The DOI matches its Crossref record; 85 of the 86 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 20 of the 60 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Discovery of senolytics using machine learning
Open accessAbstract
Cellular senescence is a stress response involved in ageing and diverse disease processes including cancer, type-2 diabetes, osteoarthritis and viral infection. Despite growing interest in targeted elimination of senescent cells, only few senolytics are known due to the lack of well-characterised molecular targets. Here, we report the discovery of three senolytics using cost-effective machine learning algorithms trained solely on published data. We computationally screened various chemical libraries and validated the senolytic action of ginkgetin, periplocin and oleandrin in human cell lines under various modalities of senescence. The compounds have potency comparable to known senolytics, and we show that oleandrin has improved potency over its target as compared to best-in-class alternatives. Our approach led to several hundred-fold reduction in drug screening costs and demonstrates that artificial intelligence can take maximum advantage of small and heterogeneous drug screening data, paving the way for new open science approaches to early-stage drug discovery.
Overview
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
A machine-learning pipeline trained solely on published senolytic data screened 4,340 compounds and identified three senolytics—ginkgetin, periplocin, and oleandrin—validated in human cell models of oncogene- and therapy-induced senescence. Oleandrin showed improved potency over benchmark cardiac glycosides, while the approach reduced experimental screening by more than 200-fold.
Key findings
- The training set contained 2,523 compounds, including 58 positives (2.3%), featurized with 200 RDKit physicochemical descriptors reduced to 165 features; XGBoost gave the best performance, with average precision 0.7 ± 0.16 in 5-fold cross-validation and an average false discovery rate of 30%.
- Screening 4,340 compounds from the L2100 TargetMol Anticancer and L3800 Selleck FDA-approved & Passed Phase libraries yielded 21 compounds with P > 44% (0.4% of the library); experimental validation confirmed three senolytics—ginkgetin, oleandrin, and periplocin—for a hit confirmation rate of 14.28%.
- In oncogene-induced senescence (IMR90 ER:RAS), IC50 values were 85 nM control vs 14 nM senescent for oleandrin, 300 nM vs 24 nM for periplocin, and 26 μM vs 2.6 μM for ginkgetin; in therapy-induced senescence (A549), IC50 values were 19.5 nM vs 5.4 nM, 267 nM vs 72.2 nM, and 10.4 μM vs 5.7 μM, respectively.
- At 10 nM, oleandrin significantly reduced senescent cell content, inhibited the Na+/K+ ATPase target, and induced NOXA mRNA, showing improved senolytic performance over ouabain; the method reduced the number of compounds for experimental screening by more than 200-fold.
Methods
- Positives were mined from published senolytic reports and a commercial patent; negatives came from LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280. Compounds were represented by 200 RDKit physicochemical descriptors, reduced to 165 features, and classified with SVM, random forest, XGBoost, and other models using 5-fold cross-validation.
- The selected XGBoost model, trained on a 70:30 stratified split, was used to computationally screen 4,340 compounds; the top 21 with prediction scores P > 44% were selected for experimental validation.
- Validation used IMR90 ER:RAS cells with 4-OHT (100 nM) for oncogene-induced senescence and A549 cells with etoposide (100 μM) for therapy-induced senescence, with nuclei counts, dose-response IC50 fitting, crystal violet survival, caspase-3/7 activity, intracellular K+ measurement, and RT-qPCR for NOXA, p16, p21, and cytokines.
Limitations
- The paper states that feature selection and model/hyperparameter selection used the full dataset, so the 30% held-out performance metrics are over-optimistic; applying those steps only to the 70% training split would have reduced positives to 41 and made model selection less reliable.
- The paper states that negatives were assumed to lack senolytic action because negative screening results are rarely published, risking mislabeled compounds; the data are severely imbalanced, heterogeneous, and the models generally showed poor common classification metrics with many false positives and false negatives.
- The paper states that oleandrin and related cardiac glycosides have toxicity concerns, a narrow therapeutic range, and cardiotoxicity, so systemic use should be considered cautiously; further animal-model validation is needed. Evident from the text: validation was in vitro in two cell lines, with no in vivo efficacy or safety data reported.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Cites
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Verification
Claims the paper makes
20 of 60 cited sources checked · 18 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Certain senolytics that work well for one cell type are highly toxic against other non-senescent cell types.
“certain senolytics that work well for one cell-type are highly toxic against other non-senescent cell-types19,24.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source
The Results report that fisetin is senolytic in HUVECs but not in the other cell types tested, supporting cell-type-specific effectiveness. The Discussion says nonsenescent cells may be affected at higher concentrations, with apoptosis only at still higher concentrations. It does not show that a senolytic is highly toxic to another nonsenescent cell type at a concentration where it works as a senolytic. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [24] Li, W., He, Y., Zhang, R., Zheng, G. & Zhou, D. The curcumin analog EF24 is a novel senolytic agent. Aging 11, 771–782 (2019). source
- Premisecitation
Removal of senescent cells has been linked to adverse effects due to blockage of their beneficial roles in processes such as wound healing and liver function.
“removal of senescent cells has also been linked to some adverse effects due to blockage of their beneficial roles in processes such as wound healing and liver function21,22.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [21] Demaria, M. et al. An essential role for senescent cells in optimal wound healing through secretion of PDGF-AA. Dev. Cell 31, 722–733 (2014). source
The Results section (‘Elimination of Senescent Cells Delays Cutaneous Wound Healing’; page unavailable) reports that removing senescent cells delayed wound closure in mice. The paper also discusses senescent cells limiting fibrosis after liver injury, but it does not report an effect of their removal on liver function. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [22] Grosse, L. et al. Defined p16 senescent cell types are indispensable for mouse healthspan. Cell Metab. 32, 87–99.e6 (2020). source
- Premisecitation
To date there are few known compounds with proven senolytic action.
“Despite encouraging results, to date there are few known compounds with proven senolytic action11–19,23–28”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim8 of 10 sources checked- cites [11] Fuhrmann-Stroissnigg, H. et al. Identification of HSP90 inhibitors as a novel class of senolytics. Nat. Commun. 8, 422 (2017). source
- cites [12] Guerrero, A. et al. Galactose-modified duocarmycin prodrugs as senolytics. Aging Cell. 19, e13133 (2020). source
- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
- cites [14] Senolytic compounds. Patent no. 20200121620, (2018).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [15] Triana-Martínez, F. et al. Identification and characterization of Cardiac Glycosides as senolytic compounds. Nat. Commun. 10, 4731 (2019). source
- cites [16] Yosef, R. et al. Directed elimination of senescent cells by inhibition of BCL-W and BCL-XL. Nat. Commun. 7, 11190 (2016). source
- cites [17] Yousefzadeh, M. J. et al. Fisetin is a senotherapeutic that extends health and lifespan. EBioMedicine 36, 18–28 (2018). source
- cites [18] Zhu, Y. et al. The Achilles’ heel of senescent cells: from transcriptome to senolytic drugs. Aging Cell. 14, 644–658 (2015). source
- cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source
- cites [23] Lafontaine, J. et al. Senolytic targeting of Bcl-2 anti-apoptotic family increases cell death in irradiated sarcoma cells. Cancers https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers13030386 (2021). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Findingown data
The training data comprised 58 previously identified senolytics mined from 15 sources.
