Prospective cohort study of cannabis use, predisposition for psychosis, and psychotic symptoms in young people
Open accessAbstract
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relation between cannabis use and psychotic symptoms in individuals with above average predisposition for psychosis who first used cannabis during adolescence. DESIGN: Analysis of prospective data from a population based sample. Assessment of substance use, predisposition for psychosis, and psychotic symptoms was based on standardised personal interviews at baseline and at follow up four years later. PARTICIPANTS: 2437 young people (aged 14 to 24 years) with and without predisposition for psychosis. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Psychotic symptoms at follow up as a function of cannabis use and predisposition for psychosis at baseline. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, sex, socioeconomic status, urbanicity, childhood trauma, predisposition for psychosis at baseline, and use of other drugs, tobacco, and alcohol, cannabis use at baseline increased the cumulative incidence of psychotic symptoms at follow up four years later (adjusted odds ratio 1.67, 95% confidence interval 1.13 to 2.46). The effect of cannabis use was much stronger in those with any predisposition for psychosis at baseline (23.8% adjusted difference in risk, 95% confidence interval 7.9 to 39.7, P = 0.003) than in those without (5.6%, 0.4 to 10.8, P = 0.033). The risk difference in the "predisposition" group was significantly greater than the risk difference in the "no predisposition" group (test for interaction 18.2%, 1.6 to 34.8, P = 0.032). There was a dose-response relation with increasing frequency of cannabis use. Predisposition for psychosis at baseline did not significantly predict cannabis use four years later (adjusted odds ratio 1.42, 95% confidence interval 0.88 to 2.31). CONCLUSION: Cannabis use moderately increases the risk of psychotic symptoms in young people but has a much stronger effect in those with evidence of predisposition for psychosis.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The EDSP study found that any cannabis use at baseline was associated with psychotic symptoms 42 months later.
“The EDSP study found that any cannabis use at baseline was associated with psychotic symptoms 42 months later (19).”
From Association Between Cannabis and Psychosis: Epidemiologic Evidence (2016) · cites this paper as [19]
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
Statistical Methods in Cancer Research
Breslow, N. E. (1980) · Cited by 7,332 · see citing works
Statistical methods in cancer research. Volume II--The design and analysis of cohort studies.
Breslow, N., & Day, N. (1987) · IARC scientific publications · doi:10.2307/2983104 · Cited by 4,209 · see citing works
Statistical Methods in Cancer Research. Volume II – The Design and Analysis of Cohort Studies
Juul, S. (1989) · Scandinavian Journal of Social Medicine · doi:10.1177/140349488901700214 · Cited by 3,602 · see citing works
The self-medication hypothesis of addictive disorders: focus on heroin and cocaine dependence
(1985) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/ajp.142.11.1259 · Cited by 2,538 · see citing works
Lr, D., & Derogatis, L. R. (1983) · Medical Entomology and Zoology · Cited by 2,027 · see citing works
Competing interests: none declared.
Hirsch, L. (2006) · Cited by 1,396 · see citing works
The design and analysis of cohort studies
Breslow, N. E., & Day, N. E. (1987) · International Agency for Research on Cancer eBooks · Cited by 1,312 · see citing works
Cannabis and schizophrenia. A longitudinal study of Swedish conscripts
Andréasson, S., Engström, A., Allebeck, P., & Rydberg, U. (1987) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(87)92620-1 · Cited by 1,166 · see citing works
Children's Self-Reported Psychotic Symptoms and Adult Schizophreniform Disorder
Poulton, R., Caspi, A., Moffitt, T. E., Cannon, M. D., Murray, R. M., & Harrington, H. (2000) · Archives of General Psychiatry · doi:10.1001/archpsyc.57.11.1053 · Cited by 1,139 · see citing works
THE CONTINUITY OF PSYCHOTIC EXPERIENCES IN THE GENERAL POPULATION
Johns, L. C., & van Os, J. (2001) · Clinical Psychology Review · doi:10.1016/s0272-7358(01)00103-9 · Cited by 960 · see citing works
Self-citationCannabis use and psychosis: A longitudinal population-based study
van Os, J. (2002) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/aje/kwf043 · Cited by 928 · see citing works
Self-citationWittchen, H.-U., Lachner, G., Wunderlich, U., & Pfister, H. (1998) · Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s001270050095 · Cited by 668 · see citing works
Self-citationMacleod, J., Oakes, R., Copello, A., Crome, I., Egger, M., Hickman, M., Oppenkowski, T., Stokes-Lampard, H., & Smith, G. D. (2004) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(04)16200-4 · Cited by 639 · see citing works
Statistical Methods in Cancer Research, Vol. II: The Design and Analysis of Cohort Studies.
