Food groups and risk of all-cause mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies ,
Open accessAbstract
Background: Suboptimal diet is one of the most important factors in preventing early death and disability worldwide.Objective: The aim of this meta-analysis was to synthesize the knowledge about the relation between intake of 12 major food groups, including whole grains, refined grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, eggs, dairy, fish, red meat, processed meat, and sugar-sweetened beverages, with risk of all-cause mortality.Design: We conducted a systematic search in PubMed, Embase, and Google Scholar for prospective studies investigating the association between these 12 food groups and risk of all-cause mortality. Summary RRs and 95% CIs were estimated with the use of a random effects model for high-intake compared with low-intake categories, as well as for linear and nonlinear relations. Moreover, the risk reduction potential of foods was calculated by multiplying the RR by optimal intake values (serving category with the strongest association) for risk-reducing foods or risk-increasing foods, respectively.Results: With increasing intake (for each daily serving) of whole grains (RR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.95), vegetables (RR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.95, 0.98), fruits (RR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.97), nuts (RR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.69, 0.84), and fish (RR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.98), the risk of all-cause mortality decreased; higher intake of red meat (RR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.18) and processed meat (RR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.36) was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in a linear dose-response meta-analysis. A clear indication of nonlinearity was seen for the relations between vegetables, fruits, nuts, and dairy and all-cause mortality. Optimal consumption of risk-decreasing foods results in a 56% reduction of all-cause mortality, whereas consumption of risk-increasing foods is associated with a 2-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality.Conclusion: Selecting specific optimal intakes of the investigated food groups can lead to a considerable change in the risk of premature death.
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- Findingown data
There is no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response relation between refined grains and all-cause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.11).
“Furthermore, no evidence of a nonlinear doseresponse association was found (P-nonlinearity = 0.11; n = 3 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Legume intake up to about 150 g/day is associated with about 16% lower all-cause mortality risk.
“The risk of all-cause mortality decreased by w16% with increasing intake of legumes up to w150 g/d”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Legume intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.93, 1.00).
“An inverse association was observed for the highest compared with lowest legume intake categories (RR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.00;I 2 = 48%; P-heterogeneity = 0.01)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Nut intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.80; 95% CI 0.74, 0.86).
“A strong inverse association was observed for the highest compared with the lowest nut intake category (RR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.74, 0.86; I 2 = 84%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Vegetable intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.93; 95% CI 0.90, 0.95).
“An inverse association was observed for the high intake compared with the low intake (RR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.90, 0.95; I 2 = 75%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Findingown data
There is no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response relation between legumes and all-cause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.39).
“No evidence of a nonlinear doseresponse association was observed (P-nonlinearity = 0.39; n = 4 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 50 g/day of legumes is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.90, 1.01).
“but not for each additional daily 50 g (RR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.01;I 2 = 48%; P-heterogeneity = 0.09; n = 6)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Egg intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with higher all-cause mortality (RR 1.06; 95% CI 1.00, 1.12).
“A positive association was observed for the highest compared with the lowest egg intake category (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.12;I 2 = 71%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fruit intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.91; 95% CI 0.89, 0.94).
“An inverse association was observed (RR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.94; I 2 = 77%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Whole-grain intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.88; 95% CI 0.84, 0.92; I2 = 91%; P-heterogeneity < 0.001).
“When we compared extreme categories, an inverse association between all-cause mortality and whole-grain intake was observed, with an indication for high heterogeneity between studies (RR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.92; I 2 = 91%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Dairy intake in the highest versus lowest category is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 1.03; 95% CI 0.98, 1.07).
“No association was observed for the high compared with the low intake (RR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.98, 1.07;I 2 = 94%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 100 g/day of fruits is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.94; 95% CI 0.92, 0.97).
“Each additional daily 100 g of fruits was inversely associated with mortality risk (RR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.97; I 2 = 82%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 17)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 30 g/day of refined grains is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 0.99; 95% CI 0.97, 1.01).
