Genome flux and stasis in a five millennium transect of European prehistory
Open accessAbstract
The Great Hungarian Plain was a crossroads of cultural transformations that have shaped European prehistory. Here we analyse a 5,000-year transect of human genomes, sampled from petrous bones giving consistently excellent endogenous DNA yields, from 13 Hungarian Neolithic, Copper, Bronze and Iron Age burials including two to high (~22 × ) and seven to ~1 × coverage, to investigate the impact of these on Europe’s genetic landscape. These data suggest genomic shifts with the advent of the Neolithic, Bronze and Iron Ages, with interleaved periods of genome stability. The earliest Neolithic context genome shows a European hunter-gatherer genetic signature and a restricted ancestral population size, suggesting direct contact between cultures after the arrival of the first farmers into Europe. The latest, Iron Age, sample reveals an eastern genomic influence concordant with introduced Steppe burial rites. We observe transition towards lighter pigmentation and surprisingly, no Neolithic presence of lactase persistence.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
A 5,000-year genomic transect of 13 ancient individuals from the Great Hungarian Plain shows shifts in genomic affinity at the Neolithic, Bronze and Iron Age transitions, with intervening Neolithic stasis. Petrous bone yielded high endogenous DNA, and imputation of low-coverage genomes revealed pigmentation changes and a surprisingly late appearance of lactase persistence.
Key findings
- Petrous bone endogenous DNA yields ranged from 37.4 to 85.4%, exceeding teeth by 4- to 16-fold and other bones by up to 183-fold; other skeletal elements yielded 0.3–20.7% human non-clonal DNA.
- Of 13 individuals sequenced, two were high coverage (22.1× and 21.3×), seven were ~1×, and four were ~0.1×; PCA showed genomic shifts coinciding with cultural shifts and bracketing a 2,800-year period of Neolithic stasis.
- The earliest Neolithic Körös sample KO1 fell toward hunter-gatherer variation, was a blue-eyed male with Y-chromosome haplogroup I2a, and showed a restricted ancestral population size; contemporaneous KO2 clustered with later Neolithic individuals. Bronze Age genomes BR1 and BR2 fell among modern Central European genotypes, while Iron Age IR1 shifted toward Eastern Eurasian/Caucasus populations with mtDNA N and Y-chromosome G2a1.
- The light pigmentary variant of SLC24A5 was present from the earliest samples and homozygous from the Middle Neolithic; SLC45A2 first appeared as a homozygote in the Copper Age; lactase persistence was absent throughout 10 Neolithic/Copper Age stages and appeared only in the later Bronze Age individual, ~1,000 BC. Imputation from 1× coverage called ~80% of loci at a 0.99 threshold with ~99% match to high-coverage calls.
Methods
- The study analysed 23 samples from 13 ancient individuals from Eastern Hungary, directly dated from the Early Neolithic (~5,700 cal BC) to the pre-Scythian Iron Age (~800 cal BC), and compared petrous bone with dental, rib, metacarpal and metatarsal elements within individuals.
- DNA was extracted, converted into libraries, screened on Illumina MiSeq and sequenced on Illumina HiSeq; reads were mapped to GRCh37 and mtDNA, with authenticity assessed via damage patterns, negative controls, mtDNA contamination and X-chromosome contamination in males.
- Analyses included PCA with Procrustes transformation against 552 modern individuals from Europe, Caucasus and the Near East, ADMIXTURE/NgsAdmix, runs of homozygosity, imputation using the 1,000 Genomes Project phased reference, and genotype inspection at pigmentation and lactase persistence loci.
Limitations
- Stated in the paper: low endogenous DNA in most archaeological bones is a major constraint; imputation may be sensitive to biases among SNPs as to which are imputable, and samples more divergent from reference populations may impute with lesser accuracy; bias against heterozygous calls and ancient haplotypes absent from reference genomes may impede imputed analyses.
- Evident from the text: the temporal shifts rest on small numbers per period, including only two Bronze Age genomes and a single Iron Age genome, with uneven coverage and reliance on imputation for most low-coverage samples.
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Claims the paper makes
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- Findingown data
The affinity to Southern Mediterranean individuals persists through nine successive time points in the data, including a diversity of Neolithic cultures.
“This affinity persists through nine successive time points in our data, including a diversity of Neolithic cultures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The oldest sample, Körös Neolithic KO1, falls towards the hunter-gatherer vicinity of the PCA plot despite its early Neolithic farming context.
