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Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Sepsis is life-threatening organ dysfunction due to a dysregulated host response to infection. It is considered a major cause of health loss, but data for the global burden of sepsis are limited. As a syndrome caused by underlying infection, sepsis is not part of standard Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) estimates. Accurate estimates are important to inform and monitor health policy interventions, allocation of resources, and clinical treatment initiatives. We estimated the global, regional, and national incidence of sepsis and mortality from this disorder using data from GBD 2017. METHODS: We used multiple cause-of-death data from 109 million individual death records to calculate mortality related to sepsis among each of the 282 underlying causes of death in GBD 2017. The percentage of sepsis-related deaths by underlying GBD cause in each location worldwide was modelled using mixed-effects linear regression. Sepsis-related mortality for each age group, sex, location, GBD cause, and year (1990-2017) was estimated by applying modelled cause-specific fractions to GBD 2017 cause-of-death estimates. We used data for 8·7 million individual hospital records to calculate in-hospital sepsis-associated case-fatality, stratified by underlying GBD cause. In-hospital sepsis-associated case-fatality was modelled for each location using linear regression, and sepsis incidence was estimated by applying modelled case-fatality to sepsis-related mortality estimates. FINDINGS: In 2017, an estimated 48·9 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 38·9-62·9) incident cases of sepsis were recorded worldwide and 11·0 million (10·1-12·0) sepsis-related deaths were reported, representing 19·7% (18·2-21·4) of all global deaths. Age-standardised sepsis incidence fell by 37·0% (95% UI 11·8-54·5) and mortality decreased by 52·8% (47·7-57·5) from 1990 to 2017. Sepsis incidence and mortality varied substantially across regions, with the highest burden in sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, south Asia, east Asia, and southeast Asia. INTERPRETATION: Despite declining age-standardised incidence and mortality, sepsis remains a major cause of health loss worldwide and has an especially high health-related burden in sub-Saharan Africa. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the National Institutes of Health, the University of Pittsburgh, the British Columbia Children's Hospital Foundation, the Wellcome Trust, and the Fleming Fund.
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In the citing paper
“A clear relationship can be seen – the poorest nations, all former European colonies, have the highest sepsis incidence”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
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In the citing paper
“This approach follows the methods validated by many studies on the epidemiology of sepsis26, 27, 28, 29 and was used by Rudd and colleagues.10”
From Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050 (2024) · cites this paper as [10]
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“Previously published global estimates reported a 53% decline in age-standardised sepsis-related deaths from 1990 to 2017.10”
From Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050 (2024) · cites this paper as [10]
In the citing paper
“8.2 million of the 11.1 million sepsis deaths worldwide that year occurred in low and middle income nations”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
In the citing paper
“more people in middle and low income nations die of sepsis per incident than in wealthy nations”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
In the citing paper
“The majority of the world's sepsis burden is borne by the least wealthiest nations, most former European colonies.”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
In the citing paper
“Worldwide, the bulk of sepsis burden falls on marginalized peoples (Gracey & King, 2009; Rudd et al., 2020).”
From On race, human variation, and who gets and dies of sepsis (2022) · cites this paper as Rudd et al., 2020
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“Sepsis, a life-threatening organ dysfunction resulting from a dysregulated host response to infection, remains a major global health burden with an estimated 48.9 million cases and 11 million deaths in 2017 [1,2].”
InfluentialThe brain washing system in sepsis-associated encephalopathy
Chen, T., Hu, J., Liao, Y., Xie, S., & Zhang, L. (2025) · Journal of Neuroinflammation · doi:10.1186/s12974-025-03602-4 · Cited by 8
Kurul, Ş., Reijnierse, J. J., Koppens, H. J., Onland, W., Simons, S. H. P., Reiss, I. K. M., Taal, H. R., & Visser, D. H. (2024) · BMJ Paediatrics Open · doi:10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002884 · Cited by 10
Sulfated bile acid produced by a human gut commensal alleviates paediatric sepsis in mice
Liu, X., Zhang, H., Wang, Y.-Z., Tu, X., Wen, J., Lei, S., Liu, N., Wei, X., Li, Y., Li, Y., et al. (2026) · Nature Microbiology · doi:10.1038/s41564-026-02351-1 · Cited by 7
“Sepsis has been reported to be a major cause of morbidity, mortality and health care costs for children worldwide 1,38 .”
