A Meta-analysis of University STEM Summer Bridge Program Effectiveness
Open accessAbstract
A meta-analysis of university STEM summer bridge programs found that participation had a medium-sized effect on first-year overall GPA ( d = 0.34) and university retention (Odds Ratio OR] = 1.747). Although the analysis reflects the limited available data, it provides much-needed research on programs’ objective effectiveness and guides future program development.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This meta-analysis of 16 STEM summer bridge programs found that participation was associated with higher first-year university GPA and greater first-year university retention relative to control groups. The authors frame it as the first systematic quantitative review of STEM bridge program effectiveness, while cautioning that the evidence base is limited and mostly quasi-experimental.
Key findings
- Bridge participation had a medium-sized positive effect on first-year overall GPA: Cohen’s *d* = 0.34 (95% CI [0.16, 0.52], *p* < 0.001; *k* = 12 in Table 3).
- Bridge participation was associated with higher first-year university retention: odds ratio = 1.747 (95% CI [1.35, 2.56], *p* < 0.001; *k* = 19), which the authors interpret as bridge students being 64% more likely to be retained than control students.
- Publication type showed only marginal moderation: peer-reviewed journal articles reported larger GPA effects (*M* = 0.62) than dissertations/conference papers (*M* = 0.26), *p* = 0.08; retention publication-type moderation was also marginal (*p* = 0.09).
- Heterogeneity was substantial: GPA *QE*(11) = 437.82, *p* < 0.0001, τ = 0.28; retention *QE*(18) = 39.32, *p* = 0.002, τ = 0.31. The weighted average first-year retention rate across both groups was 76.1%.
Methods
- Random-effects meta-analysis of 16 studies comprising 25 samples, with 4,057 bridge program students and 26,516 control group students; outcomes were first-year overall GPA and first-year university retention.
- Studies were identified through PsycINFO, Academic Search Complete, Medline, and ERIC, plus references from Ashley et al. (2017) and requests to 17 researchers; inclusion required an on-campus summer pre-first-year STEM program, at least one objective academic outcome, and a control group narrower than the rest of the university.
- Analyses used R with the metafor package; GPA effects were standardized mean differences (Cohen’s *d*), retention effects were log-odds ratios converted to odds ratios. For 7 of 12 GPA studies missing SDs, SDs were imputed as 0.73 for program participants and 0.60 for controls.
Limitations
- The authors state that program heterogeneity, varied outcomes, and underspecified methodologies limit generalizable conclusions about any particular future bridge program; the meta-analysis included only a relatively small subset of studies meeting reasonable design standards.
- The authors state that selection bias is likely because students usually opt into bridge programs and the included studies did not use random assignment, so effects cannot be isolated from motivation, self-efficacy, interest, or other student differences.
- The authors state that publication-bias analyses were limited by few peer-reviewed studies: only 3 GPA studies and 4 retention studies were published in peer-reviewed journals. The text also makes evident that many bridge groups were small (median = 75 students) and most included programs were at relatively large, PhD-granting institutions.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
7 of 38 cited sources checked · 4 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
STEM bridge program goals vary between individual programs.
“STEM bridge program goals vary between individual programs (see Ashley et al., 2017)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Ashley et al., 2017 source
- Premisecitation
Transfer students from 2-year colleges tend to be more committed to a specific major and career path than first-year university students.
“Despite these barriers, transfer students from 2-year colleges tend to be more committed to a specific major and career path than first-year university students (Aulck and West, 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Aulck and West, 2017 source
The Introduction and Discussion report that transfer students had more focused academic paths than freshmen entrants, and that 2-year transfers made the fewest shifts across fields of study. The Discussion suggests this may reflect more defined educational trajectories, but the paper does not establish that they are more committed to a specific career path. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
Program participation had a medium-sized effect on first-year overall grade point average (d = 0.34).
“Results showed that program participation had a medium-sized effect on first-year overall grade point average (d = 0.34)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Few studies reported STEM-specific outcomes usable for meta-analytic purposes.
“As a result, few studies reported STEM-specific outcomes usable for meta-analytic purposes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
First-year GPA and university first-year retention were the only outcomes considered that met the minimum threshold of 11 effects.
“we examine first-year GPA and university first-year retention, which were the only outcomes we considered that met the minimum threshold of 11 effects.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
Program participation had an effect on first-year university retention (Odds Ratio [OR] = 1.747).
