The DOI matches its Crossref record; 108 of the 108 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; 35 of the 114 sources its claims cite were checked for support.
Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems
Open accessAbstract
Ecosystem productivity in coastal ocean upwelling systems is threatened by climate change. Increases in spring and summer upwelling intensity, and associated increases in the rate of offshore advection, are expected. While this could counter effects of habitat warming, it could also lead to more frequent hypoxic events and lower densities of suitable-sized food particles for fish larvae. With upwelling intensification, ocean acidity will rise, affecting organisms with carbonate structures. Regardless of changes in upwelling, near-surface stratification, turbulent diffusion rates, source water origins, and perhaps thermocline depths associated with large-scale climate episodes (ENSO) maybe affected. Major impacts on pelagic fish resources appear unlikely unless couples with overfishing, although changes toward more subtropical community composition are likely. Marine mammals and seabirds that are tied to sparsely distributed nesting or resting grounds could experience difficulties in obtaining prey resources, or adaptively respond by moving to more favorable biogeographic provinces.
Overview
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This review synthesizes anticipated climate-change effects on the four major eastern boundary upwelling systems, emphasizing likely intensification of upwelling-favorable winds and offshore advection alongside warming, stratification, hypoxia, and acidification. It concludes that pelagic fish impacts may be limited unless coupled with overfishing, while seabirds and marine mammals tied to fixed nesting or resting sites may be especially vulnerable.
Key findings
- Increased spring and summer upwelling intensity and offshore advection are expected; this could partially counter habitat warming but may also lead to more frequent hypoxic events and lower densities of suitable-sized food particles for fish larvae. Ocean acidity is expected to rise with upwelling intensification, affecting organisms with carbonate structures.
- A meta-analysis cited by the review confirms a general pattern of increasing reports of positive trends in upwelling-favorable wind intensity in a majority of upwelling regions (California, Benguela, and Humboldt) during recent decades. Hadley Cells are predicted to expand poleward, with the Northern Hemisphere Hadley Cell decreasing in intensity and the Southern Hemisphere Hadley Cell increasing.
- The hypoxic boundary (dissolved oxygen 60 μM/kg) shoaled by up to 80 m over 1984–2006 in the Southern California Bight; the northern California Current has seen increased frequency and severity of hypoxic events and occasional water-column anoxia on the inner continental shelf, with dead zones observed on the Oregon shelf. Methane/hydrogen sulfide eruptions near Namibia have extended over more than 20,000 km² of ocean surface.
- The relationship between upwelling and small pelagic fish production is thought to be dome-shaped (optimal environmental window), with moderate upwelling maximizing production. Major impacts on pelagic fish resources appear unlikely unless coupled with overfishing, although shifts toward more subtropical community composition are likely; seabirds and marine mammals tied to sparsely distributed nesting or resting grounds could struggle to obtain prey or move to more favorable biogeographic provinces.
Methods
- Design: brief review and conceptual synthesis, not a primary data-collection study.
- Data/sample: focuses on the four principal eastern boundary upwelling systems—Benguela, Canary/Iberian, Peru-Humboldt, and California Current.
- Main analysis: narrative synthesis of general circulation model projections, observational time series, regional downscaling studies, a meta-analysis of the Bakun Hypothesis, and ecological hypotheses such as the optimal environmental window and match-mismatch.
Limitations
- Stated: confident prediction is elusive in complex-adaptive marine ecosystems; high intrinsic EBUS variability may make future responses exceed historical/millennial ranges; GCMs have no consensus on future ENSO, PDO, NAO, or AMO statistics; Bakun Hypothesis tests with large grid-scale models have mixed results and may depend on model resolution; acidification projections remain uncertain due to insufficient fine-scale atmosphere-ocean dynamics; marine mammals are less intensively studied than seabirds; methane eruption importance beyond the Benguela system has not been examined; and the interplay among stratification, source-water depth/origin, and upwelling wind strength is unresolved.
- Stated: the review is explicitly brief and relies on “informed speculation” and a conceptual template rather than confident prediction.
- Evident from the text: many impacts are qualitative or hypothesized, and the authors do not present new empirical data or their own formal model ensemble or quantitative uncertainty analysis; several conclusions depend on cited meta-analyses and models.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
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Claims the paper makes
57 Own interpretation · 26 No full text of the sources · 16 Partly supported · 9 Supported so far · 8 Sources not found · 5 Not checked yet · 4 Supported · 2 No basis given · 1 Not supported · 1 Couldn’t confirm · accuracy not yet measured
At least one cited source doesn’t support this claim or points to a different paper, and none confirmed it — see the verdicts below.
In the paper
“though a recent meta-analysis demonstrated that redistributions have been well documented only for fish [33].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Seabirds and Marine Mammals
What the sources say
- Disputedcites [33] Poloczanska ES, Brown CJ, Sydeman WJ, et al. Global imprint of climate change on marine life. Nat Clim Chang. 2013;3:919–25. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The paper’s “Changes in phenology and distribution” section describes documented range expansions of intertidal invertebrates as well as shifts in flatfish. Its “Community composition” section also analyzes distribution-shift rates for several non-fish groups. The claim that redistributions have been well documented only for fish is therefore contrary to the paper’s account. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Checked by a reasoning model — may be wrong.
boosted- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Disputed
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“The Hadley Cells are predicted to expand poleward in both hemispheres, and observational evidence indicates this has already begun to occur [7,8].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [7] Lu J, Vecchi GA, Reichler T. Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys Res Lett. 2007;34:L06805. source
- Supportedcites [8] Seager R, Naik N, Vecchi GA. Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle in response to global warming. J Clim. 2010;23:4651–68. source
Section 5 describes projected twenty-first-century circulation changes on the poleward flanks of the subtropics in both hemispheres and relates them to poleward Hadley-cell expansion. The conclusions likewise describe that expansion as projected. This supports the quoted prediction; the separate observational claim is not part of the claim being assessed. (LLM, conf=0.90)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“These small pelagic fish species often comprise a substantial portion of the total animal biomass in EBUS, and fluctuations in their abundance have both top-down and bottom-up effects [5], serving as a key trophic control for large populations of higher trophic-level seabirds, marine mammals, and a variety of commercially important fish.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Introduction
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [5] Schwartzlose RA, Alheit J, Bakun A, et al. Worldwide large-scale fluctuations of sardine and anchovy populations. S Afr J Mar Sci. 1999;21:289–347. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The South-Eastern Pacific section describes very large sardine and anchovy catches in the Humboldt system, and Consequences for Ecosystem Functioning says a few forage-fish species can dominate energy transfer. Neither passage establishes what proportion of total animal biomass these fish comprise across eastern boundary upwelling systems. (LLM, conf=0.78)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“In the Canary/Iberian EBUS, variation in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) impact these ecosystems [21].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [21] Pérez FF, Padin XA, Pazos Y, et al. Plankton response to weakening of the Iberian coastal upwelling. Glob Change Biol. 2010;16:1258–67. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The paper’s Abstract (page not provided) links weakening Iberian upwelling with the North Atlantic Oscillation and reports resulting ecosystem changes. Our copy does not link those changes to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (searched: “Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation,” “AMO,” and “multidecadal”), so it supports only the NAO portion of the claim. (LLM, conf=0.87)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Finally, predictions of physical change are complicated by basin-scale modes of climate variability at interannual to decadal scales that strongly impact upwelling intensity and ocean conditions.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [20] Shannon LV, Boyd AJ, Brundrit GB, Tauntonclark J. On the existence of an El Niño-type phenomenon in the Benguela System. J Mar Res. 1986;44:495–520. source
- Partly supportedcites [21] Pérez FF, Padin XA, Pazos Y, et al. Plankton response to weakening of the Iberian coastal upwelling. Glob Change Biol. 2010;16:1258–67. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Abstract links weakening Iberian upwelling with changes in sea-level pressure and a correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation. A discussion passage says large-scale atmospheric modes can produce differing local sea-surface-temperature effects. These passages support climate variability affecting upwelling and ocean conditions, but do not establish interannual-to-decadal timescales or strong effects across EBUS generally. Page numbers were not supplied for these passages. (LLM, conf=0.84)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [6] Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, et al. Technical summary. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, et al., editors. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2013.
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [22] Collins M, An S-I, Cai W, et al. The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific ocean and El Niño. Nat Geosci. 2010;3:391–7. source
boosteddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The cited sources that could be checked couldn’t confirm or dispute this claim.
