The Science of Prognosis in Psychiatry: A Review

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Prognosis Research Strategy (PROGRESS) 3: Prognostic Model Research

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Prognosis and prognostic research: validating a prognostic model

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Prognosis and prognostic research: what, why, and how?

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Prediction models need appropriate internal, internal-external, and external validation

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Risk prediction models: II. External validation, model updating, and impact assessment

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Net benefit approaches to the evaluation of prediction models, molecular markers, and diagnostic tests

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Why has it taken so long for biological psychiatry to develop clinical tests and what to do about it?

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Machine Learning Approaches for Clinical Psychology and Psychiatry

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Risk prediction models: I. Development, internal validation, and assessing the incremental value of a new (bio)marker

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Prognosis Research Strategy (PROGRESS) 2: Prognostic Factor Research

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Translating Clinical Research into Clinical Practice: Impact of Using Prediction Rules To Make Decisions

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Ten simple rules for conducting umbrella reviews

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How to develop a more accurate risk prediction model when there are few events

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Sample size considerations for the external validation of a multivariable prognostic model: A resampling study

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Prognosis research strategy (PROGRESS) 1: A framework for researching clinical outcomes

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A new framework to enhance the interpretation of external validation studies of clinical prediction models

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Comorbid Depressive and Anxiety Disorders in 509 Individuals With an At-Risk Mental State: Impact on Psychopathology and Transition to Psychosis

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An Individualized Risk Calculator for Research in Prodromal Psychosis

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What causes psychosis? An umbrella review of risk and protective factors

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Adequate sample size for developing prediction models is not simply related to events per variable

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Prognosis research strategy (PROGRESS) 4: Stratified medicine research

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Heterogeneity of Psychosis Risk Within Individuals at Clinical High Risk: A Meta-analytical Stratification

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Commentary: Prognostic models: clinically useful or quickly forgotten?

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Disorder, not just state of risk: Meta-analysis of functioning and quality of life in people at high risk of psychosis

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A brief history of pathology

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Deconstructing Pretest Risk Enrichment to Optimize Prediction of Psychosis in Individuals at Clinical High Risk

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Diagnostic and Prognostic Significance of Brief Limited Intermittent Psychotic Symptoms (BLIPS) in Individuals at Ultra High Risk

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Framework for the impact analysis and implementation of Clinical Prediction Rules (CPRs)

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Why the clinical utility of diagnostic categories in psychiatry is intrinsically limited and how we can use new approaches to complement them

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Transdiagnostic Risk Calculator for the Automatic Detection of Individuals at Risk and the Prediction of Psychosis: Second Replication in an Independent National Health Service Trust

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Towards understanding and predicting suicidality in women: biomarkers and clinical risk assessment

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Bias and Efficiency Loss Due to Categorizing an Explanatory Variable

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Making It Easy to Do It Right

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Risk Prediction Models in Psychiatry

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Predicting the onset of psychosis in patients at clinical high risk: practical guide to probabilistic prognostic reasoning

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Knowledge for Precision Medicine

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Identification of low risk of violent crime in severe mental illness with a clinical prediction tool (Oxford Mental Illness and Violence tool [OxMIV]): a derivation and validation study

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Meta-analytical prognostic accuracy of the Comprehensive Assessment of at Risk Mental States (CAARMS): The need for refined prediction

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Forty years of structural imaging in psychosis: promises and truth

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Why ultra high risk criteria for psychosis prediction do not work well outside clinical samples and what to do about it

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Evidence-Based Pragmatic Psychiatry—A Call to Action

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Development and validation of a prediction algorithm for the onset of common mental disorders in a working population

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Bigger Data, Harder Questions—Opportunities Throughout Mental Health Care

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Intensive community outreach for those at ultra high risk of psychosis: dilution, not solution

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Development and validation of a risk prediction algorithm for the recurrence of suicidal ideation among general population with low mood

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Prognostic and treatment-predictive factors—is there a difference?

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Fact or fiction: reducing the proportion and impact of false positives

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A Case of a College Student Presenting With Mild Mental Health Problems

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External validation of the international risk prediction algorithm for major depressive episode in the US general population: the PredictD-US study

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Development and external validation of a prediction rule for an unfavorable course of late-life depression: A multicenter cohort study

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Prediction of Primary Care Depression Outcomes at Six Months: Validation of DOC-6 ©

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