Trauma and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a case–control study from a population‐based registry
Open accessAbstract
Background and purpose: Published reports on the association between amyotrophic lateral sclerosis ( ALS ) and trauma are controversial suggesting the need for a new case–control study done in a large population. Methods: A case–control study was undertaken in Italy to assess this association. Cases were patients with newly diagnosed ALS from four population‐based registries. For each case, two hospital controls were selected, matched for age, sex, and province of residence, one with a neurological (non‐degenerative) disease and one with a non‐neurological disease (other than orthopedic or surgical). Traumatic events (defined as accidental events causing injuries requiring medical care) were recorded with details on type, site, timing, severity, and complications. The risks were assessed as odds ratios ( OR s) with 95% confidence intervals ( CI ), crude and adjusted for age, sex, education, interviewee (patient or surrogate), physical activity, smoking, alcohol, and coffee. Results: The study population comprised 377 patients in each of the three groups. One or more traumatic events were reported by 225 cases (59.7%), 191 neurological controls (50.7%), and 179 non‐neurological controls (47.5%) ( P < 0.01) ( OR 1.63; 95% CI 1.25–2.14) ( P < 0.01). The OR s were 3.07 (95% CI 1.86–5.05) for patients reporting 3+ traumatic events and 2.44 (95% CI 1.36–4.40) for severe traumatic events. The OR s remained significant when the analysis was limited to events that occurred 5+ and 10+ years before ALS onset, to incident ALS , and direct informant. Conclusion: Antecedent trauma, repeated trauma, and severe trauma may be risk factors for ALS .
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In an Italian population-based case-control study, patients with ALS more often reported antecedent traumatic events than hospital controls, with stronger associations for repeated and severe trauma. The authors conclude that prior, repeated, and/or severe trauma may be risk factors for ALS, while acknowledging recall bias and other limitations.
Key findings
- One or more traumatic events were reported by 225 ALS cases (59.7%), 191 neurological controls (50.7%), and 179 non-neurological controls (47.5%) (P < 0.01); adjusted OR 1.63 (95% CI 1.25–2.14).
- Adjusted ORs were 3.07 (95% CI 1.86–5.05) for 3+ traumatic events and 2.44 (95% CI 1.36–4.40) for severe traumatic events; moderate events had OR 1.96 (95% CI 1.43–2.69).
- For old traumatic events (≥5 years before symptom onset), adjusted OR for at least one event was 1.33 (95% CI 1.02–1.74), for 3+ events 2.62 (95% CI 1.39–4.91), and for severe events 2.30 (95% CI 1.23–4.32); the association was largely limited to men and limb-onset ALS.
- Significant injury sites/types included head (OR 1.59; 95% CI 1.02–2.47), arms (OR 1.44; 95% CI 1.03–2.01), concussion (OR 1.85; 95% CI 1.06–3.24), contusion (OR 1.84; 95% CI 1.21–2.79), and fracture (OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.02–1.89); 2+ head injuries had OR 4.77 (95% CI 1.41–16.13) and 2+ arm injuries OR 2.67 (95% CI 1.17–6.08).
Methods
- Population-based case-control study in four Italian regions (Lombardia, Piemonte & Valle D’Aosta, Puglia, Liguria; total population 19,997,078) from September 2007 through April 2010, including 377 ALS cases and 377 matched neurological controls plus 377 matched non-neurological controls.
- Cases were newly diagnosed ALS patients aged ≥18 with definite, probable, or possible ALS by El Escorial criteria; controls were hospital-based, matched for age (±5 years), sex, and province of residence, with exclusions for neurodegenerative disorders and trauma/orthopedic/surgical admissions.
- Structured interviews recorded traumatic events defined as accidental events causing injuries requiring medical care, with details on type, site, timing, severity, and complications; logistic regression models were adjusted for age, sex, education, interviewee, physical activity, smoking, alcohol, and coffee.
Limitations
- The paper states: hospital controls do not represent the general population; recall bias was unavoidable in this non-prospective study; the trauma definition may have excluded mild injuries; severity classification relied on subjective interviewee judgment; inter-rater reliability among multiple investigators is unknown; more ALS cases were interviewed through surrogates; and interviewers were not blinded to diagnosis or study hypothesis.
