Cited by 286SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 ResearchAnimal Virus Infections Studiesvaccines and immunoinformatics approaches

Immune correlates of protection by mRNA-1273 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 in nonhuman primates

Open access
Corbett, Kizzmekia S., Nason, Martha C., Flach, Britta, Gagne, Matthew, O’Connell, Sarah, Johnston, Timothy S., Shah, Shruti N., Edara, Venkata Viswanadh +56 more·2021·Science

Abstract

Antibodies dovetail with protection: Immune correlates of protection are clinical end points used to gauge vaccine-induced immunogenicity and protection. Corbett et al . studied nonhuman primate (NHP) immune responses to various doses of the mRNA-1273 (Moderna) vaccine to provide a range of immune responses and protective outcomes. They determined that circulating spike protein–specific antibodies correlated with protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) replication in the airways. Passively transferred NHP antibodies were sufficient to mediate protection against SARS-CoV-2 challenge in hamsters, emphasizing that antibodies are mechanistic correlates. Protection of the lower respiratory tract required lower serum antibody concentrations, possibly explaining why most current vaccines are highly effective against severe lower airway disease. The higher antibody threshold required for reducing upper airway infection has potential implications for boosting to limit transmission. —STS

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

In rhesus macaques, mRNA-1273–induced spike-specific serum antibodies correlated with reduced SARS-CoV-2 replication in both upper and lower airways, with lower antibody levels needed to protect the lower airway. Passively transferred mRNA-1273–immune NHP IgG also protected hamsters from disease, supporting antibodies as a mechanistic correlate of protection.

Key findings

  • Prechallenge S-specific IgG inversely correlated with day-2 viral sgRNA in nasal swabs (P = 0.003, adjusted R² = 0.29) and BAL (P = 0.001, adjusted R² = 0.35); a 1-log10 change in S-specific IgG corresponded to a 1-log10 change in nasal swab sgRNA and a 0.9-log10 change in BAL sgRNA.
  • No animal with S-specific IgG >336 IU/ml or >645 IU/ml had BAL or nasal swab sgRNA above the protection thresholds (>10,000 copies/ml BAL or >100,000 copies/swab nasal swab), indicating a higher antibody threshold for reducing upper airway infection than lower airway infection.
  • Passively transferred 10 μg of mRNA-1273–immune NHP IgG into hamsters resulted in little to no weight loss after challenge, whereas hamsters receiving preimmune IgG or 2 μg immune IgG showed ~10% weight loss by day 6.
  • CD40L+ TFH and TH1 cell responses were univariately associated with reduced sgRNA in BAL and nasal swabs, but after adjustment for S-specific IgG they did not remain significantly associated with BAL sgRNA; IL-21+ TFH, CD40L+ TFH, and TH1 responses remained predictive of nasal swab sgRNA.

Methods

  • Rhesus macaques were immunized intramuscularly at weeks 0 and 4 with mRNA-1273 doses ranging from 0.3 to 30 μg or PBS, then challenged at week 8 with 8 × 10⁵ PFU of SARS-CoV-2 USA-WA1/2020 by combined intranasal and intratracheal routes.
  • Humoral responses were measured by S- and RBD-specific IgG, ACE2-binding inhibition, lentiviral/VSV pseudovirus and live-virus neutralization, and BAL/nasal wash IgG and IgA; T cell responses were assessed by intracellular cytokine staining, and viral replication by SARS-CoV-2 N- and E-specific sgRNA RT-PCR, with histopathology and immunohistochemistry.
  • Correlates were analyzed using Spearman correlations and univariate/multivariate linear models following Prentice criteria; passive transfer used pooled IgG from mRNA-1273–immunized NHPs into Syrian hamsters (n = 8/group) given 2 or 10 μg immune IgG or preimmune IgG before challenge.

Limitations

  • The paper states that SARS-CoV-2 infection of NHPs models mild disease with relatively little lung pathology; the study used the WA-1 strain and results need extension to evolving variants; and it was short-term, with challenge 4 weeks after boost, so durability and longer-interval protection remain undetermined.
  • Evident from the text: the findings are nonclinical, and the authors note that the antibody titers required in this high-dose NHP challenge model may be a conservative estimate for preventing clinical disease in humans.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1126/science.abj0299

Cites

47 of 47 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 8 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    Passively transferred mRNA-1273-immune NHP IgG is sufficient to mediate protection against SARS-CoV-2 challenge or disease in hamsters.

