Estrogen and thrombosis: a bench to bedside review
Open accessAbstract
Estrogen, in the clinical setting is used primarily for contraception and hormone replacement therapy. It has been well established that estrogen increases the risk of both arterial and venous thrombosis. While estrogen is known to induce a prothrombotic milieu through various effects on the hemostatic pathways, the exact molecular mechanism leading to those effects is not known. The most common clinical presentation of estrogen-related thrombosis is venous thromboembolism (VTE) of the deep veins of the legs or pulmonary vessels, usually within the first few months of use. Estrogen has also been associated with increased risk of "unusual site" thromboses, as well as arterial thrombosis. Women at high-risk of thrombosis need careful evaluation and counseling for contraception, pregnancy, menopausal hormonal therapy and other estrogen-related conditions or treatments in order to lower the risk of thromboses. We review the most recent evidence on management of high-estrogen states in women at high-risk of thrombosis, as well as emerging data on unique populations such as transgender women. More studies are needed to better understand the pathophysiology of hormone-related thrombosis, as well as more comprehensive techniques to stratify risks for thrombosis so as to enable tailoring of recommendations for each individual.
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Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This narrative review summarizes mechanisms, clinical presentations, and management of estrogen-associated arterial and venous thrombosis across contraception, menopausal hormone therapy, pregnancy, and special populations including transgender women. Estrogen increases thrombotic risk in a dose-, route-, progestogen-, and context-dependent manner, but the exact molecular mechanism remains unclear.
Key findings
- Combined oral contraceptive (CHC) use raises VTE risk: absolute VTE risk is reported at 0.19–0.37 per 1,000 woman-years in non-users versus 0.55–1.41 per 1,000 woman-years in users, with higher risk among users of third- and fourth-generation progestogens.
- In postmenopausal women, oral estrogen therapy was associated with higher risk of first VTE (RR 1.63; 95% CI 1.40–1.90) and DVT (RR 2.09; 95% CI 1.35–3.23) compared with transdermal estrogen, though the evidence level is low because studies were observational.
- The Women’s Health Initiative found increased VTE risk with menopausal hormone therapy (HR 2.06; 95% CI 1.6–2.7), with notably higher risk in women with prior thromboembolic event (HR 3.9) and a 6-fold increase in VTE in women with factor V Leiden on CHC (HR 6.7; 95% CI 3.1–14.5).
- In transgender women, estrogen use was associated with higher VTE incidence than in cisgender men (adjusted HR 3.2; 95% CI 1.5–6.5) and cisgender women (adjusted HR 2.5; 95% CI 1.2–5.0), with risk increasing over duration of use; ischemic stroke risk was also elevated after 6 years.
Methods
- Narrative “bench to bedside” review; no primary data collection or systematic search strategy is described.
- Synthesizes animal and human studies, randomized trials, observational studies, meta-analyses, and clinical guidelines on estrogen physiology, hemostatic mechanisms, thrombosis presentation, and management.
- Main analysis is qualitative synthesis, including proposed management algorithms for contraception and pregnancy in high-risk women and discussion of special populations such as antiphospholipid antibodies, inherited thrombophilias, myeloproliferative neoplasms, and transgender women.
Limitations
- The paper states that the exact molecular mechanism of estrogen-induced thrombosis remains unclear and that more studies are needed to understand hormone-related thrombosis pathophysiology and to develop comprehensive risk-stratification tools.
- The paper repeatedly notes insufficient or conflicting data, including for platelet effects, clinical implications of fibrinolysis changes, optimal route of estrogen administration, management of antiphospholipid antibodies without thrombosis, myeloproliferative neoplasms, and anticoagulation in transgender women; many recommendations rest on low-certainty or observational evidence.
- Evident from the text: as a narrative review, it lacks a systematic search and formal quality assessment, and it relies heavily on observational studies, surrogate endpoints, and extrapolation across populations.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 98 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingcitation
Women on estrogen-containing therapy have a significantly higher risk of retinal vein occlusion compared to women who do not use them.
“Using a nationwide database study, we found a significantly higher risk of retinal vein occlusion in women on estrogen-containing therapy as compared to women who do not use them [94].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [94] Citla Sridhar D, Gollamudi J, Cao S, Fu P, Nayak L, Incidence of retinal vein occlusion in women of reproductive age on estrogen. 2019, Haemophilia.
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingown data
In a nationwide database, increased risk of retinal vein occlusion in patients on CHCs was highest within the first 30 days of initiation.
“We used a nation-wide data base and reported an increased risk of RVO in patients on CHCs that was highest within the first 30 days of initiation [94].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [94] Citla Sridhar D, Gollamudi J, Cao S, Fu P, Nayak L, Incidence of retinal vein occlusion in women of reproductive age on estrogen. 2019, Haemophilia.
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The increased risk of estrogen-associated thrombosis depends on both the dose and the mode of delivery of the hormone.
“The increased risk is dependent both on the dose and well as the mode of delivery of the hormone, and studies identify alterations in numerous aspects of the hemostatic and fibrinolytic pathways that contribute to the generation of a prothrombotic milieu.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [82] DeLoughery TG, Estrogen and thrombosis: controversies and common sense. Reviews in Endocrine and Metabolic Disorders, 2011 12(2): p. 77– 84. 21559819 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [86] Tepper NK,, Nonoral combined hormonal contraceptives and thromboembolism: a systematic review. Contraception, 2017 95(2): p. 130– 139. 27771476 PMC11025291 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [89] Mohammed K,, Oral vs Transdermal Estrogen Therapy and Vascular Events: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015 100(11): p. 4012– 20. 26544651 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Estrogen increases factor VII levels in postmenopausal women.
“Another study in post-menopausal women showed that estrogen increased factor VII levels, and overall resulted in a pro-thrombotic state [64].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [64] Cosman F,, Short-term effects of estrogen, tamoxifen and raloxifene on hemostasis: a randomized-controlled study and review of the literature. Thromb Res, 2005 116(1): p. 1– 13. 15850603 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Estrogen is associated with increased risk of unusual site thromboses.
“Estrogen has also been associated with increased risk of “unusual site” thromboses, as well as arterial thrombosis.”
- Also stated in: § Venous Thrombosis · plain
“CHC use has also been associated with “unusual” sites of thrombosis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [91] Dentali F, Crowther M, and Ageno W, Thrombophilic abnormalities, oral contraceptives, and risk of cerebral vein thrombosis: a meta-analysis. Blood, 2006 107(7): p. 2766– 73. 16397131 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [92] Amoozegar F,, Hormonal Contraceptives and Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Front Neurol, 2015 6. PMC4313700 25699010 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [94] Citla Sridhar D, Gollamudi J, Cao S, Fu P, Nayak L, Incidence of retinal vein occlusion in women of reproductive age on estrogen. 2019, Haemophilia.
