Cited by 1,225Climate Change Policy and EconomicsEnergy, Environment, Economic GrowthSustainability and Climate Change Governance

A roadmap for rapid decarbonization

Open access
Rockström, Johan, Gaffney, Owen, Rogelj, Joeri, Meinshausen, Malte, Nakicenovic, Nebojsa, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim·2017·Science

Abstract

Emissions inevitably approach zero with a “carbon law”

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Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1126/science.aah3443

Cites

12 of 12 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

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  • This would save up to 10% of the remaining cumulative carbon emission budget (~900 Gt CO2) that gives a likely chance of limiting global warming to less than 2°C above the pre-industrial average surface temperature.

    “This would save up to 10% of the remaining cumulative carbon emission budget (~900 Gt CO2) that gives a likely chance of limiting global warming to less than 2°C above the pre-industrial average surface temperature 10 .”
  • Most studies project extraction goals later this century of at least 10 Gt CO2 yr -1.

    “Extraction goals 1,7,9,10 later this century in most studies are on the order of at least 10 Gt CO2 yr -1”
  • Co-deployment of ERW and SOC sequestration at large-scale might contribute substantially to the 5 Gt CO2 yr -1 carbon removal target suggested in decarbonization scenarios for 2050.

    “Co-deployment of ERW and SOC sequestration at large-scale might, therefore, contribute substantially to the 5 Gt CO2 yr -1 carbon removal target suggested in decarbonization scenarios 10 for 2050.”
  • Even the most ambitious emission phase-outs fail to achieve the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Paris Agreement targets for limiting global warming without the help of massive atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR).

    “Even the most ambitious emission phase-outs 9,10 fail to achieve the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Paris Agreement targets for limiting global warming without the help of massive atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR).”

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Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 5

  1. H. J. Schellnhuber, S. Rahmstorf, R. Winkelmann, Nat. Clim. Chang. 6, 649 (2016).
  2. J. Rogelj et al., Nat. Clim. Chang. 5, 519 (2015).
  3. K.-H. Erb et al., Nat. Commun. 7, 11382 (2016).
  4. P. Williamson, Nature 530, 153 (2016).
  5. M. Meinshausen, S. C. B. Raper, T. M. L. Wigley, Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 1417 (2011).

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Authors
Rockström, J., Gaffney, O., Rogelj, J., Meinshausen, M., Nakicenovic, N., & Schellnhuber, H. J.
Affiliations
  • Stockholm Resilience Centre (SE)
  • Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (SE)
  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
  • The University of Melbourne (AU)
  • ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Venue
Science
Published
2017-03-24
Volume
355
Issue
6331
Pages
1269-1271
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
OpenAlex
W2597494773
Cited by
1,225
References
12
Citations by year
2026: 78 · 2025: 108 · 2024: 120 · 2023: 100 · 2022: 127 · 2021: 133 · 2020: 198 · 2019: 158 · 2018: 156 · 2017: 47
FWCI
274.63
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Science (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
  • Minerva Access (University of Melbourne) (submittedVersion)
  • Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
Funders
Australian Research Council Future Fellowship (FT130100809)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
Keywords
decarbonization, greenhouse gas emissions, climate change mitigation

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