“or for each additional daily 30 g (RR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.97, 1.01;I 2 = 7%; P-heterogeneity = 0.36; n = 4)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 100 g/day of vegetables is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.95, 0.98).
“and dose-response analyses (RR/100 g: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.95, 0.98; I 2 = 67%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 17)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 28 g/day of nuts is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.76; 95% CI 0.69, 0.84).
“and for each additional daily 28 g (RR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.69, 0.84; I 2 = 82%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 16)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 50 g/day of eggs is not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (RR 1.15; 95% CI 0.99, 1.34).
“and for each additional daily 50 g (RR: 1.15; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.34;I 2 = 87%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 5)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Refined-grain intake in the highest versus lowest category is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 0.99; 95% CI 0.94, 1.05).
“No association was observed for the highest compared with the lowest refined grain intake category (RR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.05;I 2 = 26%; P-heterogeneity = 0.26)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 30 g/day of whole grains is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.92; 95% CI 0.89, 0.95; I2 = 80%; n = 11).
“Each additional daily 30 g of whole grains was inversely associated with mortality risk (RR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.95; I 2 = 80%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 11)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Among low-risk-of-bias studies, the inverse associations of fruits and nuts with all-cause mortality in the linear dose-response meta-analysis were smaller.
“Findings including studies with a low risk of bias suggest a smaller inverse association between fruits (n = 4) and nuts (n = 5) and all-cause mortality in the linear dose-response metaanalysis.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Not consuming the risk-increasing foods would reduce all-cause mortality risk by about 52%.
“Not consuming these foods would reduce the risk of all-cause mortality by about 52% [calculated by 1 2 ð1ORR increased Þ].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Sugar-sweetened beverage intake in the highest versus lowest category is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 1.02; 95% CI 0.97, 1.06).
“No association between all-cause mortality and SSBs was observed in the analysis of high compared with low intake (RR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.97, 1.06;I 2 = 78%; P-heterogeneity , 0.01)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Nut intake (28 g/d) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality, with a risk ratio of 0.85 at 1 serving/day.
“| Nuts (28 g/d) | 1.00 0.85 (0.82, 0.89) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
- Findingown data
Each additional 100 g/day of fish is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.93; 95% CI 0.88, 0.98).
“and for each additional daily 100 g (RR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.98; I 2 = 53%; P-heterogeneity , 0.01; n = 19)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Sugar-sweetened beverage intake up to about 250 mL/day is associated with about 7% higher all-cause mortality risk.
“The risk of all-cause mortality increased by w7% with increasing intake of SSBs up to w250 mL/d”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 50 g/day of processed meat is associated with higher all-cause mortality (RR 1.23; 95% CI 1.12, 1.36).
“Each additional daily 50 g of processed meat was associated with a risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.12, 1.36;I 2 = 94%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 7)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is a clear indication of nonlinear relations between vegetables, fruits, nuts, and dairy and all-cause mortality.
“We found a clear indication for nonlinear relations between vegetables, fruits, nuts, and dairy with all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Egg intake (55 g/d) is positively associated with all-cause mortality, with a risk ratio of 1.07 at 1 serving/day.
“| Eggs (55 g/d) | 1.00 1.07 (1.01, 1.15) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
- Findingown data
All included studies on eggs and all-cause mortality were rated as having unclear or high risk of bias.
“Moreover, all of the studies included that investigated the association between eggs and all-cause mortality were rated with an unclear or high risk of bias.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 100 g/day of red meat is associated with higher all-cause mortality (RR 1.10; 95% CI 1.04, 1.18).
“Each additional daily 100 g of red meat was positively associated with risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.18;I 2 = 92%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 10)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fish intake up to about 200 g/day is associated with 10% lower all-cause mortality risk.
“The risk decreased by 10% with increasing intake of #200 g fish/d”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Processed meat intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with higher all-cause mortality (RR 1.21; 95% CI 1.16, 1.26).
“A positive association was observed (RR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.16, 1.26;I 2 = 56%; P-heterogeneity = 0.03)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Substantial heterogeneity was observed in population size, follow-up duration, baseline age, and food consumption.
