Cited by 221Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances researchWater Treatment and DisinfectionFluoride Effects and Removal

Evaluation of a national data set for insights into sources, composition, and concentrations of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) in U.S. drinking water

Open access
Guelfo, Jennifer L., Adamson, David T.·2018·Environmental Pollution

Abstract

The United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) completed nationwide screening of six perfluoroalkyl substances in U.S. drinking water from 2013–2015 under the Third Unregulated Contaminant Monitoring Rule (UCMR3). UCMR3 efforts yielded a dataset of 36,139 samples containing analytical results from >5,000 public water systems (PWSs). This study used UCMR3 data to investigate three aspects of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) in drinking water: the occurrence of PFAS and co-contaminant mixtures, trends in PFAS detections relative to PWS characteristics and potential release types, and temporal trends in PFAS occurrence. This was achieved through bivariate and multivariate analyses including categorical analysis, concentration ratios, and hierarchical cluster analysis. Approximately 50% of samples with PFAS detections contained ≥2 PFASs, and 72% of detections occurred in groundwater. Large PWSs (>10,000 customers) were 5.6 times more likely than small PWSs (≤10,000 customers) to exhibit PFAS detections; however, when detected, median total PFAS concentrations were higher in small PWSs (0.12 μg/L) than in large (0.053 μg/L). Bivariate and multivariate analyses of PFAS composition suggested PWSs reflect impacts due to firefighting foam use and WWTP effluent as compared to other source types for which data were available. Mann-Kendall analysis of quarterly total PFAS detection rates indicated an increasing trend over time (p=0.03). UCMR3 data provide a foundation for tiered design of targeted sampling and analysis plans to address remaining knowledge gaps in the sources, composition, and concentrations of PFASs in U.S. drinking water.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.envpol.2018.01.066

Cites

48 of 48 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 21 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    There was a statistically significant difference between the groundwater and surface water sample sets in PFSA/PFAS ratios (Mann-Whitney U test; p<0.01).

    “There was a statistically-significant difference between the groundwater and surface water sample sets (Mann-Whitney U test; p<0.01).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Odds ratios for all PFAS pairs ranged from 46 for PFOS and PFNA to 876 for PFOS and PFHxS.

    “Odds ratios ranged from 46 (PFOS and PFNA) to 876 (PFOS and PFHxS).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Significant positive correlations in concentrations occurred for six PFAS pairs: PFOS/PFOA, PFOS/PFHxS, PFOS/PFHpA, PFOA/PFHxS, PFOA/PFHpA, and PFBS/PFHpA.

    “significant (p<0.05) positive correlations in concentrations of six PFAS pairs (PFOS/PFOA, PFOS/PFHxS, PFOS/PFHpA, PFOA/PFHxS, PFOA/PFHpA, and PFBS/PFHpA) did occur.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingreasoning

    There was a high degree of association between most pairs of PFASs.

    “there was a high degree of association between most pairs of PFASs.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Findingown data

    Hierarchical cluster analysis of samples with one or more PFAS detections produced clusters that support bivariate concentration correlations.

    “Resulting clusters support results of bivariate concentration correlations.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims. 24
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 5
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    PFOA and PFHpA cluster together and are distinct from an adjacent cluster of PFOS and PFHxS.

    “Specifically, PFOA and PFHpA cluster together and are distinct from an adjacent cluster of PFOS and PFHxS.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingcitation

    PFHpA is the only UCMR3 PFAS that exhibits weak sorption similar to PFBS; although it has higher occurrence and average concentration in groundwater, differences were minor compared to other groundwater-dominant PFASs.

    “PFHpA is the only UCMR3 PFAS that exhibits weak sorption similar to that of PFBS (Guelfo and Higgins 2013), and though it has higher occurrence and average concentration in groundwater, the differences were minor as compared to the segregation by source water type seen for other groundwater dominant PFASs.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Guelfo and Higgins 2013 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In surface water, 37% of samples with detections were dominated by PFSAs, and 63% had PFSA to total PFASs ratios less than 0.5.

    “In surface water, only 37% of samples with detections were dominated by PFSAs and the remaining 63% had PFSA to total PFASs ratios of less than 0.5 (i.e. were dominated by PFCAs).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Increases in the number of PFASs detected in drinking water samples are associated with higher average total PFAS levels and increased likelihood of exceeding the LHA.

    “Concentration distributions illustrate that increases in the number of PFASs detected in drinking water samples are associated with higher average total PFAS levels and increased likelihood of exceeding the LHA (Figure 2).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    PFBS detections were primarily in surface water, and PFBS was the only UCMR3 PFAS with a higher detection rate in surface water than groundwater.

    “detections of PFBS were primarily in surface water, and PFBS is the only UCMR3 PFAS where the rate of detection was higher in surface water vs. groundwater.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    PFBS did not cluster with either the PFOA/PFHpA or PFOS/PFHxS groups, but was more closely related to them than PFNA.

    “PFBS did not cluster with either of these two groups, but it was more closely related to the PFOA/PFHpA and PFOS/PFHxS clusters than PFNA.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The highest odds ratio was observed for PFOS and PFHxS, and this pair also exhibited a significant positive concentration correlation.