    “Passively transferred NHP antibodies were sufficient to mediate protection against SARS-CoV-2 challenge in hamsters, emphasizing that antibodies are mechanistic correlates.”
    • Also stated in: § Passively transferred mRNA-1273–induced IgG mediates protection against SARS-CoV-2 · plain
      “Thus, mRNA-1273 immune IgG alone is sufficient to mediate protection from disease in vivo against SARS-CoV-2 infection.”
    • Also stated in: § Discussion · plain
      “vaccine-elicited antibodies are sufficient for protection against disease in the highly pathogenic golden Syrian hamster model of SARS-CoV-2 infection.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    mRNA-1273 vaccination elicits S-specific binding antibody responses in a dose-dependent manner.

    “Binding antibody titers increased compared with control animals in a dose-dependent manner, ranging from a median of 55 to 5800 IU/ml at 0.3 and 100 μg, respectively, for S-specific IgG and 66 to 10,400 IU/ml for RBD-specific IgG (Fig. 1, A and B).”
    • Also stated in: § mRNA-1273 vaccination elicits antibody responses in a dose-dependent manner · boosted
      “All measures were significantly correlated with dose (P < 0.0001), as determined by Spearman’s correlation test.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    S-specific binding antibody reached median reciprocal end-point titers of 7900 and 64,000 by 4 weeks after prime and after boost, respectively, after immunization with 30 μg of mRNA-1273.

    “S-specific binding antibody (2, 3) was increased over baseline after each immunization, reaching 7900 and 64,000 median reciprocal end-point titers by 4 weeks after prime and after boost, respectively, after immunization with 30 μg of mRNA-1273 (fig. S2A).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Antibody binding and neutralizing responses were highly correlated with one another.

    “Assessments of antibody binding and neutralizing responses were highly correlated with one another, suggesting that mRNA-1273 immunization and elicitation of high-titer S-binding antibody responses predicts functional antibody responses (Fig. 2).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    30 μg of mRNA-1273 elicited 1400 and 21,300 AUC IgA in BAL and nasal washes, respectively.

    “The dose-dependent trend for S-specific IgA was similar albeit at lower levels where 30 μg of mRNA-1273 elicited 1400 and 21,300 AUC IgA in BAL (Fig. 1I) and nasal washes (Fig. 1J), respectively.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 29
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 3
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 21
  • May combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    S-specific IgG at the time of challenge correlated with sgRNA in nasal swabs and BAL at day 2, and circulating S-specific antibodies correlate with protection against SARS-CoV-2 replication in the airways.

    “They determined that circulating spike protein–specific antibodies correlated with protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) replication in the airways.”
    • Also stated in: § Antibody responses correlate with protection against SARS-CoV-2 replication · boosted
      “Using a univariate (log) linear model, S-specific IgG at the time of challenge correlated strongly with sgRNA in both the NS (P = 0.003, adjusted R2 = 0.29) (Fig. 4G and table S2) and BAL (P = 0.001, adjusted R2 = 0.35) (Fig. 4A and table S2) at day 2.”
    • Also stated in: § Discussion · boosted
      “Here, we established that the level of S-specific antibody elicited by mRNA-1273 vaccination correlates with control of upper and lower airway viral replication after SARS-CoV-2 challenge in NHPs and that vaccine-elicited antibodies are sufficient for protection against disease in the highly pathogenic golden Syrian hamster model of SARS-CoV-2 infection.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    Neutralizing antibody responses against D614G were detected in the 10- and 30-μg dose groups as early as 4 weeks after prime.

    “We detected neutralizing antibody responses against D614G, a previously dominant variant, in the 10- and 30-mg dose groups as early as 4 weeks after prime [30 mg; median reciprocal dose (ID50) = 76].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Boosting increased S-specific antibody avidity twofold in all vaccine groups except the 0.3-μg dose, with no differences between vaccine groups.