In the paper
“The Hadley Cells are predicted to expand poleward in both hemispheres, and observational evidence indicates this has already begun to occur [7,8].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [7] Lu J, Vecchi GA, Reichler T. Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophys Res Lett. 2007;34:L06805. source
- Could not verifycites [8] Seager R, Naik N, Vecchi GA. Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle in response to global warming. J Clim. 2010;23:4651–68. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section 5 discusses a modeled change from the twentieth to the twenty-first century, and the Conclusions describe Hadley-cell expansion as projected. Searches for observed or already-occurring expansion found no passage in our copy reporting observational evidence that the cells have begun expanding in both hemispheres. (LLM, conf=0.74)
hedged- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“although simulations done with finer spatial resolution climate models of the California system offer evidence that representation of the BH dynamics may be dependent on model resolution [18,19].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [18] Mote PW, Mantua NJ. Coastal upwelling in a warmer future. Geophys Res Lett. 2002;29:2138. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Results and Discussion (§3, paragraph 12) report substantial differences between two models in upwelling winds off western North America, so the paper supports model-dependent representation of coastal upwelling. It does not compare finer and coarser spatial resolutions or show that representation of BH dynamics depends on resolution. (LLM, conf=0.76)
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [19] Snyder MA, Sloan LC, Diffenbaugh NS, Bell JL. Future climate change and upwelling in the California Current. Geophys Res Lett. 2003;30:1823–6. source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“For many fish species, the greatest risk from climate change may operate during larval and/or juvenile stages, when survival and recruitment are strongly dependent on having sufficient planktonic food resources at the right time and place [23][24][25][26][27].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Biophysical Responses
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [23] Cushing DH. Plankton production and year-class strength in fish populations—an update of the match-mismatch hypothesis. Adv Mar Biol. 1990;26:249–93. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [24] Landeira JM, Lozando-Soldevilla F, Hernandez-León S. Temporal and alongshore distribution of decapod larvae in the oceanic island of Gran Canaria (NW Africa). J Plankton Res. 2012;35:309–22. source
- Partly supportedcites [25] Grémillet D, Lewis S, Drapeau L, et al. Spatial match-mismatch in the Benguela upwelling zone: should we expect chlorophyll and sea-surface temperature to predict marine predator distributions? J Appl Ecol. 2008;45:610–21. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The “Mismatch of Zooplankton and Pelagic Fish” section (p. 9) identifies planktonic food availability at spawning sites as a possible influence on fish condition and egg production, and discusses whether juveniles reach nursery areas and recruit. It does not establish that larval or juvenile survival depends strongly on plankton arriving at the right time and place, or that these stages pose the greatest climate-change risk for many fish species. (LLM, conf=0.82)
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“large-scale ocean circulation could advect these modified deep waters into EBUS [54].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [54] Deutsch C, Emerson S, Thompson L. Fingerprints of climate change in North Pacific oxygen. Geophys Res Lett. 2005;32:L16604. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Results (§3, paragraph 16) describe oxygen-modified water moving through the North Pacific thermocline, and the Summary (§4, paragraph 18) attributes some oxygen variability to water-mass transport. Those passages support circulation carrying modified water, but they do not describe deep waters being advected into eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUS). (LLM, conf=0.86)
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Partly supported
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Other species, such as Humboldt squid, which have migrated north into the California Current in recent years [63]”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [63] Stewart JS, Hazen EL, Foley DG, Bograd SJ, Gilly WF. Marine predator migration during range expansion: Humboldt squid (Dosidicus gigas) in the northern California Current system. Mar Ecol Prog Ser. 2012;471:135–50. source
The Introduction states that Humboldt squid underwent a major range expansion in the northern California Current System during the preceding decade. The paper also describes their range extending north from Mexico to California and beyond, supporting the paraphrase. (LLM, conf=0.93)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
- Supported
- It may state two separate claims as one. 34
- Probably not a substantial claim. 28
- Not yet classified. 1
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“the Northern Hemisphere Hadley Cell is predicted to decrease in intensity while that of the Southern Hemisphere will increase in intensity [9].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [9] Ma J, Xie S-P. Regional patterns of sea surface temperature change: a source of uncertainty in future projections of precipitation and atmospheric circulation. J Clim. 2013;26:2482–501. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The AGCM sensitivity experiments section reports a weakening of the Northern Hemisphere Hadley circulation and slight strengthening of the Southern Hemisphere cell in the CMIP3 ensemble mean. But the Conclusions and discussion section says the change near and south of the equator is weak and subject to large intermodel variability, so an unqualified prediction that the Southern Hemisphere cell will intensify overstates the source. Page numbers are not available in the supplied passages. (LLM, conf=0.88)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“These small pelagic fish species often comprise a substantial portion of the total animal biomass in EBUS, and fluctuations in their abundance have both top-down and bottom-up effects [5], serving as a key trophic control for large populations of higher trophic-level seabirds, marine mammals, and a variety of commercially important fish.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Introduction
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [5] Schwartzlose RA, Alheit J, Bakun A, et al. Worldwide large-scale fluctuations of sardine and anchovy populations. S Afr J Mar Sci. 1999;21:289–347. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
In “Consequences for Ecosystem Functioning,” the paper describes sardine and anchovy as a link between plankton and predators and says abundance shifts may affect both lower and higher trophic levels. “Impacts on seabirds” gives examples of effects on birds. The cited passages do not establish the claim’s more specific trophic-control role for marine mammals or commercially important predatory fish, and the paper frames the broader effects as expected rather than established in every case. (LLM, conf=0.84)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“This idea was originally supported by emerging interregional patterns of observed sea-surface wind stress, and has been periodically tested against time series of observed data in all four regional EBUS [12,13].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [12] Barton ED, Field DB, Roy C. Canary current upwelling: more or less? Prog Oceanogr. 2013;116:167–78. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
- Partly supportedcites [13] Cropper TE, Hanna E, Bigg GR. Spatial and temporal seasonal trends in coastal upwelling off Northwest Africa, 1981–2012. Deep-Sea Res Pt I. 2014;86:94–111. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Split into 2 atoms — 1 confirmed, 1 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“It is still unclear how these future shifts in the Hadley Cell might impact the ocean high-pressure systems [6], which are major drivers of upwelling winds and appear to be largely responsible for their variability [10].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [6] Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, et al. Technical summary. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, et al., editors. Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2013.
- Supportedcites [10] García-Reyes M, Sydeman WJ, Black BA, et al. Relative influence of oceanic and terrestrial pressure systems in driving upwelling-favorable winds. Geophys Res Lett. 2013;40:5311–5. source
The Abstract states that oceanic high-pressure systems dominate variability in upwelling-favorable winds, particularly in winter. It also notes an exception: oceanic highs and continental thermal lows have equal influence on Benguela summer winds. (LLM, conf=0.91)
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“Some modeling studies [e.g., 44] also suggest that the increase in upwelling-favorable winds could effectively counteract enhanced thermal stratification.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [44] Auad G, Miller A, Di Lorenzo E. Long term forecast of oceanic conditions off California and biological implications. J Geophys Res. 2006;111:C09008. source
The Discussion and Conclusion (section 4, paragraph 25) says increased upwelling-favorable wind stress and wind stress curl overcome the unfavorable effect of increased stratification. The model also forecasts increased spring upwelling velocities despite a warmer, more stratified upper ocean, matching the citing sentence’s qualified claim. (LLM, conf=0.94)
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Supported
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Model experiments tracing the history of these waters in the North Pacific indicate that they are subducted from the surface layer at locations well offshore of the EBUS and may remain at depth for decades prior to being upwelled, in the meantime accumulating remineralized nutrients and carbon dioxide while oxygen is being consumed by respiration [51].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [51] Rykaczewski RR, Dunne JP. Enhanced nutrient supply to the California Current ecosystem with global warming and increased stratification in an earth system model. Geophys Res Lett. 2010;37. L21606. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“Upper ocean warming could increase water column stratification [37][38][39], potentially counteracting the effects of intensifying upwelling-favorable winds by reducing the efficacy of coastal upwelling to deliver nutrients to the euphotic zone.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [37] Sarmiento JL, Hughes TMC, Stouffer RJ, Manabe S. Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming. Nature. 1998;393:245–9. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [38] Roemmich D, McGowan J. Climatic warming and the decline of zooplankton in the California Current. Science. 1995;267:1324–6. source
- Supportedcites [39] Palacios DM, Bograd SJ, Mendelssohn R, Schwing FB. Long-term and seasonal trends in stratification in the California Current, 1950–1993. J Geophys Res. 2004;109:C10016. source
The Summary and Conclusions (§5, ¶35) link long-term warming with enhanced stratification. The Biological Implications section (§4.3, ¶28) also describes near-surface warming leading to increased stratification and reduced input of nutrient-rich water. These passages support the warming–stratification point to which the citation is attached. (LLM, conf=0.92)
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“A long-term trend toward declining oxygen content in the southern California Current has been observed, with the hypoxic boundary (defined as the depth at which dissolved oxygen is 60 uM/kg) shoaling by up to 80 m over the period 1984-2006 in the Southern California Bight [55,56].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [55] Bograd SJ, Castro CG, Di Lorenzo E, Palacios DM, Bailey H, Gilly W, et al. Oxygen declines and the shoaling of the hypoxic boundary in the California Current. Geophys Res Lett. 2008;35:L12607. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
The Abstract reports declining dissolved oxygen in the southern California Current over 1984–2006. Section 3, paragraph 9, reports that the hypoxic boundary shoaled within the Southern California Bight, but gives a maximum of 90 m, not the claimed 80 m. (LLM, conf=0.90)
- Partly supportedcites [56] McClatchie S, Goericke R, Cosgrove R, Auad G, Vetter R. Oxygen in the Southern California bight: multidecadal trends and implications for demersal fisheries. Geophys Res Lett. 2010;37:L19602. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Section 3.1, paragraphs [12–13], reports declining oxygen and a shoaling hypoxic zone in recent decades. It recounts Bograd et al.’s finding of up to 80 m of shoaling, but this paper’s own estimate is 65 m inshore. The paper defines hypoxia using 1.5 ml L−1, not the claimed 60 µM/kg boundary, and its time series ends in 2007 rather than 2006. (LLM, conf=0.88)
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“although this decline has been attributed primarily to a change in the abundance of pelagic tunicates [42,43].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [42] Lavaniegos BE, Ohman MD. Long-term changes in pelagic tunicates of the California Current. Deep-Sea Res Pt II. 2003;50:2473–98. source
- Supportedcites [43] Lavaniegos BE, Ohman MD. Coherence of long-term variations of zooplankton in two sectors of the California Current system. Prog Oceanogr. 2007;75:42–69. source
The Discussion (§4.1) says the long-term decline in pelagic tunicates, particularly salps, accounted for the principal biomass variations measured by zooplankton displacement volume. The Conclusions (§5) likewise say this decline explains the previously documented decline in displacement volume. The paper distinguishes that measure from organic-carbon biomass, for which it found no long-term decline. (LLM, conf=0.92)
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
The cited sources support only part of this claim — read each source’s verdict below.
