.70726
“4,5 Despite extensive research efforts, the current management of sepsis-induced AKI (S-AKI) remains largely supportive, and no targeted therapies have demonstrated consistent clinical efficacy.”
Interhospital Transfers in ICU- and Non-ICU-Treated Sepsis Patients in Germany Between 2016 and 2019
Fleischmann-Struzek, C., Ruhnke, T., Freytag, A., Dutschkus, F., Kochanek, M., Swart, E., Dröge, P., Dennler, U., Pletz, M., & Rose, N. (2026) · Critical Care Explorations · doi:10.1097/cce.0000000000001412
Self-citationWang, H., Zhang, Y., Ouyang, A., Wang, T., Hou, H.-D., Hou, H.-F., & Chen, B. (2026) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2026.1826457
Gupta, S. V., Pottmeyer, I., Mischler, N., Moulin, E., Williams, R. L., Meylan, S., & Shieh, L. (2026) · BMJ Innovations · doi:10.1136/bmjinnov-2025-001548
Hwang, J.-E., Shim, H., Park, M., Kim, Y.-K., Bae, W., Cho, S.-H., Chung, I.-J., & Sun, E.-G. (2026) · Cell Death Discovery · doi:10.1038/s41420-026-03198-5
“Despite advances in critical care, sepsis remains one of the leading causes of death worldwide, accounting for nearly 20% of global mortality [3].”
Kato, A., Saito, M., Miyazaki, H., Kearney, B. M., Nakashima, M., Nakashima, H., Koyama, K., & Kinoshita, M. (2026) · Intensive Care Medicine Experimental · doi:10.1186/s40635-026-00931-3
“Advances in intensive care and evidence-based guidelines have improved the short-term survival of patients with sepsis, particularly in high-income settings [1].”
Multinational collaborations in critical care research: feasible and useful?
Salluh, J., Pisani, L., Moralez, G., & Myatra, S. N. (2026) · Current Opinion in Critical Care · doi:10.1097/mcc.0000000000001406
Chen, M.-Y., Liu, Y., Liu, C.-C., Li, Y.-R., Li, H., Yue, S., Xu, P., Hu, Y., Han, P., Wang, Y., et al. (2026) · Developmental and Comparative Immunology · doi:10.1016/j.dci.2026.105664
Tripathy, S., Das, S., & Ansari, M. E. (2026) · Indian Pediatrics · doi:10.1007/s13312-026-00370-z
“The highest incidence of sepsis and related mortality is seen in children aged 0–5 years [1].”
Chen, J.-B., Zhang, J.-Q., Yan, Z.-Z., Zhu, C.-Y., Chen, X.-N., Sun, Z.-Q., Li, Q., & Chen, Z.-X. (2026) · Respiratory Research · doi:10.1186/s12931-026-03764-6
“The lung is an organ particularly susceptible to sepsis, and more than half of septic patients develop acute lung injury (ALI) [2, 3].”
Combining machine learning and physiological network models for sepsis prediction
Backes, J., Tsanda, A., Knopp, T., Renz, W., & Schöll, E. (2026) · Frontiers in Network Physiology · doi:10.3389/fnetp.2026.1852577
“Nearly 20% of all deaths worldwide and approximately 11 million deaths annually stem from sepsis, a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection (Rudd et al., 2020).”
Zhu, H., Hong, M., Hu, W., & Yu, Q.-Y. (2026) · Medicine · doi:10.1097/md.0000000000049392
“Subsequent literature review revealed that the top upregulated DEGs, CD177 , [15,16] and the top downregulated DEGs, ALOX15 , [17–20] are associated with the coagulation system.”
Long-term ozone exposure and the risk of mortality in sepsis patients in a Chinese cohort
Xiao, W., Zhu, Y., Chen, F., Cao, Y., Jiang, Y., & Zhu, Y. (2026) · Frontiers in Public Health · doi:10.3389/fpubh.2026.1782393
Li, D., Yue, Z., & Zhen, G.-S. (2026) · Inhalation Toxicology · doi:10.1080/08958378.2026.2687782
“Sepsis, defined as a dysregulated host response to infection resulting in life-threatening organ dysfunction, remains a paramount global health challenge, contributing to substantial morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs (Rudd et al. 2020; Singer et al. 2016).”
Sepsis prognosis in the emergency department: assessment of shock indices, SOFA, qSOFA, and lactate
Akpinar, G., Bulut, S. P., Ozsemerci, H. A., Kose, A., Doğan, S., Basıbuyuk, A. E., Yılmaz, A., & Hamitoglu, M. (2026) · International Journal of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12245-026-01264-4
“Sepsis is defined as a life-threatening organ dysfunction resulting from the body’s disordered response to infection and is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide [1, 2].”
Lin, P.-C., Chang, C.-L., Chang, S.-W., Tang, H.-F., Liu, C., Yu, Y.-M., Chung, Y.-H., & Chu, F. (2026) · Journal for Healthcare Quality · doi:10.1097/jhq.0000000000000531
Zheng, Y., Gao, J., Hua, T., Dong, W., & Yang, M. (2026) · Renal Failure · doi:10.1080/0886022x.2026.2677246 · Cited by 2
“Sepsis remains a major challenge in critical care medicine worldwide, accounting for approximately 20% of global deaths [1,2]. acute kidney injury (aKi) is one of the most frequent and severe complications of sepsis, and over 70% of patients with sepsis develop aKi [3,4], Multiple…”
Boujanian, C., Khoury, C. A., Chaar, M. E., Saliba, R., Hanna, L., & Tokajian, S. (2026) · Microbiology spectrum · doi:10.1128/spectrum.00503-26
“by BSIs, was estimated to contribute to approximately 11 million deaths, accounting for nearly 20% of all global mortality (1).”
