Early risk and protective factors for problem gambling: a systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies
Open accessAbstract
This systematic review aimed to identify early risk and protective factors (in childhood, adolescence or young adulthood) longitudinally associated with the subsequent development of gambling problems. A systematic search of peer-reviewed and grey literature from 1990 to 2015 identified 15 studies published in 23 articles. Meta-analyses quantified the effect size of 13 individual risk factors (alcohol use frequency, antisocial behaviours, depression, male gender, cannabis use, illicit drug use, impulsivity, number of gambling activities, problem gambling severity, sensation seeking, tobacco use, violence, undercontrolled temperament), one relationship risk factor (peer antisocial behaviours), one community risk factor (poor academic performance), one individual protective factor (socio-economic status) and two relationship protective factors (parent supervision, social problems). Effect sizes were on average small to medium and sensitivity analyses revealed that the results were generally robust to the quality of methodological approaches of the included articles. These findings highlight the need for global prevention efforts that reduce risk factors and screen young people with high-risk profiles. There is insufficient investigation of protective factors to adequately guide prevention initiatives. Future longitudinal research is required to identify additional risk and protective factors associated with problem gambling, particularly within the relationship, community, and societal levels of the socio-ecological model.
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TL;DR
This first systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies identified 15 studies in 23 articles on early risk and protective factors for problem gambling. The strongest risk factors were problem gambling severity, male gender, and poor academic performance, while protective factors included parent supervision, socio-economic status, and social problems.
Key findings
- Across 15 studies in 23 articles, 33 thematic factors were quantitatively synthesized; 15 risk factors and 3 protective factors were significantly associated with subsequent problem gambling. Problem gambling severity had the strongest effect (r = 0.40, 95% CI 0.26–0.54), followed by male gender (r = 0.24, 95% CI 0.16–0.33) and poor academic performance (r = 0.24, 95% CI 0.09–0.39).
- Other significant risk factors included impulsivity (r = 0.21, 95% CI 0.11–0.30), number of gambling activities (r = 0.19, 95% CI 0.14–0.24), alcohol use frequency (r = 0.19, 95% CI 0.15–0.22), cannabis use (r = 0.15, 95% CI 0.12–0.19), depressive symptoms (r = 0.15, 95% CI 0.03–0.27), illicit drug use (r = 0.14, 95% CI 0.11–0.17), tobacco use (r = 0.14, 95% CI 0.10–0.18), peer antisocial behaviours (r = 0.12, 95% CI 0.07–0.16), violence (r = 0.12, 95% CI 0.06–0.17), antisocial behaviours (r = 0.07, 95% CI 0.01–0.14), sensation seeking (r = 0.02, 95% CI 0.01–0.04), and undercontrolled temperament (r = 0.22, 95% CI 0.13–0.31).
- Significant protective factors were parent supervision (r = −0.10, 95% CI −0.18 to −0.03), socio-economic status (r = −0.07, 95% CI −0.11 to −0.03), and social problems (r = −0.16, 95% CI −0.32 to −0.01). Non-significant factors included activation control, age, aggression, anxiety symptoms, attention problems, big early loss, big early win, dispositional attention, early gambling onset, negative affect, psychological distress, religious attendance, safety-related risk taking, sexual risk taking, and suicidal ideation.
- Risk of bias assessment showed 87.5% used a standardised problem gambling measure, 87.5% used a current measure, 58.3% had follow-up periods longer than five years, 83.3% had no gambling industry sponsorship, 66.7% reported non-adjusted effect sizes, only 25.0% provided r as an effect size, 75.0% conducted first assessment at 12–25 years, and 75.0% used representative samples.
Methods
- Systematic review and meta-analysis compliant with PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines; searched Medline, PsycInfo, EMBASE, CINAHL, grey literature, and reference lists from 1990 onward, limited to English. Inclusion required a quantitative prospective design, one or more predictors of subsequent problem gambling, mean age ≤25 years when the predictor was measured, and any measure of problem gambling, pathological gambling, or gambling disorder as outcome.
- The search identified 2425 records after duplicates were removed, 187 full texts were retrieved, and 15 studies published in 23 articles were included. Data were extracted by two investigators, with independent double extraction and discrepancies resolved by a fourth investigator as arbiter.
- Findings were synthesized using Stouffer’s p and random-effects meta-analysis using correlation coefficient r, with I² for heterogeneity, Egger’s test for publication bias, and sensitivity analyses for methodological quality. Planned gender subgroup analyses were not conducted because only a small number of articles included gender-specific associations.
Limitations
- The paper states a relatively limited evidence base: few eligible articles and factors, most factors classified at the individual level of the socio-ecological model, few relationship/community/societal factors, and more emphasis on risk than protective factors. It also notes significant variability for approximately one-third of thematic factors, small samples, high attrition, low threshold definitions of problem gambling, many studies assuming no gambling at baseline and measuring problems at only one later point, mostly North American samples, non-standardised predictor measurement, self-report limitations, time-invariant predictors, and inability to distinguish factors for gambling involvement from those for problem gambling.
- The paper states that gender subgroup analyses were not conducted, no societal factors were explored in enough articles for quantitative synthesis, and significant publication bias was found for male gender and poor academic performance.
- Evident from the text: 55 of 88 thematic factors were investigated in only one sample and were therefore ineligible for quantitative synthesis; sensitivity analyses often had large imprecision due to small numbers of articles; and findings for parent supervision and socio-economic status were mixed across included articles.
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- Findingnone given
Results were generally robust to the quality of methodological approaches.
“Results were generally robust to the quality of methodological approaches”
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Poor school performance is one of the strongest risk factors for problem gambling.
“Strongest risk factors were gambling severity, male gender, poor school performance”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
High socio-economic status is a protective factor for problem gambling.
“Protective factors included parental supervision and high socio-economic status”
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Male gender is one of the strongest risk factors for problem gambling.
“Strongest risk factors were gambling severity, male gender, poor school performance”
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Parental supervision is a protective factor for problem gambling.
“Protective factors included parental supervision and high socio-economic status”
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- Findingown data
Gambling severity is one of the strongest risk factors for problem gambling.
“Strongest risk factors were gambling severity, male gender, poor school performance”
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Most of the evidence base for the identification of early risk factors for problem gambling is derived from cross-sectional studies of adolescents.
“Most of the evidence base for the identification of early risk factors for the development of problem gambling is derived from cross-sectional studies of adolescents.”
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The predictive relationship between impulsivity and problem gambling at age 17 held across all levels of aggressiveness and anxiety.
“and this predictive relationship held across all levels of aggressiveness and anxiety.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 1999 source
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Vitaro et al. (2001) found that delinquency at age 16 did not significantly predict problem gambling at age 17.
“Drug and alcohol use, but not delinquency, at age 16 significantly positively predicted problem gambling at age 17.”
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- Findingcitation
High scores on both impulsivity measures increased the risk of problem gambling at age 17 by a factor of more than 18.
“High scores on both impulsivity measures increased the risk of problem gambling at age 17 by a factor of more than 18”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 1999 source
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- Findingcitation
Vitaro et al. (2001) found that impulsivity at age 13 to 14 years was predictive of problem gambling at age 17.
