Hand-Rearing, Release and Survival of African Penguin Chicks Abandoned Before Independence by Moulting Parents
Open accessAbstract
The African penguin Spheniscus demersus has an 'Endangered' conservation status and a decreasing population. Following abandonment, 841 African penguin chicks in 2006 and 481 in 2007 were admitted to SANCCOB (Southern African Foundation for the Conservation of Coastal Birds) for hand-rearing from colonies in the Western Cape, South Africa, after large numbers of breeding adults commenced moult with chicks still in the nest. Of those admitted, 91% and 73% respectively were released into the wild. There were veterinary concerns about avian malaria, airsacculitis and pneumonia, feather-loss and pododermatitis (bumblefoot). Post-release juvenile (0.32, s.e. = 0.08) and adult (0.76, s.e. = 0.10) survival rates were similar to African penguin chicks reared after oil spills and to recent survival rates recorded for naturally-reared birds. By December 2012, 12 birds had bred, six at their colony of origin, and the apparent recruitment rate was 0.11 (s.e. = 0.03). Hand-rearing of abandoned penguin chicks is recommended as a conservation tool to limit mortality and to bolster the population at specific colonies. The feasibility of conservation translocations for the creation of new colonies for this species using hand-reared chicks warrants investigation. Any such programme would be predicated on adequate disease surveillance programmes established to minimise the risk of disease introduction to wild birds.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
Hand-rearing African penguin chicks abandoned by moulting parents at Western Cape colonies in 2006–2007 released most chicks successfully, with post-release survival and recruitment comparable to chicks reared after oil spills. The authors recommend hand-rearing as a conservation tool, while cautioning that disease surveillance and further research on prey availability and translocation are needed.
Key findings
- In 2006 and 2007, 841 and 481 abandoned chicks were admitted to SANCCOB, respectively; 91% and 73% were released, giving an overall release rate of 84% (1,117 of 1,322).
- Post-release apparent survival was 0.32 ± 0.08 in the first year after release and 0.76 ± 0.10 in subsequent years; recruitment probability was 0.11 ± 0.03.
- By December 2012, 12 hand-reared birds had bred, six at their colony of origin; all breeding birds originated from Dyer Island.
- Avian malaria was the main cause of death among admitted chicks, accounting for 36% of deaths in 2006 and 59% in 2007.
Methods
- Case study of 1,322 African penguin chicks removed from Dyer Island, Robben Island and Stony Point in 2006–2007 and hand-reared at SANCCOB, with release and resighting data collected through 31 December 2012.
- Chicks were assessed on admission by habitus score and developmental stage, reared with formula, fluids and whole fish, and monitored for veterinary conditions including avian malaria, airsacculitis/pneumonia, avian pox, feather-loss and pododermatitis.
- Survival, encounter and recruitment probabilities were estimated using multistate mark-recapture models in E-SURGE, with model selection by QAICc; 511 chicks from the 2006 cohort and 190 from the 2007 cohort were flipper-banded.
Limitations
- Stated: the study lacked quantitative criteria to decide whether individual chicks were sufficiently abandoned or in poor enough condition for removal; the authors recommend developing a body condition index and adaptive decision rules.
- Stated: sparse resighting data prevented estimation of time-dependent survival or separate survival parameters for the two release cohorts, and disease surveillance is recommended to minimise risk of introducing disease to wild birds.
- Evident from the text: many diagnoses were based on clinical symptoms or macroscopic pathology only, with histopathology and other tests not routinely performed, and fungal airsacculitis/pneumonia was not identified to species level.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
24 of 90 cited sources checked · 6 supported · 0 flagged · accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationcitation
Unfledged African penguin chicks whose parents enter moult would starve in the nest.
“However, moulting penguins are without adequate waterproofing and must fast for c.21 days [20]; unfledged chicks would thus starve in the nest [21].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [21] J Kemper, 2008, Effect of age and breeding status on molt phenology of adult African penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) in Namibia, Auk source
The Discussion says molting African penguins cannot feed and that a simultaneous breeding attempt is unlikely to succeed. This supports the concern for unfledged chicks, but it does not establish that they would necessarily starve in the nest. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
First-year survival of hand-reared abandoned chicks was within the range of estimates for chicks hand-reared after oil spills (0.20-0.42).
“Survival in the first year after release (0.32±0.08) was within the range of estimates for chicks hand-reared after oil spills (0.20–0.42, [17], [45])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
The ‘Survival rates of hand-reared chicks’ section reports estimated survival after the Treasure oil spill and cautions that the 2000–2001 estimates are likely biased low. But the passages in our copy do not give a first-year survival estimate of 0.20 or 0.42; the reported 0.21 is a recapture rate, not a survival rate. Thus the paper supports the type of comparison, but not the stated numerical range. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [45] Whittington PA (2002) Survival and movements of African penguins, especially after oiling. PhD thesis. Cape Town: University of Cape Town. 296 p.
Section 6.3.3 (page unavailable) estimates first-year survival after release at 0.20 ± 0.04 for rehabilitated juveniles. The paper also discusses hand-reared chicks orphaned by oil spills, but the passages found do not give a 0.20–0.42 range specifically for those chicks or substantiate its 0.42 upper bound. The citing study’s 0.32 ± 0.08 estimate is not attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Chick growth rates show high plasticity in response to variable feeding conditions.
“but chick growth rates show high plasticity in response to variable feeding conditions [8], [11].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [8] RB Sherley, 2013, Influence of local and regional prey availability on breeding performance of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Mar Ecol Prog Ser source
The Fledging success and fledging periods section treats time to fledging as potentially responsive to food availability and parental provisioning. The Fledging periods results report variation in that time associated with prey biomass, but the paper does not directly measure chick growth rates or establish that their plasticity is high. (LLM, conf=0.83)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [11] Sherley RB (2010) Factors influencing the demography of Endangered seabirds at Robben Island, South Africa. PhD thesis. Bristol: University of Bristol. 237 p.
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Hand-reared African penguin chicks are as fit as naturally-reared chicks.
“because hand-reared chicks are as fit as naturally-reared chicks [17], [27]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
- cites [27] PJ Barham, 2007, Differences in breeding success between African penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) that were and were not oiled in the MV <italic>Treasure</italic> oil-spill in 2000, Emu source
- Premisecitation
The acquisition of insufficient reserves prior to moult compromises survival.
“Thus, the acquisition of insufficient reserves prior to moult compromises survival [21]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [21] J Kemper, 2008, Effect of age and breeding status on molt phenology of adult African penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) in Namibia, Auk source
The Discussion (page not provided) says molting birds cannot feed and live on fat reserves, and that survival may be compromised if they have insufficient time to build fat before molt. The claim presents this possible consequence as a definite one. (LLM, conf=0.87)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
Apparent adult survival of hand-reared abandoned chicks was similar to estimates for chicks hand-reared after the 1994 (0.79) and 2000 oil spills.
“apparent adult survival (0.76±0.10) was also similar to estimates for chicks hand-reared after the 1994 (0.79, [45]) and 2000 oil spills [17].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim2 of 2 sources checked- cites [45] Whittington PA (2002) Survival and movements of African penguins, especially after oiling. PhD thesis. Cape Town: University of Cape Town. 296 p.
Chapter 7 reports that chicks orphaned during the 1994 oil spill were hand-reared and found no evidence of higher mortality than in naturally reared chicks. Chapter 6 gives an annual survival estimate of 0.79 ± 0.04 for rehabilitated adults, not specifically for those hand-reared chicks. The paper therefore supports the comparison in broad terms but not the attribution of 0.79 to the 1994 chick group; the sentence cites a different source for the 2000 spill. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
The Abstract and 'Estimating survival of hand-reared chicks' section identify this as a study of survival among chicks hand-reared after the 2000 oil spill. The passages in our copy do not give an adult-survival estimate for that cohort with which to verify the claimed similarity to 0.76±0.10. The 82% rate in the Discussion is attributed to Crawford et al. (1999), not estimated for these hand-reared chicks. (LLM, conf=0.78)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationcitation
If poor prey availability persists, the subsequent survival and reproductive success of these birds would be compromised relative to birds at colonies where conditions are more favourable.