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Venous Thrombosis · plain
- Interpretationnone given
The exact molecular mechanism leading to estrogen-induced prothrombotic effects is not known.
“While estrogen is known to induce a prothrombotic milieu through various effects on the hemostatic pathways, the exact molecular mechanism leading to those effects is not known.”
- Also stated in: § Mechanisms · plain
“Although estrogen is known to affect multiple hemostatic variables, the exact molecular mechanism of estrogen-induced thrombosis remains unclear.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Mechanisms · plain
- Premisecitation
The most common clinical presentation of estrogen-related thrombosis is venous thromboembolism of the deep veins of the legs or pulmonary vessels, usually within the first few months of use.
“The most common clinical presentation of estrogen-related thrombosis is venous thromboembolism (VTE) of the deep veins of the legs or pulmonary vessels, usually within the first few months of use.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [100] Venous thromboembolic disease and combined oral contraceptives: results of international multicentre case-control study. World Health Organization Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular Disease and Steroid Hormone Contraception. Lancet, 1995 346(8990): p. 1575– 82. 7500748 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [101] Bloemenkamp KW,, Higher risk of venous thrombosis during early use of oral contraceptives in women with inherited clotting defects. Arch Intern Med, 2000 160(1): p. 49– 52. 10632304 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Estrogen is associated with increased risk of arterial thrombosis.
“Estrogen has also been associated with increased risk of “unusual site” thromboses, as well as arterial thrombosis.”
- Also stated in: § Arterial Thrombosis · hedged
“In summary, the most recent and compelling data suggests an increased risk of MI and stroke due to estrogen, however, the absolute risk remains low.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [97] Rossouw JE,, Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results From the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. Jama, 2002 288(3): p. 321– 33. 12117397 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [98] Lidegaard O,, Thrombotic stroke and myocardial infarction with hormonal contraception. N Engl J Med, 2012 366(24): p. 2257– 66. 22693997 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [99] Roach RE,, Combined oral contraceptives: the risk of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2015(8): p. Cd011054. 26310586 PMC6494192
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Arterial Thrombosis · hedged
- Interpretationnone given
Estrogen induces a prothrombotic milieu through various effects on the hemostatic pathways.
“While estrogen is known to induce a prothrombotic milieu through various effects on the hemostatic pathways, the exact molecular mechanism leading to those effects is not known.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationcitation
Human studies clearly indicate that estrogen treatment results in a prothrombotic state.
“Human studies clearly indicate that estrogen treatment results in a prothrombotic state.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [62] Middeldorp S,, Effects on coagulation of levonorgestrel- and desogestrel-containing low dose oral contraceptives: a cross-over study. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 4– 8. 10928461
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [63] Tans G,, A randomized cross-over study on the effects of levonorgestreland desogestrel-containing oral contraceptives on the anticoagulant pathways. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 15– 21. 10928463 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [64] Cosman F,, Short-term effects of estrogen, tamoxifen and raloxifene on hemostasis: a randomized-controlled study and review of the literature. Thromb Res, 2005 116(1): p. 1– 13. 15850603 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The absolute risk of retinal vein occlusion remains very low due to the rarity of these events.
“Similarly, the absolute risk remains very low due to the rarity of these events.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Estrogens have a divergent effect on inflammation and immune modulation based on the dose and duration of treatment.
“Estrogens have a divergent effect on inflammation and immune modulation [74, 75] based on the dose and duration of treatment of the drug.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [74] Straub RH, The complex role of estrogens in inflammation. Endocr Rev, 2007 28(5): p. 521– 74. 17640948 source
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- cites [75] Esmon C, Inflammation and thrombosis. Journal of Thrombosis and haemostasis, 2003 1(7): p. 1343– 1348. 12871267 source
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- Interpretationcitation
It is unclear whether the effect of CHCs on fibrinolysis has clinical implications on the risk of VTE secondary to estrogen therapy.
“Presently, it is unclear if this effect on fibrinolysis has clinical implications on the risk of VTE secondary to estrogen therapy [68]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [68] Tchaikovski SN and Rosing J, Mechanisms of estrogen-induced venous thromboembolism. Thromb Res, 2010 126(1): p. 5– 11. 20163835 source
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- Premisecitation
CHC users have significantly higher APC resistance compared to non-CHC users.
“Thus, CHC users are noted to have significantly higher APC resistance, when compared to non CHC users [81].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [81] Rosing J,, Oral contraceptives and venous thrombosis: different sensitivities to activated protein C in women using second- and third-generation oral contraceptives. Br J Haematol, 1997 97(1): p. 233– 8. 9136971 source
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- Premisecitation
CHC use is associated with an increased risk of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis, with OR 5.59 (95% CI 3.95-7.91) and 7.59 (95% CI 3.82-15.09) in two separate meta-analyses.
“Multiple studies show an increase in the risk of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis, with an OR of 5.59 (95% CI 3.95 – 7.91) and 7.59 (95% CI 3.82—15.09) in two separate meta-analyses [91, 92].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [91] Dentali F, Crowther M, and Ageno W, Thrombophilic abnormalities, oral contraceptives, and risk of cerebral vein thrombosis: a meta-analysis. Blood, 2006 107(7): p. 2766– 73. 16397131 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [92] Amoozegar F,, Hormonal Contraceptives and Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Front Neurol, 2015 6. PMC4313700 25699010 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
The presently available data is insufficient to determine whether one route of administration of estrogen generates a higher thrombotic risk.
“In summary, the presently available data is insufficient to determine whether one route of administration of estrogen generates a higher thrombotic risk.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
All these hemostatic changes tilt the hemostatic balance to a prothrombotic state, reflected in global tests of hemostasis.
“Taken together, all these changes tilt the ‘hemostatic balance’ to a prothrombotic state which is reflected in global tests of hemostasis.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The absolute risk of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis remains very low, estimated around 2 per 100,000.
“However, the absolute risk remains very low, estimated around 2 per 100,000.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [91] Dentali F, Crowther M, and Ageno W, Thrombophilic abnormalities, oral contraceptives, and risk of cerebral vein thrombosis: a meta-analysis. Blood, 2006 107(7): p. 2766– 73. 16397131 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [92] Amoozegar F,, Hormonal Contraceptives and Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Risk: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Front Neurol, 2015 6. PMC4313700 25699010 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Third and fourth generation progesterones have a higher risk of VTE compared to other progesterones in CHCs with similar estrogen doses.