- Evident from the text: the study was exploratory and did not adjust P-levels for multiple testing; subgroup analyses (e.g., women, bulbar-onset ALS) may have been underpowered; and the case-control design cannot establish causality.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Claims the paper makes
0 of 34 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
Only events involving arms retained significance when the analysis was limited to old traumatic events.
“Only events involving arms retained significance when the analysis was limited to old traumatic events.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The odds ratio for severe traumatic events was 2.44 (95% CI 1.36-4.40) for ALS cases compared with controls.
“and 2.44 (95% CI 1.36-4.40)for severe traumatic events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There were no significant differences in the distribution of traumatic events between neurological and non-neurological controls.
“As there were no significant differences in the distribution of traumatic events (in general and by number, site, and severity) in the two control groups, neurological and non-neurological controls were combined for multivariate analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The odds ratio for reporting 3+ traumatic events was 3.07 (95% CI 1.86-5.05) for ALS cases compared with controls.
“The ORs were 3.07 (95% CI 1.86-5.05)for patients reporting 3+ traumatic events”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the multivariate model, head injury site was associated with ALS (OR 1.59; 95% CI 1.02-2.47).
“In the multivariate model, significant sites of injury were head (OR 1.59; 95% CI 1.02-2.47)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
In the multivariate model, concussion was associated with ALS (OR 1.85; 95% CI 1.06-3.24).
“and significant types of injury were concussion (OR 1.85; 95% CI 1.06-3.24)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The difference between cases and controls was not confirmed when only old traumatic events were considered.
“The difference between cases and controls was not confirmed when only old traumatic events were considered.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A history of 2+ head injuries was associated with ALS (OR 4.77; 95% CI 1.41-16.13).
“Furthermore, the OR was 4.77 (95% CI 1.41-16.13)for a history of 2+ head injuries”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Patients with ALS reported at least one traumatic event more frequently than controls (59.7% vs 50.7% neurological and 47.5% non-neurological; OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.25-2.14).
“One or more traumatic events were reported by 225 cases (59.7%), 191 neurological controls (50.7%), and 179 non-neurological controls (47.5%)(P < 0.01) (OR 1.63; 95% CI 1.25-2.14)(P < 0.01).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the multivariate model, arm injury site was associated with ALS (OR 1.44; 95% CI 1.03-2.01).
“and arms (OR 1.44; 95% CI 1.03-2.01)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The study population comprised 377 patients in each of the three groups (ALS cases, neurological controls, non-neurological controls).
“The study population comprised 377 patients in each of the three groups.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“There were 377 eligible patients in each of the three groups.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
Head was the injury site for which the association between (repeated) trauma and ALS was most significant.
“Interestingly, head was the injury site for which the association between (repeated) trauma and ALS was most significant.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The results were no different when analyses were limited to probable and definite ALS or only to definite ALS.
“The analyses were also limited to probable and definite ALS and only to definite ALS; the results obtained were no different from those observed in the whole ALS population (data not shown).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A history of 2+ arm injuries was associated with ALS (OR 2.67; 95% CI 1.17-6.08).
“and 2.67 (95% CI 1.17-6.08)for a history of 2+ arm injuries.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In the multivariate model, contusion was associated with ALS (OR 1.84; 95% CI 1.21-2.79).
“contusion (OR 1.84; 95% CI 1.21-2.79)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis, a severe worst traumatic event was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 2.44, 95% CI 1.36-4.40) for all traumatic events.
“| Severe | 2.44 (1.36-4.40) | 2.30 (1.23-4.32) |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The association between traumatic events and ALS remained significant when adjusting for type of informant and when surrogate informants were excluded.
“However, the association between traumatic events and ALS was still significant when adjusting for type of informant and when surrogate informants were excluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In our sample, men reported more disabling injuries than women (47.2% vs 34.2%; 39.8% vs 21.9% after excluding events within 5 years from symptom onset).
“Disabling injuries were reported by 109 men (47.2%) and 50 women (34.2%); 92 men (39.8%) and 32 women (21.9%) after excluding events within 5 years from symptom onset.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis restricted to old traumatic events, among bulbar-onset cases, having at least one traumatic event was not associated with odds of ALS (OR 1.08, 95% CI 0.64-1.83).