InfluentialBalanced Fluid or 0.9% Saline in Children Treated for Septic Shock
Balamuth, F., Weiss, S. L., Long, E., Thompson, G. C., Artis, A. S., Campos, A. B., Borland, M. L., Dalziel, S. R., Yock‐Corrales, A., Singh, R., et al. (2026) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2601969 · Cited by 12
Lactylation modification - a bridge between sepsis and macrophage metabolic reprogramming
Fang, Z., Zhu, G. S., Nie, D. Y., & Xu, B. (2026) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2026.1738765 · Cited by 7
Qin, W., Wang, H., Lv, K., Liu, S., Ma, T., Sang, S., & Chen, Y. (2026) · International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents · doi:10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2026.107786 · Cited by 10
Macrophage metabolism reprogramming in sepsis: Pathogenesis and therapeutic implications (Review)
Zhao, T., Zhang, W., Ren, Z., & Feng, X. (2026) · International Journal of Molecular Medicine · doi:10.3892/ijmm.2026.5823 · Cited by 7
Aga, O. N. L., Moyo, S. J., Manyahi, J., Kibwana, U. O., Löhr, I. H., Langeland, N., Blomberg, B., & Johnston, I. G. (2025) · bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · doi:10.1101/2025.09.20.677523 · Cited by 2
“The isolates were divided by country based on metadata, and countries were grouped into superregions as defined by the Global Burden of Disease regional classification system (Rudd et al., 2020).”
Qiu, Y., Bi, H., Xie, W., Zhao, J., Zhang, T., Fu, J., Liu, X., & Li, G. (2026) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2026.1779575 · Cited by 5
Lei, S., Ruan, H., Zhao, H., Feng, Z., Wang, J., Zhao, G., Liu, J., & Li, J. (2026) · Journal of Infection and Public Health · doi:10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103211 · Cited by 7
Machine learning predicts sepsis deterioration trajectories.
Zhang, R., Long, F., Zhao, Z., Wu, J., Tan, R., Xu, W., Li, L., Long, Y., & Qu, H. (2026) · NPJ Digital Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41746-026-02565-x · Cited by 6
“Theprocessbeganwith45candidate variablesidenti fi ed through literature review and expert consultation (Supplementary note 1 – 5).”
Brenner, T., Skarabis, A., Schaller, S. J., von Groote, T., Putensen, C., Guenther, U., Sauer, M., Decker, S., Dusse, F., Weiss, M., et al. (2026) · Intensive Care Medicine · doi:10.1007/s00134-026-08521-3 · Cited by 5
“With up to 50 million cases and ~ 11 million deaths annually, sepsis accounts for nearly 20% of worldwide deaths [2].”
The Dual Role of Interleukin-10 in Sepsis: Research Progress and Therapeutic Prospects
Wang, X., Huang, Q., Dai, J., Zhang, L., & Qian, Z. (2026) · Inflammation · doi:10.1007/s10753-026-02512-8 · Cited by 7
“Globally, sepsis remains a dominant driver of death and disability; the Global Burden of Disease analysis estimated 48.9 million incident cases and 11.0 million sepsis-related deaths in 2017, approaching one-fifth of all global deaths [2].”
InfluentialWang, L., Liu, S., Wang, X., Wu, H., Zhao, X., Wu, D., Wang, Q., Wang, P., Xu, Y., Shen, K., et al. (2026) · Journal of Nanobiotechnology · doi:10.1186/s12951-026-04368-4 · Cited by 4
“In 2017, approximately 49 million sepsis cases and more than 11 million sepsis-associated deaths were reported globally [2].”
Lin, W., Dong, C., Jiang, Q., Lou, Y., Wang, L., & He, Z. (2026) · Redox Report · doi:10.1080/13510002.2026.2657075 · Cited by 6
“A 2020 Global Burden of Disease report published in The Lancet estimated approximately 49 million cases of sepsis worldwide in 2017, with a sepsis-related mortality rate of about 22%, accounting for 19% of all global deaths [2].”
Song, R., Ma, Y.-R., Wan, J.-F., Hao, S., Chen, B., Liao, Y.-C., Liao, Y.-J., Xiao, Y.-Z., Zhang, X., Zhang, Z., et al. (2026) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · doi:10.1073/pnas.2510914123 · Cited by 5
“According to the World Health Organization, sepsis accounted for 48.9 million cases and 11 million deaths globally in 2020, representing 20% of all deaths worldwide (2).”