    “The boost improved not only antibody quantity but also binding strength, as shown by S-specific antibody avidity, which increased twofold after the boost in all vaccine groups except for the 0.3-μg dose, with no differences between the vaccine groups (fig. S2B).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Boosting with mRNA-1273 increased S-specific binding antibodies 8- to 10-fold in all dose groups except the 0.3-μg dose, which had a 300-fold increase.

    “There was an 8- to 10-fold increase in S-specific binding antibodies after the boost in all dose groups except for the 0.3-μg dose, for which boosting elicited 300-fold more S-specific antibodies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Upper and lower airway antibody responses correlated with one another and with S-specific IgG and serum-neutralizing activity, except BAL and nasal wash S-specific IgA did not correlate.

    “Additionally, upper and lower airway antibody responses correlated with one another and with S-specific IgG and serum-neutralizing activity. The one exception was that there was no correlation with BAL and nasal wash S-specific IgA (fig. S4).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Lentiviral-based D614G pseudovirus neutralization showed a dose-dependent increase with median reciprocal ID50 titer of 23,000 at 100 μg and 49 at 1 μg.

    “First, a lentiviral-based D614G pseudovirus neutralization assay revealed a dose-dependent increase in neutralizing activity with a median reciprocal ID50 titer of 23,000 at the 100-μg dose and 49 after immunization with 1 μg of mRNA-1273 (Fig. 1D).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The boost elicited neutralizing antibodies in all but the 0.3-μg dose group and increased neutralizing antibodies by ~1 log10 after boost in the highest-dose group.

    “The boost elicited neutralizing antibodies in all but the lowest (0.3-μg) dose groups and increased by ~1 log10 after boost in the highest-dose group (fig. S2C).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Nine of 12 animals immunized with 30 or 100 μg of mRNA-1273 had reciprocal ID50 titers >100 against beta, whereas only one of four animals in the 10-μg dose group had detectable neutralization activity to beta.

    “Nine of 12 animals immunized with 30 or 100 μg of mRNA-1273 had reciprocal ID50 titers >100, whereas only one of four animals in the 10-μg dose group had detectable neutralization activity to the beta variant (fig. S3B).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Lower and upper airway S-specific antibodies in BAL and NS negatively correlated with BAL and NS sgRNA levels, respectively.

    “Furthermore, lower and upper airway S-specific antibodies in the BAL and NS negatively correlated with BAL (fig. S11, A and B) and NS sgRNA levels, respectively (fig. S11, C and D).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For NS, dose remained significantly predictive after adjusting for VSV-based pseudovirus neutralization and marginally significant after adjusting for live virus neutralization.

    “For NS, the dose remained significantly predictive after adjusting for VSV-based pseudovirus neutralization and marginally significant after adjusting for live virus neutralization.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Including dose in a multivariate linear model predicting sgRNA after S-specific IgG did not substantially increase adjusted R2, nor was the coefficient significant (P = 0.115 for NS and P = 0.214 for BAL).

    “Once the S-specific IgG was included in a multivariate linear model predicting sgRNA, including dose in the model did not substantially increase the adjusted R2, nor was the coefficient significant (P = 0.115 for NS and P = 0.214 for BAL).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    A 1-log10 change in S-specific IgG corresponded to a 1-log10 change in sgRNA at day 2 in NS and a 0.9-log10 change in BAL sgRNA at day 2.

    “A 1-log10 change in S-specific IgG corresponded to a 1-log10 change in sgRNA at day 2 in the NS and a 0.9-log10 change in BAL sgRNA at day 2 (table S2).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Most vaccinated animals exhibited S-specific CD40L+ TFH cell responses, whose magnitude directly correlated with dose (P < 0.001).

    “Most vaccinated animals exhibited S-specific CD40L+ TFH cell responses, whose magnitude directly correlated with dose (P < 0.001) (fig. S6C).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    No animal with S-specific IgG >336 IU/ml or >645 IU/ml had BAL or NS sgRNA, respectively, greater than the thresholds defining protection (>10,000 copies/ml BAL or >100,000 copies/swab NS).