“We assembled a list of 58 previously identified senolytics mined from 15 sources11–19,23–28 (Fig. 1b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim8 of 10 sources checked- cites [11] Fuhrmann-Stroissnigg, H. et al. Identification of HSP90 inhibitors as a novel class of senolytics. Nat. Commun. 8, 422 (2017). source
- cites [12] Guerrero, A. et al. Galactose-modified duocarmycin prodrugs as senolytics. Aging Cell. 19, e13133 (2020). source
- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
- cites [14] Senolytic compounds. Patent no. 20200121620, (2018).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [15] Triana-Martínez, F. et al. Identification and characterization of Cardiac Glycosides as senolytic compounds. Nat. Commun. 10, 4731 (2019). source
- cites [16] Yosef, R. et al. Directed elimination of senescent cells by inhibition of BCL-W and BCL-XL. Nat. Commun. 7, 11190 (2016). source
- cites [17] Yousefzadeh, M. J. et al. Fisetin is a senotherapeutic that extends health and lifespan. EBioMedicine 36, 18–28 (2018). source
- cites [18] Zhu, Y. et al. The Achilles’ heel of senescent cells: from transcriptome to senolytic drugs. Aging Cell. 14, 644–658 (2015). source
- cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source
- cites [23] Lafontaine, J. et al. Senolytic targeting of Bcl-2 anti-apoptotic family increases cell death in irradiated sarcoma cells. Cancers https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers13030386 (2021). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Findingown data
The hit confirmation rate for the 21 tested candidate compounds was 14.28%.
“We then tested the 21 candidate compounds and found three with clear senolytic action: periplocin and oleandrin, two cardiac glycosides which have not been previously identified as senolytics, and ginkgetin, a natural non-toxic biflavone; this amounts to a hit confirmation rate of 14.28% (Fig. 3c, d and Supplementary Fig. 4c).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
Principal component analysis shows that more than 100 dimensions are needed to accurately explain the variability in the data, with 111 features for 99% of explained variance.
“a principal component analysis shows that more than 100 dimensions are needed to accurately explain the variability in the data (111 features for 99% of explained variance, Supplementary Fig. 1b).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Treatment of senescent IMR90 ER:RAS cells with periplocin, oleandrin, or ginkgetin reduced nuclei counts compared with proliferating non-senescent IMR90 controls, with an effect comparable to the positive control.
“Treatment of senescent IMR90 ER:RAS cells with the three compounds showed reduced nuclei counts when compared with proliferating, non-senescent IMR90 controls with an effect comparable to the positive control (Fig. 3c, d and Supplementary Fig. 5a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
An optimal senolytic effect was reached with addition of 46.4 nM ouabain (IC50 control = 231 nM; IC50 senescence = 28 nM) to 4-OHT-induced IMR90 ER:RAS cells.
“An optimal senolytic effect was reached with addition of 46.4 nM ouabain (IC50 control = 231 nM; IC50 senescence = 28 nM) to 4-OHT-induced IMR90 ER:RAS cells.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
The selected panel of positives includes compounds that target the senescent phenotype in a variety of cell types.
“The selected panel of positives includes compounds that target the senescent phenotype in a variety of cell types (Fig. 1b).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The experimental screen suggested that oleandrin had enhanced senolytic activity compared to the known cardiac glycoside ouabain, particularly in the low nanomolar range.
“Our experimental screen suggested that oleandrin had enhanced senolytic activity as compared to the known cardiac glycoside ouabain, particularly in the low nanomolar range (Fig. 3c).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
At 10 nM, ouabain and periplocin showed no cytotoxic activity in IMR90-ER:STOP proliferating control cells or in IMR90-ER:RAS cells undergoing OIS.
“While ouabain and periplocin showed no cytotoxic activity in IMR90-ER:STOP proliferating control cells nor in IMR90-ER:RAS cells undergoing OIS, oleandrin showed a significant drop in cellular content in OIS cell cultures at 10 nM”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The positive compounds were mined from highly heterogeneous sources that utilised different cell lines, screening assays, and methods for induction of the senescent phenotype.
“The positive compounds were mined from highly heterogeneous sources that utilised different cell lines, screening assays, and methods for induction of the senescent phenotype (Fig. 1b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The authors mined a panel of 58 senolytics reported in the literature.
“we mined a panel of 58 senolytics reported in the literature”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Treatment of oncogene-induced and replicative senescent cells with 10 nM oleandrin induced an evident increase in caspase-3/7 activity compared to control cells and cells treated with oleandrin and periplocin.
“Importantly, treatment of oncogene-induced and replicative senescent cells with 10 nM oleandrin induced an evident increase in caspase-3/7 activity when compared to control cells, as well as cells treated with oleandrin and periplocin”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Senescent cells displayed increased intracellular K+.
“We confirmed that senescent cells displayed increased intracellular K+.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Louvain clustering of the Tanimoto distance graph found plateaus at k = 5 and k = 6 clusters.
“we found an almost linear increase in the number of clusters, and two plateaus at k = 5 and k = 6 clusters (Fig. 1e)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The three newly found senolytic compounds have potency comparable to known senolytics.
“The compounds have potency comparable to known senolytics”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“with potencies and dose-responses comparable to known senolytics”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
- Findingown data
In senescent A549 cells, the three compounds had lower IC50 values than in normal cells.
“The dose-response curves showed a lowered IC50 for the three compounds in senescent cells as compared to normal cells (Supplementary Fig. 6d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Silhouette coefficients averaged across all compounds were consistently low.
“we found consistently low values for the silhouette coefficient averaged across all compounds”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Hastie, T., Friedman, J. & Tibshirani, R. The Elements of Statistical Learning. Springer Series in Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-21606-5 (2001). source
- Findingown data
Only oleandrin at 10 nM significantly reduced K+ intracellular concentration during OIS and replicative senescence in IMR90 cells.
“However, only oleandrin at 10 nM significantly reduced K+ intracellular concentration during OIS and replicative senescence in IMR90 cells (Fig. 5a, b and Supplementary Fig. 9h, i)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Both SVM and RF models displayed poor performance.
“We found that both SVM and RF models displayed poor performance (Fig. 2b)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The three compounds had lower IC50 values for nuclei counts from senescent cells than from normal cells.
“The dose-response curves showed a lower IC50 for the three compounds in nuclei counts from senescent cells as compared to nuclei from normal cells (Fig. 3d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Alternative models, including logistic regressors, a Naïve Bayes classifier, and SMOTE data augmentation, displayed worse performance than the SVM and RF models.
“We also evaluated a number of alternative models of varied complexity, including logistic regressors, a Naïve Bayes classifier, as well as data augmentation methods for imbalanced classification (SMOTE63); these additional models displayed worse performance than the SVM and RF models (Supplementary Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [63] Chawla, N. V., Bowyer, K. W., Hall, L. O. & Kegelmeyer, W. P. SMOTE: synthetic minority over-sampling technique. J. Artif. Intell. Res. https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.953 (2002). source
- Findingown data
At 10 nM, oleandrin showed a significant drop in cellular content in OIS cell cultures.