“| Yes versus No | 1.51 (1.07-2.13)* | 1.00 (0.63-1.60) | 1.08 (0.64-1.83) | 1.44 (1.05-1.98)* |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In the ALS case-control study, a higher proportion of ALS cases (59.7%) than neurological controls (50.7%) and non-neurological controls (47.5%) reported at least one traumatic event.
“| Yes | 225 (59.7) | 191 (50.7)* | 179 (47.5)** | 173 (45.9) | 159 (42.2) | 151 (40.1) |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis, one event requiring hospitalization was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.27-2.48) for all traumatic events.
“| 1 | 1.77 (1.27-2.48)** | 1.29 (0.90-1.84)** |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The largest differences between our cases and controls also regarded injuries in the arms, followed by abdomen and spine.
“The largest differences between our cases and controls also regarded injuries in the arms, followed by abdomen and spine.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis, having at least one traumatic event was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.25-2.14) for all traumatic events.
“| Yes versus No | 1.63 (1.25-2.14)** | 1.33 (1.02-1.74)* |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis, having at least one old traumatic event was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.02-1.74).
“| Yes versus No | 1.63 (1.25-2.14)** | 1.33 (1.02-1.74)* |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis restricted to old traumatic events, among females, having at least one traumatic event was not associated with odds of ALS (OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.63-1.60).
“| Yes versus No | 1.51 (1.07-2.13)* | 1.00 (0.63-1.60) | 1.08 (0.64-1.83) | 1.44 (1.05-1.98)* |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis restricted to old traumatic events, among spinal-onset cases, having at least one traumatic event was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.05-1.98).
“| Yes versus No | 1.51 (1.07-2.13)* | 1.00 (0.63-1.60) | 1.08 (0.64-1.83) | 1.44 (1.05-1.98)* |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis restricted to old traumatic events, among males, having at least one traumatic event was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.07-2.13).
“| Yes versus No | 1.51 (1.07-2.13)* | 1.00 (0.63-1.60) | 1.08 (0.64-1.83) | 1.44 (1.05-1.98)* |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis, one event leading to disability was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.24-2.28) for all traumatic events.
“| 1 | 1.68 (1.24-2.28)** | 1.35 (0.98-1.84)*** |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
In multivariate analysis, reporting 3 or more traumatic events was associated with increased odds of ALS (OR 3.07, 95% CI 1.86-5.05) for all traumatic events.
“| 3+ | 3.07 (1.86-5.05) | 2.62 (1.39-4.91) |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
The association between trauma and ALS was apparent only in men.
“The association between trauma and ALS was apparent only in men.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
More rigorously designed studies showed no association of ALS with antecedent trauma.
“More rigorously designed studies showed no association of ALS with antecedent trauma.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [2]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [3]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
The European pilot study may be underpowered to detect significant differences given its small sample size.
“Given the small sample size, the study may be underpowered to detect significant differences.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationown data
Our findings support an association between ALS and history of traumatic events.
“Our findings support an association between ALS and history of traumatic events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
ALS incidence is higher among Italian professional soccer players than in the general population.
“This was confirmed by comparing ALS incidence amongst soccer players and the general population [5].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [5]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationown data
Causality was supported by time relationship, strength of association, and biological gradient.
“Causality was supported by time relationship, strength of association, and biological gradient.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductcitation
The completeness of case ascertainment has been confirmed for three of four registries (SLALOM, PARALS, SLAP), representing 92% of the entire study population.
“The completeness of case ascertainment has been confirmed for three of four registries (SLALOM for Lombardy, PARALS for Piemonte & Valle D'Aosta, and SLAP for Puglia) representing 92% of the entire study population [12][13][14].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [12]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [13]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [14]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
For participants with multiple head injuries, the risk was more than tenfold.
“For participants with multiple head injuries, the risk was more than tenfold [20].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [20]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
A meta-analysis indicated a moderately elevated risk of ALS amongst persons with previous head injuries (OR 1.7).
“A meta-analysis also indicated a moderately elevated risk of ALS amongst persons with previous head injuries (OR 1.7) [20].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [20]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Our data are at variance with a European pilot population-based case-control study on ALS, physical exercise, trauma and sports.