“Although impulsivity and friends' deviancy at age 13 to 14 years was predictive of problem gambling at age 17”
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Vitaro et al. (1997) found a linear trend for scores on both self-report and teacher ratings of impulsivity to increase across groups defined by scores on the South Oaks Gambling Screen for Adolescents.
“There was a linear trend for scores on both self-report and teacher ratings of impulsivity to increase across the groups defined by scores on the South Oaks Gambling Screen for Adolescents”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 1997 source
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- Findingown data
Only a small number of the included articles included gender-specific associations.
“Only a small number of the included articles (Fröberg, Modin, Rosendahl, Tengström, & Hallqvist, 2015;Slutske, Moffitt, Poulton, & Caspi, 2012;Yücel et al., 2015) included gender-specific associations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Fröberg, Modin, Rosendahl, Tengström, & Hallqvist, 2015
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- cites Slutske, Moffitt, Poulton, & Caspi, 2012
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- cites Yücel et al., 2015 source
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- Findingcitation
Vitaro et al. (2001) found that friends' deviancy at age 13 to 14 years was predictive of problem gambling at age 17.
“Although impulsivity and friends' deviancy at age 13 to 14 years was predictive of problem gambling at age 17”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 2001 source
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- Findingcitation
Vitaro et al. (1999) found that impulsivity, measured using a self-report instrument and a card-sorting task, significantly predicted problem gambling after controlling for socio-demographic characteristics, early gambling behaviour, aggressiveness, and anxiety.
“Impulsivity, measured using a self-report instrument and a card-sorting task, significantly predicted problem gambling after controlling for socio-demographic characteristics, early gambling behaviour, aggressiveness, and anxiety.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 1999 source
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- Findingcitation
Vitaro et al. (2001) found that drug and alcohol use at age 16 significantly positively predicted problem gambling at age 17.
“Drug and alcohol use, but not delinquency, at age 16 significantly positively predicted problem gambling at age 17.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 2001 source
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66.7% of included articles reported non-adjusted effect sizes.
“Most reported non-adjusted effect sizes (66.7%), however, only 25.0% provided r as effect size estimates.”
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87.5% of included articles employed a standardised measure of problem gambling.
“The risk of bias assessment (Appendix D) revealed that almost all articles employed a standardised measure of problem gambling (87.5%) and employed a current measure of problem gambling (87.5%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The number of gambling activities in which youth participated was a strong thematic risk factor, with a small to medium effect size.
“In addition, the number of gambling activities in which youth participated was a strong thematic risk factor, with a small to medium effect size.”
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Alcohol use frequency was a thematic risk factor for problem gambling with a small to medium effect size.
“Several thematic risk factors relating to alcohol and substance use were also identified in the present review, with small to medium effect sizes for alcohol use frequency, cannabis use, illicit drug use, and tobacco use.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The gambling behaviour of children and adolescents is an important longitudinal individual thematic risk factor for the development of problem gambling.
“The gambling behaviour of children and adolescents emerges in the present review as an important longitudinal individual thematic risk factor for the development of problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
55 factors were investigated in only one sample and were therefore ineligible for inclusion in the quantitative synthesis.
“However, 55 factors (25 individual, 17 relationship, 12 community, one societal) were investigated in only one sample and were therefore ineligible for inclusion in the quantitative synthesis of the findings (see Appendix E).”
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Wanner et al. (2009) found that behavioural disinhibition moderated the stability of problem gambling across the developmental period, whereby the stability of gambling problems was significant in the high disinhibition group and non-significant in the low disinhibition group.
“Behavioural disinhibition moderated the stability of problem gambling across the developmental period, whereby the stability of gambling problems was significant in the high disinhibition group and non-significant in the low disinhibition group.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Wanner et al., 2009 source
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25.0% of included articles provided r as effect size estimates.
“Most reported non-adjusted effect sizes (66.7%), however, only 25.0% provided r as effect size estimates.”
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No societal factors were explored in a sufficient number of articles for inclusion in the quantitative synthesis.
“No societal factors were explored in a sufficient number of articles for inclusion in this quantitative synthesis.”
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Male gender was the only socio-demographic thematic risk factor identified in the review.
“The only socio-demographic thematic risk factor was male gender, which was among the strongest thematic risk factors, with a significant medium mean effect size.”
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Wanner et al. (2009) found that across both samples, none of the variables at age 16 were significantly predictive of gambling problems at age 23.
“Across both samples, none of the variables at age 16 were significantly predictive of gambling problems at age 23.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Wanner et al., 2009 source
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- Findingcitation
In Vitaro et al. (2001), only 5% of the variance of gambling problems was explained by the set of predictors.
“Despite the significance of these predictors, only 5% of the variance of gambling problems was explained by the set of predictors.”
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Dussault et al. (2011) found that impulsivity at age 14 positively predicted gambling problems at ages 17 and 23.
“Impulsivity at age 14 positively predicted gambling problems at ages 17 and 23”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Dussault et al., 2011 source
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Vitaro et al. (2001) found that parental supervision did not predict gambling problems at age 17.
“parental supervision did not predict gambling problems at age 17.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Vitaro et al., 2001 source
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- Findingown data
75.0% of included articles used a representative sample.
“The majority conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood (12-25 years of age; 75.0%) and used a representative sample (75.0%).”
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87.5% of included articles employed a current measure of problem gambling.
“The risk of bias assessment (Appendix D) revealed that almost all articles employed a standardised measure of problem gambling (87.5%) and employed a current measure of problem gambling (87.5%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
75.0% of included articles conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood (12-25 years of age).
“The majority conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood (12-25 years of age; 75.0%) and used a representative sample (75.0%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
Dussault et al. (2011) found that depressive symptoms at age 17 predicted an increase in gambling problems from age 17 to age 23.
“and depressive symptoms at age 17 predicted an increase in gambling problems from age 17 to age 23.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Dussault et al., 2011 source
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Cannabis use was a thematic risk factor for problem gambling with a small to medium effect size.
“Several thematic risk factors relating to alcohol and substance use were also identified in the present review, with small to medium effect sizes for alcohol use frequency, cannabis use, illicit drug use, and tobacco use.”
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Undercontrolled temperament was identified as a risk factor for the development of gambling problems.
“The present findings also identified several personality characteristics of young people as risk factors for the development of gambling problems, including impulsivity, sensation seeking, and undercontrolled temperament.”
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Sensation seeking was identified as a risk factor for the development of gambling problems.
“The present findings also identified several personality characteristics of young people as risk factors for the development of gambling problems, including impulsivity, sensation seeking, and undercontrolled temperament.”
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Violence was a significant longitudinal thematic risk factor for gambling problems.
“In this review, antisocial behaviours (including delinquency and theft), violence, peer antisocial behaviours (including deviancy), and poor academic performance were significant longitudinal thematic risk factors for gambling problems.”
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Poor academic performance in young people displayed the strongest association with subsequent problem gambling, with a medium effect size.
“Although these risk factors generally displayed relatively small effect sizes, poor academic performance in young people displayed the strongest association with subsequent problem gambling, with a medium effect size.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Impulsivity was identified as a risk factor for the development of gambling problems.
“The present findings also identified several personality characteristics of young people as risk factors for the development of gambling problems, including impulsivity, sensation seeking, and undercontrolled temperament.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Antisocial behaviours (including delinquency and theft) were significant longitudinal thematic risk factors for gambling problems.