    “No animal with S-specific IgG >336 IU/ml or >645 IU/ml had BAL (Fig. 4A) or NS (Fig. 4G) sgRNA, respectively, greater than the thresholds defining protection (>10,000 copies/ml BAL or >100,000 copies/swab NS).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    All six antibody measurements were highly correlated with one another, with vaccine dose, and with sgRNA in BAL and NS.

    “All six antibody measurements were highly correlated with one other (Fig. 2), with vaccine dose (Fig. 1), and with sgRNA in BAL (Fig. 4, A to F) and NS (Fig. 4, G to L).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    CD40L+ TFH cell and TH1 cell responses were each univariately associated with reduced sgRNA in both BAL and NS.

    “We also examined the correlations between T cell responses and sgRNA and found that CD40L+ TFH cell and TH1 cell responses were each univariately associated with reduced sgRNA in both BAL and NS.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    Animals in the 1- and 3-μg dose groups had elicited S-specific antibody levels of 81 and 272 IU/ml, reciprocal pseudovirus neutralization titers of 49 and 53, and exhibited ~2- to 4-log10 less viral replication in BAL compared with control animals at day 2 after challenge.

    “Even animals in the 1- and 3-μg dose groups, for which the elicited S-specific antibody levels were 81 and 272 IU/ml, respectively, and reciprocal pseudovirus neutralization titers were 49 and 53, respectively, exhibited ~2- to 4-log10 less viral replication in BAL compared with the control animals at day 2 after challenge (34).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The lower limit of quantification for the lentiviral pseudovirus neutralization assay was 1:40 ID50.

    “The lower limit of quantification was 1:40 ID50.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    RBD-specific IgG had a lower limit of detection of 1.5936 IU/ml.

    “S-specific IgG had a lower limit of detection of 0.3076 IU/ml; RBD-specific IgG had a lower limit of detection of 1.5936 IU/ml.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    The lower limit of quantification for the subgenomic SARS-CoV-2 RNA RT-PCR assay was 50 copies.

    “The lower limit of quantification was 50 copies.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingnone given

    The lower limit of quantification for the VSV pseudovirus neutralization assay was 1:40 ID50.

    “The lower limit of quantification was 1:40 ID50.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    IL-21+ TFH, CD40L+ TFH, and TH1 cell responses remained significantly predictive of sgRNA levels in NS.

    “However, IL-21+ TFH, CD40L+ TFH, and TH1 cell responses remained significantly predictive of sgRNA levels in NS (table S2B).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Serum antibody levels were a strong predictor of IgA and IgG responses in BAL and nasal washes, as well as for protection measured by viral replication in these sites.

    “Serum antibody levels were a strong predictor of IgA and IgG responses in BAL and nasal washes, as well as for protection measured by viral replication in these sites.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingnone given

    S-specific IgG had a lower limit of detection of 0.3076 IU/ml.

    “S-specific IgG had a lower limit of detection of 0.3076 IU/ml; RBD-specific IgG had a lower limit of detection of 1.5936 IU/ml.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Two mRNA-based vaccines, Moderna's mRNA-1273 and Pfizer/BioNTech's BNT162b2, show >94% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 in interim phase 3 analyses.

    “Two mRNA-based vaccines, Moderna’s mRNA-1273 and Pfizer/BioNTech’s BNT162b2, both produce a stabilized version of the spike glycoprotein (2, 3), show >94% efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 in interim phase 3 analyses (4, 5), and are currently being administered globally.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [4] 4. Polack F. P., Thomas S. J., Kitchin N., Absalon J., Gurtman A., Lockhart S., Perez J. L., Pérez Marc G., Moreira E. D., Zerbini C., Bailey R., Swanson K. A., Roychoudhury S., Koury K., Li P., Kalina W. V., Cooper D., Frenck R. W. Jr., Hammitt L. L., Türeci Ö., Nell H., Schaefer A., Ünal S., Tresnan D. B., Mather S., Dormitzer P. R., Şahin U., Jansen K. U., Gruber W. C.; C4591001 Clinical Trial Group, Safety and efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 vaccine. N. Engl. J. Med. 383, 2603–2615 (2020). 10.1056/NEJMoa2034577 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [5] 5. Baden L. R., El Sahly H. M., Essink B., Kotloff K., Frey S., Novak R., Diemert D., Spector S. A., Rouphael N., Creech C. B., McGettigan J., Khetan S., Segall N., Solis J., Brosz A., Fierro C., Schwartz H., Neuzil K., Corey L., Gilbert P., Janes H., Follmann D., Marovich M., Mascola J., Polakowski L., Ledgerwood J., Graham B. S., Bennett H., Pajon R., Knightly C., Leav B., Deng W., Zhou H., Han S., Ivarsson M., Miller J., Zaks T.; COVE Study Group, Efficacy and safety of the mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. N. Engl. J. Med. 384, 403–416 (2021). 10.1056/NEJMoa2035389 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The higher antibody threshold required for reducing upper airway infection has potential implications for boosting to limit transmission.

