Alcohol as a risk factor for liver cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta‐analysis
Abstract
Introduction and Aims. Alcohol is an established risk factor for liver cirrhosis. It remains unclear, however, whether this relationship follows a continuous dose–response pattern or has a threshold. Also, the influences of sex and end‐point (i.e. mortality vs. morbidity) on the association are not known. To address these questions and to provide a quantitative assessment of the association between alcohol intake and risk of liver cirrhosis, we conducted a systematic review and meta‐analysis of cohort and case–control studies. Design and Methods. Studies were identified by a literature search of Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, PsychINFO, ETOH and Google Scholar from January 1980 to January 2008 and by searching the references of retrieved articles. Studies were included if quantifiable information on risk and related confidence intervals with respect to at least three different levels of average alcohol intake were reported. Both categorical and continuous meta‐analytic techniques were used to model the dose–response relationship. Results. Seventeen studies met the inclusion criteria. We found some indications for threshold effects. Alcohol consumption had a significantly larger impact on mortality of liver cirrhosis compared with morbidity. Also, the same amount of average consumption was related to a higher risk of liver cirrhosis in women than in men. Discussion and Conclusions. Overall, end‐point was an important source of heterogeneity among study results. This result has important implications not only for studies in which the burden of disease attributable to alcohol consumption is estimated, but also for prevention. [Rehm J, Taylor B, Mohapatra S, Irving H, Baliunas D, Patra J, Roerecke M. Alcohol as a risk factor for liver cirrhosis: A systematic review and meta‐analysis. Drug Alcohol Rev 2010]
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The dose-response relationship between average volume of alcohol use and liver cirrhosis is exponential, with the curve more pronounced for mortality than for non-fatal morbidity.
“The dose–response relationship between average volume of alcohol use and liver cirrhosis is exponential, with the curve more pronounced for mortality than for non‐fatal morbidity 280.”
From The relationship between different dimensions of alcohol use and the burden of disease—an update (2017) · cites this paper as [280]
Exposure fractions among prevalent liver cirrhosis cases were used as a proxy for population attributable fractions, following the direct method when relative risk is high.
“We used the resulting predicted exposure fractions among prevalent cases as a proxy for PAFs for liver cirrhosis. This follows from the direct method of approximating PAFs:”
From Liver cirrhosis mortality in 187 countries between 1980 and 2010: a systematic analysis (2014) · cites this paper as [31]
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Solodun, Y., Monakhova, Y., Kuballa, T., Samokhvalov, A., Rehm, J., & Lachenmeier, D. (2011) · Interdisciplinary Toxicology · doi:10.2478/v10102-011-0030-x · Cited by 69 · see citing works
Self-citationHolst, C., Tolstrup, J. S., Sørensen, H. J., & Becker, U. (2017) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.13799 · Cited by 61 · see citing works
Åberg, F., Färkkilä, M., & Männistö, V. (2020) · Alcoholism Clinical and Experimental Research · doi:10.1111/acer.14271 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Alcohol Intake Revisited: Risks and Benefits
Roerecke, M., & Rehm, J. (2012) · Current Atherosclerosis Reports · doi:10.1007/s11883-012-0277-5 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Self-citationJoshi, K., Kohli, A., Manch, R., & Gish, R. (2016) · Clinics in Liver Disease · doi:10.1016/j.cld.2016.02.012 · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Stockwell, T., Greer, A., Fillmore, K., Chikritzhs, T., & Zeisser, C. (2012) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.e2276 · Cited by 53 · see citing works
Management of alcohol use disorder in patients with chronic liver disease
Mellinger, J. L., Fernandez, A. C., & Winder, G. S. (2023) · Hepatology Communications · doi:10.1097/hc9.0000000000000145 · Cited by 52 · see citing works
Patterns of drinking and liver cirrhosis – What do we know and where do we go?
Rehm, J., & Roerecke, M. (2015) · Journal of Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.jhep.2015.01.027 · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Self-citationMethodological quality is underrated in systematic reviews and meta-analyses in health psychology
Oliveras, I., Losilla, J.-M., & Vives, J. (2017) · Journal of Clinical Epidemiology · doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2017.05.002 · Cited by 15 · see citing works
- Authors
- REHM, J., TAYLOR, B., MOHAPATRA, S., IRVING, H., BALIUNAS, D., PATRA, J., & ROERECKE, M.
- Affiliations
- Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CA)
- Corresponding author
- REHM, JÜRGEN
- Venue
- Drug and Alcohol Review
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2010-07
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 4
- Pages
- 437-445
- ISSN
- 0959-5236 (ISSN-L)
- 1465-3362
- OpenAlex
- W1538418689
- Cited by
- 668
- References
- 60
- Citations by year
- 2026: 25 · 2025: 32 · 2024: 48 · 2023: 46 · 2022: 66 · 2021: 60 · 2020: 54 · 2019: 51 · 2018: 58 · 2017: 36 · 2016: 34 · 2015: 43 · 2014: 35 · 2013: 37 · 2012: 17
- FWCI
- 3.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Drug and Alcohol Review (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Alcohol Consumption and Health Effects
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver Disease and Transplantation
- Keywords
- alcohol consumption, liver cirrhosis, dose-response relationship, threshold effects, sex differences, cirrhosis mortality, alcohol-related disease burden, alcohol prevention
- MeSH terms
- Alcohol Drinking, Alcoholism, Animals, Female, Humans, Liver Cirrhosis, Liver Cirrhosis, Alcoholic, Male, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies, Case-Control Studies, Endpoint Determination
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