“Substantial heterogeneity was found with respect to the analyzed population size, follow-up duration, baseline age, and food consumption.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response relation between fish and all-cause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.09).
“We found no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response association (P-nonlinearity = 0.09; n = 19 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There is no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response relation between sugar-sweetened beverages and all-cause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.66).
“We found no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response association (P-nonlinearity = 0.66; n = 3 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 200 g/day of dairy is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 0.98; 95% CI 0.93, 1.03).
“or for each additional daily 200 g of dairy products (RR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.03;I 2 = 96%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001; n = 16)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Consumption of risk-increasing foods (2 servings/day red meat, 4 processed meat, 1 eggs, and 1 sugar-sweetened beverages) is associated with a 2-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality compared with no consumption.
“We could also calculate that a consumption of risk-increasing food-2 servings red meat/d (170 g; RR = 1.35), 4 servings processed meat/d (120 g; RR = 1.35), 1 serving eggs/d (55 g; RR = 1.07), and 1 serving SSBs/d (250 mL; RR = 1.07)-is associated with a 2-fold increased risk (RR increased ) compared with no”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
For most food groups, high statistical heterogeneity remained in subgroup analyses.
“Overall, for most food groups, high levels of statistical heterogeneity persisted in subgroup analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Results varied little when the analysis was restricted to studies with a low risk of bias.
“The results varied little by methodologic assumption, including only studies with a low risk of bias”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Fish intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with lower all-cause mortality (RR 0.95; 95% CI 0.92, 0.98).
“An inverse association was observed for the highest compared with the lowest fish intake category (RR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.98; I 2 = 51%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Fruit intake (80 g/d) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality, with risk ratios around 0.90 to 0.92 at higher intakes.
“| Fruit (80 g/d) | 1.00 0.94 (0.93, 0.96) 0.91 (0.89, 0.93) 0.90 (0.88, 0.93) 0.91 (0.88, 0.93) 0.92 (0.89, 0.94) 0.92 (0.89, 0.95) | | | | | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
- Findingown data
Small study effects, such as publication bias, were indicated in the analyses of vegetables, fruits, nuts, dairy products, and red meat.
“Another important limitation was the indication of small study effects such as publication bias in the analyses of vegetables, fruits, nuts, dairy products, and red meat.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
Optimal consumption of risk-decreasing foods (3 servings/day whole grains, 3 vegetables, 3 fruits, 1 nuts, 1 legumes, and 2 fish) is associated with a 56% reduction in all-cause mortality compared with no consumption of these foods.
“Optimal consumption (the smallest serving with significant results and no further substantial change in risk or no further data for larger amounts) of risk-decreasing foods [3 servings whole grains/d (RR = 0.79), 3 servings vegetables/d (RR = 0.89), 3 servings fruit/d (RR = 0.90), 1 serving nuts/d (RR = 0.85), 1 serving legumes/d (RR = 0.90), and 2 servings fish/d (RR = 0.90)] results in a 56% red”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There is no evidence of a nonlinear dose-response relation between red meat and all-cause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.30).
“No evidence of a nonlinear dose-response association was found (P-nonlinearity = 0.30; n = 10 studies)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
Red meat intake in the highest versus lowest category is associated with higher all-cause mortality (RR 1.10; 95% CI 1.00, 1.22).
“A positive association was observed (RR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.22;I 2 = 93%; P-heterogeneity , 0.001)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Each additional 250 mL/day of sugar-sweetened beverages is not associated with all-cause mortality (RR 1.03; 95% CI 0.91, 1.18).
“or the linear dose-response meta-analysis (RR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.91, 1.18;I 2 = 71%; P-heterogeneity = 0.02; n = 4)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Sugar-sweetened beverage intake (250 mL/d) is positively associated with all-cause mortality, with a risk ratio of 1.07 at 1 serving/day.
“| Sugar-sweetened beverages | 1.00 1.07 (1.01, 1.14) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
- Premisecitation
A meta-analysis of nearly 5 million participants found that each 2-point increase in Mediterranean diet adherence was associated with an 8% lower overall mortality.
