Cited by 139Computational Drug Discovery MethodsTelomeres, Telomerase, and SenescenceMachine Learning in Materials Science

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 85 of the 86 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 20 of the 60 sources its claims cite were checked for support.

Discovery of senolytics using machine learning

Open access

Abstract

Cellular senescence is a stress response involved in ageing and diverse disease processes including cancer, type-2 diabetes, osteoarthritis and viral infection. Despite growing interest in targeted elimination of senescent cells, only few senolytics are known due to the lack of well-characterised molecular targets. Here, we report the discovery of three senolytics using cost-effective machine learning algorithms trained solely on published data. We computationally screened various chemical libraries and validated the senolytic action of ginkgetin, periplocin and oleandrin in human cell lines under various modalities of senescence. The compounds have potency comparable to known senolytics, and we show that oleandrin has improved potency over its target as compared to best-in-class alternatives. Our approach led to several hundred-fold reduction in drug screening costs and demonstrates that artificial intelligence can take maximum advantage of small and heterogeneous drug screening data, paving the way for new open science approaches to early-stage drug discovery.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

A machine-learning pipeline trained solely on published senolytic data screened 4,340 compounds and identified three senolytics—ginkgetin, periplocin, and oleandrin—validated in human cell models of oncogene- and therapy-induced senescence. Oleandrin showed improved potency over benchmark cardiac glycosides, while the approach reduced experimental screening by more than 200-fold.

Key findings

  • The training set contained 2,523 compounds, including 58 positives (2.3%), featurized with 200 RDKit physicochemical descriptors reduced to 165 features; XGBoost gave the best performance, with average precision 0.7 ± 0.16 in 5-fold cross-validation and an average false discovery rate of 30%.
  • Screening 4,340 compounds from the L2100 TargetMol Anticancer and L3800 Selleck FDA-approved & Passed Phase libraries yielded 21 compounds with P > 44% (0.4% of the library); experimental validation confirmed three senolytics—ginkgetin, oleandrin, and periplocin—for a hit confirmation rate of 14.28%.
  • In oncogene-induced senescence (IMR90 ER:RAS), IC50 values were 85 nM control vs 14 nM senescent for oleandrin, 300 nM vs 24 nM for periplocin, and 26 μM vs 2.6 μM for ginkgetin; in therapy-induced senescence (A549), IC50 values were 19.5 nM vs 5.4 nM, 267 nM vs 72.2 nM, and 10.4 μM vs 5.7 μM, respectively.
  • At 10 nM, oleandrin significantly reduced senescent cell content, inhibited the Na+/K+ ATPase target, and induced NOXA mRNA, showing improved senolytic performance over ouabain; the method reduced the number of compounds for experimental screening by more than 200-fold.

Methods

  • Positives were mined from published senolytic reports and a commercial patent; negatives came from LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280. Compounds were represented by 200 RDKit physicochemical descriptors, reduced to 165 features, and classified with SVM, random forest, XGBoost, and other models using 5-fold cross-validation.
  • The selected XGBoost model, trained on a 70:30 stratified split, was used to computationally screen 4,340 compounds; the top 21 with prediction scores P > 44% were selected for experimental validation.
  • Validation used IMR90 ER:RAS cells with 4-OHT (100 nM) for oncogene-induced senescence and A549 cells with etoposide (100 μM) for therapy-induced senescence, with nuclei counts, dose-response IC50 fitting, crystal violet survival, caspase-3/7 activity, intracellular K+ measurement, and RT-qPCR for NOXA, p16, p21, and cytokines.

Limitations

  • The paper states that feature selection and model/hyperparameter selection used the full dataset, so the 30% held-out performance metrics are over-optimistic; applying those steps only to the 70% training split would have reduced positives to 41 and made model selection less reliable.
  • The paper states that negatives were assumed to lack senolytic action because negative screening results are rarely published, risking mislabeled compounds; the data are severely imbalanced, heterogeneous, and the models generally showed poor common classification metrics with many false positives and false negatives.
  • The paper states that oleandrin and related cardiac glycosides have toxicity concerns, a narrow therapeutic range, and cardiotoxicity, so systemic use should be considered cautiously; further animal-model validation is needed. Evident from the text: validation was in vitro in two cell lines, with no in vivo efficacy or safety data reported.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1038/s41467-023-39120-1

Cites

85 of 85 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

20 of 60 cited sources checked · 18 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured

  • Premisecitation

    Certain senolytics that work well for one cell type are highly toxic against other non-senescent cell types.

