Cited by 456Cardiovascular Health and Risk FactorsHealth Promotion and Cardiovascular PreventionDiabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins

Beyond Established and Novel Risk Factors: Lifestyle Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Disease

Mozaffarian, Dariush, Wilson, Peter W.F., Kannel, William B.·2008·Circulation

Abstract

D yslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus have been appropriately highlighted as established predictors of cardiovascular disease.These risk factors have become preeminent targets for influencing cardiovascular risk; their assessment, treatment, and monitoring are major emphases of clinical care, research investigation, treatment guidelines, organization position papers, and measures of physician and hospital performance.Notably, lifestyle risk factors, including dietary habits, physical inactivity, smoking, and adiposity, strongly influence the established cardiovascular risk factors and also affect novel pathways of risk such as inflammation/oxidative stress, endothelial function, thrombosis/coagulation, and arrhythmia.Furthermore, modest alterations of these lifestyle risk factors are achievable and have substantial effects on cardiovascular risk.Thus, basic lifestyle habits should be considered fundamental risk factors for cardiovascular disease.Although efforts to combat established and novel risk factors with pharmacological treatments are important and should continue, we call for a systematic rebalancing of current research, clinical care, and policy efforts to focus more on lifestyle.The rising costs of healthcare and the epidemics of overweight and obesity highlight the inadequacies of our current strategy.Substantially more resources should be directed toward research on lifestyle risk factors, their determinants, and effective interventions to change them.The clinical evaluation and treatment of dietary, physical activity, and smoking habits must become as routine and familiar as assessment of blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose levels.Major policy initiatives and reimbursement guidelines must also be rebalanced to emphasize lifestyle risk factors.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

This review argues that lifestyle risk factors—diet, physical inactivity, smoking, and adiposity—are fundamental causes of cardiovascular disease and should be prioritized alongside established and novel risk factors. It calls for rebalancing research, clinical care, and policy toward lifestyle assessment and intervention.

Key findings

  • Lifestyle factors account for most cardiovascular and diabetes burden: >70% of total cardiovascular events, 80% of CHD events, and 90% of new diabetes cases are attributable to a handful of basic lifestyle factors.
  • Modest lifestyle changes have large effects: smoking cessation reduces total mortality by approximately one third; physical activity/fitness is associated with 30% to 50% lower cardiovascular event risk; oily fish (1–2 servings/week) reduces CHD death by 36% and total mortality by 17%; a Mediterranean-type diet reduced myocardial infarction or cardiac death by 72% over 4 years; lifestyle intervention reduced diabetes incidence by 58% versus placebo and 39% versus metformin.
  • Population behavior can change: US per capita tobacco use fell nearly two thirds since the 1950s; from 1977 to 2000, average fat consumption declined from 36.4% to 32.8% of calories and carbohydrate increased from 44.3% to 50.3%, while total calories rose from 2000 to 2250 kcal/d.
  • Adherence is imperfect for both lifestyle and drugs: in the Women’s Health Initiative, 40% stopped the study drug at an average 5.2 years and 54% at 6.8 years; in the Diabetes Prevention Project, 58% maintained the physical activity goal, 38% achieved the weight loss goal, and 67% were ≥80% adherent to drug therapy; lipid-lowering or antihypertensive adherence typically ranges from 65% to 85% in trials to <50% in practice.

Methods

  • Design: narrative review/commentary, not original research; it synthesizes evidence from epidemiological studies and randomized controlled trials.
  • Data or sample: no primary sample; it cites prior studies and trials (e.g., Framingham, DPP, WHI, Lyon Diet Heart Study, Look AHEAD) and MEDLINE publication counts as of December 2007.
  • Main analysis: narrative synthesis and argument for rebalancing research, clinical care, and policy toward lifestyle risk factors.

Limitations

  • The paper states that direct evidence comparing adherence to modest lifestyle changes versus lifelong drug use is scant; additional research is needed on optimal behavior-change strategies; and the quality of evidence for some cardiovascular drugs exceeds that for some lifestyle changes because of discrepancies in the sizes and numbers of large randomized trials.
  • Evident from the text: as a narrative review, it lacks a systematic search, formal meta-analysis, risk-of-bias assessment, or primary data, and its evidence selection and emphasis reflect the authors’ perspective.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1161/circulationaha.107.738732

Cites

118 of 118 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 43 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Premisecitation

    Lifestyle behaviors can strongly affect the slopes of age-related changes in blood pressure and cholesterol, attenuating or even reversing the increases seen over time.