“Our data are at variance with a European pilot population-based case-control study performed to investigate the association between ALS, physical exercise, trauma and sports [30].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [30]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Study design and conductreasoning
The inclusion of neurological and non-neurological controls, and the variety of acute and chronic disorders, argue against the results being explained by a single clinical condition and its exposures.
“In addition, the inclusion of neurological and non-neurological controls, and the variety of acute and chronic disorders are against the possibility that the results could be explained by a single clinical condition and its exposures.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
More cases than controls were interviewed through an informed surrogate.
“Sixth, more cases than controls were interviewed through an informed surrogate, which may affect recall bias to a different extent.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The lack of association between injuries, female sex and bulbar-onset ALS may be due to lack of power to detect significant differences in these subgroups.
“However, given the small numbers, the lack of association between injuries, female sex and bulbar-onset ALS may still be to the lack of power to detect significant differences in these subgroups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
No predefined assessment of traumatic events and related injuries was possible.
“Second, this was not a prospective cohort study, so recall bias was unavoidable and no predefined assessment of traumatic events and related injuries was possible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The study's findings support the theory that previous, repeated and/or severe traumas may be risk factors for ALS.
“In conclusion, our findings support the theory that previous, repeated and/or severe traumas may be risk factors for ALS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The association between trauma, male gender, and spinal-onset ALS is a possible explanation for the higher incidence of ALS in men with spinal-onset ALS across all ages found in several European countries.
“The association between trauma, male gender, and spinal-onset ALS is a possible explanation for the higher incidence of the disease in men with spinal-onset ALS across all ages, which was found in several European countries [12,37].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [12]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [37]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Study design and conductcitation
Completeness of case ascertainment is guaranteed by the inclusion of patients with ALS from population-based registries.
“Completeness of case ascertainment is guaranteed by the inclusion of patients with ALS from population-based registries [11].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Study design and conductreasoning
Recall bias was unavoidable because the study was not a prospective cohort study.
“Second, this was not a prospective cohort study, so recall bias was unavoidable and no predefined assessment of traumatic events and related injuries was possible.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 17
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 33
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataSignificant differences were found between cases and controls for injuries to the arm, head, abdomen, and spine.
“Significant differences were found between cases and controls, in decreasing order, for arm, head, abdomen, and spine.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCases reported more injuries than both control groups, and this was confirmed after excluding events that occurred within 5 years from symptom onset.
“However, cases reported more injuries than both control groups.This was confirmed after excluding events that had occurred within 5 years from symptom onset.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe association between trauma and ALS remained significant when the analysis was limited to events occurring 5+ and 10+ years before ALS onset, to incident ALS, and to direct informant.
“The ORs remained significant when the analysis was limited to events occurred 5+ and 10+ years before ALS onset, to incident ALS, and direct informant.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataAmongst patients with old traumatic events, the risk was largely limited to men and patients with limb-onset ALS.
“Amongst patients with old traumatic events, the risk was largely limited to men and patients with limb-onset ALS (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataSignificance was retained for history of at least one traumatic event, 3+ events, moderate or severe events, and 2+ events requiring hospitalization or leading to disability when multivariate analysis was limited to incident ALS, direct informant, and very old traumatic events.
“Significance was retained for history of at least one traumatic event, 3+ events, moderate or severe events, and 2+ events requiring hospitalization or leading to disability when multivariate analysis was limited to incident ALS, direct informant (excluding surrogate), and very old traumatic events (see online only Table S1).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataCases reported more severe traumatic events, more events requiring hospital admission, and more events followed by disability than controls.
“Cases also reported more severe traumatic events than controls, and more events requiring hospital admission or followed by disability.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataFractures, contusions, and concussions each predominated in patients with ALS.
“Fractures were the commonest injury, followed by contusions and concussions.Each of these injuries predominated in patients with ALS.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe association between trauma and ALS was strengthened after multivariate analysis, and all ORs were significant.
“The association between trauma and ALS was strengthened after multivariate analysis (Table 3).All ORs were significant.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn our sample, men reported more traumatic events than women (65.8% vs 50.0% for at least one event; 54.6% vs 32.2% for events 5+ years before symptom onset).