Machin, D., Breslow, N. E., & Day, N. E. (1990) · Biometrics · doi:10.2307/2532481 · Cited by 635 · see citing works
Elevated endogenous cannabinoids in schizophrenia
Leweke, F. M., Giuffrida, A., Wurster, U., Emrich, H. M., & Piomelli, D. (1999) · Neuroreport · doi:10.1097/00001756-199906030-00008 · Cited by 431 · see citing works
Schneider, M., & Koch, M. (2003) · Neuropsychopharmacology · doi:10.1038/sj.npp.1300225 · Cited by 425 · see citing works
Dean, B., Sundram, S., Bradbury, R., Scarr, E., & Copolov, D. (2001) · Neuroscience · doi:10.1016/s0306-4522(00)00552-2 · Cited by 381 · see citing works
Understanding the excess of psychosis among the African-Caribbean population in England
Sharpley, M., Hutchinson, G. A., Murray, R. M., & McKenzie, K. J. (2001) · The British Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1192/bjp.178.40.s60 · Cited by 281 · see citing works
Andréasson, S., Allebeck, P., Engström, A., & Rydberg, U. S. (1988) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(88)91823-5 · Cited by 208 · see citing works
The Early Developmental Stages of Psychopathology Study (EDSP): A Methodological Update
Lieb, R., Isensee, B., von Sydow, K., & Wïttchen, H. (2000) · European Addiction Research · doi:10.1159/000052043 · Cited by 206 · see citing works
Self-citationDegenhardt, L. J., & Hall, W. (2001) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291701003865 · Cited by 193 · see citing works
Effects of cannabis and psychosis vulnerability in daily life: an experience sampling test study
Verdoux, H., Gindre, C., Sorbara, F., Tournier, M., & Swendsen, J. D. (2003) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291702006384 · Cited by 193 · see citing works
Do Urbanicity and Familial Liability Coparticipate in Causing Psychosis?
van Os, J., Hanssen, M., Bak, M., Bijl, R. V., & Vollebergh, W. (2003) · American Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.160.3.477 · Cited by 180 · see citing works
Δ9-Tetrahydroeannabinol enhances presynaptic dopamine efflux In medial prefrontal cortex
Jianping, C., Paredes, W. M., Lowinson, J. H., et al. (1990) · European Journal of Pharmacology · doi:10.1016/0014-2999(90)94136-l · Cited by 141 · see citing works
Biologic Synergism and Parallelism
Darroch, J. N. (1997) · American Journal of Epidemiology · doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a009164 · Cited by 140 · see citing works
Self-report Measures of Schizotypy as Indices of Familial Vulnerability to Schizophrenia
Kendler, K. S., Thacker, L. R., & Walsh, D. (1996) · Schizophrenia Bulletin · doi:10.1093/schbul/22.3.511 · Cited by 135 · see citing works
Cannabis use and dimensions of psychosis in a nonclinical population of female subjects
Verdoux, H., Sorbara, F., Gindre, C., Swendsen, J. D., & van Os, J. (2002) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/s0920-9964(01)00401-7 · Cited by 111 · see citing works
Read, J., & Ross, C. A. (2003) · Journal of the American Academy of Psychoanalysis and Dynamic Psychiatry · doi:10.1521/jaap.31.1.247.21938 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
(2004) · Child Care Health and Development · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2214.2004.00483_3.x · Cited by 36 · see citing works
Do urbanicity and familial liability co-participate in causing psychosis?
