The DOI matches its Crossref record; 44 of the 44 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 22 of the 46 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Anticholinergic drugs and risk of dementia: case-control study
Open accessAbstract
Objectives: To estimate the association between the duration and level of exposure to different classes of anticholinergic drugs and subsequent incident dementia. Design: Case-control study. Setting: General practices in the UK contributing to the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Participants: 40 770 patients aged 65-99 with a diagnosis of dementia between April 2006 and July 2015, and 283 933 controls without dementia. Interventions: Daily defined doses of anticholinergic drugs coded using the Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) scale, in total and grouped by subclass, prescribed 4-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia. Main outcome measures: Odds ratios for incident dementia, adjusted for a range of demographic and health related covariates. Results: 14 453 (35%) cases and 86 403 (30%) controls were prescribed at least one anticholinergic drug with an ACB score of 3 (definite anticholinergic activity) during the exposure period. The adjusted odds ratio for any anticholinergic drug with an ACB score of 3 was 1.11 (95% confidence interval 1.08 to 1.14). Dementia was associated with an increasing average ACB score. When considered by drug class, gastrointestinal drugs with an ACB score of 3 were not distinctively linked to dementia. The risk of dementia increased with greater exposure for antidepressant, urological, and antiparkinson drugs with an ACB score of 3. This result was also observed for exposure 15-20 years before a diagnosis. Conclusions: A robust association between some classes of anticholinergic drugs and future dementia incidence was observed. This could be caused by a class specific effect, or by drugs being used for very early symptoms of dementia. Future research should examine anticholinergic drug classes as opposed to anticholinergic effects intrinsically or summing scales for anticholinergic exposure. Trial registration: Registered to the European Union electronic Register of Post-Authorisation Studies EUPAS8705.
Overview
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
In a UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink nested case-control study, certain anticholinergic drug classes with definite anticholinergic activity were associated with incident dementia, with associations persisting up to 20 years after exposure. The strongest signals were for antidepressant, urological, and antiparkinson drugs with an Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) score of 3, while gastrointestinal and cardiovascular anticholinergics were not positively associated.
Key findings
- Among 40,770 dementia cases and 283,933 controls, 14,453 (35%) cases and 86,403 (30%) controls were prescribed at least one ACB score 3 drug; the adjusted odds ratio for any ACB score 3 drug was 1.11 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.14).
- Dose-response was seen for ACB score 3 drugs: adjusted OR 1.31 (1.22 to 1.41) for >1460 DDDs versus none, and average ACB score >5.0 had adjusted OR 1.28 (1.19 to 1.36). ACB score 1 drugs showed no dose-response.
- By class, ACB score 3 antidepressants (OR 1.11, 1.08 to 1.14), urologicals (OR 1.18, 1.13 to 1.23), and antiparkinsons (OR 1.29, 1.11 to 1.50) were associated with dementia; gastrointestinal ACB score 3 drugs were not positively associated (OR 0.94, 0.89 to 0.99).
- Associations persisted 15-20 years before diagnosis for any ACB score 3 drug (OR 1.17, 1.10 to 1.24), antidepressants with ACB score 3 (OR 1.19, 1.10 to 1.29), and urologicals with ACB score 3 (OR 1.27, 1.09 to 1.48).
Methods
- Nested case-control study using UK general practices in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink; cases were patients aged 65-99 with a dementia diagnosis between April 2006 and July 2015, matched to up to seven controls on sex, year of birth within three years, years of up-to-standard data history, and practice-level deprivation.
- Anticholinergic exposure was measured as defined daily doses during a drug exposure period ending four years before the index date, classified by the ACB scale and grouped by drug class; exposure categories were 0, 1-13, 14-89, 90-364, 365-1459, and >1460 DDDs.
- Conditional logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios for incident dementia, with covariates measured at the start and end of the exposure period; prespecified secondary analyses examined drug class, time before diagnosis, average ACB score, and sensitivity analyses including a new-user design and the Anticholinergic Drug Scale.
Limitations
- Stated: dementia is underdiagnosed (up to 50%), so some controls may have undiagnosed dementia or early cognitive impairment, which would bias estimates toward the null; surveillance bias is possible but would be expected across drug classes; anticholinergic activity is difficult to assess and scales differ; adherence is unknown, over-the-counter drugs are not recorded, and DDDs have limitations; residual or unmeasured confounding cannot be excluded; primary care records lack detailed lifestyle and demographic information; estimates generalise to those surviving at least four years after initial anticholinergic exposure.
- Evident from the design/text: observational case-control data cannot establish causality, and the authors note that class-specific associations could reflect underlying indications, prodromal symptoms, or differences in blood-brain barrier penetration rather than a direct anticholinergic effect.
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Claims the paper makes
22 of 46 cited sources checked · 11 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
CPRD data are broadly representative of the UK population in terms of sex, age, and ethnicity.
“CPRD data are broadly representative of the UK population in terms of sex, age, and ethnicity.22”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [22] source
- Premisecitation
Dementia is known to be under diagnosed, with up to 50% of people with dementia undiagnosed at any time.
“However, dementia is known to be under diagnosed, with up to 50% of people with dementia undiagnosed at any time.34”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [34] source
The Discussion (page unavailable) says clinically diagnosed dementia rates are lower than rates found through case finding because some people with early dementia may not have been diagnosed. It does not give an estimate that up to 50% of people with dementia are undiagnosed at any time. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationcitation
Our findings are consistent with these studies, particularly a US cohort study of 3434 participants monitored over an average of seven years.
“Our findings are consistent with these studies, particularly a US cohort study of 3434 participants monitored over an average of seven years.12”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [12] source
- Premisecitation
Studies with longer follow-up periods have often failed to detect an association, or have reported weaker associations, between midlife depression and dementia in later life.
“However, studies with longer follow-up periods have often failed to detect an association, or have reported weaker associations, between midlife depression and dementia in later life.1 20”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] source
The Abstract mentions depression as a potentially modifiable dementia risk factor, but does not address whether longer follow-up weakens or eliminates an association between midlife depression and later dementia. Searches for midlife depression, follow-up periods, and the depression–dementia association found no passage in our copy that settles the claim. (LLM, conf=0.72)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [20] source
- Premisecitation
Serum anticholinergic activity measured by a receptor bioassay does not correlate well with effects on cognition.