In the paper
“Related to the concept of spring transition, upwelling winds in the California Current occur in distinct winter and summer seasonal Bmodes,^each with unique atmospheric drivers [10] and differential impacts on biological processes, as documented in rockfish (Sebastes spp.) growth and seabird reproductive success [85].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Trophic Interactions, Match-Mismatch, and Phenological Responses
What the sources say
- Partly supportedcites [10] García-Reyes M, Sydeman WJ, Black BA, et al. Relative influence of oceanic and terrestrial pressure systems in driving upwelling-favorable winds. Geophys Res Lett. 2013;40:5311–5. sourceExperimental — accuracy not yet measured
Split into 2 atoms — 0 confirmed, 2 partially supported, 0 disputed, 0 misattributed, 0 unverifiable. Expand the claim to see per-atom verdicts.
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [85] Black BA, Schroeder ID, Sydeman WJ, Bograd SJ, Wells BK, Schwing FB. Winter and summer upwelling modes and their relevance to climate impacts and ecological response in the California Current ecosystem. Glob Chang Biol. 2011;17:2536–45. source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Partly supported
The sources with a verdict support this claim; the rest weren’t checked yet, have no full text we could read, or their verdicts aren’t rated yet.
In the paper
“and has been applied to cod stocks in the North Sea [90] as well as salmon and seabirds in California [82,91].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [90] Beaugrand G, Brander KM, Lindley JA, Souissi S, Reid PC. Plankton effect on cod recruitment in the North Sea. Nature. 2003;426:661–4. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [82] Sydeman WJ, Bradley RW, Warzybok P, et al. Planktivorous auklet Ptychoramphus aleuticus responses to ocean climate, 2005: unusual atmospheric blocking? Geophys Res Lett. 2006;33:L22S09. source
- Supportedcites [91] Dorman JG, Powell TM, Sydeman WJ, Bograd SJ. Advection and starvation cause krill (Euphausia pacifica) decreases in 2005 Northern California coastal populations: implications from a model study. Geophys Res Lett. 2011;38:L04605. source
The Introduction (§1, paragraph 3; page not provided) describes hypothesized mismatches between krill availability and both coastal seabirds and juvenile salmon in California. The North Sea cod portion has a separate citation and is not attributed to this source. (LLM, conf=0.92)
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. It may state two separate claims as one.
Every source the paper cites for this claim was checked and supports it.
In the paper
“In another example, delayed transition to upwelling is hypothesized to have resulted in a temporal mismatch between arrival of coho salmon smolts at sea and food production from upwelling [92].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
What the sources say
- Supportedcites [92] Logerwell EA, Mantua N, Lawson PW, Francis RC, Agostini VN. Tracking environmental processes in the coastal zone for understanding and predicting Oregon coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) marine survival. Fish Oceanogr. 2003;12:554–68. source
The Conceptual model proposes that a mismatch between the onset of upwelling and smolt migration could leave smolts without favourable habitat on arrival at sea. The Discussion states more specifically that a later spring transition may contribute to poor coho survival through a temporal mismatch between smolt arrival and seasonal increases in food production in nearshore upwelling habitat. This matches the citing sentence’s description of a hypothesis, not an established causal finding. (LLM, conf=0.94)
hedgeddirect- Asserted: fails — The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Supported
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Increases in spring and summer upwelling intensity, and associated increases in the rate of offshore advection, are expected.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Abstract
plaincorrelational- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: Greenhouse gas concentrations will continue to build up in Earth's atmosphere.
In the paper
“The BH suggests that under global warming, continental temperatures will rise faster during the local heating seasons than will temperatures in the nearby ocean, thereby steepening the cross-shore pressure gradients that drive upwelling-favorable winds (Fig. 1b, c).”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [11] Bakun A. Global climate change and intensification of coastal ocean upwelling. Science. 1990;247:198–201. source
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Marine mammals and seabirds that are tied to sparsely distributed nesting or resting grounds could experience difficulties in obtaining prey resources, or adaptively respond by moving to more favorable biogeographic provinces.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Abstract
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“but warming may also have direct negative impacts on the production of phytoplankton and zooplankton.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Biophysical Responses
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“These eastern boundary upwelling systems (EBUS) are among the most productive of the world's marine ecosystems [1,2].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Introduction
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [1] Ryther JH. Photosynthesis and fish production in the sea. Science. 1969;166:72–6. source
- Not matchedcites [2] Cushing DH. Upwelling and fish production. FAO Fish Tech Pap. 1969;84:40.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Not yet classified.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“With upwelling intensification, ocean acidity will rise, affecting organisms with carbonate structures.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Abstract
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“If changes to physiological functions are substantial, variation in species' abundances can translate into changes in productivity, phenology, and community composition, hence interspecific relationships and ecosystem functions [28].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Biophysical Responses
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [28] Parmesan C. Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst. 2006;37:637–69. source
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“This pattern of increased upwelling-favorable wind intensity could be due to other climate-related mechanisms, such as natural multi-decadal climate variability, but the likelihood of significant greenhouse gas-related interactions cannot be dismissed.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Changes in the water column include greater stratification, greater rates of upwelling, and greater offshore transport as well as the offshore migration of the upwelling front”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Predicted Physical Changes
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“In EBUS, alongshore winds interact with the earth's rotation to force surface waters offshore, thereby pumping (i.e., Bupwelling^) nutrient-rich deeper waters into the illuminated surface layers in the coastal zone [3,4] where they are available for photosynthesis.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Introduction
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [3] Sverdrup HU. On the process of upwelling. J Mar Res. 1938;1:155–64. source
- Not matchedcites [4] Wooster WS, Reid JL. Eastern boundary currents. In: Hill MN, editor. The sea, vol. 2. New York: Interscience Pub; 1963. p. 253–80.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Intensified upwelling-favorable winds [11] would lead to an increased upwelling rate, greater turbulence in the upper ocean, and swifter offshore transport of surface waters.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Coastal Upwelling
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [11] Bakun A. Global climate change and intensification of coastal ocean upwelling. Science. 1990;247:198–201. source
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“While enhanced upwelling may lead to enhanced nutrient enrichment”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Coastal Upwelling
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“In addition, changes in species composition of phytoplankton and zooplankton communities are a likely result that in turn may impact successively higher levels of the trophic web.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Coastal Upwelling
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“may be able to take advantage of low-oxygen environments.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
In the paper
“Such events, some extending over more than 20, 000 km 2 of ocean surface [64][65][66][67][68], have been repeatedly observed near the coast of Namibia, resulting in widespread mortality of marine life and corrosive, foul-smelling emissions over land.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [64][65][66][67][68]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Over interannual to decadal time scales, increased zooplankton biomass [45][46][47] and variability in the productivity and abundance of zooplankton, fishes, and higher predators of the California Current have been attributed to the meridional position of the North Pacific Current [48][49][50].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [45] Wickett WP. Ekman transport and zooplankton concentration in the North Pacific Ocean. J Fish Res Board Can. 1967;24:581–94. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [46] Chelton DB, Davis RE. Monthly mean sea-level variability along the west coast of North America. J Phys Oceanogr. 1982;12:757–84. source
- Not matchedcites [47] Chelton DB, Bernal PA, McGowan JA. Large-scale physical and biological interaction in the California Current. J Mar Res. 1982;40:1095–125.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Consequently, the total amount and offshore extent of new primary production might increase.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“The biological impacts of these events can be catastrophic, with widespread mortality of macroscopic benthic organisms, resulting in periodic dead zones such as those observed on the Oregon continental shelf [61].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [61] Grantham BA, Chan F, Nielsen KJ, Fox DS, Barth JA, Huyer A, et al. Upwelling-driven nearshore hypoxia signals ecosystem and oceanographic changes in the northeast Pacific. Nature. 2004;429:749–54. source
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A claim is checked only against the cited paper’s full text, never its abstract, and none is available for its sources.