“first-year university retention (Odds Ratio [OR] = 1.747)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Bridge students generally had higher first-year overall GPAs than control group students.
“Generally, bridge students generally had higher first-year overall GPAs than control group students.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis.
- Rests on an assumption: The standard deviations missing from studies that reported first-year overall GPA but not SD are similar enough to the SDs in the other studies to be imputed by their weighted average.
- Findingown data
There was large heterogeneity in the GPA sample; QE(11) = 437.82, p < 0.0001, τ = 0.28.
“Qualifying these effects, as expected, there was large heterogeneity in the sample; QE(11) = 437.82, p < 0.0001, τ = 0.28.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The random-effects model for first-year retention was significant, with an odds ratio of 1.747 (p < 0.0001, 95% CI = 1.35, 2.56, CrI = 0.86, 3.57) in favor of a retained student being in the bridge group.
“The model was significant, with an odds ratio of 1.747 (p < 0.0001, 95% CI = 1.35, 2.56, CrI = 0.86, 3.57) in favor of a retained student being in the bridge group, supporting hypothesis 2.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis.
- Findingcitation
Many bridge programs failed to meet inclusion criteria, often because they did not report results from a similar control group.
“Many bridge programs failed to meet our inclusion criteria, often because they did not report results from a similar control group.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
More than half of the programs in this meta-analysis provided students course tutoring, mentoring arrangements, and research opportunities.
“We found that more than half of the programs in this meta-analysis provided students course tutoring, mentoring arrangements, and research opportunities”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Journal articles were marginally more likely to report larger positive effects for GPA outcomes than conference papers and dissertations (journal M = 0.62, other publications M = 0.26; p = 0.08, 95% CI = −0.04, 0.78).
“We found that, on average, journal articles were marginally more likely to report larger positive effects for GPA outcomes than those published in conference papers and dissertations (journal M = 0.62, other publications M = 0.26; p = 0.08, 95% CI = −0.04, 0.78)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Journals were marginally more likely to report positive retention outcomes than studies published in conference papers and dissertations (p = 0.09, 95% CI = −0.06, 0.88).
“We found that journals were marginally more likely to report positive outcomes than studies published in conference papers and dissertations (p = 0.09, 95% CI = −0.06, 0.88).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
STEM bridge programs positively affected first-year student performance.
“We found that STEM bridge programs positively affected first-year student retention and performance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Cumulatively, there were 4057 bridge program students and 26,516 control group students in this analysis.
“Cumulatively, there were 4057 bridge program students and 26,516 control group students in this analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Findings in peer-reviewed journal articles tended to include more positive outcomes and larger effects (GPA and first-year retention) compared with conference papers and dissertations, though the difference was marginally significant.
“We also examined publication bias and found that findings in peer-reviewed journal articles tended to include more positive outcomes and larger effects (GPA and first-year retention) compared with conference papers and dissertations (marginally significant).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
No other bridge program in the primary studies included describes a comprehensive program for ongoing student support.
“no other bridge program in the primary studies included here describes a comprehensive program for ongoing student support”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was evidence of heterogeneity in the retention studies; QE(18) = 39.32, p = 0.002, τ = 0.31.
“As with first-year GPA, there was evidence of heterogeneity in these studies; QE(18) = 39.32, p = 0.002, τ = 0.31.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The meta-analyzed Cohen's d for first-year overall GPA was 0.34 (95% CI = 0.16, 0.52, p < 0.0001, CrI = −0.23, 0.91).
“Cohen’s d (Cohen, 1988) was 0.34 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.16, 0.52, p < 0.0001, credibility interval [CrI] = −0.23, 0.91).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Cohen, 1988
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis.
- Rests on an assumption: The standard deviations missing from studies that reported first-year overall GPA but not SD are similar enough to the SDs in the other studies to be imputed by their weighted average.
- Findingcitation
Many studies reviewed compared results with a matched sample of similar students based on STEM preparedness, such as standardized test scores or high school performance.
“Many studies we reviewed in our literature search compared results with a matched sample of similar students based on some operationalization of STEM preparedness, such as standardized test scores or high school performance (e.g., Gilmer, 2007; Bradford et al., 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Gilmer, 2007
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Bradford et al., 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
STEM bridge programs positively affected first-year student retention.