“Serum anticholinergic activity measured by a receptor bioassay does not correlate well with effects on cognition,16 28”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked
- Premisecitation
Anticholinergic urological drugs, particularly oxybutynin, have been consistently associated with short term cognitive decline in randomised controlled trials.
“Anticholinergic urological drugs, particularly oxybutynin, have been consistently associated with short term cognitive decline in randomised controlled trials,8 41 so a long term risk of dementia is plausible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [8] Tannenbaum, 2012, A systematic review of amnestic and non-amnestic mild cognitive impairment induced by anticholinergic, antihistamine, GABAergic and opioid drugs, Drugs Aging source
- cites [41] source
The section on double-blind clinical studies reports that oxybutynin was consistently associated with cognitive deterioration in four randomised studies. The Summary and conclusions distinguishes it from other overactive-bladder antimuscarinics: darifenacin and tolterodine did not show cognitive decline in the studies reviewed. The evidence therefore supports the claim for oxybutynin, but not its broad wording about anticholinergic urological drugs as a group. The sentence presents long-term dementia risk as the citing authors’ inference, not as a finding attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Adjusting for time varying confounders is difficult in a matched case-control study.
“Adjusting for time varying confounders is difficult in a matched case-control study.31 46”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [31] source
The Incident user design section says case-control studies are prone to errors in confounder adjustment. It does not specify matched case-control studies or say that adjusting for time-varying confounders is difficult in that design. The Sources of exposure variation section discusses confounding as health status changes over time, but in a case-crossover design. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [46] source
The paper’s introductory discussion says that a simple unmatched case-control estimator does not adjust for covariates and that controlling confounding is a strong concern. It also discusses matched case-control studies, but does not say that adjusting for time-varying confounders in those studies is difficult. The general concern is supported; the specific claim is not. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Over the past decade, prolonged exposure to anticholinergic drugs has been linked to long term cognitive decline or dementia incidence among community living cohorts and nursing home residents.
“Over the past decade, prolonged exposure to anticholinergic drugs has been linked to long term cognitive decline or dementia incidence among community living cohorts and nursing home residents.12 13 14 15 16 17”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [12] source
The Discussion (page not available) links higher cumulative anticholinergic use to increased dementia risk, and describes the study as a large community-based sample. The Methods (page not available) identify participants as older health-plan members; this source does not establish the claimed association among nursing home residents. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [13] source
The Discussion reports increased risks of cognitive decline and dementia among community-dwelling elderly people taking anticholinergic drugs, and the Dementia section links chronic use to incident dementia at four-year follow-up. The cited study does not report findings for nursing home residents, so it supports only the community-living part of the sentence. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [14] source
- Premisecitation
Depression has consistently been shown to be linked to increased dementia incidence in the short to medium term (up to 10 years).
“Depression has consistently been shown to be linked to increased dementia incidence in the short to medium term (up to 10 years).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [1] source
No passage from the paper’s body was retrieved addressing whether depression is consistently linked to increased dementia incidence over periods of up to 10 years. Searches for depression, dementia risk, follow-up, and the 10-year timeframe did not locate evidence for that specific claim. (LLM, conf=0.66)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [20] source
- Study design and conductcitation
The nested case control design provides unbiased estimates of effects when compared with the equivalent cohort study.
“With respect to study design, our estimates generalise to those surviving at least four years after their initial anticholinergic exposure, and the nested case control design provides unbiased estimates of effects when compared with the equivalent cohort study.35”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [35] source
- Findingown data
The negative association between gastrointestinal drugs and dementia was not seen for exposures 15-20 years before the index date.
“Similarly, the negative association between gastrointestinal drugs and dementia was not seen for exposures 15-20 years before the index date.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Very few patients (around 0.3% of the sample) are prescribed more than 365 DDDs of antihistamines in our study.
“Although very few patients (around 0.3% of the sample) are prescribed more than 365 DDDs of antihistamines in our study, those with fewer prescriptions may also have a substantial over-the-counter use that is not recorded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was a positive and significant association between prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 1 and dementia, with adjusted OR 1.10 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.15).
“Table 2 shows that there was a positive and significant association between the prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 1, 2, or 3 and dementia with corresponding odds ratios of 1.10 (95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.15), 1.10 (1.03 to 1.16), and 1.11 (1.08 to 1.14).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
Although there were differences in the number of drugs with an ACB score of 1 and 2 and drugs with an ADS score of 1 and 2, the proportion of patients with a prescription for drugs with an ACB or ADS score of 3 were similar.
“Although there were differences in the number of drugs with an ACB score of 1 and 2 and drugs with an Anticholinergic Drug Scale (ADS) score of 1 and 2, the proportion of patients with a prescription for drugs with an ACB or ADS score of 3 were similar (see supplementary materials, table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
There are robust associations between levels of anticholinergic antidepressants, antiparkinsons, and urologicals and the risk of a diagnosis of dementia up to 20 years after exposure.
“There are robust associations between levels of anticholinergic antidepressants, antiparkinsons, and urologicals and the risk of a diagnosis of dementia up to 20 years after exposure.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
An odds ratio of approximately 1.1 was seen for those prescribed drugs with an ACB score of 1, regardless of the number prescribed, including those with less than 14 DDD exposure.
“Table 2 shows that an odds ratio of approximately 1.1 was seen for those prescribed drugs with an ACB score of 1, regardless of the number prescribed, including those with less than 14 DDD exposure.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
Antidepressants (mainly selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors) with an ACB score of 1 were only associated with dementia close to the time of prescription.
“Antidepressants (mainly selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors) with an ACB score of 1 were only associated with dementia close to the time of prescription.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was no dose-response effect for drugs with an ACB score of 1.
“However, there was no dose-response effect for drugs with an ACB score of 1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
There was a positive and significant association between prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 2 and dementia, with adjusted OR 1.10 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.16).
“Table 2 shows that there was a positive and significant association between the prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 1, 2, or 3 and dementia with corresponding odds ratios of 1.10 (95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.15), 1.10 (1.03 to 1.16), and 1.11 (1.08 to 1.14).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
Excluding patients with a prescription for a drug with an ACB score of 2 or 3 in the 12 months before the DEP (restricting to new users) led to a small reduction in the association between dementia incidence and any drug with an ACB score of 2 (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.21) adjusted for covariates measured at the end of the DEP.
“This led to small reductions in the association between dementia incidence and any drug with an ACB score of 3 (odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.10) and any drug with an ACB score of 2 (1.12, 1.04 to 1.21) adjusted for covariates measured at the end of the DEP (see supplementary materials, table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The dose-response effect was not seen for cumulative use of drugs with an ACB score of 1 (possibly anticholinergic).