“While ouabain and periplocin showed no cytotoxic activity in IMR90-ER:STOP proliferating control cells nor in IMR90-ER:RAS cells undergoing OIS, oleandrin showed a significant drop in cellular content in OIS cell cultures at 10 nM”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The basic flavone scaffold present in ginkgetin is also present in inactive compounds herbacetin and morin.
“Similarly, the basic flavone scaffold present in ginkgetin (Supplementary Fig. 8b, coloured blue) is also present in inactive compounds, herbacetin and morin.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The training data have a heavy imbalance between the number of positives and negatives.
“This is further exacerbated by the heavy imbalance between the number of positives and negatives included in the training data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The same three compounds validated in oncogene-induced senescent cells (periplocin, oleandrin, ginkgetin) also displayed strong senolytic action in senescent A549 cells.
“we found that the same three compounds validated in oncogene-induced senescent cells (periplocin, oleandrin, ginkgetin) also displayed strong senolytic action in senescent A549 cells.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Feature selection identified a reduced set of 165 normalised features.
“we identified a reduced set of 165 normalised features (Supplementary Fig. 1a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The selected compounds are extreme outliers, with prediction scores at least 8 standard deviations away from the bulk of compounds screened.
“The selected compounds are extreme outliers, with prediction scores at least 8 standard deviations away from the bulk of compounds screened (Fig. 2e).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
More than half of the 58 training senolytics were maximally distant from the newly discovered senolytics in Tanimoto descriptor space.
“More than half of the training compounds were found to be maximally distant from our newly discovered senolytics”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
None of the cardiac glycosides ouabain, periplocin, and oleandrin induced unwanted changes in proliferation at 10 nM in proliferating IMR90 cells.
“observing that none of the cardiac glycosides induced unwanted changes in proliferation at 10 nM concentration (Supplementary Fig. 9g).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Low adjusted Rand index scores, with mean ARI < 0.05 for 100 runs, indicate that compounds do not cluster according to the source from which they were obtained.
“We found low ARI scores (Fig. 1e) across all cluster resolutions described by the γ parameter; moreover, the ARI scores showed pronounced troughs at the plateaus detected with the Louvain method (mean ARI < 0.05 for 100 runs of the clustering method), which we regarded as sufficient evidence that compounds do not cluster according to the source from which they were obtained.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [61] Gates, A. J. & Ahn, Y.-Y. The impact of random models on clustering similarity. bioRxiv https://doi.org/10.1101/196840 (2017). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Findingown data
k-means clustering of the positives revealed an almost linear decrease in the k-means score with respect to the number of clusters.
“We first clustered the positives with the k-means algorithm58 and the cosine distance between feature vectors; this analysis revealed an almost linear decrease in the k-means score with respect to the number of clusters (Fig. 1c).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [58] Hastie, T., Friedman, J. & Tibshirani, R. The Elements of Statistical Learning. Springer Series in Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-21606-5 (2001). source
- Findingown data
The XGBoost model substantially outperformed a deep learning model based on message-passing neural networks.
“We also benchmarked the XGBoost model against a deep learning model based on message-passing neural networks that have shown excellent performance across a range of molecular property prediction tasks39, but these were substantially outperformed by the XGBoost model (Supplementary Fig. 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] Stokes, J. M. et al. A deep learning approach to antibiotic discovery. Cell 181, 475–483 (2020). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Findingcitation
The authors combined the 58 literature senolytics with another panel of 19 senolytics reported in a commercial patent.
“We combined these positives with another panel of 19 senolytics reported in a commercial patent14.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Senolytic compounds. Patent no. 20200121620, (2018).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
Testing 21 candidate compounds identified three with clear senolytic action: periplocin, oleandrin, and ginkgetin.
“We then tested the 21 candidate compounds and found three with clear senolytic action: periplocin and oleandrin, two cardiac glycosides which have not been previously identified as senolytics, and ginkgetin, a natural non-toxic biflavone; this amounts to a hit confirmation rate of 14.28% (Fig. 3c, d and Supplementary Fig. 4c).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Oleandrin does not affect the proliferative capacity and viability of normal cells at that nanomolar concentration.
“Moreover, we saw that oleandrin does not affect the proliferative capacity and viability of normal cells at that nanomolar concentration, indicating promising senolytic potential.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The method reduced the number of compounds for experimental screening by more than 200-fold.
“our method led to large gains in efficiency by reducing the number of compounds for experimental screening by more than 200-fold.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Only oleandrin induced a significant increase in NOXA mRNA expression at 10 nM.
“We observed that only oleandrin induced a significant increase in NOXA mRNA expression at a low concentration of 10 nM (Fig. 5c, d)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The library of negative compounds contained 2465 compounds from LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280.
“The library of negative compounds contains 2465 compounds from the LOPAC-1280 (Library of Pharmacologically Active Compounds; Merck, Darmstadt, Germany) and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 (Prestwick Chemical, Illkirch, France).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Classic physicochemical descriptors calculated from SMILES strings were sufficient to train useful models.
“In our approach, we found that classic physicochemical descriptors57 calculated from SMILES strings were sufficient to train useful models.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [57] RDKit: Open-source cheminformatics. https://www.rdkit.org.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
The models generally displayed poor performance as quantified by common classification metrics, producing large numbers of false positives and false negatives in cross-validation.
“Moreover, our models generally displayed poor performance as quantified by common classification metrics, producing large numbers of false positives and false negatives in cross-validation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Treatment with oleandrin for three days resulted in reduced expression of proinflammatory cytokines IL1α, IL1β and IL8 mRNA in surviving cells in OIS and replicative senescence.
“Furthermore, treatment with oleandrin for three days resulted in reduced expression of proinflammatory cytokines IL1α, IL1β and IL8 mRNA in the surviving cells in OIS (Supplementary Fig. 9l) and replicative senescence (Supplementary Fig. 9m).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The machine learning models were trained on just 58 chemical structures with proven senolytic action.
“Second, our machine learning models were trained on just 58 chemical structures with proven senolytic action, which is much smaller data than typically considered in the field”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
After three days of treatment with 10 nM oleandrin, mRNA expression of senescence markers p16 and p21 was reduced in surviving cells in both OIS and replicative senescence cell cultures.
“Moreover, after three days of treatment with 10 nM oleandrin, the mRNA expression of the senescence markers p16 and p21 was found to be reduced in the surviving cells in both OIS (Supplementary Fig. 9j) and replicative senescence (Supplementary Fig. 9k) cell cultures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The training data had a strong imbalance between the number of senolytic and non-senolytic compounds, which introduced additional challenges for model training.
“These design choices produced a strong imbalance between the number of senolytic and non-senolytic compounds, which introduced additional challenges for model training.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The performance metrics computed on the 30% held-out compounds are over-optimistic because feature selection and model selection accessed the full dataset.
