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Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity

Open access
Bellard, Céline, Bertelsmeier, Cleo, Leadley, Paul, Thuiller, Wilfried, Courchamp, Franck·2012·Ecology Letters
DOI 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x
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Abstract

Ecology Letters (2012) 15 : 365–377 Many studies in recent years have investigated the effects of climate change on the future of biodiversity. In this review, we first examine the different possible effects of climate change that can operate at individual, population, species, community, ecosystem and biome scales, notably showing that species can respond to climate change challenges by shifting their climatic niche along three non‐exclusive axes: time (e.g. phenology), space (e.g. range) and self (e.g. physiology). Then, we present the principal specificities and caveats of the most common approaches used to estimate future biodiversity at global and sub‐continental scales and we synthesise their results. Finally, we highlight several challenges for future research both in theoretical and applied realms. Overall, our review shows that current estimates are very variable, depending on the method, taxonomic group, biodiversity loss metrics, spatial scales and time periods considered. Yet, the majority of models indicate alarming consequences for biodiversity, with the worst‐case scenarios leading to extinction rates that would qualify as the sixth mass extinction in the history of the earth.

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Metadata

Authors
Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W., & Courchamp, F.
Venue
Ecology Letters
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2012-01-18
Volume
15
Issue
4
Pages
365-377
ISSN
  • 1461-023X (ISSN-L)
  • 1461-0248
DOI
10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x
OpenAlex
W2154433795
Cited by
4,234
References
10
FWCI
96.54
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
bronze
Licence
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/termsAndConditions#vor (vor)

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x
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Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W., & Courchamp, F. (2012). Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

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