“We found that STEM bridge programs positively affected first-year student retention and performance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The majority of studies included in this meta-analysis were conducted at relatively larger, PhD-granting institutions.
“We also note that the majority of studies included in this meta-analysis were conducted at relatively larger, PhD-granting institutions (see Tables 1 and 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
STEM research has linked students' early overall GPA with STEM retention.
“STEM research has linked students’ early overall GPA with STEM retention (Cromley et al., 2016).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Cromley et al., 2016 source
- Study design and conductown data
For studies that reported first-year overall GPA but did not report the SD (seven of 12 studies), the SD was imputed using a weighted average of the square root of the variances reported in the other studies (SD = 0.73 for program participants and SD = 0.60 for the control group).
“For studies that reported first-year overall GPA but did not report the SD of the GPA for the samples (seven of 12 studies), we imputed the SD using a weighted average of the square root of the variances reported in the other studies in the analysis (SD = 0.73 for program participants and SD = 0.60 for the control group).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The standard deviations missing from studies that reported first-year overall GPA but not SD are similar enough to the SDs in the other studies to be imputed by their weighted average.
- Study design and conductown data
For tutoring, mentoring, and research opportunities, the number of programs that did not include these elements was too low to reasonably use in a quantitative analysis.
“In all three cases (tutoring, mentoring, and research opportunities), the number of programs that did not include these elements was too low to reasonably use in a quantitative analysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Students transferring from 2-year colleges into STEM classes and majors at 4-year institutions may face unfavorable stereotypes by both faculty and peers about the ability and success of transfer students in STEM courses.
“students transferring from 2-year colleges into STEM classes and majors at 4-year institutions may also face unfavorable stereotypes by both faculty and peers about the ability and success of transfer students in STEM courses (Reyes, 2011).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Reyes, 2011 source
- Premisecitation
Matched sampling analyses can be improved by using covariates not affected by bridge participation to build propensity scores that reduce bias from confounding variables.
“Matched sampling analyses can be improved by using covariates that are not affected by a student participating in the bridge program (e.g., students’ demographic backgrounds, high school preparation) to build propensity scores, which attempt to match students on these covariates and reduce bias produced by confounding variables (Powell et al., 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Powell et al., 2020 source
- Premisecitation
Transfer students in STEM majors may experience greater transfer shock than transfer students in other majors.
“Transfer students in STEM majors may experience greater transfer shock than transfer students in other majors (Lakin and Elliott, 2016)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lakin and Elliott, 2016 source
- Premisereasoning
The field has lacked systematic analysis of STEM bridge program effectiveness.
“However, despite the expense of these programs, the field has lacked systematic analysis of program effectiveness, as well as any consensus on criteria for success.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
The analysis was constrained by the limited outcomes reported by many of the primary studies.
“However, we were constrained in our analysis due to the limited outcomes many of the primary studies reported.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductreasoning
The meta-analysis included only a relatively small subset of studies that met reasonable standards for research design.
“Given the tension between program heterogeneity and our desire to report the available evidence, our meta-analysis included only a relatively small subset of studies that met reasonable standards for research design.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Program interventions may bolster the success of students in terms of STEM retention by supplementing high school experiences and exposing students to resources at colleges and universities designed to support student success.
“program interventions may bolster the success of students in terms of STEM retention by supplementing high school experiences and exposing students to resources at colleges and universities designed to support student success (Zuo et al., 2018).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Zuo et al., 2018 source
- Premisecitation
Random-effects models tend to provide more accurate results compared with fixed-effects counterparts when study effects are heterogeneous.
“All meta-analyses were between-group comparisons using random-effects models, which tend to provide more accurate results compared with their fixed-effects counterparts when study effects are heterogeneous (National Research Council, 1992; Hunter and Schmidt, 2000).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites National Research Council, 1992
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Hunter and Schmidt, 2000 source
- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis.
- Interpretationreasoning
The heterogeneity of STEM bridge programs and the range of outcomes they report, as well as the relatively underspecified methodologies that many studies employ, limit the ability of the current meta-analysis to yield generalizable conclusions about the effect of any future particular bridge program intervention.
“It was clear that the heterogeneity of STEM bridge programs and the range of outcomes they report, as well as the relatively underspecified methodologies that many studies employ, limit the ability of the current meta-analysis to yield generalizable conclusions about the effect of any future particular bridge program intervention.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
Many, if not most, STEM bridge programs attempt to incorporate some of the elements research would suggest are most influential for STEM academic success and retention.