“In this review, antisocial behaviours (including delinquency and theft), violence, peer antisocial behaviours (including deviancy), and poor academic performance were significant longitudinal thematic risk factors for gambling problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Illicit drug use was a thematic risk factor for problem gambling with a small to medium effect size.
“Several thematic risk factors relating to alcohol and substance use were also identified in the present review, with small to medium effect sizes for alcohol use frequency, cannabis use, illicit drug use, and tobacco use.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Tobacco use was a thematic risk factor for problem gambling with a small to medium effect size.
“Several thematic risk factors relating to alcohol and substance use were also identified in the present review, with small to medium effect sizes for alcohol use frequency, cannabis use, illicit drug use, and tobacco use.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Poor academic performance was a significant longitudinal thematic risk factor for gambling problems.
“In this review, antisocial behaviours (including delinquency and theft), violence, peer antisocial behaviours (including deviancy), and poor academic performance were significant longitudinal thematic risk factors for gambling problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Peer antisocial behaviours (including deviancy) were significant longitudinal thematic risk factors for gambling problems.
“In this review, antisocial behaviours (including delinquency and theft), violence, peer antisocial behaviours (including deviancy), and poor academic performance were significant longitudinal thematic risk factors for gambling problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Several individual and relationship factors have displayed significant protective relationships with subsequent problem gambling in at least one article.
“Similarly, several individual factors (such as belief in the moral order, education, and constraint) and relationship factors (such as family rewards for prosocial involvement) have displayed significant protective relationships with subsequent problem gambling in at least one article.”
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The review identified only three early thematic protective factors for the development of gambling problems: parent supervision, socio-economic status, and social problems.
“The review identified only three early thematic protective factors for the development of gambling problems: parent supervision, socio-economic status, and social problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Many included articles failed to find a significant relationship between depression and problem gambling.
“and many of the included articles failed to find a significant relationship between depression and problem gambling (Edgerton et al., 2014;Lee et al., 2011;Scholes-Balog et al., 2014;Shenassa et al., 2012;Yücel et al., 2015).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Findingown data
Several individual, relationship, and community factors have displayed significant risk relationships with subsequent problem gambling in at least one article.
“For example, several individual factors (such as rebelliousness, never married status, ADHD, and gambling participation on various gambling activities), relationship factors (such as family conflict, family history of antisocial behaviour, friends' use of drugs, peer rewards for antisocial involvement, and parental gambling history), and community factors (such as low school commitment) have”
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Many internalising symptoms (anxiety symptoms, psychological distress, negative affect, and suicidal ideation) had non-significant longitudinal associations with subsequent gambling problems.
“Another important finding from the present review was that there were non-significant longitudinal associations between many internalising symptoms (anxiety symptoms, psychological distress, negative affect, and suicidal ideation) and subsequent gambling problems.”
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Early depression had a significant but relatively small longitudinal association with problem gambling.
“Moreover, while the longitudinal association between early depression and problem gambling was significant, the effect size was relatively small”
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Social problems were a significant protective factor in the subsequent development of problem gambling.
“Contrary to expectations, social problems were a significant protective factor in the subsequent development of problem gambling”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
Non-significant effects were identified for 14 individual thematic factors (activation control, age, aggression, anxiety symptoms, attention problems, big early loss, big early win, dispositional attention, early gambling onset, negative affect, psychological distress, safety-related risk taking, sexual risk taking, and suicidal ideation) and one community thematic factor (religious attendance).
“Non-significant effects were identified for 14 individual thematic factors (activation control, age, aggression, anxiety symptoms, attention problems, big early loss, big early win, dispositional attention, early gambling onset, negative affect, psychological distress, safety-related risk taking, sexual risk taking, and suicidal ideation) and one community thematic factor (religious attendance).”
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Many of the factors investigated in only one article displayed significant risk or protective relationships with subsequent problem gambling.
“Many of these factors displayed significant risk or protective relationships with subsequent problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
There were 55 factors representing all levels of the socio-ecological model that were investigated in only one article.
“Moreover, there were 55 factors representing all levels of the socio-ecological model that were investigated in only one article.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
There was a limited number of factors eligible for inclusion in the quantitative synthesis of findings.
“There was a limited number of articles eligible for inclusion in the review and a limited number of factors eligible for inclusion in the quantitative synthesis of findings.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
There was a limited number of articles eligible for inclusion in the review.
“There was a limited number of articles eligible for inclusion in the review and a limited number of factors eligible for inclusion in the quantitative synthesis of findings.”
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The majority of the final evaluations were conducted in adolescence and young adulthood.
“In addition, the majority of the final evaluations were conducted in adolescence and young adulthood.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingcitation
Few studies have explored the role of protective factors that operate by decreasing the probability of problem gambling development in the presence of risk, such as by interacting with a risk factor to mitigate or buffer its effects.
“Moreover, few studies have explored the role of protective factors that operate by decreasing the probability of problem gambling development in the presence of risk, such as by interacting with a risk factor to mitigate or buffer its effects (Coie et al., 1993;Dickson et al., 2008;Farrington & Ttofi, 2011;Loxley et al., 2004;Lussier et al., 2014).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Findingown data
Most of the factors were classified in the individual level of the socio-cultural model, with much smaller proportions in the relationship, community, and societal levels.
“Most of the factors were classified in the individual level of the socio-cultural model, with much smaller proportions in the relationship level, community level, and societal level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Many of the included articles assumed that gambling behaviour is absent at the first evaluation period and only measured gambling problems at one later point in time.
“Many of the articles assumed that gambling behaviour is absent at the first evaluation period and only measured gambling problems at one later point in time.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingreasoning
Many articles employed a low threshold definition of problem gambling, including those at lower levels of risk, to obtain adequate numbers of affected individuals.
“Many articles therefore employed a low threshold definition of problem gambling, including those at lower levels of risk, to obtain adequate numbers of affected individuals.”
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There was large imprecision in the sensitivity analysis estimates given the small number of articles included.
“and there was large imprecision in the sensitivity analysis estimates given the small number of articles included.”
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None of the methodological factors consistently explained the variations in effect size estimates.
“none of these potentially relevant factors consistently explained these variations”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
The emphasis of most of the included articles was on the identification of risk factors, rather than protective factors.
“Relatedly, the emphasis of most of the included articles was on the identification of risk factors, rather than protective factors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A notable feature of the findings was significant variability in the estimates for approximately one-third of the thematic factors.
“A notable feature of the findings was significant variability in the estimates for approximately one-third of the thematic factors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingreasoning
The review identified a relatively limited evidence base from which to draw conclusions about risk and protective factors for problem gambling.
“Despite these strengths, the review identified a relatively limited evidence base from which to draw conclusions about risk and protective factors for problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Many included articles employed non-standardised measurement of predictors.
“Most of the included articles reported on research conducted in North America, many employed non-standardised measurement of predictors, and many did not report important study characteristics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingnone given
Many included articles did not report important study characteristics.
“Most of the included articles reported on research conducted in North America, many employed non-standardised measurement of predictors, and many did not report important study characteristics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingcitation
There remains insufficient investigation of protective factors related to problem gambling to determine whether they reflect those for other addictive behaviours.