van Os, J., Hanssen, M., Bak, M., Bijl, R. V., & Vollebergh, W. (2003) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/s0920-9964(03)80543-1 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Research works printed but not linked: 1
- Hans-Ulrich Wittchen professor Correspondence to: J van Os j.vanos@sp.unimaas.nl Papers BMJ Online First bmj.com page 5 of 5 on 8 July 2023 at University of Texas Rio Grande Valley. Protected by copyright. http://www.bmj.com/ BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.38267.664086.63 on 1 December 2004. Downloaded from
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Cannabis use and risk of psychotic or affective mental health outcomes: a systematic review.
Moore, T. H., Zammit, S., Lingford-Hughes, A., Barnes, T. R., Jones, P. B., Burke, M., & Lewis, G. (2007) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(07)61162-3 · Cited by 2,224 · see citing works
Read, J., van Os, J., Morrison, A. P., & Ross, C. A. (2005) · Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica · doi:10.1111/j.1600-0447.2005.00634.x · Cited by 1,534 · see citing works
Self-citationCaspi, A., Moffitt, T. E., Cannon, M., McClay, J., Murray, R., Harrington, H., Taylor, A., Arseneault, L., Williams, B., Braithwaite, A., et al. (2005) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2005.01.026 · Cited by 1,409 · see citing works
Gene–environment interactions in psychiatry: joining forces with neuroscience
Caspi, A., & Moffitt, T. E. (2006) · Nature Reviews Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/nrn1925 · Cited by 1,300 · see citing works
Linscott, R. J., & van Os, J. (2013) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291712001626 · Cited by 1,181 · see citing works
Self-citationGene-environment interplay and psychopathology: multiple varieties but real effects
Rutter, M., Moffitt, T. E., & Caspi, A. (2006) · Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry · doi:10.1111/j.1469-7610.2005.01557.x · Cited by 1,058 · see citing works
Stress-reactivity in psychosis: Evidence for an affective pathway to psychosis
Myin-Germeys, I., & van Os, J. (2007) · Clinical Psychology Review · doi:10.1016/j.cpr.2006.09.005 · Cited by 719 · see citing works
Self-citationDi Forti, M., Marconi, A., Carra, E., Fraietta, S., Trotta, A., Bonomo, M., Bianconi, F., Gardner-Sood, P., O'Connor, J., Russo, M., et al. (2015) · The Lancet Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/s2215-0366(14)00117-5 · Cited by 588 · see citing works
Black, N., Stockings, E., Campbell, G., Tran, L. T., Zagic, D., Hall, W. D., Farrell, M., & Degenhardt, L. (2019) · The Lancet Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/s2215-0366(19)30401-8 · Cited by 564 · see citing works
Association Between Cannabis and Psychosis: Epidemiologic Evidence
Gage, S. H., Hickman, M., & Zammit, S. (2016) · Biological Psychiatry · doi:10.1016/j.biopsych.2015.08.001 · Cited by 379 · see citing works
Wittchen, H.-U., Fröhlich, C., Behrendt, S., Günther, A., Rehm, J., Zimmermann, P., Lieb, R., & Perkonigg, A. (2007) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2006.12.013 · Cited by 311 · see citing works
Self-citationKuepper, R., van Os, J., Lieb, R., Wittchen, H.-U., Hofler, M., & Henquet, C. (2011) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.d738 · Cited by 304 · see citing works
Self-citationPsychotic experiences in the general population: a twenty-year prospective community study
Rössler, W., Riecher-Rössler, A., Angst, J., Murray, R., Gamma, A., Eich, D., van Os, J., & Gross, V. A. (2007) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2007.01.002 · Cited by 299 · see citing works