“However, if the poor prey availability persists, their subsequent survival and reproductive success would be compromised relative to birds at colonies where conditions are more favourable [3], [6], [8].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [3] RJM Crawford, 2011, Collapse of South Africa's penguins in the early 21st century, Afr J Mar Sci source
- cites [6] RB Sherley, 2014, Age-specific survival and movement among major African Penguin <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> colonies, Ibis source
- cites [8] RB Sherley, 2013, Influence of local and regional prey availability on breeding performance of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Mar Ecol Prog Ser source
The Discussion (page not available in our copy) reports that breeding success increased with local anchovy abundance and explains how scarce food can reduce chick fledging. It does not establish that persistent poor prey availability compromises the birds’ subsequent survival, or compare survival and reproductive success between colonies with poor and favourable conditions. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationcitation
The action of hand-rearing and release ultimately acted to reinforce the breeding population at the source colonies.
“suggesting that this action ultimately acted to reinforce the breeding population at the source colonies [17].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
The Results report that hand-reared chicks returned and bred on Robben Island, supporting a contribution to that colony’s breeding population. The Introduction says the chicks’ natal islands were unknown, and the paper reports post-release breeding outcomes for Robben Island, not both source colonies. It therefore does not establish the claim for the source colonies collectively. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
Prolonged hand-feeding does not reduce fledging success in African penguins.
“this does not occur with African penguins”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
The Discussion (page unavailable) says hand-reared African Penguin chicks can be raised successfully to fledging and that they spend an average of 65 days at the rescue centre before release. It does not compare feeding durations or test whether prolonged hand-feeding affects fledging success, so it supports successful hand-rearing but not the specific duration claim. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Premisecitation
The duration of the fledging period varies as a function of both the local foraging conditions and the energy that parents can afford to invest in chick provisioning.
“The duration of the fledging period varies as a function of both the local foraging conditions and the energy that parents can afford to invest in chick provisioning [8], [48].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [8] RB Sherley, 2013, Influence of local and regional prey availability on breeding performance of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Mar Ecol Prog Ser source
In “Fledging success and fledging periods” (page unavailable), the authors assume that fledging duration responds to food availability and how quickly parents provision chicks. “Fledging periods” reports a relationship with sardine biomass, but the paper does not establish that parental energy available for provisioning independently determines fledging duration. The claim presents that proposed mechanism as an established finding. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [48] Randall RM (1989) Jackass penguins. In: Payne AIL, Crawford RJM, van Dalsen AP, editors. Oceans of Life of Southern Africa. Cape Town: Vlaeberg. 244–256.
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
An increase in fledging periods, similar to that observed at Robben Island, may well have occurred at Dyer Island.
“and an increase in fledging periods, similar to that observed at Robben Island [8], may well have occurred.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] RB Sherley, 2013, Influence of local and regional prey availability on breeding performance of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Mar Ecol Prog Ser source
- Findingown data
Juvenile survival of hand-reared abandoned chicks compared well to a previous estimate from naturally-reared birds at Robben and Dassen Island from 1987 to 1994 (0.35).
“In addition, juvenile survival compared well to a previous estimate from naturally-reared birds at Robben and Dassen Island from 1987 to 1994 (0.35, [45])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [45] Whittington PA (2002) Survival and movements of African penguins, especially after oiling. PhD thesis. Cape Town: University of Cape Town. 296 p.
The discussion of hand-reared orphans says their mortality and return-to-colony rates were similar to those of naturally reared chicks. The first-year survival discussion reports mean estimates of 0.31 at Robben Island and 0.38 at Dassen Island, which average to approximately 0.35, but our copy does not identify 0.35 as an estimate specifically for 1987–1994. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Interpretationcitation
The comparable subsequent breeding success of hand-reared and naturally-reared African penguins makes sub-clinical disease introduction unlikely.
“although the comparable subsequent breeding success of hand-reared and naturally-reared African penguins [17] makes this unlikely too.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
The Abstract and Results report comparable subsequent breeding success for hand-reared and naturally-reared African penguins. The Discussion does not infer from this that sub-clinical disease introduction is unlikely; it identifies disease introduction as a risk that needs further investigation. Page numbers were not supplied in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
- Findingown data
By December 2012, 12 hand-reared African penguins had bred.
“By December 2012, 12 birds had bred, six at their colony of origin, and the apparent recruitment rate was 0.11 (s.e. = 0.03).”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“Twelve individuals were confirmed as breeding, all from the 2006 cohort, and 22 others were resighted at breeding age.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
- Findingown data
In 2007, 481 African penguin chicks were admitted to SANCCOB for hand-rearing from colonies in the Western Cape, South Africa.
“Following abandonment, 841 African penguin chicks in 2006 and 481 in 2007 were admitted to SANCCOB (Southern African Foundation for the Conservation of Coastal Birds) for hand-rearing from colonies in the Western Cape, South Africa, after large numbers of breeding adults commenced moult with chicks still in the nest.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“In total, 841 and 481 chicks were removed from the three colonies in 2006 and 2007 respectively (Table 1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
There was no support for a change in recruitment probability over time or within the age structure identified.
“and there was no support for a change in this parameter over time or within the age structure we identified (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The apparent recruitment rate of hand-reared African penguins was 0.11 (s.e. = 0.03).
“By December 2012, 12 birds had bred, six at their colony of origin, and the apparent recruitment rate was 0.11 (s.e. = 0.03).”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“The recruitment probability was 0.11±0.03 (0.06–0.19) and there was no support for a change in this parameter over time or within the age structure we identified (Table 4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Flipper bands used to mark released penguins did not affect their survival or resighting probability.
- Rests on an assumption: The central resighting database accurately records all resightings of banded penguins.
- Rests on an assumption: The two release cohorts (2006 and 2007) have similar survival and encounter probabilities, allowing pooled estimation.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The multistate model's three states and events correctly represent the true states and observations.
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
- Findingown data
The second main cause of death was bacterial airsacculitis and pneumonia.
“The second main cause of death was bacterial airsacculitis and pneumonia (Table 3), which can spread from the lungs to infect other organs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
- Findingown data
In 2006, a large proportion of the breeding adults at Dyer Island commenced moult while chicks were still present in nests.
“In 2006, a large proportion of the breeding adults at Dyer Island commenced moult while chicks were still present in nests (Table S2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The post-release adult survival rate of hand-reared African penguins was 0.76 (s.e. = 0.10).
“Post-release juvenile (0.32, s.e. = 0.08) and adult (0.76, s.e. = 0.10) survival rates were similar to African penguin chicks reared after oil spills and to recent survival rates recorded for naturally-reared birds.”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“Apparent survival was 0.32±0.08 (95% CI: 0.18–0.49) in the first year after release (juvenile survival) and 0.76±0.10 (0.51–0.90) in subsequent years (adult survival).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Flipper bands used to mark released penguins did not affect their survival or resighting probability.
- Rests on an assumption: The central resighting database accurately records all resightings of banded penguins.
- Rests on an assumption: The two release cohorts (2006 and 2007) have similar survival and encounter probabilities, allowing pooled estimation.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The multistate model's three states and events correctly represent the true states and observations.
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
- Findingown data
Malaria was diagnosed as the cause of death for 36% of deaths in 2006 and 59% in 2007.
“Malaria was diagnosed as the cause of death for 36% of deaths in 2006 and 59% in 2007 (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
- Findingown data
The post-release juvenile survival rate of hand-reared African penguins was 0.32 (s.e. = 0.08).
“Post-release juvenile (0.32, s.e. = 0.08) and adult (0.76, s.e. = 0.10) survival rates were similar to African penguin chicks reared after oil spills and to recent survival rates recorded for naturally-reared birds.”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“Apparent survival was 0.32±0.08 (95% CI: 0.18–0.49) in the first year after release (juvenile survival) and 0.76±0.10 (0.51–0.90) in subsequent years (adult survival).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Flipper bands used to mark released penguins did not affect their survival or resighting probability.
- Rests on an assumption: The central resighting database accurately records all resightings of banded penguins.
- Rests on an assumption: The two release cohorts (2006 and 2007) have similar survival and encounter probabilities, allowing pooled estimation.
- The authors state this as an assumption: The multistate model's three states and events correctly represent the true states and observations.
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
- Findingown data
In 2006 and 2007, large numbers (more than 400) of African penguin chicks were abandoned at Dyer Island between September and December as their parents entered moult.