    “Lifestyle behaviors can strongly affect the slopes of these changes, attenuating or even reversing the increases seen over time.55,56”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [55]

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [56] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Interpretationcitation

    Large disparities in both the prevalence of established risk factors and the rates of cardiovascular events in genetically similar populations both over time and across regions confirm that genetic effects are subordinate to lifestyle and environmental influences.

    “large disparities in both the prevalence of established risk factors and the rates of cardiovascular events in genetically similar populations both over time and across regions confirm that genetic effects are subordinate to lifestyle and environmental influences.50 -52,57-59”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [50] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [51]

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [52] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Premisecitation

    Among populations with traditional healthy lifestyle behaviors, the prevalences of obesity, dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus are far less than in industrialized populations, even after adjustment for age.

    “Among populations with traditional healthy lifestyle behaviors, the prevalences of obesity, dyslipidemia, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus are far less than in industrialized populations, even after adjustment for age.49 -52”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [49] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [50] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [51]

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Premisecitation

    Blood pressure and blood lipids are in the causal pathway for cardiovascular events.

    “a major advance in medicine has been confirmation in pharmaceutical trials that blood pressure and blood lipids are in the casual pathway for cardiovascular events”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [13]

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [14] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [15] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Premisecitation

    Measurement and treatment of blood lipids, blood pressure, and glucose levels have become the major emphases for cardiovascular risk reduction.

    “Nevertheless, measurement and treatment of blood lipids, blood pressure, and glucose levels have became the major emphases for cardiovascular risk reduction.”
    • Also stated in: § From Prediction to Treatment · plain
      “Assessment and pharmacological treatment of elevated blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose levels have become standards of cardiovascular care and the major emphases of practice guidelines, organization position papers, healthcare quality indicators, and reimbursement standards.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [23]

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [24] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [25] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims. 15
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 3
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Evaluated systematically, >70% of total cardiovascular events, 80% of CHD events, and 90% of new cases of diabetes mellitus appear to be attributable to just a handful of basic lifestyle factors.

    “Evaluated systematically, Ͼ70% of total cardiovascular events, 80% of CHD events, and 90% of new cases of diabetes mellitus appear to be attributable to just a handful of basic lifestyle factors.60,61”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [60] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [61] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Prevalence of diabetes mellitus has risen steadily, largely because of an epidemic of adiposity.

    “Conversely, prevalence of diabetes mellitus has risen steadily, largely because of an epidemic of adiposity 35”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [35] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisenone given

    Prediction models make no assumptions and allow no inferences about confounding, magnitude of causal effects, or hierarchy of variables along causal pathways.

    “Prediction models make no assumptions (and allow no inferences) about the presence or extent of confounding, magnitude of causal effects, or hierarchy of variables along causal pathways.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In the United States, the prevalence of high cholesterol, hypertension, and smoking, together with age-adjusted cardiovascular deaths, has declined over several decades.

    “In the United States, the prevalence of high cholesterol, hypertension, and smoking, together with age-adjusted cardiovascular deaths, has declined over several decades.35,36”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [35] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [36] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Lifestyle risk factors (dietary habits, physical inactivity, smoking, adiposity) strongly influence established cardiovascular risk factors and also affect novel pathways of risk such as inflammation/oxidative stress, endothelial function, thrombosis/coagulation, and arrhythmia.

    “Notably, lifestyle risk factors, including dietary habits, physical inactivity, smoking, and adiposity, strongly influence the established cardiovascular risk factors and also affect novel pathways of risk such as inflammation/oxidative stress, endothelial function, thrombosis/coagulation, and arrhythmia.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [37] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [38] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [39] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Interpretationnone given

    Modest alterations of lifestyle risk factors are achievable.

    “Furthermore, modest alterations of these lifestyle risk factors are achievable and have substantial effects on cardiovascular risk.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    Emphases on downstream risk factors such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes mellitus address neither the root causes of adiposity nor its full cardiovascular consequences.

    “emphases on more downstream risk factors such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes mellitus address neither the root causes of adiposity nor its full cardiovascular consequences.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S4 (based).

    Premisenone given

    Adiposity is largely caused by poor diet (excess calories) and inadequate activity.

    “Because adiposity is largely caused by poor diet (excess calories) and inadequate activity”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationreasoning

    These unfortunate changes will likely mitigate further improvements in cardiovascular mortality and even reverse the decline in cardiovascular disease incidence.

    “these unfortunate changes will likely mitigate further improvements in cardiovascular mortality and even reverse the decline in cardiovascular disease incidence.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In a trial among 5145 diabetics, lifestyle advice lowered systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, triglycerides, fasting glucose, hemoglobin A1c, and proteinuria; increased HDL cholesterol; increased weight loss and physical fitness; and reduced use of diabetic, antihypertensive, and lipid-lowering medications.