“However, this dose-response effect was not seen for cumulative use of drugs with an Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) score of 1 (possibly anticholinergic), and was only evident for certain classes of anticholinergic drugs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Our findings were the same when using each scale.
“Our findings were the same when using each scale.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Urologicals with an ACB score of 3 were consistently associated with incident dementia.
“Antidepressants (predominantly amitriptyline, dosulepin, and paroxetine) and urologicals (predominantly oxybutynin and tolterodine) with an ABC score of 3 (definitely anticholinergic) were consistently associated with incident dementia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Associations with prescriptions for drugs with an ACB score of 3 were consistent across the drug exposure period.
“Associations with prescriptions for drugs with an ACB score of 3 were consistent across the DEP.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Other antidepressants (predominantly selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors) with an ACB score of 1 were associated with dementia.
“Other antidepressants (predominantly selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors) with an ACB score of 1 were associated with dementia, but that association was greater for prescriptions close to dementia incidence, suggesting that reverse causation could be a possible explanation for this observed association.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
No substantial changes were seen in the association between dementia incidence and specific classes of drugs used when restricted to new users.
“No substantial changes were seen in the association between dementia incidence and specific classes of drugs used when restricted to new users.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was a positive and significant association between prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 3 and dementia, with adjusted OR 1.11 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.14).
“The adjusted odds ratio for any anticholinergic drug with an ACB score of 3 was 1.11 (95% confidence interval 1.08 to 1.14).”
- Also stated in: § Primary analysis · plain
“Table 2 shows that there was a positive and significant association between the prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 1, 2, or 3 and dementia with corresponding odds ratios of 1.10 (95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.15), 1.10 (1.03 to 1.16), and 1.11 (1.08 to 1.14).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Also stated in: § Primary analysis · plain
- Findingown data
Prescription of any drugs with an ADS score of 3 had a marginally lower association with dementia (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.11) adjusted for covariates at the end of the DEP, than drugs with an ACB score of 3 (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.14).
“Prescription of any drugs with an ADS score of 3 had a marginally lower association with dementia (odds ratio 1.08, 95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.11) adjusted for covariates at the end of the DEP, than drugs with an ACB score of 3 (1.11, 1.08 to 1.14).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Excluding patients with a prescription for a drug with an ACB score of 2 or 3 in the 12 months before the DEP (restricting to new users) led to a small reduction in the association between dementia incidence and any drug with an ACB score of 3 (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.10) adjusted for covariates measured at the end of the DEP.
“This led to small reductions in the association between dementia incidence and any drug with an ACB score of 3 (odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.10) and any drug with an ACB score of 2 (1.12, 1.04 to 1.21) adjusted for covariates measured at the end of the DEP (see supplementary materials, table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Prescription of gastrointestinal drugs with an ACB score of 3 was not positively associated with dementia in any of our analyses.
“Prescription of gastrointestinal drugs with an ACB score of 3 was not positively associated with dementia in any of our analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 3 15-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia was significantly associated with greater dementia incidence (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.24) adjusted for covariates at the start of the DEP.
“In particular, the prescription of any drug with an ACB score of 3 15-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia was significantly associated with greater dementia incidence with an odds ratio of 1.17 (95% confidence interval 1.10 to 1.24) adjusted for covariates at the start of the DEP.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Antidepressants with an ACB score of 3 were consistently associated with incident dementia.
“Antidepressants (predominantly amitriptyline, dosulepin, and paroxetine) and urologicals (predominantly oxybutynin and tolterodine) with an ABC score of 3 (definitely anticholinergic) were consistently associated with incident dementia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Prescriptions at 15-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia for urological drugs with an ACB score of 3 were significantly associated with dementia incidence (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.48).
“Prescriptions at 15-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia for antidepressant and urological drugs with an ACB score of 3 remained consistently significantly associated with dementia incidence with odds ratios of 1.19 (1.10 to 1.29) and 1.27 (1.09 to 1.48) respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
When analysed by class, there was a significant association between dementia incidence and any prescription of antidepressant, antiparkinson, or urological drugs with an ACB score of 3.
“Table 3 shows that, when analysed by class, there was a significant association between dementia incidence and any prescription of antidepressant, antiparkinson, or urological drugs with an ACB score of 3”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
In this case-control study of older adults in the UK, there was a noticeable association between increasing total anticholinergic burden over the previous 4-20 years and incident dementia diagnosis.
“In this case-control study of older adults in the UK, there was a noticeable association between increasing total anticholinergic burden over the previous 4-20 years and incident dementia diagnosis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was good concordance between drugs with an ACB or ADS score of 3 (Cohen's kappa 0.91).
“There was good concordance between drugs with an ACB or ADS score of 3 (Cohen’s kappa 0.91).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
For antidepressants with an ACB score of 1, the association with dementia increased for prescriptions given in periods closer to a diagnosis of dementia.
“However, for antidepressants with an ACB score of 1, the association with dementia increased for prescriptions given in periods closer to a diagnosis of dementia.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Other anticholinergics appear not to be linked to the risk of dementia.
“Other anticholinergics appear not to be linked to the risk of dementia, and risks remain uncertain for other drugs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Our findings did not change when we instead analysed the number of prescriptions to quantify exposure.
“Our findings did not change when we instead analysed the number of prescriptions to quantify exposure (results not shown).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
During the DEP, 14 453 (35%) cases and 86 403 (30%) controls were prescribed at least one anticholinergic drug with an ACB score of 3.
“14 453 (35%) cases and 86 403 (30%) controls were prescribed at least one anticholinergic drug with an ACB score of 3 (definite anticholinergic activity) during the exposure period.”
- Also stated in: § Frequency of anticholinergic drugs use · plain
“During the DEP, 14 453 (35%) cases and 86 403 (30%) controls were prescribed at least one anticholinergic drug with an Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) score of 3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Also stated in: § Frequency of anticholinergic drugs use · plain
- Findingown data
Prescriptions at 15-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia for antidepressant drugs with an ACB score of 3 were significantly associated with dementia incidence (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.29).
“Prescriptions at 15-20 years before a diagnosis of dementia for antidepressant and urological drugs with an ACB score of 3 remained consistently significantly associated with dementia incidence with odds ratios of 1.19 (1.10 to 1.29) and 1.27 (1.09 to 1.48) respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Other drugs with an ACB score of 1 were not associated with increased dementia incidence.