“However, in 2006 and 2007, large numbers (>400) of chicks were abandoned at Dyer Island between September and December, as their parents entered moult.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
22 other hand-reared African penguins were resighted at breeding age.
“Twelve individuals were confirmed as breeding, all from the 2006 cohort, and 22 others were resighted at breeding age.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
All breeding hand-reared African penguins originated from Dyer Island.
“They all originated from Dyer Island (Table S5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In both years, a number of chicks contracted pododermatitis (bumblefoot).
“In both years, a number of chicks also contracted pododermatitis (bumblefoot; Table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
- Findingcitation
The abandoned chicks were generally underweight for their age.
“The abandoned chicks were generally underweight for their age [15] and many were not yet losing their down, indicating that they were at least 20 days from fledging [18].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] RB Sherley, 2012, Artificial nests enhance the breeding productivity of African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) on Robben Island, South Africa, Emu source
- Findingown data
From 2001 to 2005, small numbers (24-99) of abandoned African penguin chicks were retrieved annually from Robben and Dyer Islands and sent to SANCCOB for hand-rearing.
“From 2001 to 2005, small numbers (24–99) of abandoned African penguin chicks were retrieved annually from Robben and Dyer Islands and sent to SANCCOB for hand-rearing (Table S1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Many abandoned chicks were not yet losing their down, indicating they were at least 20 days from fledging.
“The abandoned chicks were generally underweight for their age [15] and many were not yet losing their down, indicating that they were at least 20 days from fledging [18].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [18] LG Underhill, 1999, Mortality and survival of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> involved in the <italic>Apollo Sea</italic> oil spill: an evaluation of rehabilitation efforts, Ibis source
- Findingown data
Large numbers of breeding adult African penguins commenced moult with chicks still in the nest, leading to abandonment.
“Following abandonment, 841 African penguin chicks in 2006 and 481 in 2007 were admitted to SANCCOB (Southern African Foundation for the Conservation of Coastal Birds) for hand-rearing from colonies in the Western Cape, South Africa, after large numbers of breeding adults commenced moult with chicks still in the nest.”
- Also stated in: § Chick removals from Dyer Island · plain
“In 2006, a large proportion of the breeding adults at Dyer Island commenced moult while chicks were still present in nests (Table S2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Chick removals from Dyer Island · plain
- Findingown data
Of those released with flipper bands, 92 (13%) were resighted by 31 December 2012.
“Of those released with flipper bands, 92 (13%) were resighted by 31 December 2012.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The central resighting database accurately records all resightings of banded penguins.
- Findingown data
In both years, chicks that died had a lower habitus on admission than those that were released.
“In both years, chicks that died had a lower habitus on admission than those that were released (2006: χ2 = 76.0, p<0.001; 2007: χ2 = 19.2, p<0.001; Table 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
In 2006, 841 African penguin chicks were admitted to SANCCOB for hand-rearing from colonies in the Western Cape, South Africa.
“Following abandonment, 841 African penguin chicks in 2006 and 481 in 2007 were admitted to SANCCOB (Southern African Foundation for the Conservation of Coastal Birds) for hand-rearing from colonies in the Western Cape, South Africa, after large numbers of breeding adults commenced moult with chicks still in the nest.”
- Also stated in: § Results · plain
“In total, 841 and 481 chicks were removed from the three colonies in 2006 and 2007 respectively (Table 1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Also stated in: § Results · plain
- Findingown data
In 2006 and 2007, 114 chicks (14%) and 112 chicks (23%) respectively were found positive for avian malaria Plasmodium spp.
“In 2006 and 2007, 114 chicks (14%) and 112 chicks (23%) respectively were found to be positive for avian malaria Plasmodium spp. (Table S4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
All 12 confirmed breeding hand-reared African penguins were from the 2006 cohort.
“Twelve individuals were confirmed as breeding, all from the 2006 cohort, and 22 others were resighted at breeding age.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Six of the 12 breeding hand-reared African penguins bred at their colony of origin.
“By December 2012, 12 birds had bred, six at their colony of origin, and the apparent recruitment rate was 0.11 (s.e. = 0.03).”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“Of the breeding birds, six were at Dyer Island, three were at Robben Island, two at Stony Point and one at Dassen Island (Table S5).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
- Findingown data
Model selection on the resighting data favoured the model with a constant recruitment probability and time-dependent encounter rates (Model 2).
“Model selection on the resighting data favoured the model with a constant recruitment probability and time-dependent encounter rates (Model 2, Table 4).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Half of those individuals confirmed as breeding returned to their natal colony.
“Half of those individuals confirmed as breeding returned to their natal colony”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Apparent adult survival of hand-reared abandoned chicks was 0.76±0.10.
“apparent adult survival (0.76±0.10) was also similar to estimates for chicks hand-reared after the 1994 (0.79, [45]) and 2000 oil spills [17].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The risk of spreading avian malaria is reinforced by the identification of potential vectors on some of the offshore islands.
“This risk is reinforced by the identification of potential vectors on some of the offshore islands (SANCCOB unpubl. data).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites SANCCOB unpubl. data
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Findingown data
Survival in the first year after release of hand-reared abandoned chicks was 0.32±0.08.
“Survival in the first year after release (0.32±0.08) was within the range of estimates for chicks hand-reared after oil spills (0.20–0.42, [17], [45])”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
An estimated 11% of the hand-reared chicks subsequently recruited into the breeding population.
“an estimated 11% of the hand-reared chicks subsequently recruited into the breeding population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
At the end of the breeding season, some adult African penguins may enter moult with chicks still present in the nest.
“In addition, at the end of the breeding season, some adults may enter moult with chicks still present in the nest [16].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] NJ Parsons, 2005, Oiled and injured African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> and other seabirds admitted for rehabilitation in the Western Cape, South Africa, 2001 and 2002, Afr J Mar Sci source
- Premisecitation
African penguins usually breed for the first time at 3 years of age or older.
“as African penguins usually breed for the first time at 3 years of age or older [25].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] PA Whittington, 2005, Age at first breeding of the African penguin, Ostrich source
- Premisecitation
The timing of moult is highly synchronised at Dyer Island.
“the timing of moult is highly synchronised at Dyer Island [12]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [12] Waller LJ (2011) The African penguin <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>: conservation and management issues. PhD thesis. Cape Town: University of Cape Town. 290 p.
- Premisecitation
Prey availability in the Western Cape was relatively poor in both 2006 and 2007.
“Prey availability in the Western Cape was relatively poor in both 2006 and 2007 [3]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [3] RJM Crawford, 2011, Collapse of South Africa's penguins in the early 21st century, Afr J Mar Sci source
- Premisecitation
Moult is obligatory in penguins.
“In contrast, moult is obligatory in penguins [24].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Crawford RJM, Hemming M, Kemper J, Klages NTW, Randall R, <etal>et al</etal>.. (2006) Molt of the African penguin, <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> in relation to its breeding season and food availability. Acta Zool Sin 52 (Supp.): 444–447.
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Avian pox is unlikely to pose a risk to wild populations after release as the lesions resolved over time.
“It is unlikely to pose a risk to wild populations after release as the lesions resolved over time”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In the Western Cape, moult coincides with the availability of high energy prey.
“In the Western Cape, moult coincides with the availability of high energy prey [24]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Crawford RJM, Hemming M, Kemper J, Klages NTW, Randall R, <etal>et al</etal>.. (2006) Molt of the African penguin, <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> in relation to its breeding season and food availability. Acta Zool Sin 52 (Supp.): 444–447.
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Rearing birds in situ at future release sites has yielded high success rates in chick translocation projects with Procellariiformes.
“Rearing birds in situ at future release sites has yielded high success rates in chick translocation projects with Procellariiformes [42].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [42] HP Jones, 2012, A review of the world's active seabird restoration projects, J Wildl Manage source
- Premisecitation
Efforts to restore or reinforce penguin populations appear to be scarce.
“However, efforts to restore or reinforce penguin populations appear to be scarce [42]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [42] HP Jones, 2012, A review of the world's active seabird restoration projects, J Wildl Manage source
- Interpretationreasoning
Pododermatitis does not pose a risk to wild populations.