“In our sample, 152 men (65.8%) and 73 women (50.0%) reported at least one traumatic event; the figures were 126 (54.6%) and 47 (32.2%)only for traumatic events dating back 5 years before the symptom onset.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown data2.0% of controls and 5.3% of cases reported 2+ traumatic events followed by hospital admission, figures comparable to those expected from the power calculations.
“In addition, 2.0 and 5.3% of controls and cases, respectively, reported 2+ traumatic events followed by hospital admission (see Table 2), figures comparable to those expected from the power calculations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAn association between a history of head trauma and ALS was found by several others.
“An association between a history of head trauma and ALS was found by several others [20,[23][24][25].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [20,[23][24][25]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe multivariate analyses adjusted for sex, age, education, interviewee (patient or surrogate), physical activity, smoking, alcohol, and coffee.
“In each model, data were adjusted for sex, age, education, interviewee (patient/control or surrogate), physical activity (occupational, sport/leisure), smoking, alcohol, and coffee (ever/never).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThe possibility that both ALS and trauma could be associated with a common factor cannot be excluded.
“However, as the quality of these studies is suboptimal, the possibility that both ALS and trauma could be associated with a common factor cannot be excluded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataAntecedent trauma, repeated trauma, and severe trauma may be risk factors for ALS.
“Antecedent trauma, repeated trauma, and severe trauma may be risk factors for ALS.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe association between ALS and physical activity, sport and trauma is still ill-defined.
“However, the association between ALS and physical activity, sport and trauma is still ill-defined [7][8][9][10].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [7]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [8]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [9]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [10]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationKurland et al. found that retrospective case-control studies gave contradictory results because of selection bias, poor definition of trauma, and non-uniform approach to the period preceding clinical onset.
“Kurland et al. [1] reviewed the early literature and found that retrospective case-control studies gave contradictory results because of selection bias, poor definition of nature and extent of trauma and its chronological relationship to the onset of ALS, and a non-uniform approach to the period preceding the clinical onset of the disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenFor each control, injuries occurring in the same interval as the companion case were excluded.
“For each control, injuries occurring in the same interval as the companion case were also excluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationThe lack of association found by others can be interpreted in light of methodological inadequacies, including referral bias, different methods of enrolment, recall and interview bias.
“The lack of association found by others can be also interpreted in light of methodological inadequacies, including referral bias, different methods of enrolment of cases and controls, recall and interview bias [26][27][28][29].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [26]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [27]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [28]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites [29]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe three groups were similar in mean age (65.2, 65.4, and 65.4 years).
“The mean age (SD) was 65.2 (11.3), 65.4 (11.6), and 65.4 (11.4) years for the three groups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningMultivariate analysis was used separately for events occurring 5+ years before ALS symptom onset to lower the possibility of including injuries that occurred after biological onset.
“Multivariate analysis was used for all traumatic events and, separately, for events occurred 5+ years before the onset of ALS symptoms (old traumatic events) to lower the possibility to include injuries that might have occurred after the biological onset of the disease.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the European pilot study, the proportion of individuals reporting traumatic events was similar amongst cases and controls, but a higher proportion of ALS patients (34.4 vs. 24.1%) reported repeated traumatic events.
“In that study, the proportion of individuals reporting traumatic events was similar amongst cases and controls.However, a higher proportion of patients with ALS (34.4 vs. 24.1%)reported repeated traumatic events.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [30]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationThe role of trauma in ALS has been repeatedly investigated with conflicting results.
“The role of trauma in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) has been repeatedly investigated with conflicting results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [1]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the only cohort study of ALS after head injury, comprising 821 individuals with traumatic brain injury older than 40 years, there was one patient with ALS (none would have been expected in this small US sample).
“In addition, in the only cohort study of ALS after head injury, comprising 821 individuals who had had a traumatic brain injury and were older than 40 years, there was one patient with ALS (none would have been expected in this small US sample) [25].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe study had 80% power to detect an odds ratio of 4 with at least 343 cases and 686 controls, assuming 1% of controls and 3.9% of ALS patients report at least one traumatic event requiring hospitalization.
“The study had to be completed after the enrolment of at least 343 cases and 686 controls under the assumption that 1% of controls and 3.9% of patients with ALS would report at least one traumatic event requiring hospitalization [odds ratio (OR) 4], with a 5% level of significance and 80% power.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAn association between injuries to the head, neck, shoulder and/or arm was found by Gallagher and Sanders in 76% of patients with ALS.