“Therefore, the performance metrics computed on a set of 30% held-out compounds are over-optimistic, since model selection benefitted from accessing those testing samples during feature selection and cross-validation on the full data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The steroid hormone core structure alone present in periplocin, oleandrin, and ouabain is insufficient for senolytic activity, when compared with inactive compounds taurocholic acid and gamma-oryzanol.
“The steroid hormone core structure alone (Supplementary Fig. 8a, coloured red) present in periplocin, oleandrin and ouabain is insufficient for senolytic activity, when compared to inactive compounds taurocholic acid and gamma-oryzanol.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Oleandrin has a more substantial senolytic effect than ouabain in replicative senescence and therapy-induced senescence in epithelial cancer cells.
“This indicates that oleandrin has a more substantial senolytic effect than ouabain in replicative senescence and therapy-induced senescence in epithelial cancer cells (Fig. 4c and Supplementary Fig. 9b, d, e).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Oleandrin inhibits its canonical target at lower concentrations than ouabain in senescent cells.
“indicating that oleandrin inhibits its canonical target at lower concentrations than ouabain in senescent cells.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Oleandrin has enhanced and highly specific senolytic activity at a lower drug concentration.
“which is indicative of an enhanced and highly specific senolytic activity at a lower drug concentration (Fig. 4a, b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The heterogeneity of the positive compounds bears the risk of introducing bias in the models and limiting their predictive power if specific chemical families are overrepresented in the training data.
“This bears the risk of introducing bias in our models and limit their predictive power if specific chemical families are overrepresented in the training data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Artificial intelligence can take maximum advantage of small and heterogeneous drug screening data.
“demonstrates that artificial intelligence can take maximum advantage of small and heterogeneous drug screening data”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Senolytic cardiac glycosides activate a transcriptional programme resulting in the induction of several pro-apoptotic Bcl-2 family proteins.
“Senolytic cardiac glycosides activate a transcriptional programme resulting in the induction of several pro-apoptotic Bcl-2 family proteins13.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
- Premisecitation
Only two compounds have shown efficacy in clinical trials: dasatinib and quercetin in combination therapy.
“only two compounds have shown efficacy in clinical trials (dasatinib and quercetin in combination therapy29).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] Hickson, L. J. et al. Senolytics decrease senescent cells in humans: Preliminary report from a clinical trial of Dasatinib plus Quercetin in individuals with diabetic kidney disease. EBioMedicine 47, 446–456 (2019). source
- Interpretationnone given
The authors' approach led to several hundred-fold reduction in drug screening costs.
“Our approach led to several hundred-fold reduction in drug screening costs”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Oleandrin displays improved senolytic performance over benchmark senolytic cardiac glycosides.
“AI-identified compound oleandrin displays improved senolytic performance over benchmark senolytic cardiac glycosides”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The Tanimoto distance results provide some validation that the machine learning approach can effectively identify diverse compounds for specific biological effects such as senolysis.
“which provides some validation that our machine learning approach can effectively identify diverse compounds for specific biological effects such as senolysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The glycoside linkages and furanone moiety are likely contributing to target binding and potency of periplocin, oleandrin, and ouabain beyond physicochemical properties.
“Hence the glycoside linkages (Supplementary Fig. 8a, coloured blue) and furanone moiety (Supplementary Fig. 8a, purple) are likely contributing to target binding and potency, beyond physicochemical properties (e.g. solubility or cell permeability).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The low silhouette coefficients suggest little similarity among the senolytic compounds chosen for training.
“which further suggests little similarity among the senolytic compounds chosen for training.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Oleandrin induces apoptosis in senescent cells at lower concentrations than ouabain.
“confirming that oleandrin induces apoptosis in senescent cells at lower concentrations than ouabain (Fig. 4d and Supplementary Fig. 9f).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Senolytics have shown substantial promise in ameliorating symptoms of many conditions in mice.
“Senolytics have shown substantial promise in ameliorating symptoms of many conditions in mice11–20”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 10 sources checked- cites [11] Fuhrmann-Stroissnigg, H. et al. Identification of HSP90 inhibitors as a novel class of senolytics. Nat. Commun. 8, 422 (2017). source
- cites [12] Guerrero, A. et al. Galactose-modified duocarmycin prodrugs as senolytics. Aging Cell. 19, e13133 (2020). source
- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
- cites [14] Senolytic compounds. Patent no. 20200121620, (2018).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [15] Triana-Martínez, F. et al. Identification and characterization of Cardiac Glycosides as senolytic compounds. Nat. Commun. 10, 4731 (2019). source
- cites [16] Yosef, R. et al. Directed elimination of senescent cells by inhibition of BCL-W and BCL-XL. Nat. Commun. 7, 11190 (2016). source
- cites [17] Yousefzadeh, M. J. et al. Fisetin is a senotherapeutic that extends health and lifespan. EBioMedicine 36, 18–28 (2018). source
- cites [18] Zhu, Y. et al. The Achilles’ heel of senescent cells: from transcriptome to senolytic drugs. Aging Cell. 14, 644–658 (2015). source
- cites [19] Zhu, Y. et al. New agents that target senescent cells: the flavone, fisetin, and the BCL-X inhibitors, A1331852 and A1155463. Aging 9, 955–963 (2017). source
- cites [20] Chang, J. et al. Clearance of senescent cells by ABT263 rejuvenates aged hematopoietic stem cells in mice. Nat. Med. 22, 78–83 (2016). source
- Interpretationreasoning
Seemingly poor models can be employed effectively with adequate checks and balances on the structure of the data, plus careful interpretation of misclassification errors.
“Our results thus show that seemingly poor models can be employed effectively with adequate checks and balances on the structure of the data, plus a careful interpretation of misclassification errors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The robustness of results can be assessed with randomised repeats of model training and screening.
“Although cutoff selection is highly problem-dependent, the robustness of results can be assessed with randomised repeats of model training and screening (Supplementary Fig. 10).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Oleandrin has a potent effect over benchmark cardiac glycosides.
“confirming the potent effect of oleandrin over benchmark cardiac glycosides.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Artificial intelligence and machine learning can help discover new and better-performing active compounds for a given pharmacological group.
“Our work thus demonstrates that artificial intelligence and machine learning can help discover new and better-performing active compounds for a given pharmacological group.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The success of the approach demonstrates that machine learning can take maximum advantage of literature data, even when such data is heterogeneous and of much smaller scale than typically expected.
“The success of our approach demonstrates that machine learning can take maximum advantage of literature data, even when such data is heterogeneous and of much smaller scale than typically expected71.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [71] Bender, A. & Cortés-Ciriano, I. Artificial intelligence in drug discovery: what is realistic, what are illusions? Part 1: Ways to make an impact, and why we are not there yet. Drug Discovn Today. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drudis.2020.12.009 (2021). source
- Rests on an assumption: Senolysis is a rare molecular property and the number of senolytics reported in the literature so far is limited.
- Interpretationown data
The three compounds have a potency comparable or higher to senolytics previously described in the literature.