“Table 2 lists recent meta-analyses that compare the risk of VTE among CHCs with similar estrogen doses, but different progesterones and indicate that third and fourth generation progesterones have a higher risk of VTE.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [83] de Bastos M,, Combined oral contraceptives: venous thrombosis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2014(3): p. Cd010813. 24590565 PMC10637279
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [84] Effect of different progestagens in low oestrogen oral contraceptives on venous thromboembolic disease. World Health Organization Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular Disease and Steroid Hormone Contraception. Lancet, 1995 346(8990): p. 1582– 8. 7500749 source
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- Premisecitation
A study of more than a million women aged 15 to 49 by Lidegard et al showed an increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction associated with use of CHC, estimated at a factor of 0.9 to 2.3 based on the estrogen dose and component.
“In 2012, a study of more than a million women aged 15 to 49 by Lidegard et al showed an increased risk of stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) associated with use of CHC, estimated at a factor of 0.9 to 2.3 based on the estrogen dose and component.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [98] Lidegaard O,, Thrombotic stroke and myocardial infarction with hormonal contraception. N Engl J Med, 2012 366(24): p. 2257– 66. 22693997 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
CHC use causes a pronounced decrease in total and free Protein S antigen, more significantly with third-generation progesterone-containing CHCs.
“Simultaneously, a pronounced decrease in levels of Protein S antigen (total and free) has been noted with CHC use, more significantly with use of 3rd generation progesterone containing CHCs[63, 65, 66] and in post-menopausal women [64].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [63] Tans G,, A randomized cross-over study on the effects of levonorgestreland desogestrel-containing oral contraceptives on the anticoagulant pathways. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 15– 21. 10928463 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [65] Kemmeren JM,, Effect of second- and third-generation oral contraceptives on the protein C system in the absence or presence of the factor VLeiden mutation: a randomized trial. Blood, 2004 103(3): p. 927– 33. 14551147 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [66] Koenen RR,, Effect of oral contraceptives on the anticoagulant activity of protein S in plasma. Thromb Haemost, 2005 93(5): p. 853– 9. 15886799 source
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- Premisecitation
CHC use decreases plasma levels of tissue factor pathway inhibitor and antithrombin.
“Studies of the anticoagulant pathway show a decrease in plasma levels of naturally occurring inhibitors of hemostasis such as tissue factor pathway inhibitor and antithrombin with CHC use [63, 64].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [63] Tans G,, A randomized cross-over study on the effects of levonorgestreland desogestrel-containing oral contraceptives on the anticoagulant pathways. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 15– 21. 10928463 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [64] Cosman F,, Short-term effects of estrogen, tamoxifen and raloxifene on hemostasis: a randomized-controlled study and review of the literature. Thromb Res, 2005 116(1): p. 1– 13. 15850603 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Higher doses of estrogen are associated with increased risk of thrombosis.
“Large meta-analysis in recent years have established clearly that higher doses of estrogen are associated with increased risk of thrombosis (Table I)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [82] DeLoughery TG, Estrogen and thrombosis: controversies and common sense. Reviews in Endocrine and Metabolic Disorders, 2011 12(2): p. 77– 84. 21559819 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The Women's Health Initiative randomized clinical trial showed an increased risk of MI and cardiovascular death in women on MHT (HR 1.29, 95% CI, 1.02-1.63).
“That same year, data from the Women’s Health Initiative randomized clinical trial showed an increased risk of MI and cardiovascular death in women on MHT (HR 1.29, 95% CI, 1.02–1.63) [97].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [97] Rossouw JE,, Risks and benefits of estrogen plus progestin in healthy postmenopausal women: principal results From the Women’s Health Initiative randomized controlled trial. Jama, 2002 288(3): p. 321– 33. 12117397 source
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- Study design and conductcitation
The level of evidence for the comparison of oral versus transdermal estrogen and VTE/DVT risk is low because the studies were observational and randomized control studies are not available.
“The level of evidence is low, since these were only observational studies and randomized control studies are not available [89].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [89] Mohammed K,, Oral vs Transdermal Estrogen Therapy and Vascular Events: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015 100(11): p. 4012– 20. 26544651 source
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- Premisecitation
Data from the population-based case-control Leiden Thrombophilia Study showed that the risk of developing VTE was greatest in the first 6 months of CHC use.
“Data from the population-based case-control Leiden Thrombophilia Study showed that the risk of developing VTE was greatest in the first 6 months of CHC use.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [101] Bloemenkamp KW,, Higher risk of venous thrombosis during early use of oral contraceptives in women with inherited clotting defects. Arch Intern Med, 2000 160(1): p. 49– 52. 10632304 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
CHCs did not increase the risk of thrombosis in women who were on therapeutic anticoagulation.
“The study concluded that CHCs did not increase the risk of thrombosis in women who were on therapeutic anticoagulation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [106] Martinelli I,, Recurrent venous thromboembolism and abnormal uterine bleeding with anticoagulant and hormone therapy use, in Blood. 2016 p. 1417– 25. 26696010 PMC4832477 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Other genetic mutations did not affect the risk of VTE.
“Other genetic mutations did not affect the risk of VTE [102].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] Cushman M,, Estrogen plus progestin and risk of venous thrombosis. Jama, 2004 292(13): p. 1573– 80. 15467059 source
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- Premisecitation
Injectable progesterone such as DMPA may have a small increase in VTE risk.
“Progestin-only pills are generally considered safe, however, injectable progesterone such as DMPA may have a small increase in VTE risk [104, 105].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [104] Bergendal A,, Association of venous thromboembolism with hormonal contraception and thrombophilic genotypes. Obstet Gynecol, 2014 124(3): p. 600– 9. 25162263 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [105] Mantha S,, Assessing the risk of venous thromboembolic events in women taking progestin-only contraception: a meta-analysis. Bmj, 2012 345: p. e4944. 22872710 PMC3413580 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
In patients with thrombosis provoked by hormonal contraception, the risk of recurrence returns to baseline within one to three months of cessation of hormonal use.
“In patients with thrombosis provoked by hormonal contraception, the risk is believed to return to baseline levels within one to three months of cessation of hormonal use [100, 107].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [100] Venous thromboembolic disease and combined oral contraceptives: results of international multicentre case-control study. World Health Organization Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular Disease and Steroid Hormone Contraception. Lancet, 1995 346(8990): p. 1575– 82. 7500748 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [107] Gomes MP and Deitcher SR, Risk of venous thromboembolic disease associated with hormonal contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy: a clinical review. Arch Intern Med, 2004 164(18): p. 1965– 76. 15477430 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
In a study of 305 female patients with essential thrombocythemia, the use of MHT was not associated with an increase in venous or arterial thrombotic events.