    “certain senolytics that work well for one cell-type are highly toxic against other non-senescent cell-types19,24.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source

      The Results report that fisetin is senolytic in HUVECs but not in the other cell types tested, supporting cell-type-specific effectiveness. The Discussion says nonsenescent cells may be affected at higher concentrations, with apoptosis only at still higher concentrations. It does not show that a senolytic is highly toxic to another nonsenescent cell type at a concentration where it works as a senolytic. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [24] Li, W., He, Y., Zhang, R., Zheng, G. & Zhou, D. The curcumin analog EF24 is a novel senolytic agent. Aging 11, 771–782 (2019). source
  • Premisecitation

    Removal of senescent cells has been linked to adverse effects due to blockage of their beneficial roles in processes such as wound healing and liver function.

    “removal of senescent cells has also been linked to some adverse effects due to blockage of their beneficial roles in processes such as wound healing and liver function21,22.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [21] Demaria, M. et al. An essential role for senescent cells in optimal wound healing through secretion of PDGF-AA. Dev. Cell 31, 722–733 (2014). source

      The Results section (‘Elimination of Senescent Cells Delays Cutaneous Wound Healing’; page unavailable) reports that removing senescent cells delayed wound closure in mice. The paper also discusses senescent cells limiting fibrosis after liver injury, but it does not report an effect of their removal on liver function. (LLM, conf=0.88)

      Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
    • cites [22] Grosse, L. et al. Defined p16 senescent cell types are indispensable for mouse healthspan. Cell Metab. 32, 87–99.e6 (2020). source
  • Premisecitation

    To date there are few known compounds with proven senolytic action.

    “Despite encouraging results, to date there are few known compounds with proven senolytic action11–19,23–28”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim8 of 10 sources checked
    • cites [11] Fuhrmann-Stroissnigg, H. et al. Identification of HSP90 inhibitors as a novel class of senolytics. Nat. Commun. 8, 422 (2017). source
    • cites [12] Guerrero, A. et al. Galactose-modified duocarmycin prodrugs as senolytics. Aging Cell. 19, e13133 (2020). source
    • cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
    • cites [14] Senolytic compounds. Patent no. 20200121620, (2018).

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [15] Triana-Martínez, F. et al. Identification and characterization of Cardiac Glycosides as senolytic compounds. Nat. Commun. 10, 4731 (2019). source
    • cites [16] Yosef, R. et al. Directed elimination of senescent cells by inhibition of BCL-W and BCL-XL. Nat. Commun. 7, 11190 (2016). source
    • cites [17] Yousefzadeh, M. J. et al. Fisetin is a senotherapeutic that extends health and lifespan. EBioMedicine 36, 18–28 (2018). source
    • cites [18] Zhu, Y. et al. The Achilles’ heel of senescent cells: from transcriptome to senolytic drugs. Aging Cell. 14, 644–658 (2015). source
    • cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source
    • cites [23] Lafontaine, J. et al. Senolytic targeting of Bcl-2 anti-apoptotic family increases cell death in irradiated sarcoma cells. Cancers https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers13030386 (2021). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Findingown data

    The training data comprised 58 previously identified senolytics mined from 15 sources.

    “We assembled a list of 58 previously identified senolytics mined from 15 sources11–19,23–28 (Fig. 1b).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim8 of 10 sources checked
    • cites [11] Fuhrmann-Stroissnigg, H. et al. Identification of HSP90 inhibitors as a novel class of senolytics. Nat. Commun. 8, 422 (2017). source
    • cites [12] Guerrero, A. et al. Galactose-modified duocarmycin prodrugs as senolytics. Aging Cell. 19, e13133 (2020). source
    • cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
    • cites [14] Senolytic compounds. Patent no. 20200121620, (2018).

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

    • cites [15] Triana-Martínez, F. et al. Identification and characterization of Cardiac Glycosides as senolytic compounds. Nat. Commun. 10, 4731 (2019). source
    • cites [16] Yosef, R. et al. Directed elimination of senescent cells by inhibition of BCL-W and BCL-XL. Nat. Commun. 7, 11190 (2016). source
    • cites [17] Yousefzadeh, M. J. et al. Fisetin is a senotherapeutic that extends health and lifespan. EBioMedicine 36, 18–28 (2018). source
    • cites [18] Zhu, Y. et al. The Achilles’ heel of senescent cells: from transcriptome to senolytic drugs. Aging Cell. 14, 644–658 (2015). source
    • cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source
    • cites [23] Lafontaine, J. et al. Senolytic targeting of Bcl-2 anti-apoptotic family increases cell death in irradiated sarcoma cells. Cancers https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers13030386 (2021). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Findingown data

    The hit confirmation rate for the 21 tested candidate compounds was 14.28%.