Carneiro, D. D. C., Meira, C., Dias, R. B., Rocha, V. P. C., Damasceno, P. K., Barbosa, J., & Soares, M. B. P. (2026) · Stem cell research & therapeutics · doi:10.1186/s13287-026-05093-3
“Risk groups include elderly people, neonates, immunocompromised individuals (e.g., cancer patients, HIV/AIDS, transplant recipients), and critically ill patients undergoing invasive procedures, long-time hospitalization and/or prolonged antibiotic use [26].”
Kart, K., Kuşat, T., Başak, F., & Kara, M. (2026) · Bratislavské lekárske listy/Bratislava medical journal · doi:10.1007/s44411-026-00702-2
“Sepsis remains one of the leading causes of mortality in intensive care units worldwide and continues to represent a major global health problem despite advances in diagnostic and therapeutic approaches [2].”
Hincapié-Osorno, C., Jaimes, F., & Bouma, H. (2026) · Frontiers in Medicine · doi:10.3389/fmed.2026.1850281
Early versus delayed enteral nutrition in septic shock: a target trial emulation study
Zhang, P., Huang, Y., Zhang, X.-C., Zhu, X.-X., Wang, M., Xia, H., & Zuo, T. (2026) · Frontiers in Nutrition · doi:10.3389/fnut.2026.1831524
Böhm, E. W., Zadeh, J. K., Omran, W., Arad, T., Pfeiffer, N., Wagner, F. M., Patzak, A. R., Oelze, M. W., Daiber, A., Helmstädter, J., et al. (2026) · Frontiers in Pharmacology · doi:10.3389/fphar.2026.1778848
“Sepsis is a leading global health burden and is estimated to account for nearly 20% of all deaths worldwide (Levy et al., 2012; Rudd et al., 2020).”
Arbeláez-Rodríguez, R. S., Lopez-Marroquin, V., & Triana-Vidal, L. E. (2026) · Infectio · doi:10.22354/24223794.1291
Tran, N. D., Nguyen, N. T. Q., Vu, T. T. T., Diep, P.-H., Villescas, N. N., Nguyen, N. N. Y., Sato, K. M., Weiss, J., Doan, T. N. M., & Diep, B. A. (2026) · Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy · doi:10.1128/aac.01936-25
“E valuating new drugs targeting antimicrobial-resistant pathogens, such as Pseudomo nas aeruginosa , in clinical trials has proven particularly challenging for severe sepsis and septic shock, which are associated with high mortality rates (1).”
Microbial proteases and endothelial barrier disruption in sepsis: A neglected nexus
Rao, S. S. S. N., Shenoy, S. M., Gutti, R. K., Prabhu, V. K., Joshi, M. B., Nayak, U. Y., & Prasad, A. S. B. (2026) · Virulence · doi:10.1080/21505594.2026.2687236
“Globally, over 11 million deaths are caused by sepsis annually, reflecting the need to identify new pathogenic mechanisms and drug targets [6].”
Simsic, B., Ewin, T., Hennessy, J., Janson, S., Baird, R. W., & Meumann, E. M. (2026) · Journal of Clinical Microbiology · doi:10.1128/jcm.00311-26
“S epsis is a time-critical medical emergency requiring urgent treatment to reduce the high mortality, which is more than 20% (1–4).”
Prediction models for mortality in patients with sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Lei, S., Ruan, H., Wang, J., Zhao, G., Zhao, H., Liu, J., & Li, J. (2026) · Frontiers in Medicine · doi:10.3389/fmed.2026.1730156
“Globally, approximately 48.9 million cases of sepsis and 11 million sepsis-related deaths were recorded, accounting for 19.7% of all global deaths (4).”
InfluentialWang, L., Pei, F., Gu, B., Ramesh, N. T., Long, H., Guan, X., Wu, J. I. A. H. U. I., & Bhavani, S. V. (2026) · Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1097/ccm.0000000000007227
Metadata
- Authors
- Rudd, K. E., Johnson, S. C., Agesa, K. M., Shackelford, K. A., Tsoi, D., Kievlan, D. R., Colombara, D. V., Ikuta, K. S., Kissoon, N., Finfer, S., Fleischmann-Struzek, C., Machado, F. R., Reinhart, K. K., Rowan, K., Seymour, C. W., Watson, R. S., West, T. E., Marinho, F., Hay, S. I., Lozano, R., Lopez, A. D., Angus, D. C., Murray, C. J. L., & Naghavi, M.
- Affiliations
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- University of British Columbia (CA)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- Jena University Hospital (DE)
- Seattle Children's Hospital (US)
- Universidade de São Paulo (BR)
- Corresponding author
- Naghavi, Mohsen
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-01
- Volume
- 395
- Issue
- 10219
- Pages
- 200-211
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC6970225
- OpenAlex
- W2998853022
- Cited by
- 7,971
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1540 · 2025: 1722 · 2024: 1545 · 2023: 1195 · 2022: 899 · 2021: 735 · 2020: 329
- FWCI
- 567.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
- National Institutes of Health (T32HL007287, T32HL007820, R35GM119519)
- National Health and Medical Research Council (no 1117230)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Global Health and Epidemiology
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Neonatal and Maternal Infections
- Keywords
- sepsis, sepsis incidence, sepsis mortality, global burden of disease, case fatality, underlying cause of death, age-standardized incidence rate, temporal trends, regional variation, sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, hospital records, cause-specific mortality, health policy interventions, resource allocation, health loss, nosocomial infections, infection-related mortality, sepsis surveillance
- MeSH terms
- Global Burden of Disease, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cause of Death, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Socioeconomic Factors, Incidence, Age Distribution, Sex Distribution, Sepsis, Young Adult
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