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A Meta-Analysis of the Effectiveness of Health Belief Model Variables in Predicting Behavior
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Abstract
The Health Belief Model (HBM; Rosenstock, 1966) was constructed to explain which beliefs should be targeted in communication campaigns to cause positive health behaviors. The model specifies that if individuals perceive a negative health outcome to be severe, perceive themselves to be susceptible to it, perceive the benefits to behaviors that reduce the likelihood of that outcome to be high, and perceive the barriers to adopting those behaviors to be low, then the behavior is likely for those individuals. A meta-analysis of 18 studies (2,702 subjects) was conducted to determine whether measures of these beliefs could longitudinally predict behavior. Benefits and barriers were consistently the strongest predictors. The length of time between measurement of the HBM beliefs and behavior, prevention versus treatment behaviors, and drug-taking regimens versus other behaviors were identified as moderators of the HBM variables' predictive power. Based on the weakness of two of the predictors, the continued use of the direct effects version of the HBM is not recommended.
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“Research has shown that the HBM constructs are predictive of actual behavior”
From Treatment histories, barriers, and preferences for individuals with symptoms of generalized anxiety disorder (2024) · cites this paper as Carpenter, 2010
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Cites
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BackgroundThe use of interactive technologies in health promotion and education
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BackgroundErgas, I. J., Mauch, L. R., Rahbar, J. A., Kitazono, R. E., Kushi, L. H., & Misquitta, R. (2023) · American Journal of Lifestyle Medicine · doi:10.1177/15598276231164949 · Cited by 4
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“[63] However, even when all of the constructs in a model are included, models typically do not account for all of the variance.”
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“8,28 Building from existing conceptual models and We hypothesize that using a vaccine hesitancy measurement lens and approach could deepen our collective understanding of reproductive agency and better inform person-centered programming. theoretical underpinnings of vaccine hesitancy, 28 – 30 as wellas well-known beha…”
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“The statistical models tested in the current study were able to explain 37%, 38%, and 28% of the variance, respectively, which indicates a decent fit of the data (Carpenter, 2010).”
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Assessment and Psychological Interventions for Depression Comorbid with Cardiovascular Disease
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“Not all empirical research that tested HBM has included self-efficacy in their measurement (Carpenter, 2010).”
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„Adherence“ bei Kompressionstherapie
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Effects of participation in swimming lessons on health perception and belief
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“Hansen et al. (2001) reported that participation in exercise has a positive effect on health belief, and Carpenter (2010) mentioned that observing the recommended health behavior, as the perceived disability is low, supports the basic assumption of the health belief model.”
BackgroundEvaluation of a Computer-Tailored Osteoporosis Prevention Intervention in Young Women
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“Furthermore, Carpenter performed a metaanalysis that found that perceived barriers were highly associated with a variety of behavioral outcomes.(40) FIGURE 3 Mean scores of average daily vitamin D intake prior to (1), and one month after (2) intervention.”
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“studies across various populations suggest that susceptibility, severity, benefits, and self-efficacy all have positive relationships with health outcomes whereas perceived barriers is negatively related to outcomes (Carpenter, 2010; Harrison, Mullen, & Green, 1992; Janz & Becker, 1984; Zimmerman & Vernberg, 1994).”
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“A meta-analysis has found that perceived barriers and perceived benefits are strong predictors of help-seeking behaviour, although perceived threats and severity were not consistent predictors (Carpenter, 2010).”
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Wang, T., Jiang, C., & Chen, Q. (2022) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2022.882029 · Cited by 3
“While perceived susceptibility refers to an individual’s vulnerability under a particular health risk, perceived severity refers to an individual’s perception of the danger of a particular health risk (Carpenter, 2010; Timpka et al., 2014).”
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“With the above considerations, this paper hypothesises that users predict the necessity and usefulness of sports APPs based on their own behavioural experience, and when they feel fully confident in the good the APPs can do to improve physical health, their trust in the APPs is higher, which leads to greater likelihoo…”
BackgroundFactors Influencing Influenza Vaccination of Children
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Injury Risk at Work, Safety Motivation, and the Role of Masculinity: A Moderated Mediation
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Digital communication and recovery strategy during crisis: evidence from the tourism industry
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“Covariate selection was based on the Health Behavior Theory (HBT) [20], which focuses on the influence of individual behaviors on health outcomes.”
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“This is supported by studies which have implicated perceived benefits as strong predictors of behaviour change [48], while interventions targeting disease or risk knowledge alone may be insufficient to alter behaviour [49, 50].”