“In one study of 305 female patients with essential thrombocythemia by Gangat et al, the use of MHT was not associated with an increase in venous or arterial thrombotic events.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [115] Gangat N,, Estrogen-based hormone therapy and thrombosis risk in women with essential thrombocythemia. Cancer, 2006 106(11): p. 2406– 11. 16628652 source
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- Premisecitation
The 2012 ISTH guidelines do not require anticoagulant therapy beyond 3 months.
“The 2012 International Society of Thrombosis & Hemostasis (ISTH) guidelines do not require anticoagulant therapy beyond 3 months[108].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [108] Baglin T,, Duration of anticoagulant therapy after a first episode of an unprovoked pulmonary embolus or deep vein thrombosis: guidance from the SSC of the ISTH. J Thromb Haemost, 2012 10(4): p. 698– 702. 22332937 source
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- Premisecitation
Myeloproliferative neoplasms are associated with an increased risk of thrombosis.
“Myeloproliferative neoplasms, such as essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera, and myelofibrosis have been shown to be associated with an increased risk of thrombosis [114].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [114] Hultcrantz M,, Risk for Arterial and Venous Thrombosis in Patients With Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: A Population-Based Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med, 2018 168(5): p. 317– 325. 29335713 PMC7533681 source
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- Premisecitation
CHC has been shown to increase the risk of thrombosis.
“In patients with high risk of thrombosis who are not fully anticoagulated, CHC and injectable depot medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA) should be avoided, and is generally contraindicated, as both have been shown to increase the risk of thrombosis[104, 105].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [104] Bergendal A,, Association of venous thromboembolism with hormonal contraception and thrombophilic genotypes. Obstet Gynecol, 2014 124(3): p. 600– 9. 25162263 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [105] Mantha S,, Assessing the risk of venous thromboembolic events in women taking progestin-only contraception: a meta-analysis. Bmj, 2012 345: p. e4944. 22872710 PMC3413580 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Injectable depot medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA) has been shown to increase the risk of thrombosis.
“In patients with high risk of thrombosis who are not fully anticoagulated, CHC and injectable depot medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA) should be avoided, and is generally contraindicated, as both have been shown to increase the risk of thrombosis[104, 105].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [104] Bergendal A,, Association of venous thromboembolism with hormonal contraception and thrombophilic genotypes. Obstet Gynecol, 2014 124(3): p. 600– 9. 25162263 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [105] Mantha S,, Assessing the risk of venous thromboembolic events in women taking progestin-only contraception: a meta-analysis. Bmj, 2012 345: p. e4944. 22872710 PMC3413580 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationcitation
CHC use is generally considered contraindicated in patients with hereditary thrombophilia, particularly those with severe thrombophilia and/or high risk of thrombosis.
“As such, CHC use is generally considered contraindicated in these patients, and particularly in those with “severe” thrombophilia and/or high-risk of thrombosis”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Women with inherited thrombophilias are at increased risk of VTE.
- Rests on an assumption: The VTE risk of inherited thrombophilias is further exacerbated by increased estrogen levels due to medications or pregnancy.
- Premisecitation
Progestin-only pills are generally considered safe in women with hereditary thrombophilia.
“Progestin-only pills are generally considered safe, however, injectable progesterone such as DMPA may have a small increase in VTE risk [104, 105].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [104] Bergendal A,, Association of venous thromboembolism with hormonal contraception and thrombophilic genotypes. Obstet Gynecol, 2014 124(3): p. 600– 9. 25162263 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [105] Mantha S,, Assessing the risk of venous thromboembolic events in women taking progestin-only contraception: a meta-analysis. Bmj, 2012 345: p. e4944. 22872710 PMC3413580 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
An elevated IgG anti-cardiolipin antibody level at the first prenatal visit was the only anti-phospholipid antibody significantly associated with fetal loss, with a relative risk of 3.5 (95% CI 1.56-8.07).
“An elevated IgG anti-cardiolipin antibody level at the first prenatal visit was the only aPL antibody significantly associated with fetal loss, with a relative risk of 3.5 (95% CI, 1.56–8.07).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lynch et al
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
In a study by Martinelli et al, women who were on anticoagulation and used CHCs were no more likely to suffer recurrent VTE than women who used progestin-only contraceptives or no hormonal contraceptives.
“In a study by Martinelli et al, which analyzed data from the EINSTEIN DVT and Pulmonary Embolism (PE) anticoagulation trials found that women who were on anticoagulation and used CHCs were no more likely to suffer recurrent VTE than women who used progestin-only contraceptives or no hormonal contraceptives[106].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [106] Martinelli I,, Recurrent venous thromboembolism and abnormal uterine bleeding with anticoagulant and hormone therapy use, in Blood. 2016 p. 1417– 25. 26696010 PMC4832477 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The risk of maternal complications was similar in women with and without anti-phospholipid antibodies.
“The risk of maternal complications was similar in both groups.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lynch et al
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Progestin-only methods such as oral pills, levonorgestrel IUD, and the progestin subdermal implant have not been shown to increase risk of VTE.
“Options include the copper IUD and progestin-only methods such as oral pills, levonorgestrel IUD, and the progestin subdermal implant, may induce amenorrhea, and have not been shown increase risk of VTE (contrary to etonogestrel implant package labeling) [98].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [98] Lidegaard O,, Thrombotic stroke and myocardial infarction with hormonal contraception. N Engl J Med, 2012 366(24): p. 2257– 66. 22693997 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The absolute VTE risk was far higher in CHC users with severe thrombophilia (4.3-4.6/100 pill-years) than in those with mild thrombophilia (0.5-2.0/100 pill-years).
“The absolute VTE risk was far higher in CHC-users with severe thrombophilia (4.3 – 4.6/100 pill-years) than in those with mild thrombophilia (0.5 – 2.0/100 pill-years). [111]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [111] van Vlijmen EF,, Combined oral contraceptives, thrombophilia and the risk of venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Thromb Haemost, 2016 14(7): p. 1393– 403. 27121914 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The WHI trial showed a 6-fold increase in VTE (HR 6.7, 95% CI 3.1-14.5) in women with factor V Leiden mutation who were on combined hormone therapy.