    “We then tested the 21 candidate compounds and found three with clear senolytic action: periplocin and oleandrin, two cardiac glycosides which have not been previously identified as senolytics, and ginkgetin, a natural non-toxic biflavone; this amounts to a hit confirmation rate of 14.28% (Fig. 3c, d and Supplementary Fig. 4c).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one. 44
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 32
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The authors developed and validated a machine learning pipeline for the discovery of senolytics.

    “Here, we report the development and validation of a machine learning pipeline for the discovery of senolytics.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    In both replicative senescence in IMR90 cells and A549 TIS, oleandrin was the only compound showing a significant reduction in cellular content in senescent cultures at 10 nM while keeping cellular density unchanged in non-senescent control cultures.

    “In both models, oleandrin was the only compound showing a significant reduction in cellular content in senescent cultures at a concentration of 10 nM, while keeping the cellular density unchanged in non-senescent control cell cultures.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    Both oleandrin and periplocin are steroid saponins similar to ouabain, whereas ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone natural product.

    “Both oleandrin and periplocin are steroid saponins, similar to ouabain, yet ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone natural product.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The XGBoost model improved precision, recall, and F1 scores, and overall returned the best performance among all considered models.

    “The XGBoost model improved precision, recall, and F1 scores, and overall returned the best performance among all considered models (Fig. 2b).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    A small group of 21 compounds (0.4% of the full library) had a comparatively higher probability of being senolytic (P > 44%) and were selected for experimental validation.

    “At the far end of the tail, the score distribution revealed a small group of 21 compounds (0.4% of the full library) with a comparatively higher probability of being senolytic (P > 44%, Fig. 2d, orange), which we selected for further experimental validation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The XGBoost model had an average precision score of 0.7 ± 0.16 in 5-fold cross-validation on the whole dataset, corresponding to an average false discovery rate of 30%.

    “We observed an average precision score of 0.7 ± 0.16 in 5-fold cross-validation on the whole dataset analysis of this model, which amounts to an average false discovery rate of 30% that we regarded as acceptable given the heterogeneity of the data employed for training.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The three compounds showed enhanced toxicity in senescent A549 cells compared with proliferating, non-senescent A549 controls, with an effect comparable to the positive control.

    “The three compounds showed enhanced toxicity when compared with proliferating, non-senescent A549 controls with an effect comparable to the positive control.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Periplocin showed a senolytic effect with a striking resemblance to the positive control ouabain.

    “In particular, periplocin (the top hit predicted by our model, Fig. 2d) showed a senolytic effect with a striking resemblance to the positive control ouabain (Fig. 3b, d).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingnone given

    Oleandrin and periplocin are related steroid saponins, similar to ouabain.

    “Oleandrin and periplocin are related steroid saponins, similar to ouabain.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The full dataset for model training contains 2523 compounds, including 58 positives (2.3%).

    “The full dataset for model training contains 2523 compounds, including 58 positives (2.3%).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The Tanimoto distance graph showed that most senolytics are far apart in the descriptor space, with a median Tanimoto distance of 0.77.

    “The structure of the resulting distance graph corroborates the finding that most senolytics are far apart in the descriptor space (median Tanimoto distance = 0.77; Fig. 1d inset)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Oleandrin has greater potency and activity over its target (Na+/K+ ATPase) and its senolytic effector NOXA, as compared to known cardiac glycosides with senolytic action.

    “we show that oleandrin has improved potency over its target as compared to best-in-class alternatives.”
    • Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
      “We further show that oleandrin has greater potency and activity over its target (Na+/K+ ATPase) and its senolytic effector NOXA, as compared to known cardiac glycosides with senolytic action.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The RF model tends to return few false positives (high precision) and a high number of false negatives (low recall), whereas the SVM returns opposite results.

    “The performance metrics (Fig. 2b) suggest that the RF model tends to return few false positives (high precision) and a high number of false negatives (low recall), whereas the SVM returns opposite results.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Experimental screening of the top predicted molecules in two model cell lines for oncogene-induced and therapy-induced senescence revealed senolytic activity of ginkgetin, oleandrin and periplocin.

    “Three compounds out of the 21 displayed senolytic activity: ginkgetin, oleandrin and periplocin”
    • Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
      “validated the senolytic action of ginkgetin, periplocin and oleandrin in human cell lines under various modalities of senescence.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Navitoclax at 1 μM killed most cultured senescent A549 cells but did not reduce numbers of non-senescent control cells.