“These findings suggest that many, if not most, STEM bridge programs attempt to incorporate some of the elements research would suggest are most influential for STEM academic success and retention.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The mean odds ratio predicts that bridge students are 64% more likely to be retained than control group students.
“In other words, the mean odds ratio would predict that bridge students are 64% more likely (i.e., the odds ratio divided by one plus the odds ratio) to be retained than control group students.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Liberal arts colleges tend to produce a greater percentage of graduates who eventually receive doctoral degrees in STEM fields than the percentage of graduates from larger universities.
“they do tend to produce a greater percentage of graduates who eventually receive doctoral degrees in STEM fields than the percentage of graduates from larger universities (Cech, 1999).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Cech, 1999
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 28
- May combine two claims. 26
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationFirst-semester GPA was a moderate predictor of whether students ultimately received a STEM degree in a sample of 1925 college students.
“In a sample of 1925 college students, first-semester GPA was a moderate predictor of whether students ultimately received a STEM degree (Crisp et al., 2009).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Crisp et al., 2009 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe log-odds ratio creates greater symmetry of the distribution of the outcome measures and centers it on 0, making the data more amenable to analyses.
“The log-odds ratio creates greater symmetry of the distribution of the outcome measures and centers it on 0 (Sterne et al., 2001), which makes the data more amenable to analyses.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Sterne et al., 2001 source
The “Funnel plots” section says that plotting odds ratios on a logarithmic scale places equal effects in opposite directions equidistant from the null value of 1 (zero on the log scale). It does not say that the transformation makes the distribution of outcome measures more symmetric or, for that reason, more amenable to analysis. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe metafor package is a frequently used statistical package to fit fixed-, mixed-, and random-effects models to meta-analyses.
“All analyses were conducted in R statistical software using the metafor package, a frequently used statistical package to fit fixed-, mixed-, and random-effects models to meta-analyses (Viechtbauer, 2010).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Viechtbauer, 2010 source
The Conclusions (p. 42) state that metafor’s rma() function fits fixed- and random/mixed-effects models for meta-analysis in R. The Introduction (p. 2) also describes its fixed- and random-effects functions. Our copy does not establish that the package is frequently used. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe Meyerhoff program is extremely successful, and including it in the meta-analysis would only strengthen the findings regarding STEM bridge program effectiveness.
“Notably, the Meyerhoff program (see Maton et al., 2012) is extremely successful, and including it in our meta-analysis would only strengthen the findings regarding STEM bridge program effectiveness.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Maton et al., 2012 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe Meyerhoff Scholars Program is a comprehensive STEM program that far surpasses an intervention with a STEM bridge program as its primary element.
“The Meyerhoff program is a comprehensive STEM program that far surpasses an intervention with a STEM bridge program as its primary element (providing intensive, ongoing support for participants throughout all 4 years of university).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites Maton et al., 2012 source
May combine two claims.
FindingcitationOther studies used non-bridge underrepresented minority STEM students, or all other STEM students, as control group students.
“Other studies used non-bridge underrepresented minority STEM students, or in the broadest cases, all other STEM students, as control group students (e.g., Kopec and Blair, 2014).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kopec and Blair, 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataFive programs used all other STEM or engineering students as a control, seven used a matched sample based on high school preparation, standardized test scores and/or demographic background, three used more specific STEM demographic groups, and one used all other students enrolled in precalculus.
“Five programs used all other STEM or engineering students as a control, seven programs used some sort of matched sample based on high school preparation, standardized tests scores and/or demographic background, three used more specific STEM demographic groups (two of underrepresented minority STEM students and one of female STEM students), and one program used all other students enrolled in precal”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe main effect of bridge program participation on first-year overall GPA was statistically and practically significant.
“The main effect of bridge program participation on GPA was statistically and practically significant, supporting hypothesis 1.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis.
- Rests on an assumption: The standard deviations missing from studies that reported first-year overall GPA but not SD are similar enough to the SDs in the other studies to be imputed by their weighted average.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataEleven of the 16 programs incorporated some sort of tutoring arrangement through peers or the university's tutoring center.