InfluentialPerformance of a Sepsis Prediction Model Across Different Sepsis Definitions
Dutta, S., McMurry, R., Tasi, M. C., Dunham, L. N., McEvoy, D. S., Stump, T., Filbin, M. R., & Rhee, C. (2026) · JAMA Network Open · doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.5599 · Cited by 6
Myatra, S. N., Boyer, K. M., Hidalgo, J. L., Maves, R. C., Acharya, S. P., Jacob, S. T., Kortz, T. B., Nadkarni, V. M., Cornejo, M. S. P., Pérez-Fernández, J., et al. (2026) · Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1097/ccm.0000000000007102 · Cited by 5
Self-citationLymphocyte function inhibition and exhaustion in sepsis: mechanisms and applications
Yan, Y., Wang, J., Wang, C., Tao, X., Cheng, P., Qin, J., & Niu, B. (2026) · Frontiers in Immunology · doi:10.3389/fimmu.2026.1619478 · Cited by 2
Mauriello, A., Correra, A., Maratea, A. C., Cetoretta, V., Giallauria, F., Esposito, G., Desiderio, A., Marrazzo, G., Liccardo, B., Russo, V., et al. (2026) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm15051953 · Cited by 7
Sejersen, K., Sütterlin, S., & Larsson, A. O. (2026) · Biomedicines · doi:10.3390/biomedicines14030694 · Cited by 4
Kumar, A., Kumar, A., Tyagi, A., Singh, R., & Charaya, M. U. (2026) · European Journal of Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1007/s10096-026-05577-3 · Cited by 5
“In severe cases, BSIs may progress to sepsis, a life-threatening condition characterized by dysregulated host responses and organ dysfunction [1, 15].”
Agentifying Patient Dynamics within LLMs through Interacting with Clinical World ModelPreprint
Wu, M., Yan, Y., Cai, Z., Ji, K., Fang, C., Sheng, Z., Wang, X., Wang, R., Zhang, H., Li, S., et al. (2026) · arXiv (Cornell University) · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2605.14723 · Cited by 8
“Sepsis remains a leading cause of mortality in Intensive Care Units (ICUs), presenting a major challenge in critical care medicine [1, 2, 3].”
Govender, K. N., Street, T. L., Sanderson, N. D., Leach, L., Morgan, M., & Eyre, D. W. (2026) · The Lancet Microbe · doi:10.1016/j.lanmic.2025.101333 · Cited by 3
Low-density neutrophil heterogeneity and spleen tyrosine kinase as therapeutic targets in sepsis
Teague, H., Knabe, L., da Cruz, R. S., Yao, X.-L., Allen, K., Williams, T., Demirkale, C., Woldehanna, M., Evans, E. H., Hobson, A., et al. (2026) · JCI Insight · doi:10.1172/jci.insight.201057 · Cited by 4
Zhang, Y., Kirchler, T., & Wang, A. (2026) · Journal of Medical Systems · doi:10.1007/s10916-026-02376-3 · Cited by 6
Badero, O. J., Omokore, O. A., Oore-ofe, O., Osibowale, B. T., Quadri, I. O., Olayinka, T. O., Olabode, D., Kalu, K. E., Adeyemi, A., Buari, M. O., et al. (2026) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.106312 · Cited by 5
“Equitable implementation in low-and middle-income countries remains essential to avoid widening global disparities [47].”
Wang, K., Xiong, H., Zhu, Y., Zhou, Y., & Kang, Y. (2026) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-026-46063-2 · Cited by 6
Gut microbiota and sepsis: mechanisms, clinical correlations, and therapeutic prospects
Yu, J., & Liu, X. (2026) · Frontiers in Medicine · doi:10.3389/fmed.2026.1793041 · Cited by 4
“…sepsis contributes directly or indirectly to approximately 5.3 million deaths annually, making it one of the leading causes of global mortality (6), Current therapeutic approaches face significant limitations, including antimicrobial resistance, the inability to reverse immunoparalysis, and…”
InfluentialYu, X.-R., Wang, H., Wang, J., Yuan, X., Zhou, X.-D., He, Q.-S., Владиславович, М. И., Sun, L., Dong, Y.-H., & Zou, Z. (2026) · Military Medical Research · doi:10.1016/j.mmr.2026.100002
“…deaths are defined according to the Sepsis-3 criteria as life-threatening organ dysfunction due to a dysregulated host response to infection [19] and are modeled based on Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death estimates [20] to identify deaths from infection in the causal pathway [21].”
Immune molecular mechanisms of PANoptosis in sepsis-induced acute kidney injury
Zheng, J., Lan, J., Zhao, Z.-Y., Luo, L., Zhang, X.-J., & Hu, Q. (2026) · Inflammation and Regeneration · doi:10.1186/s41232-026-00412-w · Cited by 3
“Worldwide, approximately 48.9 million sepsis cases are documented annually, leading to 11 million deaths and representing 19.7% of global mortality [2].”