“and does not pose a risk to wild populations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
The need to exploit a predictable food source during summer - not the fledging of chicks - appears to determine the timing of moult in African penguins.
“and the need to exploit a predictable food source during summer – not the fledging of chicks – appears to determine the timing of moult in African penguins [24], [49].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [24] Crawford RJM, Hemming M, Kemper J, Klages NTW, Randall R, <etal>et al</etal>.. (2006) Molt of the African penguin, <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> in relation to its breeding season and food availability. Acta Zool Sin 52 (Supp.): 444–447.
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [49] AC Wolfaardt, 2009, Comparison of moult phenology of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> at Robben and Dassen Islands, Afr J Mar Sci source
- Premisecitation
All members of the Spheniscidae can be easily hand-fed.
“All members of the family exhibit apparent post-fledging independence, they generally have low levels of parental attendance following the guard stage, and they can be easily hand-fed [43].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [43] Gummer H (2003) Chick translocation as a method of establishing new surface-nesting seabird colonies: a review. DOC Science Internal Series 150. Department of Conservation, Wellington. Available: <ext-link xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://csl.doc.govt.nz/documents/science-and-technical/dsis150.pdf" xlink:type="simple">http://csl.doc.govt.nz/documents/science-and-technical/dsis150.pdf</ext-link>.
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
Survival rates measured in this study suggest that around 14% of hand-reared chicks would have survived to breeding age (4 years old).
“Survival rates measured in this study suggest that around 14% would have survived to breeding age (4 years old [25]).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [25] PA Whittington, 2005, Age at first breeding of the African penguin, Ostrich source
- Rests on an assumption: The survival rates measured in this study can be used to estimate survival to breeding age (4 years old).
- Interpretationreasoning
Natal imprinting in African penguins occurs before fledging.
“but the split in recruitment to natal and non-natal sites in birds from Dyer Island suggests that natal imprinting in African penguins occurs before fledging.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Translocated individuals will undertake some prospecting behaviour to evaluate the quality of their new habitat, relative to that available to the rest of the meta-population.
“Nevertheless, translocated individuals will undertake some prospecting behaviour to evaluate the quality of their new habitat, relative to that available to the rest of the meta-population [53].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [53] D Oro, 2011, Lessons from a failed translocation program with a seabird species: Determinants of success and conservation value, Biol Conserv source
- Premisecitation
Fungal airsacculitis and pneumonia is not a condition in released birds that poses a threat to the wild population due to the ubiquitous nature of the organism where infections generally occur secondarily to an immunosuppressive event.
“This is not a condition in released birds that poses a threat to the wild population due to the ubiquitous nature of the organism where infections generally occur secondarily to an immunosuppressive event [54].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [54] Ritchie B, Harrison G, Harrison L (1994) Avian medicine: principles and application. Lake Worth, Florida: Wingers Publishing Inc.
- Interpretationreasoning
It seems unlikely that releasing large numbers of hand-reared birds into the wild introduced disease into the population, as surveillance of the colonies is near-continuous and there were no mass mortalities of African penguins during the study period.
“this seems unlikely as surveillance of the colonies is near-continuous and there were no mass mortalities of African penguins during the study period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Near-continuous surveillance of the colonies would detect mass mortalities of African penguins.
- Interpretationown data
The success of hand-rearing African penguin chicks after oiling incidents extends to chicks abandoned by moulting parents.
“Our results confirm that the success of hand-rearing African penguin chicks after oiling incidents extends to chicks abandoned by moulting parents.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The chicks removed in this study were abandoned by moulting parents.
- Premisecitation
All members of the Spheniscidae generally have low levels of parental attendance following the guard stage.
“All members of the family exhibit apparent post-fledging independence, they generally have low levels of parental attendance following the guard stage, and they can be easily hand-fed [43].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [43] Gummer H (2003) Chick translocation as a method of establishing new surface-nesting seabird colonies: a review. DOC Science Internal Series 150. Department of Conservation, Wellington. Available: <ext-link xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://csl.doc.govt.nz/documents/science-and-technical/dsis150.pdf" xlink:type="simple">http://csl.doc.govt.nz/documents/science-and-technical/dsis150.pdf</ext-link>.
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
All members of the Spheniscidae exhibit apparent post-fledging independence.
“All members of the family exhibit apparent post-fledging independence, they generally have low levels of parental attendance following the guard stage, and they can be easily hand-fed [43].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [43] Gummer H (2003) Chick translocation as a method of establishing new surface-nesting seabird colonies: a review. DOC Science Internal Series 150. Department of Conservation, Wellington. Available: <ext-link xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://csl.doc.govt.nz/documents/science-and-technical/dsis150.pdf" xlink:type="simple">http://csl.doc.govt.nz/documents/science-and-technical/dsis150.pdf</ext-link>.
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Very slow growth rates were observed at Dyer Island in subsequent years.
“Very slow growth rates were observed at Dyer Island in subsequent years [11]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] Sherley RB (2010) Factors influencing the demography of Endangered seabirds at Robben Island, South Africa. PhD thesis. Bristol: University of Bristol. 237 p.
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Hand-rearing of African penguin chicks is a valuable conservation tool in light of the declining population.
“Hand-rearing of African penguin chicks is a valuable conservation tool in light of the declining population.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 26
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 46
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMovement of juvenile African penguins is extensive and breeding at non-natal colonies occurs.
“Movement of juvenile penguins is extensive [30] and breeding at non-natal colonies occurs [6], [26].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 3 sources checked- cites [30] RB Sherley, 2013, The initial journey of an endangered penguin: implications for seabird conservation, Endanger Species Res source
- cites [6] RB Sherley, 2014, Age-specific survival and movement among major African Penguin <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> colonies, Ibis source
- cites [26] PA Whittington, 2005, Patterns of immigration to and emigration from breeding colonies by African penguins, Afr J Mar Sci source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationChicks hand-reared after catastrophic oil spills had survival and recruitment rates analogous to naturally-reared cohorts and reproduced successfully once they entered the breeding population.
“Chicks hand-reared after catastrophic oil spills had survival and recruitment rates analogous to naturally-reared cohorts [17], [18] and reproduced successfully once they entered the breeding population [17].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
- cites [18] LG Underhill, 1999, Mortality and survival of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> involved in the <italic>Apollo Sea</italic> oil spill: an evaluation of rehabilitation efforts, Ibis source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataGoodness-of-fit testing using U-CARE indicated little evidence for overdispersion (ĉ = 1.11).
“We implemented our multistate models in a hidden Markov models framework [33] using program E-SURGE v1.9.0 [34] and tested for goodness-of-fit using U-CARE v2.2.3, which indicated little evidence for overdispersion (ĉ = 1.11).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [33] O Gimenez, 2012, Estimating demographic parameters using hidden process dynamic models, Theor Popul Biol source
- cites [34] Choquet R, Rouan L, Pradel R (2009) Program E-Surge: A software application for fitting multievent models. In: Thomson DL, Cooch EG, Conroy MJ, editors. Modeling Demographic Processes In Marked Populations. Boston: Springer US. 845–865. doi:10.1007/978-0-387-78151-8. source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the Western Cape, penguins breed from February to September and predominately moult between September and January, once chicks have fledged.
“In the Western Cape, penguins breed from February to September [23] and predominately moult between September and January, once chicks have fledged [24].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [23] RJM Crawford, 1995, Trends of African penguin <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> populations in the 20th century, S Afr J Mar Sci source
Citation [24] is attached to the moulting claim, not the February–September breeding claim. The section “Seasonal pattern of breeding off western South Africa” (page unavailable) says most birds at Robben Island moult in December, supporting a peak within the stated period. It does not establish a September–January moulting period across the Western Cape or say that moulting occurs once chicks have fledged. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [24] Crawford RJM, Hemming M, Kemper J, Klages NTW, Randall R, <etal>et al</etal>.. (2006) Molt of the African penguin, <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> in relation to its breeding season and food availability. Acta Zool Sin 52 (Supp.): 444–447.
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe approach of hand- or captive-rearing chicks has been used successfully in combination with translocation in the conservation of at least 11 seabird species worldwide.