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Islam, M. T., Arafat, S. M., Chowdhury, A. A., Orchi, K., Sultana, S., Bushra, T., Islam, M. R., Fatema, K., Khan, M. M. H., & Haque, M. A. (2025) · Cureus · doi:10.7759/cureus.94139 · Cited by 9
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“21 The questionnaire used in this study employed five constructs from the original six constructs of the HBM based on their relevance to CBS participation and previous literature 12,13 : SUS, BEN, BARR, SE, and behavioral likelihood to engage in CBS (BL).”
Shojazadeh, A., Kao, R., Pham, T., Madan, A., Echeverria, R., Chen, W., Nguyen, V. T., Gutierrez, O., Lee, S., Hoyt, M. A., et al. (2025) · Journal of the American College of Radiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacr.2025.11.005 · Cited by 2
Lillie, H. M., Scherr, C. L., Ratcliff, C. L., & Jensen, J. D. (2025) · Health Communication · doi:10.1080/10410236.2025.2601803 · Cited by 2
“An extensive body of persuasion literature has explicated the effects of perceived benefits and barriers on behavior (e.g., Carpenter, 2010; Ruggieri et al., 2013).”
Ruan, B., Tian, J., wang, X., & Su, D. (2026) · Journal of Medical Internet Research · doi:10.2196/94233 · Cited by 2
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“, cost, systemic fragmentation; Ridgely, Goldman, & Willenbring, 1990) and individuallevel factors (e.g., health beliefs, logistics such as getting to the doctor; Carpenter, 2010; Kullgren, McLaughlin, Mitra, & Armstrong, 2012).”
BackgroundMedication Adherence Among Patients With Chronic Hepatitis Receiving Antiviral Treatment
Go, H., Tanaka, M., Yamamoto‐Mitani, N., Suzuki, M., Kawakami, A., Masaki, N., & Shimada, M. (2019) · Gastroenterology Nursing · doi:10.1097/sga.0000000000000363 · Cited by 2
“Medication adherence has previously been associated with low side effects and strong perceptions of susceptibility regarding disease progression and disease seriousness ( Carpenter, 2010 ; van Servellen, Chang, Garcia, & Lombardi, 2002 ).”
BackgroundChanging Behavior Using Control Theory
Mansell, W. (2020) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108677318.009 · Cited by 11
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“Meta-analysis results showed that barrier is a stronger predictor in eliciting preventive behavior than curative behavior (Carpenter, 2010).”
BackgroundIyidobi, E. C., Iyidobi, T. O., Ozioko, U. S., Onu, J. U., Muomah, R. C., Iorfa, S. K., & Aneke, A. V. (2022) · Annals of Clinical and Biomedical Research · doi:10.4081/acbr.2022.174 · Cited by 2
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“…evaluation of risks, benefits, and moral concerns associated with drug administration (factors that are relevant for health decision-making) (e.g., Carpenter, 2010; Cutler, 2014; Judson & Langdon, 2009; Sattler et al., 2013b), can inform further qualitative inquiry and large-scale research aimed…”
BackgroundPredictors of stockpiling behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany
Sadus, K., Göttmann, J., & Schubert, A. (2022) · Journal of Public Health · doi:10.1007/s10389-022-01727-x · Cited by 4
Characteristics of Panic Buying During Disaster: Pre-disaster, Disaster, and Post-disaster Phase
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“The development of the research content was grounded in the Health Belief Model (HBM), a widely accepted theoretical model that helps explain individuals’ willingness to adopt health interventions, including vaccines [11].”
BackgroundZhang, S. X., Chen, G., Álvarez-Risco, A., Del-Aguila-Arcentales, S., & Yáñez, J. A. (2022) · Current Issues in Tourism · doi:10.1080/13683500.2022.2127350 · Cited by 2
“Meanwhile, in accordance with the health belief model (HBM), one of the most widely used theories in explaining people ’ s health-related behaviours (Carpenter, 2010; Suess et al., 2022), people will be more motivated to behave in healthy ways supposing that they believe they are vulnerable to a…”
InfluentialMcAfee, C. A., Cegelka, D., & Wagner-Greene, V. R. (2022) · Illness Crisis & Loss · doi:10.1177/10541373221138811 · Cited by 2
“Additionally, the construct of barriers from the Health Belief Model (HBM) was used to assess ACP engagement among young adults, as barriers have been identi fi ed as strong predictors of health behavior (Carpenter, 2010; Sulat et al., 2018).”