“Despite its early Neolithic farming context, this genome falls towards the hunter-gatherer vicinity of the PCA plot (Fig. 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Neolithic genomes all cluster with affinity to Southern Mediterranean individuals, particularly Sardinians.
“Our Neolithic genomes all cluster with affinity to Southern Mediterranean individuals, particularly Sardinians, echoing the results of previous direct analyses of European Neolithic and post-Neolithic genomes268.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [268]
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
The two Bronze Age samples BR1 and BR2 fall among modern Central European genotypes.
“Our two Bronze Age samples, BR1 (1,980–2,190 cal BC) and BR2 (1,110–1,270 cal BC) fall among modern Central European genotypes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The single Iron Age genome IR1 shows a distinct shift towards Eastern Eurasian genotypes, specifically in the direction of several Caucasus population samples.
“The single Iron Age genome, sampled from the pre-Scythian Mezőcsát Culture (Iron Age (IR1), 830–980 cal BC), shows a distinct shift towards Eastern Eurasian genotypes, specifically in the direction of several Caucasus population samples within the reference data set.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
Endogenous DNA yields from a further seven petrous bones from Hungary remained exceptionally and consistently high.
“We extended this sampling to a further seven petrous bones from Hungary and yields of endogenous DNA remained exceptionally and consistently high (Supplementary Table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Sample KO2, contemporaneous to KO1 and from a Neolithic Körös Culture site only ~70 km distant, clusters with later Neolithic individuals.
“In contrast, sample KO2, which is contemporaneous to KO1 (5,570–5,710 cal BC) and also from a Neolithic Körös Culture site only ~70 km distant, clusters with later Neolithic individuals (Fig. 2 and Supplementary Fig. 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
No ancient genome in the analysis showed a clear excess of long runs of homozygosity (>1.6 Mb).
“Unlike a small subset of modern genomes, no ancient genome in our analysis showed a clear excess of long runs of homozygosity (ROH) (>1.6 Mb), suggesting each to have been outbred.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
PCA shows clear shifts in the genomic affinities of the ancient genotypes coinciding with cultural shifts and bracketing a 2,800-year period of Neolithic stasis.
“This analysis shows clear shifts (including two within multi-phased archaeological sites) in the genomic affinities of the ancient genotypes coinciding with cultural shifts and bracketing a 2,800 year period of Neolithic stasis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
KO1 was a blue-eyed male.
“The outlying Neolithic individual, KO1, was a blue-eyed male (Fig. 3)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
At least for Europeans, imputation of 1× genome coverage sequences can give genome-wide diploid calls for ~80% of genome-wide SNPs at ~99% accuracy.
“We also show that, at least for Europeans, imputation of 1 × genome coverage sequences can give genome-wide diploid calls for ~80% of genome-wide SNPs, at ~99% accuracy, greatly leveraging their information content.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
ADMIXTURE analysis reaffirmed the clustering and temporal shifts in affinity observed in the PCA visualization.
“These data were used in an ADMIXTURE analysis29, which reaffirmed the clustering and temporal shifts in affinity observed in the PCA visualization (Fig. 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] Alexander, D. H., Novembre, J. & Lange, K. Fast model-based estimation of ancestry in unrelated individuals. Genome Res. 19, 1655–1664 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingcitation
KO1's Y-chromosome lineage I2a matches the only haplogroup reported to date in Mesolithic Central and Northern Europeans (n=6).
“his Y-chromosome lineage, I2a, matches the only haplogroup reported to date in Mesolithic Central and Northern Europeans58 (n=6).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58]
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingcitation
High mtDNA diversity was observed during the Neolithic period.
“In contrast, we observe high mtDNA diversity during this period, as previously observed in Central Europe23.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] Brandt, G. et al. Ancient DNA reveals key stages in the formation of central european mitochondrial genetic diversity. Science 342, 257–261 (2013). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
The selected variant at TYRP1 shows some tendency to higher prevalence in later samples.
“The selected variant at a third pigmentary locus with a proposed adaptive history in Europe, TYRP1, also shows some tendency to higher prevalence in later samples.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
The Neolithic genomes reported here show an immigrant signature of Southern Mediterranean affinity, consistent with prior German, Scandinavian and Alpine early farmer genomes.
