The DOI matches its Crossref record; 86 of the 93 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios
Open accessAbstract
Climate change can impact the pattern of marine biodiversity through changes in species’ distributions. However, global studies on climate change impacts on ocean biodiversity have not been performed so far. Our paper aims to investigate the global patterns of such impacts by projecting the distributional ranges of a sample of 1066 exploited marine fish and invertebrates for 2050 using a newly developed dynamic bioclimate envelope model. Our projections show that climate change may lead to numerous local extinction in the sub‐polar regions, the tropics and semi‐enclosed seas. Simultaneously, species invasion is projected to be most intense in the Arctic and the Southern Ocean. Together, they result in dramatic species turnovers of over 60% of the present biodiversity, implying ecological disturbances that potentially disrupt ecosystem services. Our projections can be viewed as a set of hypothesis for future analytical and empirical studies.
Overview
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
In the citing paper
“Such a Scenario could expand available habitat for warm water pelagic to higher latitudes (Cheung et al. 2009).”
From El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impact on tuna fisheries in Indian Ocean (2014) · cites this paper as Cheung et al. 2009
Citations
Cites
A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
Parmesan, C., & Yohe, G. (2003) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01286 · Cited by 11,265 · cited 4×
“Climate change is an important factor in determining the past and future distributions of biodiversity (Peterson et al. 2002; Parmesan and Yohe 2003; Root et al. 2003; Thomas et al. 2004a,b; Rosenzweig et al. 2008).”
BackgroundInfluentialEcological responses to recent climate change.
Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bairlein, F. (2002) · Nature · doi:10.1038/416389a · Cited by 9,975 · cited 3×
“Climate change may add to and amplify these impacts on marine biodiversity (Walther et al. 2002).”
BackgroundGlobal Biodiversity Scenarios for the Year 2100
Sala, O. E., Stuart Chapin, F., III, Armesto, J. J., Berlow, E., Bloomfield, J., Dirzo, R., Huber-Sanwald, E., Huenneke, L. F., Jackson, R. B., et al. (2000) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.287.5459.1770 · Cited by 9,280 · cited 4×
“…invasion to and extinction from an area (collectively called species turnover) can affect biodiversity, community structure and ecosystem functions (Sala et al. 2000; Stachowicz et al. 2002; Genner et al. 2004; Hooper et al. 2005), we calculated the average frequency of invasion and local…”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialEcological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Parmesan, C. (2006) · Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics · doi:10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.37.091305.110100 · Cited by 8,652 · cited 1×
“However, global studies on climate change impacts on ocean biodiversity have not been performed so far.”
BackgroundEFFECTS OF BIODIVERSITY ON ECOSYSTEM FUNCTIONING: A CONSENSUS OF CURRENT KNOWLEDGE
Hooper, D. U., Chapin, F. S., Ewel, J. J., Hector, A., Inchausti, P., Lavorel, S., Lawton, J. H., Lodge, D. M., Loreau, M., Naeem, S., et al. (2005) · Ecological Monographs · doi:10.1890/04-0922 · Cited by 8,046 · cited 2×
“…turnover) can affect biodiversity, community structure and ecosystem functions (Sala et al. 2000; Stachowicz et al. 2002; Genner et al. 2004; Hooper et al. 2005), we calculated the average frequency of invasion and local extinction events in each 30¢ · 30¢ cell from 2040 to 2060 relative to…”
Extinction risk from climate change
Thomas, C. D., Cameron, A., Green, R. E., Bakkenes, M., Beaumont, L. J., Collingham, Y. C., Erasmus, B. F. N., de Siqueira, M. F., Grainger, A., Hannah, L., et al. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature02121 · Cited by 7,930 · cited 7×
“%) predicted for terrestrial organisms (Thomas et al. 2004a,b).”
BackgroundMethodResultInfluentialPredicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models.
Guisan, A., & Thuiller, W. (2005) · Ecology Letters · doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2005.00792.x · Cited by 6,844 · cited 2×
“These include the lack of considerations of biotic interactions, evolutionary change and species dispersal, and the assumption that the observed distributions are in equilibrium with their environment (e.g. Pearson and Dawson 2003; Guisan and Thuiller 2005).”