    “Addition of 1 μM navitoclax to A549 cells killed most of the cultured senescent cells, but resulted in no reduction in numbers of non-senescent control cells, confirming its optimal senolytic activity (Supplementary Fig. 6b).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    At the tested concentrations, the three compounds had a marginal effect on nuclei counts in normal cells but a marked decrease in nuclei counts in senescent cells.

    “These concentrations have a marginal effect on the nuclei counts in normal cells, but a marked decrease in nuclei counts in senescent cells (Fig. 3c, d and Supplementary Fig. 5a).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    At 46.4 nM ouabain, most cultured senescent cells were killed, but there was only marginal reduction in the number of non-senescent control cells.

    “This concentration killed most of the cultured senescent cells, but resulted in marginal reduction of the number of non-senescent control cells (Fig. 3b).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    Treatment of IMR90 ER:RAS cells with 4-OHT showed a decrease in proliferation, increased senescence-associated β-galactosidase activity, induction of cell cycle inhibitor expression, and activation of the SASP compared with controls, indicating that the cells underwent OIS.

    “Treatment of IMR90 ER:RAS cells with 4-OHT showed a decrease in proliferation, increased senescence-associated β-galactosidase activity, induction of cell cycle inhibitor expression, and activation of the SASP when compared with control and 4-OHT untreated cells, indicating that the cells underwent OIS (Supplementary Fig. 3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingnone given

    Ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone.

    “Ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The XGBoost model produced a long-tailed distribution of prediction scores, with most compounds assigned extremely low prediction scores.

    “The XGBoost model proved to be exceptionally selective and produced a long-tailed distribution of prediction scores (Fig. 2d); most compounds were assigned extremely low prediction scores, and thus deemed to have a low probability of being senolytic.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The majority of the selected compounds are structurally diverse natural products, with some common features including steroid saponins, flavone derivatives, and macrocycles.

    “The majority of the selected compounds are structurally diverse natural products, but with some common features including steroid saponins, flavone derivatives, and macrocycles.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    The final XGBoost model was used to screen a library of 4340 compounds, none of which were present in the training library.

    “We assembled compounds from the L2100 TargetMol Anticancer and L3800 Selleck FDA-approved & Passed Phase libraries into a single dataset with 4340 structures featurised with the physicochemical descriptors from RDKit; none of the compounds in the screening library were present in the training library.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    The impact of class imbalance was mitigated by prioritising models with a lower number of false positives, reducing downstream costs for experimental validation.

    “We mitigated the impact of class imbalance by prioritising models with a lower number of false positives, and thus reduce the downstream costs for experimental validation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingreasoning

    It is plausible that some compounds from the LOPAC and Prestwick libraries were incorrectly labelled as negative.

    “Although all compounds from these two library sources were assumed to be negative, it is plausible that some of these molecules were incorrectly labelled.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • The authors state this as an assumption: All compounds from the LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 libraries lack senolytic action.
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingown data

    Dimensionality reduction of the 200 RDKit features was challenging, as more than 50% of the features were needed to explain 99% of the variance.

    “Dimensionality reduction of this data proved to be challenging, as more than 50% of the 200 RDKit features were needed to explain 99% of the variance.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    For SVM, setting class weight to balanced was the best option; for RF, the default class weight was best.

    “In the case of SVM, the setting of ‘class weight’ to ‘balanced’ was the best option, whereas for the RF the best setting was the default one.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingreasoning

    This design led to an exceptionally selective distribution of prediction scores, allowing selection of a cutoff for experimental validation with a reasonable number of hits and prediction scores far away from the bulk of the screening compounds.

    “This led to an exceptionally selective distribution of prediction scores (Fig. 2d), which allowed us to select a cutoff for experimental validation with a reasonable number of hits and prediction scores far away from the bulk of the screening compounds.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Findingown data

    Experimental validation was performed on compounds with z-score > 8, corresponding to 21 compounds out of 4340 in the screening libraries.

    “We performed experimental validation of the compounds with z-score > 8 (Fig. 2e). These correspond to 21 compounds out of a total of 4340 compounds in our screening libraries.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    SMOTE was applied to the training set only and did not significantly improve classification.

    “We attempted to resolve the severe class imbalance problem inherent to our data by utilising the pre-processing technique SMOTE on several classification algorithms, without significant improvement; SMOTE was applied to the training set only.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Findingown data

    There were limited benefits in the use of deep learning for compound featurisation, possibly because of the small size of the training data.