COUGNARD, A., MARCELIS, M., MYIN-GERMEYS, I., DE GRAAF, R., VOLLEBERGH, W., KRABBENDAM, L., LIEB, R., WITTCHEN, H.-U., HENQUET, C., SPAUWEN, J., et al. (2007) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291706009731 · Cited by 276 · see citing works
Self-citationAdolescence as a vulnerable period to alter rodent behavior
Schneider, M. (2013) · Cell and Tissue Research · doi:10.1007/s00441-013-1581-2 · Cited by 266 · see citing works
Reasons for increased substance use in psychosis
Gregg, L., Barrowclough, C., & Haddock, G. (2007) · Clinical Psychology Review · doi:10.1016/j.cpr.2006.09.004 · Cited by 249 · see citing works
Adolescent cannabis use and psychosis: epidemiology and neurodevelopmental models
Malone, D. T., Hill, M. N., & Rubino, T. (2010) · British Journal of Pharmacology · doi:10.1111/j.1476-5381.2010.00721.x · Cited by 237 · see citing works
Cannabis and psychiatric disorders: it is not only addiction
Leweke, F. M., & Koethe, D. (2008) · Addiction Biology · doi:10.1111/j.1369-1600.2008.00106.x · Cited by 213 · see citing works
Cannabis use predicts future psychotic symptoms, and vice versa
Ferdinand, R. F., Sondeijker, F., Van Der Ende, J., Selten, J., Huizink, A., & Verhulst, F. C. (2005) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2005.01070.x · Cited by 212 · see citing works
Harley, M., Kelleher, I., Clarke, M., Lynch, F., Arseneault, L., Connor, D., Fitzpatrick, C., & Cannon, M. (2010) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291709991966 · Cited by 206 · see citing works
Genetic predisposition to schizophrenia associated with increased use of cannabis
Power, R. A., Verweij, K. J. H., Zuhair, M., Montgomery, G. W., Henders, A. K., Heath, A. C., Madden, P. A. F., Medland, S. E., Wray, N. R., & Martin, N. G. (2014) · Molecular Psychiatry · doi:10.1038/mp.2014.51 · Cited by 196 · see citing works
Psychotic symptom and cannabis relapse in recent-onset psychosis: Prospective study
Hides, L., Dawe, S., Kavanagh, D. J., & Young, R. M. (2006) · British Journal of Psychiatry · doi:10.1192/bjp.bp.105.014308 · Cited by 166 · see citing works
Cannabis and the developing brain: Insights from behavior
Trezza, V., Cuomo, V., & Vanderschuren, L. J. M. J. (2008) · European Journal of Pharmacology · doi:10.1016/j.ejphar.2008.01.058 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Lataster, J., Myin‐Germeys, I., Lieb, R., Wittchen, H. ‐., & van Os, J. (2012) · Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica · doi:10.1111/j.1600-0447.2011.01805.x · Cited by 117 · see citing works
Self-citationKuepper, R., Morrison, P. D., van Os, J., Murray, R. M., Kenis, G., & Henquet, C. (2010) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2010.05.031 · Cited by 116 · see citing works
Self-citationKiburi, S. K., Molebatsi, K., Ntlantsana, V., & Lynskey, M. T. (2021) · Substance Abuse · doi:10.1080/08897077.2021.1876200 · Cited by 115 · see citing works
Aragona, M., Onesti, E., Tomassini, V., Conte, A., Gupta, S., Gilio, F., Pantano, P., Pozzilli, C., & Inghilleri, M. (2009) · Clinical Neuropharmacology · doi:10.1097/wnf.0b013e3181633497 · Cited by 109 · see citing works
Davis, G. P., Compton, M. T., Wang, S., Levin, F. R., & Blanco, C. (2013) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2013.10.018 · Cited by 95 · see citing works
Gage, S. H., Hickman, M., Heron, J., Munafò, M. R., Lewis, G., Macleod, J., & Zammit, S. (2014) · Psychological Medicine · doi:10.1017/s0033291714000531 · Cited by 91 · see citing works
Koethe, D., Gerth, C. W., Neatby, M. A., Haensel, A., Thies, M., Schneider, U., Emrich, H. M., Klosterkötter, J., Schultze-Lutter, F., & Leweke, F. M. (2006) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2006.07.023 · Cited by 93 · see citing works
Marijuana use trajectories during college predict health outcomes nine years post-matriculation.