BackgroundCoral Reefs Under Rapid Climate Change and Ocean Acidification
Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Mumby, P. J., Hooten, A. J., Steneck, R. S., Greenfield, P., Gomez, E., Harvell, C. D., Sale, P. F., Edwards, A. J., Caldeira, K., et al. (2007) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1152509 · Cited by 5,885 · cited 2×
“ocean acidification) was not considered, although it was predicted to have negative impacts on fishes, invertebrates and habitats such as coral reefs (Orr et al. 2005; Harley et al. 2006; Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2007).”
BackgroundFingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants
Root, T. L., Price, J. T., Hall, K. R., Schneider, S. H., Rosenzweig, C., & Pounds, J. A. (2003) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature01333 · Cited by 4,774 · cited 2×
“Climate change is an important factor in determining the past and future distributions of biodiversity (Peterson et al. 2002; Parmesan and Yohe 2003; Root et al. 2003; Thomas et al. 2004a,b; Rosenzweig et al. 2008).”
BackgroundOrr, J. C., Fabry, V. J., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Doney, S. C., Feely, R. A., Gnanadesikan, A., Gruber, N., Ishida, A., Joos, F., et al. (2005) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature04095 · Cited by 4,590 · cited 2×
“ocean acidification) was not considered, although it was predicted to have negative impacts on fishes, invertebrates and habitats such as coral reefs (Orr et al. 2005; Harley et al. 2006; Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2007).”
BackgroundSelf-citation
Research works printed but not linked: 13
- Alder J., 2003, Putting the coast in the Sea Around Us project, The Sea Around Us Newsletter, 15, 1
- 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2008.08.024 · DOI
- Close C., 2006, Fishes in Databases and Ecosystems, 27
- 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2006.00928.x · DOI
- Fogarty M., 2008, Strategies of Global changes, 452
- IPCC, 2007, Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, 1
- Kitchingman A., 2004, Seamounts: Biodiversity and Fisheries. Fisheries Centre Research Report 12(5), 7
- 10.1111/j.0014-3820.2006.tb01872.x · DOI
- 10.1046/j.1466-822X.2003.00042.x · DOI · Paper page
- 10.1046/j.1365-2435.1999.00010.x · DOI
- 10.1139/f04-173 · DOI
- Thomas C.D., 2001, Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins, Nature, 441, 557
- Weslawski J.M., 1997, Intertidial zone of Svalbard: 3. Littoral of a subarctic ocean island: Bjørnøya, Polar Biology, 18, 45
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Items 1,001–1,001 of 1,001
Ottersen, G., Constable, A., Hollowed, A., Holsman, K., Melbourne-Thomas, J., Muelbert, M., & Skern-Mauritzen, M. (2022) · Frontiers in Climate · doi:10.3389/fclim.2021.733755 · Cited by 6
Metadata
- Authors
- Cheung, W. W. L., Lam, V. W. Y., Sarmiento, J. L., Kearney, K., Watson, R., & Pauly, D.
- Affiliations
- University of British Columbia (CA)
- Princeton University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Cheung, William W.L.
- Venue
- Fish and Fisheries
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2009-08-13
- Volume
- 10
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 235-251
- ISSN
- 1467-2960 (ISSN-L)
- 1467-2979
- OpenAlex
- W2170590389
- Cited by
- 1,626
- References
- 93
- Citations by year
- 2026: 48 · 2025: 86 · 2024: 100 · 2023: 124 · 2022: 104 · 2021: 122 · 2020: 160 · 2019: 108 · 2018: 87 · 2017: 96 · 2016: 109 · 2015: 82 · 2014: 90 · 2013: 102 · 2012: 73
- FWCI
- 39.59
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- figshare.com
- Locations
- Fish and Fisheries (publishedVersion)
- eCite Digital Repository (University of Tasmania) (submittedVersion)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- UEA Digital Repository (University of East Anglia) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecological Modeling › Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Aquatic Science › Marine and fisheries research
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Nature and Landscape Conservation › Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Keywords
- climate change impacts, marine biodiversity, species distribution projections, local extinction, biological invasions, species turnover, marine invertebrates, Arctic, Southern Ocean, ecosystem services
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