    “We observed limited benefits in the use of deep learning for compound featurisation, possibly because of the small size of our training data.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Wherever possible, different studies were cross-validated for widely reported senolytics such as navitoclax, digoxin, ouabain, ABT-737 and fisetin.

    “Wherever possible, we cross-validated different studies, e.g. for widely reported senolytics such as navitoclax, digoxin, ouabain, ABT-737 and fisetin.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Most known senolytics target pathways that are mutated in cancer, which limits their applicability as therapeutic agents.

    “most known senolytics target pathways that are mutated in cancer, which limits their applicability as therapeutic agents32”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [32] Paez-Ribes, M., González-Gualda, E., Doherty, G. J. & Muñoz-Espín, D. Targeting senescent cells in translational medicine. EMBO Mol. Med. 11, e10234 (2019). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    The drop in cell number compared to untreated controls is indicated by the nuclei count and reflects cell death.

    “The drop in cell number compared to untreated controls is indicated by the nuclei count and reflects cell death13,15.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
    • cites [15] Triana-Martínez, F. et al. Identification and characterization of Cardiac Glycosides as senolytic compounds. Nat. Commun. 10, 4731 (2019). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Premisecitation

    Several studies have shown that flavonoids are promising candidates in senescence-related research.

    “Several studies have shown that flavonoids are promising candidates in senescence-related research, hence the importance of finding new and more efficacious compounds of this kind67–69.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [67] Mbara, K. C., Devnarain, N. & Owira, P. M. O. Potential role of polyphenolic flavonoids as senotherapeutic agents in degenerative diseases and geroprotection. Pharmaceut. Med. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40290-022-00444-w (2022). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

    • cites [68] Lim, H., Park, H. & Kim, H. P. Effects of flavonoids on senescence-associated secretory phenotype formation from bleomycin-induced senescence in BJ fibroblasts. Biochem. Pharmacol. 96, 337–348 (2015). source
    • cites [69] Lagoumtzi, S. M. & Chondrogianni, N. Senolytics and senomorphics: natural and synthetic therapeutics in the treatment of aging and chronic diseases. Free Radic. Biol. Med. 171, 169–190 (2021). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductown data

    The hyperparameters of the SVM and RF models were determined using 5-fold cross-validation.

    “The hyperparameters of the SVM and RF models were determined using 5-fold cross-validation (Supplementary Tables 3–4).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    Dimensionality reduction revealed a strong overlap between the training and screening compounds, providing strong evidence that the computational screen was performed in the high-confidence domain of the machine learning model.

    “We employed dimensionality reduction to visualise the training and screening compounds in the RDKit feature space65, which revealed a strong overlap between the two sets and thus a strong evidence that the computational screen was performed in the high-confidence domain of the machine learning model (Fig. 2f).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [65] van der Maaten, L. & Hinton, G. Visualizing data using t-SNE. J. Mach. Learn Res. 9, 2579–2605 (2008).

      Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Some compounds, such as ouabain, have wide-spectrum senolytic action, whereas others such as BIX-01294 limit their effect to specific conditions.

    “Some of these compounds, e.g. ouabain13, have wide-spectrum senolytic action, whereas others such as BIX-01294, limit their effect to specific conditions13.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    The senolytic effect of cardiac glycosides has been previously linked to its canonical target, the Na+/K+ ATPase pump.

    “The senolytic effect of cardiac glycosides has been previously linked to its canonical target, the Na+/K+ ATPase pump13.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The positive compounds were selected on the basis that they can maintain a minimum of 60% viability in normal cells and eliminate senescent cells for at least one cell line, one concentration, and one strategy for induction of senescence.

    “These compounds were selected on the basis that they can maintain a minimum of 60% viability in normal cells and eliminate senescent cells for at least one cell line, one concentration, and one strategy for induction of senescence.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductown data

    The hyperparameters of the XGBoost model were determined via 5-fold cross-validation.

    “The hyperparameters of the XGBoost model were determined via 5-fold cross-validation (Supplementary Table 5).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    The lack of a clear elbow in the k-means score suggests poor data clustering and provides a qualitative indication of diversity in the training data.

    “The lack of a clear “elbow” in the k-means score suggests poor data clustering and hence provides a qualitative indication of diversity in the training data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductown data

    The drug screen was done once with three experimental replicates.

    “This drug screen was done once with three experimental replicates.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductown data

    Models were trained with 5-fold cross-validation to check for overfitting.