    “The higher antibody threshold required for reducing upper airway infection has potential implications for boosting to limit transmission.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    S-specific IgG and IgA in upper and lower airways potentially provide immediate protection at the site of infection and limit transmission.

    “which potentially provide immediate protection at the site of infection and limit transmission.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    In addition to S-specific IgG, RBD-specific IgG, ACE2-binding inhibition, and lentiviral-based pseudovirus neutralization appear to meet criteria for potential correlates of protection.

    “In addition to S-specific IgG, RBD-specific IgG, ACE2-binding inhibition, and lentiviral-based pseudovirus neutralization appear to meet our criteria for potential correlates of protection.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The analysis to define a potential correlate was prespecified to focus initially on the relationship between S-specific binding antibodies and sgRNA levels in nasal swabs, with BAL as secondary.

    “Before conducting the dose–response study in NHPs (fig. S1C), we prespecified that our analysis to define a potential correlate would focus initially on the relationship between S-specific binding antibodies and sgRNA levels in nasal swabs (NS). Correlations with sgRNA levels in BAL served as an important secondary analysis.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Vaccination limits or completely prevents inflammation or detection of viral antigen in the lung tissue.

    “These observations show that naïve NHP develop mild inflammation in the lung >1 week after SARS-CoV-2 infection, and that vaccination limits or completely prevents inflammation or detection of viral antigen in the lung tissue.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Animal experiments were performed in compliance with all pertinent National Institutes of Health regulations and approval from the Animal Care and Use Committees of the Vaccine Research Center and Bioqual Inc.

    “Animal experiments were performed in compliance with all pertinent National Institutes of Health regulations and approval from the Animal Care and Use Committees of the Vaccine Research Center and Bioqual Inc. (Rockville, MD).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductown data

    Sera were tested in duplicate for neutralizing activity against D614G pseudoviruses.

    “Sera, in duplicate, were tested for neutralizing activity against the D614G pseudoviruses by quantification of luciferase activity in relative light units.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Concentration assignments were performed and then confirmed by MSD and as part of a multisite confirmation study.

    “Concentration assignments were performed and then confirmed by MSD and as part of a multisite confirmation study.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The arbitrary units were bridged to the WHO international standard and a conversion factor was calculated and confirmed.

    “Recently the arbitrary units were bridged to the WHO international standard and a conversion factor was calculated and confirmed.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    All samples were evaluated by a board-certified veterinary pathologist.

    “All samples were evaluated by a board-certified veterinary pathologist.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The use of WHO standards to report binding titers in international units enables comparison of immune responses and outcomes with other NHP vaccine studies and benchmarking to human vaccine clinical trials.

    “In addition, the use of WHO standards to report binding titers in international units enables the comparison of immune responses and outcomes with other NHP vaccine studies and benchmarking to human vaccine clinical trials.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    For VRC-20-857.3 or VRC-20-857.4, rhesus macaques were sorted by sex, age, and weight and then stratified into groups.

    “For VRC-20-857.3 (fig. S1B) or VRC-20-857.4 (fig. S1C), 3- to 8-year-old rhesus macaques of Indian origin were sorted by sex, agem and weight and then stratified into groups.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationnone given

    The sgRNA levels for N or E of 106 to 107 in control animals at day 2 after challenge are among the highest reported for NHP challenge studies and likely model viral load in humans at the upper end of inoculum size.