“The approach has been used successfully in combination with translocation in the conservation of at least 11 seabird species worldwide [39]–[42].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim2 of 4 sources checked- cites [39] CM Miskelly, 2009, Translocations of eight species of burrow-nesting seabirds (genera <italic>Pterodroma</italic>, <italic>Pelecanoides</italic>, <italic>Pachyptila</italic> and <italic>Puffinus</italic>: Family Procellariidae), Biol Conserv source
- cites [40] T Deguchi, 2011, Translocation and hand-rearing techniques for establishing a colony of threatened albatross, Bird Conserv Int source
The Abstract (page unavailable) reports successful translocation and hand-rearing of chicks from three albatross species, supporting this paper as an example of the approach. Neither it nor the Introduction establishes the cited sentence’s worldwide total of at least 11 seabird species. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [41] N Carlile, 2012, Establishment of a new, secure colony of Endangered Bermuda Petrel <italic>Pterodroma cahow</italic> by translocation of near-fledged nestlings, Bird Conserv Int source
The Feeding of translocated nestlings section describes feeding Bermuda Petrel chicks after translocation, and the Discussion reports successful fledging in this project and other seabird translocations. The Discussion mentions eight other translocations, but counts projects rather than distinct species; it does not establish successful hand- or captive-rearing with translocation for at least 11 seabird species worldwide. Page numbers are unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [42] HP Jones, 2012, A review of the world's active seabird restoration projects, J Wildl Manage source
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationAbandonments could have been mediated either by poor food availability close to the colonies during chick-rearing, poor availability of adult fish during the preceding pre-breeding period, or a combination of the two.
“such that abandonments could have been mediated either by poor food availability close to the colonies during chick-rearing, poor availability of adult fish during the preceding pre-breeding period, or a combination of the two [8].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] RB Sherley, 2013, Influence of local and regional prey availability on breeding performance of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Mar Ecol Prog Ser source
The Discussion (page unavailable) proposes that pre-breeding condition, which may depend on adult fish stocks, interacts with prey availability near the colony to affect breeding success and chick provisioning. It does not specifically identify these factors as causes of abandonments, so that outcome is not established by this paper. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe African penguin has been considered a promising candidate for reinforcement and conservation translocation.
“the species has been considered a promising candidate for reinforcement and conservation translocation [17].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 1 sources checked- cites [17] PJ Barham, 2008, The efficacy of hand-rearing penguin chicks: evidence from African Penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) orphaned in the Treasure oil spill in 2000, Bird Conserv Int source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationDuring good years, African penguins can successfully rear two broods in a season.
“During good years, African penguins can successfully rear two broods in a season”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim1 of 2 sources checked- cites [8] RB Sherley, 2013, Influence of local and regional prey availability on breeding performance of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Mar Ecol Prog Ser source
The Fledging success and fledging periods section (page unavailable) distinguishes one-chick from two-chick broods within a breeding attempt. The Discussion (page unavailable) addresses food availability and chick survival, but neither passage establishes that a pair can rear two separate broods in one season; a search for multiple broods and second breeding attempts found no such passage. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured - cites [11] Sherley RB (2010) Factors influencing the demography of Endangered seabirds at Robben Island, South Africa. PhD thesis. Bristol: University of Bristol. 237 p.
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2006, 766 hand-reared African penguin chicks were released, representing 91% of admissions.
“Of those admitted, 91% and 73% respectively were released into the wild.”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“In 2006, 766 hand-reared penguins were released (91% of admissions) and in 2007, 351 chicks were released (73% of admissions, Table S3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2006 and 2007 respectively, 6% and 20% of chicks from Dyer Island were small to medium downy chicks; for Stony Point the corresponding values were 6% and 2%; none from Robben Island were small to medium downy chicks.
“In 2006 and 2007 respectively, 6% and 20% of chicks from Dyer Island were small to medium downy chicks, for Stony Point the corresponding values were 6% and 2%, while none of the birds from Robben Island were small to medium downy chicks.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenBoth flies and mosquitoes were abundant during the chick-rearing period; the netting surrounding the centre at the time was inadequate to exclude insects.
“Both flies and mosquitoes were abundant during the chick-rearing period; the netting surrounding the centre at the time was inadequate to exclude insects.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataLesions usually healed after three weeks; in severe cases, scarring caused a smaller eye opening.
“The lesions usually healed after three weeks; in severe cases, scarring caused a smaller eye opening.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataFungal airsacculitis and pneumonia caused 7% of deaths in 2006 and 2% in 2007.
“Fungal airsacculitis and pneumonia caused 7% of deaths in 2006 and 2% in 2007 (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingcitationLesions occurred around the eyes, the ceres, the beak, inside the mouth and occasionally on the feet of the chicks that contracted avian pox.
“Lesions occurred around the eyes, the ceres, the beak, inside the mouth and occasionally on the feet of the chicks that contracted the disease [36].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [36] Hansen W (1999) Avian pox. In: Friend M, Franson JC, editors. Field manual of wildlife diseases: general field procedures and diseases of birds. Washington DC: United States Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division. 163–169.
Not checked in the free run.
The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataThose released that had been positive for avian malaria took 20% longer in 2006 and 95% longer in 2007 than all chicks to reach conditions for release.
“Those that were released took 20% longer in 2006 and 95% longer in 2007 than all chicks to reach the conditions for release.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataOne bird was euthanized due to blindness caused by avian pox.
“One bird was euthanized due to blindness caused by avian pox (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataOf the breeding hand-reared African penguins, six were at Dyer Island, three at Robben Island, two at Stony Point and one at Dassen Island.
“Of the breeding birds, six were at Dyer Island, three were at Robben Island, two at Stony Point and one at Dassen Island (Table S5).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataA feather-loss disorder occurred in both years, delaying hand-rearing significantly, but did not cause any mortality.
“A feather-loss disorder also occurred in both years, delaying hand-rearing significantly, but did not cause any mortality.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataEncounter rates were 0.01±0.01 in 2007, 0.06±0.02 in 2008, increased to 0.31±0.11 in 2011, before falling back in 2012.
“Encounter rates were low initially at 0.01±0.01 (0.00–0.06) in 2007 and 0.06±0.02 (0.03–0.12) in 2008, but increased to 0.31±0.11 (0.14–0.55) in 2011, before falling back in 2012 (Figure 2).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The central resighting database accurately records all resightings of banded penguins.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataOf those released, 511 were marked with flipper bands from the 2006 cohort and 190 from the 2007 cohort.
“Of those released, 511 were marked with flipper bands from the 2006 cohort and 190 from the 2007 cohort (Table S3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2007, 351 hand-reared African penguin chicks were released, representing 73% of admissions.
“Of those admitted, 91% and 73% respectively were released into the wild.”
- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
“In 2006, 766 hand-reared penguins were released (91% of admissions) and in 2007, 351 chicks were released (73% of admissions, Table S3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Also stated in: § Release, survival and recruitment rates · plain
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe chicks were reared in 2006 for a mean of 44 days (range 11-127) for those released and 36 days (range 0-88) for those that died.
“The chicks were reared in 2006 for a mean of 44 days (range: 11–127 days) for those that were released and 36 days (range: 0–88 days) for those that died.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataIn 2007 rearing lasted a mean of 48 days (range 15-130) for those released and 50 days (0-158) for those that died.
“In 2007 rearing lasted a mean of 48 days (range: 15–130 days) for those released and 50 days (0–158 days) for those that died (Table 2 and 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataOne bird was euthanased each year due to bumblefoot.
“One bird was euthanased each year due to bumblefoot (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
FindingcitationThe symptoms of avian pox seen in African penguins are mild to moderate.
“and the symptoms seen in African penguins are mild to moderate”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataHalf of the birds breeding in this study returned to their natal site.
“and half of the birds breeding in this study returned to their natal site.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingnone givenPododermatitis in hand-reared chicks generally improved once the birds were swimming and spending less time standing.
“The condition generally improved once the birds were swimming and spending less time standing”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
FindingcitationJuvenile survival of hand-reared abandoned chicks was towards the upper end of estimates for both juvenile (0.06-0.52) and adult (0.46-0.77) survival at these colonies during the study period.
“and was towards the upper end of estimates for both juvenile (0.06–0.52) and adult (0.46–0.77) survival at these colonies during our study period [3], [6].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe incidence of avian malaria at the facility has been dramatically reduced since the erection of new shade cloth netting in 2008.