    “This was done with 5-fold cross-validation to check for overfitting.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Hyperparameter optimisation settings were applied only to the training set in each of the five folds.

    “hyperparameter optimisation settings were applied only to the training set in each of the five folds.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    IMR90 ER:RAS is a derivative of IMR90 cells expressing a switchable version of oncogenic H-Ras.

    “IMR90 ER:RAS is a derivative of IMR90 cells expressing a switchable version of oncogenic H-Ras84.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [84] Hari, P. et al. The innate immune sensor Toll-like receptor 2 controls the senescence-associated secretory phenotype. Sci. Adv. 5, eaaw0254 (2019). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Cells were tested for mycoplasma on a regular basis.

    “Cells were tested for mycoplasma on a regular basis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    Ouabain induces the expression of the BH3-only pro-apoptotic protein NOXA, which mediates its senolytic effect.

    “Specifically, ouabain induces the expression of the BH3-only pro-apoptotic protein NOXA, which mediates its senolytic effect.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    In all cases, exposure time, sensor gain, and digital manipulation were the same for control and experimental samples.

    “In all cases, exposure time, sensor gain, and digital manipulation were the same for control and experimental samples.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisecitation

    The three senolytics identified in this study are natural products found in traditional herbal medicines: Ginkgo biloba (ginkgetin), Nerium oleander (oleandrin), and Periploca sepium (periplocin).

    “we highlight that the three senolytics identified in this study are natural products found in traditional herbal medicines: Ginkgo biloba (ginkgetin)79 Nerium oleander (oleandrin)76 and Periploca sepium (periplocin)80.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [79] Website. ginkgetin: a natural biflavone with versatile pharmacological activities. Food Chem. Toxicol. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fct.2020.111642 (2020). source
    • cites [76] Zhai, J., Dong, X., Yan, F., Guo, H. & Yang, J. Oleandrin: a systematic review of its natural sources, structural properties, detection methods, pharmacokinetics and toxicology. Front. Pharmacol. 13, 822726 (2022). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

    • cites [80] Huang, M., Shen, S., Luo, C. & Ren, Y. Genus Periploca (apocynaceae): a review of its classification, phytochemistry, biological activities and toxicology. Molecules. https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules24152749 (2019). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductown data

    The cell lines were confirmed to be mycoplasma negative.

    “The cell lines were confirmed to be mycoplasma negative (Lonza MycoAlert, cat #LT07-118).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Sample sizes were based on standard protocols in the field.

    “Sample sizes were based in standard protocols in the field.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    Oleandrin and periplocin belong to the group of cardenolide glycosides, which are highly potent cardioactive agents, while ginkgetin is a biflavone with a broad pharmacological spectrum.

    “Oleandrin and periplocin belong to the group of cardenolide glycosides, which are highly potent cardioactive agents, while ginkgetin is a biflavone with a broad pharmacological spectrum.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The approach led to a significant reduction in experimental screening costs, largely because all models were trained solely on published data and there was no need to screen compounds purposely for model training.

    “Our approach led to a significant reduction in experimental screening costs, largely because all models were trained solely on published data and, unlike other recent successes in the field39, there was no need to screen compounds purposely for model training.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [39] Stokes, J. M. et al. A deep learning approach to antibiotic discovery. Cell 181, 475–483 (2020). source

      Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.

  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationcitation

    Oleandrin has a narrow therapeutic range and cardiotoxicity.

    “our results suggest that oleandrin is not an exception because of its narrow therapeutic range and cardiotoxicity”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    The exceptional activity and potency of oleandrin, together with its relatively low molecular weight (576.7 g/mol) and favourable cLogP (2.4), make it a promising lead candidate compared to periplocin and ginkgetin.

    “the exceptional activity and potency of oleandrin, together with its relatively low molecular weight (576.7 g/mol) and favourable cLogP (2.4), make it a promising lead candidate as compared to periplocin and ginkgetin (Supplementary Fig. 11).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    Two cellular models of senescence were employed: one of OIS and a second one of TIS.

    “We employed two cellular models of senescence: one of OIS and a second one of TIS.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductnone given

    All measurements were taken from distinct samples, as noted in figure legends, and no data were excluded.

    “All measurements were taken from distinct samples, as noted in figure legends, and no data were excluded.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    For in vitro biological experiments, cell culture plates were randomly assigned to treatments in each experiment.

    “For in vitro biological experiments, cell culture plates were randomly assigned to treatments in each experiment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    Oleandrin functions at a low nanomolar range, inhibits its canonical target, and activates its senolytic pathway with higher efficacy than ouabain.