“Furthermore, the trial showed a 6-fold increase in VTE (HR 6.7, 95% CI 3.1–14.5) in women with factor five leiden mutation (FVL) who were on CHC.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] Cushman M,, Estrogen plus progestin and risk of venous thrombosis. Jama, 2004 292(13): p. 1573– 80. 15467059 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisenone given
The absolute risk of VTE in the WHI and HERS trials, particularly in healthy postmenopausal women, was extremely low.
“However, the absolute risk in both trials, particularly in healthy postmenopausal women, was extremely low.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In the HERS trial, a similar two-fold increase in VTE with combined hormone therapy was noted.
“A similar two-fold increase in VTE with CHC was noted in the Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study (HERS) [95].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [95] Hulley S,, Randomized trial of estrogen plus progestin for secondary prevention of coronary heart disease in postmenopausal women. Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study (HERS) Research Group. Jama, 1998 280(7): p. 605– 13. 9718051 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
In the US, most transwomen are treated with either oral or transdermal estradiol in association with spironolactone.
“In the US, most transwomen are treated with either oral or transdermal estradiol in association with spironolactone [116].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [116] Connors JM and Middeldorp S, Transgender patients and the role of the coagulation clinician. J Thromb Haemost, 2019 17(11): p. 1790– 1797. 31465627 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The ACOG 2019 guidelines considers CHC use with any hereditary thrombophilia to be contraindicated.
“Based on this, the ACOG 2019 guidelines considers CHC use with any hereditary thrombophilia to be contraindicated [113].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [113] ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 206: Use of Hormonal Contraception in Women With Coexisting Medical Conditions. Obstet Gynecol, 2019 133(2): p. e128– e150. 30681544 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The 2016 CDC U.S. Medical Eligibility Criteria for Contraceptive Use considered CHC use with any hereditary thrombophilia to be associated with unacceptable health risk (Category 4).
“In 2016, the Center for Disease Control issued the U.S. Medical Eligibility Criteria for Contraceptive Use, in which CHC use with any hereditary thrombophilia was considered to be associated with unacceptable health risk (Category 4)[112].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [112] Curtis KM,, U.S. Medical Eligibility Criteria for Contraceptive Use, 2016. MMWR Recomm Rep, 2016 65(3): p. 1– 103. 27467196 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
In a study of 451 low-risk nulliparous women in early pregnancy, 24.4% had positive anti-phospholipid antibodies.
“A study by Lynch et al measured aPL antibody levels in 451 low-risk nulliparous women during early pregnancy, and found that 24.4% had positive aPL antibodies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lynch et al
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
MHT is contraindicated in women with previous VTE or stroke.
“As such, MHT is contraindicated in women with previous VTE or stroke.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The WHI trial showed a notably high risk of VTE in women with a prior thromboembolic event, with HR 3.9.
“The WHI trial showed a notably high risk of VTE in women with prior thromboembolic event, with HR of 3.9.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] Cushman M,, Estrogen plus progestin and risk of venous thrombosis. Jama, 2004 292(13): p. 1573– 80. 15467059 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Transdermal estrogen has not been reported to increase proinflammatory cytokines and procoagulant factors.
“Transdermal estrogen, on the other hand, has not been reported to increase proinflammatory cytokines and procoagulant factors [118–120].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [118] Wilson R,, Effects of high dose oestrogen therapy on circulating inflammatory markers. Maturitas, 2009 62(3): p. 281– 6. 19231116 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [119] Lowe GD, Hormone replacement therapy and cardiovascular disease: increased risks of venous thromboembolism and stroke, and no protection from coronary heart disease. J Intern Med, 2004 256(5): p. 361– 74. 15485471 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [120] Vongpatanasin W,, Differential effects of oral versus transdermal estrogen replacement therapy on C-reactive protein in postmenopausal women. J Am Coll Cardiol, 2003 41(8): p. 1358– 63. 12706932 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
With therapeutic anticoagulation, estrogen therapy can be safely continued in cisgender women who develop VTE on estrogen.
“Prospective data suggests that with therapeutic anticoagulation, estrogen therapy can be safely continued in cisgender women who develop VTE on estrogen [106].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [106] Martinelli I,, Recurrent venous thromboembolism and abnormal uterine bleeding with anticoagulant and hormone therapy use, in Blood. 2016 p. 1417– 25. 26696010 PMC4832477 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationreasoning
Women who develop thrombosis while on oral hormonal therapy are likely to have a reduction in risk of recurrence by changing to transdermal estrogen therapy.
“Women who develop thrombosis while on oral hormonal therapy are likely to have a reduction in risk of recurrence by changing to transdermal estrogen therapy.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Transgender women who develop VTE on estrogen may have a low VTE recurrence rate if maintained on therapeutic anticoagulation.
“As such, transgender women who develop VTE on estrogen may similarly have a low VTE recurrence rate if maintained on therapeutic anticoagulation.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The same study found an increased risk of ischemic stroke among transwomen using estrogens, with hazard risks after 6 years of 9.9 (3.0-33.1) compared to cismen and 4.1 (1.5-11.4) compared to ciswomen.
“The researchers of the same study also found an increased risk of ischemic stroke among transwomen using estrogens, where the hazard risks after 6 years of use were 9.9 (3.0– 33.1) compared to cismen and 4.1 (1.5– 11.4) compared to ciswomen.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [121] Getahun D,, Cross-sex Hormones and Acute Cardiovascular Events in Transgender Persons: A Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med, 2018 169(4): p. 205– 213. 29987313 PMC6636681 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
The incidence of myocardial infarction was similar in transwomen compared to matched controls.
“The incidence of myocardial infarction was similar in transwomen compared to the matched controls.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [121] Getahun D,, Cross-sex Hormones and Acute Cardiovascular Events in Transgender Persons: A Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med, 2018 169(4): p. 205– 213. 29987313 PMC6636681 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Oral estrogens have similar effects on surrogate inflammatory endpoints in transgender women as in cisgender women, including elevation in proinflammatory cytokines IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α.
“Oral estrogens seem to have similar effects on surrogate inflammatory endpoints in transgender women as they do in cisgender women [117], such as elevation in proinflammatory cytokines IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and tumor necrosis factor-α [118].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [117] Goldstein Z,, Managing the risk of venous thromboembolism in transgender adults undergoing hormone therapy, in J Blood Med. 2019 p. 209– 16. 31372078 PMC6628137 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [118] Wilson R,, Effects of high dose oestrogen therapy on circulating inflammatory markers. Maturitas, 2009 62(3): p. 281– 6. 19231116 source
Not checked in the free run.