“Eleven of the 16 programs incorporated some sort of tutoring arrangement through peers or the university’s tutoring center”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOf the studies that reported retention, only four were published in peer-reviewed journals, limiting the ability to find evidence of upward bias.
“However, of the studies that reported retention, only four were published in peer-reviewed journals, limiting our ability to find evidence of upward bias.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn four programs, students paid some amount to attend; in the remaining 12 programs, the program covered all costs and in some cases provided stipends.
“In four of these programs, students paid some amount to attend. In the remaining 12 programs, the program covered all costs (and in some cases provided stipends).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe first-year retention base rates in these studies were moderately high (weighted average retention rate across both groups was 76.1%).
“the first-year retention base rates in these studies were moderately high (the weighted average retention rate across both groups was 76.1%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe combination of services provided varied by program, as did the timing when students were offered these services (during or after the summer bridge program).
“although the combination of services provided varied by program, as did the timing when students were offered these services (i.e., during or after the summer bridge program).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataTen programs described some sort of faculty or industry professional mentoring arrangement during the summer or afterward.
“Ten programs described some sort of faculty or industry professional mentoring arrangement during the summer or afterward”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe 16 studies in this analysis yielded 25 different samples.
“The 16 studies in this analysis yielded 25 different samples.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataOf the studies that reported GPA, only three were published in peer-reviewed journals, limiting interpretability of the publication-bias result.
“however, of the studies that reported GPA, only three were published in peer-reviewed journals, meaning interpretability of this result is limited.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataNine programs provided students with research opportunities during the summer or afterward.
“Nine programs provided students with research opportunities during the summer or afterward.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningOf these studies, there were 13 first-year overall GPA effects and 19 first-year university retention effects.
“Of these studies, there were 13 first-year overall GPA effects and 19 first-year university retention effects”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
FindingreasoningIn total, 16 studies comprising 25 samples were used in the meta-analysis.
“In total, 16 studies comprising 25 samples were used in the meta-analysis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationAt least 11 effects would be necessary to conduct a meta-analysis to exceed a statistical power of at least 0.70 (and 13 to exceed 0.80) to detect the meta-analytic mean.
“we estimated that at least 11 effects would be necessary to conduct a meta-analysis to exceed a statistical power of at least 0.70 (and 13 to exceed 0.80) to detect the meta-analytic mean (see Borenstein et al., 2011).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Borenstein et al., 2011
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationUnderrepresented minority students are more likely than White or Asian-American students to be first in their immediate families to attend college and are less likely to have economic or social support at home.
“Underrepresented minority students are also more likely than White or Asian-American students to be the first in their immediate families to attend college and are less likely to have the economic or social support at home compared with later-generation college students (Jack, 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Jack, 2019 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationLimited empirical research on summer bridge programs is available, and much of it is descriptive accounts, qualitative results, and literature reviews rather than systematic and quantitative evaluations of bridge program success.
“limited empirical research is available, and much of this research is in the form of highly descriptive accounts, qualitative results, and literature reviews (Sablan, 2014; Kitchen et al., 2018) rather than systematic and quantitative evaluations of bridge program success (Gullatt and Jan, 2003).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationHigher first-year GPA predicted whether students would be retained in engineering into their second year in a study of 137 freshman engineering students.
“In a study of 137 freshman engineering students, higher first-year GPA predicted whether students would be retained in engineering into their second year in the program (Burtner, 2004).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Burtner, 2004
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationFirst-year GPA predicted STEM retention after three semesters in an analysis of approximately 1200 STEM first-generation college students.
“in an analysis of ∼1200 STEM first-generation college students, Dika and D’Amico (2016) found that first-year GPA predicted STEM retention after three semesters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Dika and D’Amico (2016) source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationAlmost a third of matriculating STEM students leave STEM by the end of their first year in college.
“Research suggests that almost a third of matriculating STEM students leave STEM by the end of their first year in college (National Science Board, 2018).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites National Science Board, 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationTime-series designs, in which data are collected at multiple time points pre and post intervention, can increase the strength of conclusions drawn about the impact of bridge program participation.
“time-series designs, in which data are collected at multiple time points pre and post intervention in order to see the impact of the intervention beyond underlying group trends (Grimshaw et al., 2000) can increase the strength of conclusions drawn about the impact of bridge program participation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Grimshaw et al., 2000 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThe wide array of bridge program studies meta-analyzed are representative of what is available in the literature.
