Suboptimality in perceptual decision making
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Abstract
Human perceptual decisions are often described as optimal. Critics of this view have argued that claims of optimality are overly flexible and lack explanatory power. Meanwhile, advocates for optimality have countered that such criticisms single out a few selected papers. To elucidate the issue of optimality in perceptual decision making, we review the extensive literature on suboptimal performance in perceptual tasks. We discuss eight different classes of suboptimal perceptual decisions, including improper placement, maintenance, and adjustment of perceptual criteria; inadequate tradeoff between speed and accuracy; inappropriate confidence ratings; misweightings in cue combination; and findings related to various perceptual illusions and biases. In addition, we discuss conceptual shortcomings of a focus on optimality, such as definitional difficulties and the limited value of optimality claims in and of themselves. We therefore advocate that the field drop its emphasis on whether observed behavior is optimal and instead concentrate on building and testing detailed observer models that explain behavior across a wide range of tasks. To facilitate this transition, we compile the proposed hypotheses regarding the origins of suboptimal perceptual decisions reviewed here. We argue that verifying, rejecting, and expanding these explanations for suboptimal behavior – rather than assessing optimality per se – should be among the major goals of the science of perceptual decision making.
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When behavioral data fail to conform to Bayesian optimality predictions, researchers frequently appeal to auxiliary assumptions such as suboptimal priors, cognitive capacity limitations, or approximation algorithms to account for deviations.
“when behavioral data fail to conform to the predictions of Bayesian optimality, researchers frequently appeal to auxiliary assumptions—such as “suboptimal” priors, cognitive capacity limitations, or the use of approximation algorithms—to account for these deviations (Rahnev and Denison 2018; Sanborn and Chater 2016).”
From The myth of the Bayesian brain (2025) · cites this paper as Rahnev and Denison 2018
Section 5.1 says new findings are often modeled with flexibly chosen Bayesian components, and Section 3.8 describes priors invoked to explain perceptual biases. Section 4.2 also discusses computational capacities as a limit on optimality. The passages do not establish that researchers frequently invoke approximation algorithms specifically to explain deviations. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredAlternative non-Bayesian models grounded in heuristics, dynamical systems, or adaptation mechanisms can often account for the same neural patterns with equal or greater parsimony and explanatory clarity.
“Moreover, alternative non-Bayesian models—grounded in heuristics, dynamical systems, or adaptation mechanisms—can often account for the same neural patterns with equal or even greater parsimony and explanatory clarity (Rahnev and Denison 2018).”
From The myth of the Bayesian brain (2025) · cites this paper as Rahnev and Denison 2018
Section 5.3 argues that models should be judged by how well they describe behavior rather than by whether they support optimal decisions, and notes that heuristic rules can produce close-to-optimal behavior. Section 5.2 also leaves open the possibility of a non-Bayesian observer model. The cited passages do not establish that heuristic, dynamical-systems, or adaptation models account for the same neural patterns with equal or greater parsimony and explanatory clarity; section 3.8 instead discusses adaptation within a Bayesian framework. (LLM, conf=0.84)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredPersistent deviations from Bayesian-optimal behavior in tightly controlled tasks, unexplainable by noise, heuristics, or approximation, would falsify normative claims of the Bayesian brain hypothesis.
“In tightly controlled tasks where prior probabilities and likelihoods are explicitly defined, persistent deviations from Bayesian-optimal behavior—unexplainable by noise, heuristics, or approximation—would falsify normative claims (Rahnev and Denison 2018).”
From The myth of the Bayesian brain (2025) · cites this paper as Rahnev and Denison 2018
Section 5.3 says the many findings of suboptimality make the assumption that the brain is built for optimal decisions suspect. Section 4.2 says deviations can challenge components of a specified model, but it does not say they would falsify normative Bayesian claims generally. Section 2.2 also distinguishes experimentally defined priors from likelihood functions derived under assumptions, so the claim overstates how fully the tasks define both. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredDifferent suboptimalities may coexist, and the same kind of computational constraints that affect first-order cognition are likely to affect the suboptimality of metacognition.
“More generally, different suboptimalities may coexist, and the same kind of computational constraints that affect first-order cognition are likely to affect the suboptimality of metacognition (Rahnev & Denison 2018).”
From Metacognition and Confidence: A Review and Synthesis (2024) · cites this paper as Rahnev & Denison 2018
Section 3.5 reports several sources of suboptimal confidence judgments, and §4.2 says computational complexity can make optimal perceptual decisions unachievable. The copy does not establish that different suboptimalities coexist in the same decision or that the same computational constraints affect first-order cognition and metacognition. (LLM, conf=0.82)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredThe meaningfulness of a Bayes-optimal result is questionable and the use of Bayesian modelling is disputed.
“However, the meaningfulness of a Bayes-optimal result is questionable [48] and the use of Bayesian modelling is disputed [49–53].”
From A model of cue integration as vector summation in the insect brain (2023) · cites this paper as [52]
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Rational use of cognitive resources in human planning
Callaway, F., van Opheusden, B., Gul, S., Das, P., Krueger, P. M., Griffiths, T. L., & Lieder, F. (2022) · Nature Human Behaviour · doi:10.1038/s41562-022-01332-8 · Cited by 121 · see citing works
If perception is probabilistic, why does it not seem probabilistic?
Block, N. (2018) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rstb.2017.0341 · Cited by 91 · see citing works
Consensus Goals in the Field of Visual Metacognition
Rahnev, D., Balsdon, T., Charles, L., de Gardelle, V., Denison, R., Desender, K., Faivre, N., Filevich, E., Fleming, S. M., Jehee, J., et al. (2022) · Perspectives on Psychological Science · doi:10.1177/17456916221075615 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Self-citationCalibration in consciousness science
Michel, M. (2023) · Erkenntnis · doi:10.1007/s10670-021-00383-z · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Studying the neural representations of uncertainty
Walker, E. Y., Pohl, S., Denison, R. N., Barack, D. L., Lee, J., Block, N., Ma, W. J., & Meyniel, F. (2023) · Nature Neuroscience · doi:10.1038/s41593-023-01444-y · Cited by 56 · see citing works
Self-citationA model of cue integration as vector summation in the insect brain
Mitchell, R., Shaverdian, S., Dacke, M., & Webb, B. (2023) · Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences · doi:10.1098/rspb.2023.0767 · Cited by 13 · see citing works
The myth of the Bayesian brain
Mangalam, M. (2025) · European Journal of Applied Physiology · doi:10.1007/s00421-025-05855-6 · Cited by 14 · see citing works
- Authors
- Rahnev, D., & Denison, R. N.
- Affiliations
- Georgia Institute of Technology (US)
- New York University (US)
- Venue
- Behavioral and Brain Sciences
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press (CUP)
- Published
- 2018
- Volume
- 41
- Pages
- e223-e223
- ISSN
- 0140-525X (ISSN-L)
- 1469-1825
- PMC
- PMC6110994
- OpenAlex
- W2790916085
- Cited by
- 342
- References
- 320
- Citations by year
- 2026: 23 · 2025: 36 · 2024: 34 · 2023: 62 · 2022: 45 · 2021: 42 · 2020: 37 · 2019: 48 · 2018: 12 · 2017: 2
- FWCI
- 20.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Behavioral and Brain Sciences (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Eye Institute (F32EY025533, T32EY007136)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Visual perception and processing mechanisms
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › General Decision Sciences › Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
- Keywords
- perceptual decision making, suboptimal performance, principle of optimality, speed-accuracy trade-off, confidence ratings, cue combination, perceptual illusions, perceptual bias, model observer
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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