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Cited by 1,626Species Distribution and Climate ChangeMarine and fisheries researchFish Ecology and Management Studies

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 86 of the 93 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios

Open access
Cheung, William W.L., Lam, Vicky W.Y., Sarmiento, Jorge L., Kearney, Kelly, Watson, Reg, Pauly, Daniel·2009·Fish and Fisheries
DOI 10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00315.x
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Abstract

Climate change can impact the pattern of marine biodiversity through changes in species’ distributions. However, global studies on climate change impacts on ocean biodiversity have not been performed so far. Our paper aims to investigate the global patterns of such impacts by projecting the distributional ranges of a sample of 1066 exploited marine fish and invertebrates for 2050 using a newly developed dynamic bioclimate envelope model. Our projections show that climate change may lead to numerous local extinction in the sub‐polar regions, the tropics and semi‐enclosed seas. Simultaneously, species invasion is projected to be most intense in the Arctic and the Southern Ocean. Together, they result in dramatic species turnovers of over 60% of the present biodiversity, implying ecological disturbances that potentially disrupt ecosystem services. Our projections can be viewed as a set of hypothesis for future analytical and empirical studies.

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Crossref · 10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00315.x

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Citations

Cites

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    BackgroundInfluential

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    “…invasion to and extinction from an area (collectively called species turnover) can affect biodiversity, community structure and ecosystem functions (Sala et al. 2000; Stachowicz et al. 2002; Genner et al. 2004; Hooper et al. 2005), we calculated the average frequency of invasion and local…”
    BackgroundMethodInfluential

  • Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change

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    Background

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    “…turnover) can affect biodiversity, community structure and ecosystem functions (Sala et al. 2000; Stachowicz et al. 2002; Genner et al. 2004; Hooper et al. 2005), we calculated the average frequency of invasion and local extinction events in each 30¢ · 30¢ cell from 2040 to 2060 relative to…”

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    “%) predicted for terrestrial organisms (Thomas et al. 2004a,b).”
    BackgroundMethodResultInfluential

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    Guisan, A., & Thuiller, W. (2005) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00792.x · Cited by 6,844 · cited 2×

    “These include the lack of considerations of biotic interactions, evolutionary change and species dispersal, and the assumption that the observed distributions are in equilibrium with their environment (e.g. Pearson and Dawson 2003; Guisan and Thuiller 2005).”
    Background

  • Coral Reefs Under Rapid Climate Change and Ocean Acidification

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    “ocean acidification) was not considered, although it was predicted to have negative impacts on fishes, invertebrates and habitats such as coral reefs (Orr et al. 2005; Harley et al. 2006; Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2007).”
    Background

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    “Climate change is an important factor in determining the past and future distributions of biodiversity (Peterson et al. 2002; Parmesan and Yohe 2003; Root et al. 2003; Thomas et al. 2004a,b; Rosenzweig et al. 2008).”
    Background

  • Anthropogenic ocean acidification over the twenty-first century and its impact on calcifying organisms

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    “ocean acidification) was not considered, although it was predicted to have negative impacts on fishes, invertebrates and habitats such as coral reefs (Orr et al. 2005; Harley et al. 2006; Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2007).”
    BackgroundSelf-citation

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Metadata

Authors
Cheung, W. W. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Sarmiento, J. L., Kearney, K., Watson, R., & Pauly, D.
Affiliations
  • University of British Columbia (CA)
  • Princeton University (US)
Corresponding author
Cheung, William W.L.
ORCID
Venue
Fish and Fisheries
Publisher
Wiley
Published
2009-08-13
Volume
10
Issue
3
Pages
235-251
ISSN
  • 1467-2960 (ISSN-L)
  • 1467-2979
DOI
10.1111/j.1467-2979.2008.00315.x
OpenAlex
W2170590389
Cited by
1,626
References
93
Citations by year
2026: 48 · 2025: 86 · 2024: 100 · 2023: 124 · 2022: 104 · 2021: 122 · 2020: 160 · 2019: 108 · 2018: 87 · 2017: 96 · 2016: 109 · 2015: 82 · 2014: 90 · 2013: 102 · 2012: 73
FWCI
39.59
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Licence
Locations
  • Fish and Fisheries (publishedVersion)
  • eCite Digital Repository (University of Tasmania) (submittedVersion)
  • Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (submittedVersion)
Funders
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
  • Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
Keywords
climate change impacts, marine biodiversity, species distribution projections, local extinction, biological invasions, species turnover, marine invertebrates, Arctic, Southern Ocean, ecosystem services

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