“Other drugs with an ACB score of 1 were not associated with increased dementia incidence.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The dose-response effect was only evident for certain classes of anticholinergic drugs.
“However, this dose-response effect was not seen for cumulative use of drugs with an Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden (ACB) score of 1 (possibly anticholinergic), and was only evident for certain classes of anticholinergic drugs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Findings remained similar when analysed by more than 90 DDDs of exposure versus less, rather than any prescription versus none.
“Findings remained similar when also analysed by more than 90 DDDs of exposure versus less, rather than any prescription versus none (results not shown).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There was no association between dementia incidence and any prescription of antispasmodic, antipsychotic, antihistamine, or other drugs with an ACB score of 3.
“but no association with antispasmodic, antipsychotic, antihistamine, or other drugs with an ACB score of 3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
A dose-response effect was evident for prescribed doses of drugs with an ACB score of 2 or 3.
“A dose-response effect was evident for prescribed doses of drugs with an ACB score of 2 or 3.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Findingown data
Associations with prescriptions for drugs with an ACB score of 1 and 2 were more apparent closer to the index date.
“Associations with prescriptions for drugs with an ACB score of 1 and 2 were more apparent closer to the index date.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Cardiovascular drugs with an ACB score of 1 were negatively associated with dementia with prolonged exposure (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.99).
“Cardiovascular drugs with an ACB score of 1 were also negatively associated with dementia with prolonged exposure (odds ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.91 to 0.99; supplementary materials, table 2), suggesting their protective effect outweighs any possible harm associated with their anticholinergic properties.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was very little difference in any results when comparing estimates with and without adjustment for body mass index, smoking, and alcohol variables among the main dataset and those with complete data.
“There was very little difference in any results when comparing estimates with and without adjustment for these variables among the main dataset and those with complete data (see supplementary materials, table 5), suggesting that our findings are not sensitive to missing data in these covariates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Gastrointestinal and cardiovascular anticholinergic drugs are not positively associated with later dementia incidence.
“Gastrointestinal and cardiovascular anticholinergic drugs are not positively associated with later dementia incidence”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
There is no evidence for a cumulative harm of drugs considered possibly anticholinergic.
“There is no evidence for a cumulative harm of drugs considered possibly anticholinergic”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Since there was little difference between estimates with covariates measured at start and end of DEP in most cases, the effect of time varying covariates does not considerably affect our findings.
“Since there was little difference between these estimates in most cases we are confident that the effect of time varying covariates does not considerably affect our findings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The protective effect of cardiovascular drugs with an ACB score of 1 outweighs any possible harm associated with their anticholinergic properties.
“Cardiovascular drugs with an ACB score of 1 were also negatively associated with dementia with prolonged exposure (odds ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.91 to 0.99; supplementary materials, table 2), suggesting their protective effect outweighs any possible harm associated with their anticholinergic properties.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Anticholinergic antiparkinson drugs have previously been associated with greater cognitive decline.
“Patients with Parkinson’s disease have an elevated risk of dementia;44 anticholinergic antiparkinson drugs have previously been associated with greater cognitive decline.45”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] source
- Interpretationreasoning
To account for our finding, urinary incontinence would need to be a substantial risk factor for dementia diagnosed 15-20 years later.
“To account for our finding, urinary incontinence would need to be a substantial risk factor for dementia diagnosed 15-20 years later.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Our cases are likely to represent genuine cases of dementia.
“Therefore, our cases are likely to represent genuine cases of dementia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: In the UK, most diagnoses of dementia are made by memory services specialists and communicated back to primary care.
- Premisecitation
Patients with Parkinson's disease have an elevated risk of dementia.
“Patients with Parkinson’s disease have an elevated risk of dementia;44 anticholinergic antiparkinson drugs have previously been associated with greater cognitive decline.45”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [44] source
- Interpretationown data
A robust association between some classes of anticholinergic drugs and future dementia incidence was observed.
“A robust association between some classes of anticholinergic drugs and future dementia incidence was observed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Creams, eye drops, and ear drops have an ACB score of 0.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
- Interpretationcitation
Our estimates generalise to those surviving at least four years after their initial anticholinergic exposure.
“With respect to study design, our estimates generalise to those surviving at least four years after their initial anticholinergic exposure, and the nested case control design provides unbiased estimates of effects when compared with the equivalent cohort study.35”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The finding of a constant association between dementia and antidepressants with an ACB score of 3 across the 20 years before dementia incidence is more likely to represent a causal link.
“Conversely the finding of a constant association between dementia and antidepressants with an ACB score of 3 across the 20 years before dementia incidence, is more likely to represent a causal link.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The findings are not sensitive to missing data in body mass index, smoking, and alcohol covariates.
“There was very little difference in any results when comparing estimates with and without adjustment for these variables among the main dataset and those with complete data (see supplementary materials, table 5), suggesting that our findings are not sensitive to missing data in these covariates.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductcitation
Exposures in the four years before the index date were excluded to avoid protopathic bias.
“We excluded exposures in the four years before the index date to avoid protopathic bias, whereby the drug is given for a sign or symptom of dementia before a diagnosis of dementia.27”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [27] source
- Interpretationreasoning
Residual confounding is unlikely to account for the observed association between antidepressants with an ACB score of 3 and dementia.
“This suggests that residual confounding is unlikely to account for our observed association between antidepressants with an ACB score of 3 and dementia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
A US case-control study of 141 940 nursing home residents with depression found a greater adjusted odds ratio of 1.24 (95% CI 1.20 to 1.28) for anticholinergic drugs use in the 90 days before a diagnosis of dementia based on administrative data.
“A US case-control study of 141 940 nursing home residents with depression found a greater adjusted odds ratio of 1.24 (95% confidence interval 1.20 to 1.28) for anticholinergic drugs use in the 90 days before a diagnosis of dementia based on administrative data.15”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] source
- Study design and conductcitation
Dementia codes in the CPRD reflect diagnoses well with a positive predictive value of 95%.
“Dementia codes in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) reflect diagnoses well with a positive predictive value of 95%.23”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [23] source
- Interpretationreasoning
Surveillance bias is unlikely to account for the findings because the effect would be observed across all drug classes.
“However, this effect would be observed across all drug classes and so is unlikely to account for our findings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
It is possible that some controls have undiagnosed dementia or early cognitive impairment.