“There remains, however, insufficient investigation of protective factors related to problem gambling to determine whether they reflect those for other addictive behaviours (e.g., Scholes-Balog et al., 2015).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Scholes-Balog et al., 2015 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Findingnone given
Several thematic risk factors (e.g., gender, early onset of gambling) were time invariant predictors.
“Moreover, several of the thematic risk factors (e.g., gender, early onset of gambling) were time invariant predictors”
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Risk factors that had smaller effects as longitudinal predictors of gambling problems included number of gambling activities, impulsivity, sensation seeking, undercontrolled temperament, antisocial behaviours, violence, peer antisocial behaviours, depressive symptoms, alcohol use frequency, cannabis use, illicit drug use, and tobacco use.
“Risk factors that had smaller effects as longitudinal predictors of gambling problems included: number of gambling activities, impulsivity, sensation seeking, undercontrolled temperament, antisocial behaviours, violence, peer antisocial behaviours, depressive symptoms, alcohol use frequency, cannabis use, illicit drug use, and tobacco use.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Most of the included articles reported on research conducted in North America.
“Most of the included articles reported on research conducted in North America, many employed non-standardised measurement of predictors, and many did not report important study characteristics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between poor academic performance and later problem gambling was 0.24 (95% CI 0.09, 0.39).
“| Poor academic | 3 | 4 | 4 | b0.0001 0.24 (0.09, 0.39) | 0.0021 | 80.68 (22.26, | 0.0016 |”
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The pooled association between social problems and later problem gambling was -0.16 (95% CI -0.32, -0.01).
“| Social problems | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.9016 | -0.16 (-0.32, | 0.0374 | 0.00 (0.00, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The majority of the included articles focused on the identification of risk factors rather than protective factors.
“Furthermore, the majority of the included articles focused on the identification of risk factors rather than protective factors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The review identified 13 individual thematic risk factors (alcohol use frequency, antisocial behaviours, depression, male gender, cannabis use, illicit drug use, impulsivity, number of gambling activities, problem gambling severity, sensation seeking, tobacco use, violence, undercontrolled temperament) that were significantly associated with subsequent problem gambling.
“Overall, this review identified 13 individual thematic risk factors (alcohol use frequency, antisocial behaviours, depression, male gender, cannabis use, illicit drug use, impulsivity, number of gambling activities, problem gambling severity, sensation seeking, tobacco use, violence, undercontrolled temperament)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early illicit drug use and later problem gambling was 0.14 (95% CI 0.11, 0.17).
“| Illicit drug use | 5 | 7 | 7 | b0.0001 0.14 (0.11, 0.17) | b0.0001 | 2.83 (0.00, | 0.206 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between psychological distress and later problem gambling was 0.05 (95% CI -0.07, 0.18).
“| Psychological distress | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.4145 | 0.05 (-0.07, 0.18) 0.4184 | 78.95 (0.00, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early depressive symptoms and later problem gambling was 0.15 (95% CI 0.03, 0.27).
“| Depressive symptoms | 6 | 7 | 7 | 0.0008 | 0.15 (0.03, 0.27) | 0.0164 | 94.35 (84.77, | 0.2677 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between peer antisocial behaviours and later problem gambling was 0.12 (95% CI 0.07, 0.16).
“| Peer antisocial | 2 | 3 | 3 | b0.0001 0.12 (0.07, 0.16) | b0.0001 | 34.81 (0.00, | 0.1079 |”
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The pooled association between sexual risk taking and later problem gambling was 0.14 (95% CI -0.01, 0.29).
“| Sexual risk taking | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.0433 | 0.14 (-0.01, 0.29) 0.0766 | 0.00 (0.00, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between suicidal ideation and later problem gambling was -0.03 (95% CI -0.19, 0.13).
“| Suicidal ideation | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.7180 | -0.03 (-0.19, | 0.7079 | 0.00 (0.00, 98.7) n/a |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early problem gambling severity and later problem gambling was 0.40 (95% CI 0.26, 0.54).
“| Problem gambling | 5 | 5 | 5 | b0.0001 0.40 (0.26, 0.54) | b0.0001 | 96.61 (90.5, | 0.5333 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between safety-related risk taking and later problem gambling was 0.14 (95% CI -0.01, 0.29).
“| Safety related risk taking 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.0471 | 0.14 (-0.01, 0.29) 0.0767 | 0.00 (0.00, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between sensation seeking and later problem gambling was 0.02 (95% CI 0.01, 0.04).
“| Sensation seeking | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.0009 | 0.02 (0.01, 0.04) | 0.0081 | 0.00 (0.00, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
Based on the socio-ecological model, the majority of the thematic factors were classified in the individual level, with fewer thematic factors classified in the relationship, community and societal level.
“Based on the socio-ecological model, the majority of the thematic factors were classified in the individual level, with fewer thematic factors classified in the relationship, community and societal level.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early impulsivity and later problem gambling was 0.21 (95% CI 0.11, 0.30).
“| Impulsivity | 6 | 7 | 7 | b0.0001 0.21 (0.11, 0.30) | b0.0001 | 87.89 (67.59, | 0.0844 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
This systematic review and meta-analysis identified typically small to medium effects for a range of early factors that predict the development of problem gambling.
“This systematic review and meta-analysis identified typically small to medium effects for a range of early factors that predict the development of problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between dispositional attention and later problem gambling was -0.03 (95% CI -0.23, 0.18).
“| Dispositional attention | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.4342 | -0.03 (-0.23,”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
A further 15 thematic factors were not significantly associated with subsequent problem gambling (activation control, age, aggression, anxiety symptoms, attention problems, big early loss, big early win, dispositional attention, early gambling onset, negative affect, psychological distress, religious attendance, safety-related risk taking, sexual risk taking, and suicidal ideation).
“A further 15 thematic factors were not significantly associated with subsequent problem gambling (activation control, age, aggression, anxiety symptoms, attention problems, big early loss, big early win, dispositional attention, early gambling onset, negative affect, psychological distress, religious attendance, safety-related risk taking, sexual risk taking, and suicidal ideation).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between religious attendance and later problem gambling was 0.09 (95% CI -0.11, 0.29).
“| Religious attendance | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.5917 | 0.09 (-0.11, 0.29) 0.3698 | 98.68 (93.34, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between parental supervision and later problem gambling was -0.10 (95% CI -0.18, -0.03).
“| Parent supervision | 2 | 3 | 3 | b0.0001 -0.10 (-0.18, | 0.0079 | 60.48 (0.00, | 0.892 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between male gender and later problem gambling was 0.24 (95% CI 0.16, 0.33).
“| Male gender | 6 | 6 | 6 | b0.0001 0.24 (0.16, 0.33) | b0.0001 | 88.81 (69.05, | 0.0188 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingnone given
The review highlighted the relatively limited evidence base related to early risk and protective factors for the development of problem gambling.
“This systematic review highlighted the relatively limited evidence base related to early risk and protective factors for the development of problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between socio-economic status and later problem gambling was -0.07 (95% CI -0.11, -0.03).
“| Socio-economic status | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.0037 | -0.07 (-0.11, | 0.0006 | 0.00 (0.00, | 0.9064 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early negative affect and later problem gambling was 0.14 (95% CI -0.17, 0.45).