“The incidence of avian malaria at the facility has been dramatically reduced since the erection of new shade cloth netting in 2008 (SANCCOB unpubl. data).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites SANCCOB unpubl. data
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
FindingreasoningThe hand-reared chicks were susceptible to various conditions, in part due to being in captivity (pododermatitis), at high-density (airsacculitis and pneumonia, avian pox) and being exposed to vectors transmitting disease (avian pox, avian malaria).
“The hand-reared chicks were susceptible to various conditions, in part due to being in captivity (pododermatitis), at high-density (airsacculitis and pneumonia, avian pox) and being exposed to vectors transmitting disease (avian pox, avian malaria).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataDue to sparse resighting data, the authors did not attempt to estimate time-dependent survival or separate survival parameters for the two release cohorts.
“Due to sparse resighting data, we did not attempt to estimate time-dependent survival, or to estimate separate survival parameters for the two release cohorts.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The two release cohorts (2006 and 2007) have similar survival and encounter probabilities, allowing pooled estimation.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenWhen birds died, the carcase was refrigerated immediately and post-mortem examination conducted on c. 85% of cases within four days.
“When birds died, the carcase was refrigerated immediately and post-mortem examination conducted on c. 85% of cases within four days.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAt Dyer Island, most adults moult from October to December and do so in groups within the breeding colony.
“At Dyer Island, most adults moult from October to December [24] and do so in in groups within the breeding colony (LJW pers. obs.).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [24] Crawford RJM, Hemming M, Kemper J, Klages NTW, Randall R, <etal>et al</etal>.. (2006) Molt of the African penguin, <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> in relation to its breeding season and food availability. Acta Zool Sin 52 (Supp.): 444–447.
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe post-release juvenile and adult survival rates of hand-reared abandoned African penguin chicks were similar to those of African penguin chicks reared after oil spills and to recent survival rates recorded for naturally-reared birds.
“Post-release juvenile (0.32, s.e. = 0.08) and adult (0.76, s.e. = 0.10) survival rates were similar to African penguin chicks reared after oil spills and to recent survival rates recorded for naturally-reared birds.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The naturally-reared and oil-spill-reared comparison groups are similar enough to the hand-reared abandoned chicks for their survival rates to be compared.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningMost other diagnoses were determined from macroscopic pathology lesions only.
“Most other diagnoses were determined from macroscopic pathology lesions only.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataFungal airsacculitis and pneumonia was differentiated from bacterial cases on the presence of fungal plaques and mats and was not specifically identified to species level.
“Fungal airsacculitis and pneumonia was differentiated from bacterial cases on the presence of fungal plaques and mats and was not specifically identified to species level.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenHistopathology and other tests were not routinely performed, except in cases where the cause of death could not otherwise be determined.
“Histopathology and other tests were not routinely performed, except in cases where the cause of death could not otherwise be determined.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe use of hand- or captive-reared chicks to reinforce or restore threatened bird populations is now relatively widespread.
“The use of hand- or captive-reared chicks to reinforce or restore threatened bird populations is now relatively widespread [38].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [38] Jones CG, Merton DV (2012) A tale of two islands: the rescue and recovery of Endemic birds in New Zealand and Mauritius. In: Ewen J, Armstrong D, Parker K, Seddon P, editors. Reintroduction Biology: Integrating Science and Management. Chichester, UK: Wiley-Blackwell. 33–72. source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMoulting African penguins are without adequate waterproofing and must fast for approximately 21 days.
“However, moulting penguins are without adequate waterproofing and must fast for c.21 days [20]; unfledged chicks would thus starve in the nest [21].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [20] J Cooper, 1978, Moult of the black-footed penguin <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>, Int Zoo Yearb source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenNo specific aetiological diagnosis was made for bacterial airsacculitis and pneumonia.
“No specific aetiological diagnosis was made.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenBlood samples were taken by a state registered veterinarian to ensure that the birds were fit to be released and were not carrying any diseases that might be introduced to the wild population.
“blood samples were taken by a state registered veterinarian to ensure that the birds were fit to be released and were not carrying any diseases that might be introduced to the wild population.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenOn live birds, conditions such as airsacculitis and pneumonia, avian pox, bumblefoot and feather-loss disorder were diagnosed based on clinical symptoms and lesions only.
“On live birds, conditions such as airsacculitis and pneumonia, avian pox, bumblefoot and feather-loss disorder were diagnosed based on clinical symptoms and lesions only.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe African penguin is classified as Endangered following a decrease in the global population of more than 70% between 2001 and 2013.
“The African penguin Spheniscus demersus is ‘Endangered’ following a decrease in the global population of >70% between 2001 and 2013 [3], [4].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [3] RJM Crawford, 2011, Collapse of South Africa's penguins in the early 21st century, Afr J Mar Sci source
- cites [4] Crawford RJM, Makhado AB, Waller LJ, Whittington PA (2014) Winners and losers – response to recent environmental change by South African seabirds that compete with purse-seine fisheries for food. Ostrich: doi: 10.2989/00306525.2014.955141. doi:10.2989/00306525.2014.955141. source
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMoult must be undertaken annually and, once initiated, cannot be abandoned prematurely.
“It must be undertaken annually and, once initiated, cannot be abandoned prematurely [47], [48].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [47] Payne R (1972) Mechanisms and control of molt. In: Farner DC, King JR, editors. Avian Biology Vol. 2. New York and London: Academic Press. 103–155. source
- cites [48] Randall RM (1989) Jackass penguins. In: Payne AIL, Crawford RJM, van Dalsen AP, editors. Oceans of Life of Southern Africa. Cape Town: Vlaeberg. 244–256.
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationConditions for breeding penguins at Dyer Island in recent years were apparently poor.
“and apparently poor conditions for breeding penguins at Dyer Island in recent years [12], [51]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [12] Waller LJ (2011) The African penguin <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>: conservation and management issues. PhD thesis. Cape Town: University of Cape Town. 290 p.
- cites [51] K Ludynia, 2014, Processes influencing the population dynamics and conservation of African penguins on Dyer Island, South Africa, Afr J Mar Sci source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPlans have been developed to use conservation translocations to establish new breeding colonies in areas of higher prey availability along the South African coast.
“plans have been developed to use conservation translocations to establish new breeding colonies in areas of higher prey availability along the South African coast [52].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [52] C Schwitzer, 2013, The African Penguin Chick Bolstering Project: a One Plan approach to integrated species conservation, WAZA Mag
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationInfections of avian malaria are an ongoing concern at SANCCOB.
“Infections of avian malaria are an ongoing concern at SANCCOB [16].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [16] NJ Parsons, 2005, Oiled and injured African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> and other seabirds admitted for rehabilitation in the Western Cape, South Africa, 2001 and 2002, Afr J Mar Sci source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationProlonged hand-feeding of nestlings can reduce fledging success in some seabirds.
“Although prolonged hand-feeding of nestlings can reduce fledging success in some seabirds [44]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [44] CM Miskelly, 2004, Establishment of a colony of common diving petrels (<italic>Pelecanoides urinatrix</italic>) by chick transfers and acoustic attraction, Emu source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisereasoningOutbreaks of avian pox can occur in the wild dependent on vector occurrence.
“although outbreaks can occur in the wild dependent on vector occurrence.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationFungal airsacculitis and pneumonia occasionally causes deaths in wild African penguin chicks.
“Fungal airsacculitis and pneumonia (most likely to be caused by Aspergillus sp.) occasionally causes deaths in wild African penguin chicks (SANCCOB unpubl. data)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites SANCCOB unpubl. data
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAvian malaria is present at a low prevalence in wild African penguins.
“Avian malaria is present at a low prevalence in wild African penguins [56], [57]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [56] J-J Brossy, 1992, Malaria in wild and captive jackass penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> along the southern African Coast, Ostrich source
- cites [57] TK Graczyk, 1995, Detection of avian Malaria infections in wild and captive penguins, J Helminthol Soc Washingt
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationown dataFungal airsacculitis and pneumonia is likely to be more widespread than reported.
“and is likely to be more widespread than reported.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationLittle penguins Eudyptula minor have been successfully translocated by simply keeping them overnight at a release site in artificial nest boxes.