Arria, A. M., Caldeira, K. M., Bugbee, B. A., Vincent, K. B., & O’Grady, K. E. (2016) · Drug and Alcohol Dependence · doi:10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2015.12.009 · Cited by 71 · see citing works
Hides, L., Lubman, D. I., Buckby, J., Yuen, H. P., Cosgrave, E., Baker, K., & Yung, A. R. (2009) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2009.04.001 · Cited by 69 · see citing works
“These findings are consistent with accumulating evidence suggesting that cannabis exposure is associated with the development of both clinical and non-clinical psychotic symptoms (Arseneault et al., 2002; Henquet et al., 2005a; Moore et al., 2007; van Os et al., 2002).”
Predictors of mental disorders and their outcome in a community based cohort
Beard, J. R., Heathcote, K., Brooks, R., Earnest, A., & Kelly, B. (2007) · Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology · doi:10.1007/s00127-007-0182-3 · Cited by 50 · see citing works
van Gastel, W. A., Vreeker, A., Schubart, C. D., MacCabe, J. H., Kahn, R. S., & Boks, M. P. M. (2014) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2014.04.023 · Cited by 37 · see citing works
Mild hearing impairment and psychotic experiences in a normal aging population
van der Werf, M., van Boxtel, M., Verhey, F., Jolles, J., Thewissen, V., & van Os, J. (2007) · Schizophrenia Research · doi:10.1016/j.schres.2007.04.006 · Cited by 34 · see citing works
Implications of research on comorbidity for the nature and management of substance misuse
Mueser, K. T., Kavanagh, D. J., & Brunette, M. F. (2007) · Translation of Addictions Science Into Practice · doi:10.1016/b978-008044927-2/50063-8 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
Chapter 4.5 The endocannabinoid system and anxiety responses
Bortolato, M., & Piomelli, D. (2008) · Handbook of Behavioral Neuroscience · doi:10.1016/s1569-7339(07)00014-8 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
- Authors
- Henquet, C., Krabbendam, L., Spauwen, J., Kaplan, C., Lieb, R., Wittchen, H.-U., & van Os, J.
- Affiliations
- Maastricht University (NL)
- Max Planck Society (DE)
- Venue
- BMJ
- Publisher
- BMJ
- Published
- 2004-12-01
- Volume
- 330
- Issue
- 7481
- Pages
- 11
- ISSN
- 1756-1833 (ISSN-L)
- 0959-8138
- PMC
- PMC539839
- OpenAlex
- W2146519036
- Cited by
- 765
- References
- 30
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 19 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 14 · 2020: 28 · 2019: 20 · 2018: 32 · 2017: 42 · 2016: 32 · 2015: 58 · 2014: 42 · 2013: 39 · 2012: 49
- FWCI
- 25.33
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- BMJ (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics (submittedVersion)
- HighWire Press Open Archive (submittedVersion)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion)
- Qucosa (Saxon State and University Library Dresden) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Radboud Repository (Radboud University) (submittedVersion)
- Radboud Repository (Radboud University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Funders
- National Institutes of Health
- National Institute on Drug Abuse (R01DA016977)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Pharmacology › Cannabis and Cannabinoid Research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Schizophrenia research and treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Keywords
- cannabis use, psychotic symptoms, youth, adolescence, cannabis use disorder, dose-response relationship, interaction effects, substance use, mental health risk
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Marijuana Abuse, Disease Susceptibility, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Male, Prospective Studies, Psychoses, Substance-Induced, Risk Factors, Cohort Studies
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review