“| Negative affect | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0.0479 | 0.14 (-0.17, 0.45) 0.3650 | 90.41 (65.25, | b0.0001 |”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early gambling onset and later problem gambling was 0.13 (95% CI -0.01, 0.28).
“| Early gambling onset | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0.0093 | 0.13 (-0.01, 0.28) 0.0762 | 85.76 (55.16, | b0.0001 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between the number of gambling activities and later problem gambling was 0.19 (95% CI 0.14, 0.24).
“| Number of gambling | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0.0004 | 0.19 (0.14, 0.24) | b0.0001 | 0.20 (0.00, | 0.1561 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between early cannabis use and later problem gambling was 0.15 (95% CI 0.12, 0.19).
“| Cannabis use | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0.0064 | 0.15 (0.12, 0.19) | b0.0001 | 0.00 (0.00, | 0.6247 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between undercontrolled temperament and later problem gambling was 0.22 (95% CI 0.13, 0.31).
“| Undercontrolled | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.0849 | 0.22 (0.13, 0.31) | b0.0001 | 50.28 (0.00, | n/a |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between tobacco use and later problem gambling was 0.14 (95% CI 0.10, 0.18).
“| Tobacco use | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0.0022 | 0.14 (0.10, 0.18) | b0.0001 | 0.00 (0.00, 0.00) 0.8912 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Findingown data
The pooled association between violence and later problem gambling was 0.12 (95% CI 0.06, 0.17).
“| Violence | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.0033 | 0.12 (0.06, 0.17) | b0.0001 | 0.00 (0.00, | 0.5535 |”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Adult gambling problems can emerge from patterns developed in childhood and adolescence.
“Moreover, adult gambling problems can emerge from patterns developed in childhood and adolescence (Derevensky et al., 2003).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Derevensky et al., 2003 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Longitudinal research is required to identify risk and protective factors as they are generally conceptualised as antecedent conditions that temporally precede the development of gambling problems.
“Although these cross-sectional studies provide some insight into the early factors associated with the development of problem gambling, longitudinal research is required to identify risk and protective factors as they are generally conceptualised as antecedent conditions that temporally precede the development of gambling problems (Kazdin et al., 1997;Kraemer et al., 1997;Loxley et al., 2004).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Premisecitation
Some early factors associated with the development of problem gambling in cross-sectional studies of young people have not been identified in subsequent longitudinal studies.
“This is highlighted by recent findings suggesting that some of the early factors associated with the development of problem gambling in cross-sectional studies of young people have not been identified in subsequent longitudinal studies (e.g., Scholes-Balog, Hemphill, Toumbourou, & Dowling, 2015;Shenassa, Paradis, Dolan, Wilhelm, & Buka, 2012).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Scholes-Balog, Hemphill, Toumbourou, & Dowling, 2015
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Shenassa, Paradis, Dolan, Wilhelm, & Buka, 2012
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationown data
Males are still at considerably higher risk of developing gambling problems relative to females.
“the findings of the present review suggest that males are still at considerably higher risk of developing gambling problems relative to their female counterparts.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The severity of gambling behaviour is one of the strongest predictors of outcome in treatment.
“These findings are consistent with a growing body of evidence that the severity of the gambling behaviour is one of the strongest predictors of outcome in the treatment (Dowling, 2009;Merkouris, Thomas, Browning, & Dowling, 2016).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Premisecitation
Problem gambling behaviour is part of a constellation of other antisocial, risk-taking, violent, and delinquent behaviours in adolescence, particularly for males.
“Taken together, these findings are consistent with previous cross-sectional research that suggests that problem gambling behaviour is part of a constellation of other antisocial, risk-taking, violent, and delinquent behaviours in adolescence, particularly for males (Jacobs, 2000;Stinchfield, 2000;Vitaro et al., 2001).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Premisecitation
Dispositional characteristics including impulsivity, excitability, disinhibition, intensity-seeking, and risk-propensity are concurrent risk factors for problem gambling, particularly for male youth.
“These findings align with the cross-sectional evidence base that has consistently identified dispositional characteristics including impulsivity, excitability, disinhibition, intensity-seeking, and risk-propensity as concurrent risk factors for problem gambling, particularly for male youth (Dickson et al., 2008;Gupta & Derevensky, 1998;Nower et al., 2004;Vitaro et al., 1997Vitaro et al., , 1999;;V”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Premisecitation
Adolescents displaying gambling-related problems are at increased risk for alcohol or substance use.
“These findings are consistent with the cross-sectional literature that has also found that adolescents displaying gambling-related problems are at increased risk for alcohol or substance use (e.g.Delfabbro et al., 2006;Gupta & Derevensky, 1998;Hardoon & Derevensky, 2002;Jacobs, 2000;Langhinrichsen-Rohling, Rohde, Seeley, & Rohling, 2004;Nower et al., 2004;Stinchfield, 2000)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
The tendency to be impatient, overactive, impulsive, and easily distracted, with an inability to foresee negative consequences and to stop responding despite unfavorable contingencies puts youth at risk for developing gambling problems.
“Taken together, these findings suggest that the tendency to be impatient, overactive, impulsive, and easily distracted, with an inability to foresee negative consequences and to stop responding despite unfavorable contingencies puts youth at risk for developing gambling problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Youth who get along with, and are liked by, their peers are more at risk for gambling problematically.
“suggesting that youth who get along with, and are liked by, their peers are more at risk for gambling problematically.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Approximately three-quarters of the included articles employed community-representative samples.
“Approximately three-quarters of the included articles employed community-representative samples and reported non-adjusted effect sizes in the analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Most included articles employed a standardised measure of current problem gambling.
“Most articles employed a standardised measure of current problem gambling, did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry, and conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Most included articles conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood.
“Most articles employed a standardised measure of current problem gambling, did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry, and conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Most included articles did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry.
“Most articles employed a standardised measure of current problem gambling, did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry, and conducted the first assessment in adolescence or young adulthood.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The relationship between internalising symptoms and problem gambling, at least in adolescence and young adulthood, is not as strong as the cross-sectional literature would suggest.
“Taken together, these findings suggest that the relationship between internalising symptoms and problem gambling, at least in adolescence and young adulthood, is not as strong as the cross-sectional literature (Delfabbro et al., 2006;Dickson et al., 2008;Gupta & Derevensky, 1998;Jacobs, 2000;Langhinrichsen-Rohling et al., 2004) would suggest.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Premisecitation
Cross-sectional adolescent literature also has inconsistent findings for parent supervision and socio-economic status.
“These inconsistent findings are reflected in cross-sectional adolescent literature for both parent supervision (Chalmers & Willoughby, 2006;Magoon & Ingersoll, 2006;Vachon et al., 2004) and socio-economic status (Delfabbro et al., 2006;Molde, Pallesen, Bartone, Hystad, & Johnsen, 2009;Welte, Barnes, Tidwell, & Hoffman, 2008).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Chalmers & Willoughby, 2006
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Delfabbro et al., 2006 source
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Welte, Barnes, Tidwell, & Hoffman, 2008
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Scholes-Balog et al. (2015) identified no statistically significant protective factors that buffered the relationship between internalising symptoms and subsequent problem gambling.
“Moreover, they identified no statistically significant protective factors that buffered the relationship between internalising symptoms and subsequent problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Scholes-Balog et al., 2015 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductown data
Over half of the included articles had follow-up periods longer than five years.
