Cited by 1,027Visual perception and processing mechanismsNeural dynamics and brain functionNeural and Behavioral Psychology Studies

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 62 of the 62 references it cites were found in a registry or an index; none of the 57 sources its claims cite is checked for support yet.

Representation of Confidence Associated with a Decision by Neurons in the Parietal Cortex

Open access

Abstract

Decisive Monkeys: Decision-making is a central theme in current research in cognitive neuroscience. Behavioral protocols have provided an entry into explorations of the neural processes that underlie decision-making. Empirical studies have provided support for a diffusion model in which information accumulates over time until a threshold is reached, with noisiness in the inputs related to decision errors. Kiani and Shadlen (p. 759 ) developed a behavioral task to study choice certainty and identified the corresponding neuronal representations in monkeys. The monkeys were allowed to choose to opt out of an uncertain, higher reward choice in favor of a certain, lower payoff. The same neurons that encoded the information used to make a choice also encoded the extent of certainty, which in humans would be described as the degree of confidence in one's decision.

Overview

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

Rhesus monkeys performing a random-dot direction task with a post-decision sure-bet option opted out more often when motion was weak or brief and when lateral intraparietal (LIP) firing rates were intermediate. The same LIP neurons that represented the direction decision also encoded choice certainty, linking decision formation and confidence in one population.

Key findings

  • Monkeys chose the sure target more frequently for weaker motion strengths and shorter stimulus durations (p<10−8) and when the probability of making an error was higher (p<10−8). When they waived the sure bet, direction-choice accuracy was better than on trials without the post-decision wager (p<10−3).
  • In 70 LIP neurons, activity before sure-target onset was intermediate when monkeys later chose the sure target. For motion toward Tin, activity was significantly smaller for Ts choices than Tin choices (p=0.007, ANOVA); for motion toward Topp, activity was significantly larger for Ts choices than Topp choices (p=0.001). The variance for Ts choices was smaller than expected from a mixture of Tin and Topp states (p=4.7×10−5, F-test).
  • Single-trial deviation from an intermediate firing rate was inversely related to the probability of choosing the sure bet (p=2.3×10−5). Residual LIP fluctuations, after accounting for motion strength and direction, also predicted sure-target choice (p=4.0×10−5), and buildup-rate deviation did so as well (p=0.017; not explained by motion strength, p=0.0018).
  • In 19 neurons with the sure target in the response field, activity during motion and delay was not significantly modulated and was uninformative about choosing or forgoing Ts (p>0.1 for both directions). After Ts onset, the visual response was slightly larger when monkeys chose Ts (p<0.01, median difference = 7.7%). A Bayesian sequential-sampling model with three free parameters fit behavior (R2=0.97 and 0.98) and predicted accuracy on waived-Ts trials (R2=0.97).

Methods

  • Two rhesus monkeys made direction decisions about dynamic random-dot motion; difficulty was varied by motion coherence and viewing duration. On a random half of trials, after the motion was extinguished, a sure-target option appeared at least 500 ms later, offering a small certain reward instead of the direction choice.
  • Extracellular recordings were made from 70 LIP neurons with a direction-choice target in the response field, plus 19 neurons with the sure target in the response field. Analyses included population and single-trial logistic regression, ANOVA/F-tests, buildup-rate estimation, and a bounded evidence accumulation/Bayesian sequential sampling model.

Limitations

  • The paper states that the agreement between the model and LIP responses is only approximate, presumably because neurons besides those recorded contribute to certainty, and that a single neuron’s influence on the post-decision wager is expected to be small.
  • The paper does not have a dedicated limitations section. Evident from the text: the neural evidence is correlational, with no causal manipulation; the main neural sample is 70 LIP neurons in two monkeys, with a smaller 19-neuron sample for the sure-target-in-RF configuration; and choice certainty is inferred from post-decision wagering behavior.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1126/science.1169405

Cites

62 of 62 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Verification

Claims the paper makes

0 of 57 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

Show all 67 claims

  • It may state two separate claims as one. 19
  • Probably not a substantial claim. 6
25 of 25
  • The paper relies on this without support.

    Neurons in orbitofrontal cortex and cingulate cortex do not give rise to a representation of decision uncertainty but receive this information from neurons that compute this quantity in the decision making process.

    “However, these neurons do not give rise to a representation of decision uncertainty but presumably receive this information from neurons that compute this quantity in the decision making process.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    The prior probability that motion is left or right is equal.

    “The last term vanishes, because the prior probability that motion is left or right is equal.”
  • The authors state this as an assumption.

    Opting out of the direction decision happens when the expected chance of success based on v(t) at decision time is less than a criterion level.

    “it is easy to imagine that opting out of the direction decision might happen when the expected chance of success based on v(t) at decision time is less than a criterion level (Fig. 4C).”
3 of 3

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Citations

Cites

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Research works printed but not linked: 4

  1. Pierce C. S., Jastrow J., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 3, 75 (1884).
  2. Volkmann J., Psychol. Bull. 31, 672 (1934).
  3. Johnson D. M., Arch. Psychol. 34, 1 (1939).
  4. A. Wald Sequential Analysis (Wiley New York 1947).

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Metadata

Authors
Kiani, R., & Shadlen, M. N.
Affiliations
Howard Hughes Medical Institute (US)
Venue
Science
Published
2009-05-08
Volume
324
Issue
5928
Pages
759-764
ISSN
  • 0036-8075 (ISSN-L)
  • 1095-9203
OpenAlex
W2148821453
Cited by
1,027
References
62
Citations by year
2026: 49 · 2025: 62 · 2024: 67 · 2023: 90 · 2022: 58 · 2021: 74 · 2020: 81 · 2019: 69 · 2018: 66 · 2017: 69 · 2016: 60 · 2015: 56 · 2014: 64 · 2013: 32 · 2012: 59
FWCI
21.04
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Science (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
Funders
  • Howard Hughes Medical Institute
  • National Eye Institute (EY11378, R01EY011378)
  • National Center for Research Resources (RR00166, P51RR000166)
Topics
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Visual perception and processing mechanisms
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural dynamics and brain function
  • Life Sciences › Neuroscience › Cognitive Neuroscience › Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
Keywords
decision confidence, parietal cortex, single-unit recording, perceptual decision making, rhesus monkeys
MeSH terms
Animals, Brain Mapping, Decision Making, Judgment, Macaca mulatta, Motion Perception, Neurons, Parietal Lobe, Reward, Saccades, Electrophysiological Phenomena

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