In the paper
“Phytoplankton and zooplankton would be transported more rapidly toward convergent offshore frontal systems, which themselves may be forced further offshore (Figs.1b, c and 2) [3,34,35].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [3] Sverdrup HU. On the process of upwelling. J Mar Res. 1938;1:155–64. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [34] Barth JA. Stability of a coastal upwelling front. 2. Model results and comparison with observations. J Geophys Res. 1989;94:10857–83. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [35] Marañón E, Fernández E. Changes in phytoplankton ecophysiology across a coastal upwelling front. J Plankton Res. 1995;17:1999–2008. source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“With strongly enhanced upwelling, the rate of offshore transport of surface waters would increase, potentially leading to problematic consequences.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Furthermore, the marked difference in ontogeny, generation times, and swimming capabilities between phytoplankton and zooplankton may result in a spatial mismatch between herbivorous zooplankton and their phytoplankton forage, and/or flushing of any weakly mobile organisms from favorable habitats associated with the near-coastal upwelling zone [36].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [36] Bakun A, Weeks SJ. Greenhouse gas buildup, sardines, submarine eruptions, and the possibility of abrupt degradation of intense marine upwelling ecosystems. Ecol Lett. 2004;7:1015–23. source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“With low to moderately strong upwelling, upwelled nutrients would support a robust phytoplankton community (Fig. 2), which would in turn sustain flourishing zooplankton and upper trophic level communities.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Coastal Upwelling
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: unclear — It is unclear why the paper says it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“As a result, deep waters supplied in the future by upwelling may be characterized by increased macronutrient concentrations, reduced pH, and decreased oxygen concentrations.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Enhanced Offshore Transport
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
In the paper
“Based on a regional climate model, upwellingfavorable wind stress curl off northern California is hypothesized to shift to later in the year in response to an increase in CO 2 concentrations [19].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [19] Snyder MA, Sloan LC, Diffenbaugh NS, Bell JL. Future climate change and upwelling in the California Current. Geophys Res Lett. 2003;30:1823–6. source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: fails — The authors may not put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The authors may not put it forward as true.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“If the timing of upwelling changes, a temporal mismatch between fish larvae and their food may reduce survival.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
In the paper
“This process will lead to more acidic waters which will make it increasingly difficult for important lower trophic level marine organisms, such as oysters and pteropods, to precipitate calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) to form shells and exoskeletons [72][73][74].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Hypoxia, Dead Zones, and Acidification
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [72][73][74]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Rests on an assumption: Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations cause a reduction in oceanic pH via the dissolution of CO2 into seawater.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Despite high levels of conservation concern, the impacts of climate change on seabirds and mammals remain relatively under-studied.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Seabirds and Marine Mammals
plain- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
- Rests on an assumption: The ongoing and potential effects of climate change on EBUS-associated marine mammals have been less intensively studied than in the case of seabirds.
In the paper
“Finally, another hypothetical response may be that climate change and overfishing might jointly promote explosive population growth of less mobile and anoxia-tolerant planktivorous jellyfish [93][94][95][96].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [93][94][95][96]
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Not matched
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Changes to the timing of these modes and transitions may be biologically relevant”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Trophic Interactions, Match-Mismatch, and Phenological Responses
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim.
None of the sources cited for this claim have been checked yet.
In the paper
“Yet when upwelling is too strong, turbulence and offshore advection could decrease fish production due to disruption of feeding strata [87,88] and/or excessive offshore transport of planktonic larvae and prey away from favorable coastal habitats [86,89].”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
What the sources say
- Not matchedcites [87] Lasker R. Field criteria for survival of anchovy larvae: the relation between inshore chlorophyll maximum layers and successful first feeding. Fish Bull. 1975;73:453–62.
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [88] Peterman RM, Bradford MJ. Wind speed and mortality rate of a marine fish, the northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax). Science. 1987;235:354–6. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [86] Cury P, Roy C. Optimal environmental window and pelagic fish recruitment success in upwelling areas. Can J Fish Aquat Sci. 1989;46:670–80. source
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [89] Ainley DG, Sydeman WJ, Parrish RH, Lenarz WH. Oceanic factors influencing distribution of young rockfish (Sebastes) in Central California: a predator’s perspective. Cal Coop Ocean Fish Invest Rep. 1993;34:133–9.
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
- Not matched
In the paper
“Similarly, the best fish production may occur when the timing or spatial distribution of prey is well-matched to the ecological needs of the (fish) predators; this is known as the match-mismatch hypothesis [23]”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Commercially Important Fish Populations
What the sources say
- Not checked — no full text of the sourcecites [23] Cushing DH. Plankton production and year-class strength in fish populations—an update of the match-mismatch hypothesis. Adv Mar Biol. 1990;26:249–93. source
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“EBUS can therefore be characterized as both resilient (quick recovery from disturbances) and robust (maintenance of ecosystem function and relatively high productivity) to natural climate variability, maintaining an abundance of species of high commercial and conservation value.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Ecosystem Variability
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: unclear — It is unclear whether the paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: passes — The paper gives a reason why it holds.
It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Changes in the water column include greater stratification, greater rates of upwelling, and greater offshore transport as well as the offshore migration of the upwelling front”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Anticipated changes include the poleward migration of the Oceanic High and source waters.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“yet the impacts of climate change could be profound and difficult to forecast as they begin to exceed recent millennial ranges of precedent variability.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“An increasing incidence of hypoxia or anoxic events is likely to lead to the increased occurrence of dead zones, noxious gas emissions, and vertical compression of suitable habitats.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Spatial or temporal (phenological) mismatch between production and consumption”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Geochemical impacts on biology via noxious gas, acidification, and lack of oxygen.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Changes in composition or intensity of primary productivity, with direct trophic linkages to and subsequent changes in community composition of heterotrophs”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
plaindirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“A possible tendency for increased coastal upwelling intensity as climate change proceeds could partially buffer coastal upwelling ecosystems from the increases in temperature and decreases in nutrient supply that may impact other types of regional-scale ocean ecosystems.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Other more versatile components that may be less tied to predator-free shore zones might successfully exploit opportune ecological Bloopholes^that develop.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
hedgedconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: fails — It may be too vague to check against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. It may be too vague to check against evidence. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Continental thermal lows are anticipated to deepen, which will intensify upwelling-favorable (equatorward) winds.”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
hedgeddirect- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: passes — The paper’s conclusions depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper may give no reason why it holds. It may state two separate claims as one.
A conclusion the paper draws from its own results — it cites no other source for it, so there is none to check. The quote shows it is in the paper.
In the paper
“Redistribution of populations through habitat changes”
§ ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE (A BAKER, SECTION EDITOR) Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal Upwelling Ecosystems > Summary
plainconditional- Asserted: passes — The authors put it forward as true.
- Checkable: passes — It can be checked against evidence.
- Load-bearing: fails — The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it.
- Based: fails — The paper may give no reason why it holds.
Probably not a substantial claim. The paper’s conclusions may not depend on it. The paper may give no reason why it holds.
The paper relies on this without support.
The four principal eastern boundary upwelling systems present major similarities in essential physical dynamics and ecosystem structures and functions.
“For this brief review, we focus on the four principal EBUS [4] of the world, as these appear to present major similarities in essential physical dynamics and ecosystem structures and functions.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Greenhouse gas concentrations will continue to build up in Earth's atmosphere.
“due to the continuing buildup of greenhouse gasses in the earth's atmosphere”
The paper relies on this without support.