“A meta-analysis of nearly 5 million subjects reported an 8% reduction of overall mortality for each 2-point increase in adherence to the Mediterranean diet (139).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [139] Sofi, 2014, Mediterranean diet and health status: an updated meta-analysis and a proposal for a literature-based adherence score, Public Health Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
A recent meta-analysis found that high adherence to the Healthy Eating Index was associated with a 22% lower mortality risk.
“Moreover, in a recent meta-analysis high adherence to the Healthy Eating Index was associated with a 22% lower risk of mortality ( 9)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Schwingshackl, 2015, Diet quality as assessed by the Healthy Eating Index, the Alternate Healthy Eating Index, the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension score, and health outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies, J Acad Nutr Diet source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
The adverse effects of sugar-sweetened beverages may be partly explained by disruption of normal hunger and satiety regulation.
“The detrimental effects observed for SSBs may be partly attributed to impairments of the otherwise working regulation of hunger and satiety (138).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [138] DiMeglio, 2000, Liquid versus solid carbohydrate: effects on food intake and body weight, Int J Obes Relat Metab source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
A high-quality diet rich in whole grains, fruits, vegetables, nuts, and fish is one of the most important factors preventing early death and disability worldwide.
“A high-quality diet comprising abundant amounts of whole grains, fruits, vegetables, nuts, and fish is one of the most important factors in preventing early death and disability worldwide (2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [2] Lim, 2012, A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010, Lancet source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
An optimal intake of whole grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, and fish, along with reduced consumption of red and processed meats and sugar-sweetened beverages, can produce an approximately 80% reduction in the relative risk of premature death compared with always consuming from the highest risk category.
“In conclusion, an optimal intake of whole grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, and fish, as well as reduced consumption of red and processed meats and SSBs, can lead to an important decrease-by w80%-in the relative risk of premature death when compared with intakes always from the highest risk category.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The associations between food group intakes and all-cause mortality observed in the included studies are causal.
- Rests on an assumption: The effects of optimal intakes of different food groups on mortality risk are independent and combine multiplicatively (or additively) to produce the stated approximately 80% reduction.
- Rests on an assumption: The pooled estimates from the included study populations are applicable to the general population to which the conclusion refers.
- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
- Interpretationreasoning
Consequently, the results may appear more accurate than they actually are.
“Hence, our results may reveal higher accuracy than is actually available (140).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [140] Drewnowski, 2001, Diet image: a new perspective on the food-frequency questionnaire, Nutr Rev
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
Individuals with high intakes of whole grains, fruits, vegetables, fish, nuts, or legumes may differ in lifestyle or socioeconomic status from those with lower intakes, which are important confounders.
“People with a high intake of whole grains, fruits, vegetables, fish, nuts, or legumes might have different lifestyles or a different socioeconomic status from those with lower intakes, representing important confounders (141).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [141] Darmon, 2008, Does social class predict diet quality?, Am J Clin Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The 12 food groups were selected because most diet quality indexes or scores are based on them.
“these 12 food groups are the focus because most diet quality indexes or scores are based on them (9,12,13), as previously reported (14)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [9] Schwingshackl, 2015, Diet quality as assessed by the Healthy Eating Index, the Alternate Healthy Eating Index, the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension score, and health outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies, J Acad Nutr Diet source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [12] Schwingshackl, 2015, Adherence to Mediterranean diet and risk of cancer: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies, Cancer Med source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [13] Schwingshackl, 2014, Adherence to Mediterranean diet and risk of cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies, Int J Cancer source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [14] Schwingshackl, 2016, Food groups and risk of chronic disease: a protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis of cohort studies, Syst Rev source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
Most included studies obtained dietary data from food frequency questionnaires, which are subjective approximations of past diet rather than absolute intake measures.
“Dietary information of most of the included studies derives from food frequency questionnaires, which represent a subjective approximation of past dietary behaviors rather than an assessment of absolute intakes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The main results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses restricted to studies with low risk of bias, adjusted for smoking, physical activity, and BMI.