    “The sgRNA levels for N or E of 106 to 107 in control animals at day 2 after challenge are among the highest reported for NHP challenge studies and likely models viral load in humans at the upper end of inoculum size.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The same qualified antibody binding and pseudovirus neutralization assays were used for assessing immune responses as in human phase 3 vaccine trials.

    “We used the same qualified antibody binding and pseudovirus neutralization assays for assessing immune responses as in human phase 3 vaccine trials.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    SARS-CoV-2 infection of NHPs models mild disease with relatively little lung pathology.

    “First, SARS-CoV2 infection of NHPs models mild disease with relatively little lung pathology.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The reported avidity index is the average of two independent experiments, each containing duplicate samples.

    “The reported avidity index is the average of two independent experiments, each containing duplicate samples.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    Following the Prentice criteria, antibody measures were categorized as potential correlates of protection if they were significantly univariately predictive of log10 sgRNA as a measure of viral replication or if the addition of log10 dose to the linear model did not significantly improve prediction, as assessed by a likelihood ratio test.

    “Following the Prentice criteria (47), we categorized antibody measures as potential correlates of protection if they were significantly univariately predictive of log10 sgRNA as a measure of viral replication or if the addition of log10 dose to the linear model did not significantly improve prediction, as assessed by a likelihood ratio test.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [47] 47. Prentice R. L., Surrogate endpoints in clinical trials: Definition and operational criteria. Stat. Med. 8, 431–440 (1989). 10.1002/sim.4780080407 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Because mRNA-1273 is administered intramuscularly, localized upper and lower airway antibodies may be transudated from serum, which suggests that serum antibody levels may be a surrogate for BAL and NS antibody levels after mRNA-1273 vaccination.

    “Because mRNA-1273 is administered intramuscularly, localized upper and lower airway antibodies may be transudated from serum, which suggests that serum antibody levels may be a surrogate for BAL and NS antibody levels after mRNA-1273 vaccination.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    Golden Syrian hamsters aged 6 to 8 weeks were randomized into groups of eight on the basis of weight, with each group containing a 1:1 ratio of males to females.

    “Golden Syrian hamsters, aged 6 to 8 weeks, were randomized into groups of eight on the basis of weight, with each group containing a 1:1 ratio of males to females.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    Each specimen was tested in duplicate in the focus reduction neutralization test.

    “Each specimen was tested in duplicate.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    This was a short-term study in which immune responses were assessed at the peak of the postimmunization response and challenge occurred 4 weeks after the boost.

    “Third, this was a short-term study in which immune responses were assessed at the peak of the postimmunization response and challenge occurred 4 weeks after the boost.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
46 of 46

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Self-check

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Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Study identifier for fig. S1B differs between sections

    Minor

    The Fig. 1 caption identifies the experiment associated with fig. S1B as VRC-20-857.2, while the methods identify it as VRC-20-857.3.

  • Neutralization dose is given in milligrams instead of micrograms

    Minor

    The neutralization results describe 10- and 30-mg dose groups, but the study identifies these vaccine doses as 10 and 30 μg.

2 of 2

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Research works printed but not linked: 3

  1. K. S. Corbett, D. Edwards, S. R. Leist, O. M. Abiona, S. Boyoglu-Barnum, R. A. Gillespie, S. Himansu, A. Schäfer, C. T. Ziwawo, A. T. DiPiazza, K. H. Dinnon, S. M. Elbashir, C. A. Shaw, A. Woods, E. J. Fritch, D. R. Martinez, K. W. Bock, M. Minai, B. M. Nagata, G. B. Hutchinson, K. Bahl, D. Garcia-Dominguez, L. Ma, I. Renzi, W. P. Kong, S. D. Schmidt, L. Wang, Y. Zhang, L. J. Stevens, E. Phung, L. A. Chang, R. J. Loomis, N. E. Altaras, E. Narayanan, M. Metkar, V. Presnyak, C. Liu, M. K. Louder, W. Shi, K. Leung, E. S. Yang, A. West, K. L. Gully, N. Wang, D. Wrapp, N. A. Doria-Rose, G. Stewart-Jones, H. Bennett, M. C. Nason, T. J. Ruckwardt, J. S. McLellan, M. R. Denison, J. D. Chappell, I. N. Moore, K. M. Morabito, J. R. Mascola, R. S. Baric, A. Carfi, B. S. Graham, SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine development enabled by prototype pathogen preparedness. bioRxiv 2020.06.11.145920 (2020). 32577634
  2. 10.1038/s41586-020-2324-7 · DOI · Paper page
  3. D. E. Dimcheff A. L. Valesano K. E. Rumfelt W. J. Fitzsimmons C. Blair C. Mirabelli J. G. Petrie E. T. Martin C. Bhambhani M. Tewari A. S. Lauring SARS-CoV-2 total and subgenomic RNA viral load in hospitalized patients. medRxiv 2021.02.25.21252493 [Preprint]. 1 March 2021. 10.1101/2021.02.25.21252493 · DOI