“Hence it is possible that some of our controls have undiagnosed dementia or early cognitive impairment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
A long term risk of dementia from anticholinergic urological drugs is plausible.
“Anticholinergic urological drugs, particularly oxybutynin, have been consistently associated with short term cognitive decline in randomised controlled trials,8 41 so a long term risk of dementia is plausible.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Probably not a substantial claim. 20
- It may state two separate claims as one. 39
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationMiddle aged and older populations are increasingly taking multiple drugs, but the potential adverse events of long term use are not well understood.
“Middle aged and older populations are increasingly taking multiple drugs,6 7 but the potential adverse events of long term use are not well understood.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [6] source
The supplied Results and Discussion passages concern health conditions and functional deficits among people entering care homes, not medication use. Searches for increasing use of multiple drugs and polypharmacy returned the same unrelated passages, so our copy does not verify the claim attributed to this source. The statement about adverse events follows the citations and is not the part judged here. (LLM, conf=0.76)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [7] Prescribing and Medicines Team. NHS Digital. Prescriptions Dispensed in the Community, Statistics for England - 2005-2016. NHS Digital 2017. http://digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB20664
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationLower urinary tract symptoms themselves have been linked to future dementia incidence and may be a symptom of early neurodegeneration.
“Lower urinary tract symptoms themselves have been linked to future dementia incidence and may be a symptom of early neurodegeneration.42 43”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checkedIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationMany studies have linked anticholinergic drug use with concurrent or short term cognitive effects, but few have examined associations of long term anticholinergic exposure; the latter tend to report positive associations.
“Many studies have linked anticholinergic drug use with concurrent or short term cognitive effects, but few have examined associations of long term anticholinergic exposure;8 the latter tend to report positive associations.12 14 15”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checkedIt may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningA typical patient aged 65-70 might normally expect a period incidence of dementia of around 10% over the next 15 years, so the odds ratio for antidepressants with ACB score 3 at 15-20 years (1.19) would be consistent with an absolute risk increase of 2% (1% to 3%) over that period, corresponding to a number needed to harm of 50 (33 to 100).
“A typical patient aged 65-70 might normally expect a period incidence of dementia of around 10% over the next 15 years,36 so this odds ratio would be consistent with an absolute risk increase of 2% (1% to 3%) over that period, corresponding to a number needed to harm of 50 (33 to 100).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] source
It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationA cross sectional analysis of ADNI and IMAS data linked anticholinergic drug use to reduced glucose metabolism and increased brain atrophy, and to future mild cognitive impairment or Alzheimer's disease incidence among cognitively normal participants (hazard ratio 2.47, P=0.01).
“Most recently, a cross sectional analysis of Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and Indiana Memory and Ageing Study (IMAS) data linked anticholinergic drug use to reduced glucose metabolism and increased brain atrophy, and to future mild cognitive impairment or Alzheimer’s disease incidence among cognitively normal participants (hazard ratio 2.47, P=0.01).39”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [39] source
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationLate life depression is thought to be an early symptom of dementia, whereas studies of whether midlife depression is a risk factor for later life dementia have had mixed findings.
“In particular, late life depression is thought to be an early symptom of dementia,18 19 whereas studies of whether midlife depression is a risk factor for later life dementia have had mixed findings.20 21”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 3 sources checked- cites [18] source
The Discussion says depressive symptoms in older adults may be a reaction to early cognitive decline or a sign of an underlying neurodegenerative process, supporting the late-life part of the sentence as a possibility. The paper studies older adults and does not report mixed findings about midlife depression as a risk factor for later-life dementia (searched: midlife; mixed findings). (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [19] source
- cites [20] source
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationAnticholinergic antidepressants were linked to dementia incidence, consistent with our results, however, the authors did not test specific classes of the remaining anticholinergics.
“Anticholinergic antidepressants were linked to dementia incidence, consistent with our results, however, the authors did not test specific classes of the remaining anticholinergics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [12] source
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataMost patients (89% of cases and 87% of controls) received at least one prescription for a drug with an ACB score of 1 during the DEP, with cardiovascular drugs accounting for 63% of these prescriptions.
“Most patients (89% of cases and 87% of controls) received at least one prescription for a drug with an ACB score of 1 during the DEP, with cardiovascular drugs accounting for 63% of these prescriptions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataWhen analysed by drug class, the findings were very similar with antidepressant, antiparkinson, and urological drugs with an ADS score of 3 and antidepressants with an ADS score of 1 consistently associated with greater dementia incidence, but no association with other ADS classes.
“However, when analysed by the drug class, the findings were very similar with the antidepressant, antiparkinson, and urological drugs with an ADS score of 3 and antidepressants with an ADS score of 1 consistently associated with greater dementia incidence (data not shown), but no association with other ADS classes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataA small association between antihistamine use and dementia was observed that did not meet our threshold for statistical significance.
“A small association between antihistamine use and dementia was observed that did not meet our threshold for statistical significance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThere was a dose-response effect linking average anticholinergic load, measured by the average ACB score over the DEP, with dementia incidence, although this is only evident for those with an average score of 3 or more.
“There was a dose-response effect linking average anticholinergic load, measured by the average ACB score over the DEP, with dementia incidence, although this is only evident for those with an average score of 3 or more (table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Creams, eye drops, and ear drops have an ACB score of 0.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataThere is some evidence for an association between dementia incidence and prescription of antiparkinson drugs with an ACB score of 2.
“but there is some evidence for an association between dementia incidence and prescription of antiparkinson drugs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThe associations are attenuated from the crude rates when adjusting for drug use at the start of the DEP, and are further reduced only slightly when adjusting for covariates at the end of the DEP.
“The associations are attenuated from the crude rates when adjusting for drug use at the start of the DEP, and are further reduced only slightly when adjusting for covariates at the end of the DEP.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataThere were positive associations for antidepressant drugs with an ACB score of 1 with an increased risk of dementia, but not with any other drugs with an ACB score of 1.
“We found positive associations for antidepressant drugs with an ACB score of 1 with an increased risk of dementia, but not with any other drugs with an ACB score of 1.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataIn the new-user restricted analysis, antidepressants and urologicals with an ACB score of 3 and antidepressants with an ACB score of 1 remained noticeably associated with dementia.
“In particular, antidepressants and urologicals with an ACB score of 3 and antidepressants with an ACB score of 1 remained noticeably associated with dementia.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Findingown dataThere were relatively high proportions of missing data for the body mass index, smoking, and alcohol variables.