“However, our main results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses including only studies with a low risk of bias [adjusted for important lifestyle factors (smoking, physical activity, and BMI)].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- May combine two claims. 21
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 14
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe nut dose-response relation is nonlinear, with mortality risk decreasing by about 17% up to about 15-20 g/day and no further benefit above that intake.
“Evidence exists of a nonlinear dose-response association (P-nonlinearity , 0.001; n = 13 studies).The risk of all-cause mortality decreased by w17% with increasing intake of nuts up to w15-20 g/d.No benefit was apparent when increasing intake above this value”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe fruit dose-response relation is nonlinear, with mortality risk decreasing by about 10% up to about 250-300 g/day and no further benefit above that intake.
“Evidence exists of a nonlinear doseresponse association (P-nonlinearity , 0.001; n = 13 studies).The risk of all-cause mortality decreased by w10%, with increasing intake of fruit up to w250-300 g/d.No benefit was apparent when increasing intake above this value”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe egg dose-response relation is nonlinear, with mortality risk increasing by about 10% up to about 60 g/day.
“We found evidence of a nonlinear dose-response association (P-nonlinearity , 0.001; n = 3 studies).The risk of all-cause mortality increased by w10% with increasing intake of eggs up to w60 g/d”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe whole-grain dose-response relation is nonlinear, with mortality risk decreasing by 25% as intake increases up to about 100 g/day.
“Although the test for nonlinearity was significant (P-nonlinearity , 0.01; n = 10 studies), a clear dose-response relation was observed.The risk of mortality decreased by 25% with increasing intake of whole grains up to w100 g/d”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe vegetable dose-response relation is nonlinear, with mortality risk decreasing by 11% up to about 300 g/day and no further benefit above that intake.
“Evidence exists of a nonlinear dose-response association (P-nonlinearity , 0.001; n = 14 studies).The risk of mortality decreased by 11% with increasing intake of vegetables up to w300 g/d.No benefit was apparent when increasing intake above this value”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataProcessed meat intake (30 g/d) is positively associated with all-cause mortality, with risk ratios increasing from 1.12 to 1.35 across 1 to 4 servings/day.
“| Processed meat (30 g/d) | 1.00 1.12 (1.10, 1.14) 1.20 (1.17, 1.23) 1.28 (1.23, 1.32) 1.35 (1.28, 1.41) | NA | NA | | | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe processed-meat dose-response relation is nonlinear but shows a clear pattern, with mortality risk increasing by about 60% up to about 200 g/day.
“Although the test for nonlinearity was significant (P-nonlinearity = 0.02; n = 7 studies), a clear dose-response relation was observed.The risk of all-cause mortality increased by w60% with increasing intake of processed meat up to w200 g/d”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataVegetable intake (80 g/d) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality, with risk ratios decreasing to 0.89 at 3 or more servings/day.
“| Vegetables (80 g/d) | 1.00 0.94 (0.93, 0.96) 0.91 (0.89, 0.93) 0.89 (0.87, 0.92) 0.89 (0.87, 0.91) 0.89 (0.87, 0.91) 0.89 (0.86, 0.92) | | | | | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataFish intake (100 g/d) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality, with risk ratios of 0.93 at 1 serving/day and 0.90 at 2 servings/day.
“| Fish (100 g/d) | 1.00 0.93 (0.90, 0.96) 0.90 (0.84, 0.96) | NA | NA | NA | NA | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataRed meat intake (85 g/d) is positively associated with all-cause mortality, with risk ratios of 1.16 at 1 serving/day and 1.35 at 2 servings/day.
“| Red meat (85 g/d) | 1.00 1.16 (1.14, 1.18) 1.35 (1.32, 1.38) | NA | NA | NA | NA | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe dairy dose-response relation is nonlinear: no detrimental effect is observed up to about 750 g/day, while intakes of at least 1000 g/day are associated with 15% higher mortality risk.