“Over half of the included articles had follow-up periods longer than five years and publication bias estimates were generally low.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
Articles were often limited by sample sizes too small to capture a sufficient number of more severe problem gamblers.
“Articles were often limited by sample sizes that are too small to capture a sufficient number of more severe problem gamblers and relatively high rates of attrition over the study period.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The review was able to comprehensively explore the degree to which effect size estimates fluctuated as a function of methodological considerations using sensitivity analyses.
“Although a strength of this systematic review is that it was able to comprehensively explore the degree to which the effect size estimates fluctuated as a function of methodological considerations using sensitivity analyses”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductnone given
Articles often had relatively high rates of attrition over the study period.
“Articles were often limited by sample sizes that are too small to capture a sufficient number of more severe problem gamblers and relatively high rates of attrition over the study period.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Scholes-Balog et al. (2015) found that none of the 15 hypothesised protective factors across the individual, relationship, and community domains displayed a significant association with subsequent problem gambling in young adults.
“For example, Scholes-Balog et al. (2015) found that none of the 15 hypothesised protective factors across the individual, relationship, and community domains displayed a significant association with subsequent problem gambling in young adults.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Scholes-Balog et al., 2015 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Non-contacted participants at follow-up evaluations are likely to display higher rates of problem gambling and other pathological outcomes relative to their successfully contacted counterparts.
“There is also some evidence that non-contacted participants at followup evaluations are likely to display higher rates of problem gambling and other pathological outcomes relative to their successfully contacted counterparts (Fröberg et al., 2015;Slutske et al., 2003).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked - Interpretationreasoning
The small numbers of problem gamblers in many articles may have contributed to the relatively small effect sizes identified for most risk and protective factors.
“Even using this procedure, the small numbers of problem gamblers in many of the articles may have contributed to the relatively small effect sizes identified for most of the risk and protective factors.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
Publication bias estimates were generally low.
“Over half of the included articles had follow-up periods longer than five years and publication bias estimates were generally low.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Study design and conductown data
The results of the review were generally robust to the inclusion of articles using non-standardised measures of problem gambling, lifetime measures of problem gambling, industry sponsorship, first assessment during childhood, non-representative samples, adjusted effect sizes, follow-up assessment before the legal gambling age, and follow-up periods shorter than five years.
“Moreover, the sensitivity analyses revealed that the results of the review were generally robust to the inclusion of articles using non-standardised measures of problem gambling, lifetime measures of problem gambling, industry sponsorship, first assessment during childhood, non-representative samples, adjusted effect sizes, follow-up assessment before the legal gambling age, and follow-up periods”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationcitation
The problem gambling risk factors identified in the present review are similar to those for other problem behaviours such as alcohol, tobacco, marijuana use, and delinquency.
“Interestingly, the problem gambling risk factors identified in the present review are similar to those for other problem behaviours such as alcohol, tobacco, marijuana use, and delinquency (Bond, Toumbourou, Thomas, Catalano, & Patton, 2005;Hemphill et al., 2011;Vitaro et al., 2001;Wanner et al., 2009).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked - Interpretationcitation
Some of the identified early risk factors indirectly influence gambling through their influence on alcohol use.
“These findings suggest that some of the identified early risk factors indirectly influence gambling through their influence on alcohol use (Scholes-Balog et al., 2014).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Scholes-Balog et al., 2014 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
Problem behaviour theory suggests that adolescents who are prone to one problem behaviour are prone to other problem behaviours.
“The present findings are consistent with problem behaviour theory, which suggests that adolescents who are prone to one problem behaviour are prone to other problem behaviours (Donovan, Jessor, & Costa, 1991).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Donovan, Jessor, & Costa, 1991
Not checked in the free run.
- Premisecitation
There is some evidence that there is a different set of factors associated with the frequency of gambling than the likelihood of gambling disorder among high-frequency gamblers.
“for example, there is some evidence that there is a different set of factors associated with the frequency of gambling than the likelihood of gambling disorder among high-frequency gamblers (Hodgins et al., 2012).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hodgins et al., 2012 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Study design and conductnone given
The included articles were subject to the limitations of self-report methodology, including socially desirable responding.
“The included articles were also subject to the limitations of self-report methodology, including socially desirable responding.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Strategies of this type have been successful as early interventions to reduce youth alcohol and drug problems.
“Strategies of this type have been successful as early interventions to reduce youth alcohol and drug problems (Tanner-Smith & Lipsey, 2015).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Tanner-Smith & Lipsey, 2015 source
Not checked in the free run.
- Interpretationnone given
The risk factors identified in this review are similar to those for other problem behaviours, such as alcohol, tobacco use, marijuana use, and delinquency.
“Interestingly, the risk factors identified in this review are similar to those for other problem behaviours, such as alcohol, tobacco use, marijuana use, and delinquency.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 28
- May combine two claims. 19
- The quote only partly states this claim. 2
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).
Findingnone givenThere are no comprehensive narrative or systematic reviews identifying the risk and protective factors that are longitudinally associated with the development of gambling problems to guide the development of such efforts.
“To date, however, there are no comprehensive narrative or systematic reviews identifying the risk and protective factors that are longitudinally associated with the development of gambling problems to guide the development of such efforts.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataAfter duplicate records were removed, the search identified 2425 articles.
“After duplicate records were removed, the search identified 2425 articles.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data15 studies published in 23 articles were included in this review.
“Overall, 15 studies published in 23 articles were included in this review.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingreasoning33 factors were included in the quantitative synthesis of findings.
“The remaining 33 factors (29 individual, two relationship, two community) were included in the quantitative synthesis of findings.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataMale gender was among the strongest thematic risk factors, with a significant medium mean effect size.
“The only socio-demographic thematic risk factor was male gender, which was among the strongest thematic risk factors, with a significant medium mean effect size.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataProblem gambling severity was the strongest of all thematic risk factors identified in the review, with a significant medium to large effect size.
“Problem gambling severity was the strongest of all thematic risk factors identified in the review, with a significant medium to large effect size.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown dataThe included articles explored the associations between 88 thematic factors and problem gambling.
“In this review, the included articles explored the associations between 88 thematic factors and problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data37.5% of included articles had their first assessment during the age of 12-17 years and their follow-up assessment after the age of 18 years.
“Finally, 37.5% of the articles had their first assessment during the age of 12-17 years and their follow-up assessment after the age of 18 years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data83.3% of included articles did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry.
“Many had follow-up periods longer than five years (58.3%) and did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry (83.3%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Findingown data58.3% of included articles had follow-up periods longer than five years.
“Many had follow-up periods longer than five years (58.3%) and did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry (83.3%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataImpulsivity and undercontrolled temperament were among the strongest thematic risk factors identified in the review, displaying small to medium mean effect sizes.
“Impulsivity and undercontrolled temperament were among the strongest thematic risk factors identified in the present review, displaying small to medium mean effect sizes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims. The quote only partly states this claim.
Findingown dataAntisocial behaviours, violence, peer antisocial behaviours, and poor academic performance generally displayed relatively small effect sizes.
“Although these risk factors generally displayed relatively small effect sizes, poor academic performance in young people displayed the strongest association with subsequent problem gambling, with a medium effect size.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataEach of the three early thematic protective factors (parent supervision, socio-economic status, and social problems) had small but significant mean effects.