“The Neolithic genomes reported here accord with prior German, Scandinavian and Alpine early farmer genomes in showing an immigrant signature of Southern Mediterranean affinity2568.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2568]
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
A single individual within the Körös culture, part of the earliest Neolithic of Southern Europe, has a strongly Mesolithic genomic signature.
“However, an intriguing finding is that of a single individual with a strongly Mesolithic genomic signature within the context of the Körös culture, part of the earliest Neolithic of Southern Europe.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The high percentages of human DNA indicate very good preservation in all samples.
“The high percentages of human DNA point to very good preservation in all samples.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The lactase persistence allele remains absent throughout the 10 Neolithic/Copper Age stages of the transect.
“this variant remains absent throughout the 10 Neolithic/Copper Age stages of our transect.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the Middle and Late Hungarian Neolithic, local Mesolithic influence is discernible through the appearance of mtDNA and Y-chromosome haplogroups typical of European hunter-gatherer populations.
“In the Middle and Late Hungarian Neolithic local Mesolithic influence is further discernible through the appearance of mtDNA and Y-chromosome haplogroups typical of European hunter-gatherer populations”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
A temporal transition towards lighter pigmentation is also seen with hair, with colours and shades estimated from SNPs grading from black/dark brown in earlier samples to light brown and dark blonde in later individuals.
“This temporal transition towards lighter pigmentation is also seen with hair where colours and shades estimated from SNPs used in the forensic Hirisplex system grade from black/dark brown in earlier samples to light brown and dark blonde in later individuals (Fig. 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The single pre-Scythian IR1 genome shows a shift.
“The single pre-Scythian IR1 genome shows another shift”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The samples show a tendency towards lighter pigmentation through and after the Neolithic.
“Our samples show a tendency towards lighter pigmentation through and after the Neolithic.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The high-coverage ancient Neolithic genome NE1 falls outside PCA clusters of the 1,000 Genomes reference individuals, along with KO1 and IR1.
“our high-coverage ancient Neolithic genome, NE1, falls outside PCA clusters of the 1,000 Genomes reference individuals, along with our KO1 and IR1 samples (Supplementary Fig. 8).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The lactase persistence allele's appearance is delayed until the more recent Bronze Age individual, who lived only ~1,000 years BC.
“Here in our temporal sequence, its appearance is delayed until the more recent of our Bronze Age individuals, who lived only ~1,000 years BC.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The Bronze Age genomes shift towards an affinity to Central Europe.
“In contrast, the Bronze Age genomes shift towards an affinity to Central Europe”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The archaeological record indicates increased technological and typological affinities with Steppe cultures at this time, including the importation of horse riding, carts, chariots and metallurgical techniques.
“This is supported by the archaeological record which indicates increased technological and typological affinities with Steppe cultures at this time, including the importation of horse riding, carts, chariots and metallurgical techniques26.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] Cunliffe, B. Europe Between the Oceans: 9000 Bc-Ad 1000 Yale University Press (2011).
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
These two Bronze Age genomes represent the oldest genomic data sampled to date with clear Central European affinities.
“These two Bronze Age genomes represent the oldest genomic data sampled to date with clear Central European affinities.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The IR1 result, supported by mtDNA and Y-chromosome haplogroups N and G2a1 with Asian affinities, suggests genomic influences from the East.
“This result, supported by mtDNA and Y-chromosome haplogroups (N and G2a1, respectively, both with Asian affinities) suggests genomic influences from the East.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The marked genomic dichotomy between KO1 and KO2 suggests direct contact between indigenous hunter-gatherers and Neolithic communities.
“This marked genomic dichotomy between KO1 and KO2 suggests direct contact between indigenous hunter-gatherers and Neolithic communities as suggested previously2822.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2822]
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
Each ancient genome in the analysis was outbred.
“Unlike a small subset of modern genomes, no ancient genome in our analysis showed a clear excess of long runs of homozygosity (ROH) (>1.6 Mb), suggesting each to have been outbred.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The temporal transect suggests separate selective sweeps at SLC24A5 and SLC45A2, acting over a millennium apart.
“Our temporal transect suggests separate selective sweeps at these two pigmentary loci, acting over a millennium apart.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The high density of the petrous bone results in reduced bacterial and chemical-mediated post-mortem DNA decay.