“Evidence of a nonlinear doseresponse association was seen between dairy products and allcause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.01; n = 12 studies).No detrimental effects were observed up to an intake of w750 g/d, whereas intakes of #1000 g/d were associated with a 15% increased risk of mortality”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataWhole grain intake (30 g/d) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality in a nonlinear dose-response manner, with risk ratios of 0.91, 0.84, and 0.79 at 1, 2, and 3 servings/day compared with 0 servings/day.
“| Whole grains (30 g/d) | 1.00 0.91 (0.89, 0.92) 0.84 (0.82, 0.86) 0.79 (0.76, 0.83) | NA | NA | NA | | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataNine of the 12 food groups showed an association with all-cause mortality in categorical or continuous dose-response analyses: inverse for whole grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, and fish, and positive for red meat, processed meat, eggs, and sugar-sweetened beverages.
“Nine of the 12 food groups showed an association with all-cause mortality in the categorical or continuous dose-response analyses; an inverse association was present for whole grain, vegetable, fruit, nut, legume, and fish consumption, whereas a positive association was present for red meat, processed meat, egg, and SSB consumption.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataLegume intake (100 g/d) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality, with a risk ratio of 0.90 at 1 serving/day.
“| Legumes (100 g/d) | 1.00 0.90 (0.85, 0.96) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataRefined grain intake (30 g/d) is not associated with all-cause mortality, with risk ratios not significantly different from 1.00 across servings.
“| Refined grains (30 g/d) | 1.00 0.96 (0.92, 1.01) 0.96 (0.90, 1.02) 0.97 (0.91, 1.05) 1.00 (0.92, 1.08) 1.03 (0.92, 1.16) | NA | | | | | |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
May combine two claims.
Findingown dataDairy intake (200 g/d) shows an inverse association at low intakes and a positive association at high intakes, with risk ratios of 0.97 at 1 serving/day and 1.16 at 5 servings/day.
“| Dairy (200 g/d) | 1.00 0.97 (0.95, 0.99) 0.99 (0.97, 1.01) 1.04 (1.01, 1.07) 1.11 (1.05, 1.17) 1.16 (1.08, 1.23) | NA | | | | | |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationPrevious meta-analyses found that red and processed meats were associated with increased all-cause mortality.
“whereas red and processed meats were associated with an increased risk (8).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [8] Wang, 2016, Red and processed meat consumption and mortality: dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies, Public Health Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe systematic review was planned and conducted according to MOOSE standards.
“This systematic review was planned and conducted according to the standards of the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (11).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [11] Stroup, 2000, Meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology: a proposal for reporting. Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) group, JAMA source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationPublication bias and small-study effects were explored with the Egger test and funnel plots when at least 10 studies were available.
“Potential small-study effects such as publication bias were explored using the Egger test and funnel plots (21) if $10 studies were available, as recommended by the Cochrane Handbook (22).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [21] Egger, 1997, Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [22] Higgins JPT, Green S, editors. Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews of interventions version 5.1.0. London: The Cochrane Collaboration; 2011 [updated 2011 Mar]. Available from:. http://www.handbook.cochrane.org.
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrevious meta-analyses found that whole grains, fruits and vegetables, nuts, and fish were associated with lower all-cause mortality.
“Previous meta-analyses showed that whole grains, fruits and vegetables, nuts, and fish were associated with a lower risk of allcause mortality (4-7)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 4 sources checked- cites [4] Wang, 2014, Fruit and vegetable consumption and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [5] Aune, 2016, Whole grain consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all cause and cause specific mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies, BMJ source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [6] Mayhew, 2016, A systematic review and meta-analysis of nut consumption and incident risk of CVD and all-cause mortality, Br J Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [7] Zhao, 2016, Fish consumption and all-cause mortality: a meta-analysis of cohort studies, Eur J Clin Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe various analyses performed-high versus low intake, dose-response meta-analysis, nonlinear dose-response, subgroup, and sensitivity analyses-enabled detection of nonlinear associations and identification of optimal intake with the lowest all-cause mortality risk.