“There were relatively high proportions of missing data for the body mass index, smoking, and alcohol variables.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataOnly 1429 (3.5%) cases and 7909 (2.8%) controls were prescribed drugs with an ACB score of 2, with carbamazepine accounting for 87% of these prescriptions.
“Only 1429 (3.5%) cases and 7909 (2.8%) controls were prescribed drugs with an ACB score of 2, with carbamazepine accounting for 87% of these prescriptions.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataPrescriptions for drugs with an ACB score of 2 were relatively rare, and so results are imprecise in this group.
“Prescriptions for drugs with an ACB score of 2 were relatively rare, and so results are imprecise in this group”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataWe find a slight negative association between gastrointestinal drugs with an ACB score of 1 and 3 and dementia with an apparent dose-response effect.
“We find a slight negative association between gastrointenstinal drugs with an ACB score of 1 and 3 and dementia with an apparent dose-response effect, although there is no mechanistic explanation for this.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataAssociations between dementia incidence and number of DDDs by drug class are consistent with the findings in table 3, except that a tentative effect of antihistamines with an ACB score of 3 is seen for patients with more than 365 DDDs prescribed during the DEP.
“These associations are consistent with the findings in table 3, except that a tentative effect of antihistamines with an ACB score of 3 is seen for patients with more than 365 DDDs prescribed during the DEP.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataIn each case (antidepressants, antiparkinsons, and urologicals with an ACB score of 3) a dose-response effect is seen with a smaller, but noticeable, positive association between dementia and recorded use of less than 90 DDDs.
“In each case (antidepressants, antiparkinsons, and urologicals with an ACB score of 3) a dose-response effect is seen with a smaller, but noticeable, positive association between dementia and recorded use of less than 90 DDDs (see supplementary materials, table 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataAntidepressant, urological, and antiparkinson drugs with definite anticholinergic activity are linked to future dementia incidence, with associations persisting up to 20 years after exposure.
“Antidepressant, urological, and antiparkinson drugs with definite anticholinergic activity are linked to future dementia incidence, with associations persisting up to 20 years after exposure”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataUse of gastrointestinal drugs with an ACB score of 1 or 3, and cardiovascular drugs with an ACB score of 1 was associated with a minor reduction in the risk of dementia.
“Use of gastrointestinal drugs with an ACB score of 1 or 3, and cardiovascular drugs with an ACB score of 1 was associated with a minor reduction in the risk of dementia.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Findingown dataDiagnoses of conditions related to dementia and indications for anticholinergics increased during the DEP.
“Table 1 shows that diagnoses of conditions related to dementia and indications for anticholinergics increased during the DEP.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
Probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductnone givenAlthough we carefully adjusted for depression diagnosis, severity, symptoms, and duration, residual confounding cannot be excluded.
“Although we carefully adjusted for depression diagnosis, severity, symptoms, and duration (see supplementary materials, appendix 4), residual confounding cannot be excluded.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationEvidence from anticholinergic cessation trials have not shown improvements in cognitive function, but these have been underpowered and focused on short term outcomes.
“Evidence from anticholinergic cessation trials have not shown improvements in cognitive function, but these have been underpowered and focused on short term outcomes.40”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [40] source
It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductnone givenOur study uses a longer patient history in a larger sample of patients.
“Our study uses a longer patient history in a larger sample of patients.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductcitationThe dementia code list used in this study was derived by comparing a previous published list with the Department of Health's Quality and Outcomes Framework list; the two lists overlapped almost completely, and the combined list was reviewed by the clinical team.
“Dementia codes were derived by comparing a previous published list with the Department of Health’s Quality and Outcomes Framework list of business codes for dementia.23 24 These two code lists overlapped almost completely. The combined list was reviewed by our clinical team, and all codes were included in our final definition—except those that related explicitly to alcohol related dementia”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [23] source
- cites [24] Health and Social Care Information Centre. NHS Outcomes Framework. 2013. http://www.hscic.gov.uk/catalogue/PUB13054 (accessed 24 Jun 2014).
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Interpretationnone givenAlthough set in the UK, our findings are likely generalisable to other developed countries.
“Although set in the UK, our findings are likely generalisable to other developed countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductreasoningP<0.01 was prespecified as the threshold for statistical significance owing to the large number of subgroups examined.
“P<0.01 was prespecified as a threshold for statistical significance owing to the large number of subgroups being examined.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationThe anticholinergic effects of drugs are usually classified using scales developed by expert consensus aided by a literature review.
“the anticholinergic effects of drugs are usually classified using scales developed by expert consensus aided by a literature review.29”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] source
Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductreasoningIn the primary analysis, confounders were measured up to the end of the DEP to best capture the indications of the drugs, and also coded up to the start of the DEP because some variables could be consequences of drug exposure.
“Our primary analysis measured confounders recorded up to the end of the DEP to best capture the indications of the drugs. We also coded the status of each patient with respect to each covariate up to the start of the DEP, as some variables could be consequences of drug exposure.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationIt is difficult to accurately assess the anticholinergic activity of each drug, and anticholinergic scales differ with respect to how they classify drugs.
“It is difficult to accurately assess the anticholinergic activity of each drug, and anticholinergic scales differ with respect to how they classify drugs.29”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] source
Probably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisereasoningPrevious studies have been limited in their ability to determine if the increased risk is specific to the anticholinergic action itself, and whether or not the association is owing to the drugs or the underlying conditions for which they were prescribed.
“However, these studies have been limited in their ability to determine if the increased risk is specific to the anticholinergic action itself, and whether or not the association is owing to the drugs or the underlying conditions for which they were prescribed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Study design and conductnone givenSample size was determined by the maximum available data within CPRD.
“Sample size was determined by the maximum available data within CPRD.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
PremisecitationUse of anticholinergic drugs among people with dementia is recognised as inappropriate by both the Beers and the Screening Tool of Older Persons' potentially inappropriate Prescriptions (STOPP) criteria.
“Use of anticholinergic drugs among people with dementia is recognised as inappropriate by both the Beers and the Screening Tool of Older Persons' potentially inappropriate Prescriptions (STOPP) criteria.10 11”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataThe association between other antidepressants with an ACB score of 1 and dementia was greater for prescriptions close to dementia incidence, suggesting that reverse causation could be a possible explanation for this observed association.