“We suggest that the high density17 of the petrous bone results in reduced bacterial and chemical-mediated post-mortem DNA decay.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] Lam, Y. M., Chen, X. & Pearson, O. M. Intertaxonomic Variability in patterns of bone density and the differential representation of Bovid, Cervid, and Equid Elements in the Archaeological record. Am. Antiq. 64, 343–362 (1999). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
The appearance of hunter-gatherer haplogroups in the Middle and Late Hungarian Neolithic concurs with other evidence for admixture in the ancestry of European farmers.
“concurring with other evidence for admixture in the ancestry of European farmers582223.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites 582223
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Selection on the lactase persistence variant was driven by dairying.
“Selection on this variant was undoubtedly driven by dairying, but despite evidence for milk residues in ceramic vessels from a Körös context in the 6th millenium BC (ref. 36) this variant remains absent throughout the 10 Neolithic/Copper Age stages of our transect.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [35] Sabeti, P. C. et al. Genome-wide detection and characterization of positive selection in human populations. Nature 449, 913–918 (2007). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [36] Craig, O. E. et al. Did the first farmers of central and eastern Europe produce dairy foods? Antiquity 79, 882–894 (2005). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
The IR1 shift indicates migration from the East.
“towards migration from the East.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Shifts in genome affinity between archaeological periods reflect substantial migrations.
- Study design and conductown data
In PCA and ROH plots of imputed genotypes from 0.5×, 1× and 2.5× coverage samples of NE1 and BR2, the positions from each replicate were highly similar to those generated from high-coverage SNP calls.
“In both PCA and ROH plots of genotypes from these, the positions from each replicate were highly similar to those generated from high-coverage SNP calls (Supplementary Figs 6 and 7).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The Bronze Age shift towards Central European affinity suggests migratory influence from the North.
“suggesting migratory influence from the North.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Shifts in genome affinity between archaeological periods reflect substantial migrations.
- Interpretationown data
The similarity of the Copper Age sample to Neolithic genomes is in accordance with archaeological continuity in the region.
“in accordance with archaeological continuity in the region.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
There is evidence for milk residues in ceramic vessels from a Körös context in the 6th millennium BC.
“despite evidence for milk residues in ceramic vessels from a Körös context in the 6th millenium BC (ref. 36)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] Craig, O. E. et al. Did the first farmers of central and eastern Europe produce dairy foods? Antiquity 79, 882–894 (2005). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Wilde et al. found intermediate frequencies for SLC45A2 in ancient Ukrainian Eneolithic and Early Bronze Age samples.
“Wilde et al.32 also found intermediate frequencies for SLC45A2 in ancient Ukranian Eneolithic and Early Bronze Age samples.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] Wilde, S. et al. Direct evidence for positive selection of skin, hair, and eye pigmentation in Europeans during the last 5,000 y. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 111, 4832–4837 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Altogether, the results accord with archaeological perspectives that link these major transitions in European material culture to population movements rather than cultural diffusion alone.
“Altogether, our results accord with archaeological perspectives that link these major transitions in European material culture to population movements rather than cultural diffusion alone.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Archaeological perspectives that link major transitions in European material culture to population movements rather than cultural diffusion alone are correct.
- Rests on an assumption: Shifts in genome affinity between archaeological periods reflect substantial migrations.
- Interpretationreasoning
These changes in material culture were accompanied by substantial migrations.
“strongly implying that these changes in material culture were accompanied by substantial migrations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Shifts in genome affinity between archaeological periods reflect substantial migrations.
- Interpretationown data
This individual is the earliest genetic indication of contact between Mesolithic and Neolithic subsistence strategies.
“This is the earliest genetic indication of contact between these two subsistence strategies.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The absence of the lactase persistence allele until the late Bronze Age, ~1,000 years BC, suggests a more recent dating of this episode in European genome history.
“Its absence here until the late Bronze Age, ~1,000 years BC, suggests a more recent dating of this extremely interesting episode in the dynamic history of European genomes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 20
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 7
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataEndogenous DNA yields from petrous bone samples exceeded those from teeth by 4- to 16-fold and from other bones up to 183-fold.
“The endogenous DNA yields from the petrous samples exceeded those from the teeth by 4- to 16-fold and those from other bones up to 183-fold.”
- Also stated in: § The petrous bone and differential DNA yields · plain
“while other skeletal elements yielded human, non-clonal DNA contents ranging from 0.3 to 20.7%, the levels for petrous bones ranged from 37.4 to 85.4% (Fig. 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § The petrous bone and differential DNA yields · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataImputation from 1× coverage of BR2 allowed 80.0% of loci to be called at a 0.99 threshold, with 99.33% match to high-coverage calls.