“There were small, but significant, mean effects for each of these protective factors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe findings of the included articles were mixed for both parent supervision and socio-economic status.
“The findings of the included articles, however, were mixed for both parent supervision and socio-economic status.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataRisk factors with medium to strong effects in longitudinally predicting gambling problems included problem gambling severity, male gender, and poor academic performance.
“The findings of this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that risk factors with medium to strong effects in longitudinally predicting gambling problems included: problem gambling severity, male gender, and poor academic performance.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingnone givenInvolvement in a greater number of gambling activities had consistent small to medium longitudinal effects and problem gambling severity had strong effects in predicting later problems with gambling.
“Involvement in a greater number of gambling activities had consistent small to medium longitudinal effects and problem gambling severity had strong effects in predicting later problems with gambling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Findingown dataThe review identified one relationship thematic risk factor (peer antisocial behaviours), one community thematic risk factor (poor academic performance), one individual thematic protective factor (socio-economic status), and two relationship thematic protective factors (parent supervision, social problems) that were significantly associated with subsequent problem gambling.
“one relationship thematic risk factor (peer antisocial behaviours), one community thematic risk factor (poor academic performance), one individual thematic protective factor (socio-economic status), and two relationship thematic protective factors (parent supervision, social problems) that were significantly associated with subsequent problem gambling.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationYoung adulthood refers to individuals up to 25 years of age, as evidence indicates that individuals at this age are in a sensitive developmental period in which there is continued bio-psycho-social maturation into adult-like roles and responsibilities, and that influences during this period have strong impacts on later lifestyle and behaviour patterns.
“For the purpose of this review, young adulthood refers to individuals up to 25 years of age, as evidence indicates that individuals at this age are in a sensitive developmental period in which there is continued bio-psycho-social maturation into adult-like roles and responsibilities, and that influences during this period have strong impacts on later lifestyle and behaviour patterns (Arnett, Žukau”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Arnett, Žukauskiene, & Sugimura, 2014 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe methodology employed in this review was compliant with PRISMA and MOOSE.
“The methodology employed in this review was compliant with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) (Moher, Liberati, Tetzlaff, & Altman, 2009) and the guidelines for the Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) (Stroup et al., 2000).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationMany children, adolescents and young adults exposed to risk factors never develop gambling problems, suggesting that there are factors that play a protective role.
“Despite well-established associations between many of these factors and gambling problems, many children, adolescents and young adults exposed to these risk factors never develop gambling problems, suggesting that there are factors that play a protective role (Lussier et al., 2014).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Lussier et al., 2014 source
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThese factors may be consequences of problem gambling or co-exist because they share common causes.
“These findings suggest that these factors may be, in fact, consequences of problem gambling or co-exist because they share common causes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe use of quality scoring methods in meta-analyses of observational studies is generally not recommended because scores constructed in an ad hoc fashion may lack demonstrated validity, and results may not be associated with quality.
“The use of quality scoring methods in meta-analyses of observational studies is generally not recommended (Higgins, Thompson, Deeks, & Altman, 2003;Stroup et al., 2000) because scores constructed in an ad hoc fashion may lack demonstrated validity, and results may not be associated with quality (Juni, Witschi, Bloch, & Egger, 1999).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Study design and conductnone givenData were extracted from the included articles by two investigators, and double data extraction was conducted for all included articles by an independent reviewer to ensure accuracy.
“Data were extracted from the included articles by two investigators.Double data extraction was then conducted for all included articles by an independent reviewer to ensure the data extraction was accurate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
Study design and conductcitationA components approach was adopted to assess risk of bias in this review, whereby the research in each article was rated on individual criteria that reflect the methodological risk of bias.
“A components approach was therefore adopted to assess risk of bias in this review, whereby the research in each article was rated on individual criteria that reflect the methodological risk of bias (Higgins et al., 2003).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Higgins et al., 2003 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductreasoningThe planned subgroup analyses to examine gender differences in thematic risk and protective factors were not conducted.
“The planned subgroup analyses to examine gender differences in thematic risk and protective factors were therefore not conducted.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationSensitivity analyses were conducted to examine whether findings were robust to the quality of the methodological approaches of the included articles.
“Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine whether findings were robust to the quality of the methodological approaches of the included articles (Stroup et al., 2000).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Stroup et al., 2000 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductcitationThe presence of publication bias was assessed by visual inspection of the funnel plot and by using Egger's test.
“The presence of publication bias, when there were 3 or more independent estimates available, was assessed by visual inspection of the funnel plot of the meta-analyses and by using Egger's test (p b 0.05) (Egger, Smith, & Phillips, 1997).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Egger, Smith, & Phillips, 1997 source
Not checked in the free run.
Classified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningScreening accompanied with early intervention may provide an effective strategy for preventing gambling problems.
“This information suggests that screening accompanied with early intervention may provide an effective strategy for preventing gambling problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductown dataGender subgroup analyses were precluded from the review due to the small number of articles including gender-specific associations.
“Gender subgroup analyses were precluded from the present review due to the small number of articles including genderspecific associations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationA significant proportion of individuals simultaneously drink and gamble.
“and that a significant proportion of individuals simultaneously drink and gamble (Baron & Dickerson, 1999;Giacopassi, Stitt, & Vandiver, 1998).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Baron & Dickerson, 1999
Not checked in the free run.
- cites Giacopassi, Stitt, & Vandiver, 1998
Not checked in the free run.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningInternalising symptoms and problem gambling may co-exist because internalising symptoms are consequences of problem gambling behaviour or because the two problems share common causes.
“They indicate that internalising symptoms and problem gambling may co-exist because internalising symptoms are, in fact, consequences of problem gambling behaviour or that the two problems co-exist because they share common causes.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
Study design and conductown dataApproximately three-quarters of the included articles reported non-adjusted effect sizes in the analyses.
“Approximately three-quarters of the included articles employed community-representative samples and reported non-adjusted effect sizes in the analyses.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThis design precludes drawing conclusions regarding changes in problem gambling status across time and precludes examination of prospective cross-lagged links among problem gambling and other factors.
“Not only does this preclude the drawing of conclusions regarding changes in problem gambling status across time, it precludes the examination of prospective cross-lagged links among problem gambling and other factors.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationcitationScreening gambling behaviour in young people is important in order to target brief intervention strategies to address high-risk profiles for gambling problems.
“These findings suggest the importance of screening gambling behaviour in young people in order to target brief intervention strategies to address high-risk profiles for gambling problems (Winters et al., 2002).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Winters et al., 2002 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationcitationThe similarity in risk factors between problem behaviours highlights the need for global prevention efforts that target multiple problem behaviours, not just problem gambling.
“Regardless of their mechanisms, the similarity in risk factors between these problem behaviours highlight the need for global prevention efforts that target multiple problem behaviours, not just problem gambling (Scholes-Balog et al., 2014;Shenassa et al., 2012;Vitaro et al., 2001;Winters et al., 1995;Winters et al., 2002).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checkedProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningPrevention and intervention initiatives should encourage protective factors related to parent supervision and socio-economic status.
“The findings of this review also suggest that prevention and intervention initiatives should encourage protective factors related to parent supervision and socio-economic status.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationThe syndrome model of addiction views addiction as a syndrome with multiple potential presentations.