“We showed that these compounds have a potency comparable or higher to senolytics previously described in the literature”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
The approach identified oleandrin, a cardiac glycoside with stronger potency than the benchmark senolytic cardiac glycoside ouabain.
“Importantly, our approach identified oleandrin, a cardiac glycoside with stronger potency than the benchmark senolytic cardiac glycoside ouabain.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Cardiac glycosides employed in heart conditions have severe limitations due to toxicity.
“A caveat, however, is that cardiac glycosides that have been employed in heart conditions have severe limitations due to toxicity76”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [76] Zhai, J., Dong, X., Yan, F., Guo, H. & Yang, J. Oleandrin: a systematic review of its natural sources, structural properties, detection methods, pharmacokinetics and toxicology. Front. Pharmacol. 13, 822726 (2022). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- Interpretationreasoning
Careful data assembly, curation, and quality control were key for success.
“We found that careful data assembly, curation, and quality control were key for success.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The machine learning strategy revealed three compounds (ginkgetin, oleandrin, and periplocin) that selectively eliminate cells displaying oncogene- and therapy-induced senescence.
“Our strategy revealed three compounds (ginkgetin, oleandrin and periplocin) that selectively eliminate cells displaying oncogene- and therapy-induced senescence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The screening library was designed to balance similarity with the training data against exploration of novel chemical spaces.
“We carefully designed the screening library to balance similarity with the training data against exploration of novel chemical spaces (Fig. 2f).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- It may state two separate claims as one. 44
- Probably not a substantial claim. 32
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe authors developed and validated a machine learning pipeline for the discovery of senolytics.
“Here, we report the development and validation of a machine learning pipeline for the discovery of senolytics.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataIn both replicative senescence in IMR90 cells and A549 TIS, oleandrin was the only compound showing a significant reduction in cellular content in senescent cultures at 10 nM while keeping cellular density unchanged in non-senescent control cultures.
“In both models, oleandrin was the only compound showing a significant reduction in cellular content in senescent cultures at a concentration of 10 nM, while keeping the cellular density unchanged in non-senescent control cell cultures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingnone givenBoth oleandrin and periplocin are steroid saponins similar to ouabain, whereas ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone natural product.
“Both oleandrin and periplocin are steroid saponins, similar to ouabain, yet ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone natural product.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe XGBoost model improved precision, recall, and F1 scores, and overall returned the best performance among all considered models.
“The XGBoost model improved precision, recall, and F1 scores, and overall returned the best performance among all considered models (Fig. 2b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataA small group of 21 compounds (0.4% of the full library) had a comparatively higher probability of being senolytic (P > 44%) and were selected for experimental validation.
“At the far end of the tail, the score distribution revealed a small group of 21 compounds (0.4% of the full library) with a comparatively higher probability of being senolytic (P > 44%, Fig. 2d, orange), which we selected for further experimental validation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe XGBoost model had an average precision score of 0.7 ± 0.16 in 5-fold cross-validation on the whole dataset, corresponding to an average false discovery rate of 30%.
“We observed an average precision score of 0.7 ± 0.16 in 5-fold cross-validation on the whole dataset analysis of this model, which amounts to an average false discovery rate of 30% that we regarded as acceptable given the heterogeneity of the data employed for training.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe three compounds showed enhanced toxicity in senescent A549 cells compared with proliferating, non-senescent A549 controls, with an effect comparable to the positive control.
“The three compounds showed enhanced toxicity when compared with proliferating, non-senescent A549 controls with an effect comparable to the positive control.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataPeriplocin showed a senolytic effect with a striking resemblance to the positive control ouabain.
“In particular, periplocin (the top hit predicted by our model, Fig. 2d) showed a senolytic effect with a striking resemblance to the positive control ouabain (Fig. 3b, d).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingnone givenOleandrin and periplocin are related steroid saponins, similar to ouabain.
“Oleandrin and periplocin are related steroid saponins, similar to ouabain.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe full dataset for model training contains 2523 compounds, including 58 positives (2.3%).
“The full dataset for model training contains 2523 compounds, including 58 positives (2.3%).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe Tanimoto distance graph showed that most senolytics are far apart in the descriptor space, with a median Tanimoto distance of 0.77.
“The structure of the resulting distance graph corroborates the finding that most senolytics are far apart in the descriptor space (median Tanimoto distance = 0.77; Fig. 1d inset)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataOleandrin has greater potency and activity over its target (Na+/K+ ATPase) and its senolytic effector NOXA, as compared to known cardiac glycosides with senolytic action.
“we show that oleandrin has improved potency over its target as compared to best-in-class alternatives.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
“We further show that oleandrin has greater potency and activity over its target (Na+/K+ ATPase) and its senolytic effector NOXA, as compared to known cardiac glycosides with senolytic action.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Introduction · plain
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe RF model tends to return few false positives (high precision) and a high number of false negatives (low recall), whereas the SVM returns opposite results.
“The performance metrics (Fig. 2b) suggest that the RF model tends to return few false positives (high precision) and a high number of false negatives (low recall), whereas the SVM returns opposite results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataExperimental screening of the top predicted molecules in two model cell lines for oncogene-induced and therapy-induced senescence revealed senolytic activity of ginkgetin, oleandrin and periplocin.
“Three compounds out of the 21 displayed senolytic activity: ginkgetin, oleandrin and periplocin”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“validated the senolytic action of ginkgetin, periplocin and oleandrin in human cell lines under various modalities of senescence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataNavitoclax at 1 μM killed most cultured senescent A549 cells but did not reduce numbers of non-senescent control cells.
“Addition of 1 μM navitoclax to A549 cells killed most of the cultured senescent cells, but resulted in no reduction in numbers of non-senescent control cells, confirming its optimal senolytic activity (Supplementary Fig. 6b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataAt the tested concentrations, the three compounds had a marginal effect on nuclei counts in normal cells but a marked decrease in nuclei counts in senescent cells.
“These concentrations have a marginal effect on the nuclei counts in normal cells, but a marked decrease in nuclei counts in senescent cells (Fig. 3c, d and Supplementary Fig. 5a).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataAt 46.4 nM ouabain, most cultured senescent cells were killed, but there was only marginal reduction in the number of non-senescent control cells.
“This concentration killed most of the cultured senescent cells, but resulted in marginal reduction of the number of non-senescent control cells (Fig. 3b).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataTreatment of IMR90 ER:RAS cells with 4-OHT showed a decrease in proliferation, increased senescence-associated β-galactosidase activity, induction of cell cycle inhibitor expression, and activation of the SASP compared with controls, indicating that the cells underwent OIS.
“Treatment of IMR90 ER:RAS cells with 4-OHT showed a decrease in proliferation, increased senescence-associated β-galactosidase activity, induction of cell cycle inhibitor expression, and activation of the SASP when compared with control and 4-OHT untreated cells, indicating that the cells underwent OIS (Supplementary Fig. 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingnone givenGinkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone.
“Ginkgetin is a structurally distinct biflavone”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe XGBoost model produced a long-tailed distribution of prediction scores, with most compounds assigned extremely low prediction scores.