“as little penguins Eudyptula minor have been successfully translocated by simply keeping them overnight at a release site in artificial nest boxes (N. Carlile, pers. comm.).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites N. Carlile, pers. comm.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationAfrican penguins exhibit some natal philopatry.
“African penguins exhibit some natal philopatry [26]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [26] PA Whittington, 2005, Patterns of immigration to and emigration from breeding colonies by African penguins, Afr J Mar Sci source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe breeding season of African penguins is synchronised to the availability of fish in the vicinity of the colonies in winter.
“while the breeding season is synchronised to the availability of fish in the vicinity of the colonies in winter [50].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [50] RJM Crawford, 2006, The influence of food availability on breeding success of African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> at Robben Island, South Africa, Biol Conserv source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe severity of avian pox varies between species.
“The severity of avian pox varies between species [36], [54]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [36] Hansen W (1999) Avian pox. In: Friend M, Franson JC, editors. Field manual of wildlife diseases: general field procedures and diseases of birds. Washington DC: United States Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division. 163–169.
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [54] Ritchie B, Harrison G, Harrison L (1994) Avian medicine: principles and application. Lake Worth, Florida: Wingers Publishing Inc.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationThe possibility exists of spreading a pathogenic species of avian malaria from rehabilitated birds into the wild population.
“although the possibility exists of spreading a pathogenic species from rehabilitated birds into the wild population [29].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [29] KC Grim, 2003, <italic>Plasmodium juxtanucleare</italic> associated with mortality in black-footed penguins (<italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic>) admitted to a rehabilitation center, J Zoo Wildl Med source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe situation for African penguin has continued to deteriorate on the West Coast.
“As the situation for African penguin has continued to deteriorate on the West Coast [3], [6]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationLong-lived birds can alter their reproductive performance according to their body condition and the needs of their offspring, choosing not to breed or to abandon a breeding attempt in order to safeguard their own survival.
“Long-lived birds can alter their reproductive performance according to their body condition and the needs of their offspring [46], choosing not to breed or to abandon a breeding attempt in order to safeguard their own survival [5].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [46] KE Erikstad, 1998, On the cost of reproduction in long-lived birds: the influence of environmental variability, Ecology source
- cites [5] RJM Crawford, 2008, Influences of the abundance and distribution of prey on African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> off western South Africa, Afr J Mar Sci source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMortality of Magellanic penguin S. magellanicus chicks from avian pox has occurred.
“although mortality of Magellanic penguin S. magellanicus chicks has occurred [55].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [55] OJ Kane, 2012, Avian pox in Magellanic penguins (<italic>Spheniscus magellanicus</italic>), J Wildl Dis source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningThe Spheniscidae may represent good candidate species for restoration or reinforcement.
“even though the Spheniscidae may represent good candidates species.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
Interpretationown dataAbandoned chicks are an obvious source of birds for conservation translocation to establish new breeding colonies.
“Our results suggest abandoned chicks as an obvious source of birds for such an endeavour”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationcitationReturn rates to translocation sites might well be higher if those sites can be placed in areas perceived to be of high habitat quality or prey availability.
“As such, return rates to translocation sites might well be higher if those sites can be placed in areas perceived to be of high habitat quality or prey availability [53].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [53] D Oro, 2011, Lessons from a failed translocation program with a seabird species: Determinants of success and conservation value, Biol Conserv source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationJuvenile African penguins may emigrate to non-natal colonies if the food environment is heterogeneous.
“This was despite evidence that juvenile African penguins may emigrate to non-natal colonies if the food environment is heterogeneous [3], [5]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [3] RJM Crawford, 2011, Collapse of South Africa's penguins in the early 21st century, Afr J Mar Sci source
- cites [5] RJM Crawford, 2008, Influences of the abundance and distribution of prey on African penguins <italic>Spheniscus demersus</italic> off western South Africa, Afr J Mar Sci source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenAll birds undergo basic disease screening and veterinary evaluation before release in order to reduce any disease introduction risk.
“All birds undergo basic disease screening and veterinary evaluation before release in order to reduce any disease introduction risk.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Basic disease screening and veterinary evaluation before release reduces the risk of disease introduction.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenOne missing element in the strategy for chick removal in this study was quantitative criteria to decide whether individual chicks were in sufficiently poor condition to conclude that they had been abandoned.
“Finally, one missing element in the strategy for chick removal in this study was quantitative criteria to decide whether individual chicks were in sufficiently poor condition to conclude that they had been abandoned.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The paper relies on this without support.
Flipper bands used to mark released penguins did not affect their survival or resighting probability.
“Of those released, 511 were marked with flipper bands from the 2006 cohort and 190 from the 2007 cohort (Table S3).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The central resighting database accurately records all resightings of banded penguins.
“The records from this database covering the period 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2012 were searched for resightings.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The 85% of dead birds that received post-mortem examination are representative of all dead chicks for cause-of-death distribution.
“When birds died, the carcase was refrigerated immediately and post-mortem examination conducted on c. 85% of cases within four days.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Macroscopic diagnosis alone is sufficient to accurately classify causes of death.
“Most other diagnoses were determined from macroscopic pathology lesions only.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The two release cohorts (2006 and 2007) have similar survival and encounter probabilities, allowing pooled estimation.
“Due to sparse resighting data, we did not attempt to estimate time-dependent survival, or to estimate separate survival parameters for the two release cohorts.”
The authors state this as an assumption.
The multistate model's three states and events correctly represent the true states and observations.
“We considered three states; ‘alive as a non-breeding individual’, ‘alive and confirmed breeding’, and ‘dead’ and three events; ‘not encountered’, ‘encountered as a non-breeding individual’ and ‘encountered as a breeder’, which were conditional on the states (see Appendix S2).”
The paper relies on this without support.
The naturally-reared and oil-spill-reared comparison groups are similar enough to the hand-reared abandoned chicks for their survival rates to be compared.
“Post-release juvenile (0.32, s.e. = 0.08) and adult (0.76, s.e. = 0.10) survival rates were similar to African penguin chicks reared after oil spills and to recent survival rates recorded for naturally-reared birds.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The chicks removed in this study were abandoned by moulting parents.
“Finally, one missing element in the strategy for chick removal in this study was quantitative criteria to decide whether individual chicks were in sufficiently poor condition to conclude that they had been abandoned.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The survival rates measured in this study can be used to estimate survival to breeding age (4 years old).
“Survival rates measured in this study suggest that around 14% would have survived to breeding age (4 years old [25]).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Basic disease screening and veterinary evaluation before release reduces the risk of disease introduction.
“All birds undergo basic disease screening and veterinary evaluation before release in order to reduce any disease introduction risk.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Near-continuous surveillance of the colonies would detect mass mortalities of African penguins.
“this seems unlikely as surveillance of the colonies is near-continuous and there were no mass mortalities of African penguins during the study period.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
2006 multiple-organ-infection death percentage is incorrect
MinorEight of the 75 deaths in 2006 represent 10.7% when rounded to one decimal place, rather than 10.5%.
Reported 10.5 · recomputed 10.666667
“| Multiple organ infection | 8 | 10.5% | 33±29 | 1 | 0.8% | (52) |”
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Ludynia, K., Waller, L., Sherley, R., Abadi, F., Galada, Y., Geldenhuys, D., Crawford, R., Shannon, L., & Jarre, A. (2014) · African Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.2989/1814232x.2014.929027 · Cited by 17 · see citing works
Self-citationPenguins and purse-seiners : competition or co-existence?