    “The highest odds ratio was observed for PFOS and PFHxS and this pair also exhibited a significant, positive correlation in concentrations (Figure S.2).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In the UCMR3 data analyzed, PFAS detections occurred in 1.6% of samples and 4% of public water systems during 2013-2015.

    “detections of PFASs occurred in 1.6% of samples and 4% of PWSs in the 2013–2015 period.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The detection rate for at least one PFAS in small systems using groundwater was 0.4%, compared to 1.9% in all groundwater samples.

    “The detection rate for at least one PFAS in small systems using groundwater was 0.4% as compared to a 1.9% detection rate in all groundwater samples.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    Analyses of the UCMR3 dataset revealed higher average total PFAS concentrations in groundwater and in small systems.

    “Analyses of the UCMR3 dataset based on PWS characteristics revealed higher average, total PFAS concentrations in groundwater and in small systems (Figure 3, Figure S.5).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    For overall PFAS detections, the slope of the best-fit regression line was increasing but not statistically different from zero (p=0.26).

    “For overall PFAS detections, the slope of the best-fit regression line was increasing but not statistically different from zero (p=0.26), while Mann-Kendall analysis indicated an increasing trend in detection rates over time (p=0.03).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    Previous work found raw drinking water sources impacted by fluoropolymer manufacturing were comprised of a median of 79% PFCAs.

    “Considering only UCMR3 PFASs, previous work has found raw drinking water sources impacted by fluoropolymer manufacturing were comprised of a median of 79% PFCAs (Dauchy et al. 2012), compared to the median value of 100% in UCMR3 surface water samples with detections.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Dauchy et al. 2012 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    In UCMR3, ratios of PFOS to PFHpA, PFOA to PFHpA, and PFBS to PFHpA differ from most fluoropolymer manufacturing ratios and are consistent with AFFF-impacted groundwater and to some degree WWTP effluent.

    “In UCMR3 data, ratios of PFOS to PFHpA, PFOA to PFHpA, and PFBS to PFHpA are different from the majority of fluoropolymer manufacturing ratios. They are consistent with AFFF-impacted groundwater and, to some degree, WWTP effluent (Figure 2c and Figure S.3).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Concentration ratios of PFAS pairs in UCMR3 can be compared with ratios from AFFF-impacted groundwater, WWTP effluent, and fluoropolymer manufacturing to infer source types.
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The dissimilarity of PFNA and PFBS is related to low detection rates and may also reflect other factors.

    “The dissimilarity of PFNA and PFBS is related to low detection rates (which impacts the concentration-based cluster analyses) but also may reflect other factors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Samples with more than five PFASs present will contain still greater total PFAS concentrations and will exceed the LHA.

    “These trends suggest samples with more than five PFASs present will contain still greater total PFAS concentrations and will exceed the LHA.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    AFFF is primarily land applied, leading to potential for subsurface migration.

    “AFFF poses particular relevance to groundwater because it is primarily land applied leading to potential for subsurface migration, and as discussed, multiple PFAS ratios in UCMR3 were consistent with ratios measured in groundwater at AFFF-impacted sites.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    Ratios of PFHxS to PFOS in UCMR3 and in AFFF, manufacturing, and WWTP effluent source types were similar, making it difficult to use this pair to identify predominant sources.

    “Ratios PFHxS to PFOS in data from UCMR3, and each of these source types were similar (Figure 2a), making it difficult to use this specific pair to better understand predominant sources of PFASs in UCMR3.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Similarity of PFBS to PFHpA ratios in UCMR3 to WWTP effluent is particularly interesting because WWTP effluent is expected to release primarily to surface water and most limited PFBS detections in UCMR3 were in surface water.

    “The similarity of PFBS to PFHpA ratios in UCMR3 to WWTP effluent is particularly interesting because WWTP effluent is expected to release primarily to surface water bodies and the majority of the limited PFBS detections in UCMR3 data were in surface water.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
    • Rests on an assumption: Concentration ratios of PFAS pairs in UCMR3 can be compared with ratios from AFFF-impacted groundwater, WWTP effluent, and fluoropolymer manufacturing to infer source types.
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    WWTPs typically discharge effluent to surface water, receive wastes from numerous potential sources including landfill leachate, and are generally ineffective at removing PFASs.

    “WWTPs typically discharge effluent to surface water, they receive wastes from numerous potential sources including landfill leachate, and are generally ineffective at removing PFASs (Merino et al. 2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Merino et al. 2016 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Manufacturing facilities may impact surface water through surface runoff, storm water outfalls, or industrial WWTP effluent.

    “Manufacturing facilities may impact surface water through surface runoff, storm water outfalls, or industrial WWTP effluent.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductown data

    The UCMR3 dataset is large and includes a broad distribution of PWSs in the U.S. and its territories.

    “Nevertheless, the resulting dataset is large and includes a broad distribution of PWSs in the U.S. and its territories.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Some PWSs with exceedances of the LHA may have yielded non-detect results for one or both compounds, and some PWSs measured as exceeding the LHA may have true concentrations that are lower.