The Pacific EBUS are particularly impacted by ENSO, with effects on upwelling and across trophic levels in association with strong El Niño and La Niña events.
“The Pacific EBUS are particularly impacted by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with effects on upwelling and across trophic levels in association with strong El Niño and La Niña events.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Changes to the physical environment of EBUS can directly affect the physiology (e.g., metabolism and respiration) of marine life with impacts on growth, reproductive capacity, and behavior.
“Changes to the physical environment of EBUS can directly affect the physiology (e.g., metabolism and respiration) of marine life with impacts on growth, reproductive capacity, and behavior.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Metabolic rates increase with temperature.
“As metabolic rates increase with temperature”
The paper relies on this without support.
Some of the most critical impacts may include changes to habitat characteristics upon which fish and other upper trophic level species depend.
“Some of the most critical impacts may include changes to habitat characteristics upon which fish and other upper trophic level species depend.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Biogeochemical properties of waters entering upwelling zones can have significant influence on local biological processes.
“Biogeochemical properties of waters entering upwelling zones can have significant influence on local biological processes.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Surface waters of the poleward limbs of the subtropical gyres are expected to shift poleward under global warming.
“Surface waters of the poleward limbs of the subtropical gyres (e.g., the North Pacific Current), which are driven by the surface winds and are expected to shift poleward under global warming (see section 2)”
The paper relies on this without support.
Surface waters of the poleward limbs of the subtropical gyres supply a substantial portion of the surface waters in EBUS.
“supply a substantial portion of the surface waters in EBUS (Fig. 1b, c).”
The paper relies on this without support.
There is a general meridional gradient in surface nutrient, phytoplankton, and zooplankton concentrations, with greater concentrations at more poleward locations.
“Given a general meridional gradient in surface nutrient, phytoplankton, and zooplankton concentrations (with greater concentrations found at more poleward locations)”
The paper relies on this without support.
In anoxic zones, methane bubbles formed at depth as a by-product of anoxic respiration can collect poisonous hydrogen sulfide gas and carry it upward to oxygenated ocean layers and atmosphere in massive submarine eruptions.
“In anoxic zones, methane (CH 4 ) bubbles formed at depth as a by-product of anoxic respiration can collect poisonous hydrogen sulfide gas (H 2 S), and carry it upward to the oxygenated ocean layers and atmosphere in massive submarine eruptions.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations cause a reduction in oceanic pH via the dissolution of CO2 into seawater.
“Another consequence of rising atmospheric CO 2 concentrations is the reduction in oceanic pH via the dissolution of CO 2 into seawater.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Mid trophic level biomass in upwelling systems is generally dominated by extremely large populations of one to several species of small pelagic planktivorous forage fish.
“Mid trophic level biomass in upwelling systems is generally dominated by extremely large populations of one to several species of small pelagic planktivorous Bforage^fish (anchovies, sardines, etc.).”
The paper relies on this without support.
Many rockfish in southern and central California release young in the winter to avoid the turbulent and advective periods later in the year when upwelling is at its peak.
“For example, it is thought that many rockfish in southern and central California release young in the winter to avoid the turbulent and advective periods later in the year when upwelling is at its peak.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Seabirds require nesting sites on opportune, appropriately configured islands.
“Of particular concern for seabirds is that they require nesting sites on opportune, appropriately configured islands.”
The paper relies on this without support.
Seals and other pinnipeds may require protected beaches where they can safely haul out to rest and to bear and care for pups.
“Similarly, seals and other pinnipeds may require protected beaches where they can safely Bhaul out^to rest and to bear and care for pups.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The ongoing and potential effects of climate change on EBUS-associated marine mammals have been less intensively studied than in the case of seabirds.
“However, the ongoing and potential effects of climate change on EBUSassociated marine mammals have been less intensively studied than in the case of seabirds.”
Citations
Cites
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Cited by
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Items 201–300 of 470
Ladds, M., Rosen, D. A. S., Gerlinsky, C. D., Slip, D. J., & Harcourt, R. G. (2020) · Conservation Physiology · doi:10.1093/conphys/coaa111 · Cited by 13
“These changes raise profound implications for top predators that may have to adapt foraging strategies to cope with shifting prey resources (Bakun et al., 2015; Sydeman et al., 2015; Carroll et al., 2016).”
BackgroundMulyasari, G., Trisusilo, A., Windirah, N., Djarot, I. N., & Putra, A. S. (2023) · The Scientific World JOURNAL · doi:10.1155/2023/8770267 · Cited by 26
Physiological responses of Pocillopora corals to upwelling events in the Eastern Tropical Pacific
Castrillón-Cifuentes, A. L., Zapata, F. A., & Wild, C. (2023) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1212717 · Cited by 14
Ndah, A. B., Dagar, L., & Bęcek, K. (2017) · Regional Studies in Marine Science · doi:10.1016/j.rsma.2017.08.017 · Cited by 12
Makhado, A. B., Crawford, R. J. M., Dias, M. P., Dyer, B. M., Lamont, T., Pistorius, P. A., Ryan, P. G., Upfold, L., Weimerskirch, H., & Reisinger, R. R. (2018) · Emu - Austral Ornithology · doi:10.1080/01584197.2018.1469959 · Cited by 12
“…(Shaffer et al. 2006), eddies (Weimerskirch et al. 2004; Hyrenbach et al. 2006), upwelling areas (Peery et al. 2009; García-Reyes et al. 2014; Bakun et al. 2015) and tidal zones (Irons 1998) often have enhanced productivity, attracting predators such as seabirds and marine mammals (Pakhomov…”
BackgroundEl Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast
López‐Parages, J., Auger, P.-A., Rodríguez‐Fonseca, B., Keenlyside, N. S., Gaetan, C., Rubino, A., Arisido, M. W., & Brochier, T. (2020) · Progress In Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102341 · Cited by 13
The other coastal Niño/Niña—the Benguela, California, and Dakar Niños/Niñas
Oettli, P., Yuan, C., & Richter, I. (2020) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-818156-0.00010-1 · Cited by 13
Murie, K. A., & Bourdeau, P. E. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-90608-6 · Cited by 16
Statistical identification of coastal hypoxia events controlled by wind-induced upwelling
Herrera-Becerril, C. A., Sánchez-Cabeza, J.-A., Álvarez‐Sánchez, L. F., Lara-Cera, A. R., Ruíz-Fernández, A. C., Cardoso‐Mohedano, J. G., Machain-Castillo, M. L., & Colas, F. (2021) · Continental Shelf Research · doi:10.1016/j.csr.2021.104634 · Cited by 14
Wang, D., Liu, Y., Zhang, J., Lang, Y., Li, Z., Tong, Z., Xu, L., Su, Z., & Niu, J. (2022) · Marine and Petroleum Geology · doi:10.1016/j.marpetgeo.2022.105742 · Cited by 14
Ramajo, L., Sola-Hidalgo, C., Valladares, M., Astudillo, O., & Inostroza, J. (2022) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.992319 · Cited by 12
“The scallop Argopecten purpuratus, one of the most important bivalve species subjected to fishery and aquaculture along the Humboldt Current System, inhabits spaces affected by continuous changes in temperature, pH, oxygen, and food availability driven by remote and local oceanographic processes.”
BackgroundInfluentialA high-resolution synthesis dataset for multistressor analyses along the US West Coast
Kennedy, E. G., Zulian, M., Hamilton, S. L., Hill, T. M., Delgado, M., Fish, C. R., Gaylord, B., Kroeker, K. J., Palmer, H. M., Ricart, A. M., et al. (2024) · Earth system science data · doi:10.5194/essd-16-219-2024 · Cited by 17
“Upwelling-favorable winds may intensify under future warming (Sydeman et al., 2014; Bakun et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2015), although this effect may be counteracted in some locations by increased stratification of seawater layers (Howard et al., 2020a; Siedlecki et al., 2021) or in areas where…”
BackgroundPhippen, B. L., & Oliver, J. D. (2017) · GeoHealth · doi:10.1002/2016gh000024 · Cited by 12
“Furthermore, as global climate change is linked to increasing hypoxic events [Altieri and Gedan, 2015; Bakun et al., 2015; Doney et al., 2012; Justic et al., 1996, 1997], which may impact the distribution of pathogenic species in the environment, the need to understand these communities as a…”
BackgroundWeidberg, N., Wethey, D. S., & Woodin, S. A. (2021) · Remote Sensing · doi:10.3390/rs13245021 · Cited by 13
Reconstructing Aragonite Saturation State Based on an Empirical Relationship for Northern California
Davis, C. V., Hewett, K., Hill, T. M., Largier, J. L., Gaylord, B., & Jahncke, J. (2018) · Estuaries and Coasts · doi:10.1007/s12237-018-0372-0 · Cited by 16
“…recent decades and model projections suggests that rates and intensities of upwelling will continue to increase in the future (e.g., Bakun 1990; Bakun et al. 2015; Garcia-Reyes and Largier 2010; García-Reyes and Largier 2012; Sydeman et al. 2014; Varela et al. 2015;Wang et al. 2015; Snyder et…”
BackgroundRicaurte‐Villota, C., Murcia-Riaño, M., & Hernández‐Ayón, J. M. (2025) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2024.1305542 · Cited by 11
Influences of Extreme Upwelling on a Coastal Retention Zone
Harvey, J. B. J., Ryan, J. P., & Zhang, Y. (2021) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.648944 · Cited by 14
“Physical forcing (e.g., upwelling-driven surface transport) can result in the advection of coastal plankton biomass offshore (Keister et al., 2009b; Bakun et al., 2015; Ruzicka et al., 2016).”