InfluentialChen, L., Ren, R., Zhang, S., Zhu, J., Li, X., Zhang, X., Wu, X., Liu, B., Fang, Q., & Ruan, Z. (2026) · Free Radical Biology and Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.freeradbiomed.2026.03.016 · Cited by 5
Du, R., Pan, T., Wang, Y., Fan, Y., Liu, Q., Tao, X.-X., Guo, S., Tian, D., Foo, R., Xie, K.-L., et al. (2026) · Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy · doi:10.1038/s41392-026-02592-w · Cited by 4
Kim, T. E., Lee, J.-Y., Mun, C., Jeon, J., Yang, J.-Y., Lee, S.-H., Kang, H., Park, S.-G., & Lee, M.-Y. (2026) · Biosensors & bioelectronics · doi:10.1016/j.bios.2026.118577 · Cited by 4
Dong, Q. Z., Tao, J., Yuan, J., Tian, J., Cheng, Y., Wang, J., Xiao, C., Chen, X., Wang, Y., Li, W., et al. (2026) · Cellular Signalling · doi:10.1016/j.cellsig.2026.112574 · Cited by 2
Comorbidities and Inflammation: How Chronic Diseases Prime the Host Response in Sepsis
Miguel, M. V. O., Santos, R. M., de Oliveira, M. M., Pelosi, G. G., & de Freitas, A. (2026) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms27167395 · Cited by 2
“Sepsis remains a major challenge to global health, accounting for approximately 20% of all deaths worldwide [1,2].”
InfluentialKim, M., Khin, P. P., Jung, H., Chae, C. W., Jeon, B. H., & Kim, C. (2026) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms27135918 · Cited by 3
“A 2025 Global Burden of Disease analysis estimated 166 million sepsis cases and 21.4 million all-cause sepsis-related deaths worldwide in 2021, while earlier widely cited estimates for 2017 reported 48.9 million cases and 11.0 million sepsis-related deaths [3,4].”
InfluentialRapid diagnosis of sepsis and bloodstream infections
Wester, M., Lim, J.-S., Ghaderinia, M., Koprowski, K., Van, A. B., Heredia, J., White, K., Kumar, J. S., Valera, E., & Bashir, R. (2026) · Nature Reviews Bioengineering · doi:10.1038/s44222-026-00446-2 · Cited by 4
“The highest burden of sepsis occurs in low-income and middle-income countries 2 (Box 1).”
Gulia, H., Suhag, M., Bagal, N., Deshwal, P. R., Kumar, S. S., & Joshi, R. K. (2026) · Indian Journal of Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.5005/jp-journals-10071-25196 · Cited by 3
Metadata
- Authors
- Rudd, K. E., Johnson, S. C., Agesa, K. M., Shackelford, K. A., Tsoi, D., Kievlan, D. R., Colombara, D. V., Ikuta, K. S., Kissoon, N., Finfer, S., Fleischmann-Struzek, C., Machado, F. R., Reinhart, K. K., Rowan, K., Seymour, C. W., Watson, R. S., West, T. E., Marinho, F., Hay, S. I., Lozano, R., Lopez, A. D., Angus, D. C., Murray, C. J. L., & Naghavi, M.
- Affiliations
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- University of Washington (US)
- University of British Columbia (CA)
- UNSW Sydney (AU)
- Jena University Hospital (DE)
- Seattle Children's Hospital (US)
- Universidade de São Paulo (BR)
- Corresponding author
- Naghavi, Mohsen
- ORCID
- Venue
- The Lancet
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-01
- Volume
- 395
- Issue
- 10219
- Pages
- 200-211
- ISSN
- 0099-5355 (ISSN-L)
- 0140-6736
- PMC
- PMC6970225
- OpenAlex
- W2998853022
- Cited by
- 7,971
- References
- 42
- Citations by year
- 2026: 1540 · 2025: 1722 · 2024: 1545 · 2023: 1195 · 2022: 899 · 2021: 735 · 2020: 329
- FWCI
- 567.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- The Lancet (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
- National Institutes of Health (T32HL007287, T32HL007820, R35GM119519)
- National Health and Medical Research Council (no 1117230)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Global Health and Epidemiology
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health › Neonatal and Maternal Infections
- Keywords
- sepsis, sepsis incidence, sepsis mortality, global burden of disease, case fatality, underlying cause of death, age-standardized incidence rate, temporal trends, regional variation, sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, hospital records, cause-specific mortality, health policy interventions, resource allocation, health loss, nosocomial infections, infection-related mortality, sepsis surveillance
- MeSH terms
- Global Burden of Disease, Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cause of Death, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Socioeconomic Factors, Incidence, Age Distribution, Sex Distribution, Sepsis, Young Adult
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