“Other antidepressants (predominantly selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors) with an ACB score of 1 were associated with dementia, but that association was greater for prescriptions close to dementia incidence, suggesting that reverse causation could be a possible explanation for this observed association.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningThis misclassification would shrink estimated effects towards the null (odds ratio of 1) but would not remove them completely.
“This misclassification would shrink estimated effects towards the null (odds ratio of 1) but would not remove them completely.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationMechanistic evidence for a link between anticholinergic drugs and dementia incidence is limited, but neuropathological studies in humans and mice do support a role of anticholinergics affecting neurodegenerative pathology.
“Mechanistic evidence for a link between anticholinergic drugs and dementia incidence is limited, but neuropathological studies in humans and mice do support a role of anticholinergics affecting neurodegenerative pathology.37 38”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningThis enables a much more granular disaggregation of the effects of specific drug classes in different periods before diagnosis, and in the depth of confounding control possible using complete primary care records, which enables exploration of alternative explanations for observed associations.
“This enables a much more granular disaggregation of the effects of specific drug classes in different periods before diagnosis, and in the depth of confounding control possible using complete primary care records, which enables exploration of alternative explanations for observed associations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence.
InterpretationreasoningTogether these aspects substantially narrow the target of potential harm.
“Together these aspects substantially narrow the target of potential harm.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataThese relations were seen even for exposures 15-20 years before the diagnosis of dementia, suggesting that reverse causation or confounding with early dementia symptoms are less likely explanations for the effect.
“These relations were seen even for exposures 15-20 years before the diagnosis of dementia, suggesting that reverse causation or confounding with early dementia symptoms are less likely explanations for the effect.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductown dataExcluding patients who were prevalent users at the start of each DEP resulted in little difference in results, ensuring potential confounders preceded drug initiation.
“Secondly, to be certain that potential confounders preceded drug initiation and not vice versa, we further excluded patients who were prevalent users at the start of each DEP, again with little difference in results.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
PremisecitationIt is well known that anticholinergics affect cognition, and guidelines suggest they are to be avoided among frail older people.
“It is well known that anticholinergics affect cognition,8 and guidelines suggest they are to be avoided among frail older people.9”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [8] Tannenbaum, 2012, A systematic review of amnestic and non-amnestic mild cognitive impairment induced by anticholinergic, antihistamine, GABAergic and opioid drugs, Drugs Aging source
- cites [9] National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Urinary incontinence in women: management. NICE guideline CG171. 2015.https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/cg171?unlid= (accessed 10 Feb 2017).
It may state two separate claims as one.
InterpretationreasoningThe associations reported here are moderate (odds ratios for different exposures between 1.1 and 1.3), but given the high incidence of dementia they reflect an appreciable risk to patients.
“The associations reported here are moderate (odds ratios for different exposures between 1.1 and 1.3), but given the high incidence of dementia they reflect an appreciable risk to patients.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. It may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductreasoningSeven controls per case were used to maximise power to detect associations with potentially rare exposures or covariates and to adhere to the data provider's maximum sample size limits.
“Seven controls were used to maximise the power to detect associations with potentially rare exposures or covariates, and to adhere to the limits of the data provider regarding the maximum sample size for a single study.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
Interpretationnone givenPatients with fewer than 365 DDDs of antihistamines may also have a substantial over-the-counter use that is not recorded.
“Although very few patients (around 0.3% of the sample) are prescribed more than 365 DDDs of antihistamines in our study, those with fewer prescriptions may also have a substantial over-the-counter use that is not recorded.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Interpretationown dataDrugs obtained over-the-counter are not recorded in our data, hence we will have likely underestimated the use of certain antihistamines.
“Drugs obtained over-the-counter are not recorded in our data, hence we will have likely underestimated the use of certain antihistamines.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimIt may state two separate claims as one.
Study design and conductown dataOur study used a large, population representative, primary care database that allowed a detailed analysis of the association between dementia incidence and prescriptions of different drugs classes up to 20 years before a diagnosis of dementia.
“Our study used a large, population representative, primary care database that allowed a detailed analysis of the association between dementia incidence and prescriptions of different drugs classes up to 20 years before a diagnosis of dementia.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1.
“thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, and antihistamines have an ACB score of 1”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3.
“tricyclic antidepressants have an ACB score of 3”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Creams, eye drops, and ear drops have an ACB score of 0.
“creams, eye drops, and ear drops have an ACB score of 0”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.
“diagnosed health conditions or other drugs are assumed absent if there is no mention in the primary care record.”
The paper relies on this without support.
It is not known if the reported associations between the use of anticholinergic drugs and future cognitive decline and dementia incidence can be attributed to anticholinergic activity.
“It is not known if the reported associations between the use of anticholinergic drugs and future cognitive decline and dementia incidence can be attributed to anticholinergic activity”
The paper relies on this without support.
This is the first study to individually estimate the effect of classes of anticholinergic drugs with respect to dementia incidence.
“This is the first study to individually estimate the effect of classes of anticholinergic drugs with respect to dementia incidence.”
The paper relies on this without support.
In the UK, most diagnoses of dementia are made by memory services specialists and communicated back to primary care.
“In the UK, most diagnoses of dementia are made by memory services specialists. The diagnoses are then communicated back to primary care.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Use of drugs with anticholinergic activity is associated with impaired cognition in the short term.
“Use of drugs with anticholinergic activity is associated with impaired cognition in the short term”
The paper relies on this without support.
Primary care records include detailed records of diagnoses and symptoms that have allowed good confounding control.
“Primary care records do not hold detailed lifestyle or demographic information, but do include detailed records of diagnoses and symptoms that have allowed good confounding control.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Defined daily doses represent the best available method for comparing the levels of exposure of different drug classes.
“Defined daily doses (DDDs) can be difficult to establish for certain drugs yet represent the best available method for comparing the levels of exposure of different drug classes.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Richardson et al also found increases in dementia risk for the groups of antidepressant, urological, and antiparkinson drugs considered and no associations for gastrointestinal or antihistamine drugs.
“Despite these differences, Richardson et al12 also found increases in dementia risk for the groups of antidepressant, urological, and antiparkinson drugs considered and no associations for gastrointestinal or antihistamine drugs.”