BackgroundUnravelling links between squid catch variations and biophysical mechanisms in South African waters
Jebri, F., Raitsos, D. Ε., Gittings, J. A., Jacobs, Z., Srokosz, M. A., Gornall, J. M., Sauer, W., Roberts, M. J., & Popova, E. E. (2022) · Deep Sea Research Part II Topical Studies in Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2022.105028 · Cited by 14
Bakun, A. (2022) · Fish and Fisheries · doi:10.1111/faf.12699 · Cited by 12
Self-citationAssessment of spatial patterns in benthic macrofauna of the U.S. west coast continental shelf
Henkel, S. K., & Nelson, W. G. (2018) · Journal of Biogeography · doi:10.1111/jbi.13451 · Cited by 11
Dey, S. P., Vichi, M., Fearon, G., Seyboth, E., Findlay, K., Meynecke, J., de Bie, J., Lee, S. B., Samanta, S., Barraqueta, J. M., et al. (2021) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-021-00253-2 · Cited by 11
Augustyn, J., Cockcroft, A. C., Kerwath, S., Lamberth, S. J., Githaiga‐Mwicigi, J., Pitcher, G. C., Roberts, M. J., van der Lingen, C. D., & Auerswald, L. (2017) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781119154051.ch15 · Cited by 12
Aquaculture And Climate Change: A Data-Driven Analysis
Moss, A. S., Peh, J. H., Afiqah‐Aleng, N., Segaran, T. C., Gao, H., Wang, P., Handayani, K. S., Lananan, F., Wei, L. S., Fitzer, S. C., et al. (2024) · Annals of Animal Science · doi:10.2478/aoas-2024-0085 · Cited by 10
Longo, G. C., Minich, J. J., Allsing, N. A., James, K. C., Adams, E. S., Larson, W. A., Hartwick, N. T., Duong, T., Muhling, B. A., Michael, T. P., et al. (2024) · Molecular Ecology · doi:10.1111/mec.17561 · Cited by 11
Cold water and harmful algal blooms linked to coral reef collapse in the Eastern Tropical Pacific
Palmer, C. V., Jiménez, C., Bassey-Fallas, G., Ruíz, E., Villalobos-Cubero, T., Chavarría, M. M., Harrison, X. A., & Puschendorf, R. (2022) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.14081 · Cited by 11
“While harmful algal blooms (HABs) typically coincide with natural influxes of nutrients during upwelling events (Bakun et al., 2015), proliferating coastal development has increased their frequency and intensity globally (Lapointe et al.”
Why was there a Neoproterozoic Snowball Earth?
Retallack, G. J. (2023) · Precambrian Research · doi:10.1016/j.precamres.2022.106952 · Cited by 11
Wind variability across the North Humboldt Upwelling System
Yari, S., Mohrholz, V., & Bordbar, M. H. (2023) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1087980 · Cited by 10
Restoring low-input high-diversity grasslands as a potential global resource for biofuels
Machovina, B., & Feeley, K. J. (2017) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.109 · Cited by 10
“…causewidespread climate-related stresses on natural and human systems (Rosenzweig and Parry, 1994; Machovina and Feeley, 2013; Rosenzweig et al., 2014; Bakun et al., 2015) that far exceed recent documented effects (McCarty, 2001; Walther et al., 2002; Anthony et al., 2008; Feeley et al., 2011).”
BackgroundChanges in upwelling regimes in a Mediterranean-type lagoon: A model application
Alcázar, L. A., Canu, D. M., Camacho-Ibar, V. F., et al. (2020) · Ecological Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108908 · Cited by 10
D'Agnese, E. R., Lambourn, D. M., Rice, J. M., Duffield, D., Huggins, J. L., Spraker, T. R., Raverty, S., Kuzmina, Т. А., Grigg, M. E., Wilkinson, K., et al. (2020) · Marine Mammal Science · doi:10.1111/mms.12678 · Cited by 10
“Habitat reconstruction, shifts or reclamation due to climate change, have been documented previously for a range of marine predators, and studies done thus far suggest a continued need to assess such changes as this study has done for GFSs (Bakun et al., 2015; Hazen et al., 2013).”
BackgroundMagel, C. L., Lee, E. M. J., Strawn, A., Swieca, K., & Jensen, A. D. (2020) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2020.00401 · Cited by 13
Water-use strategies of coexisting shrub species in the Yellow River Delta, China
Zhu, J., Liu, J., Lu, Z., et al. (2018) · Canadian Journal of Forest Research · doi:10.1139/cjfr-2018-0063 · Cited by 10
A low-cost long-term model of coastal observatories of global change
Sánchez-Cabeza, J.-A., Álvarez‐Sánchez, L. F., Cardoso‐Mohedano, J. G., et al. (2018) · Journal of Operational Oceanography · doi:10.1080/1755876x.2018.1533723 · Cited by 10
“Effects of sea-level rise are observable in mangroves, marshes, and coral reefs, and the main changes include increased flood risk, aquifer salinisation, changes in fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture in the coastal zone, loss of tourism areas and impact on coastal infrastructures (Arkema et al. 2013; Williams 2013…”
BackgroundOccurrence of basking shark Cetorhinus maximus in southern Portuguese waters: a two-decade survey
Couto, A., Queiroz, N. C., Relvas, P., Baptista, M., Furtado, M., Castro, J., Nunes, M., Morikawa, H., & Rosa, R. (2016) · Marine Ecology Progress Series · doi:10.3354/meps12007 · Cited by 9
González, R. C., Henríquez‐Castillo, C., Lohrmann, K. B., Romero, M. S., Ramajo, L., Schmitt, P., & Brokordt, K. (2022) · Microorganisms · doi:10.3390/microorganisms10122330 · Cited by 9
“Changes in upwelling phenology may affect both natural marine populations and species subjected to aquaculture with important impacts on national and local economies and related socio-ecological systems [19,24], such as A.”
BackgroundTelesetsky, A. (2022) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2022.105426 · Cited by 9
Peña, M. A., & Fine, I. (2023) · ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN · doi:10.1080/07055900.2023.2239186 · Cited by 12
“A northward displacement of the North Paci fi c Current, as it has been projected by Toste et al. (2019), would enhance the transport of cold, nutrient-rich water from higher to lower latitudes, positively affecting multiple trophic levels in the CCS (Malick et al., 2017; Sydeman et al., 2011).”
BackgroundInfluentialMechanisms of cardiac collapse at high temperature in a marine teleost (Girella nigrians)
Schwieterman, G. D., Hardison, E. A., Cox, G. K., et al. (2023) · Comparative Biochemistry and Physiology Part A Molecular & Integrative Physiology · doi:10.1016/j.cbpa.2023.111512 · Cited by 9
Polonsky, A. B., & Серебренников, А. Н. (2021) · Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · doi:10.1134/s0001433821120161 · Cited by 9
Osemwegie, I., Delgado, K. D. C., Arimiyaw, A. W., Kanneh, A. B., Todota, C. T., Faye, A., & Akinyemi, F. O. (2021) · Ocean and Coastal Research · doi:10.1590/2675-2824069.21022io · Cited by 8
Strader, M. E., Wolak, M. E., Simon, O. M., et al. (2022) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2022.1249 · Cited by 9
Fletcher-Hoppe, C., Yeh, Y., Raut, Y., Weissman, J., & Fuhrman, J. A. (2023) · ISME Communications · doi:10.1038/s43705-023-00268-y · Cited by 10
“Based on DNA sequencing data, the UCYN-A2 host is thought to have 30-40 copies of the 18S rRNA gene [14], and 7-10 symbionts with two rRNA genes each [16], such that the ratio of”
Coastal upwelling affects filter-feeder stable isotope composition across three continents
Puccinelli, E., McQuaid, C. D., Dobretsov, S., & Christofoletti, R. A. (2019) · Marine Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2019.03.015 · Cited by 9
Toward Exploring Possible Future States of the Southern Benguela
Lockerbie, E. M., & Shannon, L. (2019) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00380 · Cited by 9
The third Oregon climate assessment report : January 2017
Dalton, M. M., Dello, K. D., Hawkins, L., Mote, P. W., & Rupp, D. E. (2017) · Oregon State University · doi:10.5399/osu/1158 · Cited by 9
“warming over the land than over the ocean, which could produce upwelling-favorable winds locally, although there will continue to be large year-to-year variability in upwelling (Bakun et al., 2015).”