“The XGBoost model proved to be exceptionally selective and produced a long-tailed distribution of prediction scores (Fig. 2d); most compounds were assigned extremely low prediction scores, and thus deemed to have a low probability of being senolytic.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe majority of the selected compounds are structurally diverse natural products, with some common features including steroid saponins, flavone derivatives, and macrocycles.
“The majority of the selected compounds are structurally diverse natural products, but with some common features including steroid saponins, flavone derivatives, and macrocycles.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe final XGBoost model was used to screen a library of 4340 compounds, none of which were present in the training library.
“We assembled compounds from the L2100 TargetMol Anticancer and L3800 Selleck FDA-approved & Passed Phase libraries into a single dataset with 4340 structures featurised with the physicochemical descriptors from RDKit; none of the compounds in the screening library were present in the training library.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
FindingreasoningThe impact of class imbalance was mitigated by prioritising models with a lower number of false positives, reducing downstream costs for experimental validation.
“We mitigated the impact of class imbalance by prioritising models with a lower number of false positives, and thus reduce the downstream costs for experimental validation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
FindingreasoningIt is plausible that some compounds from the LOPAC and Prestwick libraries were incorrectly labelled as negative.
“Although all compounds from these two library sources were assumed to be negative, it is plausible that some of these molecules were incorrectly labelled.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: All compounds from the LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 libraries lack senolytic action.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown dataDimensionality reduction of the 200 RDKit features was challenging, as more than 50% of the features were needed to explain 99% of the variance.
“Dimensionality reduction of this data proved to be challenging, as more than 50% of the 200 RDKit features were needed to explain 99% of the variance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataFor SVM, setting class weight to balanced was the best option; for RF, the default class weight was best.
“In the case of SVM, the setting of ‘class weight’ to ‘balanced’ was the best option, whereas for the RF the best setting was the default one.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
FindingreasoningThis design led to an exceptionally selective distribution of prediction scores, allowing selection of a cutoff for experimental validation with a reasonable number of hits and prediction scores far away from the bulk of the screening compounds.
“This led to an exceptionally selective distribution of prediction scores (Fig. 2d), which allowed us to select a cutoff for experimental validation with a reasonable number of hits and prediction scores far away from the bulk of the screening compounds.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown dataExperimental validation was performed on compounds with z-score > 8, corresponding to 21 compounds out of 4340 in the screening libraries.
“We performed experimental validation of the compounds with z-score > 8 (Fig. 2e). These correspond to 21 compounds out of a total of 4340 compounds in our screening libraries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataSMOTE was applied to the training set only and did not significantly improve classification.
“We attempted to resolve the severe class imbalance problem inherent to our data by utilising the pre-processing technique SMOTE on several classification algorithms, without significant improvement; SMOTE was applied to the training set only.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThere were limited benefits in the use of deep learning for compound featurisation, possibly because of the small size of the training data.
“We observed limited benefits in the use of deep learning for compound featurisation, possibly because of the small size of our training data.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenWherever possible, different studies were cross-validated for widely reported senolytics such as navitoclax, digoxin, ouabain, ABT-737 and fisetin.
“Wherever possible, we cross-validated different studies, e.g. for widely reported senolytics such as navitoclax, digoxin, ouabain, ABT-737 and fisetin.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationMost known senolytics target pathways that are mutated in cancer, which limits their applicability as therapeutic agents.
“most known senolytics target pathways that are mutated in cancer, which limits their applicability as therapeutic agents32”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [32] Paez-Ribes, M., González-Gualda, E., Doherty, G. J. & Muñoz-Espín, D. Targeting senescent cells in translational medicine. EMBO Mol. Med. 11, e10234 (2019). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationThe drop in cell number compared to untreated controls is indicated by the nuclei count and reflects cell death.
“The drop in cell number compared to untreated controls is indicated by the nuclei count and reflects cell death13,15.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationSeveral studies have shown that flavonoids are promising candidates in senescence-related research.
“Several studies have shown that flavonoids are promising candidates in senescence-related research, hence the importance of finding new and more efficacious compounds of this kind67–69.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [67] Mbara, K. C., Devnarain, N. & Owira, P. M. O. Potential role of polyphenolic flavonoids as senotherapeutic agents in degenerative diseases and geroprotection. Pharmaceut. Med. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40290-022-00444-w (2022). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites [68] Lim, H., Park, H. & Kim, H. P. Effects of flavonoids on senescence-associated secretory phenotype formation from bleomycin-induced senescence in BJ fibroblasts. Biochem. Pharmacol. 96, 337–348 (2015). source
- cites [69] Lagoumtzi, S. M. & Chondrogianni, N. Senolytics and senomorphics: natural and synthetic therapeutics in the treatment of aging and chronic diseases. Free Radic. Biol. Med. 171, 169–190 (2021). source
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductown dataThe hyperparameters of the SVM and RF models were determined using 5-fold cross-validation.
“The hyperparameters of the SVM and RF models were determined using 5-fold cross-validation (Supplementary Tables 3–4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataDimensionality reduction revealed a strong overlap between the training and screening compounds, providing strong evidence that the computational screen was performed in the high-confidence domain of the machine learning model.
“We employed dimensionality reduction to visualise the training and screening compounds in the RDKit feature space65, which revealed a strong overlap between the two sets and thus a strong evidence that the computational screen was performed in the high-confidence domain of the machine learning model (Fig. 2f).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [65] van der Maaten, L. & Hinton, G. Visualizing data using t-SNE. J. Mach. Learn Res. 9, 2579–2605 (2008).
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationSome compounds, such as ouabain, have wide-spectrum senolytic action, whereas others such as BIX-01294 limit their effect to specific conditions.
“Some of these compounds, e.g. ouabain13, have wide-spectrum senolytic action, whereas others such as BIX-01294, limit their effect to specific conditions13.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
Probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe senolytic effect of cardiac glycosides has been previously linked to its canonical target, the Na+/K+ ATPase pump.
“The senolytic effect of cardiac glycosides has been previously linked to its canonical target, the Na+/K+ ATPase pump13.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
Probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenThe positive compounds were selected on the basis that they can maintain a minimum of 60% viability in normal cells and eliminate senescent cells for at least one cell line, one concentration, and one strategy for induction of senescence.
“These compounds were selected on the basis that they can maintain a minimum of 60% viability in normal cells and eliminate senescent cells for at least one cell line, one concentration, and one strategy for induction of senescence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductown dataThe hyperparameters of the XGBoost model were determined via 5-fold cross-validation.
“The hyperparameters of the XGBoost model were determined via 5-fold cross-validation (Supplementary Table 5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataThe lack of a clear elbow in the k-means score suggests poor data clustering and provides a qualitative indication of diversity in the training data.
“The lack of a clear “elbow” in the k-means score suggests poor data clustering and hence provides a qualitative indication of diversity in the training data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductown dataThe drug screen was done once with three experimental replicates.
“This drug screen was done once with three experimental replicates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductown dataModels were trained with 5-fold cross-validation to check for overfitting.
“This was done with 5-fold cross-validation to check for overfitting.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenHyperparameter optimisation settings were applied only to the training set in each of the five folds.
