Accelerating extinction risk from climate change
Abstract
Predicting extinction in a changing world: There is great interest in understanding how species might respond to our changing climate, but predictions have varied greatly. Urban looked at over 130 studies to identify the level of risk that climate change poses to species and the specific traits and characteristics that contribute to risk (see the Perspective by Hille Ris Lambers). If climate changes proceed as expected, one in six species could face extinction. Several regions, including South America, Australia, and New Zealand, face the greatest risk. Understanding these patterns will help us to prepare for, and hopefully prevent, climate-related loss of biodiversity. Science , this issue p. 571 ; see also p. 501
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- Authors
- Urban, M. C.
- Affiliations
- University of Connecticut (US)
- Corresponding author
- Urban, Mark C.
- ORCID
- Urban, Mark C.
- Venue
- Science
- Published
- 2015-05
- Volume
- 348
- Issue
- 6234
- Pages
- 571-573
- ISSN
- 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
- 1095-9203
- OpenAlex
- W1974424100
- Cited by
- 2,436
- References
- 173
- Citations by year
- 2026: 198 · 2025: 264 · 2024: 255 · 2023: 262 · 2022: 292 · 2021: 288 · 2020: 235 · 2019: 188 · 2018: 171 · 2017: 151 · 2016: 102 · 2015: 28
- FWCI
- 83.38
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Science (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- NSF (DEB-1119877, PLR-1417754)
- James S. McDonnell Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- climate change, extinction risk, extinction rates, extinction debt, dispersal capacity, global warming, species extinction, taxonomic bias
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Australia, Hot Temperature, New Zealand, Risk, South America, Uncertainty, Extinction, Biological, Climate Change
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