“With the more recent BR2 genome, imputation from 1 × coverage allowed 80.0% of loci to be called at a 0.99 thereshold with 99.33% (99.05% of heterozygotes) match to high-coverage calls.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe light pigmentary variant of SLC24A5 is present from the earliest samples and is homozygous from the Middle Neolithic onwards.
“Of two skin pigmentation loci known to have swept to fixation during European prehistory3233, the light pigmentary variant of SLC24A5 is present from the earliest of our samples and is homozygous from the Middle Neolithic onwards”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3233]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataA clear temporal trend was evident in the extent of ROH, especially shorter ROH, with Bronze Age and IR1 individuals falling within the bulk of modern values, Neolithic specimens tending towards the upper end, and KO1 forming a clear outlier.
“However, a clear temporal trend was evident in the extent of ROH, especially shorter ROH, with the Bronze Age and IR1 individuals falling within the bulk of modern values, Neolithic specimens tending towards the upper end of this range and the Early Neolithic Körös specimen, KO1 forming a clear outlier.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataImputation of a 1× sample of NE1 at a genotype probability threshold of 0.99 retained 78% of loci, and 99.20% of imputed genotypes matched high-coverage calls.
“Considering an imputed 1 × sample of NE1 and imposing a genotype probability threshold of 0.99, 78% of these loci remained, with diminishing return from increasing coverage in the subsample (Supplementary Fig. 5). Of the imputed genotypes, 99.20% (99.18% of heterozygotes) matched the observed high-coverage calls, validating this approach for expanding our data (Supplementary Figs 5–9).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [27] Pasaniuc, B. et al. Extremely low-coverage sequencing and imputation increases power for genome-wide association studies. Nat. Genet. 44, 631–635 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [28] 1000 Genomes Project Consortium. et al. An integrated map of genetic variation from 1,092 human genomes. Nature 491, 56–65 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe genomic stasis of the Neolithic was interrupted during the third millennium BC, coinciding with the onset of the Bronze Age.
“The genomic stasis of the Neolithic is subsequently interrupted during the third millennium BC coinciding with the onset of the Bronze Age.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe samples span a diversity of archaeological cultures and show evidence for major shifts in genome affinity accompanying the advents of the Neolithic, Bronze and Iron Ages.
“We investigated samples across a diversity of archaeological cultures and show evidence for major shifts in genome affinity accompanying the advents of the Neolithic, Bronze and Iron Ages”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationThe Copper Age (Baden Culture) sample shows similarity to Neolithic genomes, similar to the Tyrolean Copper Age iceman.
“Similar to the Tyrolean Copper Age iceman6 our Copper Age (Baden Culture) sample shows similarity to Neolithic genomes”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [6] Keller, A. et al. New insights into the Tyrolean Iceman’s origin and phenotype as inferred by whole-genome sequencing. Nat. Commun. 3, 698 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataAll individuals have been directly dated, spanning from the Early Neolithic (~5,700 cal BC) to the IR1 (~800 cal BC).
“All individuals have been directly dated, spanning from the Early Neolithic (~5,700 cal BC) to the IR1 (~800 cal BC)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe light pigmentary variant of SLC45A2 only appears towards the later half of the transect, with the first homozygote genotype in the Copper Age.
“whereas the light pigmentary variant of SLC45A2 only appears towards the later half of our transect with the first homozygote genotype in the Copper Age (Fig. 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe authenticity of the ancient DNA data was assessed, with damage patterns consistent with ancient DNA, high genotype concordance between replicate extractions and libraries, and consistently low contamination estimates.
“We strictly assessed the authenticity of the data. The sequence reads show damage patterns consistent with ancient DNA (Supplementary Fig. 3) and replicate extractions and library preparations in a separate laboratory gave extremely high genotype concordance (>99%) for the two high-coverage genomes (Supplementary Methods). Further, contamination estimates (mean±s.d.) derived from negative controls”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataAll analyzed individuals were from defined archaeological contexts and were directly radiocarbon dated.
“All analyzed individuals are from defined archaeological contexts from the onset of agriculture in this region during the Early Neolithic Körös period through to the pre-Scythian Iron Age and were directly radiocarbon dated (Table 1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningModern Hungarians occupy an intermediate position between IR1 and more Western Bronze Age genomes, most likely reflecting the continuation of admixture in the Central European gene pool since this time.