“The findings are also consistent with the syndrome model of addiction, which views addiction as a syndrome with multiple potential presentations (Shaffer et al., 2004).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Shaffer et al., 2004 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningIt is possible that the relationship these time-invariant variables have to problem gambling can also be explored using cross-sectional studies.
“and it is therefore possible that the relationship these variables have to problem gambling can also be explored using cross-sectional studies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThere is evidence that interventions addressing the underlying determinants of low socio-economic status (for example, enhancing education pathways) improve healthy child development while also reducing the adolescent antisocial behaviours associated with problem gambling.
“While interventions for modifying socio-economic status are less obvious than those for increasing parental supervision, there is evidence that interventions addressing the underlying determinants of low socio-economic status (for example, enhancing education pathways) improve healthy child development while also reducing the adolescent antisocial behaviours associated with problem gambling (Toumb”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Toumbourou et al., 2007 source
Not checked in the free run.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Study design and conductnone givenThe funding source had no role in the design of the review, data collection, statistical analysis, interpretation of the data, or in the manuscript preparation.
“The funding source had no role in the design of the review, data collection, statistical analysis, interpretation of the data, or in the manuscript preparation.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable). May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThese findings highlight the need for global prevention efforts that target multiple problem behaviours, not just problem gambling, as well as the importance of screening young people with these high-risk profiles for gambling problems.
“These findings highlight the need for global prevention efforts that target multiple problem behaviours, not just problem gambling, as well as the importance of screening young people with these high-risk profiles for gambling problems.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim. May combine two claims.
Interpretationown dataThe findings of this review suggest that initiatives should aim to counteract risk factors related to gambling behaviours, alcohol and drug use, other antisocial and risk taking behaviours, impulsivity and other undercontrolled dispositional characteristics, and depression symptoms, particularly for young males.
“The findings of this review suggest that initiatives should aim to counteract risk factors related to gambling behaviours, alcohol and drug use, other antisocial and risk taking behaviours, impulsivity and other undercontrolled dispositional characteristics, and depression symptoms, particularly for young males.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimClassified as probably not a substantial claim.
InterpretationreasoningThe results indicate that prevention and intervention initiatives should reinforce protective factors related to parent supervision, socio-economic status and social problems.
“Moreover, the results indicate that prevention and intervention initiatives should reinforce protective factors related to parent supervision, socio-economic status and social problems.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
Depression and social anxiety are psychopathological correlates of gambling disorder.
“Psychopathological correlates, in particular depression and social anxiety, have been reported repeatedly for gambling (Dowling et al., 2017)”
From The Interaction of Person-Affect-Cognition-Execution (I-PACE) model for addictive behaviors: Update, generalization to addictive behaviors beyond internet-use disorders, and specification of the process character of addictive behaviors (2019) · cites this paper as Dowling et al., 2017
Section 4.1 reports a significant but small longitudinal association between early depression and later problem gambling, although many included studies found no significant relationship. It reports non-significant longitudinal associations for anxiety symptoms and does not identify social anxiety specifically, so the cited review does not support both named correlates as repeatedly reported findings. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIncreased risk for gambling addiction among AIAN might be due to other inequities faced by AIAN that are also risk factors for problematic gambling.
“The increased risk for gambling addiction among AIAN might be due to other inequities faced by AIAN that are also risk factors for problematic gambling.”
From Substance and Behavioral Addictions among American Indian and Alaska Native Populations (2022) · cites this paper as [88]
The Conclusions identify socioeconomic status, depression symptoms, and alcohol and drug use as factors relevant to problem gambling in young people. The review does not establish that AIAN people face these particular inequities or that they explain increased gambling risk among AIAN; that population-specific explanation is an extrapolation. (LLM, conf=0.85)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredLow education, unemployment, few socioeconomic opportunities, untreated historical trauma, higher rates of substance use, and having a casino nearby that serves as the main employer and source of revenue for the community are inequities/risk factors for problematic gambling among AIAN.
“These inequities and risk factors include low education, unemployment, few socioeconomic opportunities, untreated historical trauma, higher rates of substance use, and having a casino nearby that serves as the main employer and source of revenue for the community [88,89,90,91].”
From Substance and Behavioral Addictions among American Indian and Alaska Native Populations (2022) · cites this paper as [88]
Section 1.1 identifies lower socioeconomic status, poor academic performance, substance use, and gambling availability as risk factors among young people; section 4.3 identifies education as a potential protective factor. The paper does not establish these factors specifically for AIAN people, nor does it support the claims about unemployment, untreated historical trauma, or a nearby casino serving as a community’s main employer and revenue source. Page numbers were unavailable in our copy. (LLM, conf=0.88)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredHigh impulsivity is associated with gambling disorder.
“Temperamental features, such as high impulsivity, have also been associated with gambling (Dowling et al., 2017)”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.
Risk-of-bias percentages do not fit the stated article count
MinorThe risk-of-bias results describe percentages of articles, including 87.5% and 83.3%, but neither percentage can represent a whole number of the 23 included articles. These percentages instead fit a denominator of 24.
“The risk of bias assessment (Appendix D) revealed that almost all articles employed a standardised measure of problem gambling (87.5%) and employed a current measure of problem gambling (87.5%).Many had follow-up periods longer than five years (58.3%) and did not have any sponsorship from the gambling industry (83.3%).”
“Overall, 15 studies published in 23 articles were included in this review.”
Two-thirds is described as approximately three-quarters
MinorThe risk-of-bias assessment says 66.7% of articles reported non-adjusted effect sizes, whereas the discussion describes that proportion as approximately three-quarters.
“Approximately three-quarters of the included articles employed community-representative samples and reported non-adjusted effect sizes in the analyses.”
“Most reported non-adjusted effect sizes (66.7%), however, only 25.0% provided r as effect size estimates.”
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Self-citationProblem Gambling Among Adolescents in Uganda: A Cross-sectional Survey Study
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- Authors
- Dowling, N. A., Merkouris, S. S., Greenwood, C. J., Oldenhof, E., Toumbourou, J. W., & Youssef, G. J.
- Affiliations
- Australian National University (AU)
- Deakin University (AU)
- Corresponding author
- Dowling, N.A.
- Venue
- Clinical Psychology Review
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2017-02
- Volume
- 51
- Pages
- 109-124
- ISSN
- 0272-7358 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2547708582
- Cited by
- 439
- References
- 103
- Citations by year
- 2026: 46 · 2025: 52 · 2024: 41 · 2023: 53 · 2022: 49 · 2021: 59 · 2020: 54 · 2019: 40 · 2018: 30 · 2017: 13 · 2016: 1
- FWCI
- 4.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Clinical Psychology Review (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ANU Open Research (Australian National University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Gambling Behavior and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Keywords
- problem gambling, risk factors, protective factors, childhood, adolescence, early adulthood, antisocial behavior, impulsivity, sensation seeking, alcohol consumption, cannabis use, illicit drug use, depression, tobacco use, socioeconomic status, parental supervision, academic performance, gambling prevention, socio-ecological model
- MeSH terms
- Alcohol Drinking, Depression, Female, Gambling, Humans, Impulsive Behavior, Male, Risk Factors, Sex Factors, Protective Factors
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
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