“We made every attempt to be comprehensive, and we can say with some confidence that the wide array of bridge program studies we meta-analyzed are representative of what is available in the literature.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationA retrospective power analysis using d = 0.34 found the GPA analysis was appropriately powered (P = 0.99) to detect differences of this magnitude.
“A retrospective power analysis using this effect size (d = 0.34) found that this analysis was appropriately powered (P = 0.99) to detect differences of this magnitude (Harrer et al., 2019).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Harrer et al., 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThere is likely selection bias associated with the quasi-experimental approaches used in the included studies, and bridge participants may differ from nonparticipants in important ways that cannot be controlled.
“That is, there is likely selection bias associated with the quasi-experimental approaches used in the studies included in this meta-analysis, and students who participate in bridge programs may differ from those who do not in some important ways that we cannot control.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationTraditional liberal arts colleges tend to not offer professional, vocational, or applied majors, including STEM majors such as engineering.
“Although traditional liberal arts colleges tend to not offer professional, vocational, or applied majors (including STEM majors such as engineering; Roche, 2010)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Roche, 2010 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningUniversity-specific gateway courses and class performance may be more straightforward for administrators to track, but these outcomes are among the least generalizable to other universities, which have different professors, class syllabi, and student populations.
“University-specific gateway courses and class performance may be more straightforward for administrators to track, but these outcomes are among the least generalizable to other universities, which have different professors, class syllabi, and student populations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningThe studies included in this meta-analysis did not systematically control for student motivation, self-efficacy, interest in science, or other variables that might influence performance through random assignment, so the effect of bridge performance on GPA and retention cannot be isolated.
“One caveat, however, is that we cannot isolate the effect of bridge performance on student GPA and retention, because the studies included in this meta-analysis did not systematically control for student motivation, self-efficacy, interest in science, or other variables that might influence performance through random assignment.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenIn cases of discrepancy between the two research assistants (which occurred in three out of 16 cases), B.C.B. made the final determination on the appropriate coding.
“In cases of discrepancy between the two research assistants (which occurred in three out of 16 cases), B.C.B. made the final determination on the appropriate coding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe small number of studies published in peer-reviewed journals limited the implications of the findings, meaning further exploration of publication bias in STEM bridge program research is necessary.
“However, we were limited in the implications of our findings by the small number of studies published in peer-reviewed journals, meaning that further exploration of the extent of publication bias in STEM bridge program research is necessary.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationRandomized experimental designs are generally the gold standard for experimental research.
“although randomized experimental designs are generally the “gold standard” for experimental research (Rogers and Révész, 2019)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Rogers and Révész, 2019
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductreasoningPrograms were counted as including an element only if it was explicitly stated in the publication, but it is conceivable that programs contained elements not described therein.
“We only counted programs as including an element if it was explicitly stated in the publication, but it is conceivable that programs contained elements not described therein.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationBecause bridge program participation impacted retention, which college retention models generally regard as the result of academic performance, the results provide evidence of a longer-term impact of the bridge program beyond just increasing GPAs.
“The fact that bridge program participation impacted students’ retention, which college retention models generally regard as the result of academic performance (Tinto, 1999), provides evidence of a longer-term impact of the bridge program beyond just increasing GPAs.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Tinto, 1999 source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationKulik et al. found in their meta-analysis of college programs for high-risk students that only 60 (less than 12%) of the 504 articles identified met their inclusion criteria, with a substantial portion failing to provide results for control groups or lacking appropriate control groups.
“Kulik et al. (1983), who found in their meta-analysis of college programs for high-risk students that only 60 (less than 12%) of the 504 articles the authors identified met their inclusion criteria, with a substantial portion failing to provide results for control groups or lacking appropriate control groups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kulik et al. (1983) source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationInterventions such as mandatory learning communities for transfer students might reduce attrition when students transfer to a 4-year college or university.
“Interventions such as mandatory learning communities for transfer students might reduce attrition when students transfer to a 4-year college or university (e.g., Scott et al., 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Scott et al., 2017 source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenTwo research assistants independently coded the sample size of the bridge and control groups; the overall first-year GPA of each group, the first-year university retention rate of each group, or both; and whether the study was published in a peer-reviewed journal.