“Modern Hungarians occupy an intermediate position between the IR1 and more Western Bronze Age genomes, most likely reflecting the continuation of admixture in the Central European gene pool since this time.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe ROH trend suggests an unusually restricted ancestral population size for KO1, supporting the inference that he represents an exogenous individual in a farming settlement.
“This suggests an unusually restricted ancestral population size for KO1 (we note that low heterozygosity was also found within a 8,000 year old hunter-gatherer from Luxembourg5), supporting the inference that he represents an exogenous individual in a farming settlement.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5] Lazaridis, I. et al. Ancient human genomes suggest three ancestral populations for present-day Europeans. Nature 513, 409–413 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationBoth SLC24A5 and SLC45A2 exhibited an ancestral homozygous state in Mesolithic specimens of Central and Western Europe, while SLC24A5 had the derived state in a Central European Neolithic individual.
“Both SLC24A5 and SLC45A2 exhibited an ancestral homozygous state in Mesolithic specimens of Central5 and Western Europe7, while SLC24A5 had the derived state in a Central European Neolithic individual5.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [5] Lazaridis, I. et al. Ancient human genomes suggest three ancestral populations for present-day Europeans. Nature 513, 409–413 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Olalde, I. et al. Derived immune and ancestral pigmentation alleles in a 7,000-year-old Mesolithic European. Nature 507, 225–228 (2014). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenGenotype likelihoods were reset to 0.3333 for any genotype that could have derived from a deaminated cytosine residue.
“Genotype likelihoods were also reset to 0.3333 for any genotype that could have derived from a deaminated cytosine residue.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe potential of whole genome imputation to infer diploid genotypes from low-coverage genomes was evaluated by randomly subsampling high-coverage genomes (NE1 and BR2) to coverages from 0.1 to 5×.
“We evaluated the potential of whole genome imputation to infer diploid genotypes from low-coverage genomes by randomly subsampling our high-coverage genomes (NE1 and BR2) to a series of coverages ranging from 0.1 to 5 × using SAMtools45”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] Li, H. et al. The sequence alignment/map (SAM) format and SAMtools. Bioinformatics 25, 2078–2079 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenAll stages of genetic analysis up to library amplification were carried out in dedicated ancient DNA facilities at Trinity College Dublin, with standard precautions to avoid contamination.
“All stages of the genetic analysis, up to the library amplification set-up, were carried out in dedicated ancient DNA facilities at Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. Standard precautions to avoid contamination were taken, including wearing coveralls, mask, hair cover, shoe covers and double gloves.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataContamination was controlled and estimated by independent replication, sequencing of negative controls, estimation of molecular damage and sequence length, mtDNA contamination estimates, and X chromosome contamination estimates in males.
“contamination was further controlled and estimated by: (a) independent replication, (b) sequencing of negative controls, (c) estimation of molecular damage and sequence length, (d) mtDNA contamination estimates and (e) X chromosome contamination estimates in males”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenOther methods may be sensitive to biases among SNPs as to which are imputable, and samples of higher divergence from the reference populations may impute with lesser accuracy.
“It is important to note, though, that other methods may be sensitive to biases among SNPs as to which are imputable and that samples of higher divergence from the reference populations may impute with lesser accuracy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThree pigmentation SNPs display European-specific selective sweeps presumed to facilitate vitamin D synthesis and estimated as having occurred within the last 11,000-19,000 years.
“In particular we examined three pigmentation SNPs that display European-specific selective sweeps that are presumed to facilitate vitamin D synthesis and estimated as having occurred within the last 11,000–19,000 years33.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [33] Beleza, S. et al. The timing of pigmentation lightening in Europeans. Mol. Biol. Evol. 30, 24–35 (2012). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe strongest dietary adaptive signal in the human genome is the highly structured global distribution and extended homozygosity around the lactase persistence allele in European genomes.
“The strongest dietary adaptive signal in the human genome is the highly structured global distribution and extended homozygosity around the lactase persistence allele in European genomes35.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] Sabeti, P. C. et al. Genome-wide detection and characterization of positive selection in human populations. Nature 449, 913–918 (2007). source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAbsence of the lactase persistence allele has been reported before from Neolithic specimens.