“An association between injuries to the head, neck, shoulder and/or arm was also found by Gallagher and Sanders [22] in 76% of patients with ALS”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [22]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningAnother strength is the characterization of injuries by type, severity, timing, and complications, allowing assessment of time relationships, strength, and biological gradient.
“Another strength of the study is the characterization of injuries, which were defined according to type, severity, timing, and complications, so we could assess the time relationships, strength, and biological gradient of the purported association.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenThe interviewers were not blinded to the diagnosis and the study hypothesis.
“Last, the interviewers were not blinded to the diagnosis and the study hypothesis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe major strengths of the study are the representativeness of the ALS population and the large sample size, which may favor generalizability.
“The major strengths are the representativeness of the ALS population and the large sample size, which may favor the generalizability of the study results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMotor axonal injury has been implicated as a possible mechanism based on cases reported amongst men aged 28 through 43 years at diagnosis.
“motor axonal injury has been implicated as a possible mechanism based on a number of cases reported during a 14-year period amongst men aged 28 through 43 years at the time of diagnosis [31].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [31]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningThe definition of trauma used may have excluded mild traumatic injuries.
“Third, our definition of trauma can be questioned, as mild traumatic injuries might have been excluded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationown dataGiven the robustness of the findings, confounding and bias seem unlikely.
“Given the robustness of our findings, confounding and bias seem unlikely.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationThe possibility that a specific genotype may modify the effects of injuries on motor neurons cannot be excluded.
“In addition, as reported by others [24], the possibility that a specific genotype may modify the effects of injuries on motor neurons cannot be excluded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenPatients with newly diagnosed ALS may be less likely to be aware of the purported association between the disease and trauma than patients with more advanced disease.
“On the other hand, patients with newly diagnosed ALS may be less likely to be aware of the purported association between the disease and trauma than patients with more advanced disease.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPathological evidence has been provided for an association between repetitive head trauma in contact sports and the development of motor neuron disease.
“In addition, pathological evidence has been provided with an association between repetitive head trauma in contact sports and the development of motor neuron disease [36].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenHospital controls do not represent the general population.
“First, by definition hospital controls do not represent the general population”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenClassification of injury severity was based on interviewees' subjective opinions.
“Fourth, classification of the severity of injuries was based on interviewees' subjective opinions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenData were collected by several investigators and inter-rater reliability is not known.
“Fifth, data were collected by several investigators and inter-rater reliability is not known.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenMost cases and their companion controls were interviewed by the same person.
“However, the interviewers had been educated to perform a standardized interrogation of patients or surrogates and most cases, and their companion controls were interviewed by the same person.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe interviewers had been educated to perform a standardized interrogation of patients or surrogates.
“However, the interviewers had been educated to perform a standardized interrogation of patients or surrogates and most cases, and their companion controls were interviewed by the same person.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningThis perhaps explains why trauma has been reported as a risk factor mostly for limb-onset ALS.
“This perhaps explains why trauma has been reported as a risk factor mostly for limb-onset ALS.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningAdjustment of P-levels for multiple testing was considered unnecessary owing to the exploratory nature of the study.
“Owing to the exploratory nature of this study, adjustment of P-levels for multiple testing was considered unnecessary [17].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [17]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMen are more likely than women to report traumatic events, repeated injuries, and disabling injuries in their lifetime.
“Men are more likely than women to report traumatic events, repeated injuries, and disabling injuries in their lifetime [38].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationRepetitive head injury has been associated with chronic traumatic encephalopathy.
“Repetitive head injury has also been associated with chronic traumatic encephalopathy, a progressive tau-opathy causing behavioral and personality changes, parkinsonism and dementia [35].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [35]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationTDP-43 proteinopathy, thought to mediate the neuronal cytoskeleton's response to axonal injuries, extended from the frontal and temporal cortex to the spinal cord.
“TDP-43 proteinopathy, which is thought to mediate the neuronal cytoskeleton's response to axonal injuries, extended from the frontal and temporal cortex to the spinal cord.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe study used standardized interviews and semi-structured forms to collect information.