“Furthermore, we performed different types of analyses (high compared with low intake, dose-response metaanalysis, nonlinear dose-response analysis, and subgroup and sensitivity analyses), which allowed us to detect associations where the relation was nonlinear and find an optimal consumption with the lowest risk of all-cause mortality.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductown dataThe literature search was conducted by two authors, and disagreements were resolved by consensus after discussion with another reviewer.
“The literature search was conducted by 2 authors (LS and A-ML); disagreements were resolved by consensus after discussion with another reviewer (HB).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataStudy quality was assessed using the NutriGrade scoring system for each food group.
“Finally, we assessed the quality of the studies using meta-evidence for each food group through use of the NutriGrade scoring system.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataA sensitivity analysis was performed for studies with a low risk of bias.
“Furthermore, we analyzed sensitivity for studies with a low risk of bias.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductown dataThe NutriGrade scoring system was used to evaluate the meta-evidence for the associations between the 12 food groups and all-cause mortality.
“To evaluate the meta-evidence for the association between 12 predefined food groups and all-cause mortality (quality of evidence of meta-analyses was defined as the confidence in the estimate), we applied the NutriGrade scoring system (a maximum of 10 points)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] Schwingshackl, 2016, Perspective: NutriGrade: a scoring system to assess and judge the meta-evidence of randomized controlled trials and cohort studies in nutrition research, Adv Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: Meta-analyses rarely assess the quality of evidence.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationThe meta-analysis has strengths including a published a priori protocol, a comprehensive literature search, and large numbers of prospective studies, deaths, and food groups.
“Among the strengths of the present meta-analysis are the a priori published systematic review protocol (14), the comprehensive literature search, and the large numbers of prospective studies, death cases, and food groups included.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [14] Schwingshackl, 2016, Food groups and risk of chronic disease: a protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis of cohort studies, Syst Rev source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
PremisecitationFoods are directly linked to food-based dietary guidelines.
“Moreover, foods are directly linked to food-based dietary guidelines, which are based on the preventive actions of foods and should be released for each country depending on dietary practices and intake amounts (10).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [10] 2010, Scientific opinion on establishing food-based dietary guidelines, EFSA J
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataData extraction was performed by two reviewers.
“After selecting studies, 2 reviewers (LS and A-ML) extracted the following information”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataThe review was registered in PROSPERO under identifier CRD42016037069.
“The review was registered in PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/; identifier CRD42016037069).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationHigh adherence to diet quality indexes such as the Healthy Eating Index and DASH is associated with a 22% decrease in all-cause mortality risk.
“a recent metaanalysis showed that high adherence to diet quality indexes such as the Healthy Eating Index and Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension were associated with a 22% decrease in the risk of all-cause mortality (9).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [9] Schwingshackl, 2015, Diet quality as assessed by the Healthy Eating Index, the Alternate Healthy Eating Index, the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension score, and health outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies, J Acad Nutr Diet source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Study design and conductcitationRisk of bias was assessed by examining exposure ascertainment, outcome assessment, follow-up duration of at least 10 years, and adjustment for basic and outcome-relevant factors.
“To determine the risk of bias of the prospective studies, we assessed how the studies ascertained exposure, how they assessed outcomes, whether the follow-up was adequate ($10 y), and whether they adjusted the basic model and made any outcomerelevant adjustments (age, sex, education, BMI, smoking, physical activity, or energy intake) (15).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [15] Schwingshackl, 2016, Perspective: NutriGrade: a scoring system to assess and judge the meta-evidence of randomized controlled trials and cohort studies in nutrition research, Adv Nutr source
Not checked in the free run.
The paper relies on this without support.
Up-to-date evidence on the association between all-cause mortality and legumes, eggs, and sugar-sweetened beverages had not been synthesized before this review.
“Up-to-date evidence about the association of all-cause mortality risk with consumption of legumes, eggs, and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) has not been synthesized.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Meta-analyses rarely assess the quality of evidence.