- May combine two claims. 19
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 4
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationCombined oral contraceptives increase plasma levels of factors II, VII, VIII, X, and fibrinogen, and decrease factor V levels.
“A randomized cross over study among women showed that combined oral contraceptives affect the coagulation cascade by increasing plasma levels of factors II, VII, VIII, X, and fibrinogen, and by decreasing factor V levels [62, 63].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites [62] Middeldorp S,, Effects on coagulation of levonorgestrel- and desogestrel-containing low dose oral contraceptives: a cross-over study. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 4– 8. 10928461
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [63] Tans G,, A randomized cross-over study on the effects of levonorgestreland desogestrel-containing oral contraceptives on the anticoagulant pathways. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 15– 21. 10928463 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationEstrogen use is associated with an increased risk of both arterial and venous thrombosis.
“Estrogen, in the clinical setting is used primarily for contraception and hormone replacement therapy. It has been well established that estrogen increases the risk of both arterial and venous thrombosis.”
- Also stated in: § Introduction · boosted
“There is significant evidence that estrogen use in both these situations is associated with an increased risk of thrombosis, both arterial and venous.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [82] DeLoughery TG, Estrogen and thrombosis: controversies and common sense. Reviews in Endocrine and Metabolic Disorders, 2011 12(2): p. 77– 84. 21559819 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [83] de Bastos M,, Combined oral contraceptives: venous thrombosis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2014(3): p. Cd010813. 24590565 PMC10637279
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [99] Roach RE,, Combined oral contraceptives: the risk of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2015(8): p. Cd011054. 26310586 PMC6494192
Not checked in the free run.
- Also stated in: § Introduction · boosted
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Interpretationnone givenThe effect of estrogen on the cardiovascular system is not entirely understood.
“The effect of estrogen on the cardiovascular system is not entirely understood, and continues to be studied.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationA 2015 meta-analysis of 24 studies by Roach et al showed a 1.6-fold increased risk of MI or ischemic stroke in women on CHCs, which appeared to increase with higher estrogen doses.
“A 2015 meta-analysis of 24 studies by Roach et al showed a 1.6-fold increased risk of MI or ischemic stroke in women on CHCs, which appeared to increase with higher estrogen doses [99].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [99] Roach RE,, Combined oral contraceptives: the risk of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2015(8): p. Cd011054. 26310586 PMC6494192
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the Women's Health Initiative study, the risk of VTE due to MHT was highest in the first year of therapy, but persisted for the five years of follow-up.
“In the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) study, the risk of VTE due to MHT was highest in the first year of therapy, but persisted for the five years of follow-up [102].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] Cushman M,, Estrogen plus progestin and risk of venous thrombosis. Jama, 2004 292(13): p. 1573– 80. 15467059 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe absolute risk of VTE in women who do not use OCPs is 0.19 to 0.37 per 1,000 woman-years, and with OCP use ranges from 0.55 to 1.41 per 1,000 woman-years, with higher risk among users of third and fourth generation progesterones.
“While The absolute risk of VTE in women who do not use OCPs is reported at 0.19 to 0.37 per 1,000 woman-years, that of of VTE with OCP use ranges from 0.55 to 1.41 per 1000 woman years, with higher risk among users of third and fourth generation progesterones.[83]”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [83] de Bastos M,, Combined oral contraceptives: venous thrombosis. Cochrane Database Syst Rev, 2014(3): p. Cd010813. 24590565 PMC10637279
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationOral estrogen therapy is associated with a higher risk of first episode of VTE (RR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.40-1.90) and deep venous thrombosis (RR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.35-3.23) compared to transdermal estrogen therapy in postmenopausal women.
“Finally, a meta-analysis of 15 observational studies showed that oral estrogen therapy was associated with a higher risk of first episode of VTE (RR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.40–1.90) and deep venous thrombosis (DVT) (RR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.35–3.23) when compared to transdermal estrogen therapy in post menopausal women.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [89] Mohammed K,, Oral vs Transdermal Estrogen Therapy and Vascular Events: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2015 100(11): p. 4012– 20. 26544651 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationShort-duration E2 treatment (2-6 hours) has an anti-inflammatory effect, while chronic administration over 60 days is associated with a pro-inflammatory response.
“Similarly, a short duration of E2 treatment (2–6 hours) has an anti-inflammatory effect [78, 79], while chronic administration over 60 days is associated with a pro-inflammatory response [77].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [77] Calippe B,, Chronic estradiol administration in vivo promotes the proinflammatory response of macrophages to TLR4 activation: involvement of the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase pathway. J Immunol, 2008 180(12): p. 7980– 8. 18523261 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [78] Pelekanou V,, Estrogen anti-inflammatory activity on human monocytes is mediated through cross-talk between estrogen receptor ERalpha36 and GPR30/GPER1. J Leukoc Biol, 2016 99(2): p. 333– 47. 26394816 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [79] Vegeto E,, Regulation of the lipopolysaccharide signal transduction pathway by 17beta-estradiol in macrophage cells. J Steroid Biochem Mol Biol, 2004 91(1–2): p. 59– 66. 15261308 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationLow-dose E2 exposure (doses consistent with oral contraceptive pills) is associated with increased pro-inflammatory cytokine expression, while high doses (pregnancy levels) tend to generate an anti-inflammatory response.
“Both in vitro and in vivo studies show that while low dose exposure to E2 (doses consistent with oral contraceptive pills) is associated with increased pro-inflammatory cytokine expression [74, 76, 77], high doses (pregnancy levels) tend to generate an anti-inflammatory response [74].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites [74] Straub RH, The complex role of estrogens in inflammation. Endocr Rev, 2007 28(5): p. 521– 74. 17640948 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [76] Calippe B,, 17Beta-estradiol promotes TLR4-triggered proinflammatory mediator production through direct estrogen receptor alpha signaling in macrophages in vivo. J Immunol, 2010 185(2): p. 1169– 76. 20554954 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites [77] Calippe B,, Chronic estradiol administration in vivo promotes the proinflammatory response of macrophages to TLR4 activation: involvement of the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase pathway. J Immunol, 2008 180(12): p. 7980– 8. 18523261 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationCHCs decrease plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) and increase tissue plasminogen activator (tPA), but these changes are counteracted by higher levels of thrombin activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor.