BackgroundClimate Change and Socio-Ecological Transformation: Applications and Field Narratives
Malakar, K. D., Kumar, M., Anand, S. C., et al. (2023) · Advances in geographical and environmental sciences · doi:10.1007/978-981-99-4390-6_7 · Cited by 8
Arteaga, M., Vasquéz, S. I., Neira, S., et al. (2024) · Fisheries Oceanography · doi:10.1111/fog.12677 · Cited by 8
de la Maza, L., Wieters, E. A., Beldade, R., Landaeta, M. F., Pérez‐Matus, A., & Navarrete, S. A. (2024) · Journal of Marine Systems · doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2024.103999 · Cited by 8
Upwelling Enhances Mercury Particle Scavenging in the California Current System
Cui, X., Adams, H. M., Stukel, M. R., et al. (2024) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/acs.est.4c04308 · Cited by 8
Climate change and variability drive increasing exposure of marine heatwaves across US estuaries
Nardi, R. U., Mazzini, P. L. F., & Walter, R. K. (2025) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-025-91864-6 · Cited by 16
“…potentially in other EBUS, are also influenced by the effects of upwelling, whether through advection of colder waters from the ocean to the estuary via exchange flow (e.g. MacCready & Geyer 60 ), or by cold upwelled waters regulating local climate through air-sea interactions 56,61,62 , or both.”
Physiological resilience of intertidal chitons in a persistent upwelling coastal region
Fernández, C., Poupin, M. J., Lagos, N. A., et al. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-72488-8 · Cited by 8
Catalán, I. A., Bowlin, N. M., Baker, M. R., Berg, F., Brazier, A., Brochier, T., del Favero, J. M., Garrido, S., Gherardi, D. F. M., Haase, S., et al. (2025) · Reviews in Fisheries Science & Aquaculture · doi:10.1080/23308249.2025.2458869 · Cited by 8
Fischer, G., Neuer, S., Ramondenc, S., et al. (2020) · Frontiers in Earth Science · doi:10.3389/feart.2020.00280 · Cited by 8
“In the region further south at Cape Blanc, Mauritania, there was no indication supporting the Bakun coastal upwelling intensification hypothesis (Bakun, 1990; Bakun et al., 2015; Cropper et al., 2014) when considering the deep ocean fluxes at the mesotrophic and the eutrophic study site (Fischer et al.”
BackgroundLiu, J., Luo, J., Xu, H., Ma, J., Deng, J., Zhang, L., Bi, D., & Chen, X. (2021) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2021.100316 · Cited by 8
Castrillón-Cifuentes, A. L., Zapata, F. A., Giraldo, A., & Wild, C. (2023) · PeerJ · doi:10.7717/peerj.14586 · Cited by 10
Prigent, A., Koungue, R. A. I., Lübbecke, J. F., Brandt, P. N., Harlaß, J., & Latif, M. (2023) · Climate Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s00382-023-07007-y · Cited by 8
“…as the tropical Atlantic can be expected to continue to warm during this century due to increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations (Bakun et al. 2015), the question arises if the interannual SST variability in the southeastern tropical Atlantic will also change in the future, and…”
Changes in phytoplankton vertical distribution during an El Niño event
Conde, A., & Prado, M. (2018) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.03.015 · Cited by 8
Quirós, N. C., Miller, A. J., Subramanian, A. C., Luo, J. Y., & Capotondi, A. M. (2019) · Ocean Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.101439 · Cited by 9
Self-citationFernández, M., Duarte, C., Aldana, M., Delgado-Rioseco, J., Blanco‐Herrera, F., Varas, O., Quijón, P. A., Quintanilla-Ahumada, D., García‐Huidobro, M. R., & Pulgar, J. (2024) · Marine Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106896 · Cited by 7
Responses of animals and plants to physiological doses of ethanol: a molecular messenger of hypoxia?
Diot, A., Groth, G., Blanchet, S., et al. (2024) · FEBS Journal · doi:10.1111/febs.17056 · Cited by 7
“Although upwell-ings will be more frequent with climate change [16], the direct linkages between climate change, hypoxia, and ethanol production (and use) by organisms have not yet been firmly established.”
BackgroundFuture extreme and compound events in Angola: CORDEX-Africa regional climate modelling projections
Soares, P. M. M., Careto, J. A. M., & Lima, D. C. A. (2024) · Weather and Climate Extremes · doi:10.1016/j.wace.2024.100691 · Cited by 10
Usta, D. F. B., Narváez, D. A., Dewitte, B., Oerder, V., Vidal, M., & Tapia, F. J. (2024) · Frontiers in Marine Science · doi:10.3389/fmars.2024.1446766 · Cited by 9
The impact of climate change and economic development on the catches of small pelagic fisheries
Fang, X., & Zhang, Y. (2025) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2025.106631 · Cited by 9
Analysis of estuarine marine heatwaves in an upwelling system: The Ría de Arousa as a case study
Des, M., Castro-Olivares, A., deCastro, M., & Gómez-Gesteira, M. (2025) · Global and Planetary Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104776 · Cited by 7
Can we use sea surface temperature and productivity proxy records to reconstruct Ekman upwelling?
Cheung, A. H., Fox‐Kemper, B., & Herbert, T. D. (2019) · Climate of the past · doi:10.5194/cp-15-1985-2019 · Cited by 7
“Unfortunately, it remains uncertain how EBUSs will change on decadal to centennial timescales in the future (Bakun et al., 2015; Di Lorenzo, 2015; Garcia-Reyes et al., 2015, and references therein).”
BackgroundA Comparative Review of Macromedusae in Eastern Boundary Currents
Gibbons, M. J., Skrypzeck, H., Brodeur, R. D., Riascos, J. M., Dávila, J. Q., Grobler, C. A. F., Roux, J.-P., Field, J. C., Daly, E. A., Miller, R. R., et al. (2021) · CRC Press eBooks · doi:10.1201/9781003138846-5 · Cited by 7
Ojeda-Ruíz, M. Á., Petatán‐Ramírez, D., Guerrero-Izquierdo, T. P., et al. (2022) · Progress In Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102826 · Cited by 7
Climate change in the Canary/Iberia upwelling region: the role of ocean stratification and wind
Vázquez, R., Berrocal, I. M. P., Cabos, W., Sein, D., Mañanes, R., Bolado-Penagos, M., & Izquierdo, A. (2024) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad5ab4 · Cited by 9
Intensification of Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans
Polonskii, A. B., & Серебренников, А. Н. (2020) · Russian Meteorology and Hydrology · doi:10.3103/s1068373920060059 · Cited by 7
Climate Change Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture of the United States
Introduction, Peterson, J. O., Griffis, R. B., Alaska, G. O., Zador, S. G., Sigler, M. F., Joyce, J. E., Current, C., Hunsicker, M. E., Bograd, S. J., et al. (2017) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/9781119154051.ch8 · Cited by 10
Self-citationCastro-Olivares, A., Des, M., deCastro, M., et al. (2025) · Marine Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107210 · Cited by 6
The GFDL‐CM4X Climate Model Hierarchy, Part II: Case Studies
Griffies, S. M., Adcroft, A., Beadling, R. L., Bushuk, M., Chang, C., Drake, H. F., Dussin, R., Hallberg, R., Hurlin, W. J., Khatri, H., et al. (2025) · Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · doi:10.1029/2024ms004862 · Cited by 6
“Furthermore, sensitivity of upwelling regions to climate change is a topic of great interest, such as studied by Bakun et al. (2015), Rykaczewski et al. (2015), and Bograd et al. (2023).”
Barahona, S. P., Salinas-Parra, N., Pulgar, R., & Gallardo-Matus, J. (2026) · Genetics Selection Evolution · doi:10.1186/s12711-026-01032-1 · Cited by 9
“Additional contributors that accelerate oxygen depletion in aquatic systems include upwelling of oxygen depleted deep waters [10, 11], eutrophication [1, 12], and microbial decomposition of harmful algal blooms [13–15].”