“However, we made every effort to collect the required information as accurately as possible using standardized interviews and semi-structured forms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
The provision of free or heavily subsidized public medicine in Italy ensures that virtually all patients experiencing ALS symptoms are likely to be visited by a neurologist at some stage during the illness and be hospitalized to ascertain the diagnosis.
“The provision of free or heavily subsidized public medicine in Italy ensures that virtually all patients experiencing ALS symptoms are likely to be visited by a neurologist at some stage during the illness and be hospitalized to ascertain the diagnosis.”
The paper relies on this without support.
ALS patients hospitalized for diagnostic purposes and hospital controls come from the same source population.
“there is no reason to think that patients with ALS hospitalized for diagnostic purposes and hospital controls come from different source populations”
The paper relies on this without support.
Erroneous definitions of severity are unlikely to be unevenly distributed in cases and controls.
“However, erroneous definitions of severity are unlikely to be unevenly distributed in cases and controls.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Asking interviewers to perform structured interviews and record injury characteristics as reported by cases and controls adequately controlled for the lack of blinding.
“However, we tried to control for this by asking them to perform structured interviews and record the characteristics of each injury as reported by cases and controls.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
A case-control study conducted in Italy by Pupillo et al. of 458 cases and 820 controls found that head injuries were associated with a 59% odds of ALS.
“However, a case–control study conducted in Italy by Pupillo et al. of 458 cases and 820 controls found that head injuries were associated with a 59% odds of ALS [57].”
From Head Injury and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: Population-Based Study from the National ALS Registry (2025) · cites this paper as [57]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Not all multivariate odds ratios are significant
MinorSeveral odds ratios in Table 3 have 95% confidence intervals that include 1, including the estimate for two reported traumatic events. Thus the statement that all ORs were significant is incorrect.
“All ORs were significant.”
“| 2 | 1.45 (0.97-2.18) | 1.76 (1.14-2.72) |”
Spine injury is called significant but is not marked significant in Table 2
MinorThe results name spine among sites with significant case-control differences, but the spine row has no significance marker for either control group. The table's notation marks significant comparisons with * or **.
“Significant differences were found between cases and controls, in decreasing order, for arm, head, abdomen, and spine.”
“| Spine | 24 | 26 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 8 |”
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Increased risk and early onset of ALS in professional players from Italian Soccer Teams
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Are professional soccer players at higher risk for ALS?
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Occupational formaldehyde and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
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- Authors
- Pupillo, E., Messina, P., Logroscino, G., Zoccolella, S., Chiò, A., Calvo, A., Corbo, M., Lunetta, C., Micheli, A., Millul, A., Vitelli, E., Beghi, E., & EURALS Consortium
- Affiliations
- Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research (IT)
- University of Bari Aldo Moro (IT)
- University of Turin (IT)
- Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico (IT)
- Ospedale Maggiore di Lodi (IT)
- Corresponding author
- Beghi, E.
- ORCID
- Venue
- European Journal of Neurology
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2012-04-27
- Volume
- 19
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1509-1517
- ISSN
- 1351-5101 (ISSN-L)
- 1468-1331
- OpenAlex
- W1996259832
- Semantic Scholar
- dab16fe0bf18c39e859a6c4e8974d2c35ce8716e
- Cited by
- 78
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 4 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 14 · 2016: 11 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 6 · 2013: 11 · 2012: 3
- FWCI
- 5.25
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- European Journal of Neurology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- HAL (submittedVersion)
- BOA (University of Milano-Bicocca) (submittedVersion)
- Institutional Research Information System (Università degli Studi di Brescia) (submittedVersion)
- Institutional Research Information System University of Turin (University of Turin) (submittedVersion)
- CINECA IRIS Institutional Research Information System (University of Bari Aldo Moro) (submittedVersion)
- INFM-OAR (INFN Catania) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- American ALS Association (ALSA (526D/8)
- Istituto Superiore di Sanità (1524, 526D/8)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Neurology › Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Spinal Cord Injury Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Traumatic Brain Injury Research
- Keywords
- amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, trauma (physical injury), traumatic brain injury, risk factors, polytrauma, severe trauma
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Registries, Wounds and Injuries, Multivariate Analysis, Case-Control Studies
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-11-07.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-11-07.
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