“hyperparameter optimisation settings were applied only to the training set in each of the five folds.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationIMR90 ER:RAS is a derivative of IMR90 cells expressing a switchable version of oncogenic H-Ras.
“IMR90 ER:RAS is a derivative of IMR90 cells expressing a switchable version of oncogenic H-Ras84.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [84] Hari, P. et al. The innate immune sensor Toll-like receptor 2 controls the senescence-associated secretory phenotype. Sci. Adv. 5, eaaw0254 (2019). source
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenCells were tested for mycoplasma on a regular basis.
“Cells were tested for mycoplasma on a regular basis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationOuabain induces the expression of the BH3-only pro-apoptotic protein NOXA, which mediates its senolytic effect.
“Specifically, ouabain induces the expression of the BH3-only pro-apoptotic protein NOXA, which mediates its senolytic effect.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [13] Guerrero, A. et al. Cardiac glycosides are broad-spectrum senolytics. Nat. Metab. 1, 1074–1088 (2019). source
Probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenIn all cases, exposure time, sensor gain, and digital manipulation were the same for control and experimental samples.
“In all cases, exposure time, sensor gain, and digital manipulation were the same for control and experimental samples.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationThe three senolytics identified in this study are natural products found in traditional herbal medicines: Ginkgo biloba (ginkgetin), Nerium oleander (oleandrin), and Periploca sepium (periplocin).
“we highlight that the three senolytics identified in this study are natural products found in traditional herbal medicines: Ginkgo biloba (ginkgetin)79 Nerium oleander (oleandrin)76 and Periploca sepium (periplocin)80.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [79] Website. ginkgetin: a natural biflavone with versatile pharmacological activities. Food Chem. Toxicol. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fct.2020.111642 (2020). source
- cites [76] Zhai, J., Dong, X., Yan, F., Guo, H. & Yang, J. Oleandrin: a systematic review of its natural sources, structural properties, detection methods, pharmacokinetics and toxicology. Front. Pharmacol. 13, 822726 (2022). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
- cites [80] Huang, M., Shen, S., Luo, C. & Ren, Y. Genus Periploca (apocynaceae): a review of its classification, phytochemistry, biological activities and toxicology. Molecules. https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules24152749 (2019). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductown dataThe cell lines were confirmed to be mycoplasma negative.
“The cell lines were confirmed to be mycoplasma negative (Lonza MycoAlert, cat #LT07-118).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Study design and conductnone givenSample sizes were based on standard protocols in the field.
“Sample sizes were based in standard protocols in the field.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Premisenone givenOleandrin and periplocin belong to the group of cardenolide glycosides, which are highly potent cardioactive agents, while ginkgetin is a biflavone with a broad pharmacological spectrum.
“Oleandrin and periplocin belong to the group of cardenolide glycosides, which are highly potent cardioactive agents, while ginkgetin is a biflavone with a broad pharmacological spectrum.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningThe approach led to a significant reduction in experimental screening costs, largely because all models were trained solely on published data and there was no need to screen compounds purposely for model training.
“Our approach led to a significant reduction in experimental screening costs, largely because all models were trained solely on published data and, unlike other recent successes in the field39, there was no need to screen compounds purposely for model training.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] Stokes, J. M. et al. A deep learning approach to antibiotic discovery. Cell 181, 475–483 (2020). source
Checked before — its earlier verdict is held back until a new check runs.
It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationcitationOleandrin has a narrow therapeutic range and cardiotoxicity.
“our results suggest that oleandrin is not an exception because of its narrow therapeutic range and cardiotoxicity”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataThe exceptional activity and potency of oleandrin, together with its relatively low molecular weight (576.7 g/mol) and favourable cLogP (2.4), make it a promising lead candidate compared to periplocin and ginkgetin.
“the exceptional activity and potency of oleandrin, together with its relatively low molecular weight (576.7 g/mol) and favourable cLogP (2.4), make it a promising lead candidate as compared to periplocin and ginkgetin (Supplementary Fig. 11).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataTwo cellular models of senescence were employed: one of OIS and a second one of TIS.
“We employed two cellular models of senescence: one of OIS and a second one of TIS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductnone givenAll measurements were taken from distinct samples, as noted in figure legends, and no data were excluded.
“All measurements were taken from distinct samples, as noted in figure legends, and no data were excluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenFor in vitro biological experiments, cell culture plates were randomly assigned to treatments in each experiment.
“For in vitro biological experiments, cell culture plates were randomly assigned to treatments in each experiment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataOleandrin functions at a low nanomolar range, inhibits its canonical target, and activates its senolytic pathway with higher efficacy than ouabain.
“Oleandrin has improved senolytic performance over ouabain, functioning at a low nanomolar range, inhibiting its canonical target and activating its senolytic pathway with higher efficacy.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenUnless otherwise stated, at least three biological independent replicates were performed for each experiment.
“Unless otherwise stated, at least three biological independent replicates were performed for each experiment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataOleandrin treatment reduced both senescence burden and proinflammatory SASP signalling.
“These findings provide evidence that oleandrin treatment reduced both senescence burden and proinflammatory SASP signalling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataThe machine learning approach was able to discover an improved and more potent cardiac glycoside with senolytic action, facilitating identification of chemical structure baits for further downstream chemical optimisation.
“Altogether, these results demonstrate that our machine learning approach was able to discover an improved and more potent cardiac glycoside with senolytic action, facilitating the identification of chemical structure baits for further downstream chemical optimisation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Premisenone givenOleandrin shares key structural features with other cardiac glycosides, including a sugar attached to the steroid core at C3β-OH, a 2-furanone ring at C17β, and an OH group at C14β; unlike most cardiac glycosides, it has an acetyloxy group at C16β.
“Oleandrin shares key structural features with other cardiac glycosides, including the presence of a sugar attached to the steroid core (at the C3β-OH group), a 2-furanone ring at C17β and an OH group at the C14β position of the steroid ring. Unlike most cardiac glycosides, oleandrin has an acetyloxy group attached at position C16β.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe XGBoost, RF, and SVM models were re-trained with a stratified random split of the data (70% training, 30% testing) to produce the confusion matrices in Fig. 2c.
“We subsequently re-trained the XGBoost, RF, and SVM models with a stratified random split of the data (70% for training, and 30% for testing) to produce the confusion matrices in Fig. 2c.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductnone givenFor all other experiments, data collection and analysis were blinded to the person collecting and analysing the data, and samples were identified only at the end of each experimental analysis.
“For all other experiments, data collection and analysis were blinded to the person collecting and analysing the data, and the samples were identified only at the end of each experimental analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe work provides a concrete example of a simple yet effective machine learning pipeline that can be readily built from published screening data.
“Our work provides a concrete example of a simple yet effective machine learning pipeline that can be readily built from published screening data.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductreasoningMost imaging data were acquired and analysed automatically by a high content microscopy platform and MetaXpress, and thus data collection and analysis were blinded.