    “Based on these results, it is possible that some PWSs with exceedances of the LHA yielded non-detect results for one or both compounds, and some PWSs measured as exceeding the LHA may have true concentrations that are lower.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    An increasing number of studies have identified a variety of precursors and replacement products for compounds such as PFOA in both groundwater and surface water.

    “An increasing number of studies have identified a variety of precursors and replacement products for compounds such as PFOA in both groundwater and surface water (Backe et al. 2013; Barzen-Hanson et al. 2017; Strynar et al. 2015; Sun et al. 2016).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites Backe et al. 2013 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Barzen-Hanson et al. 2017 source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Strynar et al. 2015 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisereasoning

    The combined MRLs for PFOA (0.02 μg/L) and PFOS (0.04 μg/L) are 0.06 μg/L, approximately 14% lower than the 0.07 μg/L LHA.

    “Combined, the MRLs for PFOA (0.02 μg/L) and PFOS (0.04 μg/L) are 0.06 μg/L, which is approximately 14% lower than the 0.07 μg/L LHA.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim.

    Premisecitation

    Previous studies estimate that in 2010, 44.5 million U.S. residents used private wells as a major source of drinking water.

    “Previous studies estimate that in 2010, 44.5 million U.S. residents used private wells as a major source of drinking water (Hu et al. 2016; Maupin, Molly A. et al. 2014).”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites Hu et al. 2016

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites Maupin, Molly A. et al. 2014

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationown data

    The rate of PFAS detection in small PWSs and private wells is likely lower than other system types, but there may be relatively elevated PFAS levels in these supplies when impacts occur.

    “While the rate of PFAS detection in small PWSs and private wells is likely to be lower than other system types, there may be relatively elevated PFAS levels in these supplies when impacts do occur.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductreasoning

    The method of establishing quarterly detection rates is valid because >99% of samples were analyzed for all 6 PFASs simultaneously and the same MRLs were used throughout UCMR3.

    “This method is considered valid because >99% samples were analyzed for all 6 PFASs simultaneously and the same MRLs were used throughout the UCMR3 monitoring period.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Premisecitation

    A previous study found concentrations of PFOS and PFOA in a North Carolina watershed remained similar between 2006 and 2013.

    “Though based on detections, these results support a previous study that found concentrations of PFOS and PFOA in a North Carolina watershed remained similar between 2006 and 2013 (Sun et al. 2016).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites Sun et al. 2016 source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    The higher PFAS concentrations at small, groundwater PWSs may be attributable to less dilution at small-system wells with relatively modest pumping rates and capture zones, a trait that may be further exacerbated at private wells.

    “This may be attributable to less dilution at small-system wells with relatively modest pumping rates and capture zones, a trait that may be further exacerbated at private wells that serve household demand.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
29 of 29
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    The six PFASs monitored in UCMR3 are sufficient to characterize PFAS mixtures and infer sources in U.S. drinking water.

    “Occurrence of these additional PFASs in UCMR3 was not evaluated, but results of previous studies suggest there will be instances where they occur.”
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Concentration ratios of PFAS pairs in UCMR3 can be compared with ratios from AFFF-impacted groundwater, WWTP effluent, and fluoropolymer manufacturing to infer source types.

    “These six pairs were further examined by comparing ranges of ratios that occurred within samples to ratios measured in AFFF-impacted groundwater, WWTP effluent, and fluoropolymer manufacturing (Figure 2).”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Data from small public water systems using groundwater are representative of private wells.

    “To better understand resulting knowledge gaps, data from small PWSs using groundwater were assumed to be representative of private wells.”
3 of 3

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Conflicting counts of water systems in the PFAS dataset

    Minor

    The abstract says the PFAS dataset includes results from more than 5,000 public water systems, but the results say 4,920 systems were analyzed for PFASs.

  • Conflicting counts of samples analyzed for PFASs

    Minor

    The methods report 36,139 PFAS samples, while the results report 36,977 for the same monitoring program.

2 of 2

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

1 of the 49 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Kissa, 2001, Fluorinated surfactants and repellents, second edition revised and expanded

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Guelfo, J. L., & Adamson, D. T.
Affiliations
  • Brown University (US)
  • GSI Environmental (United States) (US)
Corresponding author
Guelfo, Jennifer L.
Venue
Environmental Pollution
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2018-05
Volume
236
Pages
505-513
ISSN
0269-7491 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2793001426
Cited by
216
References
49
Citations by year
2026: 20 · 2025: 30 · 2024: 29 · 2023: 27 · 2022: 34 · 2021: 28 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 9
FWCI
9.92
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Environmental Pollution (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (acceptedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
Funders
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (2P42 ES013660)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Chemistry › Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances research
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis › Water Treatment and Disinfection
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Fluoride Effects and Removal
Keywords
per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances, PFAS, drinking water contamination, public water systems, groundwater contamination, firefighting foam, wastewater treatment plant effluent, temporal trends, source apportionment, concentration ratio
MeSH terms
Environmental Monitoring, Fluorocarbons, United States, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Water Pollutants, Chemical, Government Regulation, Groundwater, Drinking Water

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-07.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-07.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review