“CHCs also affect fibrinolysis by decreasing levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI −1) and increasing levels of tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). However, these changes are shown to be counteracted by higher levels of thrombin activatable fibrinolysis inhibitor in women taking CHCs [67].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [67] Meijers JC,, Increased fibrinolytic activity during use of oral contraceptives is counteracted by an enhanced factor XI-independent down regulation of fibrinolysis: a randomized cross-over study of two low-dose oral contraceptives. Thromb Haemost, 2000 84(1): p. 9– 14. 10928462
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn an international case-control study across 21 centers, the World Health Organization reported in 1995 that increased risk of VTE was apparent within 4 months of starting CHCs, was unaffected by the duration of current type of CHC use, and returned to baseline within 3 months of discontinuing CHCs.
“In an international case-control study across 21 centers, the World Health Organization reported in 1995 that increased risk of VTE was apparent within 4 months of starting CHCs, was unaffected by the duration of current type of CHC use, and returned to baseline within 3 months of discontinuing CHCs [100].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [100] Venous thromboembolic disease and combined oral contraceptives: results of international multicentre case-control study. World Health Organization Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular Disease and Steroid Hormone Contraception. Lancet, 1995 346(8990): p. 1575– 82. 7500748 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationApproximately 80% of thromboses occurring in pregnancy are venous.
“Consistently, approximately 80% of thromboses occurring in pregnancy are venous [90].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [90] ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 196: Thromboembolism in Pregnancy. Obstet Gynecol, 2018 132(1): p. e1– e17. 29939938 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationcitationThe most recent and compelling data suggests an increased risk of MI and stroke due to estrogen, however, the absolute risk remains low.
“In summary, the most recent and compelling data suggests an increased risk of MI and stroke due to estrogen, however, the absolute risk remains low.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the WHI trial, VTE risk was increased with a hazard ratio of 2.06 (95% CI 1.6-2.7), similar for both DVT and PE.
“In the trial, VTE risk was increased with HR of 2.06 (95% CI, 1.6–2.7), which was similar for both DVT and PE [102].”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [102] Cushman M,, Estrogen plus progestin and risk of venous thrombosis. Jama, 2004 292(13): p. 1573– 80. 15467059 source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe levonorgestrel-releasing IUD is preferred over the progestin-only implant since IUD effects are primarily local.
“The levonorgestrel-releasing IUD is preferred over the progestin-only implant since IUD effects are primarily local (Table 3).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe rate of fetal loss was higher in women with anti-phospholipid antibodies (15.8%) than in those without (6.5%), with a relative risk of 2.44 (95% CI 1.29-4.62).
“The rate of fetal loss in these women was higher in those with aPL antibodies (15.8%) than in those without (6.5%), with a relative risk of 2.44 (95% CI, 1.29–4.62).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lynch et al
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe ASH 2018 guidelines strongly recommend both antepartum and postpartum thromboprophylaxis in women with prior VTE related to high estrogen states, based on low-certainty evidence.
“The ASH 2018 guidelines strongly recommend both antepartum and postpartum thromboprophylaxis in these patients, although this is based on low-certainty evidence [109].”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [109] Bates SM,, American Society of Hematology 2018 guidelines for management of venous thromboembolism: venous thromboembolism in the context of pregnancy, in Blood Adv. 2018 p. 3317– 59. 30482767 PMC6258928 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Rests on an assumption: Pregnancy increases the risk of VTE due to hypercoagulable state, venous stasis, and endothelial injury.
- Rests on an assumption: The risk of VTE in pregnancy is increased throughout all trimesters but is highest during the post-partum period.
- Rests on an assumption: Additional risk factors for pregnancy-associated VTE include a prior history of VTE, hospitalization for an acute illness or cesarean-section delivery, and the presence of an inherited thrombophilia.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn the same study, CHC use was associated with a threefold increase of VTE and a fivefold increased risk of splanchnic thrombosis.
“However, CHC use was associated with a threefold increase of VTE (HR), and a fivefold increased risk of splanchnic thrombosis (HR) [115]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [115] Gangat N,, Estrogen-based hormone therapy and thrombosis risk in women with essential thrombocythemia. Cancer, 2006 106(11): p. 2406– 11. 16628652 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn CHC users, mild thrombophilia increased the risk of VTE almost 6-fold and severe thrombophilia almost 7-fold.
“A systematic review and meta-analysis by Van Vlijmen et al, in 2017, showed that in CHC-users, mild or severe thrombophilia increased the risk of VTE almost 6-fold and 7-fold respectively.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [111] van Vlijmen EF,, Combined oral contraceptives, thrombophilia and the risk of venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Thromb Haemost, 2016 14(7): p. 1393– 403. 27121914 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe adjusted HR for VTE with estrogen use in transgender women was 3.2 (95% CI 1.5-6.5) compared to cisgender men and 2.5 (1.2-5.0) compared to ciswomen.
“The adjusted HR for VTE with estrogen use in transgender women was 3.2 (95% CI: 1.5–6.5) compared to cisgender men, and 2.5 (1.2–5.0) compared to ciswomen, which increased with longer duration of use.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [121] Getahun D,, Cross-sex Hormones and Acute Cardiovascular Events in Transgender Persons: A Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med, 2018 169(4): p. 205– 213. 29987313 PMC6636681 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe increasing risk of VTE with duration of estrogen use in transgender women contrasts with menopausal hormone therapy, where risk is highest in the first year and decreases with time.
“The increasing risk of VTE with duration of estrogen use is in contrast with menopausal hormonal therapy, where the risk is highest in the first year of use and decreases with time. [122]”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [122] Canonico M,, Hormone replacement therapy and risk of venous thromboembolism in postmenopausal women: systematic review and meta-analysis. Bmj, 2008 336(7655): p. 1227– 31. 18495631 PMC2405857 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
Interpretationnone givenCHCs are safe and effective for regulation of fertility in the majority of women.
“CHCs are widely used and are safe and effective for regulation of fertility in the majority of women.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: Screening for prothrombotic mutations before initiating CHCs is not cost effective.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn a U.S. database study of 2,842 transwomen and matched cisgender men and women, transwomen had a higher incidence of VTE than both reference populations, and risk increased over time.
“The researchers found that transwomen had a higher incidence of VTE than both reference populations, and that risk increased over time.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites [121] Getahun D,, Cross-sex Hormones and Acute Cardiovascular Events in Transgender Persons: A Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med, 2018 169(4): p. 205– 213. 29987313 PMC6636681 source
Not checked in the free run.
The authors state this as an assumption.
The factors used in this review to identify women at high risk of thrombosis (previous VTE, severe thrombophilias, strong family history of VTE, and other comorbidities) reliably identify high risk.
