Cited by 2,889COVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 Clinical Research StudiesSARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research

The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19)—China, 2020

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CDC Weekly, China, The Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team·2020·China CDC Weekly

Abstract

Background: An outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China has spread quickly nationwide.Here, we report results of a descriptive, exploratory analysis of all cases diagnosed as of February 11, 2020.Methods: All COVID-19 cases reported through February 11, 2020 were extracted from China's Infectious Disease Information System.Analyses included the following: 1) summary of patient characteristics; 2) examination of age distributions and sex ratios; 3) calculation of case fatality and mortality rates; 4) geo-temporal analysis of viral spread; 5) epidemiological curve construction; and 6) subgroup analysis.Results: A total of 72,314 patient records-44,672 (61.8%) confirmed cases, 16,186 (22.4%) suspected cases, 10,567 (14.6%) clinically diagnosed cases (Hubei Province only), and 889 asymptomatic cases (1.2%)-contributed data for the analysis.Among confirmed cases, most were aged 30-79 years (86.6%),diagnosed in Hubei (74.7%), and considered mild (80.9%).A total of 1,023 deaths occurred among confirmed cases for an overall case fatality rate of 2.3%.The COVID-19 spread outward from Hubei Province sometime after December 2019, and by February 11, 2020, 1,386 counties across all 31 provinces were affected.The epidemic curve of onset of symptoms peaked around January 23-26, then began to decline leading up to February 11.A total of 1,716 health workers have become infected and 5 have died (0.3%).Conclusions: COVID-19 epidemic has spread very quickly taking only 30 days to expand from Hubei to the rest of Mainland China.With many people returning from a long holiday, China needs to prepare for the possible rebound of the epidemic.

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  1. World Health Organization. Statement on the second meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/news- room/detail/30-01-2020-statement-on-the-second-meeting-of-the- international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regar ding-the-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov). [2020-01-30]. · DOI

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Authors
CDC Weekly, C., & The Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team
Corresponding author
The Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team
Venue
China CDC Weekly
Published
2020
Volume
2
Issue
8
Pages
113-122
ISSN
2096-7071 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3035011439
Cited by
2,889
References
10
Citations by year
2026: 20 · 2025: 53 · 2024: 134 · 2023: 249 · 2022: 413 · 2021: 695 · 2020: 1321 · 2019: 1 · 2013: 2
FWCI
106.59
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by
Locations
China CDC Weekly (publishedVersion, cc-by)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Modeling and Simulation › COVID-19 epidemiological studies
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
Keywords
COVID-19 pandemic, SARS-CoV-2, outbreak epidemiology, Wuhan, Hubei Province, case fatality rate, mortality, age and sex distribution, asymptomatic cases, epidemic curve, healthcare worker infection, epidemic rebound

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