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KEMPER, J., ROUX, J.-P., & UNDERHILL, L. G. (2008) · The Auk · doi:10.1525/auk.2008.06262 · Cited by 12 · see citing works
Self-citationWolfaardt, A., Underhill, L., & Crawford, R. (2009) · African Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.2989/ajms.2009.31.1.2.773 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Self-citation(2011) · Open University of Cape Town (University of Cape Town) · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Self-citationModelling the impact of the South African small pelagic fishery on African penguin dynamics
Robinson, W. M. (2012) · Open University of Cape Town (University of Cape Town) · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
2 of the 56 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 6
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Sherley, R. B., Crawford, R. J. M., de Blocq, A. D., Dyer, B. M., Geldenhuys, D., Hagen, C., Kemper, J., Makhado, A. B., Pichegru, L., Tom, D., et al. (2020) · Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1002/ece3.6554 · Cited by 60 · see citing works
Self-citationBlood parasites of penguins: a critical review
Vanstreels, R. E. T., Braga, É. M., & Catão‐Dias, J. L. (2016) · Parasitology · doi:10.1017/s0031182016000251 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Marine protection is needed for Magellanic penguins in Argentina based on long-term data
Boersma, P. D., Rebstock, G. A., & Borboroglu, P. G. (2014) · Biological Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2014.12.005 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Klusener, R., Hurtado, R., Parsons, N. J., Vanstreels, R. E. T., Stander, N., van der Spuy, S., & Ludynia, K. (2018) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0205126 · Cited by 24 · see citing works
Self-citationMontesdeoca, N., Calabuig, P., Sánchez, J. A. C., & Orós, J. (2017) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0177366 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Consequences of phenological shifts and a compressed breeding period in Magellanic penguins
Cappello, C. D., & Boersma, P. D. (2021) · Ecology · doi:10.1002/ecy.3443 · Cited by 20 · see citing works
Montesdeoca, N., Calabuig, P., Sánchez, J. A. C., et al. (2017) · Bird Study · doi:10.1080/00063657.2017.1411464 · Cited by 19 · see citing works
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Self-citationEspinaze, M. P. A., Hui, C., Waller, L. J., Dreyer, F., & Matthee, S. (2019) · Parasitology · doi:10.1017/s0031182018002159 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
Self-citationVanstreels, R. E. T., Parsons, N. J., Sherley, R. B., Stander, N., Strauss, V., Kemper, J., Waller, L. J., Barham, B. J., & Ludynia, K. (2023) · Marine Pollution Bulletin · doi:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.114708 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
Self-citationTrumpp, K. M., Sander, S. J., Sander, W., Zimmerman, D. M., & Bronson, E. (2021) · Journal of Zoo and Wildlife Medicine · doi:10.1638/2020-0224 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Vanstreels, R. E. T., Parsons, N. J., Pistorius, P. A., & Schaefer, A. M. (2019) · Journal of Wildlife Diseases · doi:10.7589/2018-05-134 · Cited by 11 · see citing works
Self-citationMorandi, I., Zanoli, A., Tenneriello, C., Terranova, F., Balestra, F., Cadman, M., Ludynia, K., & Favaro, L. (2025) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2024.0019 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Nasal mites (Mesostigmata: Rhinonyssidae) in African penguins (Spheniscus demersus)
Vanstreels, R. E. T., Proctor, H. C., Snyman, A., Hurtado, R., Ludynia, K., Parsons, N. J., & Pistorius, P. A. (2018) · Parasitology · doi:10.1017/s0031182018000999 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Self-citationFirst observations of post-fledging care in Galapagos Penguins ( Spheniscus mendiculus )
Boersma, P. D., Cappello, C. D., & Merlen, G. (2017) · The Wilson Journal of Ornithology · doi:10.1676/1559-4491-129.1.186 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Body condition as a quantitative tool to guide hand‐rearing decisions in an endangered seabird
Morten, J. M., Parsons, N. J., Schwitzer, C., Holderied, M. W., & Sherley, R. B. (2017) · Animal Conservation · doi:10.1111/acv.12338 · Cited by 9 · see citing works
Self-citationFat chance? Endangered penguin rehabilitation has mixed conservation outcomes
Alden, B., van Heezik, Y., Seddon, P. J., Reid, J., & Young, M. J. (2021) · Conservation Science and Practice · doi:10.1111/csp2.452 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Acoustic cues to development of African Penguins (Spheniscus demersus) begging calls
Zanoli, A., Tenneriello, C., Morandi, I., Terranova, F., Cadman, M., Ludynia, K., Mathevon, N., Reby, D., & Favaro, L. (2024) · Ibis · doi:10.1111/ibi.13364 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Decades of artificial nests towards African penguin conservation—Have they made a difference?
Pichegru, L., Sherley, R. B., Malan, T., Barham, B. J., Ludynia, K., Geldenhuys, D., Amos, K., Barham, P., Drost, E., Hahndiek, V., et al. (2024) · Ecological Solutions and Evidence · doi:10.1002/2688-8319.12388 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationGolembeski, M., Sander, S. J., Kottyan, J., Sander, W. E., & Bronson, E. (2020) · Journal of Zoo and Wildlife Medicine · doi:10.1638/2019-0080 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Espinaze, M. P. A., Hui, C., Waller, L. J., & Matthee, S. (2020) · African Journal of Marine Science · doi:10.2989/1814232x.2020.1828166 · Cited by 5 · see citing works
Self-citationPichegru, L., Makoala, M. M., Barham, B. J., Barham, P., Dalton, D. L., Ludynia, K., Freeman, M., Geldenhuys, D., Hagen, C., Harris, G., et al. (2025) · Journal for Nature Conservation · doi:10.1016/j.jnc.2025.126919 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Self-citationThe Decline and Conservation Status of the African Penguin
Grigg, J. L., & Sherley, R. B. (2022) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-821139-7.00220-8 · Cited by 3 · see citing works
Self-citationMnyekemfu, M., Barham, P., Barham, B. J., Waller, L. J., Ludynia, K., & Maneveldt, G. W. (2023) · Ostrich · doi:10.2989/00306525.2023.2247167 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationMonopoli, M. R., Guzman, D. S.-M., Paul‐Murphy, J., et al. (2023) · Journal of Avian Medicine and Surgery · doi:10.1647/jams-d-22-00063 · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Mass loss, timing and duration of catastrophic moult in little penguins
Wells, N. C. A., Ledwidge, M. J., Dann, P., Walker, M. J., & Arnould, J. P. Y. (2025) · Biology Open · doi:10.1242/bio.061989 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Crawford, R. J. M., Sherley, R. B., Shannon, L. J., McInnes, A., Carpenter‐Kling, T., & Makhado, A. B. (2025) · Ostrich · doi:10.2989/00306525.2025.2568382 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationFroehlich, F., Forbes, N., Carrasco, D. C., Ludynia, K., Parsons, N. J., Worsfold, R. D., & Dutton, T. (2023) · Journal of Avian Medicine and Surgery · doi:10.1647/d-20-00101 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Self-citationBhering, R. C. C., Mayorga, L. F. S. P., Hurtado, R., Egert, L., & Vanstreels, R. E. T. (2022) · Ornithology Research · doi:10.1007/s43388-022-00085-2 · Cited by 1 · see citing works
Measuring Progress: Methods of Success in Endangered Species Conservation Programs
Corley, S. (2018) · CU Scholar (University of Colorado Boulder)
Stander, N., & Klusener, R. (2020) · doi:10.1002/9781119167792.ch13
Kovács, B., Kocsis, B., Kollár, P., et al. (2025) · Research Square · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-7958049/v1
Christian, M., Oosthuizen, W. C., Ludynia, K., Barham, B. J., Barham, P., Sherley, R. B., & Altwegg, R. (2026) · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · doi:10.1111/2041-210x.70314
Self-citation
- Authors
- Sherley, R. B., Waller, L. J., Strauss, V., Geldenhuys, D., Underhill, L. G., & Parsons, N. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Cape Town (ZA)
- CapeNature (ZA)
- Corresponding author
- Sherley, Richard B.
- Venue
- PLoS ONE
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2014-10-22
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- e110794
- ISSN
- 1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4206437
- OpenAlex
- W2019315922
- Cited by
- 34
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 4 · 2022: 2 · 2021: 3 · 2020: 4 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 4 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2014: 1
- FWCI
- 2.03
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- PLoS ONE (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Open University of Cape Town (University of Cape Town) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Earthwatch Institute
- International Fund for Animal Welfare
- National Research Foundation
- Bristol, Clifton and West of England Zoological Society
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Avian ecology and behavior
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Marine animal studies overview
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Keywords
- African penguin, Spheniscus demersus, hand-rearing, post-release survival, recruitment rate, avian malaria, airsacculitis, pododermatitis, feather loss, disease surveillance, conservation translocation
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Animal Husbandry, Humans, Malaria, Avian, South Africa, Molting, Spheniscidae, Endangered Species
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-27.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-27.
Cited sources are checked by gpt-6-sol.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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