“Absence of the lactase persistence allele has been reported before from Neolithic specimens3738, although the selective sweep has been modelled as originating between Central Europe and the Balkans ~4–6,000 years BC (ref. 34).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3738]
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe pigmentation sweeps occurred more recently, within the time depth of the transect, with SLC24A5 showing the earliest fixation (~5,000 BC), while SLC45A2 and TYRP1 were not found in homozygous individuals until the Late Neolithic (~4,000-3,000 BC).
“We surmise that these sweeps occurred more recently, within the time depth of our transect, with SLC24A5 showing the earliest fixation (~5,000 BC), while SLC45A2 and TYRP1 were not found in homozygous individuals until the Late Neolithic (~4,000–3,000 BC).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe selective sweep for lactase persistence has been modelled as originating between Central Europe and the Balkans ~4-6,000 years BC.
“although the selective sweep has been modelled as originating between Central Europe and the Balkans ~4–6,000 years BC (ref. 34).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [34] Itan, Y., Powell, A., Beaumont, M. A., Burger, J. & Thomas, M. G. The origins of lactase persistence in Europe. PLoS Comput. Biol. 5, e1000491 (2009). source
Not checked in the free run.
The paper relies on this without support.
No diachronic series has yet investigated temporal genome-wide dynamics within a defined European region.
“Although no diachronic series has yet investigated temporal genome-wide dynamics within a defined European region”
The paper relies on this without support.
In prior analyses, hunter-gatherers' genomes have fallen outside the range of modern European variation, while farmers' samples showed an affinity to Southern Europeans, particularly present-day Sardinians.
“in prior analyses hunter-gatherers’ genomes have fallen outside the range of modern European variation, while farmers’ samples showed an affinity to Southern Europeans, particularly present-day Sardinians.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The Great Hungarian Plain is a region of high archaeological significance for major European cultural transitions.
“a region of high archaeological significance for major European cultural transitions”
The paper relies on this without support.
Archaeological perspectives that link major transitions in European material culture to population movements rather than cultural diffusion alone are correct.
“Altogether, our results accord with archaeological perspectives that link these major transitions in European material culture to population movements rather than cultural diffusion alone.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Shifts in genome affinity between archaeological periods reflect substantial migrations.
“strongly implying that these changes in material culture were accompanied by substantial migrations.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Petrous bones are known to yield up to one hundred times more DNA than other skeletal elements.
“Of the samples that produced working data, all but one came from petrous bones, which are known to yield up to one hundred times more DNA than other skeletal elements (Gamba et al., 2014; Pinhasi et al., 2015, 2019).”
From The Genomic History of the Bronze Age Southern Levant (2020) · cites this paper as Gamba et al., 2014
The Results section (‘The petrous bone and differential DNA yields’) supports substantially higher endogenous DNA yields from petrous bones than from other skeletal elements. It reports up to 183-fold higher yields than other bones, however, rather than the claimed upper figure of 100-fold. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe inner ear region of the petrous bone can yield up to ~100 times more endogenous DNA than other skeletal elements.
“First, we sampled from the inner ear region of the petrous bone3,4 that can yield up to ~100 times more endogenous DNA than other skeletal elements4.”
From Genomic insights into the origin of farming in the ancient Near East (2016) · cites this paper as [3]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Conflicting dates for the Late Neolithic
MinorThe paper dates the local Late Neolithic to approximately 5,000-4,500 cal BC in one passage, but dates the Late Neolithic to approximately 4,000-3,000 BC in another. The stated ranges do not overlap.
“Locally, it developed into the Late Neolithic (ca. 5,000–4,500 cal BC) Lengyel culture.”
“SLC45A2 and TYRP1 were not found in homozygous individuals until the Late Neolithic (~4,000–3,000 BC)”
KO1 conflicts with the claim that all Neolithic genomes cluster with Southern Mediterranean individuals
MinorThe paper says all its Neolithic genomes cluster with Southern Mediterranean individuals, but describes the Neolithic KO1 genome as falling toward hunter-gatherers instead of clustering with the later Neolithic individuals.
“Our Neolithic genomes all cluster with affinity to Southern Mediterranean individuals, particularly Sardinians”
“Despite its early Neolithic farming context, this genome falls towards the hunter-gatherer vicinity of the PCA plot (Fig. 2). In contrast, sample KO2, which is contemporaneous to KO1 (5,570–5,710 cal BC) and also from a Neolithic Körös Culture site only ~70 km distant, clusters with later Neolithic individuals”
Four pigmentation genes claimed, but only three are identified
MinorThe Methods say SNPs were examined in four genes implicated in pigmentation, then identify three pigmentation genes and a fourth gene associated with lactase persistence.