    “Oleandrin has improved senolytic performance over ouabain, functioning at a low nanomolar range, inhibiting its canonical target and activating its senolytic pathway with higher efficacy.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Unless otherwise stated, at least three biological independent replicates were performed for each experiment.

    “Unless otherwise stated, at least three biological independent replicates were performed for each experiment.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    Oleandrin treatment reduced both senescence burden and proinflammatory SASP signalling.

    “These findings provide evidence that oleandrin treatment reduced both senescence burden and proinflammatory SASP signalling.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationown data

    The machine learning approach was able to discover an improved and more potent cardiac glycoside with senolytic action, facilitating identification of chemical structure baits for further downstream chemical optimisation.

    “Altogether, these results demonstrate that our machine learning approach was able to discover an improved and more potent cardiac glycoside with senolytic action, facilitating the identification of chemical structure baits for further downstream chemical optimisation.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Premisenone given

    Oleandrin shares key structural features with other cardiac glycosides, including a sugar attached to the steroid core at C3β-OH, a 2-furanone ring at C17β, and an OH group at C14β; unlike most cardiac glycosides, it has an acetyloxy group at C16β.

    “Oleandrin shares key structural features with other cardiac glycosides, including the presence of a sugar attached to the steroid core (at the C3β-OH group), a 2-furanone ring at C17β and an OH group at the C14β position of the steroid ring. Unlike most cardiac glycosides, oleandrin has an acetyloxy group attached at position C16β.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductown data

    The XGBoost, RF, and SVM models were re-trained with a stratified random split of the data (70% training, 30% testing) to produce the confusion matrices in Fig. 2c.

    “We subsequently re-trained the XGBoost, RF, and SVM models with a stratified random split of the data (70% for training, and 30% for testing) to produce the confusion matrices in Fig. 2c.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductnone given

    For all other experiments, data collection and analysis were blinded to the person collecting and analysing the data, and samples were identified only at the end of each experimental analysis.

    “For all other experiments, data collection and analysis were blinded to the person collecting and analysing the data, and the samples were identified only at the end of each experimental analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The work provides a concrete example of a simple yet effective machine learning pipeline that can be readily built from published screening data.

    “Our work provides a concrete example of a simple yet effective machine learning pipeline that can be readily built from published screening data.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    Most imaging data were acquired and analysed automatically by a high content microscopy platform and MetaXpress, and thus data collection and analysis were blinded.

    “Most imaging data were acquired and analysed automatically by a high content microscopy platform and the imaging analysis software MetaXpress, and thus, data collection and analysis were blinded.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Every screened condition was carried out in triplicate.

    “Every screened condition was carried out in triplicate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Oleandrin features a monosaccharide and a simple central steroid system, which makes it closer to a potentially non-cardiotoxic pharmacophore and an attractive starting point for future senolytic medicinal chemistry campaigns.

    “oleandrin features a monosaccharide and a simple central steroid system, which makes it closer to a potentially non-cardiotoxic pharmacophore and, consequently, an attractive starting point for future senolytic medicinal chemistry campaigns.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
69 of 69
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The background compounds from LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 lack senolytic action.

    “The full list of positives was then merged with a large background of compounds assumed to lack senolytic action.”
    “This assumption was needed due to the lack of data on negative screening results in the literature.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Machine learning models can bias their predictions towards the training data they have been exposed to.

    “Since machine learning models can bias their predictions towards the training data they have been exposed to, we chose the negatives from two diverse chemical libraries, LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280, which contain a wide range of FDA-approved or clinical-stage compounds.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Current approaches to drug discovery suffer from high attrition rates in late-stage preclinical and clinical development.

    “Current approaches to drug discovery suffer from notoriously high attrition rates in late-stage preclinical and clinical development.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 libraries are sufficiently diverse for training machine learning models.

    “We reasoned that these libraries are sufficiently diverse for training machine learning models.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    All compounds from the LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 libraries lack senolytic action.

    “Although all compounds from these two library sources were assumed to be negative”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Periplocin and oleandrin had not been previously identified as senolytics.

    “periplocin and oleandrin, two cardiac glycosides which have not been previously identified as senolytics”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Senolysis is a rare molecular property and the number of senolytics reported in the literature so far is limited.

    “the small number of senolytics in the training data is a consequence of senolysis being a rare molecular property and the limited number of senolytics reported in the literature so far.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The underlying assumptions for the statistical tests, including sample independence, variance equality, and normality, were assumed to be met although not explicitly examined.