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Authors
Corbett, K. S., Nason, M. C., Flach, B., Gagne, M., O’Connell, S., Johnston, T. S., Shah, S. N., Edara, V. V., Floyd, K., Lai, L., McDanal, C., Francica, J. R., Flynn, B., Wu, K., Choi, A., Koch, M., Abiona, O. M., Werner, A. P., Moliva, J. I., Andrew, S. F., Donaldson, M. M., Fintzi, J., Flebbe, D. R., Lamb, E., Noe, A. T., Nurmukhambetova, S. T., Provost, S. J., Cook, A., Dodson, A., Faudree, A., Greenhouse, J., Kar, S., Pessaint, L., Porto, M., Steingrebe, K., Valentin, D., Zouantcha, S., Bock, K. W., Minai, M., Nagata, B. M., van de Wetering, R., Boyoglu-Barnum, S., Leung, K., Shi, W., Yang, E. S., Zhang, Y., Todd, J.-P. M., Wang, L., Alvarado, G. S., Andersen, H., Foulds, K. E., Edwards, D. K., Mascola, J. R., Moore, I. N., Lewis, M. G., Carfi, A., Montefiori, D., Suthar, M. S., McDermott, A., Roederer, M., Sullivan, N. J., Douek, D. C., Graham, B. S., & Seder, R. A.
Affiliations
  • National Institutes of Health (US)
  • Vaccine Research Center, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
  • Emory University (US)
  • Duke Medical Center (US)
  • Moderna Therapeutics (United States) (US)
  • Bioqual (US)
  • Bioqual Inc., Rockville, MD 20850, USA.
  • Moderna Inc., Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
Corresponding author
  • Corbett, Kizzmekia S.
  • Nason, Martha C.
  • Francica, Joseph R.
  • Graham, Barney S.
  • Seder, Robert A.
Venue
Science
Published
2021-09-17
Volume
373
Issue
6561
Pages
eabj0299-eabj0299
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
OpenAlex
W3189985782
Cited by
286
References
47
Citations by year
2026: 13 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 44 · 2023: 50 · 2022: 113 · 2021: 47
FWCI
20.11
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Science (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • U.S. Department of Energy (COVID-19)
  • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (75A50120C00034)
  • Emory University
  • Children's Healthcare of Atlanta
  • Moderna
  • National Institutes of Health (COVID-19)
  • Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education
  • Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (75A50120C00034)
  • NIH Office of the Director
  • National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (COVID-19, ZIAAI005150)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Infectious Diseases › SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
  • Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Animal Science and Zoology › Animal Virus Infections Studies
  • Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › vaccines and immunoinformatics approaches
Keywords
mRNA-1273 vaccine, SARS-CoV-2, correlates of protection, non-human primates, humoral immune response, SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, neutralizing antibodies, viral replication, mucosal immunity, passive transfer, IgG, vaccine dose, surrogate endpoints, hamster
MeSH terms
Immunogenicity, Vaccine, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Vaccines, 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273, Animals, Antibodies, Viral, Antibody Affinity, Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid, Female, Immunoglobulin G, Immunization Schedule, Immunization, Passive, Immunization, Secondary, Immunologic Memory, Lung, Macaca mulatta, Male, Mesocricetus, Nasal Mucosa, Vaccination, Virus Replication, CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes, Antibodies, Neutralizing, Vaccine Potency, Spike Glycoprotein, Coronavirus

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-06.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-06.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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