Adaptation to climate change: Evidence from US agriculture

Burke, Marshall; Emerick, Kyle

doi:10.1257/pol.20130025

Cited by 922Climate change impacts on agricultureClimate Change Policy and EconomicsAgricultural risk and resilience

Adaptation to climate change: Evidence from US agriculture

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Burke, Marshall, Emerick, Kyle·2016·American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

DOI 10.1257/pol.20130025

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Abstract

Understanding the potential impacts of climate change on economic outcomes requires knowing how agents might adapt to a changing climate. We exploit large variation in recent temperature and precipitation trends to identify adaptation to climate change in US agriculture, and use this information to generate new estimates of the potential impact of future climate change on agricultural outcomes. Longer run adaptations appear to have mitigated less than half—and more likely none—of the large negative short-run impacts of extreme heat on productivity. Limited recent adaptation implies substantial losses under future climate change in the absence of countervailing investments. (JEL Q11, Q15, Q51, Q54)

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Authors: Burke, M., & Emerick, K.
Affiliations: Stanford University (US)
Tufts University (US)
ORCID: Burke, Marshall
Emerick, Kyle
Venue: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Publisher: American Economic Association
Published: 2016-08-01
Volume: 8
Issue: 3
Pages: 106-140
ISSN: 1945-7731 (ISSN-L)
1945-774X
DOI: 10.1257/pol.20130025
OpenAlex: W2208007485
Cited by: 922
References: 46
Citations by year: 2026: 85 · 2025: 106 · 2024: 120 · 2023: 112 · 2022: 107 · 2021: 117 · 2020: 74 · 2019: 52 · 2018: 54 · 2017: 33 · 2016: 23 · 2015: 19 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 4 · 2012: 3
FWCI: 11.07
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: bronze
doi.org
Locations: American Economic Journal Economic Policy (publishedVersion)
SSRN Electronic Journal (publishedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics: Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics › Climate change impacts on agriculture
Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Soil Science › Agricultural risk and resilience
Keywords: climate change adaptation, agricultural productivity, extreme heat, temperature trends, precipitation trends, climate change impacts on agriculture, United States agriculture

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Adaptation to climate change: Evidence from US agriculture

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