    “Underlying assumptions for these tests, including sample independence, variance equality, and normality were assumed to be met although not explicitly examined.”
8 of 8

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Machine learning pipelines have predicted synergistic drug combinations, substantially reducing the time and cost of discovery.

    “Machine learning pipelines, trained on extensive chemical compound datasets, have already identified novel small-molecule senolytics, such as Ginkgetin, Periplocin, and Oleandrin, and predicted synergistic drug combinations, substantially reducing the time and cost of discovery127,128.”

    From Emerging strategies in senotherapeutics: from broad-spectrum senolysis to precision reprogramming (2026) · cites this paper as [128]

    The Discussion (page unavailable) reports that the machine-learning pipeline reduced experimental screening by more than 200-fold and significantly reduced screening costs. The Results describe predictions of individual senolytic compounds, not synergistic drug combinations, and the cited passages do not establish a reduction in discovery time. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Machine learning pipelines trained on extensive chemical compound datasets have identified novel small-molecule senolytics, such as Ginkgetin, Periplocin, and Oleandrin.

    “Machine learning pipelines, trained on extensive chemical compound datasets, have already identified novel small-molecule senolytics, such as Ginkgetin, Periplocin, and Oleandrin, and predicted synergistic drug combinations, substantially reducing the time and cost of discovery127,128.”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Caspase assay duration is reported as both 35 and 36 hours

    Minor

    The figure caption and assay method give different treatment durations for the caspase 3/7 experiment.

  • Selected compounds are 0.48%, not 0.4%, of the library

    Minor

    The stated 21 compounds out of 4,340 represent approximately 0.48% of the screening library, which rounds to 0.5% at the reported precision.

    Reported 0.4 · recomputed 0.483871

  • OIS validation gives conflicting 4-OHT treatment durations

    Minor

    The figure caption describes 4-OHT treatment throughout an eight-day OIS experiment, while the validation methods give its duration as six days.

  • Graph construction conflicts with the reported edge count

    Minor

    For 58 compounds, a minimum spanning tree has 57 edges. Its intersection with another graph cannot have the 269 edges reported for the resulting graph.

4 of 4

Citations

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 86 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 2

  1. van der Maaten, L. & Hinton, G. Visualizing data using t-SNE. J. Mach. Learn Res. 9, 2579–2605 (2008).
  2. Louppe, G., Wehenkel, L., Sutera, A. & Geurts, P. Understanding variable importances in forests of randomized trees. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 26 Available at: https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2013/hash/e3796ae838835da0b6f6ea37bcf8bcb7-Abstract.html (2013).

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Metadata

Authors
Smer-Barreto, V., Quintanilla, A., Elliott, R. J. R., Dawson, J. C., Sun, J., Campa, V. M., Lorente-Macías, Á., Unciti-Broceta, A., Carragher, N. O., Acosta, J. C., & Oyarzún, D. A.
Affiliations
  • Edinburgh Cancer Research (GB)
  • Universidad de Cantabria (ES)
  • University of Edinburgh (GB)
  • The Alan Turing Institute (GB)
Corresponding author
  • Smer-Barreto, Vanessa
  • Acosta, Juan Carlos
  • Oyarzún, Diego A.
Venue
Nature Communications
Published
2023-06-10
Volume
14
Issue
1
Pages
3445-3445
ISSN
2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4380152694
Cited by
139
References
86
Citations by year
2026: 42 · 2025: 57 · 2024: 33 · 2023: 7
FWCI
12.31
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • UCrea (University of Cantabria) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • Cancer Research UK (16243, C47559/A16243)
  • University of Edinburgh (MC_UU_00009/2)
  • Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (10.13039, 501100011033, PID2020, PID2020-117860GB-I00, MCIN /AEI /10.13039)
  • Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00009/2)
  • Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas
  • Agencia Estatal de Investigación (501100011033, 10.13039/501100011033, 13039, 10.13039)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Drug Discovery › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cell Biology › Telomeres, Telomerase, and Senescence
  • Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Materials Chemistry › Machine Learning in Materials Science
Keywords
senolytics, cellular senescence, machine learning, drug discovery, ginkgetin, oleandrin, periplocin, chemical library screening, senescence-associated secretory phenotype, lung fibroblasts, lung adenocarcinoma cells
MeSH terms
Machine Learning, Senotherapeutics, Aging, Artificial Intelligence, Humans, Cellular Senescence

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-11-10, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).

A second model labelled each claim on 2026-11-10 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).

Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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