“Most imaging data were acquired and analysed automatically by a high content microscopy platform and the imaging analysis software MetaXpress, and thus, data collection and analysis were blinded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenEvery screened condition was carried out in triplicate.
“Every screened condition was carried out in triplicate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningOleandrin features a monosaccharide and a simple central steroid system, which makes it closer to a potentially non-cardiotoxic pharmacophore and an attractive starting point for future senolytic medicinal chemistry campaigns.
“oleandrin features a monosaccharide and a simple central steroid system, which makes it closer to a potentially non-cardiotoxic pharmacophore and, consequently, an attractive starting point for future senolytic medicinal chemistry campaigns.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
The background compounds from LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 lack senolytic action.
“The full list of positives was then merged with a large background of compounds assumed to lack senolytic action.”
“This assumption was needed due to the lack of data on negative screening results in the literature.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Machine learning models can bias their predictions towards the training data they have been exposed to.
“Since machine learning models can bias their predictions towards the training data they have been exposed to, we chose the negatives from two diverse chemical libraries, LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280, which contain a wide range of FDA-approved or clinical-stage compounds.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Current approaches to drug discovery suffer from high attrition rates in late-stage preclinical and clinical development.
“Current approaches to drug discovery suffer from notoriously high attrition rates in late-stage preclinical and clinical development.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 libraries are sufficiently diverse for training machine learning models.
“We reasoned that these libraries are sufficiently diverse for training machine learning models.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
All compounds from the LOPAC-1280 and Prestwick FDA-approved-1280 libraries lack senolytic action.
“Although all compounds from these two library sources were assumed to be negative”
The paper relies on this without support.
Periplocin and oleandrin had not been previously identified as senolytics.
“periplocin and oleandrin, two cardiac glycosides which have not been previously identified as senolytics”
The paper relies on this without support.
Senolysis is a rare molecular property and the number of senolytics reported in the literature so far is limited.
“the small number of senolytics in the training data is a consequence of senolysis being a rare molecular property and the limited number of senolytics reported in the literature so far.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The underlying assumptions for the statistical tests, including sample independence, variance equality, and normality, were assumed to be met although not explicitly examined.
“Underlying assumptions for these tests, including sample independence, variance equality, and normality were assumed to be met although not explicitly examined.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Machine learning pipelines have predicted synergistic drug combinations, substantially reducing the time and cost of discovery.
“Machine learning pipelines, trained on extensive chemical compound datasets, have already identified novel small-molecule senolytics, such as Ginkgetin, Periplocin, and Oleandrin, and predicted synergistic drug combinations, substantially reducing the time and cost of discovery127,128.”
From Emerging strategies in senotherapeutics: from broad-spectrum senolysis to precision reprogramming (2026) · cites this paper as [128]
The Discussion (page unavailable) reports that the machine-learning pipeline reduced experimental screening by more than 200-fold and significantly reduced screening costs. The Results describe predictions of individual senolytic compounds, not synergistic drug combinations, and the cited passages do not establish a reduction in discovery time. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredMachine learning pipelines trained on extensive chemical compound datasets have identified novel small-molecule senolytics, such as Ginkgetin, Periplocin, and Oleandrin.
“Machine learning pipelines, trained on extensive chemical compound datasets, have already identified novel small-molecule senolytics, such as Ginkgetin, Periplocin, and Oleandrin, and predicted synergistic drug combinations, substantially reducing the time and cost of discovery127,128.”
From Emerging strategies in senotherapeutics: from broad-spectrum senolysis to precision reprogramming (2026) · cites this paper as [128]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Caspase assay duration is reported as both 35 and 36 hours
MinorThe figure caption and assay method give different treatment durations for the caspase 3/7 experiment.
“treated during 35 h with 10 nM oleandrin, ouabain and periplocin”
“Caspase 3/7 probe (C10423 Invitrogen) and senolytic drugs, oleandrin, ouabain and periplocin at 10 nM, were added to the media and cultured for 36 h.”
Selected compounds are 0.48%, not 0.4%, of the library
MinorThe stated 21 compounds out of 4,340 represent approximately 0.48% of the screening library, which rounds to 0.5% at the reported precision.
Reported 0.4 · recomputed 0.483871
“a small group of 21 compounds (0.4% of the full library)”
OIS validation gives conflicting 4-OHT treatment durations
MinorThe figure caption describes 4-OHT treatment throughout an eight-day OIS experiment, while the validation methods give its duration as six days.
“Senescence was induced by addition of 4-OHT at 100 nM during the duration of the experiment (8 days).”
“The 4-OHT treatment had a duration of six days.”
Graph construction conflicts with the reported edge count
MinorFor 58 compounds, a minimum spanning tree has 57 edges. Its intersection with another graph cannot have the 269 edges reported for the resulting graph.
“This graph was then sparsified with the k-nearest neighbours graph (k = 7) intersected with the minimum spanning tree of the original graph.”
“Inset shows the distribution of Tanimoto distances across the 269 graph edges (median distance of 0.77).”
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Translational Geroscience Strategies for Delaying Multimorbidity
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Metadata
- Authors
- Smer-Barreto, V., Quintanilla, A., Elliott, R. J. R., Dawson, J. C., Sun, J., Campa, V. M., Lorente-Macías, Á., Unciti-Broceta, A., Carragher, N. O., Acosta, J. C., & Oyarzún, D. A.
- Affiliations
- Edinburgh Cancer Research (GB)
- Universidad de Cantabria (ES)
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
- The Alan Turing Institute (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Smer-Barreto, Vanessa
- Acosta, Juan Carlos
- Oyarzún, Diego A.
- ORCID
- Venue
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2023-06-10
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 3445-3445
- ISSN
- 2041-1723 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC10257182
- OpenAlex
- W4380152694
- Semantic Scholar
- d9a31a94f6f0a105f67c80f4b055dce4b6563858
- Cited by
- 139
- References
- 86
- Citations by year
- 2026: 42 · 2025: 57 · 2024: 33 · 2023: 7
- FWCI
- 12.31
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- Nature Communications (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UCrea (University of Cantabria) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DIGITAL.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council (CSIC)) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Edinburgh Research Explorer (University of Edinburgh) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Cancer Research UK (16243, C47559/A16243)
- University of Edinburgh (MC_UU_00009/2)
- Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (10.13039, 501100011033, PID2020, PID2020-117860GB-I00, MCIN /AEI /10.13039)
- Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00009/2)
- Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas
- Agencia Estatal de Investigación (501100011033, 10.13039/501100011033, 13039, 10.13039)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Drug Discovery › Computational Drug Discovery Methods
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Cell Biology › Telomeres, Telomerase, and Senescence
- Physical Sciences › Materials Science › Materials Chemistry › Machine Learning in Materials Science
- Keywords
- senolytics, cellular senescence, machine learning, drug discovery, ginkgetin, oleandrin, periplocin, chemical library screening, senescence-associated secretory phenotype, lung fibroblasts, lung adenocarcinoma cells
- MeSH terms
- Machine Learning, Senotherapeutics, Aging, Artificial Intelligence, Humans, Cellular Senescence
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-11-10, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-11-10 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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