Physical-Ecological Response of the California Current System to ENSO events in ROMS-NEMURO
Quirós, N. C., Miller, A. J., Pan, Y., et al. (2021) · Ocean Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s10236-021-01490-9 · Cited by 6
“Shedding more light on these dynamics will help us better address the future changes of habitat of fish populations like sardine and anchovy, as well as top predators, as a response of changes in their environmental modulators on seasonal, interannual, and global warming timescales (e.g., Ito et al. 2010; Bakun et al.…”
BackgroundSelf-citationBalachandran, R., Zacharia, P. U., Purushottama, G. B., et al. (2024) · Regional Studies in Marine Science · doi:10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103418 · Cited by 6
González, R. C., Henríquez‐Castillo, C., Lohrmann, K. B., Rojas, R., Mercado, A., Lira, G., & Brokordt, K. (2024) · Aquaculture · doi:10.1016/j.aquaculture.2024.740906 · Cited by 6
Rosas, D. E. R., Geraldi, N. R., Glud, R. N., OGURI, K., Arnaud‐Haond, S., & Duarte, C. M. (2024) · Global Change Biology · doi:10.1111/gcb.17412 · Cited by 6
Climate-induced habitat shifts of farmed mussel species
Torres, F. I., Lara, C., Sillero, N., et al. (2025) · Aquaculture · doi:10.1016/j.aquaculture.2025.742304 · Cited by 6
Numerical study of the effect of random longitudinal spacing on the flow field effect of unit reef
Guo, C., Tang, Y., Zhu, L., Liang, Z., Lv, S., Zhu, L., Xie, W., & Jiang, Z. (2025) · Applied Ocean Research · doi:10.1016/j.apor.2025.104651 · Cited by 7
Un Demi Siècle D’évaluation De L’activité De L’upwelling De La Côte Atlantique Marocaine
Hilmi, K., Bessa, I., Aouni, A. E., Makaoui, A., & Ettahiri, O. (2020) · European Scientific Journal ESJ · doi:10.19044/esj.2020.v16n21p89 · Cited by 5
“En relation avec la problématique du changement climatique dans les EBUEs dont la zone du courant des Canaries, plusieurs autres études ont été menées en citant, par exemple, les travaux de Bakun (1990); Bakun et al. (1995, 2015); Cropper et al. (2014); McGregor et al.”
BackgroundFarach-Espinoza, E. B., López‐Martínez, J., Morales, R. G., et al. (2022) · Progress In Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102858 · Cited by 6
Bustos-Espinoza, L., Torres-Ramírez, P., Figueroa, S., González, P. S., Pavez, M. A., Jerez, R., Saldías, G. S., Espinoza, C., & Galán, A. (2024) · Geosciences · doi:10.3390/geosciences14050125 · Cited by 7
Climate Change and Adventure Tourism
Huddart, D., & Stott, T. A. (2019) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-18623-4_13 · Cited by 6
Zhang, C., & Ye, Z. (2021) · Environmental Biology of Fishes · doi:10.1007/s10641-021-01192-7 · Cited by 6
Muñoz, R., Tapia, F. J., & Sobarzo, M. (2025) · Progress In Oceanography · doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103435 · Cited by 6
Bottom‐Up Control and Phytoplankton Succession in a Subtropical Upwelling System
Tong, Z., Jiao, J., Xiao, W., et al. (2025) · Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans · doi:10.1029/2025jc022413 · Cited by 5
Napitupulu, G. (2025) · Ocean Dynamics · doi:10.1007/s10236-025-01706-2 · Cited by 5
“…productive regions in the ocean, as the influx of nutrient-rich waters stimulates phytoplankton blooms—forming the base of the marine food web (Jacox et al. 2018)—and redistributes nutrients and dissolved gases that contribute to long-term carbon cycling and sequestration (Bakun et al. 2015).”
Accelerating sea level rise in Africa and its large marine ecosystems since the 1990s
Ghomsi, F. E. K., Stroeve, J. C., Bonaduce, A., et al. (2025) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02965-z · Cited by 5
“Asa productive upwelling zone, the CCLME experiences moderated upper-ocean warming due to the persistent in fl ux of cooler, nutrient-rich sub-surface waters, which temper thermosteric expansion 25,55 .”
Patterns and Mechanisms of Northeast Pacific Temperature Response to Pliocene Boundary Conditions
Brennan, P. R., Bhattacharya, T., Feng, R., Tierney, J. E., & Jorgensen, E. M. (2022) · Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · doi:10.1029/2021pa004370 · Cited by 5
Zhang, Y., Bai, Y., He, X., Li, T., Jiang, Z., & Gong, F. (2023) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162398 · Cited by 7
Lee, S., Chae, J., Park, J., Kim, Y. T., Kang, B., Shin, C., & Ha, H. K. (2023) · Regional Studies in Marine Science · doi:10.1016/j.rsma.2023.103344 · Cited by 5
Gutiérrez-Guerra, M. Á., Pérez-Hernández, M. D., & Vélez‐Belchí, P. (2024) · Ocean science · doi:10.5194/os-20-1291-2024 · Cited by 6
Ng, C. Z. W., Gonzalez, J. G., Saleh, M. F., et al. (2025) · Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries · doi:10.1007/s11160-025-09923-0 · Cited by 5
“…phytoplankton blooms that sustain zooplankton communities, which in turn supports several commercially important fish stocks across the region (Bakun et al. 2015; Vinay-achandran et al. 2021), including sardines and tunas (for examples, see Amri et al. 2015; Lumban-Gaol et al. 2021; Sartimbul…”
Decadal changes in temperature and salinity of Central Waters off Western Iberia
Valente, A., Sousa, F. M., & Dias, J. (2019) · Deep Sea Research Part I Oceanographic Research Papers · doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2019.103068 · Cited by 5
Chang, A. L., Carlton, J. T., Brown, C. W., et al. (2020) · Diversity and Distributions · doi:10.1111/ddi.13055 · Cited by 5
“Coastal water temperatures may cool locally due in part to more intense upwelling in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (e.g., Bakun et al., 2015), which suggests that local nearocean temperature conditions in Coos Bay and San Francisco Bay could possibly decrease at times towards those more…”
BackgroundAnticipating Ocean Deoxygenation in the Maritime Continent of Southeast Asia
Wulandari, I., Wahyudi, A. J., & Triana, K. (2021) · ASEAN Journal on Science and Technology for Development · doi:10.29037/ajstd.630 · Cited by 5
“This productivity has a potential to increase oxygen consumption (Bakun et al. 2015).”
BackgroundWind effects on the circulation of a geometrically-complex small estuary
Jarrin, M. J. M., & Sutherland, D. A. (2022) · Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science · doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2022.108092 · Cited by 5
Climate change impacts on living marine resources in the Eastern Tropical Pacific
Clarke, T. M. (2020) · cIRcle (University of British Columbia) · doi:10.14288/1.0395020 · Cited by 5
Frontal features and mixing regimes along the shelf region of the Southern Benguela upwelling system
Rogerson, J., Veitch, J., Siedlecki, S. A., & Fawcett, S. E. (2025) · Continental Shelf Research · doi:10.1016/j.csr.2025.105560 · Cited by 5
García‐Huidobro, M. R., Zuloaga, R., Llanos-Azócar, K., et al. (2025) · Marine Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107023 · Cited by 4
Metadata
- Authors
- Bakun, A., Black, B. A., Bograd, S. J., García-Reyes, M., Miller, A. J., Rykaczewski, R. R., & Sydeman, W. J.
- Affiliations
- University of Miami (US)
- University of Texas at Austin Marine Science Institute (US)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (US)
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US)
- University of South Carolina (US)
- Farallon Institute (US)
- Corresponding author
- Bakun, A.
- Venue
- Current Climate Change Reports
- Published
- 2015-03-07
- Volume
- 1
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 85-93
- ISSN
- 2198-6061 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2133319177
- Semantic Scholar
- 45a65c8984bcb26471e5a888137717546d995758
- Cited by
- 470
- References
- 104
- Citations by year
- 2026: 34 · 2025: 48 · 2024: 53 · 2023: 62 · 2022: 47 · 2021: 51 · 2020: 41 · 2019: 40 · 2018: 43 · 2017: 26 · 2016: 20 · 2015: 4
- FWCI
- 24.98
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Current Climate Change Reports (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1419306, 1026607, 0960770, 1434732)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Marine Plankton and Biogeochemistry
- Keywords
- coastal upwelling, climate change impacts, ocean warming, hypoxia, ocean acidification, carbonate structures, stratification, turbulent diffusion, ENSO, pelagic fish resources, overfishing, community composition, marine mammals, seabirds
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
A language model drew the claims from the paper on 2026-10-16, under version 3 of the claim definition (model deepseek-v4.1-flash, prompt extract-v3).
A second model labelled each claim on 2026-10-16 (model jev-1.13-20260917, definition revision gold-guideline-v0.2).
Cited sources are checked with a language model’s help (gpt-6-sol).
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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