“Moreover, metaanalyses rarely assess the quality of evidence.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The associations between food group intakes and all-cause mortality observed in the included studies are causal.
“In conclusion, an optimal intake of whole grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, and fish, as well as reduced consumption of red and processed meats and SSBs, can lead to an important decrease-by w80%-in the relative risk of premature death when compared with intakes always from the highest risk category.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The effects of optimal intakes of different food groups on mortality risk are independent and combine multiplicatively (or additively) to produce the stated approximately 80% reduction.
“In conclusion, an optimal intake of whole grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, and fish, as well as reduced consumption of red and processed meats and SSBs, can lead to an important decrease-by w80%-in the relative risk of premature death when compared with intakes always from the highest risk category.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The pooled estimates from the included study populations are applicable to the general population to which the conclusion refers.
“In conclusion, an optimal intake of whole grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, legumes, and fish, as well as reduced consumption of red and processed meats and SSBs, can lead to an important decrease-by w80%-in the relative risk of premature death when compared with intakes always from the highest risk category.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Food frequency questionnaire data are sufficiently valid to rank individuals by usual dietary intake for the purpose of this meta-analysis.
“Dietary information of most of the included studies derives from food frequency questionnaires, which represent a subjective approximation of past dietary behaviors rather than an assessment of absolute intakes.”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Some recent meta-analyses suggest association between red meat ingestion and adverse changes to traditional CVD risk factors is not as strong, despite relatively consistent association with hard endpoints like heart attack, stroke, mortality, and CVD development.
“However, some recent meta-analyses suggest the association between red meat ingestion and adverse changes to traditional CVD risk factors is not as strong, 28 despite the relatively consistent association with hard endpoints like heart attack, stroke, mortality, and CVD development.[29][30][31][32][33]”
From Impact of chronic dietary red meat, white meat, or non-meat protein on trimethylamine N-oxide metabolism and renal excretion in healthy men and women (2019) · cites this paper as [29]
A variety of eating patterns are acceptable for the management of diabetes.
“A variety of eating patterns are acceptable for the management of diabetes (70,97,131,132).”
From 5. Facilitating Positive Health Behaviors and Well-being to Improve Health Outcomes:<i>Standards of Care in Diabetes—2023</i> (2023) · cites this paper as [131]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Association count disagrees with the food groups listed
MinorThe discussion says nine food groups showed an association, but its own list names six with inverse associations and four with positive associations-a total of ten.
“Nine of the 12 food groups showed an association with all-cause mortality in the categorical or continuous dose-response analyses”
“an inverse association was present for whole grain, vegetable, fruit, nut, legume, and fish consumption, whereas a positive association was present for red meat, processed meat, egg, and SSB consumption.”
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- Authors
- Schwingshackl, L., Schwedhelm, C., Hoffmann, G., Lampousi, A.-M., Knüppel, S., Iqbal, K., Bechthold, A., Schlesinger, S., & Boeing, H.
- Affiliations
- German Institute of Human Nutrition (DE)
- University of Vienna (AT)
- Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Schwingshackl, Lukas
- ORCID
- Venue
- The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-06
- Volume
- 105
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 1462-1473
- ISSN
- 0002-9165 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2609492761
- Cited by
- 600
- References
- 142
- Citations by year
- 2026: 52 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 62 · 2023: 66 · 2022: 78 · 2021: 89 · 2020: 54 · 2019: 72 · 2018: 54 · 2017: 11
- FWCI
- 8.49
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- American Journal of Clinical Nutrition (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Informationszentrum Lebenswissenschaften (ZB MED) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Food Science › Nutrition, Health, and Society Studies
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- all-cause mortality, food groups, whole grains, refined grains, vegetables, fruits, nuts, Fabaceae, eggs, dairy products, fish, red meat, processed meat, sugar-sweetened beverages, diet and mortality, dose-response relationship, nonlinear dose-response relationship, dietary recommendations
- MeSH terms
- Cause of Death, Diet, Feeding Behavior, Humans, Risk Factors, Risk Reduction Behavior
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Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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