“Two research assistants independently coded the sample size of the bridge and control groups; the overall first-year GPA of each group, the first-year university retention rate of each group, or both; and whether the study was published in a peer-reviewed journal.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPublished studies reported a ratio of supported to unsupported hypotheses more than twice as high as dissertations, presumably because peer-reviewed publications are more likely to report significant results.
“This trend aligns with findings such as those in O’Boyle et al.’s (2017)’s management review, which found that published studies reported a ratio of supported to unsupported hypotheses that was more than twice as high as those in dissertations, presumably because peer-reviewed publications are more likely to report significant results.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites O’Boyle et al.’s (2017) source
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataMany of the bridge groups were relatively small (median size 75 students), meaning some caution should be used in extrapolating the retention findings.
“many of the bridge groups were relatively small (the median size was 75 students), meaning that some caution should be used in extrapolating these findings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAbout 20% of a nationally representative sample of college students entering a 4-year institution as STEM majors in 2003 dropped out of college rather than switching to a non-STEM major.
“∼20% of a nationally representative sample of college students entering a 4-year institution as STEM majors in 2003 dropped out of college rather than switching to a non-STEM major (Chen, 2013).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Chen, 2013
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenStudents usually opt into bridge programs, making random assignment impossible and selection bias likely.
“students usually opt into bridge programs, making random assignment impossible and selection bias likely.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenThis is the first systematic quantitative review of the effectiveness of STEM bridge programs.
“To our knowledge, this is the first systematic quantitative review of the effectiveness of STEM bridge programs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationMatched sampling attempts to overcome confounding when initial group differences are not controlled for and provides an approach close to true experimental randomization.
“matched sampling attempts to overcome the confounding that may occur when initial group differences are not controlled for (Campbell and Stanley, 1967) and provides an approach that is close to true experimental randomization (Stuart and Rubin, 2008)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Campbell and Stanley, 1967
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Stuart and Rubin, 2008
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
The authors state this as an assumption.
No meta-analysis has been conducted on STEM bridge programs.
“To our knowledge, no meta-analysis has been conducted on STEM bridge programs.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis.
“Heterogeneity is a reasonable assumption in the current meta-analysis, given the wide variety of bridge programs.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
Students who feel reasonably prepared for STEM course work might be less willing to pay for a summer program, but they might have participated if the program were free or provided a stipend.
“Students who feel reasonably prepared for STEM course work might be less willing to pay for a summer program, but they might have participated if the program were free or provided a stipend. If this assumption is true”
The paper relies on this without support.
The standard deviations missing from studies that reported first-year overall GPA but not SD are similar enough to the SDs in the other studies to be imputed by their weighted average.
“For studies that reported first-year overall GPA but did not report the SD of the GPA for the samples (seven of 12 studies), we imputed the SD using a weighted average of the square root of the variances reported in the other studies in the analysis (SD = 0.73 for program participants and SD = 0.60 for the control group).”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
A meta-analysis of 16 summer programs for first-year science, technology, engineering, and mathematics students revealed a moderate positive influence on program participants' grade point average and retention.
“A meta-analysis of 16 summer programs for first-year science, technology, engineering, and mathematics students revealed a moderate positive influence on program participants’ grade point average and retention.16”
From Perceived Success After Participation in the Summer Health Professions Education Program (2024) · cites this paper as [16]
Bradford et al. (2021) noted the challenge posed by the limited availability of detailed information about the methodologies employed.
“Bradford et al. (2021) noted the challenge posed by the limited availability of detailed information about the methodologies employed.”
From Methodological Choices When Assessing Summer Bridge Programs in STEM Majors: A Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as Bradford et al. (2021)
This imbalance toward nonexperimental designs aligns with previous attempts to systematize the body of evidence.
“This imbalance toward nonexperimental designs aligns with previous attempts to systematize the body of evidence (Bradford et al., 2021).”
From Methodological Choices When Assessing Summer Bridge Programs in STEM Majors: A Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as Bradford et al., 2021
Bradford et al. (2021) synthesized 16 studies in the first meta-analysis of SBPs and reported that program participation has a moderate positive effect on first-year academic achievement.
“Finally, regarding the effect on academic outcomes in STEM majors, especially in GPA and retention rates, Bradford et al. (2021) synthesized 16 studies in the first meta-analysis of SBPs and reported that program participation has a moderate positive effect on first-year academic achievement.”