MethodSkin Cancer-Related Health Behavior Interventions in the Context of the Health Belief Model
Çelik, B. A., & Koç, V. (2023) · Psikiyatride Guncel Yaklasimlar - Current Approaches in Psychiatry · doi:10.18863/pgy.1112210 · Cited by 4
Behind closed doors: Protective social behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic
Thomas, K., Szilagyi, P. G., Vangala, S., Dudovitz, R., Shah, M. D., Vizueta, N., & Kapteyn, A. (2023) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0287589 · Cited by 2
Tarkang, E. E., Adu-Gyamfi, M., Sackey, E., Kye-Mensah, E., & Khuzwayo, N. (2023) · International Journal of Health Promotion and Education · doi:10.1080/14635240.2023.2248596 · Cited by 2
“Similar findings were reported by other authors (Carpenter 2010; Wang et al. 2009).”
van der Meer, A., Helms, Y. B., Baron, R., Crutzen, R., Timen, A., Kretzschmar, M., Stein, M. L., & Hamdiui, N. (2023) · BMC Public Health · doi:10.1186/s12889-023-16664-x · Cited by 2
“The HBM aims to predict whether and why people will take action to prevent, to screen for, or to control illness conditions [23], and is generally targeting individuals at “health-risk”, that are already sick, or used to develop interventions that improve health-related behaviour [27].”
BackgroundGood Governance is Good Development
Mohan, R. (2023) · Oxford University Press eBooks · doi:10.1093/oso/9780198893103.003.0003 · Cited by 3
Liang, W., Jie, S., Wang, Y., Wen, X., Xiong, Y., Lin, X., & Lv, Z. (2023) · Poultry Science · doi:10.1016/j.psj.2023.103230 · Cited by 2
“The second section was comprised of 31 items and built around the dimensions of HBM, including self-ef fi - cacy, perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, perceived bene fi ts, perceived barriers, and cues to action.”
InfluentialExploring the Health Behaviors of Young Adults Who Are Blind in South Korea
Choi, S., Lim, A., & Lee, H. (2024) · Journal of Visual Impairment & Blindness · doi:10.1177/0145482x241231809 · Cited by 3
“Carpenter (2010) and Harrison et al. (1992) stated that perceived barriers are the single most powerful factor leading to problematic health behaviors.”
BackgroundAttitudes Toward Proactive Topical Corticosteroid Use Among Women With Vulval Lichen Sclerosus
Rees, S., Arnold, S., Kherlopian, A., & Fischer, G. O. (2024) · Journal of Lower Genital Tract Disease · doi:10.1097/lgt.0000000000000791 · Cited by 2
Ghouri, M. W. A., Wang, G., Hussain, M. A., Li, Z., & Chin, T. (2024) · International Journal of Mental Health Promotion · doi:10.32604/ijmhp.2024.044759 · Cited by 4
Nejadsadeghi, E., gorji, E. E., Vakili‐Basir, A., Norouzi, S., Dehghani, S. L., & Papi, S. (2024) · Menopause Review/Przegląd Menopauzalny · doi:10.5114/pm.2024.136963 · Cited by 2
“This finding aligns with the outcomes reported in several studies [18, 33, 50, 51].”
BackgroundResultGupta, P., Mahajan, A., Chander, V., & Barwal, V. K. (2023) · Indian Journal of Public Health · doi:10.4103/ijph.ijph_1525_22 · Cited by 2
Aldirawi, A., Al-Qudimat, A. R., Jin, Y., & Eldeirawi, K. M. (2024) · Journal of Asthma · doi:10.1080/02770903.2024.2400288 · Cited by 2
“The research investigation can potentially improve management for children with asthma by offering perspectives on factors impacting asthma control and consequences (27,28).”
Heidari, A., Falahati, M., Coetzer-Liversage, A., Biabani, A., & Karimy, M. (2024) · BMC Psychology · doi:10.1186/s40359-024-01956-7 · Cited by 3
“The effectiveness of perceived susceptibility in predicting behavior is well-established in prevention programs [51], including those focused on accident prevention [52, 53].”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Carpenter, C. J.
- Affiliations
- Western Illinois University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Carpenter, Christopher J.
- Venue
- Health Communication
- Publisher
- Informa UK Limited
- Published
- 2010-11-30
- Volume
- 25
- Issue
- 8
- Pages
- 661-669
- ISSN
- 1041-0236 (ISSN-L)
- 1532-7027
- OpenAlex
- W2102635611
- Cited by
- 1,604
- References
- 37
- Citations by year
- 2026: 138 · 2025: 133 · 2024: 118 · 2023: 173 · 2022: 166 · 2021: 190 · 2020: 164 · 2019: 108 · 2018: 75 · 2017: 78 · 2016: 93 · 2015: 53 · 2014: 53 · 2013: 30 · 2012: 24
- FWCI
- 2.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Health Communication (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Applied Psychology › Behavioral Health and Interventions
- Social Sciences › Communication › Media Influence and Health
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Health and Wellbeing Research
- Keywords
- Health Belief Model, health behavior prediction, perceived benefits, perceived barriers, perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, health campaigns, longitudinal prediction
- MeSH terms
- Humans, Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice, Models, Psychological, Health Behavior, Health Communication
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