“We examined SNPs in four genes implicated in pigmentation and which have been suggested to have undergone selective sweeps in European prehistory (Fig. 3).”
“Genotypes were imputed for three pigmentation genes (SLC24A5, SLC45A2, associated with skin colour, and TYRP1, associated with iris and hair pigmentation) in which three SNPs (rs1426654, rs16891982 and rs2733831, respectively) have been specifically selected in Europeans, and the lactase persistence gene in Europeans associated with the T allele at SNP rs4988235”
The first SLC45A2 homozygote is assigned to two different periods
MinorThe Results place the first homozygote for the light-pigmentation SLC45A2 variant in the Copper Age, whereas the Discussion says SLC45A2 was not found in a homozygous individual until the Late Neolithic.
“the light pigmentary variant of SLC45A2 only appears towards the later half of our transect with the first homozygote genotype in the Copper Age”
“SLC45A2 and TYRP1 were not found in homozygous individuals until the Late Neolithic (~4,000–3,000 BC)”
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Ancient Genomics of Modern Humans: The First Decade
Skoglund, P., & Mathieson, I. (2018) · Annual Review of Genomics and Human Genetics · doi:10.1146/annurev-genom-083117-021749 · Cited by 246 · see citing works
Ancient Cattle Genomics, Origins, and Rapid Turnover in the Fertile Crescent
Verdugo, M. P., Mullin, V. E., Scheu, A., Mattiangeli, V., Daly, K. G., Maisano Delser, P., Hare, A. J., Burger, J., Collins, M. J., Kehati, R., et al. (2019) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aav1002 · Cited by 227 · see citing works
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Joint estimates of heterozygosity and runs of homozygosity for modern and ancient samples
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Human evolution: a tale from ancient genomes
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The Genomic History of the Bronze Age Southern Levant
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Self-citationAssessing DNA sequence alignment methods for characterizing ancient genomes and methylomes
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Quantifying and reducing spurious alignments for the analysis of ultra-short ancient DNA sequences
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The Genomic Natural History of the Aurochs
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- Authors
- Gamba, C., Jones, E. R., Teasdale, M. D., McLaughlin, R. L., Gonzalez-Fortes, G., Mattiangeli, V., Domboróczki, L., Kővári, I., Pap, I., Anders, A., Whittle, A., Dani, J., Raczky, P., Higham, T. F. G., Hofreiter, M., Bradley, D. G., & Pinhasi, R.
- Affiliations
- University College Dublin (IE)
- Trinity College Dublin (IE)
- United States Army (US)
- Hungarian Natural History Museum (HU)
- Eötvös Loránd University (HU)
- Cardiff University (GB)
- Deri Muzeum (HU)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- University of Potsdam (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Bradley, Daniel G
- Pinhasi, Ron
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2014-10-21
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 5257-5257
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4218962
- OpenAlex
- W2093478783
- Cited by
- 667
- References
- 53
- Citations by year
- 2026: 37 · 2025: 45 · 2024: 47 · 2023: 60 · 2022: 56 · 2021: 74 · 2020: 55 · 2019: 65 · 2018: 71 · 2017: 74 · 2016: 46 · 2015: 34 · 2014: 2
- FWCI
- 34.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- ELTE Digital Institutional Repository (EDIT) (Eötvös Loránd University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- ORCA Online Research @Cardiff (Cardiff University) (submittedVersion)
- publish.UP (University of Potsdam) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Institutional Research Information System University of Ferrara (University of Ferrara) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Irish Research Council for the Humanities and Social Sciences
- Science Foundation Ireland (12/ERC/B2227)
- Irish Research Council
- Natural Environment Research Council (NRCF010002)
- FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (295729, 263441)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Forensic and Genetic Research
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Genetic diversity and population structure
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Archaeology and ancient environmental studies
- Keywords
- Great Hungarian Plain, Neolithic, Bronze Age, Iron Age, Chalcolithic, hunter-gatherers, Neolithic farmers, Steppe ancestry, pigmentation, lactase persistence, population structure, European prehistory
- MeSH terms
- Ethnicity, Europe, Genetics, Population, Genotype, Homozygote, Humans, Phenotype, Population Density, Skin Pigmentation, Time Factors, Genome, Human, Sequence Analysis, DNA, Genomics, Principal Component Analysis, Genomic Instability, White People, History, Ancient
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Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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