From Methodological Choices When Assessing Summer Bridge Programs in STEM Majors: A Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as Bradford et al. (2021)
This review complements Bradford et al. (2021)'s work by including more studies (37 vs. 16), synthesizing and categorizing approaches, allowing mapping of which SBPs have been studied in which ways and how their varied implementations may influence outcomes.
“This review complements Bradford et al. (2021)'s work by including more studies (37 vs. 16), synthesizing and categorizing approaches, allowing us to map which SBPs have been studied in which ways and how their varied implementations may influence outcomes.”
From Methodological Choices When Assessing Summer Bridge Programs in STEM Majors: A Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as Bradford et al. (2021)
Bradford et al. (2021) meta-analysis found that program participation had a medium-sized effect on first-year overall grade point average and first-year university retention.
“The meta-analysis conducted by Bradford et al. (2021) found that program participation had a medium-sized effect on first-year overall grade point average and first-year university retention.”
From Methodological Choices When Assessing Summer Bridge Programs in STEM Majors: A Scoping Review (2026) · cites this paper as Bradford et al. (2021)
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Retention estimates fall outside their reported confidence intervals
MajorAll three retention estimates in Table 4 exceed the upper bounds of their own reported 95% confidence intervals. The note identifies the estimates as odds ratios, but the intervals include negative values and therefore cannot be confidence intervals on that scale.
“| Publication type | 19 | 1.51 | 1.27 | 1.72 | 0.08 | [−0.04, 0.78] | 0.24 | | Published | 4 | 2.39 | 1.22 | | | [−0.25, 1.21] | | | Unpublished | 15 | 1.58 | 1.15 | | | [−0.08, 1.33] | |”
“cEffect size: odds ratio.”
GPA effect count differs between results and Table 3
MinorThe results state that there were 13 first-year GPA effects, but Table 3 reports k = 12 for the main GPA analysis. The text does not explain the exclusion of an effect.
“Of these studies, there were 13 first-year overall GPA effects and 19 first-year university retention effects”
“| First-year GPA | 12 | 0.34b | 0.09 | 3.66 | <0.001 | [0.16, 0.52] | 0.28 | [−0.23, 0.91] |”
GPA publication-bias p-value differs between table and text
MinorTable 4 gives p = 0.09 for the GPA publication-type analysis, while the results give p = 0.08 for that comparison.
“| Publication type | 12 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 1.75 | 0.09 | [−0.04, 0.78] | 0.24 |”
“journal M = 0.62, other publications M = 0.26; p = 0.08, 95% CI = −0.04, 0.78”
Unpublished GPA confidence interval is not centered on its estimate
MinorThe unpublished GPA estimate is 0.26, but the midpoint of its reported confidence interval is 0.18. Unlike the other GPA intervals in Table 4, this interval is not centered on its estimate.
Reported 0.26 · recomputed 0.18
“| Unpublished | 9 | 0.26 | 0.09 | | | [−0.08, 0.44] | |”
Retention publication-bias p-value differs between table and text
MinorTable 4 gives p = 0.08 for the retention publication-type analysis, while the results give p = 0.09.
“| Publication type | 19 | 1.51 | 1.27 | 1.72 | 0.08 | [−0.04, 0.78] | 0.24 |”
“We found that journals were marginally more likely to report positive outcomes than studies published in conference papers and dissertations (p = 0.09, 95% CI = −0.06, 0.88).”
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- Authors
- Bradford, B. C., Beier, M. E., & Oswald, F. L.
- Affiliations
- Rice University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Bradford, Brittany C.
- Venue
- CBE—Life Sciences Education
- Published
- 2021-06
- Volume
- 20
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- ar21
- ISSN
- 1931-7913 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC8734386
- OpenAlex
- W3153980956
- Cited by
- 73
- References
- 89
- Citations by year
- 2026: 16 · 2025: 18 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 8 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 4
- FWCI
- 2.45
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by-nc-sa
- Locations
- CBE—Life Sciences Education (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Rice Research Repository (Rice University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-sa)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1565032)
- Association for Psychological Science
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Safety Research › Career Development and Diversity
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › Mathematics Education and Programs
- Keywords
- summer bridge programs, STEM education, program effectiveness, student retention, experimental design
- MeSH terms
- Engineering, Humans, Students, Technology, Universities, Program Evaluation
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