The DOI matches its Crossref record; 132 of the 132 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Decision‐making competence: External validation through an individual‐differences approach
Abstract
This study asks to what extent (a) individuals show consistent performance differences across typical behavioral decision‐making tasks, and (b) how those differences correlate with plausible real‐world correlates of good decision making. Seven tasks, chosen to span the domain of decision‐making skills, were administered to participants in an ongoing longitudinal study providing extensive social, psychological, and behavioral measures. Performance scores on individual tasks generally showed small, positive inter‐task correlations. An aggregate measure of decision‐making competence (DMC) was appropriately correlated with plausible sources, concomitants, and outcomes of good decision making, suggesting the underlying construct's external validity. Higher DMC scores were associated with more intact social environments, more constructive cognitive styles, and fewer ‘maladaptive’ risk behaviors. In each case, DMC adds to the predictive validity of general measures of cognitive ability. These results suggest that poor decision making on common laboratory tasks is related to real‐world antecedents and consequences of poor decision making. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1914185 · Cited by 48,524
Coefficient Alpha and the Internal Structure of Tests
Cronbach, L. J. (1951) · Psychometrika · doi:10.1007/bf02310555 · Cited by 43,931
(1975) · PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation) · Cited by 36,737
Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1988) · Decision, Probability and Utility · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511609220.014 · Cited by 32,474
(1980) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 25,810
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1975) · Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making · doi:10.1007/978-94-010-1834-0_8 · Cited by 22,650
The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1981) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.7455683 · Cited by 18,497
Convergent and discriminant validation by the multitrait-multimethod matrix.
Campbell, D. T., & Fiske, D. W. (1959) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0046016 · Cited by 17,116
Construct validity in psychological tests.
Cronbach, L. J., & Meehl, P. E. (1955) · Psychological Bulletin · doi:10.1037/h0040957 · Cited by 11,195
In a Different Voice: Psychological Theory and Women's Development.
Johnson, M. M., & Gilligan, C. (1983) · Contemporary Sociology · doi:10.2307/2067520 · Cited by 11,111
Cited by
Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making
Frederick, S. (2005) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/089533005775196732 · Cited by 5,256
Data collection in a flat world: the strengths and weaknesses of Mechanical Turk samples
Goodman, J. K., Cryder, C. E., & Cheema, A. (2013) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.1753 · Cited by 2,242
Are Risk Aversion and Impatience Related to Cognitive Ability?
Dohmen, T., Falk, A., Huffman, D., & Sunde, U. (2010) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.100.3.1238 · Cited by 1,332
Reyna, V. F., & Farley, F. (2006) · Psychological Science in the Public Interest · doi:10.1111/j.1529-1006.2006.00026.x · Cited by 1,244
The Cognitive Reflection Test as a predictor of performance on heuristics-and-biases tasks
Toplak, M. E., West, R. F., & Stanovich, K. E. (2011) · Memory & Cognition · doi:10.3758/s13421-011-0104-1 · Cited by 1,047
Individual differences in adult decision-making competence.
Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A. M., & Fischhoff, B. (2007) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.92.5.938 · Cited by 906
Self-citationOn the relative independence of thinking biases and cognitive ability
Stanovich, K. E., & West, R. F. (2008) · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · doi:10.1037/0022-3514.94.4.672 · Cited by 840
Consequences of Age-Related Cognitive Declines
Salthouse, T. (2012) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev-psych-120710-100328 · Cited by 818
Defining and Measuring Financial Literacy
Hung, A., Parker, A. M., & Yoong, J. (2009) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.1498674 · Cited by 835
Self-citationMindful Judgment and Decision Making
Weber, E. U., & Johnson, E. J. (2009) · Annual Review of Psychology · doi:10.1146/annurev.psych.60.110707.163633 · Cited by 745
Measuring Risk Literacy: The Berlin Numeracy Test
Cokely, E. T., Galesic, M., Schulz, E., Ghazal, S., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2012) · Judgment and Decision Making · doi:10.1017/s1930297500001819 · Cited by 745
WHO IS ‘BEHAVIORAL’? COGNITIVE ABILITY AND ANOMALOUS PREFERENCES
Benjamin, D. J., Brown, S. A., & Shapiro, J. M. (2013) · Journal of the European Economic Association · doi:10.1111/jeea.12055 · Cited by 690
A dual-process approach to health risk decision making: The prototype willingness model
Gerrard, M., Gibbons, F. X., Houlihan, A. E., Stock, M. L., & Pomery, E. A. (2008) · Developmental Review · doi:10.1016/j.dr.2007.10.001 · Cited by 567