From Anticholinergic Drug Exposure and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested Case-Control Study (2019) · cites this paper as [12]
The Results (Exposure by drug class) report significant associations with dementia for antidepressant, antiparkinson, and urological drugs with an ACB score of 3, and no overall association for antihistamines in that group. But the blanket claim of no associations for gastrointestinal or antihistamine drugs is too broad: gastrointestinal drugs were associated with a minor reduction in risk, and a tentative antihistamine association appeared at more than 365 prescribed daily doses. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredA study by Richardson et al, using another United Kingdom primary care database (CPRD), reported findings similar to ours, despite some differences in the drugs included, exposure measures used, exposure windows, and the confounding variables accounted for.
“A study by Richardson et al,12 using another United Kingdom primary care database (CPRD), reported findings similar to ours, despite some differences in the drugs included, exposure measures used, exposure windows, and the confounding variables accounted for.”
From Anticholinergic Drug Exposure and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested Case-Control Study (2019) · cites this paper as [12]
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAnticholinergic drugs block acetylcholine, a neurotransmitter essential for cognitive function.
“Anticholinergic drugs block acetylcholine, a neurotransmitter essential for cognitive function, and have been associated with an increased risk of dementia in older adults [15, 31, 32].”
From Long-Term Antidepressant Use and Dementia Risk: A Propensity Score-Matched Study of Swiss Older Adults, with an Anticholinergic-Specific Analysis (2026) · cites this paper as [32]
Anticholinergic drugs have been associated with an increased risk of dementia in older adults.
“Anticholinergic drugs block acetylcholine, a neurotransmitter essential for cognitive function, and have been associated with an increased risk of dementia in older adults [15, 31, 32].”
From Long-Term Antidepressant Use and Dementia Risk: A Propensity Score-Matched Study of Swiss Older Adults, with an Anticholinergic-Specific Analysis (2026) · cites this paper as [32]
Previous longitudinal cohort studies indicate that anticholinergic medications negatively affect cognitive performance.
“This association between anticholinergic antidepressants and dementia aligns with previous longitudinal cohort studies indicating that anticholinergic medications negatively affect cognitive performance [15, 31, 32, 43, 44].”
From Long-Term Antidepressant Use and Dementia Risk: A Propensity Score-Matched Study of Swiss Older Adults, with an Anticholinergic-Specific Analysis (2026) · cites this paper as [32]
Cumulative exposure to anticholinergic antidepressants is significantly associated with a higher dementia risk, with effects persisting up to 20 years post-exposure.
“Studies have demonstrated that cumulative exposure to anticholinergic antidepressants is significantly associated with a higher dementia risk, with effects persisting up to 20 years post-exposure [32].”
From Long-Term Antidepressant Use and Dementia Risk: A Propensity Score-Matched Study of Swiss Older Adults, with an Anticholinergic-Specific Analysis (2026) · cites this paper as [32]
A recent larger study found varying risks associated with different types of anticholinergic drugs and concluded that further research should examine individual anticholinergic drug classes.
“A recent larger study12 found varying risks associated with different types of anticholinergic drugs and concluded that further research should examine individual anticholinergic drug classes.”
From Anticholinergic Drug Exposure and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested Case-Control Study (2019) · cites this paper as [12]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
ACB score 2 association increased, rather than decreased, in the new-user analysis
MinorThe text says the new-user restriction produced small reductions for both ACB scores 3 and 2. For ACB score 2, however, the end-of-period adjusted odds ratio rose from 1.10 in the primary analysis to 1.12.
“This led to small reductions in the association between dementia incidence and any drug with an ACB score of 3 (odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.10) and any drug with an ACB score of 2 (1.12, 1.04 to 1.21)”
“| 2 | 1429 (3.5) | 7909 (2.8) | | 1.27§ (1.20 to 1.35) | 1.10§ (1.03 to 1.17) | 1.10§ (1.03 to 1.16) |”
Highest average ACB category has conflicting boundaries
MinorThe methods say the highest category includes scores of 5 or more, but Table 2 labels it greater than 5.0. Under the table's stated boundaries, an average score of exactly 5.0 falls into neither of its two highest categories.
“but with two additional groups representing those with particularly high (3-5 and 5 or more) average ACB scores.”
“| >5.0 | 1570 (3.9) | 8132 (2.9) | | 1.53§ (1.44 to 1.62) | 1.31§ (1.23 to 1.40) | 1.28§ (1.19 to 1.36) |”
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Anticholinergic Drug Exposure and the Risk of Dementia: A Nested Case-Control Study
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Metadata
- Authors
- Richardson, K., Fox, C., Maidment, I., Steel, N., Loke, Y. K., Arthur, A., Myint, P. K., Grossi, C. M., Mattishent, K., Bennett, K., Campbell, N. L., Boustani, M., Robinson, L., Brayne, C., Matthews, F. E., & Savva, G. M.
- Affiliations
- University of East Anglia (GB)
- Aston University (GB)
- University of Aberdeen (GB)
- Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland (IE)
- Purdue University West Lafayette (US)
- Indiana University Indianapolis (US)
- Newcastle University (GB)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Richardson, Kathryn
- ORCID
- Venue
- BMJ
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2018-04-25
- Volume
- 361
- Pages
- k1315
- ISSN
- 1756-1833 (ISSN-L)
- 0959-8138
- PMC
- PMC5915701
- OpenAlex
- W2800521692
- Cited by
- 520
- References
- 44
- Citations by year
- 2026: 36 · 2025: 48 · 2024: 56 · 2023: 49 · 2022: 45 · 2021: 71 · 2020: 127 · 2019: 61 · 2018: 25
- FWCI
- 54.35
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Update notices
- correction (2019-10-31)
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- BMJ (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Aston Publications Explorer (Aston University) (acceptedVersion)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (acceptedVersion)
- Apollo (University of Cambridge) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Aberdeen University Research Archive (Aberdeen University) (submittedVersion)
- Repository@Hull (Worktribe) (University of Hull) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- Apollo
- Funders
- Alzheimer's Society (AS-PG-2013-017)
- National Institute for Health and Care Research (NF-SI-0616-10090, NF-SI-0611-10084, ACF-2014-15-001)
- Aston University
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Geriatrics and Gerontology › Pharmaceutical Practices and Patient Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology (medical) › Cholinesterase and Neurodegenerative Diseases
- Keywords
- anticholinergic agents, dementia, Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden Scale, antidepressants, antiparkinsonian drugs, urological drugs, gastrointestinal drugs, drug exposure duration, older adults, incident dementia risk
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Antidepressive Agents, Tricyclic, Dementia, Female, United Kingdom, Health Services Research, Humans, Male, Odds Ratio, Case-Control Studies, Risk Assessment, Cholinergic Antagonists
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