    “For example, in a trial among 5145 diabetics, lifestyle advice lowered systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, triglycerides, fasting glucose, hemoglobin A 1c , and proteinuria; in-creased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; increased weight loss and physical fitness; and reduced use of diabetic, antihypertensive, and lipid-lowering medications.103”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [103] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In another trial, modest lifestyle recommendations reduced incidence of diabetes mellitus by 58% compared with placebo and by 39% compared with metformin.

    “In another trial, modest lifestyle recommendations (advice to consume a healthy low-calorie diet and be moderately active, such as walking briskly Ϸ20 min/d) reduced incidence of diabetes mellitus by 58% compared with placebo and by 39% compared with metformin.55”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [55]

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    A large proportion of healthcare expenditures, including costs to individuals, businesses, and society, is attributable to poor lifestyle behaviors, and these costs are lowered by initiatives that promote healthy lifestyles.

    “Ironically, a large proportion of healthcare expenditures, including costs to individuals, businesses, and society, is attributable to poor lifestyle behaviors, 114 -117 and these costs are lowered by initiatives that promote healthy lifestyles. 118”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 3 sources checked
    • cites [114] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [115] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [116] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Strategies to lessen smoking in the United States have been effective, reducing per capita tobacco use by nearly two thirds since the 1950s.

    “Major gaps remain, but strategies to lessen smoking in the United States have been effective, reducing per capita tobacco use by nearly two thirds since the 1950s.34”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [34] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    In patients with established cardiovascular disease, physical activity reduces angina symptoms, benefits heart failure, decreases claudication, and lowers mortality after myocardial infarction.

    “In patients with established cardiovascular disease, physical activity reduces angina symptoms, benefits heart failure, decreases claudication, and lowers mortality after myocardial infarction.38”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [38] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Modest consumption of oily fish (1 to 2 servings per week) reduces CHD death by 36%, with 17% reduction in total mortality in randomized controlled trials of fish oil in higher-risk populations.

    “Modest consumption of oily fish (1 to 2 servings per week) reduces CHD death by 36%, with 17% reduction in total mortality in randomized controlled trials of fish oil in higher-risk populations.46”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Premisecitation

    Only the lifestyle intervention improved multiple other established cardiovascular risk factors related to inactivity, adiposity, and poor dietary habits, whereas both lifestyle and metformin lowered glucose levels.

    “Although both lifestyle and metformin lowered glucose levels (lessening the nominal diagnosis of diabetes mellitus), only the lifestyle intervention improved multiple other established cardiovascular risk factors related to inactivity, adiposity, and poor dietary habits.56”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [56] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductnone given

    The funding sources had no role in study design; in the collection, analysis, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the paper for publication.

    “The funding sources had no role in study design; in the collection, analysis, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the paper for publication.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
17 of 17

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

6 of the 124 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.

Research works printed but not linked: 4

  1. 10.1161/circ.97.18.1837 · DOI
  2. 10.1161/circ.99.15.2055 · DOI
  3. 10.1161/circ.104.13.1577 · DOI
  4. 10.1161/circ.99.6.779 · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Mozaffarian, D., Wilson, P. W. F., & Kannel, W. B.
Affiliations
Boston University (US)
Venue
Circulation
Published
2008-06-10
Volume
117
Issue
23
Pages
3031-3038
ISSN
  • 0009-7322 (ISSN-L)
  • 1524-4539
OpenAlex
W2080422716
Cited by
456
References
124
Citations by year
2026: 19 · 2025: 41 · 2024: 30 · 2023: 33 · 2022: 39 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 19 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 12 · 2016: 28 · 2015: 21 · 2014: 36 · 2013: 26 · 2012: 25
FWCI
3.08
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
  • Circulation (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders
  • National Institutes of Health (n01hc25195-41-0-1, 1k08hl075628-01)
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (K08-HL-075628, N01‐HC25195)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Health Promotion and Cardiovascular Prevention
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
Keywords
cardiovascular risk factors, lifestyle risk factors, dyslipidemia, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, physical inactivity, smoking, adiposity, inflammation, oxidative stress, endothelial function, thrombosis, cardiac arrhythmias, dietary habits, lifestyle intervention, healthcare policy, reimbursement guidelines
MeSH terms
Cardiovascular Diseases, Humans, Life Style, Risk Factors, Risk Reduction Behavior

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-10.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-10.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review