West, R. F., Toplak, M. E., & Stanovich, K. E. (2008) · Journal of Educational Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0012842 · Cited by 416
Adolescents’ risk-taking behavior is driven by tolerance to ambiguity
Tymula, A., Rosenberg Belmaker, L. A., Roy, A. K., Ruderman, L., Manson, K., Glimcher, P. W., & Levy, I. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1207144109 · Cited by 387
Debiasing Decisions: Improved Decision Making With a Single Training Intervention
Morewedge, C. K., Yoon, H., Scopelliti, I., Symborski, C. W., Korris, J. H., & Kassam, K. S. (2015) · Policy Insights from the Behavioral and Brain Sciences · doi:10.1177/2372732215600886 · Cited by 384
Delay discounting and intelligence: A meta-analysis
Shamosh, N. A., & Gray, J. R. (2008) · Intelligence · doi:10.1016/j.intell.2007.09.004 · Cited by 373
Power and overconfident decision-making
Fast, N. J., Sivanathan, N., Mayer, N. D., & Galinsky, A. D. (2012) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/j.obhdp.2011.11.009 · Cited by 351
Understanding Pensions: Cognitive Function, Numerical Ability and Retirement Saving*
Banks, J., & Oldfield, Z. (2007) · Fiscal Studies · doi:10.1111/j.1475-5890.2007.00052.x · Cited by 345
Toplak, M. E., Sorge, G. B., Benoit, A., West, R. F., & Stanovich, K. E. (2010) · Clinical Psychology Review · doi:10.1016/j.cpr.2010.04.002 · Cited by 326
Self–other decision making and loss aversion
Polman, E. (2012) · Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes · doi:10.1016/j.obhdp.2012.06.005 · Cited by 276
Explaining adult age differences in decision‐making competence
Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A. M., & Fischhoff, B. (2012) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.712 · Cited by 264
Self-citationDeveloping a tool for measuring the decision-making competence of older adults.
Finucane, M. L., & Gullion, C. M. (2010) · Psychology and Aging · doi:10.1037/a0019106 · Cited by 202
Berthet, V. (2022) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2021.802439 · Cited by 191
Toplak, M. E., West, R. F., & Stanovich, K. E. (2014) · Developmental Psychology · doi:10.1037/a0034910 · Cited by 170
Stanovich, K. E. (2012) · The Oxford Handbook of Thinking and Reasoning · doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199734689.013.0022 · Cited by 169
Correlations of cognitive reflection with judgments and choices
Campitelli, G., & Labollita, M. (2010) · Judgment and Decision Making · doi:10.1017/s1930297500001066 · Cited by 166
Executive functions in decision making: An individual differences approach
Del Missier, F., Mäntylä, T., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2010) · Thinking & Reasoning · doi:10.1080/13546781003630117 · Cited by 155
The Bias That Divides Us: The Science and Politics of Myside Thinking
Stanovich, K. E. (2021) · doi:10.7551/mitpress/13367.001.0001 · Cited by 152
Inappropriate Confidence and Retirement Planning: Four Studies with a National Sample
Parker, A. M., de Bruin, W. B., Yoong, J., & Willis, R. (2012) · Journal of Behavioral Decision Making · doi:10.1002/bdm.745 · Cited by 152
Self-citationDecision making in adults with ADHD
Mäntylä, T., Still, J., Gullberg, S., & Del Missier, F. (2012) · Journal of Attention Disorders · doi:10.1177/1087054709360494 · Cited by 84
Decision-Making Competence: More Than Intelligence?
Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A. M., & Fischhoff, B. (2020) · Current Directions in Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/0963721420901592 · Cited by 78
Self-citationStanovich, K. E., West, R. F., & Toplak, M. E. (2011) · The Cambridge Handbook of Intelligence · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511977244.040 · Cited by 77
Decision-making in suicidal behavior: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Sastre-Buades, A., Alacreu-Crespo, A., Courtet, P., Baca-Garcia, E., & Barrigon, M. L. (2021) · Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.neubiorev.2021.10.005 · Cited by 64
Adolescents' Perceived Risk of Dying
Fischhoff, B., Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A. M., Millstein, S. G., & Halpern-Felsher, B. L. (2010) · Journal of Adolescent Health · doi:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2009.06.026 · Cited by 50
Self-citationDesign Foundations for AI Assisted Decision Making: A Self Determination Theory Approach
De Vreede, T., Raghavan, M., & De Vreede, G.-J. (2021) · Proceedings of the Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences · doi:10.24251/hicss.2021.019 · Cited by 42
Mixed Frames and Risky Decision-Making
Peng, J., Zhang, J., Sun, H., Zeng, Z., Mai, Y., & Miao, D. (2017) · Psychological Reports · doi:10.1177/0033294117717732 · Cited by 7
Körner, R., Schütz, A., & Petersen, L.-E. (2024) · PLOS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0297850
Metadata
- Authors
- Parker, A. M., & Fischhoff, B.
- Venue
- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2005-01
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 1-27
- ISSN
- 0894-3257 (ISSN-L)
- 1099-0771
- OpenAlex
- W1987622720
- Cited by
- 437
- References
- 132
- FWCI
- 10.64
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.