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Cited by 437

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 82 of the 82 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

Economic Shocks and Conflict: Evidence from Commodity Prices

Open access
Bazzi, Samuel, Blattman, Christopher·2014·American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
DOI 10.1257/mac.6.4.1
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Abstract

Higher national incomes are correlated with political stability. Is this relationship causal? We test three theories linking income to conflict with new data on export price shocks. Price shocks have no effect on new conflict, even large shocks in high-risk nations. Rising prices, however, weakly lead to shorter, less deadly wars. This evidence contradicts the theory that rising state revenues incentivize state capture, but supports the idea that rising revenues improve counter-insurgency capacity and reduce individual incentives to fight in existing conflicts. Conflict onset and continuation follow different processes. Ignoring this time dependence generates mistaken conclusions about income and instability. (JEL D72, D74, O13, O17, O19, Q02, Q34)

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Metadata

Authors
Bazzi, S., & Blattman, C.
Venue
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Publisher
American Economic Association
Published
2014-10-01
Volume
6
Issue
4
Pages
1-38
ISSN
  • 1945-7707 (ISSN-L)
  • 1945-7715
DOI
10.1257/mac.6.4.1
OpenAlex
W3122306646
Cited by
437
References
82
FWCI
65.42
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
green

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