“In this review, we consider the following to be associated with a high risk of thrombosis: Previous history of VTE“Severe” thrombophilias: such as homozygous or double heterozygous FVL or prothrombin mutation, severe deficiencies in Protein C, S or antithrombin, anti-phospholipid syndrome.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The risk of thrombosis in patients on therapeutic anticoagulation is lowered by anticoagulant therapy.
“An argument for their use is that these patients risk of thrombosis is lowered by anticoagulant therapy.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Findings from animal models and changes in hemostatic biomarkers translate to clinical thrombosis risk in humans.
“In the paragraphs below, we summarize the animal and human studies that identify pathways/factors altered with estrogen treatment and that are likely to affect the risk for thrombosis.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The etonogestrel subdermal implant is the most effective contraceptive option available for women.
“The etonogestrel subdermal implant has a similar mechanism of contraception as well as suppressing ovulation, and is the most effective contraceptive option available for women.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The etonogestrel subdermal implant causes irregular bleeding in approximately 20% of patients.
“However, it can cause alteration in menstrual flow leading to irregular bleeding in ~20% of patients.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The levonorgestrel IUD has a more favorable bleeding profile compared with the other two LARCs.
“In comparison with the other two LARCS, it has a more favorable bleeding profile.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Pregnancy increases the risk of VTE due to hypercoagulable state, venous stasis, and endothelial injury.
“Pregnancy increases the risk of VTE due to hypercoagulable state, venous stasis, and endothelial injury.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The risk of VTE in pregnancy is increased throughout all trimesters but is highest during the post-partum period.
“The risk is increased throughout all trimesters but highest during the post-partum period.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Additional risk factors for pregnancy-associated VTE include a prior history of VTE, hospitalization for an acute illness or cesarean-section delivery, and the presence of an inherited thrombophilia.
“Additional risk factors include a prior history of VTE, hospitalization for an acute illness or cesarean-section delivery, and the presence of an inherited thrombophilia (e.g. factor V Leiden mutation, prothrombin gene mutation, or antithrombin III, protein C, or protein S deficiencies).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Women with inherited thrombophilias are at increased risk of VTE.
“Women with inherited thrombophilias, such as FVL, Protein C or S deficiency, antithrombin deficiency, or prothrombin gene mutation, are at increased risk of VTE.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The VTE risk of inherited thrombophilias is further exacerbated by increased estrogen levels due to medications or pregnancy.
“This risk is further exacerbated by increased levels of estrogen due to medications or pregnancy.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Screening for prothrombotic mutations before initiating CHCs is not cost effective.
“Screening for prothrombotic mutations before initiating CHCs is not cost effective”
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
As the progestin component of combined oral contraceptives modulates the estrogen effects, the net effect of a combined oral contraceptive depends on both the type of estrogen and the properties of the progestin.
“As the progestin component of COCs modulates the estrogen effects, the net effect of a COC depends on both the type of estrogen and the properties of the progestin”
From Ethinylestradiol in combined hormonal contraceptive has a broader effect on serum proteome compared with estradiol valerate: a randomized controlled trial (2023) · cites this paper as Abou-Ismail et al., 2020
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
HERS treatment is described as both MHT and CHC
MinorThe paper describes HERS participants as receiving menopausal hormone therapy in one section, but attributes a HERS VTE result to CHC in another.
“The Heart and Estrogen-Progestin Replacement Study (HERS) in 1998 reported that after 2 years of menopausal hormonal therapy (MHT), women had a lower risk of MI and strokes [95].”
“A similar two-fold increase in VTE with CHC was noted in the Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study (HERS) [95].”
Norgestimate is assigned to two progestogen generations
MinorThe text calls norgestimate a third-generation progestogen, but later lists it as second-generation.
“This was followed by the approval of third generation progesterones with norgestimate in 1989 and desogestrel in 1992[49].”
“Second generation: Levonorgestrel, Norgestimate, Norgestrel”
Van Vlijmen meta-analysis has conflicting publication years
MinorThe text dates the cited meta-analysis to 2017, while its reference entry gives 2016.
“A systematic review and meta-analysis by Van Vlijmen et al, in 2017, showed that in CHC-users, mild or severe thrombophilia increased the risk of VTE almost 6-fold and 7-fold respectively.”
“111. van Vlijmen EF,, Combined oral contraceptives, thrombophilia and the risk of venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Thromb Haemost, 2016 14(7): p. 1393– 403.”
WHI participants' treatment is described as both MHT and CHC
MinorThe section identifies the WHI trial as evidence about menopausal hormone therapy, then describes women in that trial as taking combined hormonal contraceptives.
“The Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) trial conferred the most definitive clinical data regarding MHT.”
“Furthermore, the trial showed a 6-fold increase in VTE (HR 6.7, 95% CI 3.1–14.5) in women with factor five leiden mutation (FVL) who were on CHC.”
The citation lists haven’t been fetched yet
References 129 · Cited by 261
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- Doisy, 1929, Folliculin from urine of pregnant women, American Journal of Physiology, 90, 329
- Canez, 1992, Progestogens and estrogens, Infertil Reprod Med Clin North Am, 3, 59
- Birkhauser, 1996, Chemistry, physiology, and pharmacology of sex steroids, J Cardiovasc Pharmacol, 28, S1
- Citla Sridhar, 2019, Incidence of retinal vein occlusion in women of reproductive age on estrogen, Haemophilia.
- Authors
- Abou-Ismail, M. Y., Citla Sridhar, D., & Nayak, L.
- Affiliations
- University Hospitals of Cleveland (US)
- Corresponding author
- Nayak, Lalitha
- ORCID
- Nayak, Lalitha
- Venue
- Thrombosis Research
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-08
- Volume
- 192
- Pages
- 40-51
- ISSN
- 0049-3848 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC7341440
- OpenAlex
- W3020862479
- Cited by
- 261
- References
- 129
- Citations by year
- 2026: 40 · 2025: 74 · 2024: 56 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 10 · 2020: 2
- FWCI
- 4.17
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Thrombosis Research (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (HL142647-01, U01 HL143402, HL121131-01)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Internal Medicine › Venous Thromboembolism Diagnosis and Management
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hematology › Blood Coagulation and Thrombosis Mechanisms
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hematology › Platelet Disorders and Treatments
- Keywords
- estrogen, thrombosis, venous thromboembolism, arterial thrombosis, hormone replacement therapy, contraception, hypercoagulability, hemostasis, thrombosis risk stratification, transgender women, pregnancy, menopause
- MeSH terms
- Contraception, Estrogens, Female, Humans, Risk Factors, Thrombosis, Estrogen Replacement Therapy